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RJR: Recommended Bibliography 01 Apr 2025 at 02:02 Created:
Climate Change
The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year
since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet.
But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big
deal?
The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter
of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up,
the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the
water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals.
That's 25 million times more energy than released by
the WW-II atomic bomb
that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000
people.
So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf
of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic-bombs' worth of new energy,
which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms.
Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.
Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion
Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)
RevDate: 2025-03-30
CmpDate: 2025-03-26
Physiology and climate change explain unusually high similarity across marine communities after end-Permian mass extinction.
Science advances, 11(13):eadr4199.
Fossil assemblages exhibit a global depletion in taxonomic distinctiveness in the aftermath of the end-Permian mass extinction (~252 million years ago), but little is known about why. Here, we examine whether biotic homogenization can be explained by tropical survivors tracking an expansion of their preferred habitat, measured in terms of the ratio of environmental oxygen supply to metabolic demand. We compare spatial similarity in community composition among marine invertebrate fossils represented by bivalve and gastropod fossils with predictions from an ecophysiological model of habitat that diagnoses areas in the ocean that can sustain the aerobic requirements of marine invertebrates. Modeled biogeographic responses to climate change yield an increase in global similarity of community composition among surviving ecophysiotypes, consistent with patterns in the fossil record and arguing for a physiological control on earliest Triassic biogeography.
Additional Links: PMID-40138424
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40138424,
year = {2025},
author = {Al Aswad, JA and Penn, JL and Monarrez, PM and Bazzi, M and Deutsch, C and Payne, JL},
title = {Physiology and climate change explain unusually high similarity across marine communities after end-Permian mass extinction.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {13},
pages = {eadr4199},
pmid = {40138424},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Extinction, Biological ; *Fossils ; *Ecosystem ; Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Biodiversity ; Invertebrates/physiology ; },
abstract = {Fossil assemblages exhibit a global depletion in taxonomic distinctiveness in the aftermath of the end-Permian mass extinction (~252 million years ago), but little is known about why. Here, we examine whether biotic homogenization can be explained by tropical survivors tracking an expansion of their preferred habitat, measured in terms of the ratio of environmental oxygen supply to metabolic demand. We compare spatial similarity in community composition among marine invertebrate fossils represented by bivalve and gastropod fossils with predictions from an ecophysiological model of habitat that diagnoses areas in the ocean that can sustain the aerobic requirements of marine invertebrates. Modeled biogeographic responses to climate change yield an increase in global similarity of community composition among surviving ecophysiotypes, consistent with patterns in the fossil record and arguing for a physiological control on earliest Triassic biogeography.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Animals
*Extinction, Biological
*Fossils
*Ecosystem
Aquatic Organisms/physiology
Biodiversity
Invertebrates/physiology
RevDate: 2025-03-30
CmpDate: 2025-03-26
Anthropogenic activity and climate change exacerbate the spread of pathogenic bacteria in the environment.
Science advances, 11(13):eads4355.
Climate change is profoundly affecting human health. Human pathogenic bacteria (HPB) infections mediated by the environment are considered a substantial cause of global health losses. However, the biogeography of HPB and their response to climate change remain largely unknown. Here, we constructed and analyzed a global atlas of potential HPB using 1,066,584 samples worldwide. HPB are widely present in the global environment, and their distribution follows a latitudinal diversity gradient. Climate and anthropogenic factors are identified as major drivers of the global distribution of HPB. Our predictions indicated that by the end of this century, the richness, abundance, and invasion risk of HPB will increase globally, with this upward trend becoming more pronounced as development sustainability declines. Therefore, the threat of environmentally mediated HPB infections to human health may be more severe in a world where anthropogenic activities are intensifying and the global climate is warming.
Additional Links: PMID-40138417
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40138417,
year = {2025},
author = {Geng, Y and Liu, Y and Li, P and Sun, J and Jiang, Y and Pan, Z and Li, YZ and Zhang, Z},
title = {Anthropogenic activity and climate change exacerbate the spread of pathogenic bacteria in the environment.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {13},
pages = {eads4355},
pmid = {40138417},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Bacteria ; Anthropogenic Effects ; Human Activities ; Bacterial Infections/microbiology/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is profoundly affecting human health. Human pathogenic bacteria (HPB) infections mediated by the environment are considered a substantial cause of global health losses. However, the biogeography of HPB and their response to climate change remain largely unknown. Here, we constructed and analyzed a global atlas of potential HPB using 1,066,584 samples worldwide. HPB are widely present in the global environment, and their distribution follows a latitudinal diversity gradient. Climate and anthropogenic factors are identified as major drivers of the global distribution of HPB. Our predictions indicated that by the end of this century, the richness, abundance, and invasion risk of HPB will increase globally, with this upward trend becoming more pronounced as development sustainability declines. Therefore, the threat of environmentally mediated HPB infections to human health may be more severe in a world where anthropogenic activities are intensifying and the global climate is warming.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Bacteria
Anthropogenic Effects
Human Activities
Bacterial Infections/microbiology/epidemiology
RevDate: 2025-03-26
Climate change impacts have potentially big repercussions for kids' education.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(13):e2505073122.
Additional Links: PMID-40138343
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40138343,
year = {2025},
author = {Sidik, S},
title = {Climate change impacts have potentially big repercussions for kids' education.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {13},
pages = {e2505073122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2505073122},
pmid = {40138343},
issn = {1091-6490},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-29
CmpDate: 2025-03-26
Resilience to Climate Change by Biocontrol Yeasts Against Ochratoxin A Production in Robusta Coffee.
Toxins, 17(3):.
Aspergillus carbonarius is the main producer of Ochratoxin A (OTA) in coffee. In the last few years, there has been an increasing interest in using yeast isolates as Biocontrol Agents to prevent OTA production in coffee cherries during the primary postharvest processing. Little is known about how climate change abiotic conditions of increased temperature (+2-4 °C), elevated CO2 (existing levels of 400 vs. 1000 ppm), and increased drought stress will impact biocontrol resilience. This study examined the effect of a three-way interaction between temperature (27, 30, and 33 °C) x water activity (aw) (0.90 and 0.95 aw) x CO2 level (400 vs. 1000 ppm) on the growth and OTA production of A. carbonarius and the resilience of three yeast strains' biocontrol capacity on fresh coffee cherries. High aw (0.95), CO2, and temperature levels increased the production of OTA by A. carbonarius. All the yeast biocontrol strains significantly reduced A. carbonarius growth by at least 20% and OTA production by up to 85%. From the three strains used, the Meyerozyma caribbica strain (Y4) showed the best resilience to climate change, since it reduced both growth (50%) and OTA production (70%) under future scenarios of CO2 and aw at all temperatures tested, and should be the one selected for pilot scale experiments in Ivory Coast.
Additional Links: PMID-40137883
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40137883,
year = {2025},
author = {López-Rodríguez, C and Verheecke-Vaessen, C and Strub, C and Fontana, A and Guehi, T and Schorr-Galindo, S and Medina, A},
title = {Resilience to Climate Change by Biocontrol Yeasts Against Ochratoxin A Production in Robusta Coffee.},
journal = {Toxins},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {40137883},
issn = {2072-6651},
support = {1800-0022//Agropolis International/ ; IPP programme//Cranfield University/ ; },
mesh = {*Ochratoxins ; *Climate Change ; *Aspergillus/metabolism/growth & development ; Coffee/microbiology ; Carbon Dioxide/metabolism ; Temperature ; Coffea/microbiology ; Food Contamination/prevention & control ; },
abstract = {Aspergillus carbonarius is the main producer of Ochratoxin A (OTA) in coffee. In the last few years, there has been an increasing interest in using yeast isolates as Biocontrol Agents to prevent OTA production in coffee cherries during the primary postharvest processing. Little is known about how climate change abiotic conditions of increased temperature (+2-4 °C), elevated CO2 (existing levels of 400 vs. 1000 ppm), and increased drought stress will impact biocontrol resilience. This study examined the effect of a three-way interaction between temperature (27, 30, and 33 °C) x water activity (aw) (0.90 and 0.95 aw) x CO2 level (400 vs. 1000 ppm) on the growth and OTA production of A. carbonarius and the resilience of three yeast strains' biocontrol capacity on fresh coffee cherries. High aw (0.95), CO2, and temperature levels increased the production of OTA by A. carbonarius. All the yeast biocontrol strains significantly reduced A. carbonarius growth by at least 20% and OTA production by up to 85%. From the three strains used, the Meyerozyma caribbica strain (Y4) showed the best resilience to climate change, since it reduced both growth (50%) and OTA production (70%) under future scenarios of CO2 and aw at all temperatures tested, and should be the one selected for pilot scale experiments in Ivory Coast.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Ochratoxins
*Climate Change
*Aspergillus/metabolism/growth & development
Coffee/microbiology
Carbon Dioxide/metabolism
Temperature
Coffea/microbiology
Food Contamination/prevention & control
RevDate: 2025-03-28
Evaluating Habitat Suitability for the Endangered Sinojackia xylocarpa (Styracaceae) in China Under Climate Change Based on Ensemble Modeling and Gap Analysis.
Biology, 14(3):.
Climate change has a profound effect on plant growth and distribution on a global scale [...].
Additional Links: PMID-40136560
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40136560,
year = {2025},
author = {Hu, C and Wu, H and Zhang, G},
title = {Evaluating Habitat Suitability for the Endangered Sinojackia xylocarpa (Styracaceae) in China Under Climate Change Based on Ensemble Modeling and Gap Analysis.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {40136560},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {No. 2023053SMnull0162//Jiangsu Forestry Bureau/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a profound effect on plant growth and distribution on a global scale [...].},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-28
Fading into Obscurity: Impact of Climate Change on Suitable Habitats for Two Lesser-Known Giant Flying Squirrels (Sciuridae: Petaurista) in Northeastern India.
Biology, 14(3):.
In recent years, global warming has become a major driver of biodiversity loss, significantly impacting various vertebrate species, including mammals. Consequently, numerous smaller species face extinction risks due to anthropogenic factors as well as inadequate assessments and conservation planning. Thus, this study focuses on two recently described endemic giant flying squirrel species under the Petaurista genus-Petaurista mishmiensis and Petaurista mechukaensis-found in Arunachal Pradesh, India. Using an ensemble species distribution model (SDM), this research delineates suitable habitats for these lesser-known species and evaluates the effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on these areas. This analysis aims to inform a comprehensive management plan for their conservation. The ensemble model identified suitable habitat patches for the two species, extending beyond their current IUCN-designated ranges in Arunachal Pradesh. Under present conditions, P. mishmiensis has the largest predicted suitable area (9213 sq. km), followed by P. mechukaensis (6754 sq. km). However, future projections reveal alarming habitat losses ranging from 13.45% to 55.86% across the study area. This study also highlights severe habitat fragmentation throughout the state as viable patches for P. mishmiensis are drastically reduced in size, resulting in many being completely lost and the remaining areas being closer together. However, the P. mechukaensis experiences significant disintegration, resulting in numerous smaller, more dispersed patches within Arunachal Pradesh. Hence, to address these challenges, this study recommends several actions such as genetic assessments to confirm evolutionary relationships, evaluations of corridor connectivity, and comprehensive field studies. Furthermore, establishing joint forest conservation committees involving local communities, forest personnel, defense forces, naturalists, and scientists are also encouraged. Ultimately, this research provides critical insights for guiding future field studies across Arunachal Pradesh's vast landscapes and supports the development of detailed species management plans to protect these endemic flying squirrels.
Additional Links: PMID-40136499
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40136499,
year = {2025},
author = {Abedin, I and Kamalakannan, M and Mukherjee, T and Choudhury, A and Singha, H and Abedin, J and Banerjee, D and Kim, HW and Kundu, S},
title = {Fading into Obscurity: Impact of Climate Change on Suitable Habitats for Two Lesser-Known Giant Flying Squirrels (Sciuridae: Petaurista) in Northeastern India.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {40136499},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {Autonomous Creative Academic Research Fund 2024-2025 (202416560001)//Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea/ ; },
abstract = {In recent years, global warming has become a major driver of biodiversity loss, significantly impacting various vertebrate species, including mammals. Consequently, numerous smaller species face extinction risks due to anthropogenic factors as well as inadequate assessments and conservation planning. Thus, this study focuses on two recently described endemic giant flying squirrel species under the Petaurista genus-Petaurista mishmiensis and Petaurista mechukaensis-found in Arunachal Pradesh, India. Using an ensemble species distribution model (SDM), this research delineates suitable habitats for these lesser-known species and evaluates the effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on these areas. This analysis aims to inform a comprehensive management plan for their conservation. The ensemble model identified suitable habitat patches for the two species, extending beyond their current IUCN-designated ranges in Arunachal Pradesh. Under present conditions, P. mishmiensis has the largest predicted suitable area (9213 sq. km), followed by P. mechukaensis (6754 sq. km). However, future projections reveal alarming habitat losses ranging from 13.45% to 55.86% across the study area. This study also highlights severe habitat fragmentation throughout the state as viable patches for P. mishmiensis are drastically reduced in size, resulting in many being completely lost and the remaining areas being closer together. However, the P. mechukaensis experiences significant disintegration, resulting in numerous smaller, more dispersed patches within Arunachal Pradesh. Hence, to address these challenges, this study recommends several actions such as genetic assessments to confirm evolutionary relationships, evaluations of corridor connectivity, and comprehensive field studies. Furthermore, establishing joint forest conservation committees involving local communities, forest personnel, defense forces, naturalists, and scientists are also encouraged. Ultimately, this research provides critical insights for guiding future field studies across Arunachal Pradesh's vast landscapes and supports the development of detailed species management plans to protect these endemic flying squirrels.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-27
Climate change impacts on the predicted geographic distribution of Betula tianschanica Rupr.
Frontiers in plant science, 16:1528255.
INTRODUCTION: Betula tianschanica Rupr. is distributed in regions such as China, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. Owing to the impacts of climate change, it is increasingly threatened by habitat fragmentation, resulting in a precipitous decline in its population. Currently listed as endangered on the Red List of Trees of Central Asia, this species is predominantly found in the Tianshan Mountains. Examining the influence of climate change on the geographical distribution pattern of Betula tianschanica is crucial for the management and conservation of its wild resources.
METHODS: This study employed two models, maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and random forest (RF), combined with 116 distribution points of Betula tianschanica and 27 environmental factor variables, to investigate the environmental determinants of the distribution of Betula tianschanica and project its potential geographical distribution areas.
RESULTS: The MaxEnt model and the RF model determined the primary environmental factors influencing the potential distribution of Betula tianschanica. The MaxEnt model showed that the percentage of gravel volume in the lower soil layer and elevation are the most significant, while the RF model considered elevation and precipitation of the wettest quarter to be the most crucial. Both models unanimously asserted that elevation is the pivotal environmental element affecting the distribution of Betula tianschanica.The mean area under the curve (AUC) scores for the MaxEnt model and RF were 0.970 and 0.873, respectively, revealing that the MaxEnt model outperformed the RF model in predictive accuracy. Consequently, the present study employed the estimated geographical area for Betula tianschanica modeled by the MaxEnt model as a reference. Following the MaxEnt model's projected outcomes, Betula tianschanica is mainly located in territories such as the Tianshan Mountains, Ili River Basin, Lake Issyk-Kul, Turpan Basin, Irtysh River, Ulungur River, Bogda Mountains, Kazakh Hills, Lake Balkhash, Amu River, and the middle reaches of the Syr River.Within the MaxEnt model, the total suitable habitat area exhibits growth across all scenarios, with the exception of a decline observed during the 2041-2060 period under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. Remarkably, under the SSP58.5 scenario for the same timeframe, this area expands significantly by 42.7%. In contrast, the RF model demonstrated relatively minor fluctuations in the total suitable habitat area, with the highest recorded increase being 12.81%. This paper recommends establishing protected areas in the Tianshan Mountains, conducting long-term monitoring of its population dynamics, and enhancing international cooperation. In response to future climate change, climate refuges should be established and adaptive management implemented to ensure the survival and reproduction of Betula tianschanica.
Additional Links: PMID-40134618
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40134618,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, H and Li, A and Luo, X and Wang, J and Xie, Y and Lin, Z and Hua, D},
title = {Climate change impacts on the predicted geographic distribution of Betula tianschanica Rupr.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1528255},
pmid = {40134618},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Betula tianschanica Rupr. is distributed in regions such as China, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. Owing to the impacts of climate change, it is increasingly threatened by habitat fragmentation, resulting in a precipitous decline in its population. Currently listed as endangered on the Red List of Trees of Central Asia, this species is predominantly found in the Tianshan Mountains. Examining the influence of climate change on the geographical distribution pattern of Betula tianschanica is crucial for the management and conservation of its wild resources.
METHODS: This study employed two models, maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and random forest (RF), combined with 116 distribution points of Betula tianschanica and 27 environmental factor variables, to investigate the environmental determinants of the distribution of Betula tianschanica and project its potential geographical distribution areas.
RESULTS: The MaxEnt model and the RF model determined the primary environmental factors influencing the potential distribution of Betula tianschanica. The MaxEnt model showed that the percentage of gravel volume in the lower soil layer and elevation are the most significant, while the RF model considered elevation and precipitation of the wettest quarter to be the most crucial. Both models unanimously asserted that elevation is the pivotal environmental element affecting the distribution of Betula tianschanica.The mean area under the curve (AUC) scores for the MaxEnt model and RF were 0.970 and 0.873, respectively, revealing that the MaxEnt model outperformed the RF model in predictive accuracy. Consequently, the present study employed the estimated geographical area for Betula tianschanica modeled by the MaxEnt model as a reference. Following the MaxEnt model's projected outcomes, Betula tianschanica is mainly located in territories such as the Tianshan Mountains, Ili River Basin, Lake Issyk-Kul, Turpan Basin, Irtysh River, Ulungur River, Bogda Mountains, Kazakh Hills, Lake Balkhash, Amu River, and the middle reaches of the Syr River.Within the MaxEnt model, the total suitable habitat area exhibits growth across all scenarios, with the exception of a decline observed during the 2041-2060 period under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. Remarkably, under the SSP58.5 scenario for the same timeframe, this area expands significantly by 42.7%. In contrast, the RF model demonstrated relatively minor fluctuations in the total suitable habitat area, with the highest recorded increase being 12.81%. This paper recommends establishing protected areas in the Tianshan Mountains, conducting long-term monitoring of its population dynamics, and enhancing international cooperation. In response to future climate change, climate refuges should be established and adaptive management implemented to ensure the survival and reproduction of Betula tianschanica.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-28
Climate change will send home insurance spiralling. Here's how to control costs.
Nature, 639(8056):839.
Additional Links: PMID-40133619
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40133619,
year = {2025},
author = {St George, S},
title = {Climate change will send home insurance spiralling. Here's how to control costs.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {639},
number = {8056},
pages = {839},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-025-00892-9},
pmid = {40133619},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-25
Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change.
BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 388:e084352.
Additional Links: PMID-40132812
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40132812,
year = {2025},
author = {Yao, Y and Jerrett, M and Zhu, T and Kelly, FJ and Zhu, Y},
title = {Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {388},
number = {},
pages = {e084352},
doi = {10.1136/bmj-2025-084352},
pmid = {40132812},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-25
CmpDate: 2025-03-25
Exploring Climate Change's Impact on the Cardiopulmonary Health of Adults Living in the Canton of Valais, Switzerland: Protocol for a Development and Usability Pilot Study.
JMIR research protocols, 14:e67128 pii:v14i1e67128.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is affecting public health and well-being. In 2016, Swiss emergency departments (EDs) treated 1,722,000 cases, with 4718 daily admissions. In 2023, the ED of Sion Regional Hospital recorded 75,000 consultations. The links between climate change and health are complex, necessitating urgent research on its impact on cardiopulmonary health in Valais, Switzerland. Raising awareness among frontline professionals is crucial for developing health promotion and disease prevention strategies.
OBJECTIVE: This study explores the preliminary effects of climate change on cardiopulmonary health in Valais and assesses adult patients' knowledge of its health consequences. Findings will inform adaptations in patient care, health promotion, and disease prevention at Sion Hospital's ED. The feasibility of patient selection and data collection will also be evaluated.
METHODS: Using a convergent, parallel, mixed methods design, data will be collected from September 21, 2024, to September 20, 2025, with a target sample of 60 patients. The quantitative phase will examine patient recruitment feasibility, consultation reasons, and triage levels, correlating them with climate variables (temperature, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, and ozone). It will also analyze sociodemographic profiles. The qualitative phase will explore patients' knowledge of climate change and its potential links to their ED visits. The feasibility and acceptability of the study process will be assessed. The protocol follows the SPIRIT (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials) Extension for Pilot and Feasibility Trials.
RESULTS: Data collection started on September 21, 2024, following the approval by the ethical commission. Data collection will take place over 1 year, until September 20, 2025.
CONCLUSIONS: This study will test the feasibility of a larger investigation and examine potential associations between Valais' changing microclimate and population health. Findings will establish patient profiles and explore their perceptions and knowledge of climate change, informing future health interventions.
DERR1-10.2196/67128.
Additional Links: PMID-40132196
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40132196,
year = {2025},
author = {Portela Dos Santos, O and Alves, PJP and Verloo, H},
title = {Exploring Climate Change's Impact on the Cardiopulmonary Health of Adults Living in the Canton of Valais, Switzerland: Protocol for a Development and Usability Pilot Study.},
journal = {JMIR research protocols},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {e67128},
doi = {10.2196/67128},
pmid = {40132196},
issn = {1929-0748},
mesh = {Humans ; Pilot Projects ; Switzerland ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data ; Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is affecting public health and well-being. In 2016, Swiss emergency departments (EDs) treated 1,722,000 cases, with 4718 daily admissions. In 2023, the ED of Sion Regional Hospital recorded 75,000 consultations. The links between climate change and health are complex, necessitating urgent research on its impact on cardiopulmonary health in Valais, Switzerland. Raising awareness among frontline professionals is crucial for developing health promotion and disease prevention strategies.
OBJECTIVE: This study explores the preliminary effects of climate change on cardiopulmonary health in Valais and assesses adult patients' knowledge of its health consequences. Findings will inform adaptations in patient care, health promotion, and disease prevention at Sion Hospital's ED. The feasibility of patient selection and data collection will also be evaluated.
METHODS: Using a convergent, parallel, mixed methods design, data will be collected from September 21, 2024, to September 20, 2025, with a target sample of 60 patients. The quantitative phase will examine patient recruitment feasibility, consultation reasons, and triage levels, correlating them with climate variables (temperature, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, and ozone). It will also analyze sociodemographic profiles. The qualitative phase will explore patients' knowledge of climate change and its potential links to their ED visits. The feasibility and acceptability of the study process will be assessed. The protocol follows the SPIRIT (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials) Extension for Pilot and Feasibility Trials.
RESULTS: Data collection started on September 21, 2024, following the approval by the ethical commission. Data collection will take place over 1 year, until September 20, 2025.
CONCLUSIONS: This study will test the feasibility of a larger investigation and examine potential associations between Valais' changing microclimate and population health. Findings will establish patient profiles and explore their perceptions and knowledge of climate change, informing future health interventions.
DERR1-10.2196/67128.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
Pilot Projects
Switzerland
*Climate Change
Adult
Male
Female
Middle Aged
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data
Aged
RevDate: 2025-03-25
CmpDate: 2025-03-25
Most Christian American religious leaders silently believe in climate change, and informing their congregation can help open dialogue.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(13):e2419705122.
Religious leaders shape the attitudes and beliefs of their congregations. In a nationally representative sample of U.S. religious leaders (N = 1,600), the majority of which were of a Christian faith, we find that nearly 90% believe in anthropogenic climate change to some degree. From this 90%, a total of 60% believe humans play a major role and an additional 30% believe they play a role, but a more minor one. Yet roughly half have never discussed it with their congregation, and only a quarter have mentioned it more than once or twice. In a sample of Christian Americans representative of the proportions of major national denominations (N = 987), we find that Christians underestimate the prevalence of their leaders who believe in climate change by 39 to 45 percentage points. Conversely, having a religious leader who talks about climate change predicts greater willingness to discuss it with fellow churchgoers and attend climate events. In an experimental intervention on another sample matching major Christian American denomination (N = 959), we find that providing the actual consensus level of religious leaders' belief in climate change reduces congregants' misperception of religious leaders, increases their perception that other church members believe in and are open to discussing climate change, and leads Christians to believe that taking climate action is consistent with their church's values while voting for politicians who will not take climate action is not.
Additional Links: PMID-40131947
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40131947,
year = {2025},
author = {Syropoulos, S and Sparkman, G},
title = {Most Christian American religious leaders silently believe in climate change, and informing their congregation can help open dialogue.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {13},
pages = {e2419705122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2419705122},
pmid = {40131947},
issn = {1091-6490},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Christianity ; *Leadership ; United States ; Female ; Male ; Communication ; Attitude ; },
abstract = {Religious leaders shape the attitudes and beliefs of their congregations. In a nationally representative sample of U.S. religious leaders (N = 1,600), the majority of which were of a Christian faith, we find that nearly 90% believe in anthropogenic climate change to some degree. From this 90%, a total of 60% believe humans play a major role and an additional 30% believe they play a role, but a more minor one. Yet roughly half have never discussed it with their congregation, and only a quarter have mentioned it more than once or twice. In a sample of Christian Americans representative of the proportions of major national denominations (N = 987), we find that Christians underestimate the prevalence of their leaders who believe in climate change by 39 to 45 percentage points. Conversely, having a religious leader who talks about climate change predicts greater willingness to discuss it with fellow churchgoers and attend climate events. In an experimental intervention on another sample matching major Christian American denomination (N = 959), we find that providing the actual consensus level of religious leaders' belief in climate change reduces congregants' misperception of religious leaders, increases their perception that other church members believe in and are open to discussing climate change, and leads Christians to believe that taking climate action is consistent with their church's values while voting for politicians who will not take climate action is not.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
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Humans
*Climate Change
*Christianity
*Leadership
United States
Female
Male
Communication
Attitude
RevDate: 2025-03-27
CmpDate: 2025-03-25
Ash dieback and hydrology affect tree growth patterns under climate change in European floodplain forests.
Scientific reports, 15(1):10117.
Floodplain forests are currently undergoing substantial reorganization processes due to the combined effects of management-induced altered hydrological conditions, climate change and novel invasive pathogens. Nowadays, the ash dieback is one of the most concerning diseases affecting European floodplain forests, causing substantial tree mortality and threatening the loss of the dominant key tree species of the hardwood floodplain forest, Fraxinus excelsior. Understanding how the increased light availability caused by pathogen-driven mortality in combination with altered hydrological conditions and climate change affects growth responses in a diverse forest community is of crucial importance for conservation efforts. Thus, we examined growth of the main tree species in response to ash dieback and how it depended on altered hydrological conditions under novel climatic conditions for the lower and upper canopy in the floodplain forest of Leipzig, Germany. Our study period encompassed the consecutive drought years from 2018 to 2020. We found that tree growth responded mostly positively to increased light availability, but only on moist sites, while tree growth largely declined on dry sites, suggesting that water availability is a critical factor for tree species to be able to benefit from increased light availability due to canopy disturbances caused by ash dieback. This hydrological effect was species-specific in the lower canopy but not in the upper canopy. While, in the lower canopy, some species such as the competitive shade-tolerant but flood-intolerant Acer pseudoplatanus and Acer platanoides benefited from ash dieback on moist sites, others were less affected or suffered disproportionally, indicating that floodplain forests might turn into a novel ecosystem dominated by competitive Acer species, which may have detrimental effects on ecosystem functioning. Our results give hints on floodplain forests of the future and have important implications for conservation measures, suggesting that a substantial revitalization of natural hydrological dynamics is important to maintain a tree composition that resembles the existing one and thus sustain their conservation status.
Additional Links: PMID-40128345
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@article {pmid40128345,
year = {2025},
author = {Henkel, S and Richter, R and Andraczek, K and Mundry, R and Dontschev, M and Engelmann, RA and Hartmann, T and Hecht, C and Kasperidus, HD and Rieland, G and Scholz, M and Seele-Dilbat, C and Vieweg, M and Wirth, C},
title = {Ash dieback and hydrology affect tree growth patterns under climate change in European floodplain forests.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {10117},
pmid = {40128345},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Fraxinus/growth & development/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Trees/growth & development/physiology ; *Hydrology ; Germany ; Europe ; Plant Diseases ; Droughts ; },
abstract = {Floodplain forests are currently undergoing substantial reorganization processes due to the combined effects of management-induced altered hydrological conditions, climate change and novel invasive pathogens. Nowadays, the ash dieback is one of the most concerning diseases affecting European floodplain forests, causing substantial tree mortality and threatening the loss of the dominant key tree species of the hardwood floodplain forest, Fraxinus excelsior. Understanding how the increased light availability caused by pathogen-driven mortality in combination with altered hydrological conditions and climate change affects growth responses in a diverse forest community is of crucial importance for conservation efforts. Thus, we examined growth of the main tree species in response to ash dieback and how it depended on altered hydrological conditions under novel climatic conditions for the lower and upper canopy in the floodplain forest of Leipzig, Germany. Our study period encompassed the consecutive drought years from 2018 to 2020. We found that tree growth responded mostly positively to increased light availability, but only on moist sites, while tree growth largely declined on dry sites, suggesting that water availability is a critical factor for tree species to be able to benefit from increased light availability due to canopy disturbances caused by ash dieback. This hydrological effect was species-specific in the lower canopy but not in the upper canopy. While, in the lower canopy, some species such as the competitive shade-tolerant but flood-intolerant Acer pseudoplatanus and Acer platanoides benefited from ash dieback on moist sites, others were less affected or suffered disproportionally, indicating that floodplain forests might turn into a novel ecosystem dominated by competitive Acer species, which may have detrimental effects on ecosystem functioning. Our results give hints on floodplain forests of the future and have important implications for conservation measures, suggesting that a substantial revitalization of natural hydrological dynamics is important to maintain a tree composition that resembles the existing one and thus sustain their conservation status.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Fraxinus/growth & development/physiology
*Climate Change
*Forests
*Trees/growth & development/physiology
*Hydrology
Germany
Europe
Plant Diseases
Droughts
RevDate: 2025-03-27
CmpDate: 2025-03-25
Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of rhododendron on the qinghai-xizang plateau using maxent model.
Scientific reports, 15(1):10055.
Amid the ongoing trend of global warming, the distribution of habitable areas for Rhododendron is facing significant risks. To investigate the possible spatial distribution of Rhododendron on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in light of future global warming scenarios, we employed the Maximum entropy model (MaxEnt model) to map its suitable habitat using geographic distribution data and environmental factors projected for 2050s and 2070s, considering three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, while identifying the key factors influencing their distribution. The results show that: [1] The area under curve (AUC) values of the five Rhododendron were all greater than 0.98, indicated that the model prediction effect was excellent; [2] Isothermality is the most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of Rhododendron (excluding Rhododendron przewalskii). The most important environmental factor for Rhododendron przewalskii is altitude (alt: 51%), with an optimum range of 2700-3300 m, and Rhododendron trichostomum are affected by altitude (alt 18%), with an optimum range of 3200-3900 m. Rhododendron przewalskii (bio12: 21%) and Rhododendron trichostomum(bio12: 19%) are also affected by annual precipitation, and Rhododendron laudandum(bio12: 6%) is less affected by annual precipitation, The optimal amount of precipitation is 400-500 mm as well as 500-800 mm. Rhododendron przewalskii and Rhododendron trichostomum are suitable for survival in high altitude, semi-arid areas [3]. The suitable areas for survival for Rhododendron przewalskii, Rhododendron trichostomum, Rhododendron hypenanthum, and Rhododendron nyingchiense is expanding, while the suitable areas for survival for Rhododendron laudandum is shrinking [4]. The optimal zone for Rhododendron przewalskii is primarily found in the eastern section of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, while suitable areas for survival for the other four Rhododendron species are predominantly located in the southern region of the same plateau. Therefore, these regions will be designated as the primary conservation zones for in-situ preservation. The results of the study provide a basis for the in situ conservation of Rhododendron in response to global warming, relocation conservation, and the construction of nature reserve communities and ecological corridors.
Additional Links: PMID-40128313
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40128313,
year = {2025},
author = {Chai, SX and Ma, LP and Ma, ZW and Lei, YT and Ye, YQ and Wang, B and Xiao, YM and Yang, Y and Zhou, GY},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of rhododendron on the qinghai-xizang plateau using maxent model.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {10055},
pmid = {40128313},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Rhododendron/chemistry ; *Climate Change ; China ; *Altitude ; Ecosystem ; Models, Theoretical ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Amid the ongoing trend of global warming, the distribution of habitable areas for Rhododendron is facing significant risks. To investigate the possible spatial distribution of Rhododendron on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in light of future global warming scenarios, we employed the Maximum entropy model (MaxEnt model) to map its suitable habitat using geographic distribution data and environmental factors projected for 2050s and 2070s, considering three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, while identifying the key factors influencing their distribution. The results show that: [1] The area under curve (AUC) values of the five Rhododendron were all greater than 0.98, indicated that the model prediction effect was excellent; [2] Isothermality is the most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of Rhododendron (excluding Rhododendron przewalskii). The most important environmental factor for Rhododendron przewalskii is altitude (alt: 51%), with an optimum range of 2700-3300 m, and Rhododendron trichostomum are affected by altitude (alt 18%), with an optimum range of 3200-3900 m. Rhododendron przewalskii (bio12: 21%) and Rhododendron trichostomum(bio12: 19%) are also affected by annual precipitation, and Rhododendron laudandum(bio12: 6%) is less affected by annual precipitation, The optimal amount of precipitation is 400-500 mm as well as 500-800 mm. Rhododendron przewalskii and Rhododendron trichostomum are suitable for survival in high altitude, semi-arid areas [3]. The suitable areas for survival for Rhododendron przewalskii, Rhododendron trichostomum, Rhododendron hypenanthum, and Rhododendron nyingchiense is expanding, while the suitable areas for survival for Rhododendron laudandum is shrinking [4]. The optimal zone for Rhododendron przewalskii is primarily found in the eastern section of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, while suitable areas for survival for the other four Rhododendron species are predominantly located in the southern region of the same plateau. Therefore, these regions will be designated as the primary conservation zones for in-situ preservation. The results of the study provide a basis for the in situ conservation of Rhododendron in response to global warming, relocation conservation, and the construction of nature reserve communities and ecological corridors.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Rhododendron/chemistry
*Climate Change
China
*Altitude
Ecosystem
Models, Theoretical
Global Warming
RevDate: 2025-03-24
Consumer alternative protein choice in climate change: temporal landmarks, self-transcendence, and mindset abstraction.
Appetite pii:S0195-6663(25)00127-8 [Epub ahead of print].
This study explores consumer preferences for alternative proteins within the context of pro-environmental choices. The primary objective is to identify and analyze the factors influencing consumers' choices between alternative and traditional proteins, as well as the moderating conditions that shape these preferences. To achieve this, three sequential studies were conducted to examine the differential effects of temporal landmarks, self-transcendence, and mindset abstraction on protein choice. A randomized mixed experimental design was employed, incorporating both between-subjects and within-subjects components. Findings indicate that consumers exhibit a higher propensity to select alternative proteins during morning hours. Moreover, self-transcendence was found to mediate the relationship between temporal landmarks and protein choices, while mindset abstraction moderated this association. This research uniquely integrates temporal psychology, self-transcendence, and construal level theory to explain dynamic sustainable protein choices under climate change. It introduces morning contexts as novel antecedents of self-transcendence, demonstrating that self-transcendence mediates the impact of temporal landmarks on alternative protein preferences, with this relationship being moderated by mindset abstraction. The theoretical contribution lies in linking micro-level temporal cues to macro-level environmental values, providing a unified framework to address the "when" (time), "why" (self-transcendence), and "for whom" (abstract thinkers) of sustainable choices. Also, this research extends existing knowledge of dynamic sustainable consumption patterns. Practical implications include actionable strategies for policymakers and marketers to design time-sensitive interventions, such as morning-targeted campaigns. These initiatives leverage self-transcendent mindsets and abstract thinking to systematically promote sustainable protein adoption, thereby advancing climate change mitigation efforts.
Additional Links: PMID-40127768
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid40127768,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Y and Nguyen, M and Bu, Y},
title = {Consumer alternative protein choice in climate change: temporal landmarks, self-transcendence, and mindset abstraction.},
journal = {Appetite},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107974},
doi = {10.1016/j.appet.2025.107974},
pmid = {40127768},
issn = {1095-8304},
abstract = {This study explores consumer preferences for alternative proteins within the context of pro-environmental choices. The primary objective is to identify and analyze the factors influencing consumers' choices between alternative and traditional proteins, as well as the moderating conditions that shape these preferences. To achieve this, three sequential studies were conducted to examine the differential effects of temporal landmarks, self-transcendence, and mindset abstraction on protein choice. A randomized mixed experimental design was employed, incorporating both between-subjects and within-subjects components. Findings indicate that consumers exhibit a higher propensity to select alternative proteins during morning hours. Moreover, self-transcendence was found to mediate the relationship between temporal landmarks and protein choices, while mindset abstraction moderated this association. This research uniquely integrates temporal psychology, self-transcendence, and construal level theory to explain dynamic sustainable protein choices under climate change. It introduces morning contexts as novel antecedents of self-transcendence, demonstrating that self-transcendence mediates the impact of temporal landmarks on alternative protein preferences, with this relationship being moderated by mindset abstraction. The theoretical contribution lies in linking micro-level temporal cues to macro-level environmental values, providing a unified framework to address the "when" (time), "why" (self-transcendence), and "for whom" (abstract thinkers) of sustainable choices. Also, this research extends existing knowledge of dynamic sustainable consumption patterns. Practical implications include actionable strategies for policymakers and marketers to design time-sensitive interventions, such as morning-targeted campaigns. These initiatives leverage self-transcendent mindsets and abstract thinking to systematically promote sustainable protein adoption, thereby advancing climate change mitigation efforts.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-24
Quantifying the impact of climate change and land use change on surface-subsurface nutrient dynamics in a Chesapeake Bay watershed system.
Journal of environmental management, 380:125101 pii:S0301-4797(25)01077-1 [Epub ahead of print].
Nutrients such as nitrogen can be harmful to aquatic organisms in excessive amounts. Climate change, through possible increases in temperature and variable rainfall, may cause changes in nutrient loading patterns from watersheds. This study assesses the potential impact of climate and land use change on nitrate (NO3) loading in the Nanticoke River Watershed (NRW), Chesapeake Bay region, USA, using an updated version of SWAT + watershed model that simulates groundwater nitrate fate and transport in a process based spatially distributed manner. The model was calibrated for the 2000-2015 timeframe and tested against measured streamflow and in-stream nitrate loadings, as well as groundwater head measurements from monitoring wells. After calibration and testing, the model simulated hydrological and nitrate (NO3) flux changes under two future climate scenarios-Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 alongside projected land use changes by the FOREcasting SCEnarios of Land-use Change (FORE-SCE) model. The simulations suggest that under RCP 4.5, streamflow could decrease by 18-34 % and NO3 in-stream loading by 4-22 %, while under RCP 8.5, the projected decreases are 22-33 % for streamflow and 4-11 % for NO3 in-stream loading. Streamflow decrease is due to higher temperatures resulting in higher evapotranspiration during summer months, offsetting increases in precipitation. In-stream NO3 loading is influenced by a decrease in NO3 runoff loading, but an increase in groundwater loading due to increased leaching as plant uptake decreases due to higher surface temperatures. Compared to the influence of climate, land use change results in a minor decrease in NO3 loading. These insights can be used for nutrient management in similar landscapes. Additionally, we show that the updated SWAT + model can be a useful tool in quantifying and investigating NO3 fate and transport in surface-soil-aquifer-channel systems.
Additional Links: PMID-40127596
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40127596,
year = {2025},
author = {Tuladhar, A and Bailey, RT and Abbas, SA and Shanmugam, MS and Arnold, JG and White, MJ},
title = {Quantifying the impact of climate change and land use change on surface-subsurface nutrient dynamics in a Chesapeake Bay watershed system.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {125101},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125101},
pmid = {40127596},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Nutrients such as nitrogen can be harmful to aquatic organisms in excessive amounts. Climate change, through possible increases in temperature and variable rainfall, may cause changes in nutrient loading patterns from watersheds. This study assesses the potential impact of climate and land use change on nitrate (NO3) loading in the Nanticoke River Watershed (NRW), Chesapeake Bay region, USA, using an updated version of SWAT + watershed model that simulates groundwater nitrate fate and transport in a process based spatially distributed manner. The model was calibrated for the 2000-2015 timeframe and tested against measured streamflow and in-stream nitrate loadings, as well as groundwater head measurements from monitoring wells. After calibration and testing, the model simulated hydrological and nitrate (NO3) flux changes under two future climate scenarios-Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 alongside projected land use changes by the FOREcasting SCEnarios of Land-use Change (FORE-SCE) model. The simulations suggest that under RCP 4.5, streamflow could decrease by 18-34 % and NO3 in-stream loading by 4-22 %, while under RCP 8.5, the projected decreases are 22-33 % for streamflow and 4-11 % for NO3 in-stream loading. Streamflow decrease is due to higher temperatures resulting in higher evapotranspiration during summer months, offsetting increases in precipitation. In-stream NO3 loading is influenced by a decrease in NO3 runoff loading, but an increase in groundwater loading due to increased leaching as plant uptake decreases due to higher surface temperatures. Compared to the influence of climate, land use change results in a minor decrease in NO3 loading. These insights can be used for nutrient management in similar landscapes. Additionally, we show that the updated SWAT + model can be a useful tool in quantifying and investigating NO3 fate and transport in surface-soil-aquifer-channel systems.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-24
Climate change amplifies neurotoxic methylmercury threat to Asian fish consumers.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(13):e2421921122.
Climate change is intricately influencing the accumulation of neurotoxic methylmercury (MeHg) in human food webs, potentially leading to uneven exposure risks across regions. Here, we reveal that climate change will elevate MeHg risks in China, with implications for regional inequalities in Asia through a climate-mercury-food-health nexus. Using a compiled fish mercury dataset from 13,000 samples and machine learning, we find that freshwater wild fish-an essential component of the Asian diet-is an underappreciated MeHg source. Specifically, MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish are 2.9 to 6.2 times higher than in freshwater farmed fish and 1.7 times higher than in marine wild fish. Individual climate factors influence MeHg accumulation differently, while their combined effects significantly increase MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish. Under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 by 2031 to 2060, national average MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish are projected to increase by about 60%, adding a maximum annual economic loss of US$18 million (2022 USD) from intelligence quotient decrements in Chinese newborns. This loss may vary regionally within China and among Asian countries, disproportionately affecting less developed areas. Coordinating climate action with mercury emission reduction strategies could mitigate these overlooked regional risks, reduce regional inequalities in food safety, and ultimately contribute to sustainable development.
Additional Links: PMID-40127279
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid40127279,
year = {2025},
author = {Wu, M and Wu, X and Saiz-Lopez, A and Blanchfield, PJ and Ren, H and Zhong, H},
title = {Climate change amplifies neurotoxic methylmercury threat to Asian fish consumers.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {13},
pages = {e2421921122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2421921122},
pmid = {40127279},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {52388101//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; U2032201//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Methylmercury Compounds/analysis/toxicity ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes ; Humans ; China ; Food Contamination/analysis ; Water Pollutants, Chemical/analysis ; Food Chain ; Asia ; Fresh Water/chemistry ; Seafood/analysis ; },
abstract = {Climate change is intricately influencing the accumulation of neurotoxic methylmercury (MeHg) in human food webs, potentially leading to uneven exposure risks across regions. Here, we reveal that climate change will elevate MeHg risks in China, with implications for regional inequalities in Asia through a climate-mercury-food-health nexus. Using a compiled fish mercury dataset from 13,000 samples and machine learning, we find that freshwater wild fish-an essential component of the Asian diet-is an underappreciated MeHg source. Specifically, MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish are 2.9 to 6.2 times higher than in freshwater farmed fish and 1.7 times higher than in marine wild fish. Individual climate factors influence MeHg accumulation differently, while their combined effects significantly increase MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish. Under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 by 2031 to 2060, national average MeHg concentrations in freshwater wild fish are projected to increase by about 60%, adding a maximum annual economic loss of US$18 million (2022 USD) from intelligence quotient decrements in Chinese newborns. This loss may vary regionally within China and among Asian countries, disproportionately affecting less developed areas. Coordinating climate action with mercury emission reduction strategies could mitigate these overlooked regional risks, reduce regional inequalities in food safety, and ultimately contribute to sustainable development.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Methylmercury Compounds/analysis/toxicity
Animals
*Climate Change
*Fishes
Humans
China
Food Contamination/analysis
Water Pollutants, Chemical/analysis
Food Chain
Asia
Fresh Water/chemistry
Seafood/analysis
RevDate: 2025-03-24
Conservation gaps for threatened ungulates in China under human disturbance and climate change.
Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology [Epub ahead of print].
The identification of priority areas and conservation gaps in existing protected areas (PAs) is crucial for conservation of globally threatened species. However, understanding of conservation priorities is generally based on species richness and endemism, often overlooking evolutionary histories, species' functional roles, and the dynamics of all diversity indices relative to human impacts and future climate change. We analyzed the multiple diversity patterns of threatened ungulates in China at a 0.1° resolution under current and future climate scenarios and developed a more comprehensive framework for identifying priority conservation areas. Gross domestic product (GDP), human footprint index (HFP), land use, and climate had the greatest effect on distributions of threatened ungulates. The different facets of biodiversity and their dynamics were inconsistently represented across high-priority conservation areas. Existing PAs poorly represented priority areas based on the 5% highest values for the diversity indices we considered. Coverage of priority areas by PAs ranged from 28.8% to 30.4% under the current scenario alone and under a combination of the current scenario and 2 future scenarios. Only 21.5-22.2% of priority areas in eastern China were covered by PAs under all the scenarios, whereas >91.8% of the areas were threatened by high levels of human impacts. We identified gaps in areas of high priority for conservation of threatened ungulates and PAs in urgent need of strengthening. Our results highlight the importance of considering multiple dimensions of diversity when identifying priority areas for threatened species.
Additional Links: PMID-40126024
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid40126024,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, C and Li, Y and Hu, X and Wang, H and Gao, Z and Nie, Y},
title = {Conservation gaps for threatened ungulates in China under human disturbance and climate change.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e70014},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.70014},
pmid = {40126024},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {32071496//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32225033//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFF1301500//Ministry of Science and Technology of China/ ; },
abstract = {The identification of priority areas and conservation gaps in existing protected areas (PAs) is crucial for conservation of globally threatened species. However, understanding of conservation priorities is generally based on species richness and endemism, often overlooking evolutionary histories, species' functional roles, and the dynamics of all diversity indices relative to human impacts and future climate change. We analyzed the multiple diversity patterns of threatened ungulates in China at a 0.1° resolution under current and future climate scenarios and developed a more comprehensive framework for identifying priority conservation areas. Gross domestic product (GDP), human footprint index (HFP), land use, and climate had the greatest effect on distributions of threatened ungulates. The different facets of biodiversity and their dynamics were inconsistently represented across high-priority conservation areas. Existing PAs poorly represented priority areas based on the 5% highest values for the diversity indices we considered. Coverage of priority areas by PAs ranged from 28.8% to 30.4% under the current scenario alone and under a combination of the current scenario and 2 future scenarios. Only 21.5-22.2% of priority areas in eastern China were covered by PAs under all the scenarios, whereas >91.8% of the areas were threatened by high levels of human impacts. We identified gaps in areas of high priority for conservation of threatened ungulates and PAs in urgent need of strengthening. Our results highlight the importance of considering multiple dimensions of diversity when identifying priority areas for threatened species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-25
CmpDate: 2025-03-24
The Role of Climate Change Adaptation in Enhancing Household Food Security: A Case Study of the Hamassa Watershed Agroecologies, Southern Ethiopia.
F1000Research, 14:188.
BACKGROUND: Climate change adaptation is an incomparable prior measure to tackle unpreventable climate calamities to enhance smallholder farming and food security. This empirical study assesses smallholder farmers' adaptation options to climate change or variability for achieving food security.
METHODS: Data were gathered from a survey of 328 respondents, selected randomly and proportionally from three different agro-ecological zones. Additional qualitative insights were collected through focus group discussions and interviews with key informants to reinforce the findings. The multinomial endogenous switching regression, independent t-test and the instrumental variable (2sls) regression were used as method of analysis.
RESULTS: The result indicated that ACAC impacted food security positively and significantly in the study area at a percent rate of 12.4, 16.3,18 and 27.7 when households adopting one, two, three, and four ACAC, respectively, in the HFBM case, and the same meaning was obtained from other food security measuring tools. However, the rate and manner of change differ at different agroecologies, signifying careful discernment when applying ACAC at different spacial areas, especially in agroecology. The change in agroecology declares that midlands have a negative likelihood propensity for climate adaptation compared to highlands, while lowlands have positive and insignificant implications. The mean comparison from the independent t-test showed statistically significant adopters and non-adopters food security measures, which also informed the positive contribution of CACA on households' food security. Interestingly, factors such as distance to water sources, land size, ox ownership, crop income, and access to credit influenced food security in diverse ways depending on regional and contextual specifics.
CONCLUSIONS: Thus, ACAC impacts food security differently at different rates in different agroecologies in the area. Integrated and tailored technical, institutional, and policy interventions are needed to tackle the calamities of climate change leap to smallholder farming and food security.
Additional Links: PMID-40125523
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40125523,
year = {2025},
author = {Bergene, T and Simane, B and Abi, M},
title = {The Role of Climate Change Adaptation in Enhancing Household Food Security: A Case Study of the Hamassa Watershed Agroecologies, Southern Ethiopia.},
journal = {F1000Research},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {188},
pmid = {40125523},
issn = {2046-1402},
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Food Security ; Humans ; *Family Characteristics ; *Agriculture ; Farmers ; Food Supply ; Female ; Male ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change adaptation is an incomparable prior measure to tackle unpreventable climate calamities to enhance smallholder farming and food security. This empirical study assesses smallholder farmers' adaptation options to climate change or variability for achieving food security.
METHODS: Data were gathered from a survey of 328 respondents, selected randomly and proportionally from three different agro-ecological zones. Additional qualitative insights were collected through focus group discussions and interviews with key informants to reinforce the findings. The multinomial endogenous switching regression, independent t-test and the instrumental variable (2sls) regression were used as method of analysis.
RESULTS: The result indicated that ACAC impacted food security positively and significantly in the study area at a percent rate of 12.4, 16.3,18 and 27.7 when households adopting one, two, three, and four ACAC, respectively, in the HFBM case, and the same meaning was obtained from other food security measuring tools. However, the rate and manner of change differ at different agroecologies, signifying careful discernment when applying ACAC at different spacial areas, especially in agroecology. The change in agroecology declares that midlands have a negative likelihood propensity for climate adaptation compared to highlands, while lowlands have positive and insignificant implications. The mean comparison from the independent t-test showed statistically significant adopters and non-adopters food security measures, which also informed the positive contribution of CACA on households' food security. Interestingly, factors such as distance to water sources, land size, ox ownership, crop income, and access to credit influenced food security in diverse ways depending on regional and contextual specifics.
CONCLUSIONS: Thus, ACAC impacts food security differently at different rates in different agroecologies in the area. Integrated and tailored technical, institutional, and policy interventions are needed to tackle the calamities of climate change leap to smallholder farming and food security.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Ethiopia
*Climate Change
*Food Security
Humans
*Family Characteristics
*Agriculture
Farmers
Food Supply
Female
Male
Surveys and Questionnaires
RevDate: 2025-03-25
Influence of climate change and accidents on perception differs among energy technologies.
PNAS nexus, 4(3):pgaf079.
Risk perceptions of energy systems, and their evolution under climate change and after accidents, affect public acceptance of generation technologies. Despite this, little is understood about how such factors impact public perception at different timescales and the drivers for perception. We use state-of-the-art natural language processing to measure temporal changes in sentiment toward energy technologies using the full Twitter archive for 2009-2022. We find that perception of natural gas and wind has changed little as discussion of climate change on social media increased. However, climate-linked sentiment toward coal, solar, and hydropower has become more negative, while that for nuclear has improved. We also find that all generation technologies experience a drop in supportive discourse after definable accidents, but this typically rebounds with a half-life of <3 days. Yet, nuclear power is an exception in how it reacts to large-scale events. After Fukushima, sentiment returned to its positive preaccident levels with an 11.3-month relaxation half-life.
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@article {pmid40125443,
year = {2025},
author = {L'Her, GF and Duncan, NA and Jenkins-Smith, HC and Deinert, MR},
title = {Influence of climate change and accidents on perception differs among energy technologies.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {4},
number = {3},
pages = {pgaf079},
pmid = {40125443},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {Risk perceptions of energy systems, and their evolution under climate change and after accidents, affect public acceptance of generation technologies. Despite this, little is understood about how such factors impact public perception at different timescales and the drivers for perception. We use state-of-the-art natural language processing to measure temporal changes in sentiment toward energy technologies using the full Twitter archive for 2009-2022. We find that perception of natural gas and wind has changed little as discussion of climate change on social media increased. However, climate-linked sentiment toward coal, solar, and hydropower has become more negative, while that for nuclear has improved. We also find that all generation technologies experience a drop in supportive discourse after definable accidents, but this typically rebounds with a half-life of <3 days. Yet, nuclear power is an exception in how it reacts to large-scale events. After Fukushima, sentiment returned to its positive preaccident levels with an 11.3-month relaxation half-life.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-23
Viviparity and obligate blood feeding: tsetse flies as a unique research system to study climate change.
Current opinion in insect science pii:S2214-5745(25)00039-2 [Epub ahead of print].
Tsetse flies (Glossina species) are unique organisms that combine several remarkable traits: they are obligate blood feeders, serve as critical vectors for African trypanosomes, and reproduce through adenotrophic viviparity-a process in which offspring are nourished with milk-like secretions before being born live. Here, we explore how climate change will impact the physiological processes associated with live birth in tsetse. This includes considerations of impacts on how blood feeding, host-pathogen interactions, and host-symbiont dynamics are likely to be impacted by thermal shifts. The highly specialized biology of tsetse flies suggests that this system is likely to have a distinctive response to climate change. Thus, detailed empirical research into these unique features is paramount for predicting tsetse population dynamics under climate change, and cautions against generalising from other well-studied vectors with contrasting ecology and life histories such as mosquitoes and ticks. At the same time, the reproductive biology of tsetse, as well as microbiome and feeding dynamics, allow for a powerful model to investigate climate change through the lens of pregnancy and associated physiological adaptations in an extensively researched invertebrate.
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@article {pmid40122517,
year = {2025},
author = {Benoit, JB and Weaving, H and McLellan, C and Terblanche, JS and Attardo, GM and English, S},
title = {Viviparity and obligate blood feeding: tsetse flies as a unique research system to study climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101369},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2025.101369},
pmid = {40122517},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Tsetse flies (Glossina species) are unique organisms that combine several remarkable traits: they are obligate blood feeders, serve as critical vectors for African trypanosomes, and reproduce through adenotrophic viviparity-a process in which offspring are nourished with milk-like secretions before being born live. Here, we explore how climate change will impact the physiological processes associated with live birth in tsetse. This includes considerations of impacts on how blood feeding, host-pathogen interactions, and host-symbiont dynamics are likely to be impacted by thermal shifts. The highly specialized biology of tsetse flies suggests that this system is likely to have a distinctive response to climate change. Thus, detailed empirical research into these unique features is paramount for predicting tsetse population dynamics under climate change, and cautions against generalising from other well-studied vectors with contrasting ecology and life histories such as mosquitoes and ticks. At the same time, the reproductive biology of tsetse, as well as microbiome and feeding dynamics, allow for a powerful model to investigate climate change through the lens of pregnancy and associated physiological adaptations in an extensively researched invertebrate.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-23
Climate change implications in the suitable habitat of olive ridley turtle Lepidochelys olivacea in the Eastern Tropical Pacific.
Marine environmental research, 207:107091 pii:S0141-1136(25)00148-5 [Epub ahead of print].
The olive ridley turtle Lepidochelys olivacea is one of the most abundant marine turtle species, but its populations are threatened by various environmental changes, including climate change. Understanding how the marine environment influences it is crucial for conservation efforts. This study models the habitat suitability of L. olivacea in the Eastern Tropical Pacific, a region of significant ecological importance for its nesting and foraging activities. We used remote sensing data from 59 individuals tagged in Panama and Costa Rica between 2009 and 2018. The response was modeled with MaxEnt, using a presence-only approach and environmental variables including sea surface temperature, ocean mixed layer thickness, chlorophyll-a concentration, and current velocity. We categorized months into warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) conditions, providing insight into climate change effects. Results reveal that chlorophyll-a concentration and sea surface temperature best predicted the presence of L. olivacea. The intertropical convergence zone exhibited high habitat suitability, especially in the Central Pacific. During El Niño, suitable habitat declined, primarily along coastlines, while, during La Niña, it expanded, favoring oceanic waters and temperate temperatures in upwelling zones. These findings suggest climate change could significantly impact L. olivacea distribution, potentially shifting nesting and foraging areas.
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@article {pmid40121763,
year = {2025},
author = {García-Rada, E and Buenfil-Ávila, A and Figgener, C and Guzmán, HM and Plotkin, PT and Reygondeau, G and Robalino-Mejía, C and Tittensor, DP and Villalobos, H and Peñaherrera-Palma, C},
title = {Climate change implications in the suitable habitat of olive ridley turtle Lepidochelys olivacea in the Eastern Tropical Pacific.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {207},
number = {},
pages = {107091},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107091},
pmid = {40121763},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The olive ridley turtle Lepidochelys olivacea is one of the most abundant marine turtle species, but its populations are threatened by various environmental changes, including climate change. Understanding how the marine environment influences it is crucial for conservation efforts. This study models the habitat suitability of L. olivacea in the Eastern Tropical Pacific, a region of significant ecological importance for its nesting and foraging activities. We used remote sensing data from 59 individuals tagged in Panama and Costa Rica between 2009 and 2018. The response was modeled with MaxEnt, using a presence-only approach and environmental variables including sea surface temperature, ocean mixed layer thickness, chlorophyll-a concentration, and current velocity. We categorized months into warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) conditions, providing insight into climate change effects. Results reveal that chlorophyll-a concentration and sea surface temperature best predicted the presence of L. olivacea. The intertropical convergence zone exhibited high habitat suitability, especially in the Central Pacific. During El Niño, suitable habitat declined, primarily along coastlines, while, during La Niña, it expanded, favoring oceanic waters and temperate temperatures in upwelling zones. These findings suggest climate change could significantly impact L. olivacea distribution, potentially shifting nesting and foraging areas.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-22
CmpDate: 2025-03-22
Public engagement with health and climate change around the world: a Google Trends analysis.
The Lancet. Planetary health, 9(3):e236-e244.
Despite growing recognition of the importance of people engaging with the health dimensions of climate change, we know surprisingly little about the levels of public engagement around the world. We address this knowledge gap by examining Google Trends data, using people's online information-seeking behaviour to shed light on global engagement with health and climate change between 2014 and 2023. We observe that over the past decade-and particularly since 2020-there has been growing public engagement via Google searches with health and climate change around the world. The increasing engagement with the intersection of health and climate change is largely distinct from engagement with either climate change or health separately. We observe that such engagement is highest in low-income and middle-income countries. There is also greater engagement with health and climate change than with other issues that intersect climate change-eg, the economy and security-highlighting the public salience of health framings of climate change.
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@article {pmid40120630,
year = {2025},
author = {Dasandi, N and Jankin, S and Pantera, DK and Romanello, M},
title = {Public engagement with health and climate change around the world: a Google Trends analysis.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {e236-e244},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00029-4},
pmid = {40120630},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; Information Seeking Behavior ; Community Participation ; Internet ; },
abstract = {Despite growing recognition of the importance of people engaging with the health dimensions of climate change, we know surprisingly little about the levels of public engagement around the world. We address this knowledge gap by examining Google Trends data, using people's online information-seeking behaviour to shed light on global engagement with health and climate change between 2014 and 2023. We observe that over the past decade-and particularly since 2020-there has been growing public engagement via Google searches with health and climate change around the world. The increasing engagement with the intersection of health and climate change is largely distinct from engagement with either climate change or health separately. We observe that such engagement is highest in low-income and middle-income countries. There is also greater engagement with health and climate change than with other issues that intersect climate change-eg, the economy and security-highlighting the public salience of health framings of climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
Humans
Global Health
Information Seeking Behavior
Community Participation
Internet
RevDate: 2025-03-22
Nature-based solutions to address climate change and antimicrobial resistance.
The Lancet. Planetary health, 9(3):e173.
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@article {pmid40120623,
year = {2025},
author = {Lewycka, S and Skrinjaric, T and Rukomeza, G and Ngo, HHT and Imbach, P},
title = {Nature-based solutions to address climate change and antimicrobial resistance.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {e173},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00052-X},
pmid = {40120623},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-22
Elevational dynamics of vegetation changes in response to climate change on the Tibetan plateau.
Scientific reports, 15(1):9813.
Understanding long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for assessing ecosystem responses to climate change, particularly in ecologically sensitive regions like the Tibetan Plateau. While numerous studies have analyzed vegetation changes on the Tibetan Plateau from 1982 to 2015 using remote sensing data, most have been limited by insufficient temporal coverage and low-resolution datasets, constraining the accuracy of trend detection and driver analysis. To address this gap, we utilize a high-resolution Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) dataset, generated by merging GIMMS and SPOT data via the Extended Observation Time (EOT) algorithm, to investigate vegetation trends, breakpoints, and their climatic drivers over 34 years, with a specific focus on elevation effects. Our results indicate a predominant greening trend, with NDVI increasing in 86% of the area and browning in 14%, and an average greening rate of 0.0012 per decade. However, this trend varies with elevation: greening is most pronounced below 1000 m, followed by 1000-2000 m and 3000-4000 m, while the weakest greening occurs at 2000-3000 m. Breakpoint analysis reveals major shifts around 1998, with 70.1% of vegetation experiencing abrupt changes between 1996 and 2000, and 59.4% showing their first breakpoint in 1998. The highest NDVI breakpoint rate (27%) is observed at 2000-3000 m. Additionally, we find that temperature exerts a stronger influence on NDVI dynamics than precipitation. These findings underscore the complex interactions between vegetation, elevation, and climate, emphasizing the need for enhanced ecological monitoring and conservation efforts. Future research should incorporate additional climatic variables and improved modeling techniques to refine our understanding of vegetation responses in this high-altitude environment.
Additional Links: PMID-40119160
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@article {pmid40119160,
year = {2025},
author = {Pu, G and Han, L and Chen, L and Wan, D and Teng, H},
title = {Elevational dynamics of vegetation changes in response to climate change on the Tibetan plateau.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9813},
pmid = {40119160},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {41901055, 32060370//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 41901055, 32060370//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {Tibet ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Altitude ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Understanding long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for assessing ecosystem responses to climate change, particularly in ecologically sensitive regions like the Tibetan Plateau. While numerous studies have analyzed vegetation changes on the Tibetan Plateau from 1982 to 2015 using remote sensing data, most have been limited by insufficient temporal coverage and low-resolution datasets, constraining the accuracy of trend detection and driver analysis. To address this gap, we utilize a high-resolution Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) dataset, generated by merging GIMMS and SPOT data via the Extended Observation Time (EOT) algorithm, to investigate vegetation trends, breakpoints, and their climatic drivers over 34 years, with a specific focus on elevation effects. Our results indicate a predominant greening trend, with NDVI increasing in 86% of the area and browning in 14%, and an average greening rate of 0.0012 per decade. However, this trend varies with elevation: greening is most pronounced below 1000 m, followed by 1000-2000 m and 3000-4000 m, while the weakest greening occurs at 2000-3000 m. Breakpoint analysis reveals major shifts around 1998, with 70.1% of vegetation experiencing abrupt changes between 1996 and 2000, and 59.4% showing their first breakpoint in 1998. The highest NDVI breakpoint rate (27%) is observed at 2000-3000 m. Additionally, we find that temperature exerts a stronger influence on NDVI dynamics than precipitation. These findings underscore the complex interactions between vegetation, elevation, and climate, emphasizing the need for enhanced ecological monitoring and conservation efforts. Future research should incorporate additional climatic variables and improved modeling techniques to refine our understanding of vegetation responses in this high-altitude environment.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Tibet
*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
*Altitude
Plants
RevDate: 2025-03-22
The impact of climate change on Aedes aegypti distribution and dengue fever prevalence in semi-arid regions: A case study of Tehran Province, Iran.
Environmental research, 275:121441 pii:S0013-9351(25)00692-9 [Epub ahead of print].
INTRODUCTION: Climate change profoundly affects ecosystems and public health, particularly by altering the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. This study investigates the impact of climate change on the distribution and biological behavior of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes and the prevalence of dengue fever in Tehran Province, a semi-arid region of Iran. Over the past two decades, the province has experienced significant climatic shifts, including a 7.3 % increase in average annual temperature, a 12.5 % decrease in rainfall, and a 50 % rise in the number of hot days, creating favorable conditions for vector proliferation.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: Climatic data analysis, field monitoring of mosquito populations, and species distribution modeling (SDM) were employed to understand the ecological and epidemiological dynamics of Aedes aegypti in Tehran. Key variables such as temperature, rainfall, and artificial water sources were analyzed. Predictive models assessed the expansion of suitable mosquito habitats under moderate (RCP4.5) and severe (RCP8.5) climate scenarios.
RESULTS: Field data revealed an 87.5 % increase in mosquito density in urban areas and a doubling of densities in peri-urban and natural areas over two decades. Biological studies showed increases in mosquito lifespan (+50 %), egg production (+50 %), and larval development rates (+33 %) under warmer conditions. Predictive modeling indicated an 83 % expansion in suitable habitats by 2050 under the RCP8.5 scenario. Epidemiological data revealed a 200 % increase in dengue cases in urban areas and a 140-150 % rise in peri-urban and natural areas, driven by the expanding geographic range of Aedes aegypti.
DISCUSSION: The findings highlight the critical role of climate change in driving mosquito population growth and disease transmission in semi-arid regions. Enhanced surveillance, climate-resilient urban planning, and integrated vector control measures are essential to mitigate these risks. This study provides actionable insights into the complex relationship between climate change and vector-borne diseases, underscoring the urgent need for targeted public health interventions to prevent future outbreaks.
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@article {pmid40118318,
year = {2025},
author = {Abbasi, E},
title = {The impact of climate change on Aedes aegypti distribution and dengue fever prevalence in semi-arid regions: A case study of Tehran Province, Iran.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {275},
number = {},
pages = {121441},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121441},
pmid = {40118318},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change profoundly affects ecosystems and public health, particularly by altering the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. This study investigates the impact of climate change on the distribution and biological behavior of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes and the prevalence of dengue fever in Tehran Province, a semi-arid region of Iran. Over the past two decades, the province has experienced significant climatic shifts, including a 7.3 % increase in average annual temperature, a 12.5 % decrease in rainfall, and a 50 % rise in the number of hot days, creating favorable conditions for vector proliferation.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: Climatic data analysis, field monitoring of mosquito populations, and species distribution modeling (SDM) were employed to understand the ecological and epidemiological dynamics of Aedes aegypti in Tehran. Key variables such as temperature, rainfall, and artificial water sources were analyzed. Predictive models assessed the expansion of suitable mosquito habitats under moderate (RCP4.5) and severe (RCP8.5) climate scenarios.
RESULTS: Field data revealed an 87.5 % increase in mosquito density in urban areas and a doubling of densities in peri-urban and natural areas over two decades. Biological studies showed increases in mosquito lifespan (+50 %), egg production (+50 %), and larval development rates (+33 %) under warmer conditions. Predictive modeling indicated an 83 % expansion in suitable habitats by 2050 under the RCP8.5 scenario. Epidemiological data revealed a 200 % increase in dengue cases in urban areas and a 140-150 % rise in peri-urban and natural areas, driven by the expanding geographic range of Aedes aegypti.
DISCUSSION: The findings highlight the critical role of climate change in driving mosquito population growth and disease transmission in semi-arid regions. Enhanced surveillance, climate-resilient urban planning, and integrated vector control measures are essential to mitigate these risks. This study provides actionable insights into the complex relationship between climate change and vector-borne diseases, underscoring the urgent need for targeted public health interventions to prevent future outbreaks.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-22
The impact of climate change on travel-related vector-borne diseases: A case study on dengue virus transmission.
Travel medicine and infectious disease, 65:102841 pii:S1477-8939(25)00047-X [Epub ahead of print].
INTRODUCTION: Climate change significantly affects global health, particularly through the increased transmission of vector-borne diseases like dengue fever. This study examines how climate change influences the geographical spread of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes, the main carriers of dengue, highlighting its implications for public health worldwide.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study employed a comprehensive approach to evaluate the effect of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics. It included environmental data analysis, mosquito population surveys, and dengue case reports. Remote sensing data was used to track changes in temperature, precipitation, and humidity in dengue-prone areas. Field surveys measured mosquito density, while molecular techniques assessed viral load in Aedes mosquitoes. Additionally, mathematical modeling predicted dengue's future spread under various climate scenarios.
RESULTS: The findings indicate a significant correlation between rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and the expansion of Aedes aegypti habitats, resulting in increased mosquito populations in previously non-endemic areas. This ecological shift is linked to a rise in dengue incidence in regions affected by climate change. Projections suggest a 25 % increase in dengue spread by 2050, especially in Southeast Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and parts of South America.
DISCUSSION: The study highlights the significant effects of climate change on mosquito distribution and the increasing rates of dengue fever. Warmer temperatures and altered rainfall patterns enhance mosquito growth and virus transmission, while global travel aids the spread of the virus. It emphasizes the necessity for early intervention strategies, including better surveillance, vector control, and adaptations to climate changes, to tackle future dengue transmission issues.
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@article {pmid40118163,
year = {2025},
author = {Abbasi, E},
title = {The impact of climate change on travel-related vector-borne diseases: A case study on dengue virus transmission.},
journal = {Travel medicine and infectious disease},
volume = {65},
number = {},
pages = {102841},
doi = {10.1016/j.tmaid.2025.102841},
pmid = {40118163},
issn = {1873-0442},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change significantly affects global health, particularly through the increased transmission of vector-borne diseases like dengue fever. This study examines how climate change influences the geographical spread of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes, the main carriers of dengue, highlighting its implications for public health worldwide.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study employed a comprehensive approach to evaluate the effect of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics. It included environmental data analysis, mosquito population surveys, and dengue case reports. Remote sensing data was used to track changes in temperature, precipitation, and humidity in dengue-prone areas. Field surveys measured mosquito density, while molecular techniques assessed viral load in Aedes mosquitoes. Additionally, mathematical modeling predicted dengue's future spread under various climate scenarios.
RESULTS: The findings indicate a significant correlation between rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and the expansion of Aedes aegypti habitats, resulting in increased mosquito populations in previously non-endemic areas. This ecological shift is linked to a rise in dengue incidence in regions affected by climate change. Projections suggest a 25 % increase in dengue spread by 2050, especially in Southeast Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and parts of South America.
DISCUSSION: The study highlights the significant effects of climate change on mosquito distribution and the increasing rates of dengue fever. Warmer temperatures and altered rainfall patterns enhance mosquito growth and virus transmission, while global travel aids the spread of the virus. It emphasizes the necessity for early intervention strategies, including better surveillance, vector control, and adaptations to climate changes, to tackle future dengue transmission issues.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-21
Biogeochemical impact on the distribution variations of organophosphorus flame retardants in estuarine area and insight into climate change.
Journal of hazardous materials, 491:137993 pii:S0304-3894(25)00909-4 [Epub ahead of print].
This study investigated the biogeochemical dynamics influencing the distribution of organophosphorus flame retardants (OPFRs) from the Changjiang Estuary to the adjacent East China Sea, a region characterized by pronounced physicochemical gradients. Twelve out of thirteen OPFR congeners, including traditional and emerging OPFRs, were detected in sediments and seawater samples. Tris(2-chloroethyl) phosphate (TCEP) and tris(2-chloroisopropyl) phosphate (TCIPP) were the dominant congeners. Intensive relationships emerged between OPFR concentrations and biogeochemical parameters. Turbidity maximum zone (TMZ) was identified as a critical hotspot for OPFR pollution. Elevated OPFR levels in nutrient-rich upwelling and offshore regions suggest linkages to biological processes and potential ecological impacts. Furthermore, OPFR concentrations in seawater displayed inverse correlations with tidal fluctuations, highlighting hydrodynamic influences on contaminant dispersal. Based on the relationship between biogeochemical parameters and OPFR concentrations, a Random Forest (RF) model was developed to project OPFR concentrations for the year 2100 under a high-emission climate-change scenario (RCP 8.5). The prediction results were marginally lower compared to current conditions, and temperature emerged as the most significant driver of future OPFRs changes. Notably, emerging OPFRs presented comparable ecological risk to traditional OPFRs, which should be a concern in future regulations.
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@article {pmid40117774,
year = {2025},
author = {Wei, L and Yang, Y and Gao, H and Wang, R and Cao, F and Huang, Q},
title = {Biogeochemical impact on the distribution variations of organophosphorus flame retardants in estuarine area and insight into climate change.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {491},
number = {},
pages = {137993},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2025.137993},
pmid = {40117774},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {This study investigated the biogeochemical dynamics influencing the distribution of organophosphorus flame retardants (OPFRs) from the Changjiang Estuary to the adjacent East China Sea, a region characterized by pronounced physicochemical gradients. Twelve out of thirteen OPFR congeners, including traditional and emerging OPFRs, were detected in sediments and seawater samples. Tris(2-chloroethyl) phosphate (TCEP) and tris(2-chloroisopropyl) phosphate (TCIPP) were the dominant congeners. Intensive relationships emerged between OPFR concentrations and biogeochemical parameters. Turbidity maximum zone (TMZ) was identified as a critical hotspot for OPFR pollution. Elevated OPFR levels in nutrient-rich upwelling and offshore regions suggest linkages to biological processes and potential ecological impacts. Furthermore, OPFR concentrations in seawater displayed inverse correlations with tidal fluctuations, highlighting hydrodynamic influences on contaminant dispersal. Based on the relationship between biogeochemical parameters and OPFR concentrations, a Random Forest (RF) model was developed to project OPFR concentrations for the year 2100 under a high-emission climate-change scenario (RCP 8.5). The prediction results were marginally lower compared to current conditions, and temperature emerged as the most significant driver of future OPFRs changes. Notably, emerging OPFRs presented comparable ecological risk to traditional OPFRs, which should be a concern in future regulations.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-26
CmpDate: 2025-03-21
Final year medical students' expectations for medical education on climate change and planetary health - a qualitative study.
Medical education online, 30(1):2477670.
OBJECTIVES: With the health impacts of climate change becoming increasingly evident, there is a pressing need to prepare and educate future physicians to address these challenges. This study therefore aims to explore in depth the perspectives of final-year medical students (FYMS) on the integration of Planetary Health Education (PHE) into medical curricula (i.e. content, methods, exams). Additionally, it seeks to understand how FYMS perceive the relevance of this topic to their future profession and their perceived responsibility.
METHODS: FYMS at the Heidelberg University Hospital were invited to participate in this qualitative interview study, resulting in 10 interviews conducted between December 2021 and March 2022. Using a semi-structured guide, students' views on the role of climate change in their future profession and their preferences for integrating climate change into medical curricula were explored. Interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Data analysis followed a structuring qualitative content analysis approach according to Kuckartz, utilizing deductive and inductive methods. Coding was performed using MAXQDA24, with iterative revisions by the authors.
RESULTS: Participating FYMS recognized the relevance of climate change to their future practice but expressed varying degrees of perceived responsibility in addressing it with patients, e.g. depending on their desired specialization. While often struggling to identify specific content for a PHE-curriculum, FYMS emphasized the wish for knowledge on health impacts of climate change, communication skills and interactive, practice-oriented teaching methods. FYMS also reported several reservations and perceived challenges, e.g. concerning the integration of basic climate science or the introduction of mandatory exams.
CONCLUSION: This study provides unique insights into FYMS' perceptions of PHE, emphasizing the importance of integrating climate change and health topics into medical curricula and revealing perceived limitations. By aligning educational approaches with students' preferences and especially their concerns, appealing curricula can ultimately foster a more climate-sensitive medical practice.
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@article {pmid40116041,
year = {2025},
author = {Flock, C and Boekels, R and Herrmann, A and Beig, I and Lamkemeyer, L and Friederich, HC and Nikendei, C and Bugaj, TJ},
title = {Final year medical students' expectations for medical education on climate change and planetary health - a qualitative study.},
journal = {Medical education online},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {2477670},
pmid = {40116041},
issn = {1087-2981},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Students, Medical/psychology ; *Qualitative Research ; *Curriculum ; Education, Medical, Undergraduate ; Interviews as Topic ; Female ; Male ; Global Health/education ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: With the health impacts of climate change becoming increasingly evident, there is a pressing need to prepare and educate future physicians to address these challenges. This study therefore aims to explore in depth the perspectives of final-year medical students (FYMS) on the integration of Planetary Health Education (PHE) into medical curricula (i.e. content, methods, exams). Additionally, it seeks to understand how FYMS perceive the relevance of this topic to their future profession and their perceived responsibility.
METHODS: FYMS at the Heidelberg University Hospital were invited to participate in this qualitative interview study, resulting in 10 interviews conducted between December 2021 and March 2022. Using a semi-structured guide, students' views on the role of climate change in their future profession and their preferences for integrating climate change into medical curricula were explored. Interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Data analysis followed a structuring qualitative content analysis approach according to Kuckartz, utilizing deductive and inductive methods. Coding was performed using MAXQDA24, with iterative revisions by the authors.
RESULTS: Participating FYMS recognized the relevance of climate change to their future practice but expressed varying degrees of perceived responsibility in addressing it with patients, e.g. depending on their desired specialization. While often struggling to identify specific content for a PHE-curriculum, FYMS emphasized the wish for knowledge on health impacts of climate change, communication skills and interactive, practice-oriented teaching methods. FYMS also reported several reservations and perceived challenges, e.g. concerning the integration of basic climate science or the introduction of mandatory exams.
CONCLUSION: This study provides unique insights into FYMS' perceptions of PHE, emphasizing the importance of integrating climate change and health topics into medical curricula and revealing perceived limitations. By aligning educational approaches with students' preferences and especially their concerns, appealing curricula can ultimately foster a more climate-sensitive medical practice.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
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*Climate Change
Humans
*Students, Medical/psychology
*Qualitative Research
*Curriculum
Education, Medical, Undergraduate
Interviews as Topic
Female
Male
Global Health/education
Attitude of Health Personnel
RevDate: 2025-03-22
CmpDate: 2025-03-21
Projecting the potential distribution of Rickettsia japonica in China and Asian adjacent regions under climate change using the Maxent model.
Frontiers in public health, 13:1478736.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the current and future suitable areas of Rickettsia japonica, and to provide a reference for preventing its outbreak and spread.
METHODS: Based on the geographic distribution of R. japonica and Haemaphysalis longicornis overlapping data points and information on 56 climatic factors, we utilized the Maxent model to estimate suitable areas for R. japonica in Asian adjacent Regions and China. Model parameter adjustments and the construction of receiver operating characteristic curves were conducted using R 4.3.0 software.
RESULTS: Average precipitation in June (prec6, 28.2%), Temperature Seasonality (bio4, 9.8%) and the minimum temperature in August (tmin8, 9.2%) contributed most to the distribution of R. japonica. The performance metrics for the Maxent model in predicting the distribution of R. japonica are as follows: the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is 0.990, the True Skill Statistic (TSS) is 0.857, and the Kappa statistic is 0.763. Under current climatic conditions, the Asian and adjacent space medium and highly suitable areas for R. japonica are estimated to be 176.78 × 10[4] km[2] and 95.13 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. The highly suitable areas for R. japonica were mainly distributed in east and south Asia. In China, the high suitability areas are mainly distributed in the southeast coastal areas and the Qinling Mountains and Huai River cities. Under future climatic conditions, the Asian and adjacent regions maximum area change rate of R. japonica increased by 118.65%, and that of China increased by 50.42%. Meanwhile, the suitable areas of R. japonica gradually expanding northward in China.
CONCLUSION: Under global climate change, the suitable area of R. japonica is generally increasing, with a northward shift observed in China. Governments should strengthen monitoring, risk assessment, and response strategies in highly suitable regions, while also preventing the invasion of R. japonica from external source.
Additional Links: PMID-40115352
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40115352,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, X and Shang, M and Wang, Z and Ji, H and Wang, Z and Liu, Q},
title = {Projecting the potential distribution of Rickettsia japonica in China and Asian adjacent regions under climate change using the Maxent model.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {1478736},
pmid = {40115352},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {*Climate Change/statistics & numerical data ; China/epidemiology ; *Rickettsia/isolation & purification ; Animals ; Rickettsia Infections/epidemiology ; Humans ; Ixodidae/microbiology ; Seasons ; Asia ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To determine the current and future suitable areas of Rickettsia japonica, and to provide a reference for preventing its outbreak and spread.
METHODS: Based on the geographic distribution of R. japonica and Haemaphysalis longicornis overlapping data points and information on 56 climatic factors, we utilized the Maxent model to estimate suitable areas for R. japonica in Asian adjacent Regions and China. Model parameter adjustments and the construction of receiver operating characteristic curves were conducted using R 4.3.0 software.
RESULTS: Average precipitation in June (prec6, 28.2%), Temperature Seasonality (bio4, 9.8%) and the minimum temperature in August (tmin8, 9.2%) contributed most to the distribution of R. japonica. The performance metrics for the Maxent model in predicting the distribution of R. japonica are as follows: the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is 0.990, the True Skill Statistic (TSS) is 0.857, and the Kappa statistic is 0.763. Under current climatic conditions, the Asian and adjacent space medium and highly suitable areas for R. japonica are estimated to be 176.78 × 10[4] km[2] and 95.13 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. The highly suitable areas for R. japonica were mainly distributed in east and south Asia. In China, the high suitability areas are mainly distributed in the southeast coastal areas and the Qinling Mountains and Huai River cities. Under future climatic conditions, the Asian and adjacent regions maximum area change rate of R. japonica increased by 118.65%, and that of China increased by 50.42%. Meanwhile, the suitable areas of R. japonica gradually expanding northward in China.
CONCLUSION: Under global climate change, the suitable area of R. japonica is generally increasing, with a northward shift observed in China. Governments should strengthen monitoring, risk assessment, and response strategies in highly suitable regions, while also preventing the invasion of R. japonica from external source.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change/statistics & numerical data
China/epidemiology
*Rickettsia/isolation & purification
Animals
Rickettsia Infections/epidemiology
Humans
Ixodidae/microbiology
Seasons
Asia
RevDate: 2025-03-22
Climate change unveils hidden microbial dangers.
Environmental science and ecotechnology, 24:100544.
Climate change is driving unprecedented transformations in aquatic ecosystems, where microorganisms play a fundamental role in maintaining ecological balance and human health security. Rising water temperatures, pollution intensification, and extreme weather events are driving significant shifts in microbial community structures. These changes facilitate the proliferation of pathogenic microorganisms such as Vibrio cholerae and harmful algae like cyanobacteria, which thrive in warmer, nutrient-enriched environments. The resulting harmful algal blooms release potent toxins, such as microcystins, that contaminate drinking water and food supplies, leading to severe health impacts, including liver diseases and carcinogenesis. Furthermore, antibiotic resistance genes are spreading more rapidly due to climate-induced stressors, increasing the prevalence of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens and compounding the challenges for global health systems. This discussion article demonstrates that climate change influences aquatic microbial ecosystems through interconnected mechanisms, including shifts in gene transfer networks, alterations in microbial metabolism, and ecological feedback loops, ultimately increasing waterborne disease risks and antimicrobial resistance. Specific solutions are proposed, such as advancing wastewater treatment technologies to address climate-induced pollution, establishing global microbial monitoring networks leveraging remote sensing and molecular tools, and implementing early warning systems for waterborne disease outbreaks. Additionally, the discussion article emphasizes the critical role of international cooperation in funding and capacity-building efforts, particularly in developing regions with fragile infrastructures. By highlighting these pressing challenges and proposing actionable strategies, this research underscores the urgent need for integrated approaches to safeguard water resources, mitigate microbial hazards, and enhance public health resilience in an era of accelerating climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-40115027
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40115027,
year = {2025},
author = {Yu, H},
title = {Climate change unveils hidden microbial dangers.},
journal = {Environmental science and ecotechnology},
volume = {24},
number = {},
pages = {100544},
pmid = {40115027},
issn = {2666-4984},
abstract = {Climate change is driving unprecedented transformations in aquatic ecosystems, where microorganisms play a fundamental role in maintaining ecological balance and human health security. Rising water temperatures, pollution intensification, and extreme weather events are driving significant shifts in microbial community structures. These changes facilitate the proliferation of pathogenic microorganisms such as Vibrio cholerae and harmful algae like cyanobacteria, which thrive in warmer, nutrient-enriched environments. The resulting harmful algal blooms release potent toxins, such as microcystins, that contaminate drinking water and food supplies, leading to severe health impacts, including liver diseases and carcinogenesis. Furthermore, antibiotic resistance genes are spreading more rapidly due to climate-induced stressors, increasing the prevalence of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens and compounding the challenges for global health systems. This discussion article demonstrates that climate change influences aquatic microbial ecosystems through interconnected mechanisms, including shifts in gene transfer networks, alterations in microbial metabolism, and ecological feedback loops, ultimately increasing waterborne disease risks and antimicrobial resistance. Specific solutions are proposed, such as advancing wastewater treatment technologies to address climate-induced pollution, establishing global microbial monitoring networks leveraging remote sensing and molecular tools, and implementing early warning systems for waterborne disease outbreaks. Additionally, the discussion article emphasizes the critical role of international cooperation in funding and capacity-building efforts, particularly in developing regions with fragile infrastructures. By highlighting these pressing challenges and proposing actionable strategies, this research underscores the urgent need for integrated approaches to safeguard water resources, mitigate microbial hazards, and enhance public health resilience in an era of accelerating climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-22
A comparison of seasonal rainfall forecasts over Central America using dynamic and hybrid approaches from Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasting system and the North American Multimodel Ensemble.
International journal of climatology : a journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 43(5):2175-2199.
Seasonal rainfall forecasts provide information several months ahead to support decision making. These forecasts may use dynamic, statistical, or hybrid approaches, but their comparative value is not well understood over Central America. This study conducts a regional evaluation of seasonal rainfall forecasts focusing on two of the leading dynamic climate ensembles: the Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasting system (C3S) and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). We compare the multimodel ensemble mean and individual model predictions of seasonal rainfall over key wet season periods in Central America to better understand their relative forecast skill at the seasonal scale. Three types of rainfall forecasts are compared: direct dynamic rainfall predictions from the C3S and NMME ensembles, a statistical approach using the lagged observed sea surface temperature (SST), and an indirect hybrid approach, driving a statistical model with dynamic ensemble SST predictions. Results show that C3S and NMME exhibit similar regional variability with strong performance in the northern Pacific part of Central America and weaker skill primarily in eastern Nicaragua. In the northern Pacific part of the region, the models have high skill across the wet season. Indirect forecasts can outperform the direct rainfall forecasts in specific cases where the direct forecasts have lower predictive power (e.g., eastern Nicaragua during the early wet season). The indirect skill generally reflects the strength of SST associations with rainfall. The indirect forecasts based on Tropical North Atlantic SSTs are best in the early wet season and the indirect forecasts based on Niño3.4 SSTs are best in the late wet season when each SST zone has a stronger association with rainfall. Statistical predictions are competitive with the indirect and direct forecasts in multiple cases, especially in the late wet season, demonstrating how a variety of forecasting approaches can enhance seasonal forecasting.
Additional Links: PMID-40115664
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40115664,
year = {2023},
author = {Kowal, KM and Slater, LJ and García López, A and Van Loon, AF},
title = {A comparison of seasonal rainfall forecasts over Central America using dynamic and hybrid approaches from Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasting system and the North American Multimodel Ensemble.},
journal = {International journal of climatology : a journal of the Royal Meteorological Society},
volume = {43},
number = {5},
pages = {2175-2199},
pmid = {40115664},
issn = {0899-8418},
abstract = {Seasonal rainfall forecasts provide information several months ahead to support decision making. These forecasts may use dynamic, statistical, or hybrid approaches, but their comparative value is not well understood over Central America. This study conducts a regional evaluation of seasonal rainfall forecasts focusing on two of the leading dynamic climate ensembles: the Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasting system (C3S) and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). We compare the multimodel ensemble mean and individual model predictions of seasonal rainfall over key wet season periods in Central America to better understand their relative forecast skill at the seasonal scale. Three types of rainfall forecasts are compared: direct dynamic rainfall predictions from the C3S and NMME ensembles, a statistical approach using the lagged observed sea surface temperature (SST), and an indirect hybrid approach, driving a statistical model with dynamic ensemble SST predictions. Results show that C3S and NMME exhibit similar regional variability with strong performance in the northern Pacific part of Central America and weaker skill primarily in eastern Nicaragua. In the northern Pacific part of the region, the models have high skill across the wet season. Indirect forecasts can outperform the direct rainfall forecasts in specific cases where the direct forecasts have lower predictive power (e.g., eastern Nicaragua during the early wet season). The indirect skill generally reflects the strength of SST associations with rainfall. The indirect forecasts based on Tropical North Atlantic SSTs are best in the early wet season and the indirect forecasts based on Niño3.4 SSTs are best in the late wet season when each SST zone has a stronger association with rainfall. Statistical predictions are competitive with the indirect and direct forecasts in multiple cases, especially in the late wet season, demonstrating how a variety of forecasting approaches can enhance seasonal forecasting.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-21
Predicting habitat suitability of Illicium griffithii under climate change scenarios using an ensemble modeling approach.
Scientific reports, 15(1):9691.
Climate change is the most significant threat to global biodiversity, risking extinction for many species due to their limited adaptability to rapidly changing environmental conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, and other climate variables. Illicium griffithii, an endangered tree with ecological and medicinal value, remains understudied, particularly in Arunachal Pradesh. The aim of the study is to identify key environmental variables influencing the current distribution of I. griffithii and to predict the potential distribution under current and future climatic scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). We used an ensemble modeling approach that integrates five species distribution models (SDMs). After multicollinearity test, we utilized fifteen environmental variables including bioclimatic variables, soil properties, topographical variables, and evapotranspiration to predict the potential distribution of I. griffithii. The study revealed that the current distribution is predominantly influenced by isothermality, nitrogen content at 0-5 cm depth, clay content at 0-5 cm depth, and seasonality of precipitation, with a total contribution rate of 42.6%. The ensemble model performed robustly and found to be excellent performance based on AUC of 0.94 and TSS of 0.83. The total highly suitable area for I. griffithii spans 722.72 km[2] in the current scenario, primarily located in West Kameng, Tawang, and East Kameng districts. West Kameng stands out as the largest high-suitability area, which covers 592.83 km[2] and contributing a substantial 82.03% of the total suitable area. However, under the SSP585 future climate scenario (2041-2060), projections reveal a concerning decline in highly suitable areas. The area is expected to shrink by over 5.05%, decreasing from 722.72 to 686.25 km[2]. The results have highlighted the vulnerability of I. griffithii under future climatic scenario. Hence, forest managers should prioritize conserving suitable habitats in West Kameng, Tawang, and East Kameng districts of Arunachal Pradesh by implementing habitat restoration, assisted migration and ex situ conservation strategies that can mitigate climate change impacts.
Additional Links: PMID-40113947
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40113947,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhuyan, A and Bawri, A and Saikia, BP and Baidya, S and Hazarika, S and Thakur, B and Chetry, V and Deka, BS and Bharali, P and Prakash, A and Sarma, K and Devi, A},
title = {Predicting habitat suitability of Illicium griffithii under climate change scenarios using an ensemble modeling approach.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9691},
pmid = {40113947},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; India ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Climate change is the most significant threat to global biodiversity, risking extinction for many species due to their limited adaptability to rapidly changing environmental conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, and other climate variables. Illicium griffithii, an endangered tree with ecological and medicinal value, remains understudied, particularly in Arunachal Pradesh. The aim of the study is to identify key environmental variables influencing the current distribution of I. griffithii and to predict the potential distribution under current and future climatic scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). We used an ensemble modeling approach that integrates five species distribution models (SDMs). After multicollinearity test, we utilized fifteen environmental variables including bioclimatic variables, soil properties, topographical variables, and evapotranspiration to predict the potential distribution of I. griffithii. The study revealed that the current distribution is predominantly influenced by isothermality, nitrogen content at 0-5 cm depth, clay content at 0-5 cm depth, and seasonality of precipitation, with a total contribution rate of 42.6%. The ensemble model performed robustly and found to be excellent performance based on AUC of 0.94 and TSS of 0.83. The total highly suitable area for I. griffithii spans 722.72 km[2] in the current scenario, primarily located in West Kameng, Tawang, and East Kameng districts. West Kameng stands out as the largest high-suitability area, which covers 592.83 km[2] and contributing a substantial 82.03% of the total suitable area. However, under the SSP585 future climate scenario (2041-2060), projections reveal a concerning decline in highly suitable areas. The area is expected to shrink by over 5.05%, decreasing from 722.72 to 686.25 km[2]. The results have highlighted the vulnerability of I. griffithii under future climatic scenario. Hence, forest managers should prioritize conserving suitable habitats in West Kameng, Tawang, and East Kameng districts of Arunachal Pradesh by implementing habitat restoration, assisted migration and ex situ conservation strategies that can mitigate climate change impacts.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
Biodiversity
India
Soil/chemistry
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-24
Incorporating genetic load contributes to predicting Arabidopsis thaliana's response to climate change.
Nature communications, 16(1):2752.
Understanding how species respond to climate change can facilitate species conservation and crop breeding. Current prediction frameworks about population vulnerability focused on predicting range shifts or local adaptation but ignored genetic load, which is also crucial for adaptation. By analyzing 1115 globally distributed Arabidopsis thaliana natural accessions, we find that effective population size (Ne) is the major contributor of genetic load variation, both along genome and among populations, and can explain 74-94% genetic load variation in natural populations. Intriguingly, Ne affects genetic load by changing both effectiveness of purifying selection and GC biased gene conversion strength. In particular, by incorporating genetic load, genetic offset and species distribution models (SDM), we predict that, the populations at species' range edge are generally at higher risk. The populations at the eastern range perform poorer in all aspects, southern range have higher genetic offset and lower SDM suitability, while northern range have higher genetic load. Among the diverse natural populations, the Yangtze River basin population is the most vulnerable population under future climate change. Overall, here we deciphered the driving forces of genetic load in A. thaliana, and incorporated SDM, local adaptation and genetic load to predict the fate of populations under future climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-40113777
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40113777,
year = {2025},
author = {Jiang, J and Chen, JF and Li, XT and Wang, L and Mao, JF and Wang, BS and Guo, YL},
title = {Incorporating genetic load contributes to predicting Arabidopsis thaliana's response to climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {2752},
pmid = {40113777},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {31925004//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 32430008//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
mesh = {*Acclimatization/physiology ; Arabidopsis Proteins/genetics ; Biodiversity ; China ; *Climate Change ; Genetic Load ; Population ; *Arabidopsis/genetics ; },
abstract = {Understanding how species respond to climate change can facilitate species conservation and crop breeding. Current prediction frameworks about population vulnerability focused on predicting range shifts or local adaptation but ignored genetic load, which is also crucial for adaptation. By analyzing 1115 globally distributed Arabidopsis thaliana natural accessions, we find that effective population size (Ne) is the major contributor of genetic load variation, both along genome and among populations, and can explain 74-94% genetic load variation in natural populations. Intriguingly, Ne affects genetic load by changing both effectiveness of purifying selection and GC biased gene conversion strength. In particular, by incorporating genetic load, genetic offset and species distribution models (SDM), we predict that, the populations at species' range edge are generally at higher risk. The populations at the eastern range perform poorer in all aspects, southern range have higher genetic offset and lower SDM suitability, while northern range have higher genetic load. Among the diverse natural populations, the Yangtze River basin population is the most vulnerable population under future climate change. Overall, here we deciphered the driving forces of genetic load in A. thaliana, and incorporated SDM, local adaptation and genetic load to predict the fate of populations under future climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Acclimatization/physiology
Arabidopsis Proteins/genetics
Biodiversity
China
*Climate Change
Genetic Load
Population
*Arabidopsis/genetics
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-21
Exploring the Bacteriome Diversity and Use as a Proxy for Climate Change and Human Impacts on Groundwater in Temperate and Tropical Countries.
Microbial ecology, 88(1):17.
This research investigates bacterial communities in various cave pool water and substrates from Brazil and Romania for their use as indicators of environmental impacts on groundwater. Regional and seasonal differences were observed even if, at the phylum level, common bacteria for both countries were found. Distinct patterns emerged at the genus level due to the different climates (tropical vs. temperate) and ecosystems. Chemoautotrophic conditions define an utterly different groundwater bacteriome than oligotrophic conditions independent of the temperature. Bacteria as a proxy for climate change were explored using seasonal changes in Romanian caves; specific genera become dominant in summer months, such as Acinetobacter, Paeniglutamicibacter, Polaromonas, and Saccharimonadales, indicating processes that occur during the low-water season. Climate change, particularly dryness, is expected to exacerbate these variations, threatening the stability of groundwater ecosystems. The research also identified anthropic pollution indicators (Vogesella, Cutibacterium) and potential decontaminants (Bacillus) in Brazilian cave waters. Anthropic pollution indicators, like Pseudoarthrobacter. were also found in Romanian caves. Other key bacteria genera, such as Flavobacterium, Pseudomonas, and Acinetobacter, are chemolithotrophs or involved in the nitrogen cycle, which is critical in supplying nutrients for the cave food web. Marked differences between water and substrate microbiomes within the same pools suggested that substrates may play a crucial, underexplored role in groundwater ecosystem processes. Our study found unassigned taxa, 3 phyla, 2 families, and 832 genera (> 40%) in the studied pools. The results underscore the need to further explore groundwater microbiomes as potentially crucial yet fragile ecosystems in the face of climate change and human impacts.
Additional Links: PMID-40113629
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40113629,
year = {2025},
author = {Moldovan, OT and Levei, E and Ferreira, RL and Silva, MS and Mirea, IC},
title = {Exploring the Bacteriome Diversity and Use as a Proxy for Climate Change and Human Impacts on Groundwater in Temperate and Tropical Countries.},
journal = {Microbial ecology},
volume = {88},
number = {1},
pages = {17},
pmid = {40113629},
issn = {1432-184X},
support = {PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0016 (DARKFOOD)//Ministry of Research and Innovation, CNCS - UEFISCDI/ ; PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0016 (DARKFOOD)//Ministry of Research and Innovation, CNCS - UEFISCDI/ ; PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0016 (DARKFOOD)//Ministry of Research and Innovation, CNCS - UEFISCDI/ ; GA N°101052342//Biodiversa+, the European Biodiversity Partnership/ ; CNPq n. 302925/2022-8//National Council for Scientific and Technological Development/ ; CNPq n. 302925/2022-8//National Council for Scientific and Technological Development/ ; },
mesh = {*Groundwater/microbiology/chemistry ; *Bacteria/classification/genetics/isolation & purification ; Brazil ; *Climate Change ; *Caves/microbiology ; Romania ; Humans ; Microbiota ; Seasons ; Biodiversity ; Tropical Climate ; Ecosystem ; Water Microbiology ; },
abstract = {This research investigates bacterial communities in various cave pool water and substrates from Brazil and Romania for their use as indicators of environmental impacts on groundwater. Regional and seasonal differences were observed even if, at the phylum level, common bacteria for both countries were found. Distinct patterns emerged at the genus level due to the different climates (tropical vs. temperate) and ecosystems. Chemoautotrophic conditions define an utterly different groundwater bacteriome than oligotrophic conditions independent of the temperature. Bacteria as a proxy for climate change were explored using seasonal changes in Romanian caves; specific genera become dominant in summer months, such as Acinetobacter, Paeniglutamicibacter, Polaromonas, and Saccharimonadales, indicating processes that occur during the low-water season. Climate change, particularly dryness, is expected to exacerbate these variations, threatening the stability of groundwater ecosystems. The research also identified anthropic pollution indicators (Vogesella, Cutibacterium) and potential decontaminants (Bacillus) in Brazilian cave waters. Anthropic pollution indicators, like Pseudoarthrobacter. were also found in Romanian caves. Other key bacteria genera, such as Flavobacterium, Pseudomonas, and Acinetobacter, are chemolithotrophs or involved in the nitrogen cycle, which is critical in supplying nutrients for the cave food web. Marked differences between water and substrate microbiomes within the same pools suggested that substrates may play a crucial, underexplored role in groundwater ecosystem processes. Our study found unassigned taxa, 3 phyla, 2 families, and 832 genera (> 40%) in the studied pools. The results underscore the need to further explore groundwater microbiomes as potentially crucial yet fragile ecosystems in the face of climate change and human impacts.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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hide MeSH Terms
*Groundwater/microbiology/chemistry
*Bacteria/classification/genetics/isolation & purification
Brazil
*Climate Change
*Caves/microbiology
Romania
Humans
Microbiota
Seasons
Biodiversity
Tropical Climate
Ecosystem
Water Microbiology
RevDate: 2025-03-24
CmpDate: 2025-03-21
Climate change and environmental radioactivity: a review of studies on climate conditions in variation on indoor radon concentrations.
Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(4):446.
Climate change is increasingly recognized as a critical factor influencing various environmental and public health issues. This paper discusses the link between climate change parameters and elevated indoor radon levels, aiming to highlight the necessity for urgent public health intervention. By examining temperature fluctuations, precipitation patterns, extreme weather events, and geological changes, the paper elucidates how these factors contribute to the variability of indoor radon concentrations. A review of 31 indoor radon studies from different countries revealed substantial variation in indoor radon concentrations. The weighted mean indoor radon concentration was 178 Bq/m[3], with a standard deviation of 193 Bq/m[3]. The minimum and maximum concentrations measured were 14.3 Bq/m[3] and 1083 Bq/m[3], respectively. Drawing from the findings of other scholars, a significant correlation between climate change and increased radon levels in residential areas has been revealed, suggesting potential health risks for occupants. This paper underscores the urgent need for public health strategies and policies to mitigate radon exposure, enhance awareness, and protect vulnerable populations. There is an urgent need for comprehensive measures, including improved building practices, regular radon monitoring, and robust public health campaigns to address the emerging threat posed by climate-induced radon exposure.
Additional Links: PMID-40113619
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40113619,
year = {2025},
author = {Rathebe, PC and Mphaga, KV and Masekameni, DM},
title = {Climate change and environmental radioactivity: a review of studies on climate conditions in variation on indoor radon concentrations.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {4},
pages = {446},
pmid = {40113619},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Radon/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Air Pollution, Indoor/analysis/statistics & numerical data ; *Radiation Monitoring ; *Air Pollutants, Radioactive/analysis ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly recognized as a critical factor influencing various environmental and public health issues. This paper discusses the link between climate change parameters and elevated indoor radon levels, aiming to highlight the necessity for urgent public health intervention. By examining temperature fluctuations, precipitation patterns, extreme weather events, and geological changes, the paper elucidates how these factors contribute to the variability of indoor radon concentrations. A review of 31 indoor radon studies from different countries revealed substantial variation in indoor radon concentrations. The weighted mean indoor radon concentration was 178 Bq/m[3], with a standard deviation of 193 Bq/m[3]. The minimum and maximum concentrations measured were 14.3 Bq/m[3] and 1083 Bq/m[3], respectively. Drawing from the findings of other scholars, a significant correlation between climate change and increased radon levels in residential areas has been revealed, suggesting potential health risks for occupants. This paper underscores the urgent need for public health strategies and policies to mitigate radon exposure, enhance awareness, and protect vulnerable populations. There is an urgent need for comprehensive measures, including improved building practices, regular radon monitoring, and robust public health campaigns to address the emerging threat posed by climate-induced radon exposure.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Radon/analysis
*Climate Change
*Air Pollution, Indoor/analysis/statistics & numerical data
*Radiation Monitoring
*Air Pollutants, Radioactive/analysis
Humans
RevDate: 2025-03-21
Climate change increases public health risks from Tityus scorpion stings in Brazil.
Toxicon : official journal of the International Society on Toxinology, 258:108326 pii:S0041-0101(25)00100-X [Epub ahead of print].
Urban environments provide Tityus scorpions with abundant prey and shelter, leading to increased human-scorpion encounters and associated public health risks. In this study, we model the distribution of seven medically relevant Tityus species and project the potential impacts of climate change on their distribution across Brazil by 2060. We compiled 1103 occurrence records from the GBIF, iNaturalist, SpeciesLink, and SiBBr databases and applied ecological niche modeling using climate projections for 2041-2060 from WorldClim. Model validation yielded high AUC values, demonstrating a strong agreement between observed distributions and model predictions. Future climate scenarios predict a reduction in Tityus serrulatus habitat suitability. Despite this reduction, models indicate an increase in high-suitability areas, suggesting a possible local expansion in optimal habitats. Conversely, T. metuendus, T. obscurus, and T. silvestris are expected to undergo a significant increase in habitat suitability, potentially expanding into previously unsuitable areas due to temperature and precipitation shifts. Tityus stigmurus is also projected to benefit from climate change with an increase in suitable habitats, although its expansion is more restricted compared to the other species. In contrast, T. bahiensis and T. trivittatus are expected to face a reduction in habitat suitability. These findings highlight that climate-driven habitat reduction may concentrate scorpion populations in densely populated areas, exacerbating public health risks. Therefore, targeted governmental interventions are crucial to mitigate the escalating threat posed by Tityus scorpions in urban settings under climate change scenarios.
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@article {pmid40113181,
year = {2025},
author = {Freitas Barroso, R and Cardoso, VL and Alves, AG and Lira, AFA and Ferreira, RG and Costa, LF and Tizo-Pedroso, E},
title = {Climate change increases public health risks from Tityus scorpion stings in Brazil.},
journal = {Toxicon : official journal of the International Society on Toxinology},
volume = {258},
number = {},
pages = {108326},
doi = {10.1016/j.toxicon.2025.108326},
pmid = {40113181},
issn = {1879-3150},
abstract = {Urban environments provide Tityus scorpions with abundant prey and shelter, leading to increased human-scorpion encounters and associated public health risks. In this study, we model the distribution of seven medically relevant Tityus species and project the potential impacts of climate change on their distribution across Brazil by 2060. We compiled 1103 occurrence records from the GBIF, iNaturalist, SpeciesLink, and SiBBr databases and applied ecological niche modeling using climate projections for 2041-2060 from WorldClim. Model validation yielded high AUC values, demonstrating a strong agreement between observed distributions and model predictions. Future climate scenarios predict a reduction in Tityus serrulatus habitat suitability. Despite this reduction, models indicate an increase in high-suitability areas, suggesting a possible local expansion in optimal habitats. Conversely, T. metuendus, T. obscurus, and T. silvestris are expected to undergo a significant increase in habitat suitability, potentially expanding into previously unsuitable areas due to temperature and precipitation shifts. Tityus stigmurus is also projected to benefit from climate change with an increase in suitable habitats, although its expansion is more restricted compared to the other species. In contrast, T. bahiensis and T. trivittatus are expected to face a reduction in habitat suitability. These findings highlight that climate-driven habitat reduction may concentrate scorpion populations in densely populated areas, exacerbating public health risks. Therefore, targeted governmental interventions are crucial to mitigate the escalating threat posed by Tityus scorpions in urban settings under climate change scenarios.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
Climate change news and doomscrolling: An examination of influencing factors and psychological effects.
Acta psychologica, 255:104925 pii:S0001-6918(25)00238-0 [Epub ahead of print].
INTRODUCTION: Climate change is one of the greatest threats to human life, and news about it can significantly impact mental health. Furthermore, doomscrolling, that is habitual negative consumption, may further exacerbate these effects. Understanding the associated risks and protective factors is crucial for supporting the most affected groups. However, no research has examined the relationship between doomscrolling and climate change news.
METHOD: We employed a cross-sectional design to investigate the relationship between general doomscrolling and climate change-specific doomscrolling in a sample of 365 participants. Furthermore, we examined the influence of demographic factors, risk factors (anxiety and depression), and protective factors (social support and coping skills) on both types of doomscrolling.
RESULTS: Analyses of the final sample revealed a significant positive correlation between general doomscrolling and climate change-specific doomscrolling. Additionally, the study suggests a gender difference, with females exhibiting a greater propensity for doomscrolling behavior. Risk factors for doomscrolling were explored, with both anxiety and depressive symptoms demonstrating positive associations. Depression correlated positively with doomscrolling for females, and it displayed a negative correlation for males. Anxiety consistently demonstrated a positive association with general and climate change-specific doomscrolling. Social support did not significantly protect against either form of doomscrolling. Conversely, the study identified coping skills as a potential protective factor, albeit with a modest effect size.
CONCLUSION: Given climate change's continued prominence within the news cycle, developing effective coping mechanisms becomes increasingly crucial. This study underscores the importance of designing interventions that empower individuals to navigate the negativity inherent in news consumption.
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@article {pmid40112762,
year = {2025},
author = {Dominguez-Rodriguez, A and Apprich, F and Friehs, MA and van der Graaf, S and Steinrücke, J},
title = {Climate change news and doomscrolling: An examination of influencing factors and psychological effects.},
journal = {Acta psychologica},
volume = {255},
number = {},
pages = {104925},
doi = {10.1016/j.actpsy.2025.104925},
pmid = {40112762},
issn = {1873-6297},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is one of the greatest threats to human life, and news about it can significantly impact mental health. Furthermore, doomscrolling, that is habitual negative consumption, may further exacerbate these effects. Understanding the associated risks and protective factors is crucial for supporting the most affected groups. However, no research has examined the relationship between doomscrolling and climate change news.
METHOD: We employed a cross-sectional design to investigate the relationship between general doomscrolling and climate change-specific doomscrolling in a sample of 365 participants. Furthermore, we examined the influence of demographic factors, risk factors (anxiety and depression), and protective factors (social support and coping skills) on both types of doomscrolling.
RESULTS: Analyses of the final sample revealed a significant positive correlation between general doomscrolling and climate change-specific doomscrolling. Additionally, the study suggests a gender difference, with females exhibiting a greater propensity for doomscrolling behavior. Risk factors for doomscrolling were explored, with both anxiety and depressive symptoms demonstrating positive associations. Depression correlated positively with doomscrolling for females, and it displayed a negative correlation for males. Anxiety consistently demonstrated a positive association with general and climate change-specific doomscrolling. Social support did not significantly protect against either form of doomscrolling. Conversely, the study identified coping skills as a potential protective factor, albeit with a modest effect size.
CONCLUSION: Given climate change's continued prominence within the news cycle, developing effective coping mechanisms becomes increasingly crucial. This study underscores the importance of designing interventions that empower individuals to navigate the negativity inherent in news consumption.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
In-situ responses of temperate-zone bats to climate change.
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences [Epub ahead of print].
There is growing evidence that human-induced climate change poses a major threat to bats. As climate change progresses, we can only hope to mitigate its negative effects on bat populations by gaining a more comprehensive understanding of the complex interactions of all the factors involved. Drawing on recent evidence, largely from long-term field studies of individually marked bats, we discuss the multiple impacts-positive and negative-of climate change on temperate heterothermic bats and their responses to climate change in situ. For example, there is increasing evidence that warmer summers and milder winters are leading to changes in the seasonal phenology of bats, which in turn may lead to species-specific changes in demography, morphology, physiology, food availability, and roost use. We also highlight open research questions on the responses of bats to climate change. This includes better data on population trends and the underlying direct and indirect climate-related causes for changes in mortality and reproductive success. In order to assess the long-term impacts of climate change on bats, more information is needed about the relative importance of phenotypic plasticity and evolutionary adaptation in the responses of bats to climate change.
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@article {pmid40112255,
year = {2025},
author = {Kerth, G and Wolf, JM},
title = {In-situ responses of temperate-zone bats to climate change.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15317},
pmid = {40112255},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {There is growing evidence that human-induced climate change poses a major threat to bats. As climate change progresses, we can only hope to mitigate its negative effects on bat populations by gaining a more comprehensive understanding of the complex interactions of all the factors involved. Drawing on recent evidence, largely from long-term field studies of individually marked bats, we discuss the multiple impacts-positive and negative-of climate change on temperate heterothermic bats and their responses to climate change in situ. For example, there is increasing evidence that warmer summers and milder winters are leading to changes in the seasonal phenology of bats, which in turn may lead to species-specific changes in demography, morphology, physiology, food availability, and roost use. We also highlight open research questions on the responses of bats to climate change. This includes better data on population trends and the underlying direct and indirect climate-related causes for changes in mortality and reproductive success. In order to assess the long-term impacts of climate change on bats, more information is needed about the relative importance of phenotypic plasticity and evolutionary adaptation in the responses of bats to climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
The Semi-Natural Climate Chambers across Latitudes: A Broadly Applicable Husbandry and Experimental System for Terrestrial Ectotherms under Climate Change.
Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) [Epub ahead of print].
With limited resources and efforts, assessing species' vulnerabilities across various geographic regions before the conservation practice is essential for biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change. One pressing challenge has been establishing natural temperature-manipulated research systems across latitudes. To address this challenge, an innovative infrastructure is developed named the semi-natural climate chambers across latitudes (SCCAL), consisting of semi-natural climate chambers at three latitudes, spanning 27° and 3393 km from tropical to temperate regions. Each latitude features eight medium-sized patches for temperature manipulation, organisms rearing, and ecological experiments. Independent of external water and electricity supplies, the SCCAL allows to simulate thermal environments under different climate change scenarios with natural soil moisture. Ecological experiments with Grass lizards successfully are conducted, demonstrating that the SCCAL effectively supports species rearing, responses determining, and the vulnerability assessing. The widespread adoption or development of similar infrastructures is encouraged, which can facilitate the assessment of latitudinal animal vulnerabilities under climate change.
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@article {pmid40112232,
year = {2025},
author = {Sun, BJ and Lu, HL and Cheng, KM and Liu, WL and Han, XZ and Cui, LX and Li, XH and Li, SR and Hao, X and Li, F and Wu, DY and Li, T and Zhang, YP and Wang, JC and Liu, P and Du, WG},
title = {The Semi-Natural Climate Chambers across Latitudes: A Broadly Applicable Husbandry and Experimental System for Terrestrial Ectotherms under Climate Change.},
journal = {Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2414185},
doi = {10.1002/advs.202414185},
pmid = {40112232},
issn = {2198-3844},
support = {2022YFF0802300//National Key Research Development Program of China/ ; 31720103904//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32271572//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32071511//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; ZDYF2023RDYL01//Hainan Province Science and Technology Special Fund/ ; KY-24ZK02//Hainan Institute of National Park/ ; 2024IOZ0107//Initiative Scientific Research Program, Institute of Zoology, CAS/ ; Y2023021//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {With limited resources and efforts, assessing species' vulnerabilities across various geographic regions before the conservation practice is essential for biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change. One pressing challenge has been establishing natural temperature-manipulated research systems across latitudes. To address this challenge, an innovative infrastructure is developed named the semi-natural climate chambers across latitudes (SCCAL), consisting of semi-natural climate chambers at three latitudes, spanning 27° and 3393 km from tropical to temperate regions. Each latitude features eight medium-sized patches for temperature manipulation, organisms rearing, and ecological experiments. Independent of external water and electricity supplies, the SCCAL allows to simulate thermal environments under different climate change scenarios with natural soil moisture. Ecological experiments with Grass lizards successfully are conducted, demonstrating that the SCCAL effectively supports species rearing, responses determining, and the vulnerability assessing. The widespread adoption or development of similar infrastructures is encouraged, which can facilitate the assessment of latitudinal animal vulnerabilities under climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
Minimizing the Effects of Surgical Care on Climate Change.
JAMA pii:2831842 [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-40111312
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@article {pmid40111312,
year = {2025},
author = {Levinson, W and Chang, I and Ward, S},
title = {Minimizing the Effects of Surgical Care on Climate Change.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2025.0883},
pmid = {40111312},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
The spread of the invasive species Reynoutria japonica Houtt. will both expand and contract with climate change: results of climate modelling for 14 European countries.
Pest management science [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: The study of invasive plant species distribution involves changes in their ranges and ecological niches under the projected global temperature increase until 2100. However, climate modeling of habitat suitability for Reynoutria japonica in Europe remains limited, hindering risk assessment and effective management of its spread. We used the MaxEnt model to assess the potential distribution of R. japonica in 14 European countries.
RESULTS: It was found that the range of the taxon will expand into northern regions by 13.6% or 17.0%, depending on the scenario. However, range contraction in southern and central regions is expected to reach 26%. As a result, by 2100, a slight overall reduction in range (by 9-13%) is projected due to the decrease in distribution areas in southern parts of Europe, where maximum air temperatures will rise. Temperature variability throughout the year and precipitation during the warmest quarter are limiting factors for the spread. The minimum temperature of the growing season will influence distribution projections for 2060, whereas under current climate conditions, this parameter does not have a limiting effect. A general framework for controlling invasions of Reynoutria Houtt. taxa has been developed for both national and international levels.
CONCLUSION: The study identified the dynamics of the invasive species' spread in Europe in relation to global climate change, assessed the risks of colonization in new areas, and provided tools for regulation and management to improve the prediction of potential distribution. © 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.
Additional Links: PMID-40110622
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@article {pmid40110622,
year = {2025},
author = {Miroshnyk, N and Grabovska, T and Roubík, H},
title = {The spread of the invasive species Reynoutria japonica Houtt. will both expand and contract with climate change: results of climate modelling for 14 European countries.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8732},
pmid = {40110622},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {//The Research Institute for Sustainability (RIFS) Potsdam, Germany/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The study of invasive plant species distribution involves changes in their ranges and ecological niches under the projected global temperature increase until 2100. However, climate modeling of habitat suitability for Reynoutria japonica in Europe remains limited, hindering risk assessment and effective management of its spread. We used the MaxEnt model to assess the potential distribution of R. japonica in 14 European countries.
RESULTS: It was found that the range of the taxon will expand into northern regions by 13.6% or 17.0%, depending on the scenario. However, range contraction in southern and central regions is expected to reach 26%. As a result, by 2100, a slight overall reduction in range (by 9-13%) is projected due to the decrease in distribution areas in southern parts of Europe, where maximum air temperatures will rise. Temperature variability throughout the year and precipitation during the warmest quarter are limiting factors for the spread. The minimum temperature of the growing season will influence distribution projections for 2060, whereas under current climate conditions, this parameter does not have a limiting effect. A general framework for controlling invasions of Reynoutria Houtt. taxa has been developed for both national and international levels.
CONCLUSION: The study identified the dynamics of the invasive species' spread in Europe in relation to global climate change, assessed the risks of colonization in new areas, and provided tools for regulation and management to improve the prediction of potential distribution. © 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
Impact of Climate Change on Health and Drug Demand.
Rand health quarterly, 12(2):13.
It is anticipated that extreme weather events due to climate change will increase the prevalence of a number of acute and chronic diseases. As a result, the demand for drugs to prevent or treat those conditions is likely to increase. If the anticipated increase in demand for these drugs is not planned for, already strained medical supply chains will be further strained, resulting in poor health outcomes among affected patient populations and additional costs to health systems. The authors of this study estimated how the anticipated effects of climate change on the prevalence of a sample of four chronic conditions-cardiovascular disease (CVD), asthma, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and Alzheimer's disease-will affect demand for the drugs needed to treat them (metoprolol, albuterol, heparin, and donepezil, respectively). To generate these estimates, the authors conducted an environmental scan of the peer-reviewed and gray literature and developed a medical condition-specific systems dynamics model. The model can help inform policies for ensuring drug supply under various climate scenarios.
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@article {pmid40109392,
year = {2025},
author = {Abir, M and Vardavas, R and Tariq, ZH and Hoch, E and Lawson, E and Cortner, S},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Health and Drug Demand.},
journal = {Rand health quarterly},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {13},
pmid = {40109392},
issn = {2162-8254},
abstract = {It is anticipated that extreme weather events due to climate change will increase the prevalence of a number of acute and chronic diseases. As a result, the demand for drugs to prevent or treat those conditions is likely to increase. If the anticipated increase in demand for these drugs is not planned for, already strained medical supply chains will be further strained, resulting in poor health outcomes among affected patient populations and additional costs to health systems. The authors of this study estimated how the anticipated effects of climate change on the prevalence of a sample of four chronic conditions-cardiovascular disease (CVD), asthma, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and Alzheimer's disease-will affect demand for the drugs needed to treat them (metoprolol, albuterol, heparin, and donepezil, respectively). To generate these estimates, the authors conducted an environmental scan of the peer-reviewed and gray literature and developed a medical condition-specific systems dynamics model. The model can help inform policies for ensuring drug supply under various climate scenarios.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
Valence fragmentation dynamics of a promising low global warming etching gas CF3CHCF2.
Scientific reports, 15(1):9507 pii:10.1038/s41598-025-94119-6.
C3HF5 (CF3CHCF2, KSG14), a promising low global warming potential (GWP < 1) alternative to traditional perfluorocarbon etching gases for advanced integrated circuit manufacturing, particularly for high-aspect-ratio SiO2/SiN stacked layers in 3D flash memory. This study investigates the dissociative photoionization dynamics of C3HF5 across 10.0-26.0 eV. Ion yield curves and breakdown diagrams reveal that C3HF5 primarily fragments into C3HF5[+], C3F5[+], C3HF4[+], C3F4[+], C2F3[+], and CF3[+] ions. Appearance Energies of these fragments, determined from the ion yield curves, indicate fragmentation pathways at low electronic transitions. These findings underscore C3HF5's potential as an environmentally friendly etching gas with excellent performance characteristics.
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@article {pmid40108348,
year = {2025},
author = {Nguyen, TT and Hayashi, T and Iwayama, H and Ishikawa, K},
title = {Valence fragmentation dynamics of a promising low global warming etching gas CF3CHCF2.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9507},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-025-94119-6},
pmid = {40108348},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {21H01073//JSPS-KAKENHI/ ; 21H01073//JSPS-KAKENHI/ ; JPMJAP2321//JST ASPIRE/ ; JPMJAP2321//JST ASPIRE/ ; },
abstract = {C3HF5 (CF3CHCF2, KSG14), a promising low global warming potential (GWP < 1) alternative to traditional perfluorocarbon etching gases for advanced integrated circuit manufacturing, particularly for high-aspect-ratio SiO2/SiN stacked layers in 3D flash memory. This study investigates the dissociative photoionization dynamics of C3HF5 across 10.0-26.0 eV. Ion yield curves and breakdown diagrams reveal that C3HF5 primarily fragments into C3HF5[+], C3F5[+], C3HF4[+], C3F4[+], C2F3[+], and CF3[+] ions. Appearance Energies of these fragments, determined from the ion yield curves, indicate fragmentation pathways at low electronic transitions. These findings underscore C3HF5's potential as an environmentally friendly etching gas with excellent performance characteristics.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-19
Sustainable tourism for climate change and environmental sustainability in Tunisia: Evidence from a novel measure, nonlinear modeling, and wavelet coherence.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124991 pii:S0301-4797(25)00967-3 [Epub ahead of print].
This study examines the asymmetric impact of international tourism on CO2 emissions and environmental sustainability in Tunisia. Using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model within a Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) framework, we construct a composite index via Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Robustness checks include Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Bias-corrected Wavelet coherence, and asymmetric causality analysis through Vector Autoregression (VAR). Findings reveal that tourism traffic asymmetrically affects environmental sustainability, except for carbon emissions, even under nonlinear Granger causality analysis. Trade openness also exerts asymmetric effects, supporting the Pollution Haven hypothesis. Policy recommendations highlight the need for smart strategies such as mobile applications and taxation to track tourism-related carbon footprints, foster youth-led tourism businesses, address brain drain, and advance a circular economy. Sustainable tourism, alongside key structural factors, plays a vital role in shaping long-term environmental quality. Strategic agricultural development, improved governance, and the efficient use of renewable energy are crucial. Enhancing energy security, reducing fossil fuel dependence, and promoting green technology investments are necessary steps. This study contributes uniquely by compiling and updating a dataset based on six environmental criteria-air quality, energy management, biodiversity, health, population pressure, and water resources-while employing advanced econometric techniques.
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@article {pmid40106997,
year = {2025},
author = {Trabelsi, E},
title = {Sustainable tourism for climate change and environmental sustainability in Tunisia: Evidence from a novel measure, nonlinear modeling, and wavelet coherence.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124991},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124991},
pmid = {40106997},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study examines the asymmetric impact of international tourism on CO2 emissions and environmental sustainability in Tunisia. Using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model within a Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) framework, we construct a composite index via Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Robustness checks include Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Bias-corrected Wavelet coherence, and asymmetric causality analysis through Vector Autoregression (VAR). Findings reveal that tourism traffic asymmetrically affects environmental sustainability, except for carbon emissions, even under nonlinear Granger causality analysis. Trade openness also exerts asymmetric effects, supporting the Pollution Haven hypothesis. Policy recommendations highlight the need for smart strategies such as mobile applications and taxation to track tourism-related carbon footprints, foster youth-led tourism businesses, address brain drain, and advance a circular economy. Sustainable tourism, alongside key structural factors, plays a vital role in shaping long-term environmental quality. Strategic agricultural development, improved governance, and the efficient use of renewable energy are crucial. Enhancing energy security, reducing fossil fuel dependence, and promoting green technology investments are necessary steps. This study contributes uniquely by compiling and updating a dataset based on six environmental criteria-air quality, energy management, biodiversity, health, population pressure, and water resources-while employing advanced econometric techniques.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-19
CmpDate: 2025-03-19
Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
PloS one, 20(3):e0318784.
Climate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmers' adaptation to climate change using quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods. However, only the former is typically included in quantitative metanalysis of empirical evidence on adaptation. This omits the vast body of knowledge from qualitative research. We address this gap by performing a comparative analysis of factors associated with farmers' climate change adaptation in both quantitative and qualitative literature using Natural Language Processing and generalized linear models. By retrieving publications from Scopus, we derive a database with metadata and associations from both quantitative and qualitative findings, focusing on climate change adaptation of farmers. We use the derived data as input for generalized linear models to analyze whether reported factors behind farmers' decisions differ by type of adaptation (incremental vs. transformational) and across different global regions. Our results show that factors related to adaptive capacity and access to information and technology are more likely to be associated with transformational adaptation than with incremental adaptation. Regarding world regions, access to finance/income and infrastructure are uneven, with farmers in high-income countries having an advantage, whereas farmers in low- and middle-income countries require these the most for effective adaptation to climate change.
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@article {pmid40106459,
year = {2025},
author = {Gil-Clavel, S and Wagenblast, T and Filatova, T},
title = {Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0318784},
pmid = {40106459},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; Humans ; *Natural Language Processing ; Farmers/psychology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmers' adaptation to climate change using quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods. However, only the former is typically included in quantitative metanalysis of empirical evidence on adaptation. This omits the vast body of knowledge from qualitative research. We address this gap by performing a comparative analysis of factors associated with farmers' climate change adaptation in both quantitative and qualitative literature using Natural Language Processing and generalized linear models. By retrieving publications from Scopus, we derive a database with metadata and associations from both quantitative and qualitative findings, focusing on climate change adaptation of farmers. We use the derived data as input for generalized linear models to analyze whether reported factors behind farmers' decisions differ by type of adaptation (incremental vs. transformational) and across different global regions. Our results show that factors related to adaptive capacity and access to information and technology are more likely to be associated with transformational adaptation than with incremental adaptation. Regarding world regions, access to finance/income and infrastructure are uneven, with farmers in high-income countries having an advantage, whereas farmers in low- and middle-income countries require these the most for effective adaptation to climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
*Agriculture
Humans
*Natural Language Processing
Farmers/psychology
RevDate: 2025-03-19
CmpDate: 2025-03-19
Modelling the potential impact of climate change on the productivity of soybean in the Nigeria Savannas.
PloS one, 20(3):e0313786.
A well-calibrated and evaluated GROPGRO module of the Decision Support System for Agro-technological Transfer (DSSAT) was used to simulate productivity of soybean in northern Nigeria under climate change. Both historical (1990-2019) and projected climate scenarios from 5 general circulation models (GCMs) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in the mid-century (2040-2069) and end of the century (2070-2099) periods were used. Depending on climate scenario, the minimum temperature is expected to rise by 1.7-4.4oC at Kano in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone (AEZ) and 1.4-4.0oC at Zaria in the northern Guinea savanna (NGS) AEZ, while maximum temperatures are projected to increase by 1.7-4.1oC in the SS and 1.3-3.6oC in the NGS. Seasonal average rainfall will increase by 4.8-14.5% in the SS and decrease by 2.6-3.8% in the NGS, relative to the baseline climate. The model predicted delaying trends for days to flowering and maturity for both varieties in all climate scenarios in the two AEZs. Despite the delay in flowering and increase in crop cycle length, climate change will result in grain yield reduction in most of the future scenarios. Across location, variety and time slice, the grain yield will decline by between 8.4 and 23.6% under RCP4.5 scenario, with much higher decline by between 28.7 and 51.4% under RCP 8.5 scenario. However, using the early maturing variety can reduce the adverse effects of climate change on grain yield. On average, the yield of the early-maturing TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 15.2% higher under RCP4.5 scenario and up to 21.7% under RCP8.5 than that of the medium-maturing TGX1951-3F for both centuries in the SS AEZ. In the NGS, the average yield of TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 9.0% and 7.5% higher than that of TGX1951-3F under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Using early-maturing soybean varieties is a key management strategy to boost the resilience of soybean production in Nigeria's savannas under climate change conditions.
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@article {pmid40106423,
year = {2025},
author = {Bebeley, JF and Tofa, AI and Kamara, AY and Jibrin, JM and Solomon, R and Adeleke, MA and Omoigui, LO and Eseigbe, OB and Peter-Jerome, H and Ademulegun, TD},
title = {Modelling the potential impact of climate change on the productivity of soybean in the Nigeria Savannas.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0313786},
pmid = {40106423},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Glycine max/growth & development ; Nigeria ; Grassland ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Crops, Agricultural/growth & development ; Rain ; },
abstract = {A well-calibrated and evaluated GROPGRO module of the Decision Support System for Agro-technological Transfer (DSSAT) was used to simulate productivity of soybean in northern Nigeria under climate change. Both historical (1990-2019) and projected climate scenarios from 5 general circulation models (GCMs) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in the mid-century (2040-2069) and end of the century (2070-2099) periods were used. Depending on climate scenario, the minimum temperature is expected to rise by 1.7-4.4oC at Kano in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone (AEZ) and 1.4-4.0oC at Zaria in the northern Guinea savanna (NGS) AEZ, while maximum temperatures are projected to increase by 1.7-4.1oC in the SS and 1.3-3.6oC in the NGS. Seasonal average rainfall will increase by 4.8-14.5% in the SS and decrease by 2.6-3.8% in the NGS, relative to the baseline climate. The model predicted delaying trends for days to flowering and maturity for both varieties in all climate scenarios in the two AEZs. Despite the delay in flowering and increase in crop cycle length, climate change will result in grain yield reduction in most of the future scenarios. Across location, variety and time slice, the grain yield will decline by between 8.4 and 23.6% under RCP4.5 scenario, with much higher decline by between 28.7 and 51.4% under RCP 8.5 scenario. However, using the early maturing variety can reduce the adverse effects of climate change on grain yield. On average, the yield of the early-maturing TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 15.2% higher under RCP4.5 scenario and up to 21.7% under RCP8.5 than that of the medium-maturing TGX1951-3F for both centuries in the SS AEZ. In the NGS, the average yield of TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 9.0% and 7.5% higher than that of TGX1951-3F under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Using early-maturing soybean varieties is a key management strategy to boost the resilience of soybean production in Nigeria's savannas under climate change conditions.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
*Glycine max/growth & development
Nigeria
Grassland
Temperature
Seasons
Crops, Agricultural/growth & development
Rain
RevDate: 2025-03-19
Impact of climate change on winter occupations in Minnesota.
BackgroundClimate change impacts everyone, but the warmer and snow starved winter of 2023-2024 in Minnesota has had devastating impacts on people all over the state. It severely limited participation in typical winter outdoor recreational and leisure activities and resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans.ObjectiveThe aim of this article is to draw attention to the direct impact climate change has on human occupations and suggest ways that occupational therapy practitioners and others can contribute to efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change.MethodsThe author reviewed of publicly available data, news stories, and had conversations with people directly affected by the winter that was unusually warm and dry. This information was then synthesized into this article.ResultsIn Minnesota, the climate in winters is changing faster than in summers. The lack of snow and ice, directly resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans. It cost businesses, clubs, and communities untold dollars in lost revenue. Further, thousands of Minnesotans lost opportunities to ski, skate, snowmobile, ice fish, snowshoe, dogsled, and engage in many other outdoor activities.ConclusionEngagement in outdoor activities is an important part of life in Minnesota. When climate change interferes with these outdoor activities, it is cause for concern. It impacts paid work, volunteer work, recreation, and leisure. This is of particular concern to occupational therapy practitioners. More must be done to reduce the human causes of climate change.
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@article {pmid40104966,
year = {2025},
author = {Sames, KM},
title = {Impact of climate change on winter occupations in Minnesota.},
journal = {Work (Reading, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10519815251319223},
doi = {10.1177/10519815251319223},
pmid = {40104966},
issn = {1875-9270},
abstract = {BackgroundClimate change impacts everyone, but the warmer and snow starved winter of 2023-2024 in Minnesota has had devastating impacts on people all over the state. It severely limited participation in typical winter outdoor recreational and leisure activities and resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans.ObjectiveThe aim of this article is to draw attention to the direct impact climate change has on human occupations and suggest ways that occupational therapy practitioners and others can contribute to efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change.MethodsThe author reviewed of publicly available data, news stories, and had conversations with people directly affected by the winter that was unusually warm and dry. This information was then synthesized into this article.ResultsIn Minnesota, the climate in winters is changing faster than in summers. The lack of snow and ice, directly resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans. It cost businesses, clubs, and communities untold dollars in lost revenue. Further, thousands of Minnesotans lost opportunities to ski, skate, snowmobile, ice fish, snowshoe, dogsled, and engage in many other outdoor activities.ConclusionEngagement in outdoor activities is an important part of life in Minnesota. When climate change interferes with these outdoor activities, it is cause for concern. It impacts paid work, volunteer work, recreation, and leisure. This is of particular concern to occupational therapy practitioners. More must be done to reduce the human causes of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-19
Author Correction: Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change.
Nature communications, 16(1):2661 pii:10.1038/s41467-025-57833-3.
Additional Links: PMID-40102427
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@article {pmid40102427,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, G and Törnqvist, TE and Dangendorf, S},
title = {Author Correction: Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {2661},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-025-57833-3},
pmid = {40102427},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
CmpDate: 2025-03-18
The impact of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia: a conceptual framework and scoping review of the available evidence.
BMJ paediatrics open, 9(1): pii:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002980.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to significantly impact child nutrition, worsening global health inequities. Indonesia, a country highly vulnerable to climate change, also faces substantial child malnutrition challenges. However, comprehensive knowledge on climate change's impacts on child nutrition in Indonesia is limited. This study addresses this gap through a scoping review of the scientific evidence on the effects of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia.
METHODS: We developed a conceptual framework based on global literature to guide our systematic search, linking climate change to child nutrition and its determinants in Indonesia. Systematic searches were conducted in English and Indonesian on Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed, supplemented by Google Scholar and citation screening. We included peer-reviewed, Scopus-indexed studies focused on Indonesia, examining either direct or indirect impacts of climate change on child nutrition. A narrative synthesis was performed, structured around outcomes identified in our framework: (1) nutrition-associated conditions, (2) diets and disease, (3) social dynamics and (4) food system shocks.
RESULTS: From 3025 records, 134 studies met the inclusion criteria. Studies were either multicountry including Indonesia (23%, n=31), Indonesia-specific across multiple regions (26%, n=35) or region-specific, mainly focused on Java (22%, n=29), Sumatra (11%, n=14), Kalimantan (7%, n=9) and Sulawesi (7%, n=9). Other regions were under-represented (5%, n=7). Most studies used quantitative methods (87%, n=116). Few studies assessed direct links between climate change and nutritional outcomes (n=5), food security or dietary quality (n=7); more focused on indirect pathways such as disease (n=49), social dynamics (n=18) and food system disruptions (n=55).
CONCLUSIONS: Evidence suggests significant impacts of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia, highlighting the need for urgent action. Further localised studies that consider contextual factors, and actions focused on strengthening health and nutrition systems, are critical, especially in regions most vulnerable to both climate change and child malnutrition.
Additional Links: PMID-40102021
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@article {pmid40102021,
year = {2025},
author = {Colozza, D and Guo, I and Sukotjo, SW and Padmita, AC and Galera, RG and Sulastri, E and Wikanestri, I and Ndiaye, M},
title = {The impact of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia: a conceptual framework and scoping review of the available evidence.},
journal = {BMJ paediatrics open},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002980},
pmid = {40102021},
issn = {2399-9772},
mesh = {Humans ; Indonesia ; *Climate Change ; *Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Nutritional Status ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to significantly impact child nutrition, worsening global health inequities. Indonesia, a country highly vulnerable to climate change, also faces substantial child malnutrition challenges. However, comprehensive knowledge on climate change's impacts on child nutrition in Indonesia is limited. This study addresses this gap through a scoping review of the scientific evidence on the effects of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia.
METHODS: We developed a conceptual framework based on global literature to guide our systematic search, linking climate change to child nutrition and its determinants in Indonesia. Systematic searches were conducted in English and Indonesian on Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed, supplemented by Google Scholar and citation screening. We included peer-reviewed, Scopus-indexed studies focused on Indonesia, examining either direct or indirect impacts of climate change on child nutrition. A narrative synthesis was performed, structured around outcomes identified in our framework: (1) nutrition-associated conditions, (2) diets and disease, (3) social dynamics and (4) food system shocks.
RESULTS: From 3025 records, 134 studies met the inclusion criteria. Studies were either multicountry including Indonesia (23%, n=31), Indonesia-specific across multiple regions (26%, n=35) or region-specific, mainly focused on Java (22%, n=29), Sumatra (11%, n=14), Kalimantan (7%, n=9) and Sulawesi (7%, n=9). Other regions were under-represented (5%, n=7). Most studies used quantitative methods (87%, n=116). Few studies assessed direct links between climate change and nutritional outcomes (n=5), food security or dietary quality (n=7); more focused on indirect pathways such as disease (n=49), social dynamics (n=18) and food system disruptions (n=55).
CONCLUSIONS: Evidence suggests significant impacts of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia, highlighting the need for urgent action. Further localised studies that consider contextual factors, and actions focused on strengthening health and nutrition systems, are critical, especially in regions most vulnerable to both climate change and child malnutrition.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
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Humans
Indonesia
*Climate Change
*Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology
Child
Child, Preschool
Nutritional Status
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Quantifying the influence of climate change on pesticide risks in drinking water.
The Science of the total environment, 972:179090 pii:S0048-9697(25)00725-9 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change can influence pesticide contamination and resulting human health risks due by altering weather conditions that drive pesticide fate and transport. However limited research has examined these effects, leaving regulatory frameworks and adaptation strategies unable to address future pesticide risks. This study develops a novel probabilistic model to quantify climate change impacts on pesticide-related human health risks under two different climate scenarios, using study locations in the north-east and south-west of Ireland. Results indicate that pesticide concentrations in drinking water are projected to exceed legal limits more frequently, and by greater amounts, under all climate scenarios, with associated health risks increasing by an average of 18 % under RCP 4.5 (2050) and 38 % under RCP8.5 (2100). The model results also indicate significant regional variation in health risk, with risk 48 % higher in the south-west than the north-east under baseline conditions. Climate change effects intensify these regional variances with risk up to 70 % higher under RCP4.5 (2050), and 85 % higher under RCP8.5 (2100). Despite these increases, overall pesticide human health risks are likely to remain low in Ireland under future climates. This study presents a probabilistic framework that may be applied internationally to quantify the impact of climate change on human health risk at a local-scale and may be adapted for different site conditions and climate projections to suit users' needs. This approach can inform future pesticide management programmes by identifying vulnerable areas and key pesticides under changing climate conditions, emphasizing the importance of incorporating climate change into pesticide risk mitigation and public health strategies.
Additional Links: PMID-40101618
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@article {pmid40101618,
year = {2025},
author = {Harmon O'Driscoll, J and Healy, MG and Siggins, A and McGinley, J and O'Brien, E and Wang, J and Holloway, P and Mellander, PE and Morrison, L and Scannell, S and Ryan, PC},
title = {Quantifying the influence of climate change on pesticide risks in drinking water.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {972},
number = {},
pages = {179090},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179090},
pmid = {40101618},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change can influence pesticide contamination and resulting human health risks due by altering weather conditions that drive pesticide fate and transport. However limited research has examined these effects, leaving regulatory frameworks and adaptation strategies unable to address future pesticide risks. This study develops a novel probabilistic model to quantify climate change impacts on pesticide-related human health risks under two different climate scenarios, using study locations in the north-east and south-west of Ireland. Results indicate that pesticide concentrations in drinking water are projected to exceed legal limits more frequently, and by greater amounts, under all climate scenarios, with associated health risks increasing by an average of 18 % under RCP 4.5 (2050) and 38 % under RCP8.5 (2100). The model results also indicate significant regional variation in health risk, with risk 48 % higher in the south-west than the north-east under baseline conditions. Climate change effects intensify these regional variances with risk up to 70 % higher under RCP4.5 (2050), and 85 % higher under RCP8.5 (2100). Despite these increases, overall pesticide human health risks are likely to remain low in Ireland under future climates. This study presents a probabilistic framework that may be applied internationally to quantify the impact of climate change on human health risk at a local-scale and may be adapted for different site conditions and climate projections to suit users' needs. This approach can inform future pesticide management programmes by identifying vulnerable areas and key pesticides under changing climate conditions, emphasizing the importance of incorporating climate change into pesticide risk mitigation and public health strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
The cost of flooding on housing under climate change in the Philippines: Examining projected damage at the local scale.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124966 pii:S0301-4797(25)00942-9 [Epub ahead of print].
While the Philippines has made significant strides in proactive disaster risk reduction measures, current planning actions are undertaken primarily based on historical flood risk. There are gaps in understanding how the escalating impacts of climate change will alter flood dynamics. This study examines shifting local flood risk patterns in the Municipality of Carigara in Leyte. We quantify probabilistic flood damage on residential structures for early, mid-, and late-term flood scenarios under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 pathways. By utilising localised housing vulnerability functions, we assess risk trends at a household level, considering concrete, light material, and elevated light material housing typologies. Our results indicate a 3 % decrease in future flood damages to residential structures under RCP 4.5 and a 34 % decrease in damages under RCP 8.5 by 2100 attributable to climate change for 100-year flood events. These shifts highlight the nuances of regional changes in flood damages over the next century. The findings provide insights into how localised climate-risk assessments for municipalities might be established as entry points to inform climate change policies and projects. Through established mechanisms such as Local Disaster Risk Reduction Management Funds (LDRRMF) in the Philippines, we propose methods of climate-informed decision-making for local government units to minimise damage for future climate scenarios.
Additional Links: PMID-40101495
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@article {pmid40101495,
year = {2025},
author = {Besarra, I and Opdyke, A and Mendoza, JE and Delmendo, PA and Santiago, J and Evangelista, DJ and Francisco A Lagmay, AM},
title = {The cost of flooding on housing under climate change in the Philippines: Examining projected damage at the local scale.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124966},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124966},
pmid = {40101495},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {While the Philippines has made significant strides in proactive disaster risk reduction measures, current planning actions are undertaken primarily based on historical flood risk. There are gaps in understanding how the escalating impacts of climate change will alter flood dynamics. This study examines shifting local flood risk patterns in the Municipality of Carigara in Leyte. We quantify probabilistic flood damage on residential structures for early, mid-, and late-term flood scenarios under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 pathways. By utilising localised housing vulnerability functions, we assess risk trends at a household level, considering concrete, light material, and elevated light material housing typologies. Our results indicate a 3 % decrease in future flood damages to residential structures under RCP 4.5 and a 34 % decrease in damages under RCP 8.5 by 2100 attributable to climate change for 100-year flood events. These shifts highlight the nuances of regional changes in flood damages over the next century. The findings provide insights into how localised climate-risk assessments for municipalities might be established as entry points to inform climate change policies and projects. Through established mechanisms such as Local Disaster Risk Reduction Management Funds (LDRRMF) in the Philippines, we propose methods of climate-informed decision-making for local government units to minimise damage for future climate scenarios.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Synergistic policy effects of digitization in reducing air pollution and addressing climate change in China.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124730 pii:S0301-4797(25)00706-6 [Epub ahead of print].
Given the increasing constraints of climate change and air pollution on economic growth, constructing a comprehensive policy system that promotes the coordinated development of pollution reduction, carbon mitigation, and economic growth has become the key to resolving current contradictions. However, the synergistic effects of the policy combination between digitalization, pollution reduction and carbon mitigation remain insufficiently evaluated. Based on panel data from 239 Chinese cities spanning 2014 to 2024, this study employs a fixed effects model to comprehensively analyze the effects of atmospheric, climate, and digital policy combinations from multiple perspectives. The results indicate that the synergistic effects of policy combinations surpass those of single policies. In the case of single policies, they demonstrate synergy while effectively achieving policy goals. Regarding policy interactions, the interplay between two policies entails both complementary and substitution effects. When considering policy combinations, an appropriate number of policies can maximize the overall policy effect, while excessive combinations may trigger substitution effects between policies. From the perspective of policy actors, collaborative efforts among policy actors strengthen the synergistic effects of policies, though an increasing number of policy actors does not necessarily enhance the synergy. This study provides theoretical references for designing collaborative policy mechanisms and establishing a collaborative development policy network system.
Additional Links: PMID-40101489
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@article {pmid40101489,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, W and Hu, S and Liu, Y},
title = {Synergistic policy effects of digitization in reducing air pollution and addressing climate change in China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124730},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124730},
pmid = {40101489},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Given the increasing constraints of climate change and air pollution on economic growth, constructing a comprehensive policy system that promotes the coordinated development of pollution reduction, carbon mitigation, and economic growth has become the key to resolving current contradictions. However, the synergistic effects of the policy combination between digitalization, pollution reduction and carbon mitigation remain insufficiently evaluated. Based on panel data from 239 Chinese cities spanning 2014 to 2024, this study employs a fixed effects model to comprehensively analyze the effects of atmospheric, climate, and digital policy combinations from multiple perspectives. The results indicate that the synergistic effects of policy combinations surpass those of single policies. In the case of single policies, they demonstrate synergy while effectively achieving policy goals. Regarding policy interactions, the interplay between two policies entails both complementary and substitution effects. When considering policy combinations, an appropriate number of policies can maximize the overall policy effect, while excessive combinations may trigger substitution effects between policies. From the perspective of policy actors, collaborative efforts among policy actors strengthen the synergistic effects of policies, though an increasing number of policy actors does not necessarily enhance the synergy. This study provides theoretical references for designing collaborative policy mechanisms and establishing a collaborative development policy network system.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Climate change influences on vegetation photosynthesis in the Northern Hemisphere.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124976 pii:S0301-4797(25)00952-1 [Epub ahead of print].
Changes in ecosystem productivity affect terrestrial carbon sequestration. In previous research on the effects of climate change, it has been determined that prolonged growing season length (LOS) increases vegetation productivity in ecosystems. In addition to the duration of vegetation growth, the intensity of photosynthesis is another factor influencing the annual accumulated vegetation productivity. Nevertheless, the impact of climate change on productivity through photosynthetic intensity of vegetation remains uncertain. Here, we utilized the photosynthetic phenology extracted from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) to investigate the influence of climate change on the annual peak value of vegetation photosynthesis (SIFmax), as well as the contribution of SIFmax to annual accumulated gross primary productivity (GPPann) in the Northern Hemisphere (>30° N). Furthermore, the influence of changes in LOS and SIFmax on GPPann were compared. The results showed that vegetation SIFmax increased in 73.0% of the areas, and that different climatic factors (radiation, precipitation and temperature), and the advanced start of the growing season (SOS) contributed to an increase in SIFmax. GPPann was more sensitive to the peak of photosynthesis than LOS, with SIFmax being the dominant factor affecting GPPann in 39.9% of the study area, compared to 13.7% of the area dominated by LOS. Our results demonstrated that climate change increases GPPann primarily by increasing SIFmax rather than by extending LOS. While temperature was the largest contributor to GPPann among all climate factors, precipitation and radiation can also have an obvious effect on GPPann through SIFmax. Our study highlights the important mediating role of peak photosynthesis in the influence of climatic factors on the annual accumulated productivity of vegetation. The results provide implications for understanding the characteristics of vegetation response to climate change, and for the development of ecosystem restoration and carbon management strategies.
Additional Links: PMID-40101480
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid40101480,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, H and Zhang, H and Feng, Z and Zhao, J and Chen, H and Guo, X and Wang, T and Liu, Y},
title = {Climate change influences on vegetation photosynthesis in the Northern Hemisphere.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124976},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124976},
pmid = {40101480},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Changes in ecosystem productivity affect terrestrial carbon sequestration. In previous research on the effects of climate change, it has been determined that prolonged growing season length (LOS) increases vegetation productivity in ecosystems. In addition to the duration of vegetation growth, the intensity of photosynthesis is another factor influencing the annual accumulated vegetation productivity. Nevertheless, the impact of climate change on productivity through photosynthetic intensity of vegetation remains uncertain. Here, we utilized the photosynthetic phenology extracted from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) to investigate the influence of climate change on the annual peak value of vegetation photosynthesis (SIFmax), as well as the contribution of SIFmax to annual accumulated gross primary productivity (GPPann) in the Northern Hemisphere (>30° N). Furthermore, the influence of changes in LOS and SIFmax on GPPann were compared. The results showed that vegetation SIFmax increased in 73.0% of the areas, and that different climatic factors (radiation, precipitation and temperature), and the advanced start of the growing season (SOS) contributed to an increase in SIFmax. GPPann was more sensitive to the peak of photosynthesis than LOS, with SIFmax being the dominant factor affecting GPPann in 39.9% of the study area, compared to 13.7% of the area dominated by LOS. Our results demonstrated that climate change increases GPPann primarily by increasing SIFmax rather than by extending LOS. While temperature was the largest contributor to GPPann among all climate factors, precipitation and radiation can also have an obvious effect on GPPann through SIFmax. Our study highlights the important mediating role of peak photosynthesis in the influence of climatic factors on the annual accumulated productivity of vegetation. The results provide implications for understanding the characteristics of vegetation response to climate change, and for the development of ecosystem restoration and carbon management strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Reinforcement learning-based adaptive strategies for climate change adaptation: An application for coastal flood risk management.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(12):e2402826122.
Conventional computational models of climate adaptation frameworks inadequately consider decision-makers' capacity to learn, update, and improve decisions. Here, we investigate the potential of reinforcement learning (RL), a machine learning technique that efficaciously acquires knowledge from the environment and systematically optimizes dynamic decisions, in modeling and informing adaptive climate decision-making. We consider coastal flood risk mitigations for Manhattan, New York City, USA (NYC), illustrating the benefit of continuously incorporating observations of sea-level rise into systematic designs of adaptive strategies. We find that when designing adaptive seawalls to protect NYC, the RL-derived strategy significantly reduces the expected net cost by 6 to 36% under the moderate emissions scenario SSP2-4.5 (9 to 77% under the high emissions scenario SSP5-8.5), compared to conventional methods. When considering multiple adaptive policies, including accomodation and retreat as well as protection, the RL approach leads to a further 5% (15%) cost reduction, showing RL's flexibility in coordinatively addressing complex policy design problems. RL also outperforms conventional methods in controlling tail risk (i.e., low probability, high impact outcomes) and in avoiding losses induced by misinformation about the climate state (e.g., deep uncertainty), demonstrating the importance of systematic learning and updating in addressing extremes and uncertainties related to climate adaptation.
Additional Links: PMID-40100629
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@article {pmid40100629,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, K and Lin, N and Kopp, RE and Xian, S and Oppenheimer, M},
title = {Reinforcement learning-based adaptive strategies for climate change adaptation: An application for coastal flood risk management.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {12},
pages = {e2402826122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2402826122},
pmid = {40100629},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2103754//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1652448//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 62088101//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; 2021SHZDZX0100//Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project/ ; },
abstract = {Conventional computational models of climate adaptation frameworks inadequately consider decision-makers' capacity to learn, update, and improve decisions. Here, we investigate the potential of reinforcement learning (RL), a machine learning technique that efficaciously acquires knowledge from the environment and systematically optimizes dynamic decisions, in modeling and informing adaptive climate decision-making. We consider coastal flood risk mitigations for Manhattan, New York City, USA (NYC), illustrating the benefit of continuously incorporating observations of sea-level rise into systematic designs of adaptive strategies. We find that when designing adaptive seawalls to protect NYC, the RL-derived strategy significantly reduces the expected net cost by 6 to 36% under the moderate emissions scenario SSP2-4.5 (9 to 77% under the high emissions scenario SSP5-8.5), compared to conventional methods. When considering multiple adaptive policies, including accomodation and retreat as well as protection, the RL approach leads to a further 5% (15%) cost reduction, showing RL's flexibility in coordinatively addressing complex policy design problems. RL also outperforms conventional methods in controlling tail risk (i.e., low probability, high impact outcomes) and in avoiding losses induced by misinformation about the climate state (e.g., deep uncertainty), demonstrating the importance of systematic learning and updating in addressing extremes and uncertainties related to climate adaptation.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
CmpDate: 2025-03-18
Altered Phenotypic Responses of Asexual Arctic Daphnia After 10 Years of Rapid Climate Change.
Global change biology, 31(3):e70119.
Understanding the fates of organisms and ecosystems under global change requires consideration of the organisms' rapid adaptation potential. In the Arctic, the recent temperature increase strongly impacts freshwater ecosystems which are important sentinels for climate change. However, a mechanistic understanding of the adaptive capacity of their key zooplankton grazers, among them polyploid, obligate parthenogenetic Daphnia, is lacking. Theory suggests low adaptation potential of asexual animals, yet examples exist of asexuals persisting through marked environmental changes. Here, we studied asexual Daphnia pulicaria from a meromictic lake in South-West Greenland. Its oxycline hosts purple sulfur bacteria (PSB), a potential food source for Daphnia. We tested two key phenotypic traits: (1) thermal tolerance as a response to rapid regional warming and (2) hypoxia tolerance tied to grazing of PSB in the hypoxic/anoxic transition zone. To assess Daphnia's adaptive capacity, we resurrected Daphnia from dormant eggs representing a historical subpopulation from 2011, sampled modern subpopulation representatives in 2022, and measured phenotypic variation of thermal (time to immobilization-Timm) and hypoxia tolerance (respiration rate and critical oxygen limit-Pcrit) in clonal lineages of both subpopulations. Whole genome sequencing of the tested clonal lineages identified three closely related genetic clusters, one with clones from both subpopulations and two unique to each subpopulation. We observed significantly lower Timm and a trend for higher Pcrit and respiration rates in the modern subpopulation, indicating a lower tolerance to both high temperature and hypoxia in comparison with the historical subpopulation. As these two traits share common physiological mechanisms, the observed phenotypic divergence might be driven by a relaxed selection pressure on hypoxia tolerance linked to variation in PSB abundance. Our results, while contrary to our expectation of higher thermal tolerance in the modern subpopulation, provide evidence for phenotypic change within a decade in this asexual Daphnia population.
Additional Links: PMID-40099534
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@article {pmid40099534,
year = {2025},
author = {Karapli-Petritsopoulou, A and Heckelmann, JJ and Becker, D and Anderson, NJ and Frisch, D},
title = {Altered Phenotypic Responses of Asexual Arctic Daphnia After 10 Years of Rapid Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70119},
pmid = {40099534},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {033W034A//Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung/ ; 407495230//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 423957469//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 461099895//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Daphnia/physiology/genetics ; *Climate Change ; *Phenotype ; Arctic Regions ; Greenland ; Lakes ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Reproduction, Asexual ; },
abstract = {Understanding the fates of organisms and ecosystems under global change requires consideration of the organisms' rapid adaptation potential. In the Arctic, the recent temperature increase strongly impacts freshwater ecosystems which are important sentinels for climate change. However, a mechanistic understanding of the adaptive capacity of their key zooplankton grazers, among them polyploid, obligate parthenogenetic Daphnia, is lacking. Theory suggests low adaptation potential of asexual animals, yet examples exist of asexuals persisting through marked environmental changes. Here, we studied asexual Daphnia pulicaria from a meromictic lake in South-West Greenland. Its oxycline hosts purple sulfur bacteria (PSB), a potential food source for Daphnia. We tested two key phenotypic traits: (1) thermal tolerance as a response to rapid regional warming and (2) hypoxia tolerance tied to grazing of PSB in the hypoxic/anoxic transition zone. To assess Daphnia's adaptive capacity, we resurrected Daphnia from dormant eggs representing a historical subpopulation from 2011, sampled modern subpopulation representatives in 2022, and measured phenotypic variation of thermal (time to immobilization-Timm) and hypoxia tolerance (respiration rate and critical oxygen limit-Pcrit) in clonal lineages of both subpopulations. Whole genome sequencing of the tested clonal lineages identified three closely related genetic clusters, one with clones from both subpopulations and two unique to each subpopulation. We observed significantly lower Timm and a trend for higher Pcrit and respiration rates in the modern subpopulation, indicating a lower tolerance to both high temperature and hypoxia in comparison with the historical subpopulation. As these two traits share common physiological mechanisms, the observed phenotypic divergence might be driven by a relaxed selection pressure on hypoxia tolerance linked to variation in PSB abundance. Our results, while contrary to our expectation of higher thermal tolerance in the modern subpopulation, provide evidence for phenotypic change within a decade in this asexual Daphnia population.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Animals
*Daphnia/physiology/genetics
*Climate Change
*Phenotype
Arctic Regions
Greenland
Lakes
Adaptation, Physiological
Reproduction, Asexual
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Mitigating global climate change and its environmental impact is a key social responsibility of scientists and should be part of research ethics policies and guidelines.
Accountability in research [Epub ahead of print].
Scientists have both epistemic and social responsibilities. Doing good science and reproducible research work would be a scientist's epistemic responsibility, but what might constitute social responsibility is perhaps broader and more subjective. Here, I posit that mitigation of global climate change (CC) and its environmental impact would be a key contemporary social responsibility of scientists. In their research, diligence in reducing the contribution of their work to greenhouse gas emissions and CC would be morally normative. Furthermore, contributing to tackling CC and its detrimental effects would be befitting of scientists' technical expertise, and is thus an appropriate reciprocative return for the training and resources afforded to them by society (and the environment). Scientists being responsible for tackling CC and its effects can be adequately described by the terms of dimensions of responsibility alluded to by de Melo-Martin and Intemann. As such, there would be no convincing reasons to reject these as important notions that should be incorporated into research ethics guidelines and policies.
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@article {pmid40098292,
year = {2025},
author = {Tang, BL},
title = {Mitigating global climate change and its environmental impact is a key social responsibility of scientists and should be part of research ethics policies and guidelines.},
journal = {Accountability in research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1080/08989621.2025.2479494},
pmid = {40098292},
issn = {1545-5815},
abstract = {Scientists have both epistemic and social responsibilities. Doing good science and reproducible research work would be a scientist's epistemic responsibility, but what might constitute social responsibility is perhaps broader and more subjective. Here, I posit that mitigation of global climate change (CC) and its environmental impact would be a key contemporary social responsibility of scientists. In their research, diligence in reducing the contribution of their work to greenhouse gas emissions and CC would be morally normative. Furthermore, contributing to tackling CC and its detrimental effects would be befitting of scientists' technical expertise, and is thus an appropriate reciprocative return for the training and resources afforded to them by society (and the environment). Scientists being responsible for tackling CC and its effects can be adequately described by the terms of dimensions of responsibility alluded to by de Melo-Martin and Intemann. As such, there would be no convincing reasons to reject these as important notions that should be incorporated into research ethics guidelines and policies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
The coupled effect of climate change and LUCC on meteorological drought in a karst drainage basin, Southwest China.
Scientific reports, 15(1):9134.
With global warming and the acceleration of the water cycle, the frequency and severity of droughts have progressively increased. Although Southwest China is located inland, the combined effects of global climate change, regional climate anomalies, and human activities have led to a diversified set of driving mechanisms for meteorological droughts. Based on monthly global and regional meteorological factors (10 global factors and 8 regional factors) and land use/land cover data from 1948 to 2023, this study employs classical correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, and Bayesian principles to explore the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of meteorological droughts in Southwest China, as well as their driving mechanisms. The results show that: (1) between 1948 and 2023, meteorological droughts in Southwest China exhibited a north-south (annual average, spring, and winter) or east-west decreasing trend (autumn) and alternating east-west intensity in summer. The drought frequency ranged from 0.35 to 0.39, generally showing a decreasing trend from southwest to northeast. (2) Global atmospheric circulation significantly influences meteorological droughts in Southwest China, especially during El Niño years, when global atmospheric circulation factors such as Nino 3.4 and SOI have a more prominent impact on drought, particularly in the summer and autumn. In contrast, during La Niña years, drought intensity and frequency are more pronounced in spring and autumn. Regional climate factors, particularly temperature and evapotranspiration, also have a significant effect on drought across different seasons, especially in winter and spring, when higher temperatures and evapotranspiration exacerbate droughts, and precipitation has a relatively weaker effect. (3) Land use changes significantly affect meteorological droughts in Southwest China, with a driving probability ranging from 0.39 to 0.42. Under different climate conditions, the driving probabilities of land use changes are ranked as follows: El Niño years (0.32-0.52) > Normal years (0.31-0.51) > La Niña years (0.27-0.50). In particular, land use changes such as the expansion of built-up areas and the reduction of farmland could intensify the frequency and severity of meteorological droughts in drought-prone areas. Additionally, the reduction of green spaces or forests may also exacerbate droughts, especially during the urbanization process. Notably, during El Niño years, the driving effect of various landforms on drought shows different skewed distributions. Therefore, this study clarifies, to some extent, the evolution and mechanisms of meteorological droughts in Southwest China and provides technical guidance and theoretical support for drought prevention and disaster relief efforts in the Karst region.
Additional Links: PMID-40097521
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40097521,
year = {2025},
author = {He, Z and Gu, X and Wang, M and Xu, M},
title = {The coupled effect of climate change and LUCC on meteorological drought in a karst drainage basin, Southwest China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9134},
pmid = {40097521},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {QKHJ-ZK[2023] Key028//Natural Science Foundation of Guizhou Province, China/ ; KT202237//Natural and scientific research fund of Guizhou Water Resources Department/ ; u1612441; 41471032//Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; QKH J [2010] No. 2026, QKH J [2013] No. 2208//Natural and scientific fund of Guizhou Science and Technology Agency/ ; 2015//2015 Doctor Scientific Research Startup Project of Guizhou Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {With global warming and the acceleration of the water cycle, the frequency and severity of droughts have progressively increased. Although Southwest China is located inland, the combined effects of global climate change, regional climate anomalies, and human activities have led to a diversified set of driving mechanisms for meteorological droughts. Based on monthly global and regional meteorological factors (10 global factors and 8 regional factors) and land use/land cover data from 1948 to 2023, this study employs classical correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, and Bayesian principles to explore the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of meteorological droughts in Southwest China, as well as their driving mechanisms. The results show that: (1) between 1948 and 2023, meteorological droughts in Southwest China exhibited a north-south (annual average, spring, and winter) or east-west decreasing trend (autumn) and alternating east-west intensity in summer. The drought frequency ranged from 0.35 to 0.39, generally showing a decreasing trend from southwest to northeast. (2) Global atmospheric circulation significantly influences meteorological droughts in Southwest China, especially during El Niño years, when global atmospheric circulation factors such as Nino 3.4 and SOI have a more prominent impact on drought, particularly in the summer and autumn. In contrast, during La Niña years, drought intensity and frequency are more pronounced in spring and autumn. Regional climate factors, particularly temperature and evapotranspiration, also have a significant effect on drought across different seasons, especially in winter and spring, when higher temperatures and evapotranspiration exacerbate droughts, and precipitation has a relatively weaker effect. (3) Land use changes significantly affect meteorological droughts in Southwest China, with a driving probability ranging from 0.39 to 0.42. Under different climate conditions, the driving probabilities of land use changes are ranked as follows: El Niño years (0.32-0.52) > Normal years (0.31-0.51) > La Niña years (0.27-0.50). In particular, land use changes such as the expansion of built-up areas and the reduction of farmland could intensify the frequency and severity of meteorological droughts in drought-prone areas. Additionally, the reduction of green spaces or forests may also exacerbate droughts, especially during the urbanization process. Notably, during El Niño years, the driving effect of various landforms on drought shows different skewed distributions. Therefore, this study clarifies, to some extent, the evolution and mechanisms of meteorological droughts in Southwest China and provides technical guidance and theoretical support for drought prevention and disaster relief efforts in the Karst region.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-20
CmpDate: 2025-03-18
Artificial structures can facilitate rapid coral recovery under climate change.
Scientific reports, 15(1):9116.
Rising seawater temperatures from climate change have caused coral bleaching, risking coral extinction by century's end. To save corals, reef restoration must occur alongside other climate-change mitigation. Here we show the effectiveness of habitat creation on artificial structures for rapid coral restoration in response to climate change. We use 29 years of field observations for coral distributions on breakwaters and surrounding reefs (around 33,000 measurements in total). Following bleaching in 1998, breakwaters had higher coral cover (mainly Acropora spp.) than did surrounding natural reefs. Coral recovery times on breakwaters matched the frequency of recent bleaching events (~ every 6 years) and were accelerated by surface processing of the artificial structures with grooves. Corals on breakwaters were more abundant in shallow waters, under high light, and on moderately sloped substrate. Coral abundance on breakwaters was increased by incorporating shallow areas and surface texture. Our results suggest that habitat creation on artificial structures can increase coral community resilience against climate change by increasing coral recovery potential.
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@article {pmid40097480,
year = {2025},
author = {Tanaya, T and Iwamura, S and Okada, W and Kuwae, T},
title = {Artificial structures can facilitate rapid coral recovery under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9116},
pmid = {40097480},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Anthozoa/physiology ; *Coral Reefs ; *Ecosystem ; Coral Bleaching ; Seawater ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {Rising seawater temperatures from climate change have caused coral bleaching, risking coral extinction by century's end. To save corals, reef restoration must occur alongside other climate-change mitigation. Here we show the effectiveness of habitat creation on artificial structures for rapid coral restoration in response to climate change. We use 29 years of field observations for coral distributions on breakwaters and surrounding reefs (around 33,000 measurements in total). Following bleaching in 1998, breakwaters had higher coral cover (mainly Acropora spp.) than did surrounding natural reefs. Coral recovery times on breakwaters matched the frequency of recent bleaching events (~ every 6 years) and were accelerated by surface processing of the artificial structures with grooves. Corals on breakwaters were more abundant in shallow waters, under high light, and on moderately sloped substrate. Coral abundance on breakwaters was increased by incorporating shallow areas and surface texture. Our results suggest that habitat creation on artificial structures can increase coral community resilience against climate change by increasing coral recovery potential.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
Animals
*Anthozoa/physiology
*Coral Reefs
*Ecosystem
Coral Bleaching
Seawater
Conservation of Natural Resources/methods
RevDate: 2025-03-20
Monitoring, modeling, and forecasting long-term changes in coastal seawater quality due to climate change.
Nature communications, 16(1):2616.
As climate change affects the physicochemical properties of coastal water, the resulting element re-exposure may override the emission reductions achieved by human pollution control efforts. Here, we conduct an analysis the water quality-climate effect over eight consecutive years from 2015 to 2022 along the South China coast combined with CMIP6 Scenario Model Intercomparison Project. Then we utilized a data-driven model to predict the concentrations of trace metals and nutrients over the next 80 years. It is suggested that the acidification process carries the risk of triggering the ocean's buffering mechanisms. During this alkalinity replenishment process, trace metals, such as Cd, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mn, Pb, and Zn, in the sediment are released into the water phase, along with Ca[2+] and Mg[2+]. Here, the aim of this study is to show that the nexus of re-exposure-eutrophication-emission reduction with human activities and climate feedback, cannot be ignored in the pursuit of effective environmental governance.
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@article {pmid40097418,
year = {2025},
author = {Guan, X and Huang, H and Ke, X and Cheng, X and Zhang, H and Chen, A and Qiu, G and Wu, H and Wei, C},
title = {Monitoring, modeling, and forecasting long-term changes in coastal seawater quality due to climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {2616},
pmid = {40097418},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {No. U1901218//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; No. 42277379//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {As climate change affects the physicochemical properties of coastal water, the resulting element re-exposure may override the emission reductions achieved by human pollution control efforts. Here, we conduct an analysis the water quality-climate effect over eight consecutive years from 2015 to 2022 along the South China coast combined with CMIP6 Scenario Model Intercomparison Project. Then we utilized a data-driven model to predict the concentrations of trace metals and nutrients over the next 80 years. It is suggested that the acidification process carries the risk of triggering the ocean's buffering mechanisms. During this alkalinity replenishment process, trace metals, such as Cd, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mn, Pb, and Zn, in the sediment are released into the water phase, along with Ca[2+] and Mg[2+]. Here, the aim of this study is to show that the nexus of re-exposure-eutrophication-emission reduction with human activities and climate feedback, cannot be ignored in the pursuit of effective environmental governance.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-17
CmpDate: 2025-03-17
Climate Change and Cancer Care.
Clinical journal of oncology nursing, 29(2):110-111.
To commemorate ONS's 50th anniversary in 2025, throughout the year, we will be reprinting seminal editorials written by former editors of the Oncology Nursing Forum and the Clinical Journal of Oncology Nursing that have.
Additional Links: PMID-40096566
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@article {pmid40096566,
year = {2025},
author = {Mayer, DK and McCabe, M},
title = {Climate Change and Cancer Care.},
journal = {Clinical journal of oncology nursing},
volume = {29},
number = {2},
pages = {110-111},
doi = {10.1188/25.CJON.110-111},
pmid = {40096566},
issn = {1538-067X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Neoplasms/therapy/nursing ; *Oncology Nursing ; },
abstract = {To commemorate ONS's 50th anniversary in 2025, throughout the year, we will be reprinting seminal editorials written by former editors of the Oncology Nursing Forum and the Clinical Journal of Oncology Nursing that have.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Humans
*Climate Change
*Neoplasms/therapy/nursing
*Oncology Nursing
RevDate: 2025-03-17
CmpDate: 2025-03-17
Synergistic impact of temperature rises and ferric oxide nanoparticles on biochemical and oxidative stress biomarkers in Oreochromis niloticus: relevant environmental risk assessment under predicted global warming.
Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(4):409.
Global warming and contamination of freshwater environments with nanoparticles (NPs) pose a global threat to biodiversity. Numerous studies demonstrated the effects of increasing temperatures and NPs separately, but their combined impact on aquatic life remains poorly understood or unstudied, particularly under predicted rising temperatures resulting from global warming (+ 2 and + 4 °C). So, the present study aims to determine how the temperature rises affect the toxicological characteristics of ferric oxide nanoparticles (Fe2O3 NPs) on the prevalent freshwater fish, Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus). Fish samples were randomly put into six glass aquaria groups: 0 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs and 25 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs groups at 30 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C with duplicated aquaria per group for 4 days. Hydrodynamic size and zeta potential evaluations revealed that Fe2O3 NPs' aggregation in water decreases with high temperature. Additionally, increasing the temperature and exposure to Fe2O3 NPs led to a significant rise in total proteins, albumin, globulin, plasma aspartate aminotransferase (AST), plasma alanine aminotransferase (ALT), plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. We also noticed alterations in the amounts of malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione reduced (GSH), and catalase (CAT) in the fish's liver and gills. Finally, our findings indicated that Fe2O3 NPs' toxicity in fish escalated with increasing temperature, peaking at 34 °C due to particle property changes caused by temperature elevation. Therefore, it should not ignore the impact of the projected global increasing temperatures on NPs toxicity in freshwater habitats.
Additional Links: PMID-40095155
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@article {pmid40095155,
year = {2025},
author = {Mohamed, AF and Mohamed, AS and Abdel-Khalek, AA and Badran, SR},
title = {Synergistic impact of temperature rises and ferric oxide nanoparticles on biochemical and oxidative stress biomarkers in Oreochromis niloticus: relevant environmental risk assessment under predicted global warming.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {4},
pages = {409},
pmid = {40095155},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Animals ; *Global Warming ; *Oxidative Stress ; *Cichlids/metabolism ; *Biomarkers/metabolism ; *Ferric Compounds/toxicity ; Risk Assessment ; Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity ; Temperature ; Magnetic Iron Oxide Nanoparticles/toxicity ; Environmental Monitoring ; Nanoparticles/toxicity ; },
abstract = {Global warming and contamination of freshwater environments with nanoparticles (NPs) pose a global threat to biodiversity. Numerous studies demonstrated the effects of increasing temperatures and NPs separately, but their combined impact on aquatic life remains poorly understood or unstudied, particularly under predicted rising temperatures resulting from global warming (+ 2 and + 4 °C). So, the present study aims to determine how the temperature rises affect the toxicological characteristics of ferric oxide nanoparticles (Fe2O3 NPs) on the prevalent freshwater fish, Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus). Fish samples were randomly put into six glass aquaria groups: 0 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs and 25 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs groups at 30 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C with duplicated aquaria per group for 4 days. Hydrodynamic size and zeta potential evaluations revealed that Fe2O3 NPs' aggregation in water decreases with high temperature. Additionally, increasing the temperature and exposure to Fe2O3 NPs led to a significant rise in total proteins, albumin, globulin, plasma aspartate aminotransferase (AST), plasma alanine aminotransferase (ALT), plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. We also noticed alterations in the amounts of malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione reduced (GSH), and catalase (CAT) in the fish's liver and gills. Finally, our findings indicated that Fe2O3 NPs' toxicity in fish escalated with increasing temperature, peaking at 34 °C due to particle property changes caused by temperature elevation. Therefore, it should not ignore the impact of the projected global increasing temperatures on NPs toxicity in freshwater habitats.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Global Warming
*Oxidative Stress
*Cichlids/metabolism
*Biomarkers/metabolism
*Ferric Compounds/toxicity
Risk Assessment
Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity
Temperature
Magnetic Iron Oxide Nanoparticles/toxicity
Environmental Monitoring
Nanoparticles/toxicity
RevDate: 2025-03-19
MaxEnt-Based Distribution Modeling of the Invasive Species Phragmites australis Under Climate Change Conditions in Iraq.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(5):.
Phragmites australis (common reed), a recently introduced invasive species in Iraq, has swiftly established itself as a vigorous perennial plant, significantly impacting the biodiversity and ecosystem functions of Iraqi ecoregions with alarming consequences. There is an insufficient understanding of both the current distribution and possible future trends under climate change scenarios. Consequently, this study seeks to model the current and future potential distribution of this invasive species in Iraq using machine learning techniques (i.e., MaxEnt) alongside geospatial tools integrated within a GIS framework. Land-cover features, such as herbaceous zones, wetlands, annual precipitation, and elevation, emerged as optimal conditioning factors for supporting the species' invasiveness and habitat through vegetation cover and moisture retention. These factors collectively contributed by nearly 85% to the distribution of P. australis in Iraq. In addition, the results indicate a net decline in high-suitability habitats for P. australis under both the SSP126 (moderate mitigation; 5.33% habitat loss) and SSP585 (high emissions; 6.74% habitat loss) scenarios, with losses concentrated in southern and northern Iraq. The model demonstrated robust reliability, achieving an AUC score of 0.9 ± 0.012, which reflects high predictive accuracy. The study area covers approximately 430,632.17 km[2], of which 64,065.66 km[2] (14.87% of the total region) was classified as the optimal habitat for P. australis. While climate projections indicate an overall decline (i.e., SSP126 (5.33% loss) and SSP585 (6.74% loss)) in suitable habitats for P. australis across Iraq, certain localized regions may experience increased habitat suitability, reflecting potential gains (i.e., SSP126 (3.58% gain) and SSP585 (1.82% gain)) in specific areas. Policymakers should focus on regions with emerging suitability risks for proactive monitoring and management. Additionally, areas already infested by the species require enhanced surveillance and containment measures to mitigate ecological and socioeconomic impacts.
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@article {pmid40094769,
year = {2025},
author = {Khwarahm, NR},
title = {MaxEnt-Based Distribution Modeling of the Invasive Species Phragmites australis Under Climate Change Conditions in Iraq.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094769},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Phragmites australis (common reed), a recently introduced invasive species in Iraq, has swiftly established itself as a vigorous perennial plant, significantly impacting the biodiversity and ecosystem functions of Iraqi ecoregions with alarming consequences. There is an insufficient understanding of both the current distribution and possible future trends under climate change scenarios. Consequently, this study seeks to model the current and future potential distribution of this invasive species in Iraq using machine learning techniques (i.e., MaxEnt) alongside geospatial tools integrated within a GIS framework. Land-cover features, such as herbaceous zones, wetlands, annual precipitation, and elevation, emerged as optimal conditioning factors for supporting the species' invasiveness and habitat through vegetation cover and moisture retention. These factors collectively contributed by nearly 85% to the distribution of P. australis in Iraq. In addition, the results indicate a net decline in high-suitability habitats for P. australis under both the SSP126 (moderate mitigation; 5.33% habitat loss) and SSP585 (high emissions; 6.74% habitat loss) scenarios, with losses concentrated in southern and northern Iraq. The model demonstrated robust reliability, achieving an AUC score of 0.9 ± 0.012, which reflects high predictive accuracy. The study area covers approximately 430,632.17 km[2], of which 64,065.66 km[2] (14.87% of the total region) was classified as the optimal habitat for P. australis. While climate projections indicate an overall decline (i.e., SSP126 (5.33% loss) and SSP585 (6.74% loss)) in suitable habitats for P. australis across Iraq, certain localized regions may experience increased habitat suitability, reflecting potential gains (i.e., SSP126 (3.58% gain) and SSP585 (1.82% gain)) in specific areas. Policymakers should focus on regions with emerging suitability risks for proactive monitoring and management. Additionally, areas already infested by the species require enhanced surveillance and containment measures to mitigate ecological and socioeconomic impacts.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-19
Prediction of Potential Distribution and Response of Changium smyrnioides to Climate Change Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(5):.
Changium smyrnioides, an endangered herb known for its medicinal roots, contains essential amino acids that are vital for human health but cannot be synthesized by the body. However, wild populations of this species have been steadily declining due to the combined impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of C. smyrnioides under different climate scenarios and to evaluate its responses to climate change. Our findings demonstrated that the MaxEnt model achieved optimal performance with a regularization multiplier of 0.5 and a feature combination of linear and quadratic terms. Among the environmental variables, three emerged as the most critical factors shaping the species' potential distribution: elevation, precipitation of the driest month (bio14), and isothermality (bio2/bio7 × 100, bio3). Currently, the primary suitable habitats for C. smyrnioides are concentrated in Jiangsu Province, with an estimated 21,135 km[2] classified as highly suitable. The analysis further indicated that, in response to rising temperatures, C. smyrnioides is likely to shift its distribution northeastward across China. Notably, the results suggested that the total area of suitable habitats would increase over time under projected climate scenarios. Based on the predicted centroid migration of suitable habitats, Anhui Province was identified as a critical future conservation zone for C. smyrnioides. This region could serve as a vital refuge, ensuring the long-term survival of the species under changing climatic conditions. Overall, this study provides key insights into the ecological responses of C. smyrnioides to climate change, offering evidence-based guidance for the development of effective conservation strategies aimed at safeguarding this endangered herb.
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@article {pmid40094718,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhu, X and Jiang, X and Chen, Y and Li, C and Ding, S and Zhang, X and Luo, L and Jia, Y and Zhao, G},
title = {Prediction of Potential Distribution and Response of Changium smyrnioides to Climate Change Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094718},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2024SF-GJHX-4//Key research and Development Program of Shaanxi/ ; },
abstract = {Changium smyrnioides, an endangered herb known for its medicinal roots, contains essential amino acids that are vital for human health but cannot be synthesized by the body. However, wild populations of this species have been steadily declining due to the combined impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of C. smyrnioides under different climate scenarios and to evaluate its responses to climate change. Our findings demonstrated that the MaxEnt model achieved optimal performance with a regularization multiplier of 0.5 and a feature combination of linear and quadratic terms. Among the environmental variables, three emerged as the most critical factors shaping the species' potential distribution: elevation, precipitation of the driest month (bio14), and isothermality (bio2/bio7 × 100, bio3). Currently, the primary suitable habitats for C. smyrnioides are concentrated in Jiangsu Province, with an estimated 21,135 km[2] classified as highly suitable. The analysis further indicated that, in response to rising temperatures, C. smyrnioides is likely to shift its distribution northeastward across China. Notably, the results suggested that the total area of suitable habitats would increase over time under projected climate scenarios. Based on the predicted centroid migration of suitable habitats, Anhui Province was identified as a critical future conservation zone for C. smyrnioides. This region could serve as a vital refuge, ensuring the long-term survival of the species under changing climatic conditions. Overall, this study provides key insights into the ecological responses of C. smyrnioides to climate change, offering evidence-based guidance for the development of effective conservation strategies aimed at safeguarding this endangered herb.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-19
MaxEnt Modeling and Effects of Climate Change on Shifts in Habitat Suitability for Sorbus alnifolia in China.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(5):.
Anthropogenic climate change stands out as one of the primary forces expected to reshape Earth's ecosystems and global biodiversity in the coming decades. Sorbus alnifolia, which occurs in deciduous forests, is valued for its ornamental appeal and practical uses but is reported to be declining in the wild. Nevertheless, the distribution of this species' suitable range, along with the key ecological and environmental drivers that shape its habitat suitability, remains largely unknown. By analyzing 198 occurrence records and 54 environmental factors, we employed MaxEnt to project S. alnifolia's current and future habitat suitability. Our results showed that annual precipitation (37.4%), normalized difference vegetation index (30.0%), August water vapor pressure (20.8%), and temperature annual range (3.4%) were the most significant variables explaining S. alnifolia's environmental requirements. The suitable habitats were primarily scattered across eastern and central China. Under projected future climatic conditions, the total expanse of potential habitat is expected to increase. However, most of this expansion involves low-suitability habitats, whereas moderately and highly suitable habitats are likely to shrink, especially in southern and lower-altitude regions of China. Based on these findings, we propose several conservation strategies to support the long-term sustainability of S. alnifolia.
Additional Links: PMID-40094567
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@article {pmid40094567,
year = {2025},
author = {Luo, Y and Yang, J and Liu, L and Zhang, K},
title = {MaxEnt Modeling and Effects of Climate Change on Shifts in Habitat Suitability for Sorbus alnifolia in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094567},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32471591//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; SJCX21_1614.//Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province/ ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change stands out as one of the primary forces expected to reshape Earth's ecosystems and global biodiversity in the coming decades. Sorbus alnifolia, which occurs in deciduous forests, is valued for its ornamental appeal and practical uses but is reported to be declining in the wild. Nevertheless, the distribution of this species' suitable range, along with the key ecological and environmental drivers that shape its habitat suitability, remains largely unknown. By analyzing 198 occurrence records and 54 environmental factors, we employed MaxEnt to project S. alnifolia's current and future habitat suitability. Our results showed that annual precipitation (37.4%), normalized difference vegetation index (30.0%), August water vapor pressure (20.8%), and temperature annual range (3.4%) were the most significant variables explaining S. alnifolia's environmental requirements. The suitable habitats were primarily scattered across eastern and central China. Under projected future climatic conditions, the total expanse of potential habitat is expected to increase. However, most of this expansion involves low-suitability habitats, whereas moderately and highly suitable habitats are likely to shrink, especially in southern and lower-altitude regions of China. Based on these findings, we propose several conservation strategies to support the long-term sustainability of S. alnifolia.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
Mapping multilevel adaptation response to protect maternal and child health from climate change impacts: A scoping review.
iScience, 28(3):111914.
Anthropogenic climate change attributed increases in air pollution, rising temperatures, and extreme weather events are linked to a higher risk of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes, necessitating interventions to protect maternal and child health. This scoping review mapped multilevel adaptation strategies implemented to protect maternal and child health from climate change effects. Eighteen unique adaptation strategies we identified included educational interventions, risk communication, air purifiers, air cleaning strategies, nutrition supplementation, cash transfer, employment guarantee scheme, community health worker program, chemoprophylaxis, insecticide-treated nests, home and environmental remediation, and bioethanol cooking fuel. Our findings suggest that these adaptation strategies are generally nonspecific and fail to address the specialized needs and unique health risks faced by pregnant women and young children. Prioritizing the involvement of pregnant women, mothers of young children and local healthcare services in developing tailored adaptation interventions is crucial to support climate change adaptation, resilience, and reducing maternal and child health risks.
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@article {pmid40092619,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhandari, D and Robinson, E and Pollock, W and Watterson, J and Su, TT and Lokmic-Tomkins, Z},
title = {Mapping multilevel adaptation response to protect maternal and child health from climate change impacts: A scoping review.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {28},
number = {3},
pages = {111914},
pmid = {40092619},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change attributed increases in air pollution, rising temperatures, and extreme weather events are linked to a higher risk of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes, necessitating interventions to protect maternal and child health. This scoping review mapped multilevel adaptation strategies implemented to protect maternal and child health from climate change effects. Eighteen unique adaptation strategies we identified included educational interventions, risk communication, air purifiers, air cleaning strategies, nutrition supplementation, cash transfer, employment guarantee scheme, community health worker program, chemoprophylaxis, insecticide-treated nests, home and environmental remediation, and bioethanol cooking fuel. Our findings suggest that these adaptation strategies are generally nonspecific and fail to address the specialized needs and unique health risks faced by pregnant women and young children. Prioritizing the involvement of pregnant women, mothers of young children and local healthcare services in developing tailored adaptation interventions is crucial to support climate change adaptation, resilience, and reducing maternal and child health risks.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-17
CmpDate: 2025-03-17
Challenges and Adaptive Measures for the Potential Next Pandemic Caused by Climate Change.
Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 19:e59 pii:S1935789325000564.
Climate change is increasingly recognized as a significant driver of emerging infectious diseases, with the potential to catalyze the next global pandemic. This paper explores the complex interplay between climate change and the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the environmental, ecological, and socio-economic factors that contribute to disease transmission. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and habitat destruction are reshaping ecosystems, bringing humans into closer contact with zoonotic reservoirs and vectors. These changes amplify the risk of spillover events, as seen in recent outbreaks. The study identifies key challenges, including inadequate surveillance systems, limited global cooperation, and the disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations. Furthermore, it proposes adaptive measures such as enhanced early warning systems, integrated One Health approaches, and climate-resilient public health infrastructure. By addressing these challenges and implementing proactive strategies, the global community can mitigate the risk of a climate-driven pandemic and strengthen preparedness for future health crises. This paper underscores the urgent need for interdisciplinary collaboration and policy innovation to safeguard global health in the face of a changing climate.
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@article {pmid40091659,
year = {2025},
author = {Moslehi, S and Narimani, S and Soleimanpour, S},
title = {Challenges and Adaptive Measures for the Potential Next Pandemic Caused by Climate Change.},
journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {e59},
doi = {10.1017/dmp.2025.56},
pmid = {40091659},
issn = {1938-744X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Pandemics ; Global Health ; Animals ; Public Health/methods/trends ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly recognized as a significant driver of emerging infectious diseases, with the potential to catalyze the next global pandemic. This paper explores the complex interplay between climate change and the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the environmental, ecological, and socio-economic factors that contribute to disease transmission. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and habitat destruction are reshaping ecosystems, bringing humans into closer contact with zoonotic reservoirs and vectors. These changes amplify the risk of spillover events, as seen in recent outbreaks. The study identifies key challenges, including inadequate surveillance systems, limited global cooperation, and the disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations. Furthermore, it proposes adaptive measures such as enhanced early warning systems, integrated One Health approaches, and climate-resilient public health infrastructure. By addressing these challenges and implementing proactive strategies, the global community can mitigate the risk of a climate-driven pandemic and strengthen preparedness for future health crises. This paper underscores the urgent need for interdisciplinary collaboration and policy innovation to safeguard global health in the face of a changing climate.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Humans
*Climate Change
*Pandemics
Global Health
Animals
Public Health/methods/trends
RevDate: 2025-03-16
Impact on beclometasone dipropionate pharmacokinetics when switching to a low global warming potential propellant in a pressurised metered-dose inhaler.
Pulmonary pharmacology & therapeutics pii:S1094-5539(25)00013-6 [Epub ahead of print].
INTRODUCTION: Use of high global warming potential propellants (e.g., HFA-134a) for pressurised metered-dose inhalers (pMDIs) is being phased down. Beclometasone dipropionate (BDP) is approved for the treatment of asthma in several countries via an HFA-134a propellant pMDI. This is being reformulated using the low global warming potential propellant HFA-152a. Two studies compared BDP pharmacokinetics delivered via pMDI using HFA-152a vs HFA-134a.
METHODS: Both studies (N=71/study) were single-dose (four inhalations of BDP), randomised, double-blind, crossover (Study 1, four-way; Study 2, two-way), in healthy volunteers. In Study 1, subjects inhaled BDP via HFA-134a pMDI in two periods (200 μg/actuation in one period, 100 μg/actuation in the other) and HFA-152a pMDI in the other two (200 or 100 μg/actuation). In Study 2, subjects inhaled BDP 200 μg/actuation via HFA-134a or HFA-152a pMDI using a spacer device. pMDIs containing HFA-152a and HFA-134a were compared in terms of lung availability (BDP comparisons) and total systemic exposure (beclometasone-17-monopropionate comparisons [B17MP; active metabolite of BDP]), with bioequivalence concluded if the 90% confidence intervals (CIs) of the geometric mean ratios of maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) and area under the plasma concentration-time curve between time zero and the last quantifiable timepoint (AUC0-t) were between 80-125%.
RESULTS: BDP Cmax and AUC0-t were equivalent for the two BDP 200 μg formulations, without (Study 1) and with spacer (Study 2). BDP 100 μg AUC0-t met the bioequivalence criteria, but the Cmax lower 90% CI was marginally below the bioequivalence limit (79.46%). B17MP Cmax and AUC0-t were bioequivalent with both propellants in all three comparisons.
CONCLUSIONS: Overall, bioequivalence was confirmed of HFA-152a and HFA-134a for BDP 200 μg/actuation, with and without a spacer. Although bioequivalence of the two formulations cannot be formally concluded for BDP 100 μg, the minimal difference suggests the two formulations can be considered therapeutically equivalent.
Additional Links: PMID-40090514
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@article {pmid40090514,
year = {2025},
author = {Rony, F and Pittelli, MG and Contursi, C and Pacchetti, I and Calabrò, ER and Viganò, LV and Mathews, KS and Poli, G and Van Leuven, K and Martini, M},
title = {Impact on beclometasone dipropionate pharmacokinetics when switching to a low global warming potential propellant in a pressurised metered-dose inhaler.},
journal = {Pulmonary pharmacology & therapeutics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {102356},
doi = {10.1016/j.pupt.2025.102356},
pmid = {40090514},
issn = {1522-9629},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Use of high global warming potential propellants (e.g., HFA-134a) for pressurised metered-dose inhalers (pMDIs) is being phased down. Beclometasone dipropionate (BDP) is approved for the treatment of asthma in several countries via an HFA-134a propellant pMDI. This is being reformulated using the low global warming potential propellant HFA-152a. Two studies compared BDP pharmacokinetics delivered via pMDI using HFA-152a vs HFA-134a.
METHODS: Both studies (N=71/study) were single-dose (four inhalations of BDP), randomised, double-blind, crossover (Study 1, four-way; Study 2, two-way), in healthy volunteers. In Study 1, subjects inhaled BDP via HFA-134a pMDI in two periods (200 μg/actuation in one period, 100 μg/actuation in the other) and HFA-152a pMDI in the other two (200 or 100 μg/actuation). In Study 2, subjects inhaled BDP 200 μg/actuation via HFA-134a or HFA-152a pMDI using a spacer device. pMDIs containing HFA-152a and HFA-134a were compared in terms of lung availability (BDP comparisons) and total systemic exposure (beclometasone-17-monopropionate comparisons [B17MP; active metabolite of BDP]), with bioequivalence concluded if the 90% confidence intervals (CIs) of the geometric mean ratios of maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) and area under the plasma concentration-time curve between time zero and the last quantifiable timepoint (AUC0-t) were between 80-125%.
RESULTS: BDP Cmax and AUC0-t were equivalent for the two BDP 200 μg formulations, without (Study 1) and with spacer (Study 2). BDP 100 μg AUC0-t met the bioequivalence criteria, but the Cmax lower 90% CI was marginally below the bioequivalence limit (79.46%). B17MP Cmax and AUC0-t were bioequivalent with both propellants in all three comparisons.
CONCLUSIONS: Overall, bioequivalence was confirmed of HFA-152a and HFA-134a for BDP 200 μg/actuation, with and without a spacer. Although bioequivalence of the two formulations cannot be formally concluded for BDP 100 μg, the minimal difference suggests the two formulations can be considered therapeutically equivalent.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-16
Exacerbated anthropogenic water pollution under climate change and urbanization.
Water research, 280:123449 pii:S0043-1354(25)00362-8 [Epub ahead of print].
Anthropogenic water pollution severely threatens human society worldwide, yet the water pollution induced by combined sewer overflow (CSO) remains unclear within climate change and urbanization. Hence, this study integrated the general circulation model (GCM) and shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) projections with water quality modeling, to analyze spatiotemporal patterns and future trends of CSO-induced water pollution under changing environments. Results demonstrated that the given area (Dresden, Germany) encountered significant CSO-induced pollution, with 14,860 kg (95 % confidence interval, CI: 9,040-15,630 kg) of particulate matter (SS), organic compounds (COD, TN, TP), and pharmaceuticals (Carbamazepine, Gabapentin, Ciprofloxacin, Sulfamethoxazole) being discharged annually. Climate change and urbanization exacerbated the severity of CSO-induced pollution, causing the discharged pollutants to reach a maximum annual load of 34,900 kg (CI: 21,400-44,100 kg), with up to 82.19 % of organic compounds and 75.28 % of pharmaceuticals being discharged by the top 25 % of extreme CSOs. GIS-based spatial analysis indicated the regional heterogeneities of CSO-induced pollution, the high-frequency CSOs were predominantly located in highly-impervious areas, while the high-load discharges mainly occurred in densely-populated areas. Scenario analysis revealed stronger temporal variabilities of CSO-induced pollution in the future, with the seasonal anomalies of discharged loads ranging from -86.18 % to 76.89 %. In addition, pharmaceutical pollution exhibited significant uncertainties under changing environments, and the CI of discharged load expanded by up to 131.71 %. The methods and findings herein yielded further insights into water quality management in response to changing environments.
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@article {pmid40090145,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, W and Schmidt, C and Wu, S and Zhao, Z and Li, R and Wang, Z and Wang, H and Hua, P and Krebs, P and Zhang, J},
title = {Exacerbated anthropogenic water pollution under climate change and urbanization.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {280},
number = {},
pages = {123449},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123449},
pmid = {40090145},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Anthropogenic water pollution severely threatens human society worldwide, yet the water pollution induced by combined sewer overflow (CSO) remains unclear within climate change and urbanization. Hence, this study integrated the general circulation model (GCM) and shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) projections with water quality modeling, to analyze spatiotemporal patterns and future trends of CSO-induced water pollution under changing environments. Results demonstrated that the given area (Dresden, Germany) encountered significant CSO-induced pollution, with 14,860 kg (95 % confidence interval, CI: 9,040-15,630 kg) of particulate matter (SS), organic compounds (COD, TN, TP), and pharmaceuticals (Carbamazepine, Gabapentin, Ciprofloxacin, Sulfamethoxazole) being discharged annually. Climate change and urbanization exacerbated the severity of CSO-induced pollution, causing the discharged pollutants to reach a maximum annual load of 34,900 kg (CI: 21,400-44,100 kg), with up to 82.19 % of organic compounds and 75.28 % of pharmaceuticals being discharged by the top 25 % of extreme CSOs. GIS-based spatial analysis indicated the regional heterogeneities of CSO-induced pollution, the high-frequency CSOs were predominantly located in highly-impervious areas, while the high-load discharges mainly occurred in densely-populated areas. Scenario analysis revealed stronger temporal variabilities of CSO-induced pollution in the future, with the seasonal anomalies of discharged loads ranging from -86.18 % to 76.89 %. In addition, pharmaceutical pollution exhibited significant uncertainties under changing environments, and the CI of discharged load expanded by up to 131.71 %. The methods and findings herein yielded further insights into water quality management in response to changing environments.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
CmpDate: 2025-03-16
Climate change impacts on tomato production in high-tech soilless greenhouses in Türki̇ye.
BMC plant biology, 25(1):339.
Climate change and its impact on agricultural production due to the occurrence of extreme weather events appear to be more imminent and severe than ever, presenting a global challenge that necessitates collective efforts to mitigate its effects.There have been many practical and modelling studies so far to estimate the extent of climate change and possible damages on agricultural production, suggesting that water availability may decrease by 50% and agricultural productivity between 10 and 30% in the coming years ahead. Though there have been many studies to estimate the possible level of damage by the climate change on the production of many agricultural crops, no study has been conducted on the greenhouse tomato production. Therefore, this study was conducted to discover the effects of extreme high temperatures during the 2022-2023 growing season on the high-tech Turkish tomato greenhouse industry through a survey. The results showed that all greenhouses lost yield, ranging from 6 to 53%, with an average of 12.5%. Survey data revealed that irrigation and fog system water consumption increased by 29.32% and 31.42%, respectively, while fertilizer and electricity consumption rose by 23.66% and 19%. Some 76.5% of the growers declared difficulty in climate control, 11.7% reported tomato cluster losses with no information on yield loss, 9% experienced yield losses despite no cluster losses, and 61.7% observed a decline in tomato quality, leading to reduced sales prices. Considering these findings, it is recommended that greenhouses must adopt advanced climate control technologies, expand fog system capacities, and integrate renewable energy sources to enhance resilience against climate-induced challenges. Additionally, improving water-use efficiency, optimizing cooling strategies, using new and climate-resistant varieties and adjusting cropping seasons could help mitigate yield losses due to extreme temperatures. The study results offer extremely valuable insights into greenhouse production for researchers, technology developers, and policymakers for the mitigation of climate change effects and the development of more sustainable production systems.
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@article {pmid40089667,
year = {2025},
author = {Kürklü, A and Pearson, S and Felek, T},
title = {Climate change impacts on tomato production in high-tech soilless greenhouses in Türki̇ye.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {339},
pmid = {40089667},
issn = {1471-2229},
mesh = {*Solanum lycopersicum/growth & development ; *Climate Change ; Turkey ; Crops, Agricultural/growth & development ; Agriculture/methods ; Crop Production/methods ; },
abstract = {Climate change and its impact on agricultural production due to the occurrence of extreme weather events appear to be more imminent and severe than ever, presenting a global challenge that necessitates collective efforts to mitigate its effects.There have been many practical and modelling studies so far to estimate the extent of climate change and possible damages on agricultural production, suggesting that water availability may decrease by 50% and agricultural productivity between 10 and 30% in the coming years ahead. Though there have been many studies to estimate the possible level of damage by the climate change on the production of many agricultural crops, no study has been conducted on the greenhouse tomato production. Therefore, this study was conducted to discover the effects of extreme high temperatures during the 2022-2023 growing season on the high-tech Turkish tomato greenhouse industry through a survey. The results showed that all greenhouses lost yield, ranging from 6 to 53%, with an average of 12.5%. Survey data revealed that irrigation and fog system water consumption increased by 29.32% and 31.42%, respectively, while fertilizer and electricity consumption rose by 23.66% and 19%. Some 76.5% of the growers declared difficulty in climate control, 11.7% reported tomato cluster losses with no information on yield loss, 9% experienced yield losses despite no cluster losses, and 61.7% observed a decline in tomato quality, leading to reduced sales prices. Considering these findings, it is recommended that greenhouses must adopt advanced climate control technologies, expand fog system capacities, and integrate renewable energy sources to enhance resilience against climate-induced challenges. Additionally, improving water-use efficiency, optimizing cooling strategies, using new and climate-resistant varieties and adjusting cropping seasons could help mitigate yield losses due to extreme temperatures. The study results offer extremely valuable insights into greenhouse production for researchers, technology developers, and policymakers for the mitigation of climate change effects and the development of more sustainable production systems.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Solanum lycopersicum/growth & development
*Climate Change
Turkey
Crops, Agricultural/growth & development
Agriculture/methods
Crop Production/methods
RevDate: 2025-03-15
Ensemble predictions of high trophic-level fish distribution and species association in response to climate change in the coastal waters of China.
Marine pollution bulletin, 214:117800 pii:S0025-326X(25)00275-9 [Epub ahead of print].
As climate change shifts marine ecosystems, understanding distribution changes of high trophic-level fish is critical for ecological and fisheries management. This study examined the distribution changes of five high trophic-level fish species in China's coastal waters from 1990 to 2023, using species distribution models (SDMs) combined in an ensemble modeling framework to predict future trends under RCP26 and RCP85 scenarios. The ensemble approach integrated multiple SDM algorithms to reduce uncertainty and improve predictive accuracy. The analysis incorporated ecological metrics like niche breadth, niche overlap, and species association indices to assess habitat suitability and interspecies interactions. The ensemble model performed well, particularly for monkfish (Lophius litulon) and whitespotted conger (Conger myriaster), both of which are demersal species. Key environmental factors influencing habitat distribution included bottom water temperature and depth. Under climate change scenarios, the spatial niche breadth of only the largehead hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus) was expected to increase, while the niche breadth of the other species was projected to decrease, especially under high emissions. Fish habitats were predicted to shrink under future climate scenarios, especially under high emissions, with significant losses projected by 2100, ranging from -47 % for the Slender lizardfish (Saurida elongata) to -24 % for the Monkfish, although habitat suitability was expected to improve in southern coastal areas and near the Korean Peninsula. This study emphasizes the profound effects of climate change on the distribution and ecological niches of high trophic-level fish, offering insights for future fisheries management and climate adaptation strategies.
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@article {pmid40088636,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, J and Liu, X and Mu, X and Li, H and Li, B and Zhang, Y},
title = {Ensemble predictions of high trophic-level fish distribution and species association in response to climate change in the coastal waters of China.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {214},
number = {},
pages = {117800},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.117800},
pmid = {40088636},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {As climate change shifts marine ecosystems, understanding distribution changes of high trophic-level fish is critical for ecological and fisheries management. This study examined the distribution changes of five high trophic-level fish species in China's coastal waters from 1990 to 2023, using species distribution models (SDMs) combined in an ensemble modeling framework to predict future trends under RCP26 and RCP85 scenarios. The ensemble approach integrated multiple SDM algorithms to reduce uncertainty and improve predictive accuracy. The analysis incorporated ecological metrics like niche breadth, niche overlap, and species association indices to assess habitat suitability and interspecies interactions. The ensemble model performed well, particularly for monkfish (Lophius litulon) and whitespotted conger (Conger myriaster), both of which are demersal species. Key environmental factors influencing habitat distribution included bottom water temperature and depth. Under climate change scenarios, the spatial niche breadth of only the largehead hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus) was expected to increase, while the niche breadth of the other species was projected to decrease, especially under high emissions. Fish habitats were predicted to shrink under future climate scenarios, especially under high emissions, with significant losses projected by 2100, ranging from -47 % for the Slender lizardfish (Saurida elongata) to -24 % for the Monkfish, although habitat suitability was expected to improve in southern coastal areas and near the Korean Peninsula. This study emphasizes the profound effects of climate change on the distribution and ecological niches of high trophic-level fish, offering insights for future fisheries management and climate adaptation strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
CmpDate: 2025-03-15
Assessment of livelihood vulnerability to climate change among tribal communities in Chhindwara and Dhar district, Central India.
Scientific reports, 15(1):8843.
Climate change poses significant challenges to marginalised communities, particularly in regions with highly vulnerable populations like rural and tribal communities. This study aims to assess the livelihood vulnerability of tribal households to climate change impacts in the Chhindwara and Dhar districts in Central India, identifying key determinants and geographical variations in vulnerability. Primary data collection involved a multistage sampling procedure where a household survey was conducted across both districts, yielding a sample size of 535 respondents. The climatic data was collected from the India Meteorological department from 1954 to 2023. This study employs a mixed method, including innovative trend analysis for shifts in climatic patterns, standardised precipitation index-1 (SPI-1) for evaluating wet and dry conditions, LVI-IPCC framework applied using survey data to assess vulnerability, and multiple linear regression (MLR) model to determine the determinants of vulnerability. The results indicate significant changes in rainfall and temperature patterns in both regions, indicating increased vulnerability among tribal communities. SPI-1 analysis highlights the shift in precipitation patterns, with implications for agriculture and water availability. The LVI-IPCC results reveal a moderate level of vulnerability among surveyed households, with Dhar exhibiting higher vulnerability than Chhindwara. Furthermore, LVI-IPCC results were validated using other vulnerability assessment approaches. The MLR analysis highlights the significant influence of key determinants, such as primary income source, extreme weather events, access to safe drinking water, and livelihood strategies, on vulnerability, emphasising the importance of addressing socioeconomic disparities and enhancing adaptive capacity. Integrating primary and secondary data enables an inclusive investigation of vulnerability determinants and geographical variations within the study area. It offers evidence-based policy recommendations for augmenting resilience and encouraging sustainable development among tribal communities facing climate change challenges.
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@article {pmid40087311,
year = {2025},
author = {Kumar, A and Mohanasundari, T},
title = {Assessment of livelihood vulnerability to climate change among tribal communities in Chhindwara and Dhar district, Central India.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8843},
pmid = {40087311},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; Humans ; *Vulnerable Populations/statistics & numerical data ; Rural Population ; Female ; Family Characteristics ; Male ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to marginalised communities, particularly in regions with highly vulnerable populations like rural and tribal communities. This study aims to assess the livelihood vulnerability of tribal households to climate change impacts in the Chhindwara and Dhar districts in Central India, identifying key determinants and geographical variations in vulnerability. Primary data collection involved a multistage sampling procedure where a household survey was conducted across both districts, yielding a sample size of 535 respondents. The climatic data was collected from the India Meteorological department from 1954 to 2023. This study employs a mixed method, including innovative trend analysis for shifts in climatic patterns, standardised precipitation index-1 (SPI-1) for evaluating wet and dry conditions, LVI-IPCC framework applied using survey data to assess vulnerability, and multiple linear regression (MLR) model to determine the determinants of vulnerability. The results indicate significant changes in rainfall and temperature patterns in both regions, indicating increased vulnerability among tribal communities. SPI-1 analysis highlights the shift in precipitation patterns, with implications for agriculture and water availability. The LVI-IPCC results reveal a moderate level of vulnerability among surveyed households, with Dhar exhibiting higher vulnerability than Chhindwara. Furthermore, LVI-IPCC results were validated using other vulnerability assessment approaches. The MLR analysis highlights the significant influence of key determinants, such as primary income source, extreme weather events, access to safe drinking water, and livelihood strategies, on vulnerability, emphasising the importance of addressing socioeconomic disparities and enhancing adaptive capacity. Integrating primary and secondary data enables an inclusive investigation of vulnerability determinants and geographical variations within the study area. It offers evidence-based policy recommendations for augmenting resilience and encouraging sustainable development among tribal communities facing climate change challenges.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
India
Humans
*Vulnerable Populations/statistics & numerical data
Rural Population
Female
Family Characteristics
Male
Rain
RevDate: 2025-03-14
Surface ozone pollution-driven risks for the yield of major food crops under future climate change scenarios in India.
Environmental research pii:S0013-9351(25)00641-3 [Epub ahead of print].
This study provides a comprehensive assessment of surface ozone (SurfO3) evolution in India under the future shared socio-economic pathway scenarios (SSPs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase-6 (CMIP6), and its implications for changes in relative yield loss (RYL) of wheat, rice and maize. Scenarios with insufficient efforts to reduce the emission of precursors (e.g. SSP3-7.0) lead to significant increases in RYL (∼20% for wheat and ∼7% for rice and maize) post-2050. Conversely, SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 help to minimise RYL by controlling emissions. Accumulated ozone above a threshold of 40 (AOT40) in the growth stages of crops may surpass safer limits (3 ppm.h) by six-fold in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) for rice and maize, and in Central India for wheat in the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Furthermore, climate penalty on SurfO3 is observed in rabi (winter, December-February) and post-kharif (post-monsoon, October-November) seasons, whereas kharif (summer, June-September) shows climate benefit in one model. Positive trends in climate penalties are observed in IGP during most seasons and in Central India during post-kharif and rabi. Wheat is most sensitive to emission pathways with high variability, while rice shows more stable projections. Maize exhibits a mix of resilience and growing uncertainty under high emission scenarios. Undoubtedly, comprehensive strategies are required for crop yield enhancement, including stringent air pollution regulations, widespread adoption of clean energy, land use management and advancements in low-emission agricultural practices. Safeguarding agriculture productivity requires coordinated efforts to manage air quality and climate, ensuring a transition away from pathways like SSP3-7.0 and toward more sustainable, low-emission futures. Furthermore, efforts to address SurfO3-induced crop yield losses in India are vital for informing strategies to ensure global food security.
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@article {pmid40086574,
year = {2025},
author = {Anagha, KS and Kuttippurath, J},
title = {Surface ozone pollution-driven risks for the yield of major food crops under future climate change scenarios in India.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {121390},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121390},
pmid = {40086574},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {This study provides a comprehensive assessment of surface ozone (SurfO3) evolution in India under the future shared socio-economic pathway scenarios (SSPs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase-6 (CMIP6), and its implications for changes in relative yield loss (RYL) of wheat, rice and maize. Scenarios with insufficient efforts to reduce the emission of precursors (e.g. SSP3-7.0) lead to significant increases in RYL (∼20% for wheat and ∼7% for rice and maize) post-2050. Conversely, SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 help to minimise RYL by controlling emissions. Accumulated ozone above a threshold of 40 (AOT40) in the growth stages of crops may surpass safer limits (3 ppm.h) by six-fold in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) for rice and maize, and in Central India for wheat in the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Furthermore, climate penalty on SurfO3 is observed in rabi (winter, December-February) and post-kharif (post-monsoon, October-November) seasons, whereas kharif (summer, June-September) shows climate benefit in one model. Positive trends in climate penalties are observed in IGP during most seasons and in Central India during post-kharif and rabi. Wheat is most sensitive to emission pathways with high variability, while rice shows more stable projections. Maize exhibits a mix of resilience and growing uncertainty under high emission scenarios. Undoubtedly, comprehensive strategies are required for crop yield enhancement, including stringent air pollution regulations, widespread adoption of clean energy, land use management and advancements in low-emission agricultural practices. Safeguarding agriculture productivity requires coordinated efforts to manage air quality and climate, ensuring a transition away from pathways like SSP3-7.0 and toward more sustainable, low-emission futures. Furthermore, efforts to address SurfO3-induced crop yield losses in India are vital for informing strategies to ensure global food security.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
Evaluating the global sea snake diversity and distribution under climate change scenario.
Marine environmental research, 207:107055 pii:S0141-1136(25)00112-6 [Epub ahead of print].
Anthropogenically accelerated climate change has wreaked havoc on marine ecosystems, particularly affecting marine reptiles such as sea snakes. These reptiles are highly sensitive to climate change induced coral reef degradation and environmental fluctuations, leading to habitat expansion and increased human-sea snake interactions. Despite this, till date no comprehensive investigation of global sea snake diversity and distribution has been conducted. In this study, we used MaxEnt Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) to assess effects of climate change on sea snake distribution from 1993 to 2024. This analysis integrates occurrence data sourced from exhaustive literature reviews and biogeographic databases with environmental predictors like seawater temperature, salinity, and chlorophyll a concentration. The study identifies 74 species across 11 genera and 3 families. Among 14 biogeographic habitats examined, the South Pacific and Indian Oceans exhibit highest species richness, while the Atlantic Ocean shows the lowest. Notably, species in the Bay of Bengal and Arafura Sea demonstrate significant taxonomic distinctness. Furthermore, our findings reveal a substantial expansion of sea snake habitats from equatorial to temperate regions, primarily driven by increase in seawater temperature. Optimal habitat suitability is associated with temperatures of approximately 30 °C, chlorophyll a concentration of around 0.3 mg m[-3], and salinity levels between 35 and 40 g L[-1]. These insights into sea snake diversity and distributional shifts induced by global climate change are critical for formulating evidence-based management strategies, including implementation of sustainable fishing practices, preservation of critical habitats, and establishment of rigorous bycatch mitigation protocols to ensure conservation of these ecologically significant marine reptiles.
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@article {pmid40085979,
year = {2025},
author = {Sikdar, D and Shahir, A and Mandal, S},
title = {Evaluating the global sea snake diversity and distribution under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {207},
number = {},
pages = {107055},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107055},
pmid = {40085979},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Anthropogenically accelerated climate change has wreaked havoc on marine ecosystems, particularly affecting marine reptiles such as sea snakes. These reptiles are highly sensitive to climate change induced coral reef degradation and environmental fluctuations, leading to habitat expansion and increased human-sea snake interactions. Despite this, till date no comprehensive investigation of global sea snake diversity and distribution has been conducted. In this study, we used MaxEnt Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) to assess effects of climate change on sea snake distribution from 1993 to 2024. This analysis integrates occurrence data sourced from exhaustive literature reviews and biogeographic databases with environmental predictors like seawater temperature, salinity, and chlorophyll a concentration. The study identifies 74 species across 11 genera and 3 families. Among 14 biogeographic habitats examined, the South Pacific and Indian Oceans exhibit highest species richness, while the Atlantic Ocean shows the lowest. Notably, species in the Bay of Bengal and Arafura Sea demonstrate significant taxonomic distinctness. Furthermore, our findings reveal a substantial expansion of sea snake habitats from equatorial to temperate regions, primarily driven by increase in seawater temperature. Optimal habitat suitability is associated with temperatures of approximately 30 °C, chlorophyll a concentration of around 0.3 mg m[-3], and salinity levels between 35 and 40 g L[-1]. These insights into sea snake diversity and distributional shifts induced by global climate change are critical for formulating evidence-based management strategies, including implementation of sustainable fishing practices, preservation of critical habitats, and establishment of rigorous bycatch mitigation protocols to ensure conservation of these ecologically significant marine reptiles.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-18
The psychological cost of climate change: anxiety among adolescents and young adults - a cross-sectional study.
Frontiers in psychiatry, 16:1422338.
OBJECTIVES: Climate change is an undeniable reality that has never before been experienced at such a higher scale of social, physical, and mental levels. Its impact has been studied at environmental, health, economic and sustainable survival levels, but the toll that it takes on the mind, especially among the youth, needs further studies to highlight the impact. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the impact of climate change on anxiety among adolescents and young adults in the Global South.
METHODS: This questionnaire-based cross-sectional survey was conducted among students from all levels of education in the Global South. A total of 760 respondents including 202 from schools, 158 from colleges, and 400 from degree-awarding institutes and universities, (200 were undergraduates and 200 were graduates) voluntarily participated in the study. Based on their age and gender distribution, the average age was 18.56 years, 363 (47.7%) were males, and 397 (52.3%) were females. The Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale (HEAS) was used to investigate the level of ecological anxiety among the youth in the Global South. The three categories of anxiety symptoms in terms of affective symptoms, behavioural symptoms, and personal impact were investigated.
RESULTS: The results revealed that the affective symptom shows a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship with age, higher the age higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The impact of income on affective symptoms, the respondents with a higher income have the highest mean (M=1.61), the higher the income the higher the affective symptoms of anxiety. To assess the difference in the anxiety symptoms based on the education level of respondents, the highest mean value was found among those with graduate (M=1.78), followed by college (M=.88), university (M=.83) and school (M=.82), which means that the highest affective symptoms are faced by graduate students.
CONCLUSIONS: The results show a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship between age and income on anxiety symptoms, the higher the age and income higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The youth of the global south feel little anxiety due to climate change; this is detrimental and needs urgent remedial measures. To combat climate change requires a multi-pronged approach, with solutions ranging from personal responsibilities and actions to large-scale systemic changes to tackle this critical challenge.
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40084048,
year = {2025},
author = {Meo, SA and Shafi, KM and Hussain, A},
title = {The psychological cost of climate change: anxiety among adolescents and young adults - a cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1422338},
pmid = {40084048},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate change is an undeniable reality that has never before been experienced at such a higher scale of social, physical, and mental levels. Its impact has been studied at environmental, health, economic and sustainable survival levels, but the toll that it takes on the mind, especially among the youth, needs further studies to highlight the impact. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the impact of climate change on anxiety among adolescents and young adults in the Global South.
METHODS: This questionnaire-based cross-sectional survey was conducted among students from all levels of education in the Global South. A total of 760 respondents including 202 from schools, 158 from colleges, and 400 from degree-awarding institutes and universities, (200 were undergraduates and 200 were graduates) voluntarily participated in the study. Based on their age and gender distribution, the average age was 18.56 years, 363 (47.7%) were males, and 397 (52.3%) were females. The Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale (HEAS) was used to investigate the level of ecological anxiety among the youth in the Global South. The three categories of anxiety symptoms in terms of affective symptoms, behavioural symptoms, and personal impact were investigated.
RESULTS: The results revealed that the affective symptom shows a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship with age, higher the age higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The impact of income on affective symptoms, the respondents with a higher income have the highest mean (M=1.61), the higher the income the higher the affective symptoms of anxiety. To assess the difference in the anxiety symptoms based on the education level of respondents, the highest mean value was found among those with graduate (M=1.78), followed by college (M=.88), university (M=.83) and school (M=.82), which means that the highest affective symptoms are faced by graduate students.
CONCLUSIONS: The results show a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship between age and income on anxiety symptoms, the higher the age and income higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The youth of the global south feel little anxiety due to climate change; this is detrimental and needs urgent remedial measures. To combat climate change requires a multi-pronged approach, with solutions ranging from personal responsibilities and actions to large-scale systemic changes to tackle this critical challenge.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
CmpDate: 2025-03-14
Two species competition with a "non-smooth" Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change.
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE, 22(3):604-651.
The soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate change predicts increased flooding in the North Central United States, mathematical models that incorporate such factors are required to better inform pest management strategies. Motivated by these empirical results, we considered the effect of non-smooth Allee type mechanisms, for the two species Lotka-Volterra competition model. We showed that this mechanism can alter classical competitive dynamics in both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) as well as the spatially explicit setting. In particular, an Allee effect present in the weaker competitor could lead to bi-stability dynamics, as well as competitive exclusion reversal. We discuss applications of our results to pest management strategies for soybean aphids in the context of a changing climate.
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@article {pmid40083284,
year = {2025},
author = {Banerjee, A and Verma, U and Lewis, MT and Parshad, RD},
title = {Two species competition with a "non-smooth" Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change.},
journal = {Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE},
volume = {22},
number = {3},
pages = {604-651},
doi = {10.3934/mbe.2025023},
pmid = {40083284},
issn = {1551-0018},
mesh = {*Aphids/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Glycine max/parasitology ; *Population Dynamics ; Models, Biological ; Computer Simulation ; Competitive Behavior ; Introduced Species ; Ecosystem ; Floods ; },
abstract = {The soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate change predicts increased flooding in the North Central United States, mathematical models that incorporate such factors are required to better inform pest management strategies. Motivated by these empirical results, we considered the effect of non-smooth Allee type mechanisms, for the two species Lotka-Volterra competition model. We showed that this mechanism can alter classical competitive dynamics in both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) as well as the spatially explicit setting. In particular, an Allee effect present in the weaker competitor could lead to bi-stability dynamics, as well as competitive exclusion reversal. We discuss applications of our results to pest management strategies for soybean aphids in the context of a changing climate.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Aphids/physiology
Animals
*Climate Change
*Glycine max/parasitology
*Population Dynamics
Models, Biological
Computer Simulation
Competitive Behavior
Introduced Species
Ecosystem
Floods
RevDate: 2025-03-14
Strengthening Link between National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), Sector Policies and National Development Plans: Implications for Climate Change Governance.
Environmental management [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change alignment across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans is a crucial component of climate change governance and supports synergy that contributes greater effectiveness and efficiency in addressing the impacts of climate change. However, studies that assess climate change coherence between national climate change adaptation planning frameworks and policy frameworks have been inadequate. This study intended to understand the extent of climate change coherence across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans in Tanzania. A mixed research design employing sequential methods was adopted. Both primary and secondary data was used. Primary data were collected through interviews with key policy experts from government ministries and climate change focal point authorities. Secondary data was collected through a content review of sector policies, national development plans and climate change adaptation planning documents. Purposive sampling was used to select key informants and policy documents. Qualitative content analysis was used to assess text data using a scoring matrix to generate descriptive information. The descriptive information was further standardised using percentages for each sector as well as the percentage score for the overall plans. The findings revealed a weak alignment between national development plans and national climate change response strategies that were attributed to weak alignment between sector policies. However, the study found a moderate extent of climate change consideration in national development plans. Consequently, the study recommended strategies to strengthen the alignment between national climate change response strategies, sector policies and national development plans.
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@article {pmid40082304,
year = {2025},
author = {Shimwela, N and Katera, L},
title = {Strengthening Link between National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), Sector Policies and National Development Plans: Implications for Climate Change Governance.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40082304},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change alignment across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans is a crucial component of climate change governance and supports synergy that contributes greater effectiveness and efficiency in addressing the impacts of climate change. However, studies that assess climate change coherence between national climate change adaptation planning frameworks and policy frameworks have been inadequate. This study intended to understand the extent of climate change coherence across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans in Tanzania. A mixed research design employing sequential methods was adopted. Both primary and secondary data was used. Primary data were collected through interviews with key policy experts from government ministries and climate change focal point authorities. Secondary data was collected through a content review of sector policies, national development plans and climate change adaptation planning documents. Purposive sampling was used to select key informants and policy documents. Qualitative content analysis was used to assess text data using a scoring matrix to generate descriptive information. The descriptive information was further standardised using percentages for each sector as well as the percentage score for the overall plans. The findings revealed a weak alignment between national development plans and national climate change response strategies that were attributed to weak alignment between sector policies. However, the study found a moderate extent of climate change consideration in national development plans. Consequently, the study recommended strategies to strengthen the alignment between national climate change response strategies, sector policies and national development plans.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
Partnerships Between Radiology and Industry Are Essential to Address Climate Change.
Journal of the American College of Radiology : JACR pii:S1546-1440(25)00154-1 [Epub ahead of print].
Radiology and industry partnerships are essential to scale environmentally sustainable practices that will protect the health of current and future generations.
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@article {pmid40081447,
year = {2025},
author = {Omary, RA and DiLullo, J and Estrampes, C and Hess, CP and Pacitti, D and Grist, TM},
title = {Partnerships Between Radiology and Industry Are Essential to Address Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of the American College of Radiology : JACR},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jacr.2025.02.049},
pmid = {40081447},
issn = {1558-349X},
abstract = {Radiology and industry partnerships are essential to scale environmentally sustainable practices that will protect the health of current and future generations.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
Human activities affect the future suitability of alien urban landscape species in China under climate change.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124899 pii:S0301-4797(25)00875-8 [Epub ahead of print].
Ecologists have paid considerable attention to the adaptation and distribution of urban landscape species in China amid rapid urbanization and climate change, given the essential role of urban species in human activities, urban planning, and sustainable development. However, existing studies primarily concentrate on the effects of climate change on the distribution of native species, creating a research gap regarding alien species. We compiled 5261 distribution data points for 538 alien woody landscape species (WLS) (non-native to China) from 179 cities with populations over one million in China and utilized the MaxEnt model to assess the future distribution and migration patterns of 27 most commonly introduced evergreen broad-leaved, evergreen coniferous, and deciduous broad-leaved species under present, 2041-2060, and 2081-2100 periods according to the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios. The results indicated that deciduous broad-leaved species were widely distributed in Southwest China, East China, Central China and North China regions, had a broad climate niche and greater adaptability to climate change, while the suitable area of evergreen species were expected to be lower than that of the present stage after 2100. The preserved suitable areas of evergreen species were mainly concentrated in the East China and Central China regions, and the lost suitable areas of evergreen coniferous species were in South China and southern East China regions. We also noted that human activities were the most important factor influencing the species distribution, not only in terms of the differences in suitable areas, but also the spatial diversity patterns. Our study revealed the future distribution patterns of three vegetation types and highlighted the importance of preventing the transformation of alien WLS into invasive species, which can provide valuable guidance for urban planning and development.
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@article {pmid40081033,
year = {2025},
author = {Mou, W and Jin, C and Hu, S and Zhou, L and Luo, M and Long, Y and Yang, Y},
title = {Human activities affect the future suitability of alien urban landscape species in China under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124899},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124899},
pmid = {40081033},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Ecologists have paid considerable attention to the adaptation and distribution of urban landscape species in China amid rapid urbanization and climate change, given the essential role of urban species in human activities, urban planning, and sustainable development. However, existing studies primarily concentrate on the effects of climate change on the distribution of native species, creating a research gap regarding alien species. We compiled 5261 distribution data points for 538 alien woody landscape species (WLS) (non-native to China) from 179 cities with populations over one million in China and utilized the MaxEnt model to assess the future distribution and migration patterns of 27 most commonly introduced evergreen broad-leaved, evergreen coniferous, and deciduous broad-leaved species under present, 2041-2060, and 2081-2100 periods according to the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios. The results indicated that deciduous broad-leaved species were widely distributed in Southwest China, East China, Central China and North China regions, had a broad climate niche and greater adaptability to climate change, while the suitable area of evergreen species were expected to be lower than that of the present stage after 2100. The preserved suitable areas of evergreen species were mainly concentrated in the East China and Central China regions, and the lost suitable areas of evergreen coniferous species were in South China and southern East China regions. We also noted that human activities were the most important factor influencing the species distribution, not only in terms of the differences in suitable areas, but also the spatial diversity patterns. Our study revealed the future distribution patterns of three vegetation types and highlighted the importance of preventing the transformation of alien WLS into invasive species, which can provide valuable guidance for urban planning and development.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
The Impact of Climate Change on Plant Physiology and Human Health.
Physiology (Bethesda, Md.) [Epub ahead of print].
There is a fundamental need to consider plant physiology in relation to human health as it encompasses a number of often overlooked issues, from plant based medicines, to nutrition. The goal here is to provide a historical narrative of plant physiological and biological responses to rising CO2 and climate variability while addressing current controversies. Finally a "next steps" overview of current links between plants and human health, and crucial, unmet research needs.
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@article {pmid40080487,
year = {2025},
author = {Ziska, LH},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Plant Physiology and Human Health.},
journal = {Physiology (Bethesda, Md.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1152/physiol.00067.2024},
pmid = {40080487},
issn = {1548-9221},
abstract = {There is a fundamental need to consider plant physiology in relation to human health as it encompasses a number of often overlooked issues, from plant based medicines, to nutrition. The goal here is to provide a historical narrative of plant physiological and biological responses to rising CO2 and climate variability while addressing current controversies. Finally a "next steps" overview of current links between plants and human health, and crucial, unmet research needs.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
Climate Change-Associated Environmental Factors and Pollutants: Impact on Allergic Diseases, Epidemiology, Severity, and Health Care Burden.
Journal of investigational allergology & clinical immunology [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Allergic diseases affect up to 40% of adults worldwide, a percentage that is increasing with environmental changes related to global warming.
METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed to identify and evaluate current evidence of the effect of climate change-related environmental factors on the prevalence, incidence, and severity of allergic diseases in terms of the impact on patients with allergy. PECO criteria for 2 research questions were established and guided the literature searches of the PubMed and Cochrane databases (January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021). Study outcomes were categorized and grouped to facilitate data synthesis. Outcomes were classified as significant (P<.05), nonsignificant (P>.05), or undetermined (P value not reported).
RESULTS: Assessment of the 2 questions enabled us to identify 609 publications. Of these, 96 were assessed for eligibility and 42 provided data. Environmental factors, including the presence of pollutants, influenced patients' conditions in terms of effects on allergy, exposure to allergen(s), and the immune system. The pollutants most frequently reported to have an impact were nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particles <2.5 μm in diameter. The allergic diseases most frequently reported to be affected by environmental factors were respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis, with an impact on epidemiology and health care burden.
CONCLUSION: Environmental pollution increased the frequency and health care burden of allergic diseases. The effect of environmental pollution was predominantly caused by pollutants such as NO2 and particles <2.5 μm in diameter and was observed across allergic diseases, including respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis.
Additional Links: PMID-40079945
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40079945,
year = {2025},
author = {Montoro, J and Antolín-Amérigo, D and Izquierdo-Domínguez, A and Zapata, JJ and García-Gallardo, MV and González, R and Armentia, A and Rondón, C and Fernández, MM and Pedrero, SG and Valero, A},
title = {Climate Change-Associated Environmental Factors and Pollutants: Impact on Allergic Diseases, Epidemiology, Severity, and Health Care Burden.},
journal = {Journal of investigational allergology & clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {0},
doi = {10.18176/jiaci.1067},
pmid = {40079945},
issn = {1018-9068},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Allergic diseases affect up to 40% of adults worldwide, a percentage that is increasing with environmental changes related to global warming.
METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed to identify and evaluate current evidence of the effect of climate change-related environmental factors on the prevalence, incidence, and severity of allergic diseases in terms of the impact on patients with allergy. PECO criteria for 2 research questions were established and guided the literature searches of the PubMed and Cochrane databases (January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021). Study outcomes were categorized and grouped to facilitate data synthesis. Outcomes were classified as significant (P<.05), nonsignificant (P>.05), or undetermined (P value not reported).
RESULTS: Assessment of the 2 questions enabled us to identify 609 publications. Of these, 96 were assessed for eligibility and 42 provided data. Environmental factors, including the presence of pollutants, influenced patients' conditions in terms of effects on allergy, exposure to allergen(s), and the immune system. The pollutants most frequently reported to have an impact were nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particles <2.5 μm in diameter. The allergic diseases most frequently reported to be affected by environmental factors were respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis, with an impact on epidemiology and health care burden.
CONCLUSION: Environmental pollution increased the frequency and health care burden of allergic diseases. The effect of environmental pollution was predominantly caused by pollutants such as NO2 and particles <2.5 μm in diameter and was observed across allergic diseases, including respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
CmpDate: 2025-03-13
Climate change and health in the Arctic.
Scandinavian journal of public health, 53(2):207-214.
AIM: Adverse human-driven environmental change, including the climate, is having an increasing impact on the Arctic environment and its ecosystems. There has been immense interest in understanding the health risks related to climate change in the Arctic region. In this article, we review recent evidence related to climate change and its impacts on the health of the Arctic population.
METHODS: We summarize current evidence related to primary, secondary and tertiary health effects in the Arctic. We explore a broad range of effects on health including increased exposure to extreme weather, impacts from changes in water quality, air quality, contaminant exposure, food systems and patterns of infectious diseases. We also briefly discuss mental health effects in the Arctic. We conclude by examining further challenges and opportunities for research in this field and advocate the need for adaptation options in the Arctic.
RESULTS: We find that there is a large amount of literature that is focusing on the human health effects in the Arctic but there are still research gaps in terms of understanding these compared with those at lower latitudes. We point out the need for filling several of these knowledge gaps to project future health effects of climate change in the Arctic.
CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for integrated adaptation strategies in the Arctic that fully account for the health impacts and consider indigenous perspectives.
Additional Links: PMID-40079527
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40079527,
year = {2025},
author = {Rao, S and Gutzkow, KB and Hyllestad, S and Jore, S and Thomsen, C and Andersen, GD and Rautio, A and Abass, K and Berner, J and Brantsæter, AL and Dirven, H and Låg, M and Meltzer, HM and Aakra, Å and Øvrevik, J and Instanes, C},
title = {Climate change and health in the Arctic.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {53},
number = {2},
pages = {207-214},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241296309},
pmid = {40079527},
issn = {1651-1905},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Arctic Regions ; Health Status ; },
abstract = {AIM: Adverse human-driven environmental change, including the climate, is having an increasing impact on the Arctic environment and its ecosystems. There has been immense interest in understanding the health risks related to climate change in the Arctic region. In this article, we review recent evidence related to climate change and its impacts on the health of the Arctic population.
METHODS: We summarize current evidence related to primary, secondary and tertiary health effects in the Arctic. We explore a broad range of effects on health including increased exposure to extreme weather, impacts from changes in water quality, air quality, contaminant exposure, food systems and patterns of infectious diseases. We also briefly discuss mental health effects in the Arctic. We conclude by examining further challenges and opportunities for research in this field and advocate the need for adaptation options in the Arctic.
RESULTS: We find that there is a large amount of literature that is focusing on the human health effects in the Arctic but there are still research gaps in terms of understanding these compared with those at lower latitudes. We point out the need for filling several of these knowledge gaps to project future health effects of climate change in the Arctic.
CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for integrated adaptation strategies in the Arctic that fully account for the health impacts and consider indigenous perspectives.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Climate Change
Arctic Regions
Health Status
RevDate: 2025-03-16
Threshold uncertainty, early warning signals and the prevention of dangerous climate change.
Royal Society open science, 12(3):240425.
The goal of the Paris Agreement is to keep global temperature rise well below 2°C. In this agreement-and its antecedents negotiated in Copenhagen and Cancun-the fear of crossing a dangerous climate threshold is supposed to serve as the catalyst for cooperation among countries. However, there are deep uncertainties about the location of the threshold for dangerous climate change, and recent evidence indicates this threshold uncertainty is a major impediment to collective action. Early warning signals of approaching climate thresholds are a potential remedy to this threshold uncertainty problem, and initial experimental evidence suggests such early detection systems may improve the prospects of cooperation. Here, we provide a direct experimental assessment of this early warning signal hypothesis. Using a catastrophe avoidance game, we show that large initial-and subsequently unreduced-threshold uncertainty undermines cooperation, consistent with earlier studies. An early warning signal that reduced uncertainty to within 10% (but not 30%) of the threshold value catalysed cooperation and reduced the probability of catastrophe occurring, albeit not reliably so. Our findings suggest early warning signals can trigger action to avoid a dangerous threshold, but additional mechanisms may be required to foster the cooperation needed to ensure the threshold is not breached.
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@article {pmid40078926,
year = {2025},
author = {Hurlstone, MJ and White, B and Newell, BR},
title = {Threshold uncertainty, early warning signals and the prevention of dangerous climate change.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {12},
number = {3},
pages = {240425},
pmid = {40078926},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {The goal of the Paris Agreement is to keep global temperature rise well below 2°C. In this agreement-and its antecedents negotiated in Copenhagen and Cancun-the fear of crossing a dangerous climate threshold is supposed to serve as the catalyst for cooperation among countries. However, there are deep uncertainties about the location of the threshold for dangerous climate change, and recent evidence indicates this threshold uncertainty is a major impediment to collective action. Early warning signals of approaching climate thresholds are a potential remedy to this threshold uncertainty problem, and initial experimental evidence suggests such early detection systems may improve the prospects of cooperation. Here, we provide a direct experimental assessment of this early warning signal hypothesis. Using a catastrophe avoidance game, we show that large initial-and subsequently unreduced-threshold uncertainty undermines cooperation, consistent with earlier studies. An early warning signal that reduced uncertainty to within 10% (but not 30%) of the threshold value catalysed cooperation and reduced the probability of catastrophe occurring, albeit not reliably so. Our findings suggest early warning signals can trigger action to avoid a dangerous threshold, but additional mechanisms may be required to foster the cooperation needed to ensure the threshold is not breached.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
Impact of Climate Change-Induced Flooding Water Related Diseases and Malnutrition in Borno State, Nigeria: A Public Health Crisis.
Environmental health insights, 19:11786302251321683.
Climate change-induced flooding has caused public health crises in Borno State, Nigeria, which influence the increase of waterborne diseases and malnutrition. Flooding disrupts water and sanitation systems, creating breeding grounds for waterborne diseases such as cholera, malaria, and diarrheal illnesses. The displacement of communities and destruction of agricultural infrastructure due to flooding further increase food insecurity, leading to malnutrition. This paper examines the interplay between flooding, waterborne diseases, and malnutrition in Borno State, highlighting the urgent need for climate adaptation strategies and strengthened healthcare systems to mitigate these public health challenges. Additionally, it highlights the double burden of conflict and climate change where ongoing conflicts impede efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Finally, this paper outlines the socio-economic impacts of flooding and proposes interventions to mitigate the effects of flooding.
Additional Links: PMID-40078853
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40078853,
year = {2025},
author = {Aborode, AT and Otorkpa, OJ and Abdullateef, AO and Oluwaseun, OS and Adegoye, GA and Aondongu, NJ and Oyetunji, IO and Akingbola, A and Scott, GY and Kolawole, BO and Komakech, JJ},
title = {Impact of Climate Change-Induced Flooding Water Related Diseases and Malnutrition in Borno State, Nigeria: A Public Health Crisis.},
journal = {Environmental health insights},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {11786302251321683},
pmid = {40078853},
issn = {1178-6302},
abstract = {Climate change-induced flooding has caused public health crises in Borno State, Nigeria, which influence the increase of waterborne diseases and malnutrition. Flooding disrupts water and sanitation systems, creating breeding grounds for waterborne diseases such as cholera, malaria, and diarrheal illnesses. The displacement of communities and destruction of agricultural infrastructure due to flooding further increase food insecurity, leading to malnutrition. This paper examines the interplay between flooding, waterborne diseases, and malnutrition in Borno State, highlighting the urgent need for climate adaptation strategies and strengthened healthcare systems to mitigate these public health challenges. Additionally, it highlights the double burden of conflict and climate change where ongoing conflicts impede efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Finally, this paper outlines the socio-economic impacts of flooding and proposes interventions to mitigate the effects of flooding.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change.
Cambridge prisms. Extinction, 2:e21.
Accurately predicting the vulnerabilities of species to climate change requires a more detailed understanding of the functional and life-history traits that make some species more susceptible to declines and extinctions in shifting climates. This is because existing trait-based correlates of extinction risk from climate and environmental disturbances vary widely, often being idiosyncratic and context dependent. A powerful solution is to analyse the growing volume of biological data on changes in species ranges and abundances using process-explicit ecological models that run at fine temporal and spatial scales and across large geographical extents. These simulation-based approaches can unpack complex interactions between species' traits and climate and other threats. This enables species-responses to climatic change to be contextualised and integrated into future biodiversity projections and to be used to formulate and assess conservation policy goals. By providing a more complete understanding of the traits and contexts that regulate different responses of species to climate change, these process-driven approaches are likely to result in more certain predictions of the species that are most vulnerable to climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-40078807
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40078807,
year = {2024},
author = {Fordham, DA},
title = {Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change.},
journal = {Cambridge prisms. Extinction},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {e21},
pmid = {40078807},
issn = {2755-0958},
abstract = {Accurately predicting the vulnerabilities of species to climate change requires a more detailed understanding of the functional and life-history traits that make some species more susceptible to declines and extinctions in shifting climates. This is because existing trait-based correlates of extinction risk from climate and environmental disturbances vary widely, often being idiosyncratic and context dependent. A powerful solution is to analyse the growing volume of biological data on changes in species ranges and abundances using process-explicit ecological models that run at fine temporal and spatial scales and across large geographical extents. These simulation-based approaches can unpack complex interactions between species' traits and climate and other threats. This enables species-responses to climatic change to be contextualised and integrated into future biodiversity projections and to be used to formulate and assess conservation policy goals. By providing a more complete understanding of the traits and contexts that regulate different responses of species to climate change, these process-driven approaches are likely to result in more certain predictions of the species that are most vulnerable to climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-15
Fish MicroRNA Responses to Thermal Stress: Insights and Implications for Aquaculture and Conservation Amid Global Warming.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 15(5):.
In the context of global warming, heat tolerance is becoming a crucial physiological trait influencing fish species' distribution and survival. While our understanding of fish heat tolerance and stress has expanded from behavioral studies to transcriptomic analyses, knowledge at the transcriptomic level is still limited. Recently, the highly conserved microRNAs (miRNAs) have provided new insights into the molecular mechanisms of heat stress in fish. This review systematically examines current research across three main reference databases to elucidate the universal responses and mechanisms of fish miRNAs under heat stress. Our initial screening of 569 articles identified 13 target papers for comprehensive analysis. Among these, at least 214 differentially expressed miRNAs (DEMs) were found, with 15 DEMs appearing in at least two studies (12 were upregulated and 13 were downregulated). The 15 recurrent DEMs were analyzed using DIANA mirPath v.3 and the microT-CDS v5.0 database to identify potential target genes. The results suggest that multiple miRNAs target various genes, forming a complex network that regulates glucose and energy metabolism, maintains homeostasis, and modulates inflammation and immune responses. Significantly, miR-1, miR-122, let-7a, and miR-30b were consistently differentially expressed in multiple studies, indicating their potential relevance in heat stress responses. However, these miRNAs should not be considered definitive biomarkers without further validation. Future research should focus on experimentally confirming their regulatory roles through functional assays, conducting transcriptomic comparisons across different species, and performing target validation studies. These miRNAs, conserved across species, could be valuable for monitoring wild fish health, enhancing aquaculture breeding, and guiding conservation strategies. However, the specific regulatory mechanisms of these miRNAs need clarification to confirm their reliability as biomarkers for thermal stress.
Additional Links: PMID-40075907
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40075907,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, T and Meegaskumbura, M},
title = {Fish MicroRNA Responses to Thermal Stress: Insights and Implications for Aquaculture and Conservation Amid Global Warming.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40075907},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, heat tolerance is becoming a crucial physiological trait influencing fish species' distribution and survival. While our understanding of fish heat tolerance and stress has expanded from behavioral studies to transcriptomic analyses, knowledge at the transcriptomic level is still limited. Recently, the highly conserved microRNAs (miRNAs) have provided new insights into the molecular mechanisms of heat stress in fish. This review systematically examines current research across three main reference databases to elucidate the universal responses and mechanisms of fish miRNAs under heat stress. Our initial screening of 569 articles identified 13 target papers for comprehensive analysis. Among these, at least 214 differentially expressed miRNAs (DEMs) were found, with 15 DEMs appearing in at least two studies (12 were upregulated and 13 were downregulated). The 15 recurrent DEMs were analyzed using DIANA mirPath v.3 and the microT-CDS v5.0 database to identify potential target genes. The results suggest that multiple miRNAs target various genes, forming a complex network that regulates glucose and energy metabolism, maintains homeostasis, and modulates inflammation and immune responses. Significantly, miR-1, miR-122, let-7a, and miR-30b were consistently differentially expressed in multiple studies, indicating their potential relevance in heat stress responses. However, these miRNAs should not be considered definitive biomarkers without further validation. Future research should focus on experimentally confirming their regulatory roles through functional assays, conducting transcriptomic comparisons across different species, and performing target validation studies. These miRNAs, conserved across species, could be valuable for monitoring wild fish health, enhancing aquaculture breeding, and guiding conservation strategies. However, the specific regulatory mechanisms of these miRNAs need clarification to confirm their reliability as biomarkers for thermal stress.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Climate Change and Allergens: Current and Future Impacts.
The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice pii:S2213-2198(25)00212-0 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change will continue to impact allergic diseases in direct and indirect ways. Rising global temperatures are contributing to increased duration of pollen seasons, altered aeroallergen production and potency of allergens, and changes in the geographic distribution of allergenic plants that drive increased human exposure to aeroallergens and increased allergic disease morbidity. Climate change is inextricably linked with air pollution, the latter of which was shown to act as an adjuvant for allergic inflammatory processes promoting allergic sensitization. Pollutant exposure is also linked with higher prevalence of childhood asthma and exacerbation of existing asthma and allergic disease. Increased exposure, or co-exposure, to aeroallergens and air pollution as a result of climate change will result in higher rates of sensitization and incident allergic disease remains uncertain. Vulnerable populations, including children, the elderly, and marginalized groups, are likely to be disproportionately affected. This review summarizes the current knowledge of the effects of climate change on aeroallergens, and by extension, allergic disease. Addressing these health challenges requires a comprehensive understanding of the interaction between climate change, allergens, pollution and public health, alongside proactive measures to mitigate these effects.
Additional Links: PMID-40074172
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40074172,
year = {2025},
author = {Burbank, AJ and Penrice, AJ and Rorie, AC and Oh, JW},
title = {Climate Change and Allergens: Current and Future Impacts.},
journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2025.02.039},
pmid = {40074172},
issn = {2213-2201},
abstract = {Climate change will continue to impact allergic diseases in direct and indirect ways. Rising global temperatures are contributing to increased duration of pollen seasons, altered aeroallergen production and potency of allergens, and changes in the geographic distribution of allergenic plants that drive increased human exposure to aeroallergens and increased allergic disease morbidity. Climate change is inextricably linked with air pollution, the latter of which was shown to act as an adjuvant for allergic inflammatory processes promoting allergic sensitization. Pollutant exposure is also linked with higher prevalence of childhood asthma and exacerbation of existing asthma and allergic disease. Increased exposure, or co-exposure, to aeroallergens and air pollution as a result of climate change will result in higher rates of sensitization and incident allergic disease remains uncertain. Vulnerable populations, including children, the elderly, and marginalized groups, are likely to be disproportionately affected. This review summarizes the current knowledge of the effects of climate change on aeroallergens, and by extension, allergic disease. Addressing these health challenges requires a comprehensive understanding of the interaction between climate change, allergens, pollution and public health, alongside proactive measures to mitigate these effects.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Contribution identification of climate change and hydro-project operation for dammed-river water level responses: A sixty-year observation study of Hanjiang River.
Journal of environmental management, 380:124712 pii:S0301-4797(25)00688-7 [Epub ahead of print].
Understanding the patterns of hydrological responses and identifying the driving factors under the combined influences of hydro-engineering and climate change is crucial for optimizing the utilization of surface water resources. This study focuses on the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River (MLHR), using long-term monthly monitoring hydro-climatic data (1964-2022) from 10 national hydrometeorological stations. Integrated statistical approaches, including the Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), Worsley Likelihood Ratio Test (WLRT), and Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, were applied to systematically analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of water levels and the quantitative contributions of various factors in the MLHR. The results demonstrate that, since the 1960s, significant downward trends in water levels have been observed at most of monitoring stations in the MLHR, and mutation points occurring at all stations except only one station. Fluctuations in water levels due to climatic factors such as precipitation and temperature are short-term and show relatively low correlations. The average water levels increased with mutation points emerging midstream of the Hanjiang River, primarily due to the influence of reservoir operations, while the water level at the lower reaches of the Hanjiang River exhibited a sustained decrease under similar influences. This study verified that water level variation in the MLHR is primarily attributed to hydro-engineering operations rather than climatic factors. By comprehensively evaluating the long-term trends in water level changes and quantitatively assessing the combined contributions of the operation of cascade reservoirs and climate change, this research provides valuable scientific evidence and practical guidance for managing river water resources.
Additional Links: PMID-40073480
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40073480,
year = {2025},
author = {Nong, X and Tang, R and Chen, L and Wei, J},
title = {Contribution identification of climate change and hydro-project operation for dammed-river water level responses: A sixty-year observation study of Hanjiang River.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124712},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124712},
pmid = {40073480},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Understanding the patterns of hydrological responses and identifying the driving factors under the combined influences of hydro-engineering and climate change is crucial for optimizing the utilization of surface water resources. This study focuses on the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River (MLHR), using long-term monthly monitoring hydro-climatic data (1964-2022) from 10 national hydrometeorological stations. Integrated statistical approaches, including the Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), Worsley Likelihood Ratio Test (WLRT), and Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, were applied to systematically analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of water levels and the quantitative contributions of various factors in the MLHR. The results demonstrate that, since the 1960s, significant downward trends in water levels have been observed at most of monitoring stations in the MLHR, and mutation points occurring at all stations except only one station. Fluctuations in water levels due to climatic factors such as precipitation and temperature are short-term and show relatively low correlations. The average water levels increased with mutation points emerging midstream of the Hanjiang River, primarily due to the influence of reservoir operations, while the water level at the lower reaches of the Hanjiang River exhibited a sustained decrease under similar influences. This study verified that water level variation in the MLHR is primarily attributed to hydro-engineering operations rather than climatic factors. By comprehensively evaluating the long-term trends in water level changes and quantitatively assessing the combined contributions of the operation of cascade reservoirs and climate change, this research provides valuable scientific evidence and practical guidance for managing river water resources.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Climate Change & COPD: A GOLD Science Committee Review.
American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-40072246
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40072246,
year = {2025},
author = {Halpin, DMG and Balmes, J and Han, MK and Papi, A and Martinez, FJ and Montes de Oca, M and Ozoh, OB and Salvi, S and Sin, DD and Zheng, J and Agusti, A and Vogelmeier, C},
title = {Climate Change & COPD: A GOLD Science Committee Review.},
journal = {American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1164/rccm.202410-2058PP},
pmid = {40072246},
issn = {1535-4970},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-15
CmpDate: 2025-03-12
Climate change and gendered vulnerability: A systematic review of women's health.
Women's health (London, England), 21:17455057251323645.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is an urgent global threat, with women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) disproportionately facing adverse health outcomes. Gendered roles, combined with socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental factors, exacerbate women's vulnerabilities, increasing the burden of mental health issues, water insecurity, sanitation challenges, and caregiving responsibilities.
OBJECTIVES: This review seeks to systematically examine the intersection between climate change and gendered health vulnerabilities, with a particular focus on women. It explores how climate change intensifies gender-specific risks and identifies pathways for integrating gender-responsive policies to mitigate both short- and long-term health impacts.
DESIGN: Following Arksey and O'Malley's methodological framework, this systematic review mapped key concepts and evidence from studies conducted between January 2011 and January 2024. The review focuses on identifying the multifaceted health impacts of climate change on women, particularly in LMICs and marginalized communities.
DATA SOURCES AND METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in Web of Science and Scopus databases using key terms and Medical Subject Headings related to climate change, women's health, gender inequality, mental health, water security, sanitation, and caregiving burdens. Studies were screened and selected based on relevance to the predefined criteria, with data extracted on study design, key findings, and limitations.
RESULTS: From 2163 citations screened, 61 studies were included in the final analysis. The review highlights that climate change disproportionately affects women, exacerbating pre-existing gender inequalities. Specific impacts include heightened mental health challenges, adverse maternal and newborn health outcomes, increased water insecurity, and an intensified caregiving burden. Women in LMICs are particularly vulnerable due to reduced access to resources, healthcare, and decision-making platforms, further limiting their adaptive capacities.
CONCLUSION: The findings underscore the critical need for gender-responsive climate policies that address both immediate health impacts and the broader socioeconomic and environmental determinants affecting women. Effective climate adaptation strategies must integrate gender perspectives, ensuring that women's specific vulnerabilities are accounted for in policy frameworks. This review advocates for the empowerment of women through increased access to resources and decision-making, thus enhancing their resilience and adaptive capacity in the face of climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-40071991
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40071991,
year = {2025},
author = {Anjum, G and Aziz, M},
title = {Climate change and gendered vulnerability: A systematic review of women's health.},
journal = {Women's health (London, England)},
volume = {21},
number = {},
pages = {17455057251323645},
pmid = {40071991},
issn = {1745-5065},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Women's Health ; Mental Health ; Vulnerable Populations ; Gender Role ; Developing Countries ; Sanitation ; Water Supply ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is an urgent global threat, with women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) disproportionately facing adverse health outcomes. Gendered roles, combined with socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental factors, exacerbate women's vulnerabilities, increasing the burden of mental health issues, water insecurity, sanitation challenges, and caregiving responsibilities.
OBJECTIVES: This review seeks to systematically examine the intersection between climate change and gendered health vulnerabilities, with a particular focus on women. It explores how climate change intensifies gender-specific risks and identifies pathways for integrating gender-responsive policies to mitigate both short- and long-term health impacts.
DESIGN: Following Arksey and O'Malley's methodological framework, this systematic review mapped key concepts and evidence from studies conducted between January 2011 and January 2024. The review focuses on identifying the multifaceted health impacts of climate change on women, particularly in LMICs and marginalized communities.
DATA SOURCES AND METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in Web of Science and Scopus databases using key terms and Medical Subject Headings related to climate change, women's health, gender inequality, mental health, water security, sanitation, and caregiving burdens. Studies were screened and selected based on relevance to the predefined criteria, with data extracted on study design, key findings, and limitations.
RESULTS: From 2163 citations screened, 61 studies were included in the final analysis. The review highlights that climate change disproportionately affects women, exacerbating pre-existing gender inequalities. Specific impacts include heightened mental health challenges, adverse maternal and newborn health outcomes, increased water insecurity, and an intensified caregiving burden. Women in LMICs are particularly vulnerable due to reduced access to resources, healthcare, and decision-making platforms, further limiting their adaptive capacities.
CONCLUSION: The findings underscore the critical need for gender-responsive climate policies that address both immediate health impacts and the broader socioeconomic and environmental determinants affecting women. Effective climate adaptation strategies must integrate gender perspectives, ensuring that women's specific vulnerabilities are accounted for in policy frameworks. This review advocates for the empowerment of women through increased access to resources and decision-making, thus enhancing their resilience and adaptive capacity in the face of climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Climate Change
Female
*Women's Health
Mental Health
Vulnerable Populations
Gender Role
Developing Countries
Sanitation
Water Supply
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Adjustments of plant primary metabolism in the face of climate change.
Journal of experimental botany pii:8071577 [Epub ahead of print].
Plant metabolism is profoundly affected by various abiotic stresses. Consequently, plants must reconfigure their metabolic networks to sustain homeostasis while synthesizing compounds that mitigate stress. This aspect, with the current intensified climate impact results in more frequent abiotic stresses on a global scale. Advances in metabolomics and systems biology in the last decades have enabled both a comprehensive overview and a detailed analysis of key components involved in the plant metabolic response to abiotic stresses. This review addresses metabolic responses to altered atmospheric CO2 and O3, water deficit, temperature extremes, light intensity fluctuations including the importance of UV-B, ionic imbalance, and oxidative stress predicted to be caused by climate change, long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns. It also assesses both the commonalities and specificities of metabolic responses to diverse abiotic stresses, drawing on data from the literature. Classical stress-related metabolites such as proline, and polyamines are revisited, with an emphasis on the critical role of branched-chain amino acid metabolism under stress conditions. Finally, where possible, mechanistic insights into the regulation of metabolic processes and further outlook on combinatory stresses are discussed.
Additional Links: PMID-40071778
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@article {pmid40071778,
year = {2025},
author = {Bulut, M and Karakas, E and Fernie, AR},
title = {Adjustments of plant primary metabolism in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/eraf116},
pmid = {40071778},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {Plant metabolism is profoundly affected by various abiotic stresses. Consequently, plants must reconfigure their metabolic networks to sustain homeostasis while synthesizing compounds that mitigate stress. This aspect, with the current intensified climate impact results in more frequent abiotic stresses on a global scale. Advances in metabolomics and systems biology in the last decades have enabled both a comprehensive overview and a detailed analysis of key components involved in the plant metabolic response to abiotic stresses. This review addresses metabolic responses to altered atmospheric CO2 and O3, water deficit, temperature extremes, light intensity fluctuations including the importance of UV-B, ionic imbalance, and oxidative stress predicted to be caused by climate change, long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns. It also assesses both the commonalities and specificities of metabolic responses to diverse abiotic stresses, drawing on data from the literature. Classical stress-related metabolites such as proline, and polyamines are revisited, with an emphasis on the critical role of branched-chain amino acid metabolism under stress conditions. Finally, where possible, mechanistic insights into the regulation of metabolic processes and further outlook on combinatory stresses are discussed.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Correction to "The Influence of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of Ageratum conyzoides in China".
Ecology and evolution, 15(3):e70895 pii:ECE370895.
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1002/ece3.11513.].
Additional Links: PMID-40071152
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@article {pmid40071152,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "The Influence of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of Ageratum conyzoides in China".},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e70895},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.70895},
pmid = {40071152},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1002/ece3.11513.].},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Novel Approach Methodologies in Modeling Complex Bioaerosol Exposure in Asthma and Allergic Rhinitis Under Climate Change.
Expert reviews in molecular medicine pii:S1462399425000079 [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-40070355
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid40070355,
year = {2025},
author = {Atalay-Şahar, E and Yildiz-Ozturk, E and Özgür, S and Aral, A and Dayanc, E and Goksel, T and Meuwissen, R and Yesil-Celiktas, O and Goksel, O},
title = {Novel Approach Methodologies in Modeling Complex Bioaerosol Exposure in Asthma and Allergic Rhinitis Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Expert reviews in molecular medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-29},
doi = {10.1017/erm.2025.7},
pmid = {40070355},
issn = {1462-3994},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
CmpDate: 2025-03-12
Global Greening Major Contributed by Climate Change With More Than Two Times Rate Against the History Period During the 21th Century.
Global change biology, 31(3):e70126.
Future variations of global vegetation are of paramount importance for the socio-ecological systems. However, up to now, it is still difficult to develop an approach to project the global vegetation considering the spatial heterogeneities from vegetation, climate factors, and models. Therefore, this study first proposes a novel model framework named GGMAOC (grid-by-grid; multi-algorithms; optimal combination) to construct an optimal model using six algorithms (i.e., LR: linear regression; SVR: support vector regression; RF: random forest; CNN: convolutional neural network; and LSTM: long short-term memory; transformer) based on five climatic factors (i.e., Tmp: temperature; Pre: precipitation; ET: evapotranspiration, SM: soil moisture, and CO2). The optimal model is employed to project the future changes in leaf area index (LAI) for the global and four sub-regions: the high-latitude northern hemisphere (NH), the mid-latitude NH, the tropics, and the mid-latitude southern hemisphere. Our results indicate that global LAI will continue to increase, with the greening rate expanding to 2.25 times in high-latitude NH by 2100 against the 1982-2014 period. Moreover, RF shows strong applicability in the global and NH models. In this study, we introduce an innovative model GGMAOC, which provides a new optimal model scheme for environmental and geoscientific research.
Additional Links: PMID-40070155
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Citation:
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@article {pmid40070155,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, H and Hu, Z and Chen, X and Li, J and Zhang, Q and Zheng, X},
title = {Global Greening Major Contributed by Climate Change With More Than Two Times Rate Against the History Period During the 21th Century.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70126},
pmid = {40070155},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Algorithms ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Leaves ; Climate Models ; Plant Development ; },
abstract = {Future variations of global vegetation are of paramount importance for the socio-ecological systems. However, up to now, it is still difficult to develop an approach to project the global vegetation considering the spatial heterogeneities from vegetation, climate factors, and models. Therefore, this study first proposes a novel model framework named GGMAOC (grid-by-grid; multi-algorithms; optimal combination) to construct an optimal model using six algorithms (i.e., LR: linear regression; SVR: support vector regression; RF: random forest; CNN: convolutional neural network; and LSTM: long short-term memory; transformer) based on five climatic factors (i.e., Tmp: temperature; Pre: precipitation; ET: evapotranspiration, SM: soil moisture, and CO2). The optimal model is employed to project the future changes in leaf area index (LAI) for the global and four sub-regions: the high-latitude northern hemisphere (NH), the mid-latitude NH, the tropics, and the mid-latitude southern hemisphere. Our results indicate that global LAI will continue to increase, with the greening rate expanding to 2.25 times in high-latitude NH by 2100 against the 1982-2014 period. Moreover, RF shows strong applicability in the global and NH models. In this study, we introduce an innovative model GGMAOC, which provides a new optimal model scheme for environmental and geoscientific research.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Algorithms
Models, Theoretical
Plant Leaves
Climate Models
Plant Development
RevDate: 2025-03-14
COP30 must deliver binding mechanisms to address climate change, not empty promises.
Nature, 639(8054):306.
Additional Links: PMID-40069415
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@article {pmid40069415,
year = {2025},
author = {Fernandes, S and Ranjan, P},
title = {COP30 must deliver binding mechanisms to address climate change, not empty promises.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {639},
number = {8054},
pages = {306},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-025-00714-y},
pmid = {40069415},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-14
CmpDate: 2025-03-12
Integrated analysis of local agricultural practices, community-led interventions, and climate change impacts on food insecurity in rural Azad Kashmir.
Scientific reports, 15(1):8375.
Food insecurity impacts 2.3 billion individuals worldwide, with the Asia-Pacific region representing more than 50% of the global undernourished population. In Pakistan, approximately 37% of the population experiences food insecurity, with rural Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) exhibiting concerning rates of stunting, wasting, and overweight individuals. This research examines the correlation between food insecurity, household factors, agricultural practices, and climate change in rural AJK. Data were collected from 470 respondents via a self-administered questionnaire utilizing convenience sampling, and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) was applied for analysis. Household size, gender, income, education, and climate change influence food insecurity significantly. An increase of one person in household size is associated with a 0.499-unit rise in food insecurity, whereas a one-unit increase in income results in a 0.582-unit reduction. Females exhibit greater levels of food insecurity compared to males, while educational attainment is associated with a reduction in food insecurity. Furthermore, the implementation of sustainable agricultural practices mitigates food insecurity, whereas climate change intensifies it. The findings highlight the necessity for targeted interventions that address the specific challenges faced by rural AJK, particularly about climate-resilient agricultural practices and sustainable livelihoods.
Additional Links: PMID-40069196
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40069196,
year = {2025},
author = {Khurshid, N and Gohar, AM},
title = {Integrated analysis of local agricultural practices, community-led interventions, and climate change impacts on food insecurity in rural Azad Kashmir.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8375},
pmid = {40069196},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Rural Population ; Female ; Male ; *Food Insecurity ; *Agriculture ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; Adult ; Family Characteristics ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {Food insecurity impacts 2.3 billion individuals worldwide, with the Asia-Pacific region representing more than 50% of the global undernourished population. In Pakistan, approximately 37% of the population experiences food insecurity, with rural Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) exhibiting concerning rates of stunting, wasting, and overweight individuals. This research examines the correlation between food insecurity, household factors, agricultural practices, and climate change in rural AJK. Data were collected from 470 respondents via a self-administered questionnaire utilizing convenience sampling, and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) was applied for analysis. Household size, gender, income, education, and climate change influence food insecurity significantly. An increase of one person in household size is associated with a 0.499-unit rise in food insecurity, whereas a one-unit increase in income results in a 0.582-unit reduction. Females exhibit greater levels of food insecurity compared to males, while educational attainment is associated with a reduction in food insecurity. Furthermore, the implementation of sustainable agricultural practices mitigates food insecurity, whereas climate change intensifies it. The findings highlight the necessity for targeted interventions that address the specific challenges faced by rural AJK, particularly about climate-resilient agricultural practices and sustainable livelihoods.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Climate Change
*Rural Population
Female
Male
*Food Insecurity
*Agriculture
Pakistan/epidemiology
Adult
Family Characteristics
Surveys and Questionnaires
Middle Aged
Food Supply
RevDate: 2025-03-11
Assessing the contribution of Tidal Flats to climate change and carbon neutrality through modeling approaches.
Marine environmental research, 207:107067 pii:S0141-1136(25)00124-2 [Epub ahead of print].
Tidal coastal ecosystems show promising potential as natural carbon sinks in mitigating climate change. Under the combined effect of carbon deposition, capturing, converting, and storing atmospheric CO2 into coastal sediments over a long period, tidal flats are of great significance to the ecology. In addition to preventing coastal erosion, the organic carbon buried in tidal flats should play an important role in mitigating climate change and achieving the carbon neutrality target. However, although the growing interest in tidal flat carbon has prompted studies to estimate carbon stocks at the global level in general and Korea in particular, comprehensive assessments of the role of carbon stocks in climate change have yet to be made. Therefore, the present study aims to quantify and simulate organic carbon stocks in tidal flats habitats of the Korean coast through a carbon balance model, thereby assessing their role in climate change and carbon neutrality. Biomass vegetation, meteorological, and sedimentary data up to 70 cm depth were sampled from 37 sites representing tidal flats along the Korean coast and then applied to the model to simulate the carbon sequestration rate as well as to provide predictions of sediment carbon stocks until 2050. The study revealed that the average total organic carbon (TOC) storage in vegetated and non-vegetated tidal flats reach 53.41 Mg C ha[-1] and 45.48 Mg C ha[-1] up to a depth of 70 cm in 2050, respectively, of which vegetation on the ground accounts for 3.06 ± 3.01 MgC.ha[-1]. Carbon mass is found to increase linearly over time in nearly all areas studied, with carbon sequestration rates ranging from 0.037 to 0.71 (MgC ha[- 1] yr[- 1]). The Korean tidal flats contain 11,200,000 MgC (∼4.13 × 10[7] tCO2 eq) of organic carbon (70 cm depth). This clearly reflects their potential for inclusion in the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. Model simulation result indicated that the topsoil carbon mass of Tidal Flats in the year 2050 could contribute 7.64 × 10[6] tons CO2eq towards the "2050 carbon neutral strategy of the Republic of Korea". The findings of this study shall strengthen the knowledge base regarding Korea's Tidal flat carbon stocks as well as their potential role in mitigating climate change and contributing to future carbon neutrality goals.
Additional Links: PMID-40068323
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40068323,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, S and Park, HS and Kwon, BO and Khim, JS and Lee, J and Sharesh, G and Thi Dang, NY and Kim, S},
title = {Assessing the contribution of Tidal Flats to climate change and carbon neutrality through modeling approaches.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {207},
number = {},
pages = {107067},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107067},
pmid = {40068323},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Tidal coastal ecosystems show promising potential as natural carbon sinks in mitigating climate change. Under the combined effect of carbon deposition, capturing, converting, and storing atmospheric CO2 into coastal sediments over a long period, tidal flats are of great significance to the ecology. In addition to preventing coastal erosion, the organic carbon buried in tidal flats should play an important role in mitigating climate change and achieving the carbon neutrality target. However, although the growing interest in tidal flat carbon has prompted studies to estimate carbon stocks at the global level in general and Korea in particular, comprehensive assessments of the role of carbon stocks in climate change have yet to be made. Therefore, the present study aims to quantify and simulate organic carbon stocks in tidal flats habitats of the Korean coast through a carbon balance model, thereby assessing their role in climate change and carbon neutrality. Biomass vegetation, meteorological, and sedimentary data up to 70 cm depth were sampled from 37 sites representing tidal flats along the Korean coast and then applied to the model to simulate the carbon sequestration rate as well as to provide predictions of sediment carbon stocks until 2050. The study revealed that the average total organic carbon (TOC) storage in vegetated and non-vegetated tidal flats reach 53.41 Mg C ha[-1] and 45.48 Mg C ha[-1] up to a depth of 70 cm in 2050, respectively, of which vegetation on the ground accounts for 3.06 ± 3.01 MgC.ha[-1]. Carbon mass is found to increase linearly over time in nearly all areas studied, with carbon sequestration rates ranging from 0.037 to 0.71 (MgC ha[- 1] yr[- 1]). The Korean tidal flats contain 11,200,000 MgC (∼4.13 × 10[7] tCO2 eq) of organic carbon (70 cm depth). This clearly reflects their potential for inclusion in the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. Model simulation result indicated that the topsoil carbon mass of Tidal Flats in the year 2050 could contribute 7.64 × 10[6] tons CO2eq towards the "2050 carbon neutral strategy of the Republic of Korea". The findings of this study shall strengthen the knowledge base regarding Korea's Tidal flat carbon stocks as well as their potential role in mitigating climate change and contributing to future carbon neutrality goals.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-11
The Impact of Climate Change on Laboratory Medicine: A Global Health Perspective.
Clinical chemistry pii:8069773 [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-40067764
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40067764,
year = {2025},
author = {Richard-Greenblatt, M and Omosule, CL and Owusu Agyare, B and Das, S and Devine, C and Mokomane, M and Scott, S and Vongsouvath, M},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Laboratory Medicine: A Global Health Perspective.},
journal = {Clinical chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/clinchem/hvaf012},
pmid = {40067764},
issn = {1530-8561},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-12
Assessing the impact of climate change and a water management programme on white sturgeon physiology in the Nechako River, British Columbia.
Conservation physiology, 13(1):coaf014.
Climate change is impacting river ecosystems, underlining the need for water management strategies to protect native species within these ecosystems. Here, we evaluate the impact of climate change and water management on the physiology of white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) in the Nechako River, British Columbia (Canada). Using the CEQUEAU hydrological-thermal model, we simulated daily water temperatures from 1980 to 2099 under two climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). We assessed thermal exposure risk (Te) for different developmental stages of white sturgeon, focusing on the warmest 6-month period. Our findings show that embryos and yolk-sac larvae exhibit resilience, with Te values consistently <1 under both scenarios, signifying low thermal stress. In contrast, feeding larvae and juveniles experience elevated Te values, indicating significant future thermal stress. For feeding larvae, Te values exceeded 1 under both scenarios, reaching up to 1.5 by the mid-century (2050s) and up to 1.8 by the end of the century (2090s) under SSP5-8.5. Juvenile white sturgeon also faced increased thermal risks, with Te values rising >1 during July and August, reaching 1.4 and 1.8 by the 2050s and 1.8 and 2.0 by the 2090s under SSP5-8.5, compared to the 1980s. These results underscore the need to evaluate the existing water management programme to better accommodate the projected changes in thermal conditions associated with climate change. Additionally, regulated river discharge, which can both increase and decrease downstream temperatures, offers a strategic opportunity to mitigate some climate impacts through strategic dam discharge management.
Additional Links: PMID-40066101
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40066101,
year = {2025},
author = {Oyinlola, MA and Khorsandi, M and Penman, R and Earhart, ML and Arsenault, R and McAdam, S and Brauner, CJ and St-Hilaire, A},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change and a water management programme on white sturgeon physiology in the Nechako River, British Columbia.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {coaf014},
pmid = {40066101},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Climate change is impacting river ecosystems, underlining the need for water management strategies to protect native species within these ecosystems. Here, we evaluate the impact of climate change and water management on the physiology of white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) in the Nechako River, British Columbia (Canada). Using the CEQUEAU hydrological-thermal model, we simulated daily water temperatures from 1980 to 2099 under two climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). We assessed thermal exposure risk (Te) for different developmental stages of white sturgeon, focusing on the warmest 6-month period. Our findings show that embryos and yolk-sac larvae exhibit resilience, with Te values consistently <1 under both scenarios, signifying low thermal stress. In contrast, feeding larvae and juveniles experience elevated Te values, indicating significant future thermal stress. For feeding larvae, Te values exceeded 1 under both scenarios, reaching up to 1.5 by the mid-century (2050s) and up to 1.8 by the end of the century (2090s) under SSP5-8.5. Juvenile white sturgeon also faced increased thermal risks, with Te values rising >1 during July and August, reaching 1.4 and 1.8 by the 2050s and 1.8 and 2.0 by the 2090s under SSP5-8.5, compared to the 1980s. These results underscore the need to evaluate the existing water management programme to better accommodate the projected changes in thermal conditions associated with climate change. Additionally, regulated river discharge, which can both increase and decrease downstream temperatures, offers a strategic opportunity to mitigate some climate impacts through strategic dam discharge management.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-13
Investing in U.S. forests to mitigate climate change.
Carbon balance and management, 20(1):4.
In recent years several U.S. federal policies have been adopted to support forest-based climate mitigation actions. This study focuses on current federal funds allocated to forest for climate change mitigation activities to assess how much they could deliver in terms of net sequestration under a best-case (optimized) scenario where the cheapest abatement options are implemented first and if these funds are in line to achieve domestic targets for 2030 and 2050. Multiple investments pathways are tested under two different assumptions on CO2 fertilization to provide a range of future mitigation projections from forests. Results show that under annual investments in line with current federal funds (around $640 million), the expected net carbon flux of U.S. forests is around 745 MtCO2/yr in 2030 (+ 12% increase from baseline) and if the investments expand after 2030 the net flux is expected to be 786 MtCO2/yr in 2050 (+ 17% increase from baseline). When CO2 fertilization is accounted for, the projections of net forest carbon sequestration increase by 17% in 2030 and about 1 GtCO2 net sequestration achieved under federal funds in 2050, increasing the likelihood of meeting both short-term and long-term domestic targets.
Additional Links: PMID-40064712
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40064712,
year = {2025},
author = {Favero, A and Baker, J and Sohngen, B and Daigneault, A and Wade, C and Ohrel, S and Ragnauth, S},
title = {Investing in U.S. forests to mitigate climate change.},
journal = {Carbon balance and management},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {4},
pmid = {40064712},
issn = {1750-0680},
support = {Contract #68HERH19D0030, Call Order #68HERH23F0146//U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)/ ; },
abstract = {In recent years several U.S. federal policies have been adopted to support forest-based climate mitigation actions. This study focuses on current federal funds allocated to forest for climate change mitigation activities to assess how much they could deliver in terms of net sequestration under a best-case (optimized) scenario where the cheapest abatement options are implemented first and if these funds are in line to achieve domestic targets for 2030 and 2050. Multiple investments pathways are tested under two different assumptions on CO2 fertilization to provide a range of future mitigation projections from forests. Results show that under annual investments in line with current federal funds (around $640 million), the expected net carbon flux of U.S. forests is around 745 MtCO2/yr in 2030 (+ 12% increase from baseline) and if the investments expand after 2030 the net flux is expected to be 786 MtCO2/yr in 2050 (+ 17% increase from baseline). When CO2 fertilization is accounted for, the projections of net forest carbon sequestration increase by 17% in 2030 and about 1 GtCO2 net sequestration achieved under federal funds in 2050, increasing the likelihood of meeting both short-term and long-term domestic targets.},
}
RevDate: 2025-03-10
CmpDate: 2025-03-10
Earth greening and climate change reshaping the patterns of terrestrial water sinks and sources.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(11):e2410881122.
While vegetation brings positive benefits for climate mitigation and adaptation, the impact of ongoing global greening remains controversial due to its uncertain effects on hydrological cycle. Here, we quantitatively assess the impact of vegetation dynamics on global water availability by proposing a comprehensive framework to quantify the terrestrial water sink and source scores associated with vegetation dynamics. These scores serve as indicators of whether large alterations in water resources have occurred in the lands due to either the greening or degradation of surface vegetation. We use multisource datasets from climate model projections, remote sensing, and local measurements to examine the impact of vegetation dynamics on water availability over the periods of 1982 to 2019 and 2015 to 2100. During historical observation periods, regions such as India and northern China experienced large depletion of water resources as a result of vegetation greening, leading to water scarcity. In the future, a shift is projected for India and northern China, transforming them into regions capable of meeting water demands arising from vegetation greening. This transition is largely attributed to wetting and warming climates. It indicates that trade-off effects between climate and underlying vegetation dynamics may result in strengthening regional hydrological resilience and ensuring the stable status of local water resources. Furthermore, tropical rainforests (except for the Amazon Rainforest) are experiencing greening with minimal impact on local water resources consistently. These insights are valuable for globally identifying optimal locations to implement ecological restoration, facilitating the balance of sustainable water resources and vegetation greening.
Additional Links: PMID-40063822
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid40063822,
year = {2025},
author = {Yan, Y and Liu, Z and Chen, L and Chen, X and Lin, K and Zeng, Z and Lan, X and Huang, L and Wang, Y and Yao, L and Cheng, L and Ma, Z},
title = {Earth greening and climate change reshaping the patterns of terrestrial water sinks and sources.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {11},
pages = {e2410881122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2410881122},
pmid = {40063822},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {52179031//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; India ; Water Resources ; Water Supply ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Climate Models ; Earth, Planet ; Ecosystem ; Water ; Hydrology ; Conservation of Water Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {While vegetation brings positive benefits for climate mitigation and adaptation, the impact of ongoing global greening remains controversial due to its uncertain effects on hydrological cycle. Here, we quantitatively assess the impact of vegetation dynamics on global water availability by proposing a comprehensive framework to quantify the terrestrial water sink and source scores associated with vegetation dynamics. These scores serve as indicators of whether large alterations in water resources have occurred in the lands due to either the greening or degradation of surface vegetation. We use multisource datasets from climate model projections, remote sensing, and local measurements to examine the impact of vegetation dynamics on water availability over the periods of 1982 to 2019 and 2015 to 2100. During historical observation periods, regions such as India and northern China experienced large depletion of water resources as a result of vegetation greening, leading to water scarcity. In the future, a shift is projected for India and northern China, transforming them into regions capable of meeting water demands arising from vegetation greening. This transition is largely attributed to wetting and warming climates. It indicates that trade-off effects between climate and underlying vegetation dynamics may result in strengthening regional hydrological resilience and ensuring the stable status of local water resources. Furthermore, tropical rainforests (except for the Amazon Rainforest) are experiencing greening with minimal impact on local water resources consistently. These insights are valuable for globally identifying optimal locations to implement ecological restoration, facilitating the balance of sustainable water resources and vegetation greening.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
China
India
Water Resources
Water Supply
Conservation of Natural Resources
Climate Models
Earth, Planet
Ecosystem
Water
Hydrology
Conservation of Water Resources/methods
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Robbins holds BS, MS, and PhD degrees in the life sciences. He served as a tenured faculty member in the Zoology and Biological Science departments at Michigan State University. He is currently exploring the intersection between genomics, microbial ecology, and biodiversity — an area that promises to transform our understanding of the biosphere.
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Robbins has extensive experience in college-level education: At MSU he taught introductory biology, genetics, and population genetics. At JHU, he was an instructor for a special course on biological database design. At FHCRC, he team-taught a graduate-level course on the history of genetics. At Bellevue College he taught medical informatics.
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While still at Michigan State, Robbins started his first publishing venture, founding a small company that addressed the short-run publishing needs of instructors in very large undergraduate classes. For more than 20 years, Robbins has been operating The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project, a web site dedicated to the digital publishing of critical works in science, especially classical genetics.
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