@article {pmid37268143, year = {2023}, author = {Godwin, A and McGill, C and Ward, A and Sofkova-Bobcheva, S and Pieralli, S}, title = {Phenological phase affects carrot seed production sensitivity to climate change - A panel data analysis.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {892}, number = {}, pages = {164502}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164502}, pmid = {37268143}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {New Zealand is a major producer of carrot seeds globally. Carrots are an important nutritional crop for human consumption. Since the growth and development of carrot seed crops mainly depend on climatic factors, seed yield is extremely susceptible to climate change. This modeling study was undertaken using a panel data approach to determine the impact of the atmospheric conditions (proxied by maximum and minimum temperature) and precipitation during the critical growth stages for seed production in carrot, viz., juvenile phase, vernalization phase, floral development phase, and flowering and seed development phase on carrot seed yield. The panel dataset was created using cross-sections from 28 locations within the Canterbury and Hawke's Bay regions of New Zealand that cultivate carrot seed crops and time series from 2005 to 2022. Pre-diagnostic tests were performed to test the model assumptions, and a fixed effect model was selected subsequently. There was significant (p < 0.01) variability in temperature and rainfall throughout different growing phases, except for precipitation at the vernalization phase. The highest rate of changes in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation were recorded during the vernalization phase (+0.254 °C per year), floral development phase (+0.18 °C per year), and juvenile phase (-6.508 mm per year), respectively. Based on marginal effect analysis, the highest significant influence of minimum (187.724 kg/ha of seed yield decrease for each 1 °C increment) and maximum temperature (1 °C rise increases seed yield by 132.728 kg/ha), and precipitation (1 mm increment of rainfall decreases the seed yield by 1.745 kg/ha) on carrot seed yield were reported at vernalization, and flowering and seed development, respectively. The minimum and maximum temperatures have a higher marginal effect on carrot seed production. Analysis of the panel data demonstrates that the production of carrot seeds will be vulnerable to climatic change.}, }
@article {pmid37268126, year = {2023}, author = {Puchałka, R and Paź-Dyderska, S and Woziwoda, B and Dyderski, MK}, title = {Climate change will cause climatic niche contraction of Vaccinium myrtillus L. and V. vitis-idaea L. in Europe.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164483}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164483}, pmid = {37268126}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {We estimated climate niche shifts and threat levels under various climate change scenarios for Vaccinium myrtillus L. and V. vitis-idaea L. We developed the MaxEnt species distribution models, and predicted future climatic optima for climate change scenarios for 2041-2060 and 2061-2080. The precipitation of the warmest quarter was the most important factor shaping the climatic niches of the studied species. We predicted the largest shifts in climate niches from the present to the 2040-2060 period, with the most pessimistic scenario predicting significant range losses for both species, mainly in Western Europe. Under the most optimistic SSP126 scenario, both species will lose 39 % of their climatic niche for both periods. In the worst-case scenario (SSP585) for 2061-2080, climatic niche contraction will cover 47 % and 39 % of the current climatic niche for V. myrtillus and V. vitis-idaea, respectively. The predicted changes in species distribution could have far-reaching consequences for temperate and boreal forests due to their crucial biocenotic role in forest ecosystems, high potential for carbon sequestration, and prevention of soil erosion. Furthermore, the changes would likely affect the economic potential regarding fruit production and culturally relevant uses of different parts of the plants, mainly fruits.}, }
@article {pmid37267665, year = {2023}, author = {Bertolini, C and Glaser, D and Canu, M and Pastres, R}, title = {Coupling habitat-specific temperature scenarios with tolerance landscape to predict the impacts of climate change on farmed bivalves.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {188}, number = {}, pages = {106038}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106038}, pmid = {37267665}, issn = {1879-0291}, abstract = {Due to climate change, heatwaves are likely to become more frequent, prolonged and characterized by higher peak values, compared with climatological averages. However, the thermal tolerance of organisms depends on the actual exposure, which can be modulated by environmental context and microhabitat characteristics. This study investigated the frequency of occurrence of mass mortality events in the next decades for two species of farmed bivalves, the mussel Mytilus galloprovincialis and the clam Ruditapes philippinarum, in a shallow coastal lagoon, characterised by marked diurnal oscillations of water temperature. The effect of heatwaves was estimated by means of tolerance landscape models, which predict the occurrence of 50% mortality based on the exposure intensity and duration. Scenarios of water temperature up to the year 2100 were modelled by combining two mechanistic components, namely: 1) monthly mean water temperatures, simulated using a hydrodynamic model including the heat budget; 2) daily oscillations, estimated from the harmonic analysis of a twenty year-long site-specific time series of water temperature. Scenarios of mean daily sediment temperature were estimated by means of a cross-correlation model, using as input the water temperature one: the model parameters were estimated based on a comprehensive set of site-specific water and sediment temperature observations. The results indicate that for both species the risk of mass mortality rapidly increases starting from the 2060s. Furthermore, the daily patterns of water temperature seemed to be relevant, as overnight it falls below the predicted mortality thresholds for a few hours. These findings suggest that further studies should address: 1) the improvement of tolerance landscape models, in order to take into account the integrated effect of repeated non-lethal stress events on mortality rate; 2) the prediction of environmental temperature in specific habitat, by means of both process-based and data driven models.}, }
@article {pmid37265254, year = {2023}, author = {Seifert, M and Nissen, C and Rost, B and Vogt, M and Völker, C and Hauck, J}, title = {Interaction matters: Bottom-up driver interdependencies alter the projected response of phytoplankton communities to climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16799}, pmid = {37265254}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Phytoplankton growth is controlled by multiple environmental drivers, which are all modified by climate change. While numerous experimental studies identify interactive effects between drivers, large-scale ocean biogeochemistry models mostly account for growth responses to each driver separately and leave the results of these experimental multiple-driver studies largely unused. Here, we amend phytoplankton growth functions in a biogeochemical model by dual-driver interactions (CO2 and temperature, CO2 and light), based on data of a published meta-analysis on multiple-driver laboratory experiments. The effect of this parametrization on phytoplankton biomass and community composition is tested using present-day and future high-emission (SSP5-8.5) climate forcing. While the projected decrease in future total global phytoplankton biomass in simulations with driver interactions is similar to that in control simulations without driver interactions (5%-6%), interactive driver effects are group-specific. Globally, diatom biomass decreases more with interactive effects compared with the control simulation (-8.1% with interactions vs. no change without interactions). Small-phytoplankton biomass, by contrast, decreases less with on-going climate change when the model accounts for driver interactions (-5.0% vs. -9.0%). The response of global coccolithophore biomass to future climate conditions is even reversed when interactions are considered (+33.2% instead of -10.8%). Regionally, the largest difference in the future phytoplankton community composition between the simulations with and without driver interactions is detected in the Southern Ocean, where diatom biomass decreases (-7.5%) instead of increases (+14.5%), raising the share of small phytoplankton and coccolithophores of total phytoplankton biomass. Hence, interactive effects impact the phytoplankton community structure and related biogeochemical fluxes in a future ocean. Our approach is a first step to integrate the mechanistic understanding of interacting driver effects on phytoplankton growth gained by numerous laboratory experiments into a global ocean biogeochemistry model, aiming toward more realistic future projections of phytoplankton biomass and community composition.}, }
@article {pmid37265088, year = {2023}, author = {Bhoite, R and Han, Y and Chaitanya, AK and Varshney, RK and Sharma, DL}, title = {Genomic approaches to enhance adaptive plasticity to cope with soil constraints amidst climate change in wheat.}, journal = {The plant genome}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e20358}, doi = {10.1002/tpg2.20358}, pmid = {37265088}, issn = {1940-3372}, abstract = {Climate change is varying the availability of resources, soil physicochemical properties, and rainfall events, which collectively determines soil physical and chemical properties. Soil constraints-acidity (pH < 6), salinity (pH ≤ 8.5), sodicity, and dispersion (pH > 8.5)-are major causes of wheat yield loss in arid and semiarid cropping systems. To cope with changing environments, plants employ adaptive strategies such as phenotypic plasticity, a key multifaceted trait, to promote shifts in phenotypes. Adaptive strategies for constrained soils are complex, determined by key functional traits and genotype × environment × management interactions. The understanding of the molecular basis of stress tolerance is particularly challenging for plasticity traits. Advances in sequencing and high-throughput genomics technologies have identified functional alleles in gene-rich regions, haplotypes, candidate genes, mechanisms, and in silico gene expression profiles at various growth developmental stages. Our review focuses on favorable alleles for enhanced gene expression, quantitative trait loci, and epigenetic regulation of plant responses to soil constraints, including heavy metal stress and nutrient limitations. A strategy is then described for quantitative traits in wheat by investigating significant alleles and functional characterization of variants, followed by gene validation using advanced genomic tools, and marker development for molecular breeding and genome editing. Moreover, the review highlights the progress of gene editing in wheat, multiplex gene editing, and novel alleles for smart control of gene expression. Application of these advanced genomic technologies to enhance plasticity traits along with soil management practices will be an effective tool to build yield, stability, and sustainability on constrained soils in the face of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37263997, year = {2023}, author = {Duncanson, L and Liang, M and Leitold, V and Armston, J and Krishna Moorthy, SM and Dubayah, R and Costedoat, S and Enquist, BJ and Fatoyinbo, L and Goetz, SJ and Gonzalez-Roglich, M and Merow, C and Roehrdanz, PR and Tabor, K and Zvoleff, A}, title = {The effectiveness of global protected areas for climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {2908}, pmid = {37263997}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Forests play a critical role in stabilizing Earth's climate. Establishing protected areas (PAs) represents one approach to forest conservation, but PAs were rarely created to mitigate climate change. The global impact of PAs on the carbon cycle has not previously been quantified due to a lack of accurate global-scale carbon stock maps. Here we used ~412 million lidar samples from NASA's GEDI mission to estimate a total PA aboveground carbon (C) stock of 61.43 Gt (+/- 0.31), 26% of all mapped terrestrial woody C. Of this total, 9.65 + /- 0.88 Gt of additional carbon was attributed to PA status. These higher C stocks are primarily from avoided emissions from deforestation and degradation in PAs compared to unprotected forests. This total is roughly equivalent to one year of annual global fossil fuel emissions. These results underscore the importance of conservation of high biomass forests for avoiding carbon emissions and preserving future sequestration.}, }
@article {pmid37263916, year = {2023}, author = {Vilà-Cabrera, A and Astigarraga, J and Jump, AS and Zavala, MA and Seijo, F and Sperlich, D and Ruiz-Benito, P}, title = {Anthropogenic land-use legacies underpin climate change-related risks to forest ecosystems.}, journal = {Trends in plant science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2023.04.014}, pmid = {37263916}, issn = {1878-4372}, abstract = {Forest ecosystems with long-lasting human imprints can emerge worldwide as outcomes of land-use cessation. However, the interaction of these anthropogenic legacies with climate change impacts on forests is not well understood. Here, we set out how anthropogenic land-use legacies that persist in forest properties, following alterations in forest distribution, structure, and composition, can interact with climate change stressors. We propose a risk-based framework to identify anthropogenic legacies of land uses in forest ecosystems and quantify the impact of their interaction with climate-related stress on forest responses. Considering anthropogenic land-use legacies alongside environmental drivers of forest ecosystem dynamics will improve our predictive capacity of climate-related risks to forests and our ability to promote ecosystem resilience to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37263280, year = {2023}, author = {Deivanayagam, TA and English, S and Hickel, J and Bonifacio, J and Guinto, RR and Hill, KX and Huq, M and Issa, R and Mulindwa, H and Nagginda, HP and de Morais Sato, P and Selvarajah, S and Sharma, C and Devakumar, D}, title = {Envisioning environmental equity: climate change, health, and racial justice.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00919-4}, pmid = {37263280}, issn = {1474-547X}, abstract = {Climate change has a broad range of health impacts and tackling climate change could be the greatest opportunity for improving global health this century. Yet conversations on climate change and health are often incomplete, giving little attention to structural discrimination and the need for racial justice. Racism kills, and climate change kills. Together, racism and climate change interact and have disproportionate effects on the lives of minoritised people both within countries and between the Global North and the Global South. This paper has three main aims. First, to survey the literature on the unequal health impacts of climate change due to racism, xenophobia, and discrimination through a scoping review. We found that racially minoritised groups, migrants, and Indigenous communities face a disproportionate burden of illness and mortality due to climate change in different contexts. Second, this paper aims to highlight inequalities in responsibility for climate change and the effects thereof. A geographical visualisation of responsibility for climate change and projected mortality and disease risk attributable to climate change per 100 000 people in 2050 was conducted. These maps visualise the disproportionate burden of illness and mortality due to climate change faced by the Global South. Our third aim is to highlight the pathways through which climate change, discrimination, and health interact in most affected areas. Case studies, testimony, and policy analysis drawn from multidisciplinary perspectives are presented throughout the paper to elucidate these pathways. The health community must urgently examine and repair the structural discrimination that drives the unequal impacts of climate change to achieve rapid and equitable action.}, }
@article {pmid37263264, year = {2023}, author = {Roy, S and Ayalon, L}, title = {"They did not know what they were doing": Climate change and intergenerational compassion.}, journal = {The Gerontologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/geront/gnad063}, pmid = {37263264}, issn = {1758-5341}, abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Compassion is described as an affective experience arising from witnessing the undeserved suffering of another that propels one to provide protection and cooperation. Climate change is often associated with "underserved suffering", especially of younger and future generations. Consequently, contemporary climate discourse has expressed hostility toward older generations for inflicting such suffering. Studies on intergenerational relations within the context of climate change agree that intergenerational solidarity, rather than conflict, is necessary for effective climate action. Since compassion is instrumental to solidarity, in this study, we explore intergenerational climate-related expressions of compassion leading to intergenerational solidarity.<br><br>RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We interviewed 16 climate activists from 8 countries (aged 16-76 years) to understand how they view climate responsibility. Thematic analysis was undertaken to create and explore themes related to intergenerational compassion and solidarity.<br><br>RESULTS: Compassion flowed in both directions: from younger to older generations in the form of forgiveness, empathy, and understanding, and from older to younger generations through advocacy, lifestyle changes, and transmission of knowledge and skills. All participants emphasised solutions over accusations. Areas of focus varied between industrialized and developing countries. Cultural factors played an essential role in intergenerational perceptions.<br><br>DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Climate change can be a polarizing issue with older adults fielding accusations and younger people facing criticism for demanding climate action. Examples of intergenerational compassion can counter ageism, re-shape climate narratives, encourage intergenerational cooperation, harness the skills of different generations, and create a sustainable world for all ages.}, }
@article {pmid37261694, year = {2023}, author = {Isa, Z and Sawa, BA and Abdussalam, AF and Ibrahim, M and Babati, AH and Baba, BM and Ugya, AY}, title = {Impact of climate change on climate extreme indices in Kaduna River basin, Nigeria.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37261694}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {This study examined the impact of climate change on climate extreme indices in the Kaduna River basin, Nigeria. Large-scale atmospheric variables derived from the Global Climate Model (GCM), Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) (CanESM2) were used to develop a high-resolution climate using a Statistical Down Scaling Model. The adapted Caussinus-Mestre algorithm for homogenizing networks of temperature series and multivariate bias correction based on an N-dimension probability function were used to homogenize and correct the climate data, respectively. Fifteen climate extreme indices were computed using RClimdex. The coefficient of variance, Kruskal-Wallis test, and the modified Mann-Kendall test were used to assess the variation and trends. Wavelet analysis was used to determine the periodicities of the indices (1980-2020). The findings revealed a significant warming trend with low variability of temperature indices. The moderate variability with an insignificant decreasing trend was found for rainfall indices. Similarly, the future climate indices indicate a continuing positive trend in the temperature extreme indices. The majority of climate indices have a periodicity of less than or equal to 10 years for high frequency, except for PRCPTOT, R10MM, R20MM, Rx5day, SDII, TN90p, and TX90p for temperature indices. The findings conclude that the periodicity pattern of climate extreme indices is related to atmospheric phenomena (such as quasi-biennial oscillation, QBO), which indicate the impact of climate change. As a result, this can serve as an early warning for possible extreme event occurrences in the basin. The CMIP6 should be used to compare with the results of this study to provide a detailed assessment of the current implication of climate change on the catchment.}, }
@article {pmid37261436, year = {2023}, author = {van Bergen, L and Birch, M}, title = {Conflict, climate change and the need for safe spaces: the interlocking problems that urgently need joined up solutions.}, journal = {Medicine, conflict, and survival}, volume = {39}, number = {2}, pages = {111-113}, doi = {10.1080/13623699.2023.2216486}, pmid = {37261436}, issn = {1362-3699}, }
@article {pmid37260883, year = {2023}, author = {Demissie, TA}, title = {Impact of climate change on hydrologic components using CORDEX Africa climate model in Gilgel Gibe 1 watershed Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {6}, pages = {e16701}, pmid = {37260883}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on the hydrological components of Gilgel Gibe-1 using the ensemble of Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiments (CORDEX) Africa Domain namely REMO2009, HIRAM5, CCLM4-8 and RCA4 Regional Climate Models (RCMs) simulations. The performance of these RCM models was evaluated using the observed data from 1985 to 2005 and the ensemble was shown to simulate rainfall and air temperature better than individual RCMs. Then the RCMs ensemble data for historical and future projections from 2026 to 2055 years under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 were corrected for bias and used to evaluate the impact of climate change. A non-linear bias correction and the monthly mean biases corrections method is used to adjust precipitation and temperature respectively. The future projection shows that; rainfall is expected to increase from August to December with maximum values of 1.97-235.23% under RCP4.5. The maximum temperature is expected to increase with maximum value of 1.62 °C under RCP8.5 in the study area. The calibrated and validated Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to investigate the impact of climate change on hydrologic components such as surface runoff, lateral flow, water yield, evapotranspiration and sediment yield. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated using monthly stream flow with the statistical performance of R[2] value of 0.82 and NSE value of 0.72 for calibration and R[2] of 0.79 and NSE of 0.67 for validation. Surface runoff and sediment yield are expected to increase from August to December under RCP4.5 and from August to February under RCP8.5. Overall both surface runoff and sediment yield are expected to increase in the future.}, }
@article {pmid37259785, year = {2023}, author = {Squires, E}, title = {Effects of climate change on patients with respiratory and cardiovascular conditions.}, journal = {Nursing standard (Royal College of Nursing (Great Britain) : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.7748/ns.2023.e12087}, pmid = {37259785}, issn = {2047-9018}, abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant global challenges and is already having detrimental effects on people's health. Pollution levels and ambient temperatures continue to increase, resulting in higher levels of humidity and pollen production. These environmental threats can affect many vulnerable patients, particularly those with respiratory and cardiovascular conditions, and nurses have a crucial role in raising awareness of the health implications of climate change. This article explores the pathophysiological effects of climate change on patients with asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease, and aims to enhance nurses' understanding of the health challenges of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37256364, year = {2023}, author = {Gençay, G and Durkaya, B}, title = {What is meant by land-use change? Effects of mining activities on forest and climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {6}, pages = {778}, doi = {10.1007/s10661-023-11396-2}, pmid = {37256364}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {The ownership of 99.9% of forests in Turkey belongs to the State. According to the mandatory provisions of the Turkish Constitution of 1982, the ownership of State forests cannot be transferred to third parties. However, forest legislation permits several activities within the State forests, other than forestry, under certain conditions. Thus, in this study, the legal process of mining permits granted in State forests in Turkey was analyzed, and the policies implemented in mining permits were tried to be evaluated. Then, how mining activities affect forestlands and the environment has been compared by taking international studies in the literature into account. The change in the amount of carbon stored in the forests where the land use changed as a result of the given mining permit was calculated using the biomass expansion factor (BEF) method. After the mining permit was granted, 53% of the land-use change occurred in the sample area, and there was a 43% decrease in the amount of carbon stored. According to the results of the analysis, before the mining permit was granted, the amount of carbon stored by the area in 2009 was calculated as 4400.23 tons. However, with the start of mining activities in 2011, nearly half of the trees in the area were cut down, which was caused this value to drop to 1911.12 tons. As a result of the mining activities that continued after this date, it was determined by 2021 that all the trees in the area were cut down, and the amount of carbon stored in the area decreased to zero.}, }
@article {pmid37255123, year = {2023}, author = {Cavalcante, AMB and Sampaio, ACP and Duarte, AS and Santos, MAFD}, title = {Impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of epiphytic cacti in the Caatinga biome, Brazil.}, journal = {Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias}, volume = {95}, number = {2}, pages = {e20200904}, doi = {10.1590/0001-3765202320200904}, pmid = {37255123}, issn = {1678-2690}, mesh = {Brazil ; *Climate Change ; *Cactaceae ; Ecosystem ; Forests ; }, abstract = {The Caatinga biome is the largest dry tropical forest region in South America as well as one of the most vulnerable regions in the world to the climate changes forecast for this century. Climate forecasts for the biome include increased air temperature, reduced rainfall and aridization. This biome does not have a homogeneous landscape; instead it has several rainforest enclaves. This article describes a study to model the potential distribution of four epiphytic cactus species (Epiphyllum phyllanthus (L.) Haw., Rhipsalis floccosa Salm-Dyck ex Pfeiff., Rhipsalis lindbergiana K. Schum and Rhipsalis russellii Britton &amp; Rose.) in the biome under future climate scenarios and traces out a prognosis for the enclaves and the biome. For that purpose, we used the MaxEnt modeling method, considering two future time intervals (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) and the interval 1961-1990 for the current situation, with the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The projections for future potential distribution showed a spatial contractions greater than 88% found in the areas of high potential presence for the target species throughout the biome and in all the scenarios. The results strengthen the expectation of aridization in the Caatinga biome, with the loss or shrinkage of rainforest enclaves as time progresses.}, }
@article {pmid37254792, year = {2023}, author = {Frémont, P and Gehlen, M and Jaillon, O}, title = {Plankton biogeography in the 21st century and impacts of climate change: advances through genomics.}, journal = {Comptes rendus biologies}, volume = {346}, number = {}, pages = {13-24}, doi = {10.5802/crbiol.107}, pmid = {37254792}, issn = {1768-3238}, mesh = {*Plankton/genetics ; *Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Oceans and Seas ; Genomics ; }, abstract = {This article summarizes recent advances in our knowledge of plankton biogeography obtained by genomic approaches and the impacts of global warming on it. Large-scale comparison of the genomic content of samples of different plankton size fractions revealed a partitioning of the oceans into genomic provinces and the impact of major oceanic currents on them. By defining ecological niches, these provinces are extrapolated to all oceans, with the exception of the Arctic Ocean. By the end of the 21st century, a major restructuring of these provinces is projected in response to a high emission greenhouse gas scenario over 50% of the surface of the studied oceans. Such a restructuring could lead to a decrease in export production by 4%. Finally, obtaining assembled sequences of a large number of plankton genomes defining this biogeography has allowed to better characterize the genomic content of the provinces and to identify the species structuring them. These genomes similarly enabled a better description of potential future changes of plankton communities under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37254462, year = {2023}, author = {Sanders, B and Davis, M}, title = {Effects of Climate Change and Air Pollution on Perinatal Health.}, journal = {Journal of midwifery &amp; women's health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jmwh.13522}, pmid = {37254462}, issn = {1542-2011}, abstract = {Climate change is often framed as an environmental concern; however, the burning of fossil fuels both directly and indirectly impacts air quality and, thus, human health. Gas byproducts of combustion lead to increased levels of atmospheric ozone and carbon dioxide, which in turn elevate surface temperatures of the earth. This process exposes individuals to respiratory irritants and contributes to increased frequency of natural disasters such as wildfires, negatively impacting respiratory health. Normal physiologic changes in the respiratory system make pregnant people particularly vulnerable to the effects of air pollution. Asthma and allergic rhinitis are 2 common respiratory diseases that can be triggered by poor air quality. Solutions to limit the impact of climate change on respiratory disease include risk mitigation and reduction of fossil fuel consumption on individual, organization, and community levels. Midwives are well positioned as clinicians to educate people about individual strategies to reduce environmental exposure to respiratory irritants and advocate for policy changes to limit future health effects of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37253890, year = {2023}, author = {Houniuhi, C}, title = {Why I'm leading Pacific Islands students in the fight on climate change.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {618}, number = {7963}, pages = {9}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-01751-1}, pmid = {37253890}, issn = {1476-4687}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Pacific Islands ; *Students ; *Leadership ; United Nations/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Environmental Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; }, }
@article {pmid37252966, year = {2023}, author = {Hensel, MJS and Patrick, CJ and Orth, RJ and Wilcox, DJ and Dennison, WC and Gurbisz, C and Hannam, MP and Landry, JB and Moore, KA and Murphy, RR and Testa, JM and Weller, DE and Lefcheck, JS}, title = {Rise of Ruppia in Chesapeake Bay: Climate change-driven turnover of foundation species creates new threats and management opportunities.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {23}, pages = {e2220678120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2220678120}, pmid = {37252966}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Global change has converted many structurally complex and ecologically and economically valuable coastlines to bare substrate. In the structural habitats that remain, climate-tolerant and opportunistic species are increasing in response to environmental extremes and variability. The shifting of dominant foundation species identity with climate change poses a unique conservation challenge because species vary in their responses to environmental stressors and to management. Here, we combine 35 y of watershed modeling and biogeochemical water quality data with species comprehensive aerial surveys to describe causes and consequences of turnover in seagrass foundation species across 26,000 ha of habitat in the Chesapeake Bay. Repeated marine heatwaves have caused 54% retraction of the formerly dominant eelgrass (Zostera marina) since 1991, allowing 171% expansion of the temperature-tolerant widgeongrass (Ruppia maritima) that has likewise benefited from large-scale nutrient reductions. However, this phase shift in dominant seagrass identity now presents two significant shifts for management: Widgeongrass meadows are not only responsible for rapid, extensive recoveries but also for the largest crashes over the last four decades; and, while adapted to high temperatures, are much more susceptible than eelgrass to nutrient pulses driven by springtime runoff. Thus, by selecting for rapid post-disturbance recolonization but low resistance to punctuated freshwater flow disturbance, climate change could threaten the Chesapeake Bay seagrass' ability to provide consistent fishery habitat and sustain functioning over time. We demonstrate that understanding the dynamics of the next generation of foundation species is a critical management priority, because shifts from relatively stable habitat to high interannual variability can have far-reaching consequences across marine and terrestrial ecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid37251898, year = {2023}, author = {Worku, TA and Aman, TF and Wubneh, MA and Manderso, TM}, title = {Impact of climate change on shumbrite small scale irrigation project, South Gojjam subbasin, Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {e16352}, pmid = {37251898}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Climate change has the potential to affect climate parameters like rainfall and temperature which lead to a change in the irrigation water requirement of the irrigation system. As irrigation water requirement is highly dependent on precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, climate change impact studies are necessary. Therefore, this study aims to assess the impact of climate change on the irrigation water requirement of the Shumbrite irrigation project. For this study, climate variables of precipitation and temperature were generated from CORDEX-Africa simulations downscaled from MPI Global Circulation Model (GCM) under three emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5). The climate data covers from 1981 to 2005 for the baseline period and 2021-2045 for the future period for all scenarios. Future precipitation shows a decrease for all scenarios with a maximum decrease under RCP2.6 (4.2%) and temperature show an increase in the future as compared to the baseline period. The reference evapotranspiration and Irrigation Water Requirements (IWR) were calculated by using CROPWAT 8.0 software. Results showed that the mean annual reference evapotranspiration is expected to increase in the future by 2.7%, 2.6%, and 3.3% for RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 respectively as compared to the baseline period. Mean annual irrigation water requirement shows an increase of 2.58%, 0.74%, and 8.4% for the future under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 respectively. The Crop Water Requirement (CWR) also increases for the future period under all RCP scenarios, with maximum CWR for tomato, potato, and pepper crops. To ensure the sustainability of the project, crops with high irrigation water requirements should be replaced by other crops with low water requirements.}, }
@article {pmid37251829, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, Q and Akhtar, R and Saif, ANM and Akhter, H and Hossan, D and Alam, SMA and Bari, MF}, title = {The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {e16118}, pmid = {37251829}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The current study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change (CC) on rice productivity (RP) in Malaysia. The Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models were employed in this study. Time series data from 1980 to 2019 were collected from the World Bank and the Department of Statistics, Malaysia. The estimated results are also validated using Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR). The findings of symmetric ARDL show that rainfall and cultivated area have significant and advantageous effects on rice output. The NARDL-bound test outcomes display that climate change has an asymmetrical long-run impact on rice productivity. Climate change has had varying degrees of positive and negative impacts on rice productivity in Malaysia. Positive changes in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and destructive impact on RP. At the same time, negative variations in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and positive impact on rice production in the Malaysian agriculture sector. Changes in cultivated areas, both positive and negative, have a long-term optimistic impact on rice output. Additionally, we discovered that only temperature affects rice output in both directions. Malaysian policymakers must understand the symmetric and asymmetric effects of CC on RP and agricultural policies that will promote sustainable agricultural development and food security.}, }
@article {pmid37249649, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, K and Liu, X and Zhao, C and Pan, Q and Chen, X and Jiang, N and Du, C and Xu, Y and Shao, M and Qu, B}, title = {Nitrogen deposition further increases Ambrosia trifida root exudate invasiveness under global warming.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {6}, pages = {759}, pmid = {37249649}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Invasive plants can change the soil ecological environment in the invasion area to adapt to their growth and reproduction through root exudates. Root exudates are the most direct manifestation of plant responses to external environmental changes, but there is a lack of studies on root exudates of invasive plants in the context of inevitable global warming and nitrogen deposition. In this research, we used widely targeted metabolomics to investigate Ambrosia trifida root exudates during seedling and maturity under warming and nitrogen deposition to reveal the possible mechanisms of A. trifida adaptation to climate change. The results showed that the organic acids increased under warming condition but decreased after nitrogen addition in the seedling stage. Phenolic acids increased greatly after nitrogen addition in the mature stage. Most phenolic acids were annotated in the phenylpropane metabolic pathway and tyrosine metabolism. Therefore, nitrogen deposition may increase the adaptability of A. trifida through root exudates, making it more invasive under global warming. The results provide new ideas for preventing and controlling the invasion of A. trifida under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37247194, year = {2023}, author = {Williams, CE and Williams, CL and Logan, ML}, title = {Climate change is not just global warming: Multidimensional impacts on animal gut microbiota.}, journal = {Microbial biotechnology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/1751-7915.14276}, pmid = {37247194}, issn = {1751-7915}, abstract = {Climate change has rapidly altered many ecosystems, with detrimental effects for biodiversity across the globe. In recent years, it has become increasingly apparent that the microorganisms that live in and on animals can substantially affect host health and physiology, and the structure and function of these microbial communities can be highly sensitive to environmental variables. To date, most studies have focused on the effects of increasing mean temperature on gut microbiota, yet other aspects of climate are also shifting, including temperature variation, seasonal dynamics, precipitation and the frequency of severe weather events. This array of environmental pressures might interact in complex and non-intuitive ways to impact gut microbiota and consequently alter animal fitness. Therefore, understanding the impacts of climate change on animals requires a consideration of multiple types of environmental stressors and their interactive effects on gut microbiota. Here, we present an overview of some of the major findings in research on climatic effects on microbial communities in the animal gut. Although ample evidence has now accumulated that shifts in mean temperature can have important effects on gut microbiota and their hosts, much less work has been conducted on the effects of other climatic variables and their interactions. We provide recommendations for additional research needed to mechanistically link climate change with shifts in animal gut microbiota and host fitness.}, }
@article {pmid37246703, year = {2022}, author = {Fatimi, AS and Mahmud, O}, title = {The costs of protecting health in the face of climate change - feasibility lies in proactivity.}, journal = {JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association}, volume = {72}, number = {12}, pages = {2584}, doi = {10.47391/JPMA.6641}, pmid = {37246703}, issn = {0030-9982}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Feasibility Studies ; Costs and Cost Analysis ; }, }
@article {pmid37246385, year = {2023}, author = {Malchow, AK and Hartig, F and Reeg, J and Kéry, M and Zurell, D}, title = {Demography-environment relationships improve mechanistic understanding of range dynamics under climate change.}, journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences}, volume = {378}, number = {1881}, pages = {20220194}, pmid = {37246385}, issn = {1471-2970}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Bayes Theorem ; Population Dynamics ; Seasons ; *Birds ; }, abstract = {Species respond to climate change with range and abundance dynamics. To better explain and predict them, we need a mechanistic understanding of how the underlying demographic processes are shaped by climatic conditions. Here, we aim to infer demography-climate relationships from distribution and abundance data. For this, we developed spatially explicit, process-based models for eight Swiss breeding bird populations. These jointly consider dispersal, population dynamics and the climate-dependence of three demographic processes-juvenile survival, adult survival and fecundity. The models were calibrated to 267 nationwide abundance time series in a Bayesian framework. The fitted models showed moderate to excellent goodness-of-fit and discriminatory power. The most influential climatic predictors for population performance were the mean breeding-season temperature and the total winter precipitation. Contemporary climate change benefitted the population trends of typical mountain birds leading to lower population losses or even slight increases, whereas lowland birds were adversely affected. Our results emphasize that generic process-based models embedded in a robust statistical framework can improve our predictions of range dynamics and may allow disentangling of the underlying processes. For future research, we advocate a stronger integration of experimental and empirical studies in order to gain more precise insights into the mechanisms by which climate affects populations. This article is part of the theme issue 'Detecting and attributing the causes of biodiversity change: needs, gaps and solutions'.}, }
@article {pmid37244686, year = {2023}, author = {Yaqoob, E and Javed, S and Khan, SA}, title = {Trauma care in the face of climate change in Pakistan.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10390}, pages = {1769-1770}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00927-3}, pmid = {37244686}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Pakistan ; Agriculture ; Floods ; *Emergency Medical Services ; }, }
@article {pmid37244533, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, Z and Xing, A and Shen, H}, title = {Effects of nitrogen addition on the combined global warming potential of three major soil greenhouse gases: A global meta-analysis.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {121848}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121848}, pmid = {37244533}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {Increased nitrogen (N) deposition has a great impact on soil greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and numerous studies have revealed the individual effects of N addition on three major GHGs (CO2, CH4, and N2O). Nevertheless, quantitative evaluation of the effects of N addition on the global warming potential (GWP) of GHGs based on simultaneous measurements is needed not only to better understand the comprehensive effect of N deposition on GHGs but also for precise estimation of ecosystem GHG fluxes in response to N deposition. Here, we conducted a meta-analysis using a dataset with 124 simultaneous measurements of the three major GHGs from 54 studies to assess the effects of N addition on the combined global warming potential (CGWP) of these soil GHGs. The results showed that the relative sensitivity of the CGWP to N addition was 0.43%/kg N ha[-1] yr[-1], indicating an increase in the CGWP. Among the ecosystems studied, wetlands are considerable GHG sources with the highest relative sensitivity to N addition. Overall, CO2 contributed the most to the N addition-induced CGWP change (72.61%), followed by N2O (27.02%) and CH4 (0.37%), but the contributions of the three GHGs varied across ecosystems. Moreover, the effect size of the CGWP had a positive relationship with N addition rate and mean annual temperature and a negative relationship with mean annual precipitation. Our findings suggest that N deposition may influence global warming from the perspective of the CGWP of CO2, CH4, and N2O. Our results also provide reference values that may reduce uncertainties in future projections of the effects of N deposition on GHGs.}, }
@article {pmid37244017, year = {2023}, author = {Chang, H and Zhao, Y and Bisinella, V and Damgaard, A and Christensen, TH}, title = {Climate change impacts of conventional sewage sludge treatment and disposal.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {240}, number = {}, pages = {120109}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.120109}, pmid = {37244017}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {Sewage sludge (SS) management remains a challenge across the world. We quantified the potential climate change impacts of eight conventional technology configurations (TCs) for SS treatment and disposal by considering four different energy exchanges and using a life cycle assessment (LCA) model that employed uncertainty distributions for 104 model parameters. All TCs showed large climate change loads and savings (net values ranging from 123 to 1148 kg CO2-eq/t TS) when the energy exchange was with a fossil-based energy system, whereas loads and savings were approximately three times lower when the energy exchange was with a renewable energy system. Uncertainty associated with the climate change results was more than 100% with fossil-energy exchange and low TS content of SS but was lower for renewable energy. Landfilling had the greatest climate change impact, while thermal drying with incineration had the highest probability of providing better climate change performance than other TCs. The global sensitivity analysis identified nine critical technological parameters. Many of them can be easily measured for relevant SS and technology levels to improve specific estimates of climate change impact. When all scenarios were optimized to the 20% best cases, thermal drying with incineration outperformed the other TCs. This paper contributes to better quantifying the climate change impacts of different technologies used for sludge treatment given changing energy systems and identifies crucial parameters for further technological development.}, }
@article {pmid37239610, year = {2023}, author = {Rogers, HH and Tucker, M and Couig, MP and Svihla, V}, title = {Facilitating an Interprofessional Course on Climate Change and Public Health Preparedness.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {37239610}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; Learning ; Students ; Professional Competence ; Interprofessional Relations ; }, abstract = {In this paper, we share the theories that guided the design of an interprofessional education course on Climate Change and Public Health Preparedness and how the course supported students' professional interest and action competence as they move through their education and into their professional work in the context of our unfolding climate crisis. The course was guided by the public health emergency preparedness domains and was built to allow for students to explore applications of the content for themselves and their own profession. We designed the learning activities to support personal and professional interest development and help students move into perceived and demonstrated action competence. For the evaluation of our course, we asked the following research questions: What kinds of personal and professional commitments to action did students propose by the end of the course? Did these vary in depth and specificity and by the number of credits they enrolled in? In what ways did students develop personal and professional action competence over the course? Finally, how did they show personal, professional, and collective agency related to the course content on adaptation, preparedness, and mitigation of the health impacts from climate change? Using qualitative analysis guided by action competence and interest development theories, we coded student writing from course assignments. We also conducted comparative statistical analysis to assess differential impacts for students who enrolled for one versus three credits. The results show that this course design supported students' progression of knowledge and perceived ability in specific individual and professional collective actions to reduce the health impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37239608, year = {2023}, author = {Longman, J and Patrick, R and Bernays, S and Charlson, F}, title = {Three Reasons Why Expecting 'Recovery' in the Context of the Mental Health Impacts of Climate Change Is Problematic.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {10}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20105882}, pmid = {37239608}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Global warming is bringing with it continued long-term changes in the climate system. Extreme weather-related events, which are already becoming a daily reality around the world, are predicted to be more intense and frequent in the future. The widespread occurrence of these events and climate change more broadly are being experienced collectively and at scale and do not affect populations evenly. These climate changes have profound impacts on mental health and wellbeing. Existing reactive responses include frequent implied and direct references to the concept of 'recovery'. This is problematic in three ways: it conceives of extreme weather events as single, one-off occurrences; implies their unexpected nature; and contains an integral assumption of an end point where individuals/communities are 'recovered'. Models of mental health and wellbeing support (including funding) need to change, shifting away from 'recovery' towards a focus on adaptation. We argue that this presents a more constructive approach that may be used to collectively support communities.}, }
@article {pmid37237131, year = {2023}, author = {Adam, D and Thompson, B}, title = {Audio long read: Can giant surveys of scientists fight misinformation on COVID, climate change and more?.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-01706-6}, pmid = {37237131}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid37236933, year = {2023}, author = {Li, ZJ and Yu, CY and Liu, SY and Yan, RH and Huang, XD and Liu, XJ and Chen, ZC and Wang, T}, title = {Radial growth responses of three coniferous species to climate change on the southern slope of Funiu Mountains, China.}, journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology}, volume = {34}, number = {5}, pages = {1178-1186}, doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202305.004}, pmid = {37236933}, issn = {1001-9332}, abstract = {Funiu Mountains are located in a transition region between warm temperate zone and northern subtropical region, where a variety of plant species are distributed with sensitive response to climate change. Their response characteristics to climate change are still unclear. We developed the basal area increment (BAI) index chronologies of Pinus tabuliformis, P. armandii, and P. massoniana in the Funiu Mountains to examine their growth trend and their sensitivity to climatic change. The results showed that the BAI chronologies gave a clue that the three conife-rous species had similar radial growth rate. The large Gleichlufigkeit (GLK) indices among the three BAI chronologies also indicated that the three species had a similar growth trend. Results of correlation analysis showed that the three species also had similar response to climatic change to a certain extent. Radial growth of all the three species was significantly positively correlated with the total monthly precipitation in December of previous year and June of the current year, but negatively correlated with the precipitation in September and the mean monthly temperature in June of the current year. There were some differences in the responses of the three coniferous to climate change. P. massoniana had a significant negative correlation with the mean temperature in March, and a significant positive correlation with the precipitation in March, while P. armandii and P. massoniana were affected negatively by the maximum temperature in August. Results of the moving correlation analysis showed that the three coniferous species had some similar sensitivity to climate change. Their positive responses to precipitation in previous December consistently increased, as well as the negative correlation with precipitation in current September. As to P. masso-niana, they had a relatively stronger climatic sensitivity and higher stability than the other two species. It would be more suitable for P. massoniana trees on the southern slope of the Funiu Mountains under global warming.}, }
@article {pmid37235585, year = {2023}, author = {Veldhuizen, R}, title = {[Climate change and the health frame].}, journal = {Nederlands tijdschrift voor geneeskunde}, volume = {167}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37235585}, issn = {1876-8784}, abstract = {Climate change is framed often as a health issue, to urge quick action and policy. But a health frame doesn't seamlessly mix well with existing frames and climate change, and there is no guarantee that a health frame will finally convince people into action.}, }
@article {pmid37235037, year = {2023}, author = {Tanaka, K and Mudgil, Y and Tunc-Ozdemir, M}, title = {Editorial: Abiotic stress and plant immunity - a challenge in climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1197435}, pmid = {37235037}, issn = {1664-462X}, }
@article {pmid37234617, year = {2023}, author = {Fanta, SS and Yesuf, MB and Demissie, TA}, title = {Investigation of climate change impact on the optimal operation of koka reservoir, upper awash watershed, Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {e16287}, pmid = {37234617}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The objectives of this study were to predict the inflow and optimal operation of the Koka reservoir under the impact of climate change for the 2020s (2011-2040), 2050s (2041-2070), and 2080s (2071-2100) with respect to the reference period (1981-2010). The optimal elevation, storage, and hydropower capacity were modeled using the HEC-ResPRM, whereas the inflow to Koka reservoir was simulated using the calibrated SWAT model. Based on the result, the average annual inflow of the reference period was 139.675 Million Cubic Meter (MCM). However, from 2011 to 2100 an increase of +4.179% to +11.694 is expected. The inflow analysis at different flow regimes shows that the high flow may decline by (-28.528%) to (-22.856%) due to climate change. On the other hand, the low flow is projected to increase by (+78.407%) to (+90.401%) as compared to the low flow of the reference period. Therefore, the impact of climate change on the inflow to the Koka reservoir is positive. The study also indicates that the optimum values of elevation and storage capacity of the Koka reservoir during the reference period were 1590.771 m above mean sea level (a.m.s.l) and 1860.818 MCM, respectively. However, the optimum level and storage capacity are expected to change by (-0.016%) to (-0.039%) and (-2.677%) to (+6.164%), respectively from 2020s to 2080s as compared with their corresponding values during the reference period. On the other hand, the optimum power capacity during the reference period was 16.489 MCM, while it will likely fluctuates between (-0.948%) - (+0.386%) in the face of climate change. The study shows that the optimum elevation, storage, and power capacity were all higher than the corresponding observed values. However, the occurrence month of their peak value will likely shift due to climate change. The study can be used as a first-hand information for the development of reservoir operation guidelines that can account for the uncertainty caused by the impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37233255, year = {2023}, author = {Sztandera-Tymoczek, M and Szuster-Ciesielska, A}, title = {Fungal Aeroallergens-The Impact of Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {}, pmid = {37233255}, issn = {2309-608X}, abstract = {The incidence of allergic diseases worldwide is rapidly increasing, making allergies a modern pandemic. This article intends to review published reports addressing the role of fungi as causative agents in the development of various overreactivity-related diseases, mainly affecting the respiratory tract. After presenting the basic information on the mechanisms of allergic reactions, we describe the impact of fungal allergens on the development of the allergic diseases. Human activity and climate change have an impact on the spread of fungi and their plant hosts. Particular attention should be paid to microfungi, i.e., plant parasites that may be an underestimated source of new allergens.}, }
@article {pmid37233104, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, T and Liu, H and Wang, Y and Yang, Y}, title = {Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution Pattern of Osphya (Coleoptera: Melandryidae), an Old but Small Beetle Group Distributed in the Northern Hemisphere.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {5}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14050476}, pmid = {37233104}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Exploring the development of species distribution patterns under climate change is the basis of biogeography and macroecology. However, under the background of global climate change, few studies focus on how the distribution pattern and the range of insects have or will change in response to long-term climate change. An old but small, Northern-Hemisphere-distributed beetle group Osphya is an ideal subject to conduct the study in this aspect. Here, based on a comprehensive geographic dataset, we analyzed the global distribution pattern of Osphya using ArcGIS techniques, which declared a discontinuous and uneven distribution pattern across the USA, Europe, and Asia. Furthermore, we predicted the suitable habitats of Osphya under different climate scenarios via the MaxEnt model. The results showed that the high suitability areas were always concentrated in the European Mediterranean and the western coast of USA, while a low suitability exhibited in Asia. Moreover, by integrating the analyses of biogeography and habitat suitability, we inferred that the Osphya species conservatively prefer a warm, stable, and rainy climate, and they tend to expand towards higher latitude in response to the climate warming from the past to future. These results are helpful in exploring the species diversity and protection of Osphya.}, }
@article {pmid37233103, year = {2023}, author = {Gao, H and Qian, Q and Liu, L and Xu, D}, title = {Predicting the Distribution of Sclerodermus sichuanensis (Hymenoptera: Bethylidae) under Climate Change in China.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {5}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14050475}, pmid = {37233103}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Sclerodermus sichuanensis is the natural enemy of the longicorn beetle due to its strong attack ability and high parasitic rate. Its good resistance and fecundity make it have significant biological control value. The Maxent model and ArcGIS software were used to simulate the current distribution of S. sichuanensis in China by combining the known distribution information and environmental variables and predict the suitable area of the 2050s (2041-2060) and 2090s (2081-2000) under three climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5. and SSP5-8.5). The results showed that the Mean Diurnal Range (bio2), Min Temperature of the Coldest Month (bio6), Precipitation of the Warmest Quarter (bio18), and Max Temperature of the Warmest Month (bio5) were the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of S. sichuanensis. Southwest China and part of North China are the main concentrations of the current high-suitability areas of S. sichuanensis. The moderately suitable areas are concentrated in South China and Central China. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the suitable area predicted in the 2050s will expand significantly to North China and Northwest China, with a total increase of 81,295 km[2]. This work provides an essential reference for future research on S. sichuanensis and the application of forestry pest control.}, }
@article {pmid37232282, year = {2023}, author = {Biagioni, B and Cecchi, L and D'Amato, G and Annesi-Maesano, I}, title = {Environmental influences on childhood asthma: Climate change.}, journal = {Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology}, volume = {34}, number = {5}, pages = {e13961}, doi = {10.1111/pai.13961}, pmid = {37232282}, issn = {1399-3038}, abstract = {Climate change is a key environmental factor for allergic respiratory diseases, especially in childhood. This review describes the influences of climate change on childhood asthma considering the factors acting directly, indirectly and with their amplifying interactions. Recent findings on the direct effects of temperature and weather changes, as well as the influences of climate change on air pollution, allergens, biocontaminants and their interplays, are discussed herein. The review also focusses on the impact of climate change on biodiversity loss and on migration status as a model to study environmental effects on childhood asthma onset and progression. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are urgently needed to prevent further respiratory diseases and human health damage in general, especially in younger and future generations.}, }
@article {pmid37231045, year = {2023}, author = {Hadré, E and Küpper, J and Tschirschwitz, J and Mengert, M and Labuhn, I}, title = {Quantifying generational and geographical inequality of climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {8483}, pmid = {37231045}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {We relate greenhouse gas emissions and global warming experienced over a lifetime by individual birth cohorts, resolved by world regions. We reveal outstanding geographical inequality between high- and low-emission regions corresponding to the nations of the Global North and Global South, respectively. Additionally, we highlight the inequality different birth cohorts (generations) experience regarding the burden of recent and ongoing warming temperatures as a time-delayed consequence of past emissions. We achieve precise quantification of the number of birth cohorts and populations who see a difference between Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), emphasizing the potential for action and the chances for improvement that exist under the different scenarios. The method is designed to realistically display inequality, as it is experienced by people while motivating action and change needed to achieve emission reduction to reduce climate change and generational and geographical inequality simultaneously.}, }
@article {pmid37230822, year = {2023}, author = {Leschied, JR and Maturen, KE and Brown, M and Hanneman, K and Schoen, JH and Zigmund, B and Northrup, BE and Gross, JS and Dave, P and Woolen, SA and Henry, C and Quirk, CR and Hijaz, TA and Zalis, ME and Scheel, JR}, title = {Letter to the Editor: Radiology Action for Climate Change.}, journal = {Academic radiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.acra.2023.04.025}, pmid = {37230822}, issn = {1878-4046}, }
@article {pmid37230654, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {The Journal of nutrition}, volume = {152}, number = {12}, pages = {2631-2633}, doi = {10.1093/jn/nxac234}, pmid = {37230654}, issn = {1541-6100}, }
@article {pmid37229346, year = {2023}, author = {Alcantara, LB and Creencia, LA and Madarcos, JRV and Madarcos, KG and Jontila, JBS and Culhane, F}, title = {Climate change awareness and risk perceptions in the coastal marine ecosystem of Palawan, Philippines.}, journal = {UCL open environment}, volume = {5}, number = {}, pages = {e054}, pmid = {37229346}, issn = {2632-0886}, abstract = {Understanding coastal communities' awareness and risk perceptions of climate change impact is essential in developing effective risk communication tools and mitigation strategies to reduce the vulnerability of these communities. In this study, we examined coastal communities' climate change awareness and risk perceptions of climate change impact on the coastal marine ecosystem, sea level rise impact on the mangrove ecosystem and as a factor affecting coral reefs and seagrass beds. The data were gathered by conducting face-to-face surveys with 291 respondents from the coastal areas of Taytay, Aborlan and Puerto Princesa in Palawan, Philippines. Results showed that most participants (82%) perceived that climate change is happening and a large majority (75%) perceived it as a risk to the coastal marine ecosystem. Local temperature rise and excessive rainfall were found to be significant predictors of climate change awareness. Sea level rise was perceived by most participants (60%) to cause coastal erosion and to affect the mangrove ecosystem. On coral reefs and seagrass ecosystems, anthropogenic drivers and climate change were perceived to have a high impact, while marine livelihoods had a low impact. In addition, we found that climate change risk perceptions were influenced by direct experiences of extreme weather events (i.e., temperature rise and excessive rainfall) and climate-related livelihood damages (i.e., declining income). Climate change risk perceptions were also found to vary with household income, education, age group and geographical location. The results suggest that addressing poverty and effectively communicating climate change risks can improve climate change awareness and risk perceptions.}, }
@article {pmid37229125, year = {2023}, author = {Costa, JM and Egipto, R and Aguiar, FC and Marques, P and Nogales, A and Madeira, M}, title = {The role of soil temperature in mediterranean vineyards in a climate change context.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1145137}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2023.1145137}, pmid = {37229125}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {The wine sector faces important challenges related to sustainability issues and the impact of climate change. More frequent extreme climate conditions (high temperatures coupled with severe drought periods) have become a matter of concern for the wine sector of typically dry and warm regions, such as the Mediterranean European countries. Soil is a natural resource crucial to sustaining the equilibrium of ecosystems, economic growth and people's prosperity worldwide. In viticulture, soils have a great influence on crop performance (growth, yield and berry composition) and wine quality, as the soil is a central component of the terroir. Soil temperature (ST) affects multiple physical, chemical and biological processes occurring in the soil as well as in plants growing on it. Moreover, the impact of ST is stronger in row crops such as grapevine, since it favors soil exposition to radiation and favors evapotranspiration. The role of ST on crop performance remains poorly described, especially under more extreme climatic conditions. Therefore, a better understanding of the impact of ST in vineyards (vine plants, weeds, microbiota) can help to better manage and predict vineyards' performance, plant-soil relations and soil microbiome under more extreme climate conditions. In addition, soil and plant thermal data can be integrated into Decision Support Systems (DSS) to support vineyard management. In this paper, the role of ST in Mediterranean vineyards is reviewed namely in terms of its effect on vines' ecophysiological and agronomical performance and its relation with soil properties and soil management strategies. The potential use of imaging approaches, e.g. thermography, is discussed as an alternative or complementary tool to assess ST and vertical canopy temperature profiles/gradients in vineyards. Soil management strategies to mitigate the negative impact of climate change, optimize ST variation and crop thermal microclimate (leaf and berry) are proposed and discussed, with emphasis on Mediterranean systems.}, }
@article {pmid37229119, year = {2023}, author = {Umair, M and Hu, X and Cheng, Q and Ali, S and Ni, J}, title = {Distribution patterns of fern species richness along elevations the Tibetan Plateau in China: regional differences and effects of climate change variables.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1178603}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2023.1178603}, pmid = {37229119}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Because of its distinct geological history, frigid temperature, and rich biodiversity, the Tibetan Plateau gives an excellent opportunity to assess the effect of climate change on determining species richness. The distribution patterns of fern species richness and their underlying processes have long been a matter of debate in ecology research, with various hypotheses suggested over the years. Here, we explore richness patterns of fern species in Xizang on the southern and western Tibetan Plateau along an elevational gradient (100-5300 m a.s.l.) and evaluate climatic factors causing the spatial decrease and increase of fern species richness. We used regression and correlation analyses to relate the species richness with elevation and climatic variables. Throughout our research, we identified 441 fern species from 97 genera and 30 families. The Dryopteridaceae family (S = 97) has the highest number of species. All energy-temperature and moisture variables except drought index (DI) had a significant correlation with elevation. The altitude has a unimodal relationship with fern species, and the species richness is the largest at an altitude of 2500 m. The horizontal richness pattern of fern species on the Tibetan Plateau also showed that areas of extremely high species richness are mainly distributed in Zayü and Mêdog County, with an average elevation of 2800 m and 2500 m, respectively. The richness of fern species has a log-linear relationship with moisture-related factors such as moisture index (MI), mean annual precipitation (MAP), and drought index (DI). Because the peak corresponds spatially with the MI index, the unimodal patterns confirm the significance of moisture on fern distributions. Our results showed that mid-altitudes have the highest species richness (high MI), but high elevations have lower richness due to high solar radiation, and low elevations have lower richness due to high temperatures and low precipitation. Twenty-two of the total species are classified as nearly threatened, vulnerable or critically endangered, and varied in elevation from 800 m to 4200 m. Such relationships between the distribution and richness of fern species and climates on the Tibetan Plateau can provide data support for future predictions of the impacts of climate change scenarios on fern species, the ecological protection of representative fern species, and references for the planning and construction of nature reserves in the future.}, }
@article {pmid37229107, year = {2023}, author = {Gao, M and Zhao, G and Zhang, S and Wang, Z and Wen, X and Liu, L and Zhang, C and Tie, N and Sa, R}, title = {Priority conservation area of Larix gmelinii under climate change: application of an ensemble modeling.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1177307}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2023.1177307}, pmid = {37229107}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Larix gmelinii (Rupr.) Kuzen is a major tree species with high economic and ecological value in the Greater Khingan Mountains coniferous forest of Northeast China. Reconstructing the priority Conservation Area of Larix gmelinii under Climate could provide a scientific basis for its germplasm conservation and management. The present study used ensemble and Marxan model simulations to predict species distribution areas and delineate priority conservation areas for Larix gmelinii in relation to productivity characteristics, understory plant diversity characteristics, and climate change impacts. The study revealed that the Greater Khingan Mountains and the Xiaoxing'an Mountains, with an area of approximately 300 974.2 km[2], were the most suitable for L. gmelinii. The stand productivity of L. gmelinii in the most suitable area was significantly higher than that in the less suitable and marginally suitable areas, but understory plant diversity was not dominant. The increase in temperature under future climate change scenarios will reduce the potential distribution and area under L. gmelinii; the species will migrate to higher latitudes of the Greater Khingan Mountains, while the degree of niche migration will gradually increase. Under the 2090s-SSP585 climate scenario, the most suitable area for L. gmelinii will completely disappear, and the climate model niche will be completely separated. Therefore, the protected area of L. gmelinii was demarcated with a target of the productivity characteristics, understory plant diversity characteristics and climate change sensitive area, and the current key protected area was 8.38 × 10[4] km[2]. Overall, the study's findings will lay a foundation for the protection and rational development and utilization of cold temperate coniferous forests dominated by L. gmelinii in the northern forested region of the Greater Khingan Mountains.}, }
@article {pmid37228197, year = {2023}, author = {Chmura, HE and Duncan, C and Burrell, G and Barnes, BM and Buck, CL and Williams, CT}, title = {Climate change is altering the physiology and phenology of an arctic hibernator.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {380}, number = {6647}, pages = {846-849}, doi = {10.1126/science.adf5341}, pmid = {37228197}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Climate warming is rapid in the Arctic, yet impacts to biological systems are unclear because few long-term studies linking biophysiological processes with environmental conditions exist for this data-poor region. In our study spanning 25 years in the Alaskan Arctic, we demonstrate that climate change is affecting the timing of freeze-thaw cycles in the active layer of permafrost soils and altering the physiology of arctic ground squirrels (Urocitellus parryii). Soil freeze has been delayed and, in response, arctic ground squirrels have delayed when they up-regulate heat production during torpor to prevent freezing. Further, the termination of hibernation in spring has advanced 4 days per decade in females but not males. Continued warming and phenological shifts will alter hibernation energetics, change the seasonal availability of this important prey species, and potentially disrupt intraspecific interactions.}, }
@article {pmid37225816, year = {2023}, author = {Graham, F}, title = {Daily briefing: What 1.5 ℃ of global warming really means.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-01720-8}, pmid = {37225816}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid37223754, year = {2023}, author = {Sun, H and Ma, J and Wang, L}, title = {Changes in per capita wheat production in China in the context of climate change and population growth.}, journal = {Food security}, volume = {15}, number = {3}, pages = {597-612}, pmid = {37223754}, issn = {1876-4517}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: To address challenges associated with climate change, population growth and decline in international trade linked to the COVID-19 pandemic, determining whether national crop production can meet populations' requirements and contribute to socio-economic resilience is crucial. Three crop models and three global climate models were used in conjunction with predicted population changes. Compared with wheat production in 2000-2010, total production and per capita wheat production were significantly (P < 0.05) increase in 2020-2030, 2030-2040 and 2040-2050, respectively, under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 due to climate change in China. However, when considering population and climate changes, the predicted per capita production values were 125.3 ± 0.3, 127.1 ± 2.3 and 128.8 ± 2.7 kg during the 2020-2030, 2030-2040, 2040-2050 periods under RCP4.5, or 126.2 ± 0.7, 128.7 ± 2.5, and 131.0 ± 4.1 kg, respectively, under RCP8.5. These values do not significantly differ (P > 0.05) from the baseline level (127.9 ± 1.3 kg). The average per capita production in Loess Plateau and Gansu-Xinjiang subregions declined. In contrast, per capita production in the Huanghuai, Southwestern China, and Middle-Lower Yangtze Valleys subregions increased. The results suggest that climate change will increase total wheat production in China, but population change will partly offset the benefits to the grain market. In addition, domestic grain trade will be influenced by both climate and population changes. Wheat supply capacity will decline in the main supply areas. Further research is required to address effects of the changes on more crops and in more countries to obtain deeper understanding of the implications of climate change and population growth for global food production and assist formulation of robust policies to enhance food security.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12571-023-01351-x.}, }
@article {pmid37223655, year = {2023}, author = {Tirivangasi, HM and Dzvimbo, MA and Chaminuka, N and Mawonde, A}, title = {Assessing climate change and urban poverty in the context of the COVID 19 lockdowns: Rethinking personality and societal challenges in Zimbabwe.}, journal = {Scientific African}, volume = {20}, number = {}, pages = {e01710}, pmid = {37223655}, issn = {2468-2276}, abstract = {The study explored the challenges urbanites faced due to climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic. Urban vulnerability ills such as food insecurity, poverty and malnutrition have increased as climate change and COVID-19 jointly affect societies. Urban residents have resorted to urban farming and street vending as coping strategies. COVID-19 protocols and strategies for social distancing have compromised the urban poor livelihoods. Due to lockdown protocols such as curfew, closure of businesses, and the limited number of people doing certain activities, the urban poor often compromised lockdown rules to earn a living. The study used document analysis to gather data on climate change and poverty amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. Academic journals, newspaper articles, books and information from various reliable websites were used for data collection. Content and thematic analysis were used to analyse data, while data triangulation from various sources enhanced data reliability and trustworthiness. The study found that climate change increased food insecurity in urban areas. Low agricultural output and climate change impacts compromised food availability and affordability for urbanites. The COVID-19 protocols increased financial constraints on urbanites as lockdown restrictions negatively impacted income from formal and informal jobs. The study recommends looking beyond the virus for prevention strategies to improve poor peoples' livelihoods. Countries must develop response strategies to cushion the urban poor from climate change and the COVID-19 impact. Developing countries are urged to sustainably adapt to climate change through scientific innovation to promote people's livelihoods.}, }
@article {pmid37221260, year = {2023}, author = {Abermann, J and Vandecrux, B and Scher, S and Löffler, K and Schalamon, F and Trügler, A and Fausto, R and Schöner, W}, title = {Learning from Alfred Wegener's pioneering field observations in West Greenland after a century of climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7583}, pmid = {37221260}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The cryosphere in Greenland is currently undergoing strong changes. While remote sensing improves our understanding of spatial and temporal changes across scales, particularly our knowledge of conditions during the pre-satellite era is fragmented. Therefore, high-quality field data from that period can be particularly valuable to better understand changes of the cryosphere in Greenland at climate time scales. At Graz University, the last work-place of Alfred Wegener we have access to the extensive expedition results from their epic 1929-1931 expedition to Greenland. The expedition coincides with the warmest phase of the Arctic early twentieth century warm period. We present an overview of the main findings of the Wegener expedition archive and set it into context with further monitoring activities that occurred since, as well as the results from reanalysis products and satellite imagery. We find that firn temperatures have increased significantly, while snow and firn densities and have remained similar or decreased since. Local conditions at the Qaamarujup Sermia have changed strongly, with a reduction in length of more than 2 km, in thickness by up to 120 m and a rise in terminus position of approximately 300 m. The elevation of the snow line of the years 1929 and 1930 was similar to the one from the extreme years 2012 and 2019. Compared to the satellite era, we find that during the time of the Wegener expedition fjord ice extent was smaller in early spring and larger in late spring. We demonstrate that a well-documented snapshot of archival data can provide a local and regional context for contemporary climate change and that it can serve as the basis for process-based studies on the atmospheric drivers of glacier changes.}, }
@article {pmid37228793, year = {2021}, author = {Washbourne, CL and Bell, S and Osborn, D}, title = {Community responses to climate change: Editorial call for submissions to UCL Open: Environment Special Series.}, journal = {UCL open environment}, volume = {3}, number = {}, pages = {e028}, doi = {10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000028}, pmid = {37228793}, issn = {2632-0886}, }
@article {pmid37220132, year = {2023}, author = {Guidoboni, MV and Duparque, A and Boissy, J and Mouny, JC and Auberger, J and van der Werf, HM}, title = {Conservation agriculture reduces climate change impact of a popcorn and wheat crop rotation.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {5}, pages = {e0285586}, pmid = {37220132}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Urgent action is needed to ensure humanity's future under climate change. Agriculture faces major challenges as it is both influenced by and contributes to climate change. Conservation agriculture sequesters carbon (C) in the soil due to practices such as reduced tillage and planting of cover crops. This study assessed effects of an innovative conservation agriculture popcorn (Zea mays) and wheat (Triticum aestivum) crop rotation in south-western France on soil C sequestration, GHG emissions and several environmental impacts. Two complementary approaches were used: i) a comparison based on field data and expert judgement to assess short-term effects and ii) modelling of three scenarios to quantify long-term outcomes. In both approaches Life cycle assessment (LCA) was used to compare popcorn and wheat rotations. The conventional rotation used ploughing, and its soil was bare between wheat harvest and popcorn sowing. Conservation agriculture used reduced tillage, cover crops, and compost of green waste. Impacts of compost production were allocated mainly to its waste treatment function, based on waste treatment cost and compost price. Simulation modelling of soil C was used to estimate the amount of C sequestered by the conservation and conventional crop rotations. LCA was combined with soil C modelling over 100 years to assess the long-term climate change impact of three scenarios for the popcorn and wheat rotation. These scenarios were 1) Conventional agriculture, 2) Conservation agriculture with cover crops only, 3) Conservation agriculture with cover crops + compost. Mean annual C sequestration and net climate change impact were -0.24 t/ha and 3867 kg CO2-eq./ha, respectively, for the conventional rotation and 0.91 t/ha and 434 kg CO2-eq./ha, respectively, for the conservation rotation. The climate change impact of the conservation rotation depended strongly on the allocation of composting impacts between the waste treatment and compost production functions. Compared to the conventional rotation, the conservation rotation had a lower marine eutrophication impact (-7%) but higher impacts for terrestrial acidification (+9%), land competition (+3%), and cumulative energy demand (+2%). Modelling over 100 years revealed that, at near soil C equilibrium, a conventional scenario lost 9% of soil C, whereas conservation agriculture scenarios gained 14% (only cover crop) and 26% of soil C (cover crop + compost). Conservation agriculture resulted in soil C sequestration over several decades, until a new soil C equilibrium was reached.}, }
@article {pmid37219887, year = {2023}, author = {Bernhardt, JM and Breakey, S and Sipe, M and Nicholas, PK}, title = {The Future of Nursing 2020-2030: The Critical Role of Nurses and Nurse Leaders in Addressing the Health Impacts of Climate Change.}, journal = {The Journal of nursing administration}, volume = {53}, number = {6}, pages = {E1-E3}, pmid = {37219887}, issn = {1539-0721}, abstract = {Climate change represents a looming health challenge and a critical area for nursing leadership at all levels of organizations and settings. With a lens on The Future of Nursing 2020-2030: Charting a Path to Achieve Health Equity, addressing climate change-related health consequences should be a major focus and spotlight for nurses and nurse leaders with a lens on individuals, communities, populations, and from a national and global perspective.}, }
@article {pmid37219776, year = {2023}, author = {Asadgol, Z and Badirzadeh, A and Mirahmadi, H and Safari, H and Mohammadi, H and Gholami, M}, title = {Simulation of the potential impact of climate change on malaria incidence using artificial neural networks (ANNs).}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37219776}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change can increase the spread of infectious diseases and public health concerns. Malaria is one of the endemic infectious diseases of Iran, whose transmission is strongly influenced by climatic conditions. The effect of climate change on malaria in the southeastern Iran from 2021 to 2050 was simulated by using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Gamma test (GT) and general circulation models (GCMs) were used to determine the best delay time and to generate the future climate model under two distinct scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). To simulate the various impacts of climate change on malaria infection, ANNs were applied using daily collected data for 12 years (from 2003 to 2014). The future climate of the study area will be hotter by 2050. The simulation of malaria cases elucidated that there is an intense increasing trend in malaria cases under the RCP8.5 scenario until 2050, with the highest number of infections occurring in the warmer months. Rainfall and maximum temperature were identified as the most influential input variables. Optimum temperatures and increased rainfall provide a suitable environment for the transmission of parasites and cause an intense increase in the number of infection cases with a delay of approximately 90 days. ANNs were introduced as a practical tool for simulating the impact of climate change on the prevalence, geographic distribution, and biological activity of malaria and for estimating the future trend of the disease in order to adopt protective measures in endemic areas.}, }
@article {pmid37214605, year = {2023}, author = {Beridze, B and Sękiewicz, K and Walas, &#x141; and Thomas, PA and Danelia, I and Fazaliyev, V and Kvartskhava, G and Sós, J and Dering, M}, title = {Biodiversity protection against anthropogenic climate change: Conservation prioritization of Castanea sativa in the South Caucasus based on genetic and ecological metrics.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {13}, number = {5}, pages = {e10068}, pmid = {37214605}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {The climate drives species distribution and genetic diversity; the latter defines the adaptability of populations and species. The ongoing climate crisis induces tree decline in many regions, compromising the mitigation potential of forests. Scientific-based strategies for prioritizing forest tree populations are critical to managing the impact of climate change. Identifying future climate refugia, which are locations naturally buffering the negative impact of climate change, may facilitate local conservation. In this work, we conducted the populations' prioritization for Castanea sativa (sweet chestnut), a Neogene relict growing in the Caucasus global biodiversity hotspot. We generated genetic and ecological metrics for 21 sites in Georgia and Azerbaijan, which cover the natural range of sweet chestnut across the region. We demonstrated that climate primarily drives the pattern of genetic diversity in C. sativa, proved with a significant isolation-by-environment model. In future, climate change may significantly reorganize the species' genetic diversity, inducing even some genetic loss, especially in the very distinct eastern fringe of the species range in Azerbaijan. Based on our combined approach, we mapped populations suitable for ex situ and in situ conservation, accounting for genetic variability and the location of future climate refugia.}, }
@article {pmid37213601, year = {2023}, author = {Robinson, Y and Khorram-Manesh, A and Arvidsson, N and Sinai, C and Taube, F}, title = {Does climate change transform military medicine and defense medical support?.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {1099031}, pmid = {37213601}, issn = {2296-2565}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has effects on multiple aspects of human life, such as access to food and water, expansion of endemic diseases as well as an increase of natural disasters and related diseases. The objective of this review is to summarize the current knowledge on climate change effects on military occupational health, military healthcare in a deployed setting, and defense medical logistics.<br><br>METHODS: Online databases and registers were searched on August 22[nd], 2022 and 348 papers retrieved, published between 2000 and 2022, from which we selected 8 publications that described climate effects on military health. Papers were clustered according to a modified theoretical framework for climate change effects on health, and relevant items from each paper were summarized.<br><br>RESULTS: During the last decades a growing body of climate change related publications was identified, which report that climate change has a significant impact on human physiology, mental health, water- and vector borne infectious diseases, as well as air pollution. However, regarding the specific climate effects on military health the level of evidence is low. The effects on defense medical logistics include vulnerabilities in the cold supply chain, in medical devices functioning, in need for air conditioning, and in fresh water supply.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change may transform both the theoretical framework and practical implementations in military medicine and military healthcare systems. There are significant knowledge gaps on climate change effects on the health of military personnel in operations of both combat and non-combat nature, alerting the need for prevention and mitigation of climate-related health issues. Further research within the fields of disaster and military medicine is needed to explore this novel field. As climate effects on humans and the medical supply chain may degrade military capability, significant investments in military medical research and development are needed.}, }
@article {pmid37211809, year = {2023}, author = {Singh, DK and Garg, A}, title = {Thermal hydrolysis of sewage sludge: Improvement in biogas generation and prediction of global warming potential.}, journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {734242X231171044}, doi = {10.1177/0734242X231171044}, pmid = {37211809}, issn = {1096-3669}, abstract = {Anaerobic digestion (AD) is a prominent treatment method for the sludge produced from sewage treatment plants. Poor solid reduction and longer retention time are the main drawbacks of AD. Thermal hydrolysis (TH) is a potential pretreatment method for solubilization of sewage sludge (SS) solids thereby improving biogas production during AD post-treatment. In this study, the SS sample (total solids = 1.75 wt% and total chemical oxygen demand (COD) = 15,450 mg L[-1]) was subjected to TH pretreatment (temperature = 140-180°C and reaction time = 60 minutes) in a 0.7-L capacity stainless-steel high-pressure reactor. At a reaction temperature of 180°C, the maximum solid solubilization (total dissolved solids = 4652 mg L[-1]) and improved dewaterability (time to filter = 4.7 s.L g[-1]) were observed. The biochemical methane potential test results showed almost doubling of methane generation from 145 to 284 mL gCOD[-1] after TH pretreatment at 180°C. The life cycle assessment approach was used to compare various SS treatment and disposal scenarios, two of which included hydrothermal pretreatment. The scenarios involving hydrothermal pretreatments showed the least global warming potential.}, }
@article {pmid37211569, year = {2023}, author = {Cevik Degerli, B and Cetin, M}, title = {Evaluation of UTFVI index effect on climate change in terms of urbanization.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37211569}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Urban heat island density and occurrence are closely related to land use/land cover and land surface temperature variation. The effect of UHI can be described quantitatively with the urban thermal area variance index. This study aims to evaluate the UHI effect of the city of Samsun with the UTFVI index. LST data from 2000 ETM + and 2020 OLI/TIRS Landsat images were used to analyze UHI. The results showed that the UHI effect increased in Samsun's coastline band in 20 years. As a result of the field analysis made from the UTFVI maps created, in 20 years, 84% decrease in the none slice, 104% increase in the weak slice, 10% decrease in the middle slice, 15% decrease in the strong slice, 8% increase in the stronger slice, and 179% increase in the strongest slice are observed. The slice with the most intense increase is in the strongest slice and reveals the UHI effect.}, }
@article {pmid37210435, year = {2023}, author = {Yousefi, M and Yousefkhani, SH and Grünig, M and Kafash, A and Rajabizadeh, M and Pouyani, ER}, title = {Identifying high snakebite risk area under climate change for community education and antivenom distribution.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {8191}, pmid = {37210435}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {Humans ; Animals ; *Snake Bites/drug therapy ; Antivenins/therapeutic use ; Climate Change ; Snakes ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Snakebite is one of the largest risks from wildlife, however little is known about venomous snake distribution, spatial variation in snakebite risk, potential changes in snakebite risk pattern due to climate change, and vulnerable human population. As a consequence, management and prevention of snakebite is hampered by this lack of information. Here we used habitat suitability modeling for 10 medically important venomous snakes to identify high snakebite risk area under climate change in Iran. We identified areas with high snakebite risk in Iran and showed that snakebite risk will increase in some parts of the country. Our results also revealed that mountainous areas (Zagros, Alborz, Kopet-Dagh mountains) will experience highest changes in species composition. We underline that in order to improve snakebite management, areas which were identified with high snakebite risk in Iran need to be prioritized for the distribution of antivenom medication and awareness rising programs among vulnerable human population.}, }
@article {pmid37209749, year = {2023}, author = {Zhou, J and Wu, C and Yeh, PJ and Ju, J and Zhong, L and Wang, S and Zhang, J}, title = {Anthropogenic climate change exacerbates the risk of successive flood-heat extremes: Multi-model global projections based on the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164274}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164274}, pmid = {37209749}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The successive flood-heat extreme (SFHE) event, which threatens the securities of human health, economy, and building environment, has attracted extensive research attention recently. However, how the SFHE characteristics will change under anthropogenic warming and the potential population exposures under such SFHE events remain unclear. Here, we present a global-scale evaluation of the projected changes and the uncertainty in the SFHE characteristics and population exposure under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and 6.0 scenarios, based on the multi-model ensembles (five global water models forced by four global climate models) within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project 2b framework. The results reveal that, relative to the 1970-1999 baseline period, the SFHE frequency is projected to increase nearly globally by the end of this century, especially in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (>20 events/30-year) and the tropical regions (e.g., northern South America, central Africa, and southeastern Asia, >15 events/30-year). The projected higher SFHE frequency is generally accompanied by a larger model uncertainty. By the end of this century, the SFHE land exposure is expected to increase by 12 % (20 %) under RCP2.6 (RCP6.0), and the intervals between flood and heatwave in SFHE tend to decrease by up to 3 days under both RCPs, implying the more intermittent SFHE occurrence under future warming. The SFHE events will lead to the higher exposed populations in the Indian Peninsula and central Africa (<10 million person-days) and eastern Asia (<5 million person-days) due to the higher population density and the longer SFHE duration. Partial correlation analysis indicates that the contribution of flood to the SFHE frequency is greater than that of heatwave for most global regions, but the SFHE frequency is dominated by the heatwave in northern North America and northern Asia.}, }
@article {pmid37209731, year = {2023}, author = {Song, H and Zhang, X and Wang, X and Wang, Y and Li, S and Xu, Y}, title = {Not the expected poleward migration: Impact of climate change scenarios on the distribution of two endemic evergreen broad-leaved Quercus species in China.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164273}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164273}, pmid = {37209731}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {One of the key strategies for species to respond to climate change is range shift. It is commonly believed that species will migrate towards the poles and higher elevations due to climate change. However, some species may also shift in opposite directions (i.e., equatorward) to adapt to changes in other climatic variables beyond climatic isotherms. In this study, we focused on two evergreen broad-leaved Quercus species endemic to China and used ensemble species distribution models to project their potential distribution shifts and extinction risk under two shared socioeconomic pathways of six general circulation models for the years 2050 and 2070. We also investigated the relative importance of each climatic variable in explaining range shifts of these two species. Our findings indicate a sharp reduction in the habitat suitability for both species. Q. baronii and Q. dolicholepis are projected to experience severe range contractions, losing over 30 % and 100 % of their suitable habitats under SSP585 in the 2070s, respectively. Under the assumption of universal migration in future climate scenarios, Q. baronii is expected to move towards the northwest (~105 km), southwest (~73 km), and high elevation (180-270 m). The range shifts of both species are driven by temperature and precipitation variables, not only annual mean temperature. Specifically, precipitation seasonality and temperature annual range were the most crucial environmental variables, causing the contraction and expansion of Q. baronii and contraction of Q. dolicholepis, respectively. Our results highlight the importance of considering additional climatic variables beyond the annual mean temperature to explain species range shifts in multiple directions.}, }
@article {pmid37209442, year = {2023}, author = {Carneiro, IM and Paiva, PC and Bertocci, I and Lorini, ML and de Széchy, MTM}, title = {Distribution of a canopy-forming alga along the Western Atlantic Ocean under global warming: The importance of depth range.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {188}, number = {}, pages = {106013}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106013}, pmid = {37209442}, issn = {1879-0291}, abstract = {Sargassum species are among the most important canopy-forming algae in the Western Atlantic Ocean (WAO), providing habitat for many species and contributing to carbon uptake. The future distribution of Sargassum and other canopy-forming algae has been modelled worldwide, indicating that their occurrence in many regions is threatened by increased seawater temperature. Surprisingly, despite the recognized variation in vertical distribution of macroalgae, these projections generally do not evaluate their results at different depth ranges. This study aimed to project the potential current and future distributions of the common and abundant benthic Sargassum natans in the WAO (from southern Argentina to eastern Canada), under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios, through an ensemble SDM approach. Possible changes between present and future distributions were assessed within two depth ranges, namely areas up to 20 m and areas up to 100 m depth. Our models forecast different distributional trends for benthic S. natans depending on the depth range. Up to 100 m, suitable areas for the species will increase by 21% under RCP 4.5, and by 15% under RCP 8.5, when compared to the potential current distribution. On the contrary, up to 20 m, suitable areas for the species will decrease by 4% under RCP 4.5 and by 14% under RCP 8.5, when compared to the potential current distribution. Under the worst scenario, losses up to 20 m depth will affect approximately 45,000 km[2] of coastal areas across several countries and regions of WAO, with likely negative consequences for the structure and dynamics of coastal ecosystems. These findings highlight the importance of considering different depth ranges when building and interpreting predictive models of the distribution of habitat-forming subtidal macroalgae under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37209142, year = {2023}, author = {Dorji, T and Morrison-Saunders, A and Blake, D}, title = {Understanding How Community Wellbeing is Affected by Climate Change: Evidence From a Systematic Literature Review.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37209142}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {Social science studies view community wellbeing to be a cumulative construct of multiple dimensions which include social, economic, environmental, physical, political, health, education indicators and more. The study of community wellbeing is compounded by climate change as it increases the frequency of disasters affecting all dimensions of community wellbeing. It becomes crucial for communities to build community resilience and address the impact on community wellbeing in the context of Disaster Risk Reduction and sustainable development. This systematic literature aimed to understand how community wellbeing is affected by climate change. It analysed 23 papers from Scopus, Web of Science, ProQuest, and Google Scholar, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) method, to address three research questions: (i) how do climate change scholars understand community wellbeing, (ii) how community wellbeing is affected by specific climate change factors/conditions and the nature of impact, and (iii) how the impact on community wellbeing as a result of climate change is being addressed. The study found that climate change scholars hold mixed and multiple views or understanding of community wellbeing and climate change led to mental stress decreasing community wellbeing. The solutions to improve community wellbeing in the context of climate change suggests that adaptation should be the main policy instrument supplemented by mitigation strategies and recommends building a vibrant research culture in wellbeing and climate studies, among others. This review provides insights into the complex relationship between community wellbeing and climate change and identifies areas for future research and policy development.}, }
@article {pmid37208519, year = {2023}, author = {Jones, N}, title = {When will global warming actually hit the landmark 1.5 ºC limit?.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-01702-w}, pmid = {37208519}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid37208090, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {The American journal of clinical nutrition}, volume = {116}, number = {6}, pages = {1457-1459}, doi = {10.1093/ajcn/nqac287}, pmid = {37208090}, issn = {1938-3207}, }
@article {pmid37206005, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Z and Qu, H and Li, L and Zheng, J and Wei, D and Wang, F}, title = {Effects of climate change on vegetation dynamics of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, a causality analysis using empirical dynamic modeling.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {e16001}, doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16001}, pmid = {37206005}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Given the vital role of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) as water tower in Asia and regulator for regional and even global climate, the relationship between climate change and vegetation dynamics on it has received considerable focused attention. Climate change may influence the vegetation growth on the plateau, but clear empirical evidence of such causal linkages is sparse. Herein, using datasets CRU-TS v4.04 and AVHHR NDVI from 1981 to 2019, we quantify causal effects of climate factors on vegetation dynamics with an empirical dynamical model (EDM) -- a nonlinear dynamical systems analysis approach based on state-space reconstruction rather than correlation. Results showed the following: (1) climate change promotes the growth of vegetation on the QTP, and specifically, this favorable influence of temperature is stronger than precipitation's; (2) the direction and strength of climate effects on vegetation varied over time, and the effects are seasonally different; (3) a significant increase in temperature and a slight increase in precipitation are beneficial to vegetation growth, specifically, NDVI will increase within 2% in the next 40 years with the climate trend of warming and humidity. Besides the above results, another interesting finding is that the two seasons in which precipitation strongly influence vegetation in the Three-River Source region (part of the QTP) are spring and winter. This study provides insights into the mechanisms by which climate change affects vegetation growth on the QTP, aiding in the modeling of vegetation dynamics in future scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid37204776, year = {2023}, author = {Kamran, HW and Rafiq, M and Abudaqa, A and Amin, A}, title = {Interconnecting Sustainable Development Goals 7 And 13: The Role of Renewable Energy Innovations Towards Combating the Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental technology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-26}, doi = {10.1080/09593330.2023.2216903}, pmid = {37204776}, issn = {1479-487X}, abstract = {AbstractThis research examines the trends in environmental footprints through energy innovations, digital trade, economic freedom, and environmental regulation from the context of G7 economies. Quarterly observations from 1998-2020 have been utilized for the advanced-panel model entitled Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR). The initial findings confirm slope heterogeneity, interdependence between the cross-sectional units, stationarity properties, and panel cointegration. The results through FM-OLS, D-OLS, and FE-OLS justify that energy innovations, digital trade, and environmental regulations control ecological damages. In contrast, economic freedom and growth are causing more damage to nature, like ecological footprints (EFP). Similarly, the results through MMQR confirm that the impact of energy innovations, digital trade, and environmental regulations is accepted as a panacea to control environmental degradation in G7. However, the magnitude of the coefficient varies across different quantiles. More specifically, the findings show that the impact of energy innovations is highly significant at 0.50[th] quantile. In contrast, through digital trade, the impact on EFP is only significant under medium and higher order quantiles (i.e., 0.50[th], 0.75[th]-1.0[th]). Contrarily, economic freedom is causing more EFP across all the quantiles, where the findings are highly significant at 0.75[th] quantile. Besides, a few other policy implications are also discussed.}, }
@article {pmid37204538, year = {2023}, author = {Maitra, S and Praharaj, S and Brestic, M and Sahoo, RK and Sagar, L and Shankar, T and Palai, JB and Sahoo, U and Sairam, M and Pramanick, B and Nath, S and Venugopalan, VK and Skalický, M and Hossain, A}, title = {Rhizobium as Biotechnological Tools for Green Solutions: An Environment-Friendly Approach for Sustainable Crop Production in the Modern Era of Climate Change.}, journal = {Current microbiology}, volume = {80}, number = {7}, pages = {219}, pmid = {37204538}, issn = {1432-0991}, abstract = {Modern and industrialized agriculture enhanced farm output during the last few decades, but it became possible at the cost of agricultural sustainability. Industrialized agriculture focussed only on the increase in crop productivity and the technologies involved were supply-driven, where enough synthetic chemicals were applied and natural resources were overexploited with the erosion of genetic diversity and biodiversity. Nitrogen is an essential nutrient required for plant growth and development. Even though nitrogen is available in large quantities in the atmosphere, it cannot be utilized by plants directly with the only exception of legumes which have the unique ability to fix atmospheric nitrogen and the process is known as biological nitrogen fixation (BNF). Rhizobium, a group of gram-negative soil bacteria, helps in the formation of root nodules in legumes and takes part in the BNF. The BNF has great significance in agriculture as it acts as a fertility restorer in soil. Continuous cereal-cereal cropping system, which is predominant in a major part of the world, often results in a decline in soil fertility, while legumes add nitrogen and improve the availability of other nutrients too. In the present context of the declining trend of the yield of some important crops and cropping systems, it is the need of the hour for enriching soil health to achieve agricultural sustainability, where Rhizobium can play a magnificent role. Though the role of Rhizobium in biological nitrogen fixation is well documented, their behaviour and performance in different agricultural environments need to be studied further for a better understanding. In the article, an attempt has been made to give an insight into the behaviour, performance and mode of action of different Rhizobium species and strains under versatile conditions.}, }
@article {pmid37202503, year = {2023}, author = {Pigot, AL and Merow, C and Wilson, A and Trisos, CH}, title = {Abrupt expansion of climate change risks for species globally.}, journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37202503}, issn = {2397-334X}, abstract = {Climate change is already exposing species to dangerous temperatures driving widespread population and geographical contractions. However, little is known about how these risks of thermal exposure will expand across species' existing geographical ranges over time as climate change continues. Here, using geographical data for approximately 36,000 marine and terrestrial species and climate projections to 2100, we show that the area of each species' geographical range at risk of thermal exposure will expand abruptly. On average, more than 50% of the increase in exposure projected for a species will occur in a single decade. This abruptness is partly due to the rapid pace of future projected warming but also because the greater area available at the warm end of thermal gradients constrains species to disproportionately occupy sites close to their upper thermal limit. These geographical constraints on the structure of species ranges operate both on land and in the ocean and mean that, even in the absence of amplifying ecological feedbacks, thermally sensitive species may be inherently vulnerable to sudden warming-driven collapse. With higher levels of warming, the number of species passing these thermal thresholds, and at risk of abrupt and widespread thermal exposure, increases, doubling from less than 15% to more than 30% between 1.5 °C and 2.5 °C of global warming. These results indicate that climate threats to thousands of species are expected to expand abruptly in the coming decades, thereby highlighting the urgency of mitigation and adaptation actions.}, }
@article {pmid37202284, year = {2023}, author = {Grémillet, D and Descamps, S}, title = {Ecological impacts of climate change on Arctic marine megafauna.}, journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2023.04.002}, pmid = {37202284}, issn = {1872-8383}, abstract = {Global warming affects the Arctic more than any other region. Mass media constantly relay apocalyptic visions of climate change threatening Arctic wildlife, especially emblematic megafauna such as polar bears, whales, and seabirds. Yet, we are just beginning to understand such ecological impacts on marine megafauna at the scale of the Arctic. This knowledge is geographically and taxonomically biased, with striking deficiencies in the Russian Arctic and strong focus on exploited species such as cod. Beyond a synthesis of scientific advances in the past 5 years, we provide ten key questions to be addressed by future work and outline the requested methodology. This framework builds upon long-term Arctic monitoring inclusive of local communities whilst capitalising on high-tech and big data approaches.}, }
@article {pmid37201823, year = {2023}, author = {Pereira, H and Picado, A and Sousa, MC and Brito, AC and Biguino, B and Carvalho, D and Dias, JM}, title = {Effects of climate change on aquaculture site selection at a temperate estuarine system.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164250}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164250}, pmid = {37201823}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Aquaculture is one of the food industries that most evolved in recent years in response to increased human demand for seafood products, which has led to a progressive stock threat in nature. With a high seafood consumption per capita, Portugal has been exploring its coastal systems to improve the cultivation of fish and bivalve species with high commercial value. In this context, this study aims to propose the use of a numerical model as a tool to assess the impact of climate change on aquaculture site selection in a temperate estuarine system (Sado estuary). Therefore, the Delft3D model was calibrated and validated, showing good accuracy in predicting the local hydrodynamics, transport, and water quality. Furthermore, two simulations for the historical and future conditions were performed to establish a Suitability Index capable of identifying the most appropriate sites to exploit two bivalve species (one clam and one oyster), considering both winter and summer seasons. Results suggest that the estuary's northernmost region presents the best conditions for bivalves' exploitation, with more suitable conditions during summer than winter due to the higher water temperature and chlorophyll-a concentrations. Regarding future projections, the model results suggest that environmental conditions will likely benefit the production of both species due to the increase in chlorophyll-a concentration along the estuary.}, }
@article {pmid37200570, year = {2023}, author = {Álvarez-García, O and Sureda-Negre, J and Comas-Forgas, R and Oliver-Trobat, MF}, title = {The Spanish population's interest in climate change based on Internet searches.}, journal = {Humanities &amp; social sciences communications}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {231}, pmid = {37200570}, issn = {2662-9992}, abstract = {The climate crisis is one of the most important global problems facing humanity. Analyzing the search for information on climate change (CC) on the internet can be a predictor of public interest in this problem and, therefore, of the degree of concern exhibited by citizens. This study analyzes the interest in CC among the Spanish population and identifies some variables that may influence this interest. The methodology involves the collection and analysis of data obtained from SEMrush and Google Analytics. We analyzed the search trends of four key descriptors related to CC ("climate change," "global warming," "climate emergency" and "greenhouse effect") during two periods of time, and the relationship between these searches and three relational variables (volume of news in the media, occurrence of extreme weather events and CC-related events). The results indicate that the Spanish population's interest in CC via the Internet has increased in recent years and is directly influenced by variables such as media coverage of CC, events related to CC, and social pressure exerted by social movements for CC. Some proposals are discussed and presented in relation to the concern for this problem.}, }
@article {pmid37199844, year = {2023}, author = {Tefera, GW and Ray, RL}, title = {Hydrology and hydrological extremes under climate change scenarios in the Bosque watershed, North-Central Texas, USA.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37199844}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {This study evaluates hydrology and hydrological extremes under future climate change scenarios. The climate change scenarios were developed from multiple Global Circulation Models (GCMs), Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, and statistical downscaling techniques. To ensure hydrological model robustness, the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was calibrated and validated using the Differential Split Sample Test (DSST) approach. The model was also calibrated and validated at the multi-gauges of the watershed. Future climate change scenarios revealed a reduction in precipitation (in the order of -9.1% to 4.9%) and a consistent increase in maximum temperature (0.34°C to 4.10°C) and minimum temperature (-0.15 °C to 3.7°C) in different climate model simulations. The climate change scenarios triggered a reduction of surface runoff and streamflow and a moderate increase in evapotranspiration. Future climate change scenarios projected a decrease in high flow (Q5) and low flow (Q95). A higher reduction of Q5 and annual minimum flow is also simulated in future climate scenarios, whereas an increase in annual maximum flow is simulated in climate change scenarios developed from the RCP8.5 emission scenario. The study suggests optimal water management structures which can reduce the effect of change in high and low flows.}, }
@article {pmid37199784, year = {2023}, author = {Moran, DS and DeGroot, DW and Potter, AW and Charkoudian, N}, title = {Beating the Heat: Military Training and Operations in the Era of Global Warming.}, journal = {Journal of applied physiology (Bethesda, Md. : 1985)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1152/japplphysiol.00229.2023}, pmid = {37199784}, issn = {1522-1601}, abstract = {Global climate change has resulted in an increase in the number and intensity of environmental heat waves, both in areas traditionally associated with hot temperatures and in areas where heat waves did not previously occur. For military communities around the world, these changes pose progressively increasing risks of heat-related illnesses and interference with training sessions. This is a significant and persistent "non-combat threat" to both training and operational activities of military personnel. In addition to these important health and safety concerns, there are broader implications in terms of the ability of worldwide security forces to effectively do their job (particularly in areas that historically already have high ambient temperatures). In the present review, we attempt to quantify the impact of climate change on various aspects of military training and performance. We also summarize ongoing research efforts designed to minimize and/or prevent heat injuries and illness. In terms of future approaches, we propose the need to "think outside the box" for a more effective training / schedule paradigm. One approach may be to investigate potential impacts of a reversal of sleep-wake cycles during basic training during the hot months of the year, to minimize the usual increase in heat-related injuries, and to enhance the capacity for physical training and combat performance. Regardless of which approaches are taken, a central feature of successful present and future interventions will be that they are rigorously tested using integrative physiological approaches.}, }
@article {pmid37199318, year = {2023}, author = {Churchill, RT and Avery, MD}, title = {The Heat is On: Imperative for Midwifery Engagement in Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of midwifery &amp; women's health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jmwh.13517}, pmid = {37199318}, issn = {1542-2011}, }
@article {pmid37198314, year = {2023}, author = {Adam, D}, title = {Can giant surveys of scientists fight misinformation on COVID, climate change and more?.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {617}, number = {7961}, pages = {452-454}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-01614-9}, pmid = {37198314}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid37196971, year = {2023}, author = {Van Espen, M and Williams, JH and Alves, F and Hung, Y and de Graaf, DC and Verbeke, W}, title = {Beekeeping in Europe facing climate change: A mixed methods study on perceived impacts and the need to adapt according to stakeholders and beekeepers.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164255}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164255}, pmid = {37196971}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The beekeeping sector is suffering from the detrimental effects of climate change, both directly and indirectly. Despite numerous studies conducted on this subject, large-scale research incorporating stakeholders' and beekeepers' perspectives has remained elusive. This study aims to bridge this gap by assessing the extent to which stakeholders involved in the European beekeeping sector and European beekeepers perceive and experience the impacts of climate change on their operations, and whether they had to adapt their practices accordingly. To this end, a mixed-methods study including in-depth stakeholder interviews (n = 41) and a pan-European beekeeper survey (n = 844) was completed within the frame of the EU-funded H2020-project B-GOOD. The development of the beekeeper survey was informed by insights from literature and the stakeholder interviews. The results highlighted significant regional disparities in the perceived impacts of climate change, with beekeepers in Southern European regions expressing more negative outlooks, while Northern European beekeepers reported more favourable experiences. Furthermore, survey analysis revealed beekeepers who were classified as 'heavily impacted' by climate change. These beekeepers reported lower average honey yields, higher colony winter loss rates and a stronger perceived contribution of honey bees to pollination and biodiversity, underscoring climate change's detrimental impacts on the beekeeping sector. Multinomial logistic regression revealed determinants of the likelihood of beekeepers being classified as 'heavily impacted' by climate change. This analysis indicates that Southern European beekeepers experienced a 10-fold likelihood of being classified as heavily impacted by climate change compared to Northern European beekeepers. Other significant factors distinguishing 'winners' and 'losers' were self-reported level of professionalism as a beekeeper (ranging from pure hobbyist to fully professional, Odds Ratio (OR) = 1.31), number of years active in beekeeping (OR = 1.02), availability of floral resources throughout the bee season (OR = 0.78), beehives located in a forested environment (OR = 1.34), and the presence of local policy measures addressing climate change-related challenges (OR = 0.76).}, }
@article {pmid37196958, year = {2023}, author = {Weiguo, L and Zhang, D and Tian, J and Xie, Y and Yu, F and Chen, S and Qiang, L and Li, W and Changhui, P and Yan, Y}, title = {Climate change mitigation potential of kitchen waste utilization in China for combined heat and power production.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164165}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164165}, pmid = {37196958}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Given the concerns about climate change, energy sustainability, and public health, the reuse of kitchen wastes (KW) is attracting increasing interest. In China, the municipal solid waste sorting scheme has increased the available KW. To assess the available KW and the climate change mitigation potential of KW utilization for bioenergy in China, three scenarios (base, conservative, and ambitious) were defined. A new framework was implemented to assess the climate change impacts of bioenergy. The annual available KW ranged from 11.450 million dry tons (in metric) under the conservative scenario to 22.898 million dry tons in the ambitious scenario, and had the potential to produce 12.37 × 10[6]-24.74 × 10[6] MWh heat and 9.62 × 10[6]-19.24 × 10[6] MWh power. The total potential climate change impacts of KW for combined heat and power were 3.339-6.717 million tons CO2 eq in China. The highest eight provinces and municipalities contributed over half of the national total. Among the three components of the new framework, fossil fuel-derived greenhouse gas emissions and biogenic CO2 emissions were positive. The difference in carbon sequestration was negative and ensured a lower integrated life-cycle climate change impacts than that of natural gas-derived combined heat and power. The mitigation effects of using KW as a substitute for natural gas and synthetic fertilizers were 2.477-8.080 million tons CO2 eq. These outcomes can inform relevant policymaking and benchmark climate change mitigation in China. The conceptual framework of this study can also be adapted for applications in other countries or regions worldwide.}, }
@article {pmid37194928, year = {2023}, author = {Tranter, B and Lester, L and Foxwell-Norton, K and Palmer, MA}, title = {In science we trust? Public trust in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections and accepting anthropogenic climate change.}, journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {9636625231165405}, doi = {10.1177/09636625231165405}, pmid = {37194928}, issn = {1361-6609}, abstract = {One barrier to action on climate change is public trust in climate science, and projections made by climate scientists. However, climate science projections are rarely measured in public surveys. We designed survey questions based on two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections regarding global warming and coral reef decline. We gauge Australians' trust in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections, and explore how trust in climate science is associated with accepting anthropogenic climate change. A slim majority of Australian adults trust Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections, with trust correlated positively with accepting anthropogenic climate change. While partisan divisions are extant in accepting anthropogenic climate change, partisan influences are attenuated substantially after controlling for trust in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections, as trust in climate science mediates the influence of partisanship on the acceptance of anthropogenic climate change. A minority of those who accept anthropogenic climate change have low trust in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections, viewing scientists' computer models as unreliable, or believing climate scientists benefit from overstating the impact of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37194092, year = {2023}, author = {Van de Vuurst, P and Escobar, LE}, title = {Climate change and infectious disease: a review of evidence and research trends.}, journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {51}, pmid = {37194092}, issn = {2049-9957}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents an imminent threat to almost all biological systems across the globe. In recent years there have been a series of studies showing how changes in climate can impact infectious disease transmission. Many of these publications focus on simulations based on in silico data, shadowing empirical research based on field and laboratory data. A synthesis work of empirical climate change and infectious disease research is still lacking.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a systemic review of research from 2015 to 2020 period on climate change and infectious diseases to identify major trends and current gaps of research. Literature was sourced from Web of Science and PubMed literary repositories using a key word search, and was reviewed using a delineated inclusion criteria by a team of reviewers.<br><br>RESULTS: Our review revealed that both taxonomic and geographic biases are present in climate and infectious disease research, specifically with regard to types of disease transmission and localities studied. Empirical investigations on vector-borne diseases associated with mosquitoes comprised the majority of research on the climate change and infectious disease literature. Furthermore, demographic trends in the institutions and individuals published revealed research bias towards research conducted across temperate, high-income countries. We also identified key trends in funding sources for most resent literature and a discrepancy in the gender&#xa0;identities of publishing authors which may reflect current systemic inequities in the scientific field.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Future research lines on climate change and infectious diseases should considered diseases of direct transmission (non-vector-borne) and more research effort in the tropics. Inclusion of local research in low- and middle-income countries was generally neglected. Research on climate change and infectious disease has failed to be socially inclusive, geographically balanced, and broad in terms of the disease systems studied, limiting our capacities to better understand the actual effects of climate change on health.}, }
@article {pmid37193780, year = {2023}, author = {Karuppaiah, V and Maruthadurai, R and Das, B and Soumia, PS and Gadge, AS and Thangasamy, A and Ramesh, SV and Shirsat, DV and Mahajan, V and Krishna, H and Singh, M}, title = {Predicting the potential geographical distribution of onion thrips, Thrips tabaci in India based on climate change projections using MaxEnt.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7934}, pmid = {37193780}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Onion thrips, Thrips tabaci Lindeman, an economically important onion pest in India, poses a severe threat to the domestic and export supply of onions. Therefore, it is important to study the distribution of this pest in order to assess the possible crop loss, which it may inflict if not managed in time. In this study, MaxEnt was used to analyze the potential distribution of T. tabaci in India and predict the changes in the suitable areas for onion thrips under two scenarios, SSP126 and SSP585. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.993 and 0.989 for training and testing demonstrated excellent model accuracy. The true skill statistic value of 0.944 and 0.921, and the continuous Boyce index of 0.964 and 0.889 for training and testing, also showed higher model accuracy. Annual Mean Temperature (bio1), Annual Precipitation (bio12) and Precipitation Seasonality (bio15) are the main variables that determined the potential distribution of T. tabaci, with the suitable range of 22-28 °C; 300-1000 mm and 70-160, respectively. T. tabaci is distributed mainly in India's central and southern states, with 1.17 × 10[6] km[2], covering 36.4% of land area under the current scenario. Multimodal ensembles show that under a low emission scenario (SSP126), low, moderate and optimum suitable areas of T. tabaci is likely to increase, while highly suitable areas would decrease by 17.4% in 2050 20.9% in 2070. Whereas, under the high emission scenario (SSP585), the high suitability is likely to contract by 24.2% and 51.7% for 2050 and 2070, respectively. According to the prediction of the BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, CNRM-CM6-1 and MIROC6 model, the highly suitable area for T. tabaci would likely contract under both SSP126 and SSP585. This study detailed the potential future habitable area for T. tabaci in India, which could help monitor and devise efficient management strategies for this destructive pest.}, }
@article {pmid37192889, year = {2023}, author = {Frossard, V and Sabatier, P and Bruel, R and Vagnon, C and Tissot, N and Curt-Grand-Gaudin, N and Perga, ME}, title = {Intense touristic activities exceed climate change to shape aquatic communities in a mountain lake.}, journal = {Aquatic sciences}, volume = {85}, number = {3}, pages = {71}, pmid = {37192889}, issn = {1015-1621}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Mountain lakes are especially vulnerable to climate change, but are also increasingly exposed to local anthropogenic development through winter and summer tourism. In this study, we aimed to tease apart the influence of tourism from that of climate in a mountain lake located within one of the largest French ski resorts, by combining paleolimnological and present ecological data. The reconstructed long-term ecological dynamics highlighted an increase in lake biological production from the end of the Little Ice Age up to the 1950s, suggesting a historical dominance of climate control. Afterward, a major drop in pelagic production occurred at the same time as the watershed erosion increased and peaked in the 1990s, concomitant with massive digging for the ski resort expansion. The benthic invertebrates collapsed in the 1980s, concomitantly with the onset of massive salmonid stocking and recent warming. Stable isotope analyses identified benthic invertebrates as the major salmonid diet resource and suggested a possible direct impact of salmonid stocking on benthic invertebrates. However, habitat use may differ among salmonid species as suggested by the way fish DNA was preserved in surficial sediment. The high abundances of macrozooplankton further confirmed the limited reliance of salmonids on pelagic resources. The variable thermal tolerance of benthic invertebrates suggested that the recent warming may mostly affect littoral habitats. Our results indicate that winter and summer tourism may differently affect the biodiversity of mountain lakes and could collectively interfere with the ecological impacts of recent warming, making local management of primary importance to preserve their ecological integrity.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00027-023-00968-6.}, }
@article {pmid37189296, year = {2023}, author = {Aruta, JJBR}, title = {Preserving elderly mental health amid climate change.}, journal = {International journal of geriatric psychiatry}, volume = {38}, number = {5}, pages = {e5938}, doi = {10.1002/gps.5938}, pmid = {37189296}, issn = {1099-1166}, mesh = {Humans ; Aged ; *Mental Health ; *Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid37188767, year = {2023}, author = {Kaklauskas, A and Abraham, A and Kaklauskiene, L and Ubarte, I and Amaratunga, D and Lill, I and Milevicius, V and Kaklauskaite, U}, title = {Synergy of climate change with country success and city quality of life.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7872}, pmid = {37188767}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Most people around the world have felt the effects of climate change on their quality of life. This study sought to achieve the maximum efficiency for climate change actions with the minimum negative impact on the well-being of countries and cities. The Climate Change and Country Success (C[3]S) and Climate Change and Cities' Quality of Life (C[3]QL) models and maps of the world created as part of this research showed that as economic, social, political, cultural, and environmental metrics of countries and cities improve, so do their climate change indicators. For the 14 climate change indicators, the C[3]S and C[3]QL models indicated 68.8% average dispersion dimensions in the case of countries and 52.8% in the case of cities. Our research showed that increases in the success of 169 countries saw improvements in 9 climate change indicators out of the 12 considered. Improvements in country success indicators were accompanied by a 71% improvement in climate change metrics.}, }
@article {pmid37188321, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, J and Shi, X}, title = {Soil biodiversity in natural forests potentially exhibits higher resistance than planted forests under global warming.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1135549}, pmid = {37188321}, issn = {1664-462X}, }
@article {pmid37187603, year = {2023}, author = {Khezzani, B and Baymakova, M and Khechekhouche, EA and Tsachev, I}, title = {Global warming and mosquito-borne diseases in Africa: a narrative review.}, journal = {The Pan African medical journal}, volume = {44}, number = {}, pages = {70}, pmid = {37187603}, issn = {1937-8688}, abstract = {Human activity has a direct influence on the climate on our planet. In recent decades, the greater part of the scientific community has united around the concept of Global Warming (GW). This process highly impacts the geographical distribution of mosquitoes and Mosquito-Borne Diseases (MBD). The examined scientific publications show that Africa, especially sub-Saharan countries were and still hot spot of MBD globally. The economic, social, and environmental conditions prevailing in most African countries have effectively contributed to the spread of MBD. The current situation is very worrying, and it will get even more complicated as GW gets worse. In this regard, health systems in developing countries will have serious difficulties in health policies and public health activities to control the spread on MBD. Therefore, the governments of African countries should do more to combat MBD. However, a part of the responsibility lies with the international community, especially countries that contribute to GW. In conclusion, the analysis of the scientific literature showed that with increasing importance of GW leads to an increase in the prevalence of MBD.}, }
@article {pmid37187559, year = {2023}, author = {Seibt, B and Zickfeld, JH and Østby, N}, title = {Global heart warming: kama muta evoked by climate change messages is associated with intentions to mitigate climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1112910}, pmid = {37187559}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Concern about climate change is often rooted in sympathy, compassion, and care for nature, living beings, and future generations. Feeling sympathy for others temporarily forms a bond between them and us: we focus on what we have in common and feel a sense of common destiny. Thus, we temporarily experience communal sharing relationships. A sudden intensification in communal sharing evokes an emotion termed kama muta, which may be felt through tearing up, a warm feeling in the chest, or goosebumps. We conducted four pre-registered studies (n = 1,049) to test the relationship between kama muta and pro-environmental attitudes, intentions, and behavior. In each study, participants first reported their attitudes about climate change. Then, they received climate change-related messages. In Study 1, they saw one of the two moving video clips about environmental concerns. In Study 2, participants listened to a more or less moving version of a story about a typhoon in the Philippines. In Study 3, they listened to a different, also moving version of this story or an unrelated talk. In Study 4, they watched either a factual or a moving video about climate change. Participants then indicated their emotional responses. Finally, they indicated their intentions for climate mitigation actions. In addition, we measured time spent reading about climate-related information (Studies 1, 2, and 4) and donating money (Study 4). Across all studies, we found that feelings of kama muta correlated positively with pro-environmental intentions (r = 0.48 [0.34, 0.62]) and behavior (r = 0.10 [0.0004, 0.20]). However, we did not obtain evidence for an experimental effect of the type of message (moving or neutral) on pro-environmental intentions (d = 0.04 [-0.09, 0.18]), though this relationship was significantly mediated by felt kama muta across Studies 2-4. The relationship was not moderated by prior climate attitudes, which had a main effect on intentions. We also found an indirect effect of condition through kama muta on donation behavior. In sum, our results contribute to the question of whether kama muta evoked by climate-change messages can be a motivating force in efforts at climate-change mitigation.}, }
@article {pmid37186776, year = {2023}, author = {Sheahan, M and Gould, CA and Neumann, JE and Kinney, PL and Hoffmann, S and Fant, C and Wang, X and Kolian, M}, title = {Erratum: Examining the Relationship between Climate Change and Vibriosis in the United States: Projected Health and Economic Impacts for the 21st Century.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {131}, number = {5}, pages = {59001}, doi = {10.1289/EHP13087}, pmid = {37186776}, issn = {1552-9924}, }
@article {pmid37186546, year = {2023}, author = {Szozda, AR and Mahaffy, PG and Flynn, AB}, title = {Identifying Chemistry Students' Baseline Systems Thinking Skills When Constructing System Maps for a Topic on Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of chemical education}, volume = {100}, number = {5}, pages = {1763-1776}, doi = {10.1021/acs.jchemed.2c00955}, pmid = {37186546}, issn = {0021-9584}, abstract = {New resources have recently been emerging for educators to implement systems thinking (ST) in chemistry education, including a proposed set of ST skills. While these efforts aim to make ST implementation easier, little is known about how to assess these skills in a chemistry context. In this study, we investigated ST skills employed by students who constructed system maps of a topic related to climate change. Eighteen undergraduate chemistry students from first- to third-year participated in this study. We designed and implemented a ST intervention to capture how students engaged with three ST tasks, performed individually and collaboratively. In our analysis, we focused on 11 ST skills that aligned with five characteristics proposed in a recent study. We found that participants demonstrated most of these ST skills when engaging with the ST tasks, with nuances. Participants' system maps: (1) lacked concepts and connections at the submicroscopic level, (2) included multiple types of connections but few circular loops and causal connections, (3) lacked causal reasoning, although participants did predict how their system maps changed over time, (4) demonstrated the breadth of connections but did not describe human connections to the underlying chemistry of climate change topics. These findings identify aspects of ST where chemistry educators need to place emphasis when teaching ST skills to chemistry students and when guiding learning activities and other assessments. Using our findings, we created an adaptable ST rubric for the chemistry community as a tool for assessing ST skills.}, }
@article {pmid37184574, year = {2023}, author = {Nogueira, LM and Crane, TE and Ortiz, AP and D'Angelo, H and Neta, G}, title = {Climate Change and Cancer.}, journal = {Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers &amp; prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {OF1-OF7}, doi = {10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-22-1234}, pmid = {37184574}, issn = {1538-7755}, abstract = {Climate change, the greatest threat to human health of our time, has implications for cancer control efforts throughout the cancer care continuum. The direct and indirect impacts of climate change on cancer risk, access to care, and outcomes are numerous and compounding, yet many oncology professionals might not be familiar with the strong connection between climate change and cancer. Thus, to increase awareness of this topic among cancer researchers, practitioners, and other professionals, this commentary discusses the links between climate change and cancer prevention and control, provides examples of adaptation and mitigation efforts, and describes opportunities and resources for future research. See related article by xxxx, p. xxxx.}, }
@article {pmid37182772, year = {2023}, author = {Bosela, M and Rubio-Cuadrado, &#xc1; and Marcis, P and Merganičová, K and Fleischer, P and Forrester, DI and Uhl, E and Avdagić, A and Bellan, M and Bielak, K and Bravo, F and Coll, L and Cseke, K and Del Rio, M and Dinca, L and Dobor, L and Drozdowski, S and Giammarchi, F and Gömöryová, E and Ibrahimspahić, A and Kašanin-Grubin, M and Klopčič, M and Kurylyak, V and Montes, F and Pach, M and Ruiz-Peinado, R and Skrzyszewski, J and Stajic, B and Stojanovic, D and Svoboda, M and Tonon, G and Versace, S and Mitrovic, S and Zlatanov, T and Pretzsch, H and Tognetti, R}, title = {Empirical and process-based models predict enhanced beech growth in European mountains under climate change scenarios: A multimodel approach.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164123}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164123}, pmid = {37182772}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Process-based models and empirical modelling techniques are frequently used to (i) explore the sensitivity of tree growth to environmental variables, and (ii) predict the future growth of trees and forest stands under climate change scenarios. However, modelling approaches substantially influence predictions of the sensitivity of trees to environmental factors. Here, we used tree-ring width (TRW) data from 1630 beech trees from a network of 70 plots established across European mountains to build empirical predictive growth models using various modelling approaches. In addition, we used 3-PG and Biome-BGCMuSo process-based models to compare growth predictions with derived empirical models. Results revealed similar prediction errors (RMSE) across models ranging between 3.71 and 7.54 cm[2] of basal area increment (BAI). The models explained most of the variability in BAI ranging from 54 % to 87 %. Selected explanatory variables (despite being statistically highly significant) and the pattern of the growth sensitivity differed between models substantially. We identified only five factors with the same effect and the same sensitivity pattern in all empirical models: tree DBH, competition index, elevation, Gini index of DBH, and soil silt content. However, the sensitivity to most of the climate variables was low and inconsistent among the empirical models. Both empirical and process-based models suggest that beech in European mountains will, on average, likely experience better growth conditions under both 4.5 and 8.5 RCP scenarios. The process-based models indicated that beech may grow better across European mountains by 1.05 to 1.4 times in warmer conditions. The empirical models identified several drivers of tree growth that are not included in the current process-based models (e.g., different nutrients) but may have a substantial effect on final results, particularly if they are limiting factors. Hence, future development of process-based models may build upon our findings to increase their ability to correctly capture ecosystem dynamics.}, }
@article {pmid37182213, year = {2023}, author = {Anderson, A and Bruce, F and Soyer, HP and Williams, C and Saunderson, RB}, title = {The impact of climate change on skin health.}, journal = {The Medical journal of Australia}, volume = {218}, number = {9}, pages = {388-390}, doi = {10.5694/mja2.51931}, pmid = {37182213}, issn = {1326-5377}, }
@article {pmid37181865, year = {2023}, author = {Lalani, B and Gray, S and Mitra-Ganguli, T}, title = {Systems Thinking in an era of climate change: Does cognitive neuroscience hold the key to improving environmental decision making? A perspective on Climate-Smart Agriculture.}, journal = {Frontiers in integrative neuroscience}, volume = {17}, number = {}, pages = {1145744}, pmid = {37181865}, issn = {1662-5145}, abstract = {Systems Thinking (ST) can be defined as a mental construct that recognises patterns and connections in a particular complex system to make the "best decision" possible. In the field of sustainable agriculture and climate change, higher degrees of ST are assumed to be associated with more successful adaptation strategies under changing conditions, and "better" environmental decision making in a number of environmental and cultural settings. Future climate change scenarios highlight the negative effects on agricultural productivity worldwide, particularly in low-income countries (LICs) situated in the Global South. Alongside this, current measures of ST are limited by their reliance on recall, and are prone to possible measurement errors. Using Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA), as an example case study, in this article we explore: (i) ST from a social science perspective; (ii) cognitive neuroscience tools that could be used to explore ST abilities in the context of LICs; (iii) an exploration of the possible correlates of systems thinking: observational learning, prospective thinking/memory and the theory of planned behaviour and (iv) a proposed theory of change highlighting the integration of social science frameworks and a cognitive neuroscience perspective. We find, recent advancements in the field of cognitive neuroscience such as Near-Infrared Spectroscopy (NIRS) provide exciting potential to explore previously hidden forms of cognition, especially in a low-income country/field setting; improving our understanding of environmental decision-making and the ability to more accurately test more complex hypotheses where access to laboratory studies is severely limited. We highlight that ST may correlate with other key aspects involved in environmental decision-making and posit motivating farmers via specific brain networks would: (a) enhance understanding of CSA practices (e.g., via the frontoparietal network extending from the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) to the parietal cortex (PC) a control hub involved in ST and observational learning) such as tailoring training towards developing improved ST abilities among farmers and involving observational learning more explicitly and (b) motivate farmers to use such practices [e.g., via the network between the DLPFC and nucleus accumbens (NAc)] which mediates reward processing and motivation by focussing on a reward/emotion to engage farmers. Finally, our proposed interdisciplinary theory of change can be used as a starting point to encourage discussion and guide future research in this space.}, }
@article {pmid37181227, year = {2023}, author = {Li, T and Zhang, C and Ban, J and Du, P and Ma, R and Kinney, PL}, title = {Projecting universal health risks under climate change to bridge mitigation and health adaptation objectives.}, journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {100427}, pmid = {37181227}, issn = {2666-6758}, }
@article {pmid37181096, year = {2023}, author = {Penuelas, J and Nogué, S}, title = {Catastrophic climate change and the collapse of human societies.}, journal = {National science review}, volume = {10}, number = {6}, pages = {nwad082}, doi = {10.1093/nsr/nwad082}, pmid = {37181096}, issn = {2053-714X}, }
@article {pmid37179880, year = {2023}, author = {Shoko Kori, D}, title = {The psychosocial impact of climate change among smallholder farmers: a potential threat to sustainable development.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1067879}, doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1067879}, pmid = {37179880}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Psychosocial impacts of climate change and implications on sustainable development remain unclear. This problem was addressed focusing on smallholder farmers in resettlement areas of Chirumanzu District, Zimbabwe. An Exploratory Descriptive Qualitative research design was adopted. Purposive sampling techniques were used to select 54 farmers who served as main respondents from four representative wards. Data were collected through semi-structured interviews and analyzed using a grounded theory approach. Code groups and codes were established through inductive approaches considering narratives of farmers. Forty psychosocial impacts were established. They were qualitative, intangible, indirect and difficult to measure quantitatively. Farmers agonized over the threat of climate change on farming operations, felt humiliated, and embarrassed over detestable practices they resorted to due to climate change. Some farmers experienced heightened negative feelings, thoughts, and emotions. It was established that psychosocial impacts of climate change have a bearing on sustainable development of emerging rural communities.}, }
@article {pmid37179798, year = {2023}, author = {Díaz-Martínez, P and Panettieri, M and García-Palacios, P and Moreno, E and Plaza, C and Maestre, FT}, title = {Biocrusts Modulate Climate Change Effects on Soil Organic Carbon Pools: Insights From a 9-Year Experiment.}, journal = {Ecosystems (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {26}, number = {3}, pages = {585-596}, doi = {10.1007/s10021-022-00779-0}, pmid = {37179798}, issn = {1432-9840}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Accumulating evidence suggests that warming associated with climate change is decreasing the total amount of soil organic carbon (SOC) in drylands, although scientific research has not given enough emphasis to particulate (POC) and mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) pools. Biocrusts are a major biotic feature of drylands and have large impacts on the C cycle, yet it is largely unknown whether they modulate the responses of POC and MAOC to climate change. Here, we assessed the effects of simulated climate change (control, reduced rainfall (RE), warming (WA), and RE + WA) and initial biocrust cover (low (< 20%) versus high (> 50%)) on the mineral protection of soil C and soil organic matter quality in a dryland ecosystem in central Spain for 9 years. At low initial biocrust cover levels, both WA and RE + WA increased SOC, especially POC but also MAOC, and promoted a higher contribution of carbohydrates, relative to aromatic compounds, to the POC fraction. These results suggest that the accumulation of soil C under warming treatments may be transitory in soils with low initial biocrust cover. In soils with high initial biocrust cover, climate change treatments did not affect SOC, neither POC nor MAOC fraction. Overall, our results indicate that biocrust communities modulate the negative effect of climate change on SOC, because no losses of soil C were observed with the climate manipulations under biocrusts. Future work should focus on determining the long-term persistence of the observed buffering effect by biocrust-forming lichens, as they are known to be negatively affected by warming.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10021-022-00779-0.}, }
@article {pmid37179230, year = {2023}, author = {Hou, J and Ji, K and Zhu, E and Dong, G and Tong, T and Chu, G and Liu, W and Wu, W and Zhang, S and Guedes, JD and Chen, F}, title = {Climate change fostered rise and fall of the Tibetan Empire during 600-800 AD.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.04.040}, pmid = {37179230}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {During the 7-9th century, the Tibetan Empire constituted a superpower between the Tang Empire and Abbasid Caliphate: one that played significant roles in geopolitics in Asia during the Early Medieval Period. The factors which led to the rise and rapid decline of this powerful Empire, the only united historical regime on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), remain unclear. Sub-annual scale precipitation and decadal-scale temperature records of the central TP are presented, indicating that the height of this Empire coincided with a two-century long interval of uncharacteristically warm and humid climate. The ameliorated climate enabled the expansion of arable land and increased agricultural production. The close relationship between the precipitation records and historical events implied that the Empire implemented flexible strategies to tackle the effects of climate changes. This has implications for agricultural production in alpine regions including the TP, in the context of current global warming.}, }
@article {pmid37177942, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, LX and Yue, X and Zhou, DC and Fan, JW and Li, YZ}, title = {[Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Restoration in Typical Grasslands of China].}, journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue}, volume = {44}, number = {5}, pages = {2694-2703}, doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202206156}, pmid = {37177942}, issn = {0250-3301}, abstract = {Grasslands, as one of the key ecosystems relevant to the terrestrial ecosystem carbon and water cycles as well as the ecological security in China, are very sensitive to climate change and human activities. However, the relative contributions of climate change and human activities on the vegetation restoration in those regions are still controversial. Using ecosystem net primary production (NPP) as an ecological indicator, this study quantified the relative roles of climate change and human activities on vegetation restoration in Chinese typical grasslands (northern temperate grasslands and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau alpine grasslands) by comparing the trends of actual NPP derived from MODIS and potential NPP estimated by the Thornthwaite Memorial model during 2000-2020. The results showed that approximately 93% of the grasslands in the study area experienced a recovering tendency, with an average increase of NPP (carbon) by 2.12 g·(m[2]·a)[-1](P<0.01). Therein, nearly half of the vegetation-restored areas were jointly-dominated by climate change and human activities, whereas approximately 36% and 10% of the restored areas were controlled individually by climate change and human activities, respectively. In addition, the share of climate-change dominated areas differed greatly by grassland types, characterized by a much larger area percentage in the alpine grasslands than that in the temperate grasslands and an increasing area share with a drying background climate. This study suggested that human activities were not primarily responsible for the vegetation restoration in northern temperate grasslands and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau alpine grasslands, but they could decrease and even cancel the possible vegetation degeneration caused by worsening climate in a few regions. Long-term monitoring of vegetation dynamics and a multi-method comparison are needed in future studies.}, }
@article {pmid37174199, year = {2023}, author = {Portela Dos Santos, O and Melly, P and Joost, S and Verloo, H}, title = {Climate Change, Environmental Health, and Challenges for Nursing Discipline.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {9}, pages = {}, pmid = {37174199}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Current data and scientific predictions about the consequences of climate change are accurate in suggesting disaster. Since 2019, climate change has become a threat to human health, and major consequences on health and health systems are already observed. Climate change is a central concern for the nursing discipline, even though nursing theorists' understanding of the environment has led to problematic gaps that impact the current context. Today, nursing discipline is facing new challenges. Nurses are strategically placed to respond to the impacts of climate change through their practice, research, and training in developing, implementing, and sustaining innovation towards climate change mitigation and adaptation. It is urgent for them to adapt their practice to this reality to become agents of change.}, }
@article {pmid37174195, year = {2023}, author = {Hunt, AP and Brearley, M and Hall, A and Pope, R}, title = {Climate Change Effects on the Predicted Heat Strain and Labour Capacity of Outdoor Workers in Australia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {9}, pages = {}, pmid = {37174195}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Global heating is subjecting more of the planet to longer periods of higher heat stress categories commonly employed to determine safe work durations. This study compared predicted worker heat strain and labour capacity for a recent normal climate (1986-2005) and under commonly applied climate scenarios for the 2041-2080 period for selected Australian locations. Recently published heat indices for northern (Darwin, Townsville, and Tom Price) and south-eastern coastal and inland Australia locations (Griffith, Port Macquarie, and Clare) under four projected climate scenarios, comprising two representative concentration pathways (RCPs), RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, and two time periods, 2041-2060 and 2061-2080, were used. Safe work durations, before the threshold for core temperature (38.0 °C) or sweat loss (5% body mass) are attained, were then estimated for each scenario using the predicted heat strain model (ISO7933). The modelled time to threshold core temperature varied with location, climate scenario, and metabolic rate. Relative to the baseline (1986-2005), safe work durations (labour capacity) were reduced by >50% in Port Macquarie and Griffith and by 20-50% in northern Australia. Reaching the sweat loss limit restricted safe work durations in Clare and Griffith. Projected future climatic conditions will adversely impact the predicted heat strain and labour capacity of outdoor workers in Australia. Risk management strategies must adapt to warming conditions to protect outdoor workers from the deleterious effects of heat.}, }
@article {pmid37172861, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, Y and Bu, Y and Wang, J and Wei, C}, title = {Geological events and climate change drive diversification and speciation of mute cicadas in eastern continental Asia.}, journal = {Molecular phylogenetics and evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {107809}, doi = {10.1016/j.ympev.2023.107809}, pmid = {37172861}, issn = {1095-9513}, abstract = {The poor mobility of nymphs living underground, usually for many years and the weak flying ability of adults make cicadas unique for evolutionary biology and bio-geographical study. Cicadas of the genus Karenia are unusual in Cicadidae in lacking the timbals that produce sound. Population differentiation, genetic structure, dispersal and evolutionary history of the eastern Asian mute cicada Karenia caelatata were investigated based on morphological, acoustic and molecular data. The results reveal a high level of genetic differentiation in this species. Six independent clades with nearly unique sets of haplotypes corresponding to geographically isolated populations are recognized. Genetic and geographic distances are significantly correlated among lineages. The phenotypic differentiation is generally consistent with the high levels of genetic divergence across populations. Results of ecological niche modeling suggest that the potential distribution range of this mountain-habitat specialist during the Last Glacial Maximum was broader than its current range, indicating this species had benefited from the climate change during the early Pleistocene in southern China. Geological events such as orogeny in Southwest China and Pleistocene climate oscillations have driven the differentiation and divergence of this species, and basins, plains and rivers function as natural "barriers" to block the gene flow. Besides significant genetic divergence being found among clades, the populations occurring in the Wuyi Mountains and the Hengduan Mountains are significantly different in the calling song structure from other populations. This may have resulted from significant population differentiation and subsequent adaptation of related populations. We conclude that ecological differences in habitats, coupled with geographical isolation, have driven population divergence and allopatric speciation. This study provides a plausible example of incipient speciation in Cicadidae and improves understanding of population differentiation, acoustic signal diversification and phylogeographic relationships of this unusual cicada species. It informs future studies on population differentiation, speciation and phylogeography of other mountain-habitat insects in the East Asian continent.}, }
@article {pmid37172846, year = {2023}, author = {Chia, RW and Lee, JY and Lee, M and Lee, GS and Jeong, CD}, title = {Role of soil microplastic pollution in climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {164112}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164112}, pmid = {37172846}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {In recent decades, environmental pollution from microplastic (MPs: <5 mm) and climate change have received international attention. However, these two issues have been primarily investigated separately hitherto, although they exhibit a cause-and-effect relationship. Studies considering MPs and climate change as causal entities have focused only on MP pollution in marine environments as a contributor to climate change. Meanwhile, systematic causal studies have not been performed inadequately to understand the role of soil, which is a primary terrestrial sink of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the context of MP pollution, in climate change. In this study, the causal effect of soil MP pollution on GHG emissions as direct and indirect contributors to climate change is systematically analyzed. The mechanisms underlying the contribution of soil MPs to climate change are discussed, and future research perspectives are suggested. Approximately 121 research manuscripts pertaining to MP pollution and its associated effects on GHGs, carbon sinks, and soil respiration, recorded between 2018 and 2023, are selected and cataloged from seven database categories in PubMed, Google Scholar, Nature's database, and Web of Science. Several studies demonstrated that soil MP pollution directly contributes to climate change by accelerating the emission of GHGs from the soil to the atmosphere and indirectly by promoting soil respiration and adversely affecting natural carbon sinks, such as trees. Other studies correlated the release of GHGs from the soil to mechanisms such as the alteration of soil aeration, methanogen activity, and carbon and nitrogen cycles, and improved the abundance of carbon and nitrogen soil microbial functional genes adhering to plant roots to create anoxic conditions for plant growth. In general, soil MP pollution increases the release of GHGs into the atmosphere, thereby contributing to climate change. However, further research is to be conducted by investigating the underlying mechanisms using more practical field-scale data.}, }
@article {pmid37171132, year = {2023}, author = {Bellone, R and Lechat, P and Mousson, L and Gilbart, V and Piorkowski, G and Bohers, C and Merits, A and Kornobis, E and Reveillaud, J and Paupy, C and Vazeille, M and Martinet, JP and Madec, Y and De Lamballerie, X and Dauga, C and Failloux, AB}, title = {Climate change and vector-borne diseases: a multi-omics approach of temperature-induced changes in the mosquito.}, journal = {Journal of travel medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jtm/taad062}, pmid = {37171132}, issn = {1708-8305}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and globalization contribute to the expansion of mosquito vectors and their associated pathogens. Long spared, temperate regions have had to deal with the emergence of arboviruses traditionally confined to tropical regions. Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) was reported for the first time in Europe in 2007, causing a localized outbreak in Italy, which then recurred repeatedly over the years in other European localities. This raises the question of climate effects, particularly temperature, on the dynamics of vector-borne viruses. The objective of this study is to improve the understanding of the molecular mechanisms set up in the vector in response to temperature.<br><br>METHODS: We combine three complementary approaches by examining Aedes albopictus mosquito gene expression (transcriptomics), bacterial flora (metagenomics) and CHIKV evolutionary dynamics (genomics) induced by viral infection and temperature changes.<br><br>RESULTS: We show that temperature alters profoundly mosquito gene expression, bacterial microbiome and viral population diversity. We observe that (i) CHIKV infection upregulated most genes (mainly in immune and stress-related pathways) at 20&#xb0;C but not at 28&#xb0;C, (ii) CHIKV infection significantly increased the abundance of Enterobacteriaceae Serratia marcescens at 28&#xb0;C and (iii) CHIKV evolutionary dynamics were different according to temperature.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The substantial changes detected in the vectorial system (the vector and its bacterial microbiota, and the arbovirus) lead to temperature-specific adjustments to reach the ultimate goal of arbovirus transmission; at 20&#xb0;C and 28&#xb0;C, the Asian tiger mosquito Ae. albopictus was able to transmit CHIKV at the same efficiency. Therefore, CHIKV is likely to continue its expansion in the northern regions and could become a public health problem in more countries than those already affected in Europe.}, }
@article {pmid37170416, year = {2023}, author = {Ruth, A and Svendsen, MBS and Nygaard, R and Christensen, EAF and Bushnell, PG and Steffensen, JF}, title = {Physiological effects of temperature in Greenland halibut Reinhardtius hippoglossoides, shows high vulnerability of arctic stenotherms to global warming.}, journal = {Journal of fish biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jfb.15434}, pmid = {37170416}, issn = {1095-8649}, abstract = {Global warming affects the metabolism of ectothermic aquatic breathers forcing them to migrate and undergo high-latitudinal distribution shifts to circumvent the temperature-induced mismatch between increased metabolic demand and reduced water oxygen availability. Here we examined the effects of temperature on oxygen consumption rates in an arctic stenotherm, the Greenland halibut Reinhardtius hippoglossoides, and calculated the optimal temperature for maximum aerobic scope, AS, (Topt, AS) which we found to be 2.44° C. We also investigated cardiac performance as limiting the oxygen transport chain at high temperatures by measuring maximum heart rate (fHmax) over acute temperature increases and found various metrics related to fHmax to be at least 3.2° C higher than Topt, AS . Our measured Topt, AS closely reflected in situ temperature occurrences of Greenland halibut from long-term tagging studies, showing that AS of the species is adapted to its habitat temperature, and is thus a good proxy for the species' sensitivity to environmental warming. We did not find a close connection between fHmax and Topt, AS , suggesting that cardiac performance is not limiting for the oxygen transport chain at high temperatures in this particular arctic stenotherm. Our estimate of the thermal envelope for AS of Greenland halibut was from -1.89° C to 8.07° C, which is exceptionally narrow compared to most other species of fish. As ocean temperatures increase most rapidly in the Arctic in response to climate change, and species in these areas have limited possibility for further poleward range shifts, these results suggest potential severe effects of global warming on arctic stenotherms, such as the Greenland halibut. The species' considerable economic importance raises concerns for future fisheries and species conservation of arctic stenotherms in the northern hemisphere. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, }
@article {pmid37169187, year = {2023}, author = {Varela, R and de Castro, M and Dias, JM and Gómez-Gesteira, M}, title = {Coastal warming under climate change: Global, faster and heterogeneous.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {886}, number = {}, pages = {164029}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164029}, pmid = {37169187}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The assessment of expected changes in coastal sea surface temperature (SST) on a global scale is becoming increasingly important due to the growing pressure on coastal ecosystems caused by climate change. To achieve this objective, 17 Global Climate Models from CMIP6 were used, with data from historical and hist-1950 experiments spanning 1982-2050. This analysis highlights significant warming of coastal areas worldwide, with higher and more variable rates of warming than observed in previous decades. All basins are projected to experience an increase in coastal SST near 1 °C by mid-century, with some regions exhibiting nearshore SST anomalies exceeding 2 °C for the period 2031-2050 relative to 1995-2014. Regarding the Eastern Upwelling Boundary Systems, only the Canary upwelling system and the southern part of the Humboldt upwelling system manage to show lower-than-average SST warming rates, maintaining, to a certain extent, their ability to buffer global warming.}, }
@article {pmid37167698, year = {2023}, author = {Giannetta, B and Plaza, C and Cassetta, M and Mariotto, G and Benavente-Ferraces, I and García-Gil, JC and Panettieri, M and Zaccone, C}, title = {The effects of biochar on soil organic matter pools are not influenced by climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {341}, number = {}, pages = {118092}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118092}, pmid = {37167698}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The sustainability of Mediterranean croplands is threatened by climate warming and rainfall reduction. The use of biochar as an amendment represents a tool to store organic carbon (C) in soil. The vulnerability of soil organic C (SOC) to the joint effects of climate change and biochar application needs to be better understood by investigating its main pools. Here, we evaluated the effects of partial rain exclusion (∼30%) and temperature increase (∼2 °C), combined with biochar amendment, on the distribution of soil organic matter (SOM) into particulate organic matter (POM) and the mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM). A set of indices suggested an increase in thermal stability in response to biochar addition in both POM and MAOM fractions. The MAOM fraction, compared to the POM, was particularly enriched in labile substances. Data from micro-Raman spectroscopy suggested that the POM fraction contained biochar particles with a more ordered structure, whereas the structural order decreased in the MAOM fraction, especially after climate manipulation. Crystalline Fe oxides (hematite) and a mix of ferrihydrite and hematite were detected in the POM and in the MAOM fraction, respectively, of the unamended plots under climate manipulation, but not under ambient conditions. Conversely, in the amended soil, climate manipulation did not induce changes in Fe speciation. Our work underlines the importance of discretely taking into account responses of both MAOM and POM to better understand the mechanistic drivers of SOC storage and dynamics.}, }
@article {pmid37167502, year = {2023}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Mahael-Adawy, AR and Siakasidibé,  and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {The National medical journal of India}, volume = {35}, number = {5}, pages = {257-260}, doi = {10.25259/NMJI_810_2022}, pmid = {37167502}, issn = {0970-258X}, }
@article {pmid37165146, year = {2023}, author = {Peltier, TR and Shiratsuru, S and Zuckerberg, B and Romanski, M and Potvin, L and Edwards, A and Gilbert, JH and Aldred, TR and Dassow, A and Pauli, JN}, title = {Phenotypic variation in the molt characteristics of a seasonal coat color-changing species reveals limited resilience to climate change.}, journal = {Oecologia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37165146}, issn = {1432-1939}, abstract = {The snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) possesses a broad suite of adaptations to winter, including a seasonal coat color molt. Recently, climate change has been implicated in the range contraction of snowshoe hares along the southern range boundary. With shortening snow season duration, snowshoe hares are experiencing increased camouflage mismatch with their environment reducing survival. Phenological variation of hare molt at regional scales could facilitate local adaptation in the face of climate change, but the level of variation, especially along the southern range boundary, is unknown. Using a network of trail cameras and historical museum specimens, we (1) developed contemporary and historical molt phenology curves in the Upper Great Lakes region, USA, (2) calculated molt rate and variability in and among populations, and (3) quantified the relationship of molt characteristics to environmental conditions for snowshoe hares across North America. We found that snowshoe hares across the region exhibited similar fall and spring molt phenologies, rates and variation. Yet, an insular island population of hares on Isle Royale National Park, MI, completed their molt a week earlier in the fall and initiated molt almost 2 weeks later in the spring as well as exhibited slower rates of molting in the fall season compared to the mainland. Over the last 100 years, snowshoe hares across the region have not shifted in fall molt timing; though contemporary spring molt appears to have advanced by 17 days (~ 4 days per decade) compared to historical molt phenology. Our research indicates that some variation in molt phenology exists for snowshoe hares in the Upper Great Lakes region, but whether this variation is enough to offset the consequences of climate change remains to be seen.}, }
@article {pmid37165058, year = {2023}, author = {Pérez, T and Vergara, SE and Silver, WL}, title = {Assessing the climate change mitigation potential from food waste composting.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7608}, pmid = {37165058}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Food waste is a dominant organic constituent of landfills, and a large global source of greenhouse gases. Composting food waste presents a potential opportunity for emissions reduction, but data on whole pile, commercial-scale emissions and the associated biogeochemical drivers are lacking. We used a non-invasive micrometeorological mass balance approach optimized for three-dimensional commercial-scale windrow compost piles to measure methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions continuously during food waste composting. Greenhouse gas flux measurements were complemented with continuous oxygen (O2) and temperature sensors and intensive sampling for biogeochemical processes. Emission factors (EF) ranged from 6.6 to 8.8 kg CH4-C/Mg wet food waste and were driven primarily by low redox and watering events. Composting resulted in low N2O emissions (0.01 kg N2O-N/Mg wet food waste). The overall EF value (CH4 + N2O) for food waste composting was 926 kgCO2e/Mg of dry food waste. Composting emissions were 38-84% lower than equivalent landfilling fluxes with a potential net minimum savings of 1.4 MMT CO2e for California by year 2025. Our results suggest that food waste composting can help mitigate emissions. Increased turning during the thermophilic phase and less watering overall could potentially further lower emissions.}, }
@article {pmid37165034, year = {2023}, author = {Mtsetfwa, FP and Kruger, L and McCleery, RA}, title = {Climate change decouples dominant tree species in African savannas.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7619}, pmid = {37165034}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {To understand how two dominant African savanna trees will continue to respond to climate changes, we examined their regeneration niche and adult tree distributions. Specifically, we wanted to (1) determine if distributional patterns were shifting, (2) predict future distributions under different climate change scenarios and (3) evaluate the realism of predicted future distributions. We randomly placed 40 grids into 6 strata across a climate gradient in the kingdom of Eswatini. Within these grids, we sampled adult and seedling marula (Scelerocarya birrea) and knobthorn (Senegalia nigrecens) trees and used the data to model their abundance. Next, we quantified shifts in distributional patterns (e.g., expansion or contraction) by measuring the current and projected areas of overlap between seedling and adult trees. Finally, we predicted future distributions of abundance based on predicted climate conditions. We found knobthorn seedlings within a small portion of the adult distribution, suggesting it was unlikely to track climate changes. Alternatively, finding marula seedlings on and beyond one edge of the adult distribution, suggested its range would shift toward cooler climates. Predicted future distributions suggest suitable climate for both species would transition out of savannas and into grasslands. Future projections (2041-2070) appeared consistent with observed distributions of marula, but knobthorn predictions were unrealistic given the lack of evidence for regeneration outside of its current range. The idiosyncratic responses of these species to climate change are likely to decouple these keystone structures in the coming decades and are likely to have considerable cascading effects including the potential rearrangement of faunal communities.}, }
@article {pmid37164516, year = {2023}, author = {Li, C and Liu, Z and Li, W and Lin, Y and Hou, L and Niu, S and Xing, Y and Huang, J and Chen, Y and Zhang, S and Gao, X and Xu, Y and Wang, C and Zhao, Q and Liu, Q and Ma, W and Cai, W and Gong, P and Luo, Y}, title = {Projecting future risk of dengue related to hydrometeorological conditions in mainland China under climate change scenarios: a modelling study.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {5}, pages = {e397-e406}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00051-7}, pmid = {37164516}, issn = {2542-5196}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: We have limited knowledge on the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on dengue incidence in China and its associated disease burden in a future with a changed climate. This study projects the excess risk of dengue caused by climate change-induced hydrometeorological conditions across mainland China.<br><br>METHODS: In this modelling study, the historical association between the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) and dengue was estimated with a spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical model from 70 cities. The association combined with the dengue-transmission biological model was used to project the annual excess risk of dengue related to PDSI by 2100 across mainland China, under three representative concentration pathways ([RCP] 2&#xb7;6, RCP 4&#xb7;5, and RCP 8&#xb7;5).<br><br>FINDINGS: 93&#x2008;101 dengue cases were reported between 2013 and 2019 in mainland China. Dry and wet conditions within 3 months lag were associated with increased risk of dengue. Locations with potential dengue risk in China will expand in the future. The hydrometeorological changes are projected to substantially affect the risk of dengue in regions with mid-to-low latitudes, especially the coastal areas under high emission scenarios. By 2100, the annual average increased excess risk is expected to range from 12&#xb7;56% (95% empirical CI 9&#xb7;54-22&#xb7;24) in northwest China to 173&#xb7;62% (153&#xb7;15-254&#xb7;82) in south China under the highest emission scenario.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Hydrometeorological conditions are predicted to increase the risk of dengue in the future in the south, east, and central areas of mainland China in disproportionate patterns. Our findings have implications for the preparation of public health interventions to minimise the health hazards of non-optimal hydrometeorological conditions in a context of climate change.<br><br>FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China.}, }
@article {pmid37164508, year = {2023}, author = {Van Hout, MC and Southalan, L and Kinner, S and Mhango, V and Mhlanga-Gunda, R}, title = {COVID-19, conflict, climate change, and the human rights of people living in African prisons.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {5}, pages = {e352-e353}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00080-3}, pmid = {37164508}, issn = {2542-5196}, }
@article {pmid37164090, year = {2023}, author = {Tobias, W and Manfred, S and Klaus, J and Massimiliano, Z and Bettina, S}, title = {The future of Alpine Run-of-River hydropower production: Climate change, environmental flow requirements, and technical production potential.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163934}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163934}, pmid = {37164090}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Past studies on the impacts of climate change (CC) on Alpine hydropower production have focused on high-head accumulation power plants. We provide one of the first comprehensive, simulation-based studies on CC impacts on Alpine Run-of-River (RoR) production, also considering effects of environmental flow requirements and technical increase potential. We simulate future electricity production under three emissions scenarios for 21 Swiss RoR plants with a total production of 5.9 TWh a[-1]. The simulations show an increase in winter production (4 % to 9 %) and a decrease in summer production (-2 % to -22 %), which together lead to an annual decrease of about -2 % to -7 % by the end of the century. The production loss due to environmental flow requirements is estimated at 3.5 % of the annual production; the largest low-elevation RoR power plants show little loss, while small and medium-sized power plants are most affected. The potential for increasing production by optimising the design discharge amounts to 8 % of the annual production. The largest increase potential is related to small and medium-sized power plants at high elevations. The key results are: i) there is no linear relationship between CC impacts on streamflow and on RoR production; the impacts depend on the usable streamflow volume, which is influenced by the Flow Duration Curve, environmental flow requirements, and design discharge; ii), the simulated production impacts show a strong correlation (>0.68) with the mean catchment elevation. The plants at the highest elevations even show an increase in annual production of 3 % to 23 %, due to larger shares of precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. These general results are transferable to RoR production in similar settings in other Alpine locations and should be considered in future assessments. Future work could focus on further technical optimisation potential, considering detailed operational data.}, }
@article {pmid37163600, year = {2023}, author = {Kang, SM and Shin, Y and Kim, H and Xie, SP and Hu, S}, title = {Disentangling the mechanisms of equatorial Pacific climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {19}, pages = {eadf5059}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adf5059}, pmid = {37163600}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Most state-of-art models project a reduced equatorial Pacific east-west temperature gradient and a weakened Walker circulation under global warming. However, the causes of this robust projection remain elusive. Here, we devise a series of slab ocean model experiments to diagnostically decompose the global warming response into the contributions from the direct carbon dioxide (CO2) forcing, sea ice changes, and regional ocean heat uptake. The CO2 forcing dominates the Walker circulation slowdown through enhancing the tropical tropospheric stability. Antarctic sea ice changes and local ocean heat release are the dominant drivers for reduced zonal temperature gradient over the equatorial Pacific, while the Southern Ocean heat uptake opposes this change. Corroborating our model experiments, multimodel analysis shows that the models with greater Southern Ocean heat uptake exhibit less reduction in the temperature gradient and less weakening of the Walker circulation. Therefore, constraining the tropical Pacific projection requires a better insight into Southern Ocean processes.}, }
@article {pmid37162670, year = {2023}, author = {Arshad, M and Yu, CK and Qadir, A and Rafique, M}, title = {The influence of climate change, green innovation, and aspects of green dynamic capabilities as an approach to achieving sustainable development.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37162670}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Green dynamic capability is acquiring significant traction among academics, practitioners, and policymakers; however, its relationship to green innovation, climate change, and sustainable development remains unclear. This study aims to identify green innovation within the context of developing nations to cover this void. Utilizing dynamic capability and stakeholder theory, this research illuminated the significance of green dynamic capability for sustainable development. Using a two-wave research methodology, the sample for this study was comprised of organizations from the Pakistani public sector. This investigation compiled data from 342 top and middle-level employees from the ministry of climate change, the ministry of agriculture, and the capital development authority (CDA). Using SEM SMART-PLS-path modeling to test hypotheses and investigate the model's causal links. Green innovation mediates the positive relationship between green dynamic capabilities and sustainable development, as indicated by the findings. However, neither green dynamic capabilities nor the relationship between green innovation and sustainable development is moderated by climate change. The findings of the study suggest strategies for government organizations to use green innovation in environmental literature. In addition, organizations will collaborate to develop strategies to combat climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37162274, year = {2023}, author = {Chu, J and Zhu, Y and Ji, J}, title = {Characterizing the semantic features of climate change misinformation on Chinese social media.}, journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {9636625231166542}, doi = {10.1177/09636625231166542}, pmid = {37162274}, issn = {1361-6609}, abstract = {Climate change misinformation leads to significant adverse impacts and has become a global concern. Identifying misinformation and investigating its characteristics are of great importance to counteract misinformation. Therefore, this study aims to characterize the semantic features (frames and authority references) of climate change misinformation in the context of Chinese social media. Posts concerning climate change were collected from Weibo between January 2010 and December 2020. First, veracity, frames, and authority references were manually labeled. Then, we applied logistic regression to examine the relationship between information veracity and semantic features. The results revealed that posts concerning environmental and health impact and science and technology were more likely to be misinformation. Moreover, posts referencing non-specific authority sources are more likely to be misinformed than posts making no references to any authority references. This study provides a theoretical understanding of the semantic characteristics of climate change misinformation and practical suggestions for combating them.}, }
@article {pmid37161337, year = {2023}, author = {Benning, JW and Faulkner, A and Moeller, DA}, title = {Rapid evolution during climate change: demographic and genetic constraints on adaptation to severe drought.}, journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences}, volume = {290}, number = {1998}, pages = {20230336}, doi = {10.1098/rspb.2023.0336}, pmid = {37161337}, issn = {1471-2954}, abstract = {Populations often vary in their evolutionary responses to a shared environmental perturbation. A key hurdle in building more predictive models of rapid evolution is understanding this variation-why do some populations and traits evolve while others do not? We combined long-term demographic and environmental data, estimates of quantitative genetic variance components, a resurrection experiment and individual-based evolutionary simulations to gain mechanistic insights into contrasting evolutionary responses to a severe multi-year drought. We examined five traits in two populations of a native California plant, Clarkia xantiana, at three time points over 7 years. Earlier flowering phenology evolved in only one of the two populations, though both populations experienced similar drought severity and demographic declines and were estimated to have considerable additive genetic variance for flowering phenology. Pairing demographic and experimental data with evolutionary simulations suggested that while seed banks in both populations probably constrained evolutionary responses, a stronger seed bank in the non-evolving population resulted in evolutionary stasis. Gene flow through time via germ banks may be an important, underappreciated control on rapid evolution in response to extreme environmental perturbations.}, }
@article {pmid37160983, year = {2023}, author = {Poeplau, C and Dechow, R}, title = {The legacy of one hundred years of climate change for organic carbon stocks in global agricultural topsoils.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7483}, pmid = {37160983}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Soil organic carbon (SOC) of agricultural soils is observed to decline in many parts of the world. Understanding the reasons behind such losses is important for SOC accounting and formulating climate mitigation strategies. Disentangling the impact of last century's climate change from effects of preceding land use, management changes and erosion is difficult and most likely impossible to address in observations outside of warming experiments. However, the record of last century's climate change is available for every part of the globe, so the potential effect of climate change on SOC stocks can be modelled. In this study, an established and validated FAO framework was used to model global agricultural topsoil (0-30 cm) SOC stock dynamics from 1919 to 2018 as attributable to climate change. On average, global agricultural topsoils could have lost 2.5 ± 2.3 Mg C ha[-1] (3.9 ± 5.4%) with constant net primary production (NPP) or 1.6 ± 3.4 Mg C ha[-1] (2.5 ± 5.5%) when NPP was considered to be modified by temperature and precipitation. Regional variability could be explained by the complex patterns of changes in temperature and moisture, as well as initial SOC stocks. However, small average SOC losses have been an intrinsic and persistent feature of climate change in all climatic zones. This needs to be taken into consideration in reporting or accounting frameworks and halted in order to mitigate climate change and secure soil health.}, }
@article {pmid37155430, year = {2023}, author = {Lara-Arévalo, J and Escobar-Burgos, L and Moore, ERH and Neff, R and Spiker, ML}, title = {COVID-19, Climate Change, and Conflict in Honduras: A food system disruption analysis.}, journal = {Global food security}, volume = {37}, number = {}, pages = {100693}, pmid = {37155430}, issn = {2211-9124}, abstract = {In Honduras, as in many settings between 2020 and 2022, food security was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, climate change, and conflicts-what some refer to as "The Three Cs." These challenges have had overlapping impacts on food supply chains, food assistance programs, food prices, household purchasing power, physical access to food, and food acceptability. This article applies a food system disruption analysis-adapted from a fault tree analysis originally developed for a municipal context in the United States-to the context of Honduras to systematically examine how the Three Cs affected food availability, accessibility, and acceptability. This article demonstrates the value of approaching food security through a disruption analysis, especially for settings impacted by multiple, interconnected, ongoing crises.}, }
@article {pmid37152891, year = {2023}, author = {Gómez-Casillas, A and Gómez Márquez, V}, title = {The effect of social network sites usage in climate change awareness in Latin America.}, journal = {Population and environment}, volume = {45}, number = {2}, pages = {7}, pmid = {37152891}, issn = {0199-0039}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Using data from the Latinobarómetro (Latin Barometer) survey of 2017 to analyze the effect of social network site usage on climate change awareness in 18 Latin American countries, this article makes three contributions. First, it offers results on the socioeconomic determinants of climate awareness in a region of the world where there is scant published evidence in this regard. Second, it shows the effect of social media consumption on climate change awareness by assessing the role of each of the most popular sites: YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Snapchat, and Tumblr. Third, it assesses the effects of multi-platform consumption. The results show that YouTube has the strongest and most robust positive and statistically significant effect on climate change awareness, followed by Instagram, Twitter, and WhatsApp, while being a multi-platform user also has a positive and statistically significant effect on climate change awareness. The implications of these findings for understanding the role of social media in the development of environmental awareness are discussed.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11111-023-00417-4.}, }
@article {pmid37152381, year = {2023}, author = {Majumder, J and Saha, I and Saha, A and Chakrabarti, A}, title = {Climate Change, Disasters, and Mental Health of Adolescents in India.}, journal = {Indian journal of psychological medicine}, volume = {45}, number = {3}, pages = {289-291}, pmid = {37152381}, issn = {0253-7176}, }
@article {pmid37152150, year = {2023}, author = {Dutta, TK and Vicente, CSL and Maleita, CMN and Phani, V}, title = {Editorial: Impact of global climate change on the interaction between plants and plant-parasitic nematodes.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1195970}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2023.1195970}, pmid = {37152150}, issn = {1664-462X}, }
@article {pmid37149777, year = {2023}, author = {Wylie, K}, title = {Climate change is a health issue we need to treat.}, journal = {Australian journal of general practice}, volume = {52}, number = {5}, pages = {253-254}, doi = {10.31128/AJGP-03-23-6778}, pmid = {37149777}, issn = {2208-7958}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; }, }
@article {pmid37149764, year = {2023}, author = {Seth, A and Maxwell, J and Dey, C and Patrick, R and Le Feuvre, C}, title = {Understanding and managing psychological distress due to climate change.}, journal = {Australian journal of general practice}, volume = {52}, number = {5}, pages = {263-268}, doi = {10.31128/AJGP-09-22-6556}, pmid = {37149764}, issn = {2208-7958}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Australia/epidemiology ; Adaptation, Psychological ; Anxiety/epidemiology/etiology/therapy ; *Psychological Distress ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Australia has warmed by 1.4°C since pre-industrial times. This is greater than the global average and is predicted to exceed 1.5°C by 2030. This will have significant environmental effects that can threaten human wellbeing. Most Australians have direct experience of climate change-related events, with health, social, cultural and economic impacts already evident and wide-ranging implications for mental health.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This article provides an overview of climate distress, which encompasses both 'climate anxiety' and other forms of distress related to climate change. It outlines the&#xa0;features and prevalence of climate distress, as well as&#xa0;approaches for assessment and management based on&#xa0;current evidence and theory.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Climate distress is common and can take many forms. These concerns may not be readily disclosed, but can be&#xa0;sensitively elicited, and patients may benefit from the opportunity for empathic, non-judgemental exploration of their experiences. Care must be taken not to pathologise rational distress while identifying maladaptive coping strategies and serious mental illness. Management should focus on adaptive coping strategies, use evidence&#x2011;based psychological interventions and draw upon emerging evidence about behavioural engagement, nature connection and group processes.}, }
@article {pmid37149762, year = {2023}, author = {Wylie, K}, title = {Climate change.}, journal = {Australian journal of general practice}, volume = {52}, number = {5}, pages = {253-254}, doi = {10.31128/AJGP-03-23-6778}, pmid = {37149762}, issn = {2208-7958}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid37149169, year = {2023}, author = {Ross, FWR and Boyd, PW and Filbee-Dexter, K and Watanabe, K and Ortega, A and Krause-Jensen, D and Lovelock, C and Sondak, CFA and Bach, LT and Duarte, CM and Serrano, O and Beardall, J and Tarbuck, P and Macreadie, PI}, title = {Potential role of seaweeds in climate change mitigation.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163699}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163699}, pmid = {37149169}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Seaweed (macroalgae) has attracted attention globally given its potential for climate change mitigation. A topical and contentious question is: Can seaweeds' contribution to climate change mitigation be enhanced at globally meaningful scales? Here, we provide an overview of the pressing research needs surrounding the potential role of seaweed in climate change mitigation and current scientific consensus via eight key research challenges. There are four categories where seaweed has been suggested to be used for climate change mitigation: 1) protecting and restoring wild seaweed forests with potential climate change mitigation co-benefits; 2) expanding sustainable nearshore seaweed aquaculture with potential climate change mitigation co-benefits; 3) offsetting industrial CO2 emissions using seaweed products for emission abatement; and 4) sinking seaweed into the deep sea to sequester CO2. Uncertainties remain about quantification of the net impact of carbon export from seaweed restoration and seaweed farming sites on atmospheric CO2. Evidence suggests that nearshore seaweed farming contributes to carbon storage in sediments below farm sites, but how scalable is this process? Products from seaweed aquaculture, such as the livestock methane-reducing seaweed Asparagopsis or low carbon food resources show promise for climate change mitigation, yet the carbon footprint and emission abatement potential remains unquantified for most seaweed products. Similarly, purposely cultivating then sinking seaweed biomass in the open ocean raises ecological concerns and the climate change mitigation potential of this concept is poorly constrained. Improving the tracing of seaweed carbon export to ocean sinks is a critical step in seaweed carbon accounting. Despite carbon accounting uncertainties, seaweed provides many other ecosystem services that justify conservation and restoration and the uptake of seaweed aquaculture will contribute to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. However, we caution that verified seaweed carbon accounting and associated sustainability thresholds are needed before large-scale investment into climate change mitigation from seaweed projects.}, }
@article {pmid37149163, year = {2023}, author = {Jiménez-Navarro, IC and Mesman, JP and Pierson, D and Trolle, D and Nielsen, A and Senent-Aparicio, J}, title = {Application of an integrated catchment-lake model approach for simulating effects of climate change on lake inputs and biogeochemistry.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163946}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163946}, pmid = {37149163}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change is simultaneously affecting lakes and their catchments, resulting in altered runoff patterns in the catchment and modified mixing and biogeochemical dynamics in lakes. The effects of climate change in a catchment will eventually have an impact on the dynamics of a downstream water body as well. An integrated model would allow considering how changes in the watershed affect the lake, but coupled modelling studies are rare. In this study we integrate a catchment model (SWAT+) and a lake model (GOTM-WET) to obtain holistic predictions for Lake Erken, Sweden. Using five different global climate models, projections of climate, catchment loads and lake water quality for the mid and end of the 21st century have been obtained under two future scenarios (SSP 2-45 and SSP 5-85). Temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration will increase in the future, overall resulting in an increase in water inflow to the lake. An increasing importance of surface runoff will also have consequences on the catchment soil, hydrologic flow paths, and the input of nutrients to the lake. In the lake, water temperatures will rise, leading to increased stratification and a drop in oxygen levels. Nitrate levels are predicted to remain unchanged, while phosphate and ammonium levels increase. A coupled catchment-lake configuration such as that illustrated here allows prediction of future biogeochemical conditions of a lake, including linking land use changes to changing lake conditions, as well as eutrophication and browning studies. Since climate affects both the lake and the catchment, simulations of climate change should ideally take into account both systems.}, }
@article {pmid37146824, year = {2023}, author = {Yang, S and Zhang, L and Zhu, G}, title = {Effects of transport infrastructures and climate change on ecosystem services in the integrated transport corridor region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163961}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163961}, pmid = {37146824}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The ecosystem services of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau have been hot topics in recent decades due to their unique value, and the region's sensitivity to climate change and human activities is considered to be of major importance. However, few studies have focused on the variations of ecosystem services in response to traffic activities and climate change. This study applied different ecosystem service models, along with the buffer analysis, local correlation and regression analysis to quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal variations of carbon sequestration, habitat quality, and soil retention, further detected the climatic and traffic influences in the transport corridor region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2020. The obtained results showed the following: (1) The carbon sequestration and soil retention increased over time, while the habitat quality decreased during the railway construction period; in addition, the variations of ecosystem services between the two periods exhibited substantial spatial differences. (2) The distance trends of ecosystem service variations were similar for the railway and the highway corridors, and the positive ecosystem service trends were mainly observed within 2.5 km and 2 km of railway and highway corridors, respectively. (3) The impacts of climatic factors on ecosystem services were predominantly positive; however, temperature and precipitation displayed contrasting distance trends in their impacts on carbon sequestration. (4) The types of frozen ground and locations away from the railway or highway were the combined factors affecting the ecosystem services, among which carbon sequestration was negatively influenced by the distance from the highway in the continuous permafrost areas. It can be speculated that rising temperatures caused by climate change may intensify the decline of carbon sequestration in the continuous permafrost areas. This study provides guidance on ecological protection strategies for future expressway construction projects.}, }
@article {pmid37146812, year = {2023}, author = {Cotera, RV and Guillaumot, L and Sahu, RK and Nam, C and Lierhammer, L and Costa, MM}, title = {An assessment of water management measures for climate change adaptation of agriculture in Seewinkel.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163906}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163906}, pmid = {37146812}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid37144480, year = {2023}, author = {McClanahan, TR and Darling, ES and Beger, M and Fox, HE and Grantham, HS and Jupiter, SD and Logan, CA and Mcleod, E and McManus, LC and Oddenyo, RM and Surya, GS and Wenger, AS and Zinke, J and Maina, JM}, title = {Diversification of refugia types needed to secure the future of coral reefs subject to climate change.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14108}, pmid = {37144480}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {Identifying locations of refugia to the thermal stresses of climate change for coral reefs and better managing them is one of the key recommendations for climate change adaptation. Here, we summarize 30 years of applied research and conservation and conclude that currently proposed refugia are highly reliant on excess heat avoidance metrics. A more diverse set of environmental, ecological, and life history variables can identify other types of refugia and lead to the desired diversified portfolio for coral reef conservation. To improve prioritization and site selection decisions, there is a need to: evaluate and validate the predictions of this approach with long-term field data on coral abundance, diversity, and functioning; and identify and safeguard locations displaying resistance to climate exposure or the ability to recover quickly after thermal exposure. We recommend building a portfolio that includes more local ecological and evolutionary context information to identify and conserve a more equal proportion of the three major types of refugia (avoidance, resistance, and recovery); thereby shifting past efforts focused on avoidance towards a diversified risk-spreading portfolio that better manages biodiversity and ecosystem services. Article Impact Statement: Use of environmental and coral life history metrics to identify climate refugia portfolio has yet to diversify sufficiently. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, }
@article {pmid37144131, year = {2023}, author = {Singh, C and Kumar, R and Sehgal, H and Bhati, S and Singhal, T and Gayacharan,  and Nimmy, MS and Yadav, R and Gupta, SK and Abdallah, NA and Hamwieh, A and Kumar, R}, title = {Unclasping potentials of genomics and gene editing in chickpea to fight climate change and global hunger threat.}, journal = {Frontiers in genetics}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1085024}, pmid = {37144131}, issn = {1664-8021}, abstract = {Genomics and genome editing promise enormous opportunities for crop improvement and elementary research. Precise modification in the specific targeted location of a genome has profited over the unplanned insertional events which are generally accomplished employing unadventurous means of genetic modifications. The advent of new genome editing procedures viz; zinc finger nucleases (ZFNs), homing endonucleases, transcription activator like effector nucleases (TALENs), Base Editors (BEs), and Primer Editors (PEs) enable molecular scientists to modulate gene expressions or create novel genes with high precision and efficiency. However, all these techniques are exorbitant and tedious since their prerequisites are difficult processes that necessitate protein engineering. Contrary to first generation genome modifying methods, CRISPR/Cas9 is simple to construct, and clones can hypothetically target several locations in the genome with different guide RNAs. Following the model of the application in crop with the help of the CRISPR/Cas9 module, various customized Cas9 cassettes have been cast off to advance mark discrimination and diminish random cuts. The present study discusses the progression in genome editing apparatuses, and their applications in chickpea crop development, scientific limitations, and future perspectives for biofortifying cytokinin dehydrogenase, nitrate reductase, superoxide dismutase to induce drought resistance, heat tolerance and higher yield in chickpea to encounter global climate change, hunger and nutritional threats.}, }
@article {pmid37143891, year = {2023}, author = {Lam, S and Dodd, W and Nguyen-Viet, H and Unger, F and Le, TTH and Dang-Xuan, S and Skinner, K and Papadopoulos, A and Harper, SL}, title = {How can climate change and its interaction with other compounding risks be considered in evaluation? Experiences from Vietnam.}, journal = {Evaluation (London, England : 1995)}, volume = {29}, number = {2}, pages = {228-249}, pmid = {37143891}, issn = {1356-3890}, abstract = {While evaluations play a critical role in accounting for and learning from context, it is unclear how evaluations can take account of climate change. Our objective was to explore how climate change and its interaction with other contextual factors influenced One Health food safety programs. To do so, we integrated questions about climate change into a qualitative evaluation study of an ongoing, multi-sectoral program aiming to improve pork safety in Vietnam called SafePORK. We conducted remote interviews with program researchers (n = 7) and program participants (n = 23). Based on our analysis, researchers believed climate change had potential impacts on the program but noted evidence was lacking, while program participants (slaughterhouse workers and retailers) shared how they were experiencing and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Climate change also interacted with other contextual factors to introduce additional complexities. Our study underscored the importance of assessing climate factors in evaluation and building adaptive capacity in programming.}, }
@article {pmid37143867, year = {2023}, author = {Bago, B and Rand, DG and Pennycook, G}, title = {Reasoning about climate change.}, journal = {PNAS nexus}, volume = {2}, number = {5}, pages = {pgad100}, pmid = {37143867}, issn = {2752-6542}, abstract = {Why is disbelief in anthropogenic climate change common despite broad scientific consensus to the contrary? A widely held explanation involves politically motivated (system 2) reasoning: Rather than helping uncover the truth, people use their reasoning abilities to protect their partisan identities and reject beliefs that threaten those identities. Despite the popularity of this account, the evidence supporting it (i) does not account for the fact that partisanship is confounded with prior beliefs about the world and (ii) is entirely correlational with respect to the effect of reasoning. Here, we address these shortcomings by (i) measuring prior beliefs and (ii) experimentally manipulating participants' extent of reasoning using cognitive load and time pressure while they evaluate arguments for or against anthropogenic global warming. The results provide no support for the politically motivated system 2 reasoning account over other accounts: Engaging in more reasoning led people to have greater coherence between judgments and their prior beliefs about climate change-a process that can be consistent with rational (unbiased) Bayesian reasoning-and did not exacerbate the impact of partisanship once prior beliefs are accounted for.}, }
@article {pmid37142022, year = {2023}, author = {Queirós, V and Azeiteiro, UM and Belloso, MC and Santos, JL and Alonso, E and Soares, AMVM and Freitas, R and Piña, B and Barata, C}, title = {Effects of ifosfamide and cisplatin exposure combined with a climate change scenario on the transcriptome responses of the mussel Mytilus galloprovincialis.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163904}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163904}, pmid = {37142022}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Coastal ecosystems are currently exposed to pollutants and climate change. Namely, the increasing consumption of antineoplastics drugs and their potential release to aquatic ecosystems are raising concerns. Nevertheless, information regarding the toxicity of these drugs towards non-target species is scarce, especially considering climate change scenarios. Ifosfamide (IF) and cisplatin (CDDP) are among the antineoplastics already detected in aquatic compartments and due to their mode of action (MoA) can negatively affect aquatic organisms. This study evaluates the transcription of 16 selected target genes related to the MoA of IF and CDDP in Mytilus galloprovincialis gills exposed to environmentally relevant and toxicological meaningful concentrations (IF - 10, 100, 500 ng/L; CDDP - 10, 100, 1000 ng/L), under an actual (17 °C) and predicted warming scenario (21 °C). Results showed an upregulation of the cyp4y1 gene when exposed to the highest concentrations of IF, regardless of the temperature. Both drugs upregulated genes related to DNA damage and apoptosis (p53, caspase 8 and gadd45), especially at warmer conditions. Increased temperature also downregulated genes related to stress and immune responses (krs and mydd88). Therefore, the present results showed that antineoplastic drugs at low concentrations upregulated mussel gene signalling related to their MoA and warmer temperatures modulated those effects.}, }
@article {pmid37142821, year = {2023}, author = {Smith, AT and Kim, EJ}, title = {Potential Effects of Global Warming on Heart Failure Decompensation.}, journal = {Journal of general internal medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11606-023-08211-6}, pmid = {37142821}, issn = {1525-1497}, }
@article {pmid37142484, year = {2023}, author = {Arnot, G and Thomas, S and Pitt, H and Warner, E}, title = {"It shows we are serious": Young people in Australia discuss climate justice protests as a mechanism for climate change advocacy and action.}, journal = {Australian and New Zealand journal of public health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {100048}, doi = {10.1016/j.anzjph.2023.100048}, pmid = {37142484}, issn = {1753-6405}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This article aims to understand young Australians' perspectives of climate justice protests as a mechanism for climate change advocacy and action.<br><br>METHOD: A qualitatively led online survey was conducted with n=511 young Australians (15-24 years). Open-text questions prompted for young people's perceptions of the appeal, accessibility, and effectiveness of climate justice protests in climate change action. A reflexive thematic analysis was conducted to construct themes from the data.<br><br>RESULTS: Participants perceived that protests were an important mechanism for young people to draw attention to the need for climate action. However, they also stated that the clear messages that were sent to governments via protests did not necessarily lead to government action. Young people perceived that there were some structural issues that prevented them from taking part in these types of activities, including living far away from protests, not being accessible for young people with disabilities, and limited support from family members and/or friends to participate.<br><br>Climate justice activities engage young people and give them hope. The public health community has a role to play in supporting access to these activities and championing young people as genuine political actors in addressing the climate crisis.}, }
@article {pmid37131451, year = {2023}, author = {Awuni, S and Adarkwah, F and Ofori, BD and Purwestri, RC and Huertas Bernal, DC and Hajek, M}, title = {Managing the challenges of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies in Ghana.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {5}, pages = {e15491}, pmid = {37131451}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Ghana's economy is climate sensitive as more than 80% of its agricultural production is rainfall dependent, with only 2% of irrigation potential used. This has consequences under changing climate, with the impact projected to intensify if things go in a business-as-usual scenario. The manifestation of climate change impact is evident in other sectors of the economy, which requires proactiveness to adapt and mitigate through the development and execution of national adaptation strategies. This research reviews the impact of climate change and some interventions made toward its management. The study explored peer-reviewed journals, policy documents, and technical reports for relevant materials that chronicle programmes and measures to address the challenges of climate change. The research revealed that Ghana had experienced about 1 °C rise in temperature over the past four decades and sea level rise with socioeconomic consequences including decreased agricultural productivity and inundation of coastal communities. Policy interventions have resulted in the introduction of several mitigative and adaptation programmes, such as building resilience in various economic sectors. The study highlighted the progress and challenges to climate change implementation programmes and future policy implementation plans. Inadequate funding of programmes and projects was identified as a critical challenge to achieving climate change policy goals and objectives. We recommend more political will from the government and stakeholders towards policy implementation and greater commitment to providing adequate funding for programmes and project implementation to ensure the success of local climate action for adaptation and mitigation, as well as for sustainable development.}, }
@article {pmid37131070, year = {2023}, author = {Singh, BK and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and Egidi, E and Guirado, E and Leach, JE and Liu, H and Trivedi, P}, title = {Climate change impacts on plant pathogens, food security and paths forward.}, journal = {Nature reviews. Microbiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37131070}, issn = {1740-1534}, abstract = {Plant disease outbreaks pose significant risks to global food security and environmental sustainability worldwide, and result in the loss of primary productivity and biodiversity that negatively impact the environmental and socio-economic conditions of affected regions. Climate change further increases outbreak risks by altering pathogen evolution and host-pathogen interactions and facilitating the emergence of new pathogenic strains. Pathogen range can shift, increasing the spread of plant diseases in new areas. In this Review, we examine how plant disease pressures are likely to change under future climate scenarios and how these changes will relate to plant productivity in natural and agricultural ecosystems. We explore current and future impacts of climate change on pathogen biogeography, disease incidence and severity, and their effects on natural ecosystems, agriculture and food production. We propose that amendment of the current conceptual framework and incorporation of eco-evolutionary theories into research could improve our mechanistic understanding and prediction of pathogen spread in future climates, to mitigate the future risk of disease outbreaks. We highlight the need for a science-policy interface that works closely with relevant intergovernmental organizations to provide effective monitoring and management of plant disease under future climate scenarios, to ensure long-term food and nutrient security and sustainability of natural ecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid37129840, year = {2023}, author = {Neale, PJ and Williamson, CE and Banaszak, AT and Häder, DP and Hylander, S and Ossola, R and Rose, KC and Wängberg, S&#xc5; and Zepp, R}, title = {The response of aquatic ecosystems to the interactive effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and climate change.}, journal = {Photochemical &amp; photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37129840}, issn = {1474-9092}, abstract = {Variations in stratospheric ozone and changes in the aquatic environment by climate change and human activity are modifying the exposure of aquatic ecosystems to UV radiation. These shifts in exposure have consequences for the distributions of species, biogeochemical cycles, and services provided by aquatic ecosystems. This Quadrennial Assessment presents the latest knowledge on the multi-faceted interactions between the effects of UV irradiation and climate change, and other anthropogenic activities, and how these conditions are changing aquatic ecosystems. Climate change results in variations in the depth of mixing, the thickness of ice cover, the duration of ice-free conditions and inputs of dissolved organic matter, all of which can either increase or decrease exposure to UV radiation. Anthropogenic activities release oil, UV filters in sunscreens, and microplastics into the aquatic environment that are then modified by UV radiation, frequently amplifying adverse effects on aquatic organisms and their environments. The impacts of these changes in combination with factors such as warming and ocean acidification are considered for aquatic micro-organisms, macroalgae, plants, and animals (floating, swimming, and attached). Minimising the disruptive consequences of these effects on critical services provided by the world's rivers, lakes and oceans (freshwater supply, recreation, transport, and food security) will not only require continued adherence to the Montreal Protocol but also a wider inclusion of solar UV radiation and its effects in studies and/or models of aquatic ecosystems under conditions of the future global climate.}, }
@article {pmid37128058, year = {2020}, author = {Guo, Y}, title = {Support in the face of climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {1}, number = {12}, pages = {773}, doi = {10.1038/s43016-020-00206-4}, pmid = {37128058}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37128000, year = {2020}, author = {Rosenzweig, C and Mbow, C and Barioni, LG and Benton, TG and Herrero, M and Krishnapillai, M and Liwenga, ET and Pradhan, P and Rivera-Ferre, MG and Sapkota, T and Tubiello, FN and Xu, Y and Mencos Contreras, E and Portugal-Pereira, J}, title = {Climate change responses benefit from a global food system approach.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {1}, number = {2}, pages = {94-97}, pmid = {37128000}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37126996, year = {2023}, author = {Jannis, E and Vinnå, LR and Annette, A and Stefan, S and Schilling, OS}, title = {Climate change adaptation and mitigation measures for alluvial aquifers - Solution approaches based on the thermal exploitation of managed aquifer (MAR) and surface water recharge (MSWR).}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {238}, number = {}, pages = {119988}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.119988}, pmid = {37126996}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {As climate change adaptation strategies, both Managed Aquifer (MAR) and Surface Water Recharge (MSWR) are not only highly suitable tools to mitigate negative effects on water resources but also bear large potential for concomitant exploitation of thermal energy. They should thus form an integral part of any sustainable water resources management strategy. However, while at global scale general water resource adaptation and mitigation measures are discussed widely, measures that build on thermal exploitation of MAR and MSWR, and which are readily adaptable to various different local and regional scale conditions, have yet to be developed. Here, based on systematic numerical analyses of the sensitivity of groundwater and surface water recharge as well as water temperatures to climate change, we present adaptable implementation strategies of MAR and MSWR with concomitant exploitation of their thermal energy potential. Strategies and feasibility benchmarks for the exploitation of hydrologic and energetic potentials of MAR and MSWR were developed based on three hydrologically and hydrogeologically contrasting urban study sites near the city of Basel, Switzerland. Our studies show projected trends in the number of days when surface water temperatures exceed 25 °C examined for various streamflow and climate scenarios. We illustrate that local hydrogeologic settings and hydrological boundary conditions as well as legal aspects affect to which degree MAR and MSWR are suitable solutions as climate change adaptation measures. Optimal situations for exploiting the potential of seasonal heat storage in MAR and MSWR exist where subsurface travel times between the injection and the withdrawal or exfiltration point are between 4 and 8 months and legal limits allow a sufficiently large temperature spread. In such settings, the exploitable water flux and temperature spread of MAR and MSWR reaches a heat potential of 14 to 20 MW (i.e., corresponding to 3 to 7 wind power plants), and energetic exploitation becomes a suitable tool either for local low-temperature heat applications such as heating and hot water or for ecological use as a heat and water buffer in rivers affected by seasonal droughts. As a positive side effect, climate-induced warming of groundwater resources and temperature increases in drinking water withdrawals would be mitigated simultaneously.}, }
@article {pmid37126972, year = {2023}, author = {Martin-Kerry, JM and Graham, HM and Lampard, P}, title = {'I don't really associate climate change with actual people's health': a qualitative study in England of perceptions of climate change and its impacts on health.}, journal = {Public health}, volume = {219}, number = {}, pages = {85-90}, doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2023.03.020}, pmid = {37126972}, issn = {1476-5616}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: The health impacts of climate change are increasing, but qualitative evidence on people's perceptions is limited. This qualitative study investigated people's perceptions of climate change and its impacts on health.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: This was an online study using semistructured interviews.<br><br>METHODS: A total of 41 semistructured interviews were conducted in 2021 with members of the public aged &#x2265;15 years living in England, recruited via community-based groups. Data were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Participants were concerned about climate change, which was often perceived as extreme weather events happening elsewhere. Changes in the UK's seasons and weather patterns were noted, but participants were uncertain whether these changes resulted from climate change. Participants often struggled to identify health impacts of climate change; where health impacts were described, they tended to be linked to extreme weather events outside the United Kingdom and their associated threats to life. The mental health impacts of such events were also noted.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study found that most participants did not perceive climate change to be affecting people's health in England. This raises questions about whether framing climate change as a health issue, an approach advocated for countries less exposed to the direct effects of climate change, will increase its salience for the British public.}, }
@article {pmid37126851, year = {2023}, author = {Bayram, H and Rice, MB and Abdalati, W and Akpinar Elci, M and Mirsaeidi, M and Annesi-Maesano, I and Pinkerton, KE and Balmes, JR}, title = {Impact of Global Climate Change on Pulmonary Health: Susceptible and Vulnerable Populations.}, journal = {Annals of the American Thoracic Society}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1513/AnnalsATS.202212-996CME}, pmid = {37126851}, issn = {2325-6621}, abstract = {As fossil fuel combustion continues to power the global economy, the rate of climate change is accelerating, causing severe respiratory health impacts and large disparities in the degree of human suffering. Hotter and drier climates lead to longer and more severe wildland fire seasons, impairing air quality around the globe. Hotter temperatures lead to higher levels of ozone, and particles, causing the exacerbation of chronic respiratory diseases and premature mortality. Longer pollen seasons and higher pollen levels provoke allergic airway diseases. In arid regions, accelerated land degradation and desertification are promoting dust pollution and impairing food production and nutritional content that are essential to respiratory health. Extreme weather events and flooding impede healthcare delivery and can lead to poor indoor air quality due to mold overgrowth. Climate and human activities that harm the environment and ecosystem may also affect the emergence and spread of viral infections including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-related Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and associated morbidity and mortality exacerbated by air pollution. Children and elderly are more susceptible to the adverse health effects of climate change. Geographical and socioeconomic circumstances along with a decreased capacity to adapt, collectively enhance the vulnerability to adverse effects of climate change. Successful mitigation of anthropogenic climate change is dependent on the commitment of energy-intensive nations to manage greenhouse gas emissions, as well as, societal support and response to aggravating factors. This review focuses on the respiratory health impacts of global climate change, with an emphasis on susceptible and vulnerable populations and low- and middle- income countries.}, }
@article {pmid37126701, year = {2023}, author = {Halupka, L and Arlt, D and Tolvanen, J and Millon, A and Bize, P and Adamík, P and Albert, P and Arendt, WJ and Artemyev, AV and Baglione, V and Bańbura, J and Bańbura, M and Barba, E and Barrett, RT and Becker, PH and Belskii, E and Bolton, M and Bowers, EK and Bried, J and Brouwer, L and Bukacińska, M and Bukaciński, D and Bulluck, L and Carstens, KF and Catry, I and Charter, M and Chernomorets, A and Covas, R and Czuchra, M and Dearborn, DC and de Lope, F and Di Giacomo, AS and Dombrovski, VC and Drummond, H and Dunn, MJ and Eeva, T and Emmerson, LM and Espmark, Y and Fargallo, JA and Gashkov, SI and Golubova, EY and Griesser, M and Harris, MP and Hoover, JP and Jagiełło, Z and Karell, P and Kloskowski, J and Koenig, WD and Kolunen, H and Korczak-Abshire, M and Korpimäki, E and Krams, I and Krist, M and Krüger, SC and Kuranov, BD and Lambin, X and Lombardo, MP and Lyakhov, A and Marzal, A and Møller, AP and Neves, VC and Nielsen, JT and Numerov, A and Orłowska, B and Oro, D and Öst, M and Phillips, RA and Pietiäinen, H and Polo, V and Porkert, J and Potti, J and Pöysä, H and Printemps, T and Prop, J and Quillfeldt, P and Ramos, JA and Ravussin, PA and Rosenfield, RN and Roulin, A and Rubenstein, DR and Samusenko, IE and Saunders, DA and Schaub, M and Senar, JC and Sergio, F and Solonen, T and Solovyeva, DV and Stępniewski, J and Thompson, PM and Tobolka, M and Török, J and van de Pol, M and Vernooij, L and Visser, ME and Westneat, DF and Wheelwright, NT and Wiącek, J and Wiebe, KL and Wood, AG and Wuczyński, A and Wysocki, D and Zárybnická, M and Margalida, A and Halupka, K}, title = {The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {19}, pages = {e2208389120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2208389120}, pmid = {37126701}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.}, }
@article {pmid37126591, year = {2023}, author = {James Amos, A}, title = {Thinking clearly about climate change and mental health.}, journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10398562231172398}, doi = {10.1177/10398562231172398}, pmid = {37126591}, issn = {1440-1665}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To examine the quality and strength of evidence for an association between temperature increases caused by climate change and suicide used in policy documents to advocate for radical changes to healthcare systems in pursuit of decarbonisation.<br><br>METHOD: The designs of articles collected in a systematic review which concluded that there was an association between climate change and increased rates of suicide were analysed for their capacity to support this conclusion. Complete US data covering temperatures and suicide rates between 1968 and 2004 was aggregated and analysed using linear regression to evaluate evidence for an association between temperature and suicide.<br><br>RESULTS: None of the articles collected in the review has a design capable of investigating whether there is an association between temperature increases caused by climate change and rates of suicide. At the national level increased annual US temperatures were associated with a decrease in the rate of suicide, and at the state level it was common for high average temperature states to have low rates of suicide and vice versa.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Policy recommendations for radical changes in healthcare services have been based on misrepresented evidence. Policy makers should beware of recommendations that ignore scientific evidence to pursue faith-based goals.}, }
@article {pmid37126168, year = {2023}, author = {Fernández-González, R and Puime-Guillén, F and Moutinho, VMF and de Oliveira, HMS}, title = {Urban mobility trends and climate change: sustainability policies in the parking industry.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37126168}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The concern to create cleaner and more ecosystem-friendly production processes has extended to the parking sector in Spain. Since the creation of the multi-level institutional framework for sustainable mobility management (mainly composed of the Infrastructure, Transport and Housing Plan 2012-2024, the Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans, Law 9/2006, and Law 9/2017), environmental considerations, including sustainable management certificates, have occupied a privileged place in public procedures for the management of parking structures and regulated surface parking facilities. Although there have been previous academic studies on the design and implementation of SUMPs and the growth of the parking sector, this article is novel in that it analyzes the market concentration of the parking sector in a scenario where climate change policies are crucial and the importance of sustainability certificates takes on a new meaning. Therefore, the objective of this article is to analyze whether the growing importance of environmental aspects has led to an increase in the concentration level of the parking sector in Spain. For this purpose, several concentration and stability indices are calculated. The results show that, although there are additional factors, the certification of a cleaner activity is relevant in the process of public tenders in the sector, which has served to strengthen the dominance of the most prominent companies in the sector that are in possession of environmental certificates. This shows that environmental policies can also have negative effects on the market, so the results of this analysis are of great value to policymakers.}, }
@article {pmid37126162, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, Y and Hou, L and Shi, J and Li, Y and Wang, Y and Zheng, Y}, title = {How climate change affects electricity consumption in Chinese cities-a differential perspective based on municipal monthly panel data.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37126162}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Addressing the impacts of climate change has become a global public crisis and challenge. China is characterized by a complex and diverse topography and vast territory, which makes it worthwhile to explore the differential impacts of climate change on urban electricity consumption in different zones and economic development conditions. This study examines the differential impact of climate factors on urban electricity consumption in China based on monthly panel data for 282 prefectures from 2011 to 2019 and projects the potential demand for future urban electricity consumption under different climate change scenarios. The results show that (1) temperature changes significantly alter urban electricity consumption, with cooling degree days (CDD) and heating degree days (HDD) contributing positively to urban electricity consumption in areas with different regional and economic development statuses, with elasticity coefficients of 0.1015-0.1525 and 0.0029-0.0077, respectively. (2) The temperature-electricity relationship curve shows an irregular U-shape. Each additional day of extreme weather above 30 °C and below -12 °C increases urban electricity consumption by 0.52% and 1.52% in the north and by 2.67% and 1.32% in the south. Poor cities are significantly more sensitive to extremely low temperatures than rich cities. (3) Suppose the impacts of climate degradation on urban electricity consumption are not halted. In that case, the possible Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1-1.9 (SSP1-1.9), SSP1-2.6, and SSP2-4.5 will increase China's urban electricity consumption by 1621.96 billion kWh, 2960.87 billion kWh, and 6145.65 billion kWh, respectively, by 2090. Finally, this study makes some policy recommendations and expectations for follow-up studies.}, }
@article {pmid37125022, year = {2023}, author = {Hartinger, SM and Yglesias-González, M and Blanco-Villafuerte, L and Palmeiro-Silva, YK and Lescano, AG and Stewart-Ibarra, A and Rojas-Rueda, D and Melo, O and Takahashi, B and Buss, D and Callaghan, M and Chesini, F and Flores, EC and Gil Posse, C and Gouveia, N and Jankin, S and Miranda-Chacon, Z and Mohajeri, N and Helo, J and Ortiz, L and Pantoja, C and Salas, MF and Santiago, R and Sergeeva, M and Souza de Camargo, T and Valdés-Velásquez, A and Walawender, M and Romanello, M}, title = {The 2022 South America report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: trust the science. Now that we know, we must act.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {20}, number = {}, pages = {100470}, pmid = {37125022}, issn = {2667-193X}, }
@article {pmid37121941, year = {2023}, author = {Law, AJ and Martinez-Botas, R and Blythe, P}, title = {Current vehicle emission standards will not mitigate climate change or improve air quality.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {7060}, pmid = {37121941}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The vehicle emissions testing programme was conducted by the UK Department of Transport in 2016 in response to emissions tampering exposed in the Volkswagen (VW) emissions scandal. The programme identified large emissions discrepancies between real-world and in-lab testing across a range of Euro 5 and Euro 6 diesel passenger vehicles. The large vehicle test fleet reflects the current challenges faced in controlling vehicle emissions. This paper presents the following findings: NOx emissions are altered due to exhaust gas recirculation mismanagement. A new Real-Life Emissions methodology is introduced to improve upon the current Real Driving Emissions standard. A large and concerning emissions divergence was discovered between the achieved NOx improvement and deterioration of CO2. The findings act as catalysts to improve vehicle emissions testing beyond standards established since the VW scandal, aiding in the development of better climate change mitigation strategies and bring tangible air quality improvements to the environment.}, }
@article {pmid37118599, year = {2022}, author = {Malik, A and Li, M and Lenzen, M and Fry, J and Liyanapathirana, N and Beyer, K and Boylan, S and Lee, A and Raubenheimer, D and Geschke, A and Prokopenko, M}, title = {Impacts of climate change and extreme weather on food supply chains cascade across sectors and regions in Australia.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {8}, pages = {631-643}, pmid = {37118599}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Disasters resulting from climate change and extreme weather events adversely impact crop and livestock production. While the direct impacts of these events on productivity are generally well known, the indirect supply-chain repercussions (spillovers) are still unclear. Here, applying an integrated modelling framework that considers economic and physical factors, we estimate spillovers in terms of social impacts (for example, loss of job and income) and health impacts (for example, nutrient availability and diet quality) resulting from disruptions in food supply chains, which cascade across regions and sectors. Our results demonstrate that post-disaster impacts are wide-ranging and diverse owing to the interconnected nature of supply chains. We find that fruit, vegetable and livestock sectors are the most affected, with effects flowing on to other non-food production sectors such as transport services. The ability to cope with disasters is determined by socio-demographic characteristics, with communities in rural areas being most affected.}, }
@article {pmid37118271, year = {2023}, author = {Pradhan, P}, title = {Saving food mitigates climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {211-212}, pmid = {37118271}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37118266, year = {2023}, author = {Jalil, AJ and Tasoff, J and Bustamante, AV}, title = {Low-cost climate-change informational intervention reduces meat consumption among students for 3 years.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {218-222}, pmid = {37118266}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Evidence on the impact of information campaigns on meat consumption patterns is limited. Here, using a dataset of more than 100,000 meal selections over 3 years, we examine the long-term effects of an informational intervention designed to increase awareness about the role of meat consumption in climate change. Students randomized to the treatment group reduced their meat consumption by 5.6 percentage points with no signs of reversal over 3 years. Calculations indicate a high return on investment even under conservative assumptions (~US$14 per metric ton CO2eq). Our findings show that informational interventions can be cost effective and generate long-lasting shifts towards more sustainable food options.}, }
@article {pmid37118203, year = {2022}, author = {Fujimori, S and Wu, W and Doelman, J and Frank, S and Hristov, J and Kyle, P and Sands, R and van Zeist, WJ and Havlik, P and Domínguez, IP and Sahoo, A and Stehfest, E and Tabeau, A and Valin, H and van Meijl, H and Hasegawa, T and Takahashi, K}, title = {Publisher Correction: Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {294}, doi = {10.1038/s43016-022-00495-x}, pmid = {37118203}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37118201, year = {2022}, author = {Gil, J}, title = {Climate change and West African yields.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {243}, doi = {10.1038/s43016-022-00507-w}, pmid = {37118201}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37118200, year = {2022}, author = {Mazac, R and Meinilä, J and Korkalo, L and Järviö, N and Jalava, M and Tuomisto, HL}, title = {Incorporation of novel foods in European diets can reduce global warming potential, water use and land use by over 80.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {286-293}, pmid = {37118200}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Global food systems face the challenge of providing healthy and adequate nutrition through sustainable means, which is exacerbated by climate change and increasing protein demand by the world's growing population. Recent advances in novel food production technologies demonstrate potential solutions for improving the sustainability of food systems. Yet, diet-level comparisons are lacking and are needed to fully understand the environmental impacts of incorporating novel foods in diets. Here we estimate the possible reductions in global warming potential, water use and land use by replacing animal-source foods with novel or plant-based foods in European diets. Using a linear programming model, we optimized omnivore, vegan and novel food diets for minimum environmental impacts with nutrition and feasible consumption constraints. Replacing animal-source foods in current diets with novel foods reduced all environmental impacts by over 80% and still met nutrition and feasible consumption constraints.}, }
@article {pmid37118190, year = {2022}, author = {Guilpart, N and Iizumi, T and Makowski, D}, title = {Data-driven projections suggest large opportunities to improve Europe's soybean self-sufficiency under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {255-265}, pmid = {37118190}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {The rapid expansion of soybean-growing areas across Europe raises questions about the suitability of agroclimatic conditions for soybean production. Here, using data-driven relationships between climate and soybean yield derived from machine-learning, we made yield projections under current and future climate with moderate (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5) to intense (RCP 8.5) warming, up to the 2050s and 2090s time horizons. The selected model showed high R[2] (>0.9) and low root-mean-squared error (0.35 t ha[-1]) between observed and predicted yields based on cross-validation. Our results suggest that a self-sufficiency level of 50% (100%) would be achievable in Europe under historical and future climate if 4-5% (9-11%) of the current European cropland were dedicated to soybean production. The findings could help farmers, extension services, policymakers and agribusiness to reorganize the production area distribution. The environmental benefits and side effects, and the impacts of soybean expansion on land-use change, would need further research.}, }
@article {pmid37118036, year = {2022}, author = {Eyshi Rezaei, E and Webber, H}, title = {Processing tomatoes under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {6}, pages = {404-405}, pmid = {37118036}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37117948, year = {2022}, author = {Shi, Y and Zhang, Y and Wu, B and Wang, B and Li, L and Shi, H and Jin, N and Liu, L and Miao, R and Lu, X and Geng, Q and Lu, C and He, L and Fang, N and Yue, C and He, J and Feng, H and Pan, S and Tian, H and Yu, Q}, title = {Building social resilience in North Korea can mitigate the impacts of climate change on food security.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {7}, pages = {499-511}, pmid = {37117948}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Adaptation based on social resilience is proposed as an effective measure to mitigate hunger and avoid food shocks caused by climate change. But these have not been investigated comprehensively in climate-sensitive regions. North Korea (NK) and its neighbours, South Korea and China, represent three economic levels that provide us with examples for examining climatic risk and quantifying the contribution of social resilience to rice production. Here our data-driven estimates show that climatic factors determined rice biomass changes in NK from 2000 to 2017, and climate extremes triggered reductions in production in 2000 and 2007. If no action is taken, NK will face a higher climatic risk (with continuous high-temperature heatwaves and precipitation extremes) by the 2080s under a high-emissions scenario, when rice biomass and production are expected to decrease by 20.2% and 14.4%, respectively, thereby potentially increasing hunger in NK. Social resilience (agricultural inputs and population development for South Korea; resource use for China) mitigated climate shocks in the past 20 years (2000-2019), even transforming adverse effects into benefits. However, this effect was not significant in NK. Moreover, the contribution of social resilience to food production in the undeveloped region (15.2%) was far below the contribution observed in the developed and developing regions (83.0% and 86.1%, respectively). These findings highlight the importance of social resilience to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on food security and human hunger and provide necessary quantitative information.}, }
@article {pmid37117886, year = {2022}, author = {Kath, J and Craparo, A and Fong, Y and Byrareddy, V and Davis, AP and King, R and Nguyen-Huy, T and van Asten, PJA and Marcussen, T and Mushtaq, S and Stone, R and Power, S}, title = {Vapour pressure deficit determines critical thresholds for global coffee production under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {10}, pages = {871-880}, pmid = {37117886}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Our understanding of the impact of climate change on global coffee production is largely based on studies focusing on temperature and precipitation, but other climate indicators could trigger critical threshold changes in productivity. Here, using generalized additive models and threshold regression, we investigate temperature, precipitation, soil moisture and vapour pressure deficit (VPD) effects on global Arabica coffee productivity. We show that VPD during fruit development is a key indicator of global coffee productivity, with yield declining rapidly above 0.82 kPa. The risk of exceeding this threshold rises sharply for most countries we assess, if global warming exceeds 2 °C. At 2.9 °C, countries making up 90% of global supply are more likely than not to exceed the VPD threshold. The inclusion of VPD and the identification of thresholds appear critical for understanding climate change impacts on coffee and for the design of adaptation strategies.}, }
@article {pmid37117860, year = {2023}, author = {Perino, G and Schwickert, H}, title = {Animal welfare is a stronger determinant of public support for meat taxation than climate change mitigation in Germany.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {2}, pages = {160-169}, pmid = {37117860}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {A tax on meat could help address the climate impact and animal welfare issues associated with the production of meat. Through a referendum choice experiment with more than 2,800 German citizens, we elicited support for a tax on meat by varying the following tax attributes: level and differentiation thereof, justification and salience of behavioural effects. Only at the lowest tax level tested do all tax variants receive support from most voters. Support is generally stronger if the tax is justified by animal welfare rather than climate change mitigation. Differentiated taxes that link the tax rate to the harmfulness of the product do not receive higher support than a uniform tax; this indifference is not driven by a failure to anticipate the differential impacts on consumption. While the introduction of meat taxation remains politically challenging, our results underscore the need for policymakers to clearly communicate underlying reasons for the tax and its intended behavioural effect.}, }
@article {pmid37117849, year = {2023}, author = {Willer, DF and Aldridge, DC and Gough, C and Kincaid, K}, title = {Small-scale octopus fishery operations enable environmentally and socioeconomically sustainable sourcing of nutrients under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {2}, pages = {179-189}, pmid = {37117849}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Small-scale octopus fisheries represent an underexplored source of nutrients and socioeconomic benefits for populations in the tropics. Here we analyse data from global seafood databases and published literature, finding that tropical small-scale octopus fisheries produced 88,000 t of catch and processed octopus in 2017, with a landed value of US$ 2.3 billion, contributing towards copper, iron and selenium intakes, with over twice the vitamin B12 content of finfish. Catch methods, primarily consisting of small-scale lines and small-scale pots and traps, produced minimal bycatch, and the fast growth and adaptability of octopus may facilitate environmentally sustainable production under climatic change. Management approaches including periodic fishery closures, size restrictions, licences and knowledge transfer of fishing gears can enable greater blue food supply and economic value to be generated while improving environmental sustainability.}, }
@article {pmid37117574, year = {2022}, author = {Chand, A}, title = {Mariculture boosts supply under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {5}, pages = {304}, doi = {10.1038/s43016-022-00525-8}, pmid = {37117574}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37117553, year = {2023}, author = {Gil, J}, title = {Forgotten crops confer resilience under climate change.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {4}, pages = {275}, doi = {10.1038/s43016-023-00754-5}, pmid = {37117553}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37117545, year = {2023}, author = {Ren, C and Zhang, X and Reis, S and Wang, S and Jin, J and Xu, J and Gu, B}, title = {Climate change unequally affects nitrogen use and losses in global croplands.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {4}, number = {4}, pages = {294-304}, pmid = {37117545}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Maintaining food production while reducing agricultural nitrogen pollution is a grand challenge under global climate change. Yet, the response of global agricultural nitrogen uses and losses to climate change on the temporal and spatial scales has not been fully characterized. Here, using historical data for 1961-2018 from over 150 countries, we show that global warming leads to small temporal but substantial spatial impacts on cropland nitrogen use and losses. Yield and nitrogen use efficiency increase in 29% and 56% of countries, respectively, whereas they reduce in the remaining countries compared with the situation without global warming in 2018. Precipitation and farm size changes would further intensify the spatial variations of nitrogen use and losses globally, but managing farm size could increase the global cropland nitrogen use efficiency to over 70% by 2100. Our results reveal the importance of reducing global inequalities of agricultural nitrogen use and losses to sustain global agriculture production and reduce agricultural pollution.}, }
@article {pmid37117964, year = {2022}, author = {Fujimori, S and Wu, W and Doelman, J and Frank, S and Hristov, J and Kyle, P and Sands, R and van Zeist, WJ and Havlik, P and Domínguez, IP and Sahoo, A and Stehfest, E and Tabeau, A and Valin, H and van Meijl, H and Hasegawa, T and Takahashi, K}, title = {Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {2}, pages = {110-121}, pmid = {37117964}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Earlier studies have noted potential adverse impacts of land-related emissions mitigation strategies on food security, particularly due to food price increases-but without distinguishing these strategies' individual effects under different conditions. Using six global agroeconomic models, we show the extent to which three factors-non-CO2 emissions reduction, bioenergy production and afforestation-may change food security and agricultural market conditions under 2 °C climate-stabilization scenarios. Results show that afforestation (often simulated in the models by imposing carbon prices on land carbon stocks) could have a large impact on food security relative to non-CO2 emissions policies (generally implemented as emissions taxes). Respectively, these measures put an additional 41.9 million and 26.7 million people at risk of hunger in 2050 compared with the current trend scenario baseline. This highlights the need for better coordination in emissions reduction and agricultural market management policies as well as better representation of land use and associated greenhouse gas emissions in modelling.}, }
@article {pmid37118480, year = {2022}, author = {Bebber, DP}, title = {Global warming and China's crop pests.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {6-7}, pmid = {37118480}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37117502, year = {2021}, author = {Harrison, MT}, title = {Climate change benefits negated by extreme heat.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {2}, number = {11}, pages = {855-856}, pmid = {37117502}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37117731, year = {2021}, author = {Fan, Y and Tjiputra, J and Muri, H and Lombardozzi, D and Park, CE and Wu, S and Keith, D}, title = {Solar geoengineering can alleviate climate change pressures on crop yields.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {2}, number = {5}, pages = {373-381}, pmid = {37117731}, issn = {2662-1355}, abstract = {Solar geoengineering (SG) and CO2 emissions reduction can each alleviate anthropogenic climate change, but their impacts on food security are not yet fully understood. Using an advanced crop model within an Earth system model, we analysed the yield responses of six major crops to three SG technologies (SGs) and emissions reduction when they provide roughly the same reduction in radiative forcing and assume the same land use. We found sharply distinct yield responses to changes in radiation, moisture and CO2, but comparable significant cooling benefits for crop yields by all four methods. Overall, global yields increase ~10% under the three SGs and decrease 5% under emissions reduction, the latter primarily due to reduced CO2 fertilization, relative to business as usual by the late twenty-first century. Relative humidity dominates the hydrological effect on yields of rainfed crops, with little contribution from precipitation. The net insolation effect is negligible across all SGs, contrary to previous findings.}, }
@article {pmid37117660, year = {2021}, author = {Tesfaye, K}, title = {Climate change in the hottest wheat regions.}, journal = {Nature food}, volume = {2}, number = {1}, pages = {8-9}, pmid = {37117660}, issn = {2662-1355}, }
@article {pmid37115466, year = {2023}, author = {Lykins, AD and Parsons, M and Craig, BM and Cosh, SM and Hine, DW and Murray, C}, title = {Australian Youth Mental Health and Climate Change Concern After the Black Summer Bushfires.}, journal = {EcoHealth}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37115466}, issn = {1612-9210}, abstract = {Climate change and its effects present notable challenges for mental health, particularly for vulnerable populations, including young people. Immediately following the unprecedented Black Summer bushfire season of 2019/2020, 746 Australians (aged 16-25 years) completed measures of mental health and perceptions of climate change. Results indicated greater presentations of depression, anxiety, stress, adjustment disorder symptoms, substance abuse, and climate change distress and concern, as well as lower psychological resilience and perceived distance to climate change, in participants with direct exposure to these bushfires. Findings highlight significant vulnerabilities of concern for youth mental health as climate change advances.}, }
@article {pmid37115430, year = {2023}, author = {Bhat, IA and Fayaz, M and Roof-Ul-Qadir,  and Rafiq, S and Guleria, K and Qadir, J and Wani, TA and Kaloo, ZA}, title = {Predicting potential distribution and range dynamics of Aquilegia fragrans under climate change: insights from ensemble species distribution modelling.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {5}, pages = {623}, pmid = {37115430}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Climate change is one of the primary causes of species redistribution and biodiversity loss, especially for threatened and endemic important plant species. Therefore, it is vital to comprehend "how" and "where" priority medicinal and aromatic plants (MAPs) might be effectively used to address conservation-related issues under rapid climate change. In the present study, an ensemble modelling approach was used to investigate the present and future distribution patterns of Aquilegia fragrans Benth. under climate change in the entire spectrum of Himalayan biodiversity hotspot. The results of the current study revealed that, under current climatic conditions, the northwest states of India (Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and the northern part of Uttarakhand), the eastern and southern parts of Pakistan Himalaya have highly suitable climatic conditions for the growth of A. fragrans. The ensemble model exhibited high forecast accuracy, with temperature seasonality and precipitation seasonality as the main climatic variables responsible for the distribution of the A. fragrans in the biodiversity hotspot. Furthermore, the study predicted that future climate change scenarios will diminish habitat suitability for the species by -46.9% under RCP4.5 2050 and -55.0% under RCP4.5 2070. Likewise, under RCP8.5, the habitat suitability will decrease by -51.7% in 2050 and -94.3% in 2070. The current study also revealed that the western Himalayan area will show the most habitat loss. Some currently unsuitable regions, such as the northern Himalayan regions of Pakistan, will become more suitable under climate change scenarios. Hopefully, the current approach may provide a robust technique and showcases a model with learnings for predicting cultivation hotspots and developing scientifically sound conservation plans for this endangered medicinal plant in the Himalayan biodiversity hotspot.}, }
@article {pmid37115236, year = {2023}, author = {Koné, S and Galiegue, X}, title = {Potential Development of Biochar in Africa as an Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change Impact on Agriculture.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37115236}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {One of the most important obstacles to increasing agricultural production yields worldwide, especially in developing economies such as those in Africa is the continued degradation of soils due to climate change. In response to this threat, one of the strategies advocated is biochar technology, which is one of the emerging sustainable and climate-friendly soil amendments. This article reviews a brief description of biochar, the advantages and disadvantages of its use, and the prospects for developing its potential impact on agricultural productivity in African countries with a case study in Burkina Faso. Biochar is mainly useful for soil carbon sequestration, increasing and maintaining soil fertility, environmental management, and as a renewable energy source. However, it can have secondary effects including negative impacts on human health, pollution, and water quality. Furthermore, the positive results of biochar use in Africa suggest a prospect for ensuring the feasibility of biochar technology in policy decisions as a sustainable alternative to agricultural land management in the combat against climate change. As recommendations, a combination of improved seed varieties, and SWC (Soil and Water Conservation) techniques with the application of Biochar will be a perfect innovation for an intelligent adaptation practice to the destructive action of climate change in agriculture.}, }
@article {pmid37113982, year = {2023}, author = {He, L and Rosa, L}, title = {Solutions to agricultural green water scarcity under climate change.}, journal = {PNAS nexus}, volume = {2}, number = {4}, pages = {pgad117}, pmid = {37113982}, issn = {2752-6542}, abstract = {Rain-fed agricultural systems, which solely depend on green water (i.e. soil moisture from rainfall), sustain ∼60% of global food production and are particularly vulnerable to vagaries in temperature and precipitation patterns, which are intensifying due to climate change. Here, using projections of crop water demand and green water availability under warming scenarios, we assess global agricultural green water scarcity-defined when the rainfall regime is unable to meet crop water requirements. With present-day climate conditions, food production for 890 million people is lost because of green water scarcity. Under 1.5°C and 3°C warming-the global warming projected from the current climate targets and business as usual policies-green water scarcity will affect global crop production for 1.23 and 1.45 billion people, respectively. If adaptation strategies were to be adopted to retain more green water in the soil and reduce evaporation, we find that food production loss from green water scarcity would decrease to 780 million people. Our results show that appropriate green water management strategies have the potential to adapt agriculture to green water scarcity and promote global food security.}, }
@article {pmid37112872, year = {2023}, author = {Navarro Mamani, DA and Ramos Huere, H and Vera Buendia, R and Rojas, M and Chunga, WA and Valdez Gutierrez, E and Vergara Abarca, W and Rivera Gerónimo, H and Altamiranda-Saavedra, M}, title = {Would Climate Change Influence the Potential Distribution and Ecological Niche of Bluetongue Virus and Its Main Vector in Peru?.}, journal = {Viruses}, volume = {15}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/v15040892}, pmid = {37112872}, issn = {1999-4915}, abstract = {Bluetongue virus (BTV) is an arbovirus that is transmitted between domestic and wild ruminants by Culicoides spp. Its worldwide distribution depends on competent vectors and suitable environmental ecosystems that are becoming affected by climate change. Therefore, we evaluated whether climate change would influence the potential distribution and ecological niche of BTV and Culicoides insignis in Peru. Here, we analyzed BTV (n = 145) and C. insignis (n = 22) occurrence records under two shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585) with five primary general circulation models (GCMs) using the kuenm R package v.1.1.9. Then, we obtained binary presence-absence maps and represented the risk of transmission of BTV and niche overlapping. The niche model approach showed that north and east Peru presented suitability in the current climate scenario and they would have a decreased risk of BTV, whilst its vector would be stable and expand with high agreement for the five GCMs. In addition, its niche overlap showed that the two niches almost overlap at present and would completely overlap with one another in future climate scenarios. These findings might be used to determine the areas of highest priority for entomological and virological investigations and surveillance in order to control and prevent bluetongue infections in Peru.}, }
@article {pmid37110498, year = {2023}, author = {Gundogdu, K and Orus Iturriza, A and Orruño, M and Montánchez, I and Eguiraun, H and Martinez, I and Arana, I and Kaberdin, VR}, title = {Addressing the Joint Impact of Temperature and pH on Vibrio harveyi Adaptation in the Time of Climate Change.}, journal = {Microorganisms}, volume = {11}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/microorganisms11041075}, pmid = {37110498}, issn = {2076-2607}, abstract = {Global warming and acidification of the global ocean are two important manifestations of the ongoing climate change. To characterize their joint impact on Vibrio adaptation and fitness, we analyzed the temperature-dependent adaptation of Vibrio harveyi at different pHs (7.0, 7.5, 8.0, 8.3 and 8.5) that mimic the pH of the world ocean in the past, present and future. Comparison of V. harveyi growth at 20, 25 and 30 °C show that higher temperature per se facilitates the logarithmic growth of V. harveyi in nutrient-rich environments in a pH-dependent manner. Further survival tests carried out in artificial seawater for 35 days revealed that cell culturability declined significantly upon incubation at 25 °C and 30 °C but not at 20 °C. Moreover, although acidification displayed a negative impact on cell culturability at 25 °C, it appeared to play a minor role at 30 °C, suggesting that elevated temperature, rather than pH, was the key player in the observed reduction of cell culturability. In addition, analyses of the stressed cell morphology and size distribution by epifluorescent microscopy indicates that V. harveyi likely exploits different adaptation strategies (e.g., acquisition of coccoid-like morphology) whose roles might differ depending on the temperature-pH combination.}, }
@article {pmid37110472, year = {2023}, author = {Combe, M and Reverter, M and Caruso, D and Pepey, E and Gozlan, RE}, title = {Impact of Global Warming on the Severity of Viral Diseases: A Potentially Alarming Threat to Sustainable Aquaculture Worldwide.}, journal = {Microorganisms}, volume = {11}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/microorganisms11041049}, pmid = {37110472}, issn = {2076-2607}, abstract = {With an ever-increasing human population, food security remains a central issue for the coming years. The magnitude of the environmental impacts of food production has motivated the assessment of the environmental and health benefits of shifting diets, from meat to fish and seafood. One of the main concerns for the sustainable development of aquaculture is the emergence and spread of infectious animal diseases in a warming climate. We conducted a meta-analysis to investigate the influence of global warming on mortality due to viral infections in farmed aquatic animals. We found a positive trend between increasing temperature and increasing viral virulence, with an increase in water temperature of 1 °C resulting in an increase in mortality of 1.47-8.33% in OsHV-1 infected oysters, 2.55-6.98% in carps infected with CyHV-3 and 2.18-5.37% in fishes infected with NVVs. We suggest that global warming is going to pose a risk of viral disease outbreaks in aquaculture and could compromise global food security.}, }
@article {pmid37110364, year = {2023}, author = {Paterson, RRM}, title = {Special Issue: Coffee, Fungi, Mycotoxins, and Climate Change.}, journal = {Microorganisms}, volume = {11}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/microorganisms11040941}, pmid = {37110364}, issn = {2076-2607}, abstract = {Coffee is very lucrative and enjoyed by many [...].}, }
@article {pmid37107845, year = {2023}, author = {Woodland, L and Ratwatte, P and Phalkey, R and Gillingham, EL}, title = {Investigating the Health Impacts of Climate Change among People with Pre-Existing Mental Health Problems: A Scoping Review.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {8}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20085563}, pmid = {37107845}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate change is the greatest threat to global public health, although the impacts on mental health are relatively understudied. Furthermore, there is a lack of consensus about the effects of climate change on individuals with pre-existing mental health problems. This review aimed to identify the health impacts of climate change on people with pre-existing mental health problems. The search was conducted across three databases; studies were included if they involved participants who had mental health problem(s) before a climate-driven event and reported on health outcomes post-event. A total of thirty-one studies met the full inclusion criteria. The study characteristics included 6 climate-driven events: heat events, floods, wildfires, wildfire and flood, hurricanes, and droughts, and 16 categories of pre-existing mental health problems, with depression, and non-specified mental health problems being the most common. The majority of the studies (90%, n = 28) suggest an association between the presence of pre-existing mental health problems and the likelihood of adverse health impacts (e.g., increased mortality risk, new symptom presentation, and an exacerbation of symptoms). To mitigate the exacerbation of health inequalities, people with pre-existing mental health problems should be included in adaption guidance and/or plans that mitigate the health impacts of climate change, future policy, reports, and frameworks.}, }
@article {pmid37106814, year = {2023}, author = {Harvey, JA and Dong, Y}, title = {Climate Change, Extreme Temperatures and Sex-Related Responses in Spiders.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12040615}, pmid = {37106814}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {Climatic extremes, such as heat waves, are increasing in frequency, intensity and duration under anthropogenic climate change. These extreme events pose a great threat to many organisms, and especially ectotherms, which are susceptible to high temperatures. In nature, many ectotherms, such as insects, may seek cooler microclimates and 'ride out´ extreme temperatures, especially when these are transient and unpredictable. However, some ectotherms, such as web-building spiders, may be more prone to heat-related mortality than more motile organisms. Adult females in many spider families are sedentary and build webs in micro-habitats where they spend their entire lives. Under extreme heat, they may be limited in their ability to move vertically or horizontally to find cooler microhabitats. Males, on the other hand, are often nomadic, have broader spatial distributions, and thus might be better able to escape exposure to heat. However, life-history traits in spiders such as the relative body size of males and females and spatial ecology also vary across different taxonomic groups based on their phylogeny. This may make different species or families more or less susceptible to heat waves and exposure to very high temperatures. Selection to extreme temperatures may drive adaptive responses in female physiology, morphology or web site selection in species that build small or exposed webs. Male spiders may be better able to avoid heat-related stress than females by seeking refuge under objects such as bark or rocks with cooler microclimates. Here, we discuss these aspects in detail and propose research focusing on male and female spider behavior and reproduction across different taxa exposed to temperature extremes.}, }
@article {pmid37106810, year = {2023}, author = {Haq, SM and Waheed, M and Ahmad, R and Bussmann, RW and Arshad, F and Khan, AM and Casini, R and Alataway, A and Dewidar, AZ and Elansary, HO}, title = {Climate Change and Human Activities, the Significant Dynamic Drivers of Himalayan Goral Distribution (Naemorhedus goral).}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12040610}, pmid = {37106810}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The distribution of large ungulates is more often negatively impacted by the changing climate, especially global warming and species with limited distributional zones. While developing conservation action plans for the threatened species such as the Himalayan goral (Naemorhedus goral Hardwicke 1825; a mountain goat that mostly inhabits rocky cliffs), it is imperative to comprehend how future distributions might vary based on predicted climate change. In this work, MaxEnt modeling was employed to assess the habitat suitability of the target species under varying climate scenarios. Such studies have provided highly useful information but to date no such research work has been conducted that considers this endemic animal species of the Himalayas. A total of 81 species presence points, 19 bioclimatic and 3 topographic variables were employed in the species distribution modeling (SDM), and MaxEnt calibration and optimization were performed to select the best candidate model. For predicted climate scenarios, the future data is drawn from SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 of the 2050s and 2070s. Out of total 20 variables, annual precipitation, elevation, precipitation of driest month, slope aspect, minimum temperature of coldest month, slope, precipitation of warmest quarter, and temperature annual range (in order) were detected as the most influential drivers. A high accuracy value (AUC-ROC > 0.9) was observed for all the predicted scenarios. The habitat suitability of the targeted species might expand (about 3.7 to 13%) under all the future climate change scenarios. The same is evident according to local residents as species which are locally considered extinct in most of the area, might be shifting northwards along the elevation gradient away from human settlements. This study recommends additional research is conducted to prevent potential population collapses, and to identify other possible causes of local extinction events. Our findings will aid in formulating conservation plans for the Himalayan goral in a changing climate and serve as a basis for future monitoring of the species.}, }
@article {pmid37106760, year = {2023}, author = {Chen, W and Miao, K and Guo, K and Qian, W and Sun, W and Wang, H and Chang, Q and Hu, C}, title = {Potential Geographic Range of the Endangered Reed Parrotbill Paradoxornis heudei under Climate Change.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12040560}, pmid = {37106760}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The phenomenon of global climate change can impact the geographic range and biodiversity, thereby heightening the vulnerability of rare species to extinction. The reed parrotbill (Paradoxornis heudei David, 1872) is endemic to central and eastern China, it is mainly distributed in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Plain and the Northeast Plain. In this study, eight of ten algorithms of the species distribution model (SDM) were used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of P. heudei under current and future climate scenarios and to analyze the possible related climate factors. After checking the collected data, 97 occurrence records of P. heudei were used. The relative contribution rate shows that among the selected climatic variables, temperature annual range (bio7), annual precipitation (bio12), and isothermality (bio3) were the principal climatic factors to limit the habitat suitability of P. heudei. The suitable habitat for P. heudei is primarily concentrated in the central-eastern and northeast plains of China, particularly in the eastern coastal region, spanning a mere area of 57,841 km[2]. The habitat suitability of P. heudei under different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios was predicted to be different under future climatic conditions, but all of them had a larger range than the current one. The species distribution range could expand by more than 100% on average compared with the current range under the four scenarios in 2050, while it could contract by approximately 30% on average relative to the 2050 range in 2070 under different climate change scenarios. In the future, northeastern China may serve as a potential suitable habitat for P. heudei. The changes in the spatial and temporal distributions of P. heudei's range are of utmost importance in identifying high-priority conservation regions and devising effective management strategies for its preservation.}, }
@article {pmid37106744, year = {2023}, author = {Salinas-Ramos, VB and Tomassini, A and Ferrari, F and Boga, R and Russo, D}, title = {Admittance to Wildlife Rehabilitation Centres Points to Adverse Effects of Climate Change on Insectivorous Bats.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12040543}, pmid = {37106744}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {Climate change is exerting a broad range of (mostly adverse) effects on biodiversity, and more are expected under future scenarios. Impacts on species that deliver key ecosystem services, such as bats, are especially concerning, so their better understanding is key to preventing or mitigating them. Due to their physiological requirements, bats are especially sensitive to environmental temperatures and water availability, and heatwave-related mortality has been reported for flying foxes and, more anecdotally, other bat species. For temperate regions, to date, no study has highlighted an association between temperature extremes and bat mortality, mostly due to the difficulty of relying on data series covering long timespans. Heatwaves may affect bats, causing thermal shock and acute dehydration so bats can fall from the roost and, in some cases, are rescued by the public and brought to wildlife rehabilitation centres (WRCs). In our work, we considered a dataset spanning over 20 years of bat admittance to Italian WRCs, covering 5842 bats, and hypothesised that in summer, the number of admitted bats will increase in hotter weeks and young bats will be more exposed to heat stress than adults. We confirmed our first hypothesis for both the overall sample and three out of five synurbic species for which data were available, whereas hot weeks affected both young and adults, pointing to an especially concerning effect on bat survival and reproduction. Although our study is correlative, the existence of a causative relationship between high temperatures and grounded bats is still the best explanation for the recorded patterns. We urge such a relationship to be explored via extensive monitoring of urban bat roosts to inform appropriate management of bat communities in such environments and preserve the precious ecosystem services such mammals provide, especially insectivory services.}, }
@article {pmid37105203, year = {2023}, author = {Gordon-Strachan, G and Shiu, RN and Smith, J and Harrison, A and Walker, S}, title = {Climate change in small island developing states: caring for youth's mental health.}, journal = {The Lancet. Child &amp; adolescent health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S2352-4642(23)00081-0}, pmid = {37105203}, issn = {2352-4650}, }
@article {pmid37106156, year = {2023}, author = {Germain, RR and Feng, S and Chen, G and Graves, GR and Tobias, JA and Rahbek, C and Lei, F and Fjeldså, J and Hosner, PA and Gilbert, MTP and Zhang, G and Nogués-Bravo, D}, title = {Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change.}, journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37106156}, issn = {2397-334X}, abstract = {Anticipating species' responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (Ne) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.}, }
@article {pmid37105978, year = {2023}, author = {Raff, JL and Goodbred, SL and Pickering, JL and Sincavage, RS and Ayers, JC and Hossain, MS and Wilson, CA and Paola, C and Steckler, MS and Mondal, DR and Grimaud, JL and Grall, CJ and Rogers, KG and Ahmed, KM and Akhter, SH and Carlson, BN and Chamberlain, EL and Dejter, M and Gilligan, JM and Hale, RP and Khan, MR and Muktadir, MG and Rahman, MM and Williams, LA}, title = {Sediment delivery to sustain the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta under climate change and anthropogenic impacts.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {2429}, pmid = {37105978}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {The principal nature-based solution for offsetting relative sea-level rise in the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta is the unabated delivery, dispersal, and deposition of the rivers' ~1 billion-tonne annual sediment load. Recent hydrological transport modeling suggests that strengthening monsoon precipitation in the 21st century could increase this sediment delivery 34-60%; yet other studies demonstrate that sediment could decline 15-80% if planned dams and river diversions are fully implemented. We validate these modeled ranges by developing a comprehensive field-based sediment budget that quantifies the supply of Ganges-Brahmaputra river sediment under varying Holocene climate conditions. Our data reveal natural responses in sediment supply comparable to previously modeled results and suggest that increased sediment delivery may be capable of offsetting accelerated sea-level rise. This prospect for a naturally sustained Ganges-Brahmaputra delta presents possibilities beyond the dystopian future often posed for this system, but the implementation of currently proposed dams and diversions would preclude such opportunities.}, }
@article {pmid37105834, year = {2023}, author = {Sampath, V and Aguilera, J and Prunicki, M and Nadeau, KC}, title = {Mechanisms of climate change and related air pollution on the immune system leading to allergic disease and asthma.}, journal = {Seminars in immunology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101765}, doi = {10.1016/j.smim.2023.101765}, pmid = {37105834}, issn = {1096-3618}, abstract = {Climate change is considered the greatest threat to global health. Greenhouse gases as well as global surface temperatures have increased causing more frequent and intense heat and cold waves, wildfires, floods, drought, altered rainfall patterns, hurricanes, thunderstorms, air pollution, and windstorms. These extreme weather events have direct and indirect effects on the immune system, leading to allergic disease due to exposure to pollen, molds, and other environmental pollutants. In this review, we will focus on immune mechanisms associated with allergy and asthma-related health risks induced by climate change events. We will review current understanding of the molecular and cellular mechanisms by which the changing environment mediates these effects.}, }
@article {pmid37104227, year = {2023}, author = {Chatterjee, S and More, M}, title = {Cyanobacterial Harmful Algal Bloom Toxin Microcystin and Increased Vibrio Occurrence as Climate-Change-Induced Biological Co-Stressors: Exposure and Disease Outcomes via Their Interaction with Gut-Liver-Brain Axis.}, journal = {Toxins}, volume = {15}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/toxins15040289}, pmid = {37104227}, issn = {2072-6651}, support = {5P01ES028942-04, Subproject-5262/NH/NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {The effects of global warming are not limited to rising global temperatures and have set in motion a complex chain of events contributing to climate change. A consequence of global warming and the resultant climate change is the rise in cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cyano-HABs) across the world, which pose a threat to public health, aquatic biodiversity, and the livelihood of communities that depend on these water systems, such as farmers and fishers. An increase in cyano-HABs and their intensity is associated with an increase in the leakage of cyanotoxins. Microcystins (MCs) are hepatotoxins produced by some cyanobacterial species, and their organ toxicology has been extensively studied. Recent mouse studies suggest that MCs can induce gut resistome changes. Opportunistic pathogens such as Vibrios are abundantly found in the same habitat as phytoplankton, such as cyanobacteria. Further, MCs can complicate human disorders such as heat stress, cardiovascular diseases, type II diabetes, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Firstly, this review describes how climate change mediates the rise in cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms in freshwater, causing increased levels of MCs. In the later sections, we aim to untangle the ways in which MCs can impact various public health concerns, either solely or in combination with other factors resulting from climate change. In conclusion, this review helps researchers understand the multiple challenges brought forth by a changing climate and the complex relationships between microcystin, Vibrios, and various environmental factors and their effect on human health and disease.}, }
@article {pmid37104117, year = {2023}, author = {Schulte, PA and Jacklitsch, BL and Bhattacharya, A and Chun, H and Edwards, N and Elliott, KC and Flynn, MA and Guerin, R and Hodson, L and Lincoln, JM and MacMahon, KL and Pendergrass, S and Siven, J and Vietas, J}, title = {Updated assessment of occupational safety and health hazards of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of occupational and environmental hygiene}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-36}, doi = {10.1080/15459624.2023.2205468}, pmid = {37104117}, issn = {1545-9632}, abstract = {Workers, particularly outdoor workers, are among the populations most disproportionately affected by climate-related hazards. However, scientific research and control actions to comprehensively address these hazards are notably absent. To assess this absence, a seven-category framework was developed in 2009 to characterize the scientific literature published from 1988 through 2008. Using this framework, a second assessment examined the literature published through 2014, and the current one examines literature from 2014 through 2021. The objectives were to present literature that updates the framework and related topics and increases awareness of the role of climate change in occupational safety and health. In general, there is substantial literature on worker hazards related to ambient temperatures, biological hazards, and extreme weather but less on air pollution, ultraviolet radiation, industrial transitions, and the built environment. There is growing literature on mental health and health equity issues related to climate change, but much more research is needed. The socioeconomic impacts of climate change also require more research. This study illustrates that workers are experiencing increased morbidity and mortality related to climate change. In all areas of climate-related worker risk, including geoengineering, research is needed on the causality and prevalence of hazards, along with surveillance to identify, and interventions for hazard prevention and control.}, }
@article {pmid37103697, year = {2023}, author = {Dilanchiev, A and Nuta, F and Khan, I and Khan, H}, title = {Urbanization, renewable energy production, and carbon dioxide emission in BSEC member states: implications for climate change mitigation and energy markets.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37103697}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {As the world's population grows, the energy demand continues to rise due to advancements in technology and the impact of globalization. The finite nature of traditional energy sources has accelerated the shift toward renewable energy, particularly in developing countries where environmental degradation and declining quality of life are significant concerns. This study delves into the interplay between urbanization, carbon dioxide emissions, economic growth, and renewable energy production in Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation member states, providing new insights into the energy market. By using annual data from 1995 to 2020 and advanced panel cointegration tests, this study provides a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of renewable energy for developing countries. The findings show a substantial and long-term relationship between urbanization, emissions, growth, and renewable energy production. These findings have important implications for policymakers and underscore the critical role of renewable energy in mitigating climate change in developing countries.}, }
@article {pmid37103163, year = {2023}, author = {Fekete, J and De Knijf, G and Dinis, M and Padisák, J and Boda, P and Mizsei, E and Várbíró, G}, title = {Winners and Losers: Cordulegaster Species under the Pressure of Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14040348}, pmid = {37103163}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {(1) Bioclimatic factors have a proven effect on species distributions in terrestrial, marine, or freshwater ecosystems. Because of anthropogenic effects, the changes in these variables are accelerated; thus, the knowledge of the impact has great importance from a conservation point of view. Two endemic dragonflies, the Balkan Goldenring (Cordulegaster heros) and the Two-Toothed Goldenring (C. bidentata), confined to the hilly and mountainous regions in Europe, are classified as "Near Threatened" according to the IUCN Red List. (2) Modeling the potential occurrence of both species under present and future climatic conditions provides a more accurate picture of the most suitable areas. The models were used to predict the responses of both species to 6 different climate scenarios for the year 2070. (3) We revealed which climatic and abiotic variables affect them the most and which areas are the most suitable for the species. We calculated how future climatic changes would affect the range of suitable areas for the two species. (4) According to our results, the suitable area for Cordulegaster bidentata and C. heros are strongly influenced by bioclimatic variables and showed an upward shift toward high elevations. The models predict a loss of suitable area in the case of C. bidentata and a large gain in the case of C. heros.}, }
@article {pmid37103153, year = {2023}, author = {Ghafouri Moghaddam, M and Butcher, BA}, title = {Microplitis manilae Ashmead (Hymenoptera: Braconidae): Biology, Systematics, and Response to Climate Change through Ecological Niche Modelling.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14040338}, pmid = {37103153}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {The parasitoid wasp Microplitis manilae Ashmead (Braconidae: Microgastrinae) is an important natural enemy of caterpillars and of a range of noctuids, including pest species of armyworms (Spodoptera spp.). Here, the wasp is redescribed and, for the first time, illustrated based on the holotype. An updated list of all the Microplitis species attacking the noctuid Spodoptera spp. along with a discussion on host-parasitoid-food plant associations is offered. Based on information about the actual distribution of M. manilae and a set of bioclimatic variables, the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) niche model and the quantum geographic information system (QGIS) were explored to predict the potential distribution of this wasp in a global context. The worldwide geographical distribution of potential climatic suitability of M. manilae at present and in three different periods in the future was simulated. The relative percent contribution score of environmental factors and the Jackknife test were combined to identify dominant bioclimatic variables and their appropriate values influencing the potential distribution of M. manilae. The results showed that under current climate conditions, the prediction of the maximum entropy model highly matches the actual distribution, and that the obtained value of simulation accuracy was very high. Likewise, the distribution of M. manilae was mainly affected by five bioclimatic variables, listed in order of importance as follows: precipitation during the wettest month (BIO13), annual precipitation (BIO12), annual mean temperature (BIO1), temperature seasonality (BIO4), and mean temperature during the warmest quarter (BIO10). In a global context, the suitable habitat of M. manilae would be mainly in tropical and subtropical countries. Furthermore, under the four greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (representative concentration pathways: RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5) in the future period of the 2070s, the areas with high, medium, and low suitability showed varying degrees of change from current conditions and are expected to expand in the future. This work provides theoretical backing for studies associated with the safeguarding of the environment and pest management.}, }
@article {pmid37103001, year = {2023}, author = {Braun, DM and Washburn, JD and Wood, JD}, title = {Enhancing the resilience of plant systems to climate change.}, journal = {Journal of experimental botany}, volume = {74}, number = {9}, pages = {2787-2789}, doi = {10.1093/jxb/erad090}, pmid = {37103001}, issn = {1460-2431}, }
@article {pmid37101727, year = {2022}, author = {Sarkar, S and Mukherjee, A and Senapati, B and Duttagupta, S}, title = {Predicting Potential Climate Change Impacts on Groundwater Nitrate Pollution and Risk in an Intensely Cultivated Area of South Asia.}, journal = {ACS environmental Au}, volume = {2}, number = {6}, pages = {556-576}, pmid = {37101727}, issn = {2694-2518}, abstract = {One of the potential impacts of climate change is enhanced groundwater contamination by geogenic and anthropogenic contaminants. Such impacts should be most evident in areas with high land-use change footprint. Here, we provide a novel documentation of the impact on groundwater nitrate (GWNO3) pollution with and without climate change in one of the most intensely groundwater-irrigated areas of South Asia (northwest India) as a consequence of changes in land use and agricultural practices at present and predicted future times. We assessed the probabilistic risk of GWNO3 pollution considering climate changes under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs), i.e., RCP 4.5 and 8.5 for 2030 and 2040, using a machine learning (Random Forest) framework. We also evaluated variations in GWNO3 distribution against a no climate change (NCC) scenario considering 2020 status quo climate conditions. The climate change projections showed that the annual temperatures would rise under both RCPs. The precipitation is predicted to rise by 5% under RCP 8.5 by 2040, while it would decline under RCP 4.5. The predicted scenarios indicate that the areas at high risk of GWNO3 pollution will increase to 49 and 50% in 2030 and 66 and 65% in 2040 under RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. These predictions are higher compared to the NCC condition (43% in 2030 and 60% in 2040). However, the areas at high risk can decrease significantly by 2040 with restricted fertilizer usage, especially under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The risk maps identified the central, south, and southeastern parts of the study area to be at persistent high risk of GWNO3 pollution. The outcomes show that the climate factors may impose a significant influence on the GWNO3 pollution, and if fertilizer inputs and land uses are not managed properly, future climate change scenarios can critically impact the groundwater quality in highly agrarian areas.}, }
@article {pmid37100483, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {Effects of climate change on health: A call for nursing research.}, journal = {Nursing outlook}, volume = {71}, number = {2}, pages = {101972}, doi = {10.1016/j.outlook.2023.101972}, pmid = {37100483}, issn = {1528-3968}, }
@article {pmid37100460, year = {2023}, author = {Atkinson, N and Ferguson, M and Russell, C and Cullerton, K}, title = {Are the impacts of food systems on climate change being reported by the media? An Australian media analysis.}, journal = {Public health nutrition}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-24}, doi = {10.1017/S1368980023000800}, pmid = {37100460}, issn = {1475-2727}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Food systems are a major contributor to climate change, producing one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions. However, public knowledge of food systems' contributions to climate change is low. One reason for low public awareness may be limited media coverage of the issue. To investigate this, we conducted a media analysis examining coverage of food systems and their contribution to climate change in Australian newspapers.<br><br>DESIGN: We analysed climate change articles from 12 Australian newspapers between 2011- 2021, sourced from Factiva. We explored the volume and frequency of climate change articles that mentioned food systems and their contributions to climate change, as well as the level of focus on food systems.<br><br>SETTING: Australia.<br><br>PARTICIPANTS: N/A.<br><br>RESULTS: Of the 2,892 articles included, only 5% mentioned the contributions of food systems to climate change, with the majority highlighting food production as the main contributor, followed by food consumption. Conversely, 8% mentioned the impact of climate change on food systems.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Though newspaper coverage of food systems' effects on climate change is increasing, coverage of the issue remains limited. As newspapers play a key role in increasing public and political awareness of matters, the findings provide valuable insights for advocates wishing to increase engagement on the issue. Increased media coverage may raise public awareness and encourage action by policymakers. Collaboration between public health and environmental stakeholders to increase public knowledge of the relationship between food systems and climate change is recommended.}, }
@article {pmid37100376, year = {2023}, author = {Klaire, L and Marcus, T and Bridget, B}, title = {Love in the Time of Climate Change: A Review of Sexual Reproduction in the Order Onygenales.}, journal = {Fungal genetics and biology : FG &amp; B}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {103797}, doi = {10.1016/j.fgb.2023.103797}, pmid = {37100376}, issn = {1096-0937}, abstract = {Life-threatening infections caused by fungi in the order Onygenales have been rising over the last few decades. Increasing global temperature due to anthropogenic climate change is one potential abiotic selection pressure that may explain the increase in infections. The generation of genetically novel offspring with novel phenotypes through the process of sexual recombination could allow fungi to adapt to changing climate conditions. The basic structures associated with sexual reproduction have been identified in Histoplasma, Blastomyces, Malbranchea, and Brunneospora. However, for Coccidioides and Paracoccidioides, the actual structural identification of these processes has yet to be identified despite having genetic evidence that suggests sexual recombination is occurring in these organisms. This review highlights the importance of assessing sexual recombination in the order Onygenales as a means of understanding the mechanisms these organisms might employ to enhance fitness in the face of a changing climate and provides details regarding the known reproductive mechanisms in the Onygenales.}, }
@article {pmid37100131, year = {2023}, author = {da Silva, JP and Sousa, R and Gonçalves, DV and Miranda, R and Reis, J and Teixeira, A and Varandas, S and Lopes-Lima, M and Filipe, AF}, title = {Streams in the Mediterranean Region are not for mussels: Predicting extinctions and range contractions under future climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163689}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163689}, pmid = {37100131}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change is becoming the leading driver of biodiversity loss. The Mediterranean region, particularly southwestern Europe, is already confronting the consequences of ongoing global warming. Unprecedented biodiversity declines have been recorded, particularly within freshwater ecosystems. Freshwater mussels contribute to essential ecosystem services but are among the most threatened faunal groups on Earth. Their poor conservation status is related to the dependence on fish hosts to complete the life cycle, which also makes them particularly vulnerable to climate change. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are commonly used to predict species distributions, but often disregard the potential effect of biotic interactions. This study investigated the potential impact of future climate on the distribution of freshwater mussel species while considering their obligatory interaction with fish hosts. Specifically, ensemble models were used to forecast the current and future distribution of six mussel species in the Iberian Peninsula, including environmental conditions and the distribution of fish hosts as predictors. We found that climate change is expected to severely impact the future distribution of Iberian mussels. Species with narrow ranges, namely Margaritifera margaritifera and Unio tumidiformis, were predicted to have their suitable habitats nearly lost and could potentially be facing regional and global extinctions, respectively. Anodonta anatina, Potomida littoralis, and particularly Unio delphinus and Unio mancus, are expected to suffer distributional losses but may gain new suitable habitats. A shift in their distribution to new suitable areas is only possible if fish hosts are able to disperse while carrying larvae. We also found that including the distribution of fish hosts in the mussels' models avoided the underprediction of habitat loss under climate change. This study warns of the imminent loss of mussel species and populations and the urgent need of management actions to reverse current trends and mitigate irreversible damage to species and ecosystems in Mediterranean regions.}, }
@article {pmid37100884, year = {2023}, author = {Kolanowska, M}, title = {Loss of fungal symbionts and changes in pollinator availability caused by climate change will affect the distribution and survival chances of myco-heterotrophic orchid species.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {6848}, pmid = {37100884}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The first comprehensive species distribution models for orchid, its fungal symbionts and pollinator are presented. To evaluate impact of global warming on these organisms three different projections and four various climate change scenarios were analysed. The niche modelling was based on presence-only records of Limodorum abortivum, two species of Russula and three insects pollinating orchid (Anthophora affinis, Bombus terrestris, Rhodanthidium septemdentatum). Two sets of orchid predictions were examined-the first one included only climatic data and the second one was based on climate data and data on future distribution of orchid fungal symbionts. Overall, a poleward range shift is predicted to occur as a result of climate change and apparently global warming will be favorable for L. abortivum and its potential geographical range will expand. However, due to the negative effect of global warming on fungal symbionts of L. abortivum, the actual extension of the suitable niches of the orchid will be much limited. Considering future possibility of cross-pollination, the availability of A. affinis for L. abortivum will decrease and this bee will be available in the worst case scenarios only for 21% of orchid populations. On the other hand, the overlap of orchid and the buff-tailed bumblebee will increase and as much as 86.5% of plant populations will be located within B. terrestris potential range. Also the availability of R. septemdentatum will be higher than currently observed in almost all analysed climate change projections. This study showed the importance of inclusion of ecological factors in species distribution models as the climate data itself are not enough to estimate the future distribution of plant species. Moreover, the availability of pollen vectors which is crucial for long-term survival of orchid populations should be analysed in context of climate changes.}, }
@article {pmid37100788, year = {2023}, author = {Srinivasa Rao, M and Rama Rao, CA and Raju, BMK and Subba Rao, AVM and Gayatri, DLA and Islam, A and Prasad, TV and Navya, M and Srinivas, K and Pratibha, G and Srinivas, I and Prabhakar, M and Yadav, SK and Bhaskar, S and Singh, VK and Chaudhari, SK}, title = {Pest scenario of Helicoverpa armigera (Hub.) on pigeonpea during future climate change periods under RCP based projections in India.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {6788}, pmid = {37100788}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Gram pod borer, Helicoverpa armigera (Hub.) is the major insect pest of pigeonpea and prediction of number of generations (no. of gen.) and generation time (gen. time) using growing degree days (GDD) approach during three future climate change periods viz., Near (NP), Distant (DP) and Far Distant (FDP) periods at eleven major pigeonpea growing locations of India was attempted. Multi-model ensemble of Maximum (Tmax) and Minimum (Tmin) temperature data of four Representative Concentration Pathways viz., RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 of Coupled Model Inter comparison Project 5 (CMIP5) models was adopted here. The increase in projected Tmax and Tmin are significant during 3 climate change periods (CCPs) viz., the NP, DP and FDP over base line (BL) period under four RCP scenarios at all locations and would be higher (4.7-5.1 °C) in RCP 8.5 and in FDP. More number of annual (10-17) and seasonal (5-8) gens. are expected to occur with greater percent increase in FDP (8 to 38%) over base line followed by DP (7 to 22%) and NP (5to 10%) periods with shortened annual gen. time (4 to 27%) across 4 RCPs. The reduction of crop duration was substantial in short, medium and long duration pigeonpeas at all locations across 4 RCPs and 3 CCPs. The seasonal no.of gen. is expected to increase (5 to 35%) with shortened gen. time (4 to 26%) even with reduced crop duration across DP and FDP climate periods of 6.0 and 8.5 RCPs in LD pigeonpea. More no. of gen. of H. armigera with reduced gen. time are expected to occur at Ludhiana, Coimbatore, Mohanpur, Warangal and Akola locations over BL period in 4 RCPs when normal duration of pigeonpeas is considered. Geographical location (66 to 72%), climate period (11 to 19%), RCPs (5-7%) and their interaction (0.04-1%) is vital and together explained more than 90% of the total variation in future pest scenario. The findings indicate that the incidence of H. armigera would be higher on pigeonpea during ensuing CCPs in India under global warming context.}, }
@article {pmid37098525, year = {2023}, author = {Smith, DM and Sales, J and Williams, A and Munro, S}, title = {Pregnancy intentions of young women in Canada in the era of climate change: a qualitative auto-photography study.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {766}, pmid = {37098525}, issn = {1471-2458}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a global health risk through consequences such as sea level rise, wildfires, and increased air pollution. Children born today and in the future may be disproportionately affected by climate change. As a result, many young adults are rethinking having children. The impacts of the climate crisis on the decision-making of parents is an understudied area of research. This study aims to be one of the first to explore how climate change impacts the pregnancy intentions of young women in Canada and their perspectives towards childbearing.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted auto-photography and qualitative interviews. Participants were recruited using social media, and were aged 18-25, nulliparous, assigned female at birth, and were either current or previous residents of British Columbia, Canada. We asked participants to take photos that responded to the question, "Show us how climate change impacts your decision to have a family," then complete a virtual, one-on-one interview during which photo-elicitation was employed to guide conversation about participants' decision-making related to childbearing and climate change. We subjected all transcribed interviews to qualitative thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: We conducted in-depth interviews with seven participants who discussed a total of 33 photographs. Analysis of participants' interviews and photographs identified themes of eco-anxiety, hesitancy towards having children, sense of loss, and a desire for systemic change. Participants experienced anxiety, grief, and loss when faced with thoughts of change associated with their environments. Climate change impacted all but two participants' childbearing decision making, which was found to be interrelated with social-environmental factors, such as cost of living.<br><br>CONCLUSION: We aimed to identify the ways in which climate change may impact youth decisions to have a family. Further research on this topic is needed to understand the prevalence of this phenomenon, and to build such considerations into climate action policy and family planning tools used among young people.}, }
@article {pmid37098394, year = {2023}, author = {Lovarelli, D and Leso, L and Bonfanti, M and Porto, S and Barbari, M and Guarino, M}, title = {Climate change and socio-economic assessment of PLF in dairy farms: Three case studies.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163639}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163639}, pmid = {37098394}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Precision Livestock Farming (PLF) techniques include sensors and tools to install on livestock farms and/or animals to monitor them and support the decision making process of farmers, finally early detecting alerting conditions and improving the livestock efficiency. Direct consequences of this monitoring include enhanced animal welfare, health and productivity, improved farmer lifestyle, knowledge, and traceability of livestock products. The indirect consequences, instead, include improved Carbon Footprint and socio-economic indicators of livestock products. In this context, the aim of this paper is to develop an indicator applicable to dairy cattle farming that takes into account concurrently these indirect consequences. The indicator was developed combining the three sustainability pillars (with specific criteria): environmental (carbon footprint), social (5 freedoms of animal welfare and antimicrobial use) and economic (cost of technology and manpower use). The indicator was then tested on 3 dairy cattle farms located in Italy, where a baseline traditional scenario (BS) was compared with an alternative scenario (AS) where PLF techniques and improved management solutions were adopted. The results highlighted that the carbon footprint reduced in all AS by 6-9 %, and the socio-economic indicators entailed improvements in animals and workers welfare with some differences based on the tested technique. Investing in PLF techniques determines positive effects on all/almost all the criteria adopted for the sustainability indicator, with case-specific aspects to consider. Being a user-friendly tool that supports the testing of different scenarios, this indicator could be used by stakeholders (policy makers and farmers in particular) to identify the best direction towards investments and incentive policies.}, }
@article {pmid37097140, year = {2023}, author = {Hanneman, K and Araujo-Filho, JAB and Nomura, CH and Jakubisin, J and Moy, L}, title = {Climate Change and Sustainability.}, journal = {Radiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {230903}, doi = {10.1148/radiol.230903}, pmid = {37097140}, issn = {1527-1315}, }
@article {pmid37096995, year = {2023}, author = {Gibbs, AF and Johns, DM}, title = {Leveraging natural resource damage assessments in the face of climate change.}, journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management}, volume = {19}, number = {3}, pages = {569-570}, doi = {10.1002/ieam.4749}, pmid = {37096995}, issn = {1551-3793}, }
@article {pmid37095771, year = {2023}, author = {The Lancet Regional Health-Americas, }, title = {Climate change: we must act now to secure a sustainable, healthy future for all.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {20}, number = {}, pages = {100494}, doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2023.100494}, pmid = {37095771}, issn = {2667-193X}, }
@article {pmid37095757, year = {2023}, author = {Nkosi, CS and Olorunfemi, OD and Khwidzhili, H}, title = {Data on climate change effect and use of adaptation strategies among smallholder maize farmers: Evidence from a microlevel survey in Ehlanzeni District, South Africa.}, journal = {Data in brief}, volume = {48}, number = {}, pages = {109106}, doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2023.109106}, pmid = {37095757}, issn = {2352-3409}, abstract = {Climate Change and its effects on agriculture and human survival remain a global concern requiring continual research and the use of coping strategies. This paper focus on presenting a data article on climate change effect and use of adaptation strategies by exploiting the insight from a microlevel survey carried out among smallholder maize farmers in South Africa. The data present the change in maize output and income farmers have experienced in the last two growing seasons attributed to the effect of climate change, climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies currently utilized, and constraints faced by the maize farmers. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and t-Test analysis. The findings revealed that climate change effect is very evident in the area by the significant reduction in output and income observed among the maize farmers, and thus, it is still pertinent for farmers to scale-up their use of adaptation and mitigation strategies in the area. However, the farmers can only effectively and sustainably achieve this if extension agencies provide continuous climate change-related training for maize farmers and government harmoniously work with improved seed production agencies to ensure smallholder maize farmers can adequately access seeds when needed and at subsidized rates.}, }
@article {pmid37094809, year = {2023}, author = {Chen, J and Jiang, K and Wang, S and Li, Y and Zhang, Y and Tang, Z and Bu, W}, title = {Climate change impacts on the potential worldwide distribution of the soybean pest, Piezodorus guildinii (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae).}, journal = {Journal of economic entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jee/toad058}, pmid = {37094809}, issn = {1938-291X}, abstract = {The redbanded stink bug, Piezodorus guildinii (Westwood, 1837), is a highly destructive soybean pest native to the Neotropical Region. In the past 60 yr, P. guildinii has been observed to expand its distribution in North and South America, causing significant soybean yield losses. In order to predict the future distribution direction of P. guildinii and create an effective pest control strategy, we projected the potential global distribution of P. guildinii using 2 different emission scenarios, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 126 and 585, and 3 Earth system models, with the maximum entropy niche model (MaxEnt). Then, the predicted distribution areas of P. guildinii were jointly analyzed with the main soybean-producing areas to assess the impact for different soybean region. Our results showed that temperature is the main environmental factor limiting the distribution of P. guildinii. Under present climate conditions, all continents except Antarctica have suitable habitat for P. guildinii. These suitable habitats overlap with approximately 45.11% of the total global cultivated soybean areas. Moreover, P. guildinii was predicted to expand its range in the future, particularly into higher latitudes in the Northern hemisphere. Countries, in particular the United States, where soybean is widely available, would face a management challenge under global warming. In addition, China and India are also high-risk countries that may be invaded and should take strict quarantine measures. The maps of projected distribution produced in this study may prove useful in the future management of P. guildinii and the containment of its disruptive effects.}, }
@article {pmid37094127, year = {2023}, author = {Rosenblad, KC and Baer, KC and Ackerly, DD}, title = {Climate change, tree demography, and thermophilization in western US forests.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {18}, pages = {e2301754120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2301754120}, pmid = {37094127}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Climate change is driving widespread changes in ecological communities. Warming temperatures often shift community composition toward more heat-tolerant taxa. The factors influencing the rate of this "thermophilization" process remain unclear. Using 10-y census data from an extensive forest plot network, we show that mature tree communities of the western United States have undergone thermophilization. The mean magnitude of climate warming over the 10-y study interval was 0.32 °C, whereas the mean magnitude of thermophilization was 0.039 °C. Differential tree mortality was the strongest demographic driver of thermophilization, rather than growth or recruitment. Thermophilization rates are associated with recent changes in temperature and hydrologic variables, as well as topography and disturbance, with insect damage showing the strongest standardized effect on thermophilization rates. On average, thermophilization occurred more rapidly on cool, north-facing hillslopes. Our results demonstrate that warming temperatures are outpacing the composition of western US forest tree communities, and that climate change may erode biodiversity patterns structured by topographic variation.}, }
@article {pmid37093371, year = {2023}, author = {Acaroğlu, H and Güllü, M and Seçilmiş, C}, title = {Climate change, the by-product of tourism and energy consumption through a sustainable economic growth: a non-linear ARDL analysis for Turkey.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37093371}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Using a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag time-series analysis, this paper investigates the causal relationship between climate change, the tourism sector, and energy consumption in Turkey. The trade-off between a country's economic growth and the environmental degradation caused by tourism and the energy sector is critical in terms of scientifically addressing the issue and developing economic policies. As a result, climate change is used as the dependent variable and is represented by precipitation and temperature separately; the independent variables are tourist arrivals, energy consumption, and economic growth. Data is gathered by various institutions from 1995 to 2020. According to the test results, while positive and negative shocks contribute to the decrease in precipitation and temperature in renewable energy consumption (REC) in the long-run, they affect the increase in precipitation and temperature in non-renewable energy consumption (NREC). In the long-run relationship between tourism and temperature, a decrease in the number of tourist arrivals causes a decrease in temperature and precipitation. The findings reveal that a decrease in the number of tourist arrivals and an increase in REC may aid in decreasing temperature, while the increase in NREC may cause an increase in temperature. Through a case study of Turkey, decision-makers should consider these scientific findings that are in the frame of non-linear analysis as possible scenarios for mitigating climate change and fostering sustainable economic growth with efficient tourism policies for the world.}, }
@article {pmid37091849, year = {2023}, author = {Yüzen, D and Graf, I and Diemert, A and Arck, PC}, title = {Climate change and pregnancy complications: From hormones to the immune response.}, journal = {Frontiers in endocrinology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1149284}, pmid = {37091849}, issn = {1664-2392}, abstract = {Pregnant women are highly vulnerable to adverse environments. Accumulating evidence highlights that increasing temperatures associated with the ongoing climate change pose a threat to successful reproduction. Heat stress caused by an increased ambient temperature can result in adverse pregnancy outcomes, e.g., preterm birth, stillbirth and low fetal weight. The pathomechanisms through which heat stress interferes with pregnancy maintenance still remain vague, but emerging evidence underscores that the endocrine system is severely affected. It is well known that the endocrine system pivotally contributes to the physiological progression of pregnancy. We review - sometimes speculate - how heat stress can offset hormonal dysregulations and subsequently derail other systems which interact with hormones, such as the immune response. This may account for the heat-stress related threat to successful pregnancy progression, fetal development and long-term children's health.}, }
@article {pmid37091602, year = {2023}, author = {Subramanian, A and Nagarajan, AM and Vinod, S and Chakraborty, S and Sivagami, K and Theodore, T and Sathyanarayanan, SS and Tamizhdurai, P and Mangesh, VL}, title = {Long-term impacts of climate change on coastal and transitional eco-systems in India: an overview of its current status, future projections, solutions, and policies.}, journal = {RSC advances}, volume = {13}, number = {18}, pages = {12204-12228}, pmid = {37091602}, issn = {2046-2069}, abstract = {Urbanization and industrial development are increasing rapidly. These are accompanied by problems of population explosion, encroachment of agricultural, and construction lands, increased waste generation, effluent release, and escalated concentrations of several greenhouse gases (GHGs) and pollutants in the atmosphere. This has led to wide-scale adverse impacts. Visible effects are fluctuations in temperatures and precipitation, rising sea levels, unpredictable floods, storms and cyclones, and disruption to coastal and transitional ecosystems. In a country like India with a massive population of nearly 1.4 billion and around 420 million people dwelling on or near the coasts, this effect is pre-dominant. India has extensive coastlines on both sides that are subject to greater contact and high impact from the water bodies. The factors impacting climate change, its consequences, and future predictions must be analyzed immediately for implementing precautionary measures to ameliorate the detrimental effects. Several endemic species have been endangered as these changes have resulted in the loss of habitat and interfered with the food webs. Climatic impacts on transitional ecosystems also need to be considered to preserve the diversity of each. The cooperation of governmental, independent organizations and policymakers throughout the world is essential to control and mediate the impacts on health, agriculture, and other related sectors, the details of which have been elaborated in this review. The review analyses the trends in climatic variation with time and discusses a few extremities which have left permanent effects on the population primarily concerning the coastal - Indian scenario and its eco-systems.}, }
@article {pmid37089911, year = {2023}, author = {Perera, U and Miyane, K and Sakoda, N and Thu, K and Higashi, Y}, title = {PvT Properties and Thermodynamic Property Correlations for the Low Global Warming Potential Hydrofluoroolefin Refrigerant R-1132a (1,1-Difluoroethene).}, journal = {International journal of thermophysics}, volume = {44}, number = {6}, pages = {84}, pmid = {37089911}, issn = {0195-928X}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: R-1132a is increasingly being considered as a low global warming potential component in alternative mixtures to R-23 in specialized low temperature and ultra-low temperature refrigeration systems. Though the thermodynamic properties of R-1132a were investigated in several studies up to 2018, reinvestigations have been carried out in recent years. In order to contribute toward these renewed measurements, the critical parameters of R-1132a were experimentally re-determined. Thirty-two vapor pressures from 240 K to the critical temperature, fifteen saturated vapor and six saturated liquid densities above 254 K and the PvT properties in both the vapor phase (98 points) and liquid phase (34 points) from densities of 50 kg·m[-3] to 760 kg·m[-3] were also measured. Specific correlations for each of these properties were optimized and compared to previously available data from the literature. Additionally, the Peng-Robinson equation of state was used to represent the aforementioned properties and further utilized to determine the enthalpy and entropy of R-1132a.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10765-023-03184-4.}, }
@article {pmid37089646, year = {2023}, author = {Dutta, TK and Phani, V}, title = {The pervasive impact of global climate change on plant-nematode interaction continuum.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1143889}, pmid = {37089646}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Pest profiles in today's global food production system are continually affected by climate change and extreme weather. Under varying climatic conditions, plant-parasitic nematodes (PPNs) cause substantial economic damage to a wide variety of agricultural and horticultural commodities. In parallel, their herbivory also accredit to diverse ecosystem services such as nutrient cycling, allocation and turnover of plant biomass, shaping of vegetation community, and alteration of rhizospheric microorganism consortium by modifying the root exudation pattern. Thus PPNs, together with the vast majority of free-living nematodes, act as ecological drivers. Because of direct exposure to the open environment, PPN biology and physiology are largely governed by environmental factors including temperature, precipitation, humidity, atmospheric and soil carbon dioxide level, and weather extremes. The negative effects of climate change such as global warming, elevated CO2, altered precipitation and the weather extremes including heat waves, droughts, floods, wildfires and storms greatly influence the biogeographic range, distribution, abundance, survival, fitness, reproduction, and parasitic potential of the PPNs. Changes in these biological and ecological parameters associated to the PPNs exert huge impact on agriculture. Yet, depending on how adaptable the species are according to their geo-spatial distribution, the consequences of climate change include both positive and negative effects on the PPN communities. While assorting the effects of climate change as a whole, it can be estimated that the changing environmental factors, on one hand, will aggravate the PPN damage by aiding to abundance, distribution, reproduction, generation, plant growth and reduced plant defense, but the phenomena like sex reversal, entering cryptobiosis, and reduced survival should act in counter direction. This seemingly creates a contraposition effect, where assessing any confluent trend is difficult. However, as the climate change effects will differ according to space and time it is apprehensible that the PPNs will react and adapt according to their location and species specificity. Nevertheless, the bio-ecological shifts in the PPNs will necessitate tweaking their management practices from the agri-horticultural perspective. In this regard, we must aim for a 'climate-smart' package that will take care of the food production, pest prevention and environment protection. Integrated nematode management involving precise monitoring and modeling-based studies of population dynamics in relation to climatic fluctuations with escalated reliance on biocontrol, host resistance, and other safer approaches like crop rotation, crop scheduling, cover cropping, biofumigation, use of farmyard manure (FYM) would surely prove to be viable options. Although the novel nematicidal molecules are target-specific and relatively less harmful to the environment, their application should not be promoted following the global aim to reduce pesticide usage in future agriculture. Thus, having a reliable risk assessment with scenario planning, the adaptive management strategies must be designed to cope with the impending situation and satisfy the farmers' need.}, }
@article {pmid37089322, year = {2023}, author = {Nyashilu, IM and Kiunsi, RB and Kyessi, AG}, title = {Assessment of exposure, coping and adaptation strategies for elements at risk to climate change-induced flooding in urban areas. The case of Jangwani Ward in Dar es Salaam City, Tanzania.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {4}, pages = {e15000}, pmid = {37089322}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Urban areas are the engines of socioeconomic growth and the homes of billions of people around the globe. In a changing climate, urban areas are inexorably from vulnerability to climate hazards including flooding which deters their social, economic, and environmental sustainability. The main objective of this paper was to explore exposure to elements at risk due to climate change-induced flooding in urban areas. In addition, the paper analyses the coping and adaptation strategies practiced at the community and national levels and recommends appropriate policy measures for enhanced climate resilience in urban areas. The study adopted purposeful sampling in which n = 95 households were selected for the study. Data collection methods involved household interviews with structured questionnaires, focused group discussions, documentary reviews, transect walks, surveys, and observations. Data analysis was done with a statistical package for social sciences. The results revealed that the elements at risk of exposure to climate change-induced flooding in the study area were physical infrastructures, socio-economic activities, livelihoods, and ecosystems. The study recommends enhancing resilience of elements at risk to climate change-induced flooding at national and local levels in urban areas. This is through promoting flood policies, strategies, laws, planning and management measures; enhance non-structural actions including flood forecasting, mapping, emergency evacuation plans and land use zoning and structural measures namely dams, dikes, storm surge barriers for adaptation to urban flooding.}, }
@article {pmid37089084, year = {2023}, author = {Zhou, Y and He, G and Bhagwat, G and Palanisami, T and Yang, Y and Liu, W and Zhang, Q}, title = {Nanoplastics alter ecosystem multifunctionality and may increase global warming potential.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16734}, pmid = {37089084}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Although the presence of nanoplastics in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems has received increasing attention, little is known about its potential effect on ecosystem processes and functions. Here, we evaluated if differentially charged polystyrene (PS) nanoplastics (PS-NH2 and PS-SO3 H) exhibit distinct influences on microbial community structure, nitrogen removal processes (denitrification and anammox), emissions of greenhouse gases (CO2 , CH4 , and N2 O) and ecosystem multifunctionality in soils with and without earthworms through a 42-day microcosm experiment. Our results indicated that nanoplastics significantly altered soil microbial community structure and potential functions, with more pronounced effects for positively charged PS-NH2 than for negatively charged PS-SO3 H. Ecologically relevant concentration (3 g kg[-1]) of nanoplastics inhibited both soil denitrification and anammox rates, while environmentally realistic concentration (0.3 g kg[-1]) of nanoplastics decreased the denitrification rate and enhanced the anammox rate. The soil N2 O flux was always inhibited 6-51% by both types of nanoplastics, whereas emissions of CO2 and CH4 were enhanced by nanoplastics in most cases. Significantly, although N2 O emissions were decreased by nanoplastics, the global warming potential of total greenhouse gases was increased 21-75% by nanoplastics in soils without earthworms. Moreover, ecosystem multifunctionality was increased 4-12% by 0.3 g kg[-1] of nanoplastics but decreased 4-11% by 3 g kg[-1] of nanoplastics. Our findings provide the only evidence to date that the rapid increase of nanoplastics is altering not only ecosystem structure and processes but also ecosystem multifunctionality, and it may increase the emission of CO2 and CH4 and their global warming potential to some extent.}, }
@article {pmid37087011, year = {2023}, author = {Infantino, A and Belocchi, A and Quaranta, F and Reverberi, M and Beccaccioli, M and Lombardi, D and Vitale, M}, title = {Effects of climate change on the distribution of Fusarium spp. in Italy.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163640}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163640}, pmid = {37087011}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {This work studies the incidence of Fusarium spp. on wheat kernels about current and future climatic conditions in Italy. Epidemiological analyses were performed from 2007 to 2013 and the resulting dataset was used to find correlations between the disease incidence of five important Fusarium species monitored in Italy (Fusarium graminearum, F. langsethiae, F. sporotrichioides, F. poae and F. avenaceum) and climatic and geographical parameters. Probabilistic-based modelling of the actual distribution of Fusarium spp. was achieved by using the Zero-inflated Poisson regression. The probabilistic geographical distribution of the Fusarium species was assessed by applying future climatic scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). The shift from current to future climatic scenarios highlighted changes on a national and regional scale. The tightening of environmental conditions from the RCP4.5 to 8.5 scenarios resulted in a sporadic presence of F. avenaceum only in the northern region of Italy. Fusarium graminearum was plentifully present in the current climate, but the tightening of minimum and maximum temperatures and the decrease of precipitation between May-June in the RCP8.5 no longer represents the optimum conditions for it. Fusarium langsethiae was currently distributed in all of Italy, showing an increase in the probability of detecting it by moving from high to low latitudes and from low to high longitudes in the RCP8.5. Fusarium poae, unlike other Fusarium species, grows and develops in arid climatic conditions. High values of F. poae were recorded at low latitudes and longitudes. Under the RCP scenarios, it showed high incidence probabilities in the southeast and northeast areas of Italy. Fusarium sporotrichioides is scarcely present in Italy, found at high latitudes and in the central areas. Climate change altered this distribution, and the chances of discovering it increased significantly moving to southern Italy. Overall, the study shows that climate change conditions are likely to lead to an increase in the incidence of Fusarium species on wheat kernels in Italy, highlighting the importance of developing strategies to mitigate the effects of climate change on wheat production, quality, and safety.}, }
@article {pmid37086989, year = {2023}, author = {Bhattacharyya, A and Dhyani, R and Joshi, R and Shekhar, M and Kuniyal, JC and Ranhotra, PS and Singh, SP}, title = {Is survival of Himalayan Cedar (Cedrus deodara) threatened? An evaluation based on predicted scenarios of its growth trend under future climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163630}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163630}, pmid = {37086989}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global warming is likely to become one of the significant drivers of forest losses in the Hindu-Kush Himalaya (HKH) during the 21st century. Better understanding of how forest ecosystem will respond to global warming requires a precise knowledge of site and species specific responses to climate change. We applied dendrochronological technique to quantify and predict future growth trend of Himalayan cedar (Cedrus deodara), a tree of high commercial importance, and explored its spatial growth variability under two different climatic regimes from 17 deodar sites in the HKH. Of the two climate regimes, one is dominated by the monsoon rainfall and the other by the westerly disturbances. Analysis of tree ring width and climate (monthly temperature and precipitation) data reveals that the spring (March-May) temperature and precipitation affect the growth of deodar positively and negatively, respectively. We used Generalized Least Squares (GLS) regression model to forecast future growth of deodar by taking an ensemble of 40 General Circulation Models (GCMs) for emission scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Predicted growth trends indicate the decline between 34 % and 38 % under RCP 4.5, and between 29 % and 32 % under RCP 8.5 scenarios, for the low and mid latitude sites. In contrast, a moderate increase in growth was observed in high latitude sites under the both climate scenarios. The study shows more drought stress to deodar trees growing in monsoon areas in mid-and low-latitude sites where less snow melt and low precipitation during the spring season are predicted to increase evapotranspiration. In comparison, in the higher latitude sites where there is a high snowfall due to western disturbances, the growth of deodar is predicted to increase. These findings may be used to take suitable migratory steps for the conservation of deodar in the HKH region.}, }
@article {pmid37086909, year = {2023}, author = {Giareta, EP and Hauser-Davis, RA and Abilhoa, V and Wosnick, N}, title = {Carbonic anhydrase in elasmobranchs and implications of the current climate change scenario.}, journal = {Comparative biochemistry and physiology. Part A, Molecular &amp; integrative physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {111435}, doi = {10.1016/j.cbpa.2023.111435}, pmid = {37086909}, issn = {1531-4332}, abstract = {The enzyme carbonic anhydrase (CA) has well-known functions in acid-base balance, respiratory gas exchange, and osmoregulation in teleost fishes. However, studies concerning the role of CA in elasmobranchs are still scarce. Therefore, the aim of this study is to present the current status of CA studies in sharks and rays, as well as to identify gaps and emerging needs, in order to guide future studies. This review is organized according to the main roles of CA, with further considerations on climate change and CA effects indicated as paramount, as strategies in the face of climate change can be crucial for species response. The literature review revealed a reduction in publications on CA over the years. In addition, a historical research differentiation is noted, where the first assessments on the subject addressed investigations on basic CA functions, while the most recent studies present a comparative approach among species as well as interdisciplinary discussions, such as ecology and phylogeny. Considering that most elasmobranchs are threatened, future studies should prioritize non-lethal methodologies, in addition to expanding studies to climate change effects on CA.}, }
@article {pmid37086151, year = {2023}, author = {DeVoe, JE and Huguet, N and Likumahuwa-Ackman, S and Bazemore, A and Gold, R and Werner, L}, title = {Precision Ecologic Medicine: Tailoring Care to Mitigate Impacts of Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of primary care &amp; community health}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {21501319231170585}, doi = {10.1177/21501319231170585}, pmid = {37086151}, issn = {2150-1327}, abstract = {As recent extreme weather events demonstrate, climate change presents unprecedented and increasing health risks, disproportionately so for disadvantaged communities in the U.S. already experiencing health disparities. As patients in these frontline communities live through extreme weather events, socioeconomic and health stressors are compounded; thus, their healthcare teams will need tools to provide precision ecologic medicine approaches to their care. Many primary care teams are taking actionable steps to bring community-level socioeconomic data ("community vital signs") into electronic medical records, to facilitate tailoring care based on a given patient's circumstances. This work can be extended to include environmental risk data, thus equipping healthcare teams with an awareness of clinical and community vital signs and making them better positioned to mitigate climate impacts on health. For example, if healthcare teams can easily identify patients who have multiple chronic conditions and live in an urban heat island, they can proactively arrange to "prescribe" an air conditioner, heat pump, and/or air purifier. Or, when a severe storm/heat event/poor air quality event is predicted, they can take preemptive steps to get help to patients at high medical and socioeconomic risk, rather than waiting for them to arrive in the emergency department. Advances in health information technologies now make it technically feasible to integrate a wealth of publicly-available community-level data into EMRs. Efforts to bring this contextual data into clinical settings must be accelerated to equip healthcare teams to provide precision ecologic medicine interventions to their patients.}, }
@article {pmid37086082, year = {2023}, author = {Hutsemékers, V and Mouton, L and Westenbohm, H and Collart, F and Vanderpoorten, A}, title = {Disentangling climate change from air pollution effects on epiphytic bryophytes.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16736}, pmid = {37086082}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {At the interface between atmosphere and vegetation, epiphytic floras have been largely used as indicators of air quality. The recovery of epiphytes from high levels of SO2 pollution has resulted in major range changes, whose interpretation has, however, been challenged by concomitant variation in other pollutants as well as climate change. Here, we combine historical and contemporary information on epiphytic bryophyte species distributions, climatic conditions and pollution loads since the 1980s in southern Belgium to disentangle the relative impact of climate change and air pollution on temporal shifts in species composition. The relationship between the temporal variation of species composition, climatic conditions, SO2 , NO2 , O3 , and fine particle concentrations was analyzed by variation partitioning. The temporal shift in species composition was such, that it was, on average, more than twice larger than the change in species composition observed today among communities scattered across the study area. The main driver, contributing to 38% of this temporal shift in species composition, was the variation of air quality. Climate change alone did not contribute to the substantial compositional shifts in epiphytic bryophyte communities in the course of the last 40 years. As a consequence of the substantial drop of N and S loads over the last decades, present-day variations of epiphytic floras were, however, better explained by the spatial variation of climatic conditions than by extant pollution loads. The lack of any signature of recolonization delays of formerly polluted areas in the composition of modern floras suggests that epiphytic bryophytes efficiently disperse at the landscape scale. We suggest that a monitoring of epiphyte communities at 10-year intervals would be desirable to assess the impact of raising pollution sources, and especially pesticides, whose impact on bryophytes remains poorly documented.}, }
@article {pmid37085511, year = {2023}, author = {Shaban, M and Ghehsareh Ardestani, E and Ebrahimi, A and Borhani, M}, title = {Climate change impacts on optimal habitat of Stachys inflata medicinal plant in central Iran.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {6580}, pmid = {37085511}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Stachys inflata Benth. is a perennial shrub plant, with powerful natural antioxidant agents, which is recognized as a famous medicinal plant that is widely applied to treat Infection, Asthma, and Rheumatism. Iran is renowned as a center of diversity for Stachys, however, the ideal habitats of S. inflata in this nation remain unknown. The potential and future distribution of suitable habitats for S. inflata were projected using an ensembles ecological niche model in Isfahan province, Iran. We used occurrence data (using GPS), bioclimatic and topographic variables from the Chelsa and WorldClim databases to model the current and future potential distribution of this valuable species. The results showed that: (i) S. inflata is mainly distributed in the south, southwest, center, and west of the Isfahan province, and the excellent habitats of S. inflata accounted for 14.34% of the 107,000 km[2] study area; (ii) mean annual temperature, mean daily temperature of wettest quarter, annual precipitation, and elevation were the four most important variables that affect the distribution of S. inflata, with a cumulative contribution of 56.55%; and (iii) about the half (- 42.36%) of the currently excellent habitats of S. inflata show a tendency to decrease from now to the 2080s, while often the area of other S. inflata habitats increases (the area of unsuitable habitat: 5.83%, the area of low habitat suitability: 24.68%, the area of moderate habitat suitability: 2.66%, and the area of high habitat suitability: 2.88%). The increase in the area of other S. inflata habitats is different and they are less favorable than the excellent habitat. The results help establishing a framework for long-term in-situ and ex-situ conservation and management practices in habitats of S. inflata in rangeland and agricultural ecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid37084909, year = {2023}, author = {Fournier, A and Martinez, A and Iglesias, G}, title = {Impacts of climate change on wind energy potential in Australasia and South-East Asia following the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163347}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163347}, pmid = {37084909}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Wind energy is poised to play a major role in the energy transition. Fluctuations in global atmospheric circulation are expected as a result of climate change, and wind projections based on the most up-to-date scenarios of climate change, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), anticipate significant changes in wind energy potential in many regions; so far, these changes have not been studied in Southeastern Asia and Australasia, a region with notable wind energy potential. This work investigates the evolution of wind power density and its temporal variability considering the latest scenarios of climate change, the SSPs. More specifically, two scenarios are considered, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, corresponding to moderate and high emissions, respectively. As many as 18 global climate models are considered and compared against past-present data, and those that perform best are retained to build a large multi-model ensemble. The results show that projected changes in mean wind power density at the end of the 21st century are of little significance (typically below 5 %); nevertheless, this value can be far surpassed locally. In certain areas (e.g., Vietnam, Borneo) and seasons, remarkable changes in wind power density (exceeding 150 %) are anticipated. Typically, mean values and temporal variability changes are greater in the high-emissions scenario, however, seasonal variability is projected to be more pronounced in the moderate-emissions scenario. These effects of climate change on wind energy potential must be taken into account in the development of wind power in the region, for they will affect the energy production and, therefore, the economic viability of wind farms - not least in those areas where drastic changes are projected.}, }
@article {pmid37084908, year = {2023}, author = {Gómez, AMR and de Jong van Lier, Q and Silvero, NEQ and Inforsato, L and de Melo, MLA and Rodriguez Albarracin, HS and Rosin, NA and Rosas, JTF and Rizzo, R and Demattê, JAM}, title = {Digital mapping of the soil available water capacity: Tool for the resilience of agricultural systems to climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163572}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163572}, pmid = {37084908}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Soil available water capacity (AWC) is a key function for human survival and well-being. However, its direct measurement is laborious and spatial interpretation is complex. Digital soil mapping (DSM) techniques emerge as an alternative to spatial modeling of soil properties. DSM techniques commonly apply machine learning (ML) models, with a high level of complexity. In this context, we aimed to perform a digital mapping of soil AWC and interpret the results of the Random Forest (RF) algorithm and, in a case study, to show that digital AWC maps can support agricultural planning in response to the local effects of climate change. To do so, we divided this research into two approaches: In the first approach, we showed a DSM using 1857 sample points in a southeastern region of Brazil with laboratory-determined soil attributes, together with a pedotransfer function (PTF), remote sensing and DSM techniques. In the second approach, the constructed AWC digital soil map and weather station data were used to calculate climatological soil water balances for the periods between 1917-1946 and 1991-2020. The result showed the selection of covariates using Shapley values as a criterion contributed to the parsimony of the model, obtaining goodness-of-fit metrics of R[2] 0.72, RMSE 16.72 mm m[-1], CCC 0.83, and Bias of 0.53 over the validation set. The highest contributing covariates for soil AWC prediction were the Landsat multitemporal images with bare soil pixels, mean diurnal, and annual temperature range. Under the current climate conditions, soil available water content (AW) increased during the dry period (April to August). May had the highest increase in AW (∼17 mm m[-1]) and decrease in September (∼14 mm m[-1]). The used methodology provides support for AWC modeling at 30 m resolution, as well as insight into the adaptation of crop growth periods to the effects of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37084577, year = {2023}, author = {Deng, J and Shan, K and Shi, K and Qian, SS and Zhang, Y and Qin, B and Zhu, G}, title = {Nutrient reduction mitigated the expansion of cyanobacterial blooms caused by climate change in Lake Taihu according to Bayesian network models.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {236}, number = {}, pages = {119946}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.119946}, pmid = {37084577}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {Although nutrient reduction has been used for lake eutrophication mitigation worldwide, the use of this practice alone has been shown to be less effective in combatting cyanobacterial blooms, primarily because of climate change. In addition, quantifying the climate change contribution to cyanobacterial blooms is difficult, further complicating efforts to set nutrient reduction goals for mitigating blooms in freshwater lakes. This study employed a continuous variable Bayesian modeling framework to develop a model to predict spring cyanobacterial bloom areas and frequencies (the responses) using nutrient levels and climatic factors as predictors. Our results suggested that both spring climatic factors (e.g., increasing temperature and decreasing wind speed) and nutrients (e.g., total phosphorus) played vital roles in spring blooms in Lake Taihu, with climatic factors being the primary drivers for both bloom areas and frequencies. Climate change in spring had a 90% probability of increasing the bloom area from 35 km[2] to 180 km[2] during our study period, while nutrient reduction limited the bloom area to 170 km[2], which helped mitigate expansion of cyanobacterial blooms. For lake management, to ensure a 90% probability of the mean spring bloom areas remaining under 154 km[2] (the 75th percentile of the bloom areas in spring), the total phosphorus should be maintained below 0.073 mg·L[-1] under current climatic conditions, which is a 46.3% reduction from the current level. Our modeling approach is an effective method for deriving dynamic nutrient thresholds for lake management under different climatic scenarios and management goals.}, }
@article {pmid37082319, year = {2023}, author = {Monge, O and Maggini, I and Schulze, CH and Dullinger, S and Fusani, L}, title = {Physiologically vulnerable or resilient? Tropical birds, global warming, and redistributions.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {e9985}, pmid = {37082319}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Tropical species are considered to be more threatened by climate change than those of other world regions. This increased sensitivity to warming is thought to stem from the assumptions of low physiological capacity to withstand temperature fluctuations and already living near their limits of heat tolerance under current climatic conditions. For birds, despite thorough documentation of community-level rearrangements, such as biotic attrition and elevational shifts, there is no consistent evidence of direct physiological sensitivity to warming. In this review, we provide an integrative outlook into the physiological response of tropical birds to thermal variation and their capacity to cope with warming. In short, evidence from the literature suggests that the assumed physiological sensitivity to warming attributed to tropical biotas does not seem to be a fundamental characteristic of tropical birds. Tropical birds do possess the physiological capacities to deal with fluctuating temperatures, including high-elevation species, and are prepared to withstand elevated levels of heat, even those living in hot and arid environments. However, there are still many unaddressed points that hinder a more complete understanding of the response of tropical birds to warming, such as cooling capacities when exposed to combined gradients of heat and humidity, the response of montane species to heat, and thermoregulation under increased levels of microclimatic stress in disturbed ecosystems. Further research into how populations and species from different ecological contexts handle warming will increase our understanding of current and future community rearrangements in tropical birds.}, }
@article {pmid37081111, year = {2023}, author = {Goshua, A and Gomez, J and Erny, B and Gisondi, M and Patel, L and Sampath, V and Sheffield, P and Nadeau, KC}, title = {Child-focused climate change and health content in medical schools and pediatric residencies.}, journal = {Pediatric research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37081111}, issn = {1530-0447}, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change-driven primarily by the combustion of fossil fuels that form greenhouse gases-has numerous consequences that impact health, including extreme weather events of accelerating frequency and intensity (e.g., wildfires, thunderstorms, droughts, and heat waves), mental health sequelae of displacement from these events, and the increase in aeroallergens and other pollutants. Children are especially vulnerable to climate-related exposures given that they are still developing, encounter higher exposures compared to adults, and are at risk of losing many healthy future years of life. In order to better meet the needs of generations of children born into a world affected by climate change, medical trainees must develop their knowledge of the relationships between climate change and children's health-with a focus on applying that information in clinical practice. This review provides an overview of salient climate change and children's health topics that medical school and pediatric residency training curricula should cover. In addition, it highlights the strengths and limitations of existing medical school and residency climate change and pediatric health curricula. IMPACT: Provides insight into the current climate change and pediatric health curricular opportunities for medical trainees in North America at both the medical school and residency levels. Condenses climate change and pediatric health material relevant to trainees to help readers optimize curricula at their institutions.}, }
@article {pmid37079928, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {Infographic: A Holistic Perspective of the Societal Relevance of Beef Production and Its Impacts On Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of animal science}, volume = {101}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jas/skad109}, pmid = {37079928}, issn = {1525-3163}, }
@article {pmid37079612, year = {2023}, author = {Léger-Goodes, T and Malboeuf-Hurtubise, C and Hurtubise, K and Simons, K and Boucher, A and Paradis, PO and Herba, CM and Camden, C and Généreux, M}, title = {How children make sense of climate change: A descriptive qualitative study of eco-anxiety in parent-child dyads.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0284774}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0284774}, pmid = {37079612}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {The climate crisis not only has significant impacts on biodiversity and the physical health of humans, but its ramifications are also affecting people's mental health. Eco-anxiety, or the emotions that emerge with the awareness of climate change and the apprehension of its detrimental effects, has been investigated in adults and adolescents, but much less attention has been given to the impacts on children's mental health and well-being. Initial evidence confirms that youth are significantly concerned about climate change, but few studies have investigated the resulting emotional responses of children and the role of their parents in tempering these, especially using qualitative methodologies. The present study used a descriptive qualitative design with a convenience sample of parents and child dyads, assessed separately. Children's (n = 15, ages 8-12 years) experiences were explored using semi-structured interviews and their parents' (n = 12) perceptions were captured using a survey with closed and open-ended questions. A reflexive thematic analysis was used to analyze the interview data, and content analysis was used to investigate parent-child experiences. Three themes emerged from the thematic analysis: 1. children's understanding of climate change, 2. their emotional reaction to climate change, and 3. their coping mechanisms to deal with these emotions. The comparative content analysis revealed that parents who were aware that their children had concerns about climate change, had children who used more adaptive coping mechanisms. The results of this qualitative study contribute to a better understanding of children's emotional experience of the awareness of climate change in Canada and how they cope with these emotions. Furthermore, the results provide insight into the role parents might play in helping their children cope with their feelings.}, }
@article {pmid37079503, year = {2023}, author = {Gu, C}, title = {'Climate change concerns human survival…and justice in our international community': A corpus-based positive discourse analysis (PDA) of the largest developing nation's global involve/engagement discourses (re)told in interpreting.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0277705}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0277705}, pmid = {37079503}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Contributing to a much-needed 'outward turn' in interpreting studies, this intervention examines the role of interpreting and interpreters in (re)articulating the welcome 'voice' of a developing nation in the global South. Against the backdrop of reform and opening-up (ROU), China, the world's largest developing country, is increasingly open and keen to engage globally. Such elements as openness, integration, and international engagement represent vital components of the overarching ROU metadiscourse that justifies China's sociopolitical system and multifarious policies and decisions. As part of a series of digital humanities (DH) informed empirical studies exploring the part played by interpreting in rendering China's ROU metadiscourse, this study zooms in on the government interpreters' mediation of Beijing's international engagement and global involvement discourses. Unlike CDA which often foregrounds the negative themes (e.g. injustice, oppression, dominance, and hegemony), an innovative corpus-based positive discourse analysis (PDA) is introduced and applied, drawing on 20 years of China's press conferences. This article points to the interpreters' visibility and agency in facilitating and strengthening China's discourse through (over)producing core lexical items and salient collocational patterns. Following the trends of interdisciplinarity and digital humanities, this corpus-based PDA study illustrates ultimately how a major non-Western developing country from the global South communicates its discourse bilingually in front of the international community. The potential impact and implications of the interpreter-in(tro)duced discursive changes are discussed vis-à-vis the ever shifting and delicate East-West power balance from the perspective of (geo)politics.}, }
@article {pmid37078996, year = {2023}, author = {Mendoza-Portillo, V and García-De León, FJ and von der Heyden, S}, title = {Responses of population structure and genomic diversity to climate change and fishing pressure in a pelagic fish.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16732}, pmid = {37078996}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {The responses of marine species to environmental changes and anthropogenic pressures (e.g. fishing) interact with ecological and evolutionary processes that are not well understood. Knowledge of changes in the distribution range and genetic diversity of species and their populations into the future is essential for the conservation and sustainable management of resources. Almaco jack (Seriola rivoliana) is a pelagic fish with high importance to fisheries and aquaculture in the Pacific Ocean. In this study, we assessed contemporary genomic diversity and structure in loci that are putatively under selection (outlier loci) and determined their potential functions. Utilizing a combination of genotype-environment association, spatial distribution models, and demogenetic simulations, we modeled the effects of climate change (under three different RCP scenarios) and fishing pressure on the species' geographic distribution and genomic diversity and structure to 2050 and 2100. Our results show that most of the outlier loci identified were related to biological and metabolic processes that may be associated with temperature and salinity. Contemporary genomic structure showed three populations-two in the Eastern Pacific (Cabo San Lucas and Eastern Pacific) and one in the Central Pacific (Hawaii). Future projections suggest a loss of suitable habitat and potential range contractions for most scenarios, while fishing pressure decreased population connectivity. Our results suggest that future climate change scenarios and fishing pressure will affect the genomic structure and genotypic composition of S. rivoliana and lead to loss of genomic diversity in populations distributed in the eastern-central Pacific Ocean, which could have profound effects in fisheries that depend on this resource.}, }
@article {pmid37076008, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, M and Fu, X and Zhang, D and Chen, F and Liu, M and Zhou, S and Su, J and Tan, SK}, title = {Assessing urban flooding risk in response to climate change and urbanization based on shared socio-economic pathways.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163470}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163470}, pmid = {37076008}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global climate change and rapid urbanization, mainly driven by anthropogenic activities, lead to urban flood vulnerability and uncertainty in sustainable stormwater management. This study projected the temporal and spatial variation in urban flood susceptibility during the period 2020-2050 on the basis of shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). A case study in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) was conducted for verifying the feasibility and applicability of this approach. GBA is predicted to encounter the increase in extreme precipitation with high intensity and frequency, along with rapid expansion of constructed areas, resulting in exacerbating of urban flood susceptibility. The areas with medium and high flood susceptibility will be expected to increase continuously from 2020 to 2050, by 9.5 %, 12.0 %, and 14.4 % under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. In terms of the assessment of spatial-temporal flooding pattern, the areas with high flood susceptibility are overlapped with that in the populated urban center in GBA, surrounding the existing risk areas, which is consistent with the tendency of construction land expansion. The approach in the present study will provide comprehensive insights into the reliable and accurate assessment of urban flooding susceptibility in response to climate change and urbanization.}, }
@article {pmid37074836, year = {2022}, author = {Gawrych, M}, title = {Climate change and mental health: a review of current literature.}, journal = {Psychiatria polska}, volume = {56}, number = {4}, pages = {903-915}, doi = {10.12740/PP/OnlineFirst/131991}, pmid = {37074836}, issn = {2391-5854}, abstract = {This review article focuses on mental health implications of climate change. Global warming is likely to cause the severe widespread emergencies: extreme heat, droughts, wildfires, water-related disasters (i.e., flooding, hurricanes and coastal storms), extreme snow, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Rising temperatures, sea level rise and extreme weather events have led to secondary and tertiary consequences, e.g., social disruption, impoverishment and population displacement. Mental health risks of climate change include greater stress, stressrelated disorders, anxiety, despair, depression, and suicidal ideation. Those risks can stem from climate-related natural disasters (e.g., extreme weather events), slower moving events (e.g., drought), or concern about the phenomenon of climate change itself. A focus on the impact of climate change on mental health can help enhance the understanding of factors that strengthen psychosocial resilience and adaptation, as well as design tailor-made local interventions. Proper psychosocial adaptation strategies for the upcoming mental health challenges of climate change require development of social capital and strengthening of institutional systems.}, }
@article {pmid37072363, year = {2023}, author = {Moosburger, R and Wagner, J and Heldt, K and Richter, A and Manz, K and Mensink, GBM and Loss, J}, title = {Perspectives of individuals on reducing meat consumption to mitigate climate change: protocol for a scoping review.}, journal = {BMJ open}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {e071122}, doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2022-071122}, pmid = {37072363}, issn = {2044-6055}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: High consumption of red and processed meat increases the risk of several chronic diseases. Many people, especially in high-income countries, eat more meat than recommended by nutritional and health agencies. Meat production also has negative impacts on the environment and contributes to climate change. Therefore, climate protection, besides health or animal welfare, could motivate individuals to eat less meat. Willingness to reduce meat consumption and motives to do so are not yet fully understood.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) extended guidelines, a scoping review of peer-reviewed original studies will be conducted to address three questions: What is the evidence regarding (1) the willingness of individuals to reduce meat consumption to mitigate climate change, (2) the awareness of individuals about the link between their meat consumption and the potential to mitigate climate change and (3) individuals having reduced meat consumption for the reason of climate protection? We will search the databases Medline (via PubMed), Scopus, Embase, Greenfile (via Ebsco) and PsynDex/CurrentContent/Agris (via Livivo) using a systematic search string. Studies from 2015 onwards, published in English, German, Danish or Dutch, will be included. We will include observational studies, qualitative studies, intervention studies (if they include surveys) and reviews. Data will be summarised in a narrative synthesis, comprising methods, population characteristics, meat type under study, indicators measured and limitations. Key findings will be grouped according to the research questions. This scoping review will help clarify the role of climate protection in individual reduction of meat consumption and identify research gaps in this field.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Formal ethical approval is not required, as primary data will not be collected in this study. Findings of this scoping review will be presented at scientific conferences and published in a peer-reviewed journal.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/MWB85.}, }
@article {pmid37072206, year = {2023}, author = {Deering, S}, title = {Clinical public health, climate change, and aging.}, journal = {Canadian family physician Medecin de famille canadien}, volume = {69}, number = {4}, pages = {233-235}, doi = {10.46747/cfp.6904233}, pmid = {37072206}, issn = {1715-5258}, }
@article {pmid37071365, year = {2023}, author = {Bashir, J and Romshoo, SA}, title = {Bias-corrected climate change projections over the Upper Indus Basin using a multi-model ensemble.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37071365}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The study projects climate over the Upper Indus Basin (UIB), covering geographic areas in India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and China, under the two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), viz., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 by the late twenty-first century using the best-fit climate model validated against the climate observations from eight meteorological stations. GFDL CM3 performed better than the other five evaluated climate models in simulating the climate of the UIB. The model bias was significantly reduced by the Aerts and Droogers statistical downscaling method, and the projections overall revealed a significant increase in temperature and a slight increase in precipitation across the UIB comprising of Jhelum, Chenab, and Indus sub-basins. According to RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, the temperature and precipitation in the Jhelum are projected to increase by 3 °C and 5.2 °C and 0.8% and 3.4% respectively by the late twenty-first century. The temperature and precipitation in the Chenab are projected to increase by 3.5 °C and 4.8 °C and 8% and 8.2% respectively by the late twenty-first century under the two scenarios. The temperature and precipitation in the Indus are projected to increase by 4.8 °C and 6.5 °C and 2.6% and 8.7% respectively by the late twenty-first century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The late twenty-first century projected climate would have significant impacts on various ecosystem services and products, irrigation and socio-hydrological regimes, and various dependent livelihoods. It is therefore hoped that the high-resolution climate projections would be useful for impact assessment studies to inform policymaking for climate action in the UIB.}, }
@article {pmid37071352, year = {2023}, author = {Pickson, RB and Gui, P and Chen, A and Boateng, E}, title = {Examining the impacts of climate change and political instability on rice production: empirical evidence from Nigeria.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37071352}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The Nigerian government is committed to sustaining rice production to meet national demand. Nevertheless, political tension and climate-induced stressors remain crucial constraints in achieving policy targets. This study examines whether climate change and political instability significantly threaten rice production in Nigeria. First, we employed nonparametric methods to estimate the country's rainfall and temperature trends between 1980Q1 and 2015Q4. Second, we employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to examine the effects of climate change and political instability on rice production. The results show that while temperature has an increasing pattern, rainfall exhibits no significant trend. The findings from the ARDL estimate reveal that rice production responds negatively to temperature changes but is less sensitive to changes in rainfall. In addition, political instability adversely affects rice production in Nigeria. We argue that Nigeria's slow growth in rice production can be traced back to the impact of climate change and political tension in rice farming areas. As a result, reducing the overall degree of conflict to ensure political stability is critical to boosting the country's self-sufficiency in rice production. We also recommend that farmers be supported and trained to adopt improved rice varieties less prone to extreme climate events while supporting them with irrigation facilities to facilitate rice production.}, }
@article {pmid37070994, year = {2023}, author = {Brown, M and Schoen, JH and Gross, J and Omary, RA and Hanneman, K}, title = {Climate Change and Radiology: Impetus for Change and a Toolkit for Action.}, journal = {Radiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {230229}, doi = {10.1148/radiol.230229}, pmid = {37070994}, issn = {1527-1315}, abstract = {This special report discusses the importance of climate change for health care and radiology. The impact of climate change on human health and health equity, the contribution of health care and medical imaging to the climate crisis, and the impetus for change within radiology to create a more sustainable future are covered. The authors focus on actions and opportunities to address climate change in our role as radiologists. A toolkit highlights actions we can take toward a more sustainable future, linking each action with the expected impact and outcome. This toolkit includes a hierarchy of actions from first steps to advocating for system-level change. This includes actions we can take in our daily lives, in radiology departments and professional organizations, and in our relationships with vendors and industry partners. As radiologists, we are adept at managing rapid technological change, which makes us ideally suited to lead these initiatives. Alignment of incentives and synergies with health systems are highlighted given that many of the proposed strategies also result in cost savings.}, }
@article {pmid37070860, year = {2023}, author = {Jaff, D}, title = {Conflict, environmental destruction and climate change: a tragedy in Iraq that demands action.}, journal = {Medicine, conflict, and survival}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-10}, doi = {10.1080/13623699.2023.2200346}, pmid = {37070860}, issn = {1362-3699}, }
@article {pmid37070402, year = {2023}, author = {Scherer, L and Boom, HA and Barbarossa, V and van Bodegom, PM}, title = {Climate change threats to the global functional diversity of freshwater fish.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16723}, pmid = {37070402}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Climate change impacts on freshwater ecosystems and freshwater biodiversity show strong spatial variability, highlighting the importance of a global perspective. While previous studies on biodiversity mostly focussed on species richness, functional diversity, which is a better predictor of ecosystem functioning, has received much less attention. This study aims to comprehensively assess climate change threats to the functional diversity of freshwater fish across the world, considering three complementary metrics - functional richness, evenness, and divergence. We built on existing spatially explicit projections of geographic ranges for 11,425 riverine fish species as affected by changes in streamflow and water temperature extremes at four warming levels (1.5°C, 2.0°C, 3.2°C, and 4.5°C). To estimate functional diversity, we considered the following four continuous, morphological and physiological traits: relative head length, relative body depth, trophic level, and relative growth rate. Together, these traits cover five ecological functions. We treated missing trait values in two different ways: we either removed species with missing trait values or imputed them. Depending on the warming level, 6-25% of the locations globally face a complete loss of functional diversity when assuming no dispersal (6-17% when assuming maximal dispersal), with hotspots in the Amazon and Paraná River basins. The three facets of functional diversity do not always follow the same pattern. Sometimes, functional richness is not yet affected despite species loss, while functional evenness and divergence are already reducing. Other times, functional richness reduces, while functional evenness and/or divergence increase instead. The contrasting patterns of the three facets of functional diversity show their complementarity among each other and their added value compared to species richness. With increasing climate change, impacts on freshwater communities accelerate, making early mitigation critically important.}, }
@article {pmid37068073, year = {2023}, author = {Chen, H and Wu, YC and Cheng, CC and Teng, CY}, title = {Effect of climate change-induced water-deficit stress on long-term rice yield.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0284290}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0284290}, pmid = {37068073}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Oryza ; Weather ; Agriculture/methods ; Water ; }, abstract = {The water requirements of crops should be investigated to improve the efficiency of water use in irrigated agriculture. The main objective of the study was to assess the effects of water deficit stress on rice yields throughout the major cropping seasons. We analyzed rice yield data from field experiments in Taiwan over the period 1925-2019 to evaluate the effects of water-deficit stress on the yield of 12 rice cultivars. Weather data, including air temperatures, humidity, wind speed, sunshine duration, and rainfall were used to compute the temporal trends of reference evapotranspiration and crop water status (CWS) during rice growth stages. A negative CWS value indicates that the crop is water deficient, and a smaller value represents a lower water level (greater water-deficit stress) in crop growth. The CWS on rice growth under the initial, crop development, reproductive, and maturity stages declined by 96.9, 58.9, 24.7, and 198.6 mm in the cool cropping season and declined by 63.7, 18.1, 8.6, and 3.8 mm in the warm cropping season during the 95 years. The decreasing trends in the CWSs were used to represent the increases in water-deficit stress. The total yield change related to water-deficit stress on the cultivars from 1925-1944, 1945-1983, and 1996-2019 under the initial, crop development, reproductive, and maturity stages are -56.1 to 37.0, -77.5 to -12.3, 11.2 to 19.8, and -146.4 to 39.1 kg ha-1 in the cool cropping season and -16.5 to 8.2, -12.9 to 8.1, -2.3 to 9.0, and -9.3 to 8.0 in the warm cropping season, respectively. Our results suggest that CWS may be a determining factor for rice to thrive during the developmental stage, but not the reproductive stage. In addition, the effect of water-deficit stress has increasingly affected the growth of rice in recent years.}, }
@article {pmid37065704, year = {2023}, author = {López-Tirado, J and Gonzalez-Andújar, JL}, title = {Spatial weed distribution models under climate change: a short review.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e15220}, pmid = {37065704}, issn = {2167-8359}, mesh = {Humans ; *Introduced Species ; *Climate Change ; Commerce ; Internationality ; Europe ; Plant Weeds ; }, abstract = {Climate change is a concern worldwide that could trigger many changes with severe consequences. Since human demography is steadily increasing, agriculture has to be constantly investigated to aim at improving its efficiency. Weeds play a key role in this task, especially in the recent past and at present, when new introductions have been favoured by a rise in tourism and international trade. To obtain knowledge relating weeds and their behaviour to climate change, species distribution models (SDMs) have also increased recently. In this work, we have reviewed some articles published since 2017 on modelled weeds, aiming to give a response to, among other things, the species most studied, the scale and location of the studies, the algorithms used and validation parameters, global change scenarios, types of variables, and the sources from which the data were collected. Fifty-nine articles were selected to be reviewed, with maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and area under the curve (AUC) being the most popular software and validation processes. Environmental and topographic variables were considered above pedological and anthropogenic ones. Europe was the continent and China, the USA, and India the countries most studied. In this review, it was found that the number of published articles between developed and developing countries is unbalanced and comes out in favour of the former. The current knowledge on this topic can be considered to be good not enough, especially in developing countries with high population densities. The more knowledge we can obtain, the better our understanding is of how to deal with this issue, which is a worldwide preoccupation.}, }
@article {pmid37061184, year = {2023}, author = {Jego, L and Li, R and Roudine, S and Ma, CS and Lann, CL and Ma, G and Baaren, JV}, title = {Parasitoid ecology along geographic gradients: lessons for climate change studies.}, journal = {Current opinion in insect science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101036}, doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2023.101036}, pmid = {37061184}, issn = {2214-5753}, abstract = {One method to study the impact of climate change on host-parasitoid relationships is to compare populations along geographical gradients in latitude, altitude or longitude. Indeed, temperatures, which vary along geographic gradients directly shape the life traits of parasitoids and indirectly shift their populations through trophic interactions with hosts and plants. We explored the pros and cons of using these comparisons along gradients. We highlighted that the longitudinal gradients, although understudied, are well correlated to winter warming and summer heat waves and we draw attention to the impact of the increase in extreme events, which will probably be the determining parameters of the effect of climate change on host-parasitoid relationships.}, }
@article {pmid37059149, year = {2023}, author = {Mukhtar, H and Wunderlich, RF and Muzaffar, A and Ansari, A and Shipin, OV and Cao, TN and Lin, YP}, title = {Soil microbiome feedback to climate change and options for mitigation.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {163412}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163412}, pmid = {37059149}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Microbes are a critical component of soil ecosystems, performing crucial functions in biogeochemical cycling, carbon sequestration, and plant health. However, it remains uncertain how their community structure, functioning, and resultant nutrient cycling, including net GHG fluxes, would respond to climate change at different scales. Here, we review global and regional climate change effects on soil microbial community structure and functioning, as well as the climate-microbe feedback and plant-microbe interactions. We also synthesize recent studies on climate change impacts on terrestrial nutrient cycles and GHG fluxes across different climate-sensitive ecosystems. It is generally assumed that climate change factors (e.g., elevated CO2 and temperature) will have varying impacts on the microbial community structure (e.g., fungi-to-bacteria ratio) and their contribution toward nutrient turnover, with potential interactions that may either enhance or mitigate each other's effects. Such climate change responses, however, are difficult to generalize, even within an ecosystem, since they are subject to not only a strong regional influence of current ambient environmental and edaphic conditions, historical exposure to fluctuations, and time horizon but also to methodological choices (e.g., network construction). Finally, the potential of chemical intrusions and emerging tools, such as genetically engineered plants and microbes, as mitigation strategies against global change impacts, particularly for agroecosystems, is presented. In a rapidly evolving field, this review identifies the knowledge gaps complicating assessments and predictions of microbial climate responses and hindering the development of effective mitigation strategies.}, }
@article {pmid37058931, year = {2023}, author = {Leifeld, J}, title = {Carbon farming: Climate change mitigation via non-permanent carbon sinks.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {339}, number = {}, pages = {117893}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117893}, pmid = {37058931}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The role of carbon farming in agriculture or forestry to mitigate climate change is currently under intensive scientific discussion along with the gradual but progressing evolution of the voluntary carbon market and its certification. An overarching issue is the question of the permanence of terrestrial carbon sinks. In this comment, I discuss the climate benefit of non-permanent carbon sinks in light of a recent publication stating that carbon certificates fall short of expectations for climate change mitigation because of their non-permanence. The beneficial effect of short-lived sinks is real and quantifiable, and this understanding is applicable within ex ante biophysical discounting, which has the potential to improve the trustworthiness of climate change mitigation via carbon farming.}, }
@article {pmid37058282, year = {2023}, author = {Kubisch, EL and Fernández, JB and Ibargüengoytía, NR}, title = {Thermophysiological plasticity could buffer the effects of global warming on a Patagonian lizard.}, journal = {Journal of experimental zoology. Part A, Ecological and integrative physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/jez.2702}, pmid = {37058282}, issn = {2471-5646}, abstract = {Ecophysiological plasticity determines, to a great extent, the geographic distribution and the vulnerability of ectotherms to climate change. We studied the relationship between locomotor performance and temperature of Liolaemus elongatus lizards in three populations in northern Patagonia, Argentina, differing in thermal characteristics. We related the thermophysiological and locomotor performance parameters with the environmental conditions currently experienced by these populations and analyzed whether the expected increment of the environmental temperature due to climate change could affect these vital traits. We also determined, for one of the populations, the effects of 30 acclimation days at two temperature treatments (22°C and 30°C) on running speed, thermal preference in the laboratory (Tpref), panting threshold, and minimum critical temperature. We found that L. elongatus, despite the differences in environmental temperatures among the three sites, exhibited maximum speed at similar temperatures (optimum temperature for locomotor performance; To). The southern populations currently experience temperatures below that required to reach their maximum locomotor performance while the northernmost population is threatened by peaks of high temperatures that exceed the To . Therefore, global warming could diminish lizards' running performance in northern populations and lizards may spend more time refuging and less time on other activities such as feeding, territory defense, and dispersion. However, we show evidence of plasticity in L. elongatus locomotor performance when acclimated at high temperatures resulting in a potential advantage to cushion the effect of the rising environmental temperatures expected during climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37057656, year = {2023}, author = {Kline, O and Prunicki, M}, title = {Climate change impacts on children's respiratory health.}, journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001253}, pmid = {37057656}, issn = {1531-698X}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review examines the impact of climate change on the respiratory health of children, with a focus on temperature, humidity, air pollution, and extreme weather events. Climate change is considered the greatest health threat of our time, and childreen are especially at risk. This review is timely and relevant as it provides an overview of the current literature on the effects of climate change on children's respiratory health, and the implications of these findings for clinical practice and research.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: The findings of this review suggest that climate change has a significant impact on children's respiratory health, with temperature, humidity, air pollution, and extreme weather events being key contributory factors. Increases in extreme weather events such as heatwaves, wildfires, floods, droughts, hurricanes and dust storms all cause the health of children's respiratory system to be at increased risk.<br><br>SUMMARY: The findings of this review suggest that climate change has a significant impact on children's respiratory health, and that mitigation and adaptation strategies are necessary to protect children from the harmful effects of climate change and improve their respiratory health. Overall, a comprehensive and integrated approach is necessary to protect children from the increasing impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37056691, year = {2023}, author = {Potticary, AL and Otto, HW and McHugh, JV and Moore, AJ}, title = {Spatiotemporal variation in the competitive environment, with implications for how climate change may affect a species with parental care.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {e9972}, pmid = {37056691}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Burying beetles of the genus Nicrophorus have become a model for studying the evolution of complex parental care in laboratory studies. Nicrophorus species depend on small vertebrate carcasses to breed, which they process and provision to their begging offspring. However, vertebrate carcasses are highly sought after by a wide variety of species and so competition is expected to be critical to the evolution of parental care. Despite this, the competitive environment for Nicrophorus is rarely characterized in the wild and remains a missing factor in laboratory studies. Here, we performed a systematic sampling of Nicrophorus orbicollis living near the southern extent of their range at Whitehall Forest in Clarke County, Georgia, USA. We determined the density of N. orbicollis and other necrophilous species that may affect the availability of this breeding resource through interference or exploitation competition. In addition, we characterize body size, a key trait involved in competitive ability, for all Nicrophorus species at Whitehall Forest throughout the season. Finally, we compare our findings to other published natural history data for Nicrophorines. We document a significantly longer active season than was observed 20 years previously at Whitehall Forest for both N. orbicollis and Nicrophorus tomentosus, potentially due to climate change. As expected, the adult body size of N. orbicollis was larger than N. tomentosus, the only other Nicrophorus species that was captured in 2022 at Whitehall Forest. The other most prevalent insects captured included species in the families Staphylinidae, Histeridae, Scarabaeidae, and Elateridae, which may act as competitors or predators of Nicrophorus young. Together, our results indicate significant variation in intra- and interspecific competition relative to populations within the N. orbicollis range. These findings suggest that the competitive environment shows extensive spatiotemporal variation, providing the basis to make predictions for how ecology may influence parenting in this species.}, }
@article {pmid37056028, year = {2023}, author = {Li, WB and Yang, PP and Xia, DP and Li, M and Li, JH}, title = {Current distribution of two species of Chinese macaques (Macaca arctoides and Macaca thibetana) and the possible influence of climate change on future distribution.}, journal = {American journal of primatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e23493}, doi = {10.1002/ajp.23493}, pmid = {37056028}, issn = {1098-2345}, abstract = {Predicting the spatial distribution of species and suitable areas under global climate change could provide a reference for species conservation and long-term management strategies. Macaca thibetana and Macaca arctoides are two endangered species of Chinese macaques. However, limited information is available on their distribution, and their habitat needs lack proper assessment due to complicated taxonomy and less research attention. In recent years, scholars widely used the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model to predict the impact of global climate and certain environmental factors on species distribution. Therefore, we used the MaxEnt model to predict the spatiotemporal distribution of both macaque species under six climate change scenarios using occurrence and high-resolution ecological data. We identified climatic factors, elevation, and land cover that shape their distribution range and determined shifts in their habitat range. The results demonstrated that temperature range, annual precipitation, forest land cover, and temperature seasonality, including the precipitation of the driest month are the main factors affecting their distribution. Currently, M. thibetana is mainly concentrated in central, eastern, southern, and southwestern China, and M. arctoides is mainly concentrated in three provinces (Yunnan, Guangxi, and Guangdong) in southern China. The MaxEnt model predicted that the suitable habitat for both species will increase with increased greenhouse emission scenarios. We also found that with the further increase in greenhouse emissions M. thibetana is expected to migrate to western China, and M. arctoides is expected to migrate to western or eastern China. This reinterpretation of the distribution of M. thibetana and M. arctoides in China, and predicted potential suitable habitat and possible migration direction, may provide new insights into the future conservation and management of these two species.}, }
@article {pmid37055362, year = {2023}, author = {Alibudbud, R}, title = {Gender in Climate Change: Safeguarding LGBTQ+ Mental Health in the Philippine Climate Change Response From a Minority Stress Perspective.}, journal = {Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi}, volume = {56}, number = {2}, pages = {196-199}, pmid = {37055362}, issn = {2233-4521}, mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Mental Health ; Climate Change ; Philippines ; *Sexual and Gender Minorities ; Sexual Behavior/psychology ; }, abstract = {Climate-related events unevenly affect society, worsening mental health disparities among vulnerable populations. This paper highlights that lesbians, gays, bisexuals, transgender, queers, and other individuals identifying as sexual and gender minorities (LGBTQ+) could be considered a climate-vulnerable population in the Philippines, one of the most climate-vulnerable countries. As such, this paper elucidated that LGBTQ+ Filipinos can be marginalized in climate response efforts due to their sexual orientation and gender minority identities. According to the minority stress theory, discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals may predispose them to mental health problems. Thus, there is a need to institute an LGBTQ+ inclusive mental health response for climate-related events to address discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals and uphold their mental health.}, }
@article {pmid37054799, year = {2023}, author = {Dias, M and Paula, JR and Pousão-Ferreira, P and Casal, S and Cruz, R and Cunha, SC and Rosa, R and Marques, A and Anacleto, P and Maulvault, AL}, title = {Combined effects of climate change and BDE-209 dietary exposure on the behavioural response of the white seabream, Diplodus sargus.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {881}, number = {}, pages = {163400}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163400}, pmid = {37054799}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Decabromodiphenyl-ether (BDE-209) is a persistent organic pollutant ubiquitously found in marine environments worldwide. Even though this emerging chemical contaminant is described as highly toxic, bioaccumulative and biomagnifiable, limited studies have addressed the ecotoxicological implications associated with its exposure in non-target marine organisms, particularly from a behavioural standpoint. Alongside, seawater acidification and warming have been intensifying their impacts on marine ecosystems over the years, compromising species welfare and survival. BDE-209 exposure as well as seawater acidification and warming are known to affect fish behaviour, but information regarding their interactive effects is not available. In this study, long-term effects of BDE-209 contamination, seawater acidification and warming were studied on different behavioural traits of Diplodus sargus juveniles. Our results showed that D. sargus exhibited a marked sensitivity in all the behaviour responses after dietary exposure to BDE-209. Fish exposed to BDE-209 alone revealed lower awareness of a risky situation, increased activity, less time spent within the shoal, and reversed lateralization when compared to fish from the Control treatment. However, when acidification and/or warming were added to the equation, behavioural patterns were overall altered. Fish exposed to acidification alone exhibited increased anxiety, being less active, spending more time within the shoal, while presenting a reversed lateralization. Finally, fish exposed to warming alone were more anxious and spent more time within the shoal compared to those of the Control treatment. These novel findings not only confirm the neurotoxicological attributes of brominated flame retardants (like BDE-209), but also highlight the relevance of accounting for the effects of abiotic variables (e.g. pH and seawater temperature) when investigating the impacts of environmental contaminants on marine life.}, }
@article {pmid37054776, year = {2023}, author = {Balakrishnan, B and Callahan, SJ and Cherian, SV and Subramanian, A and Sarkar, S and Bhatt, N and Scholand, MB}, title = {Climate Change for the Pulmonologist: A Focused Review.}, journal = {Chest}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.chest.2023.04.009}, pmid = {37054776}, issn = {1931-3543}, abstract = {TOPIC IMPORTANCE: Climate change adversely impacts global health. Increasingly, the temperature variability, inclement weather, declining air quality, and growing food and clean water supply insecurities threaten human health. Earth's temperature is projected to increase up to 6.4°C by the end of the 21[st] century, exacerbating the threat. The public and healthcare professionals, including pulmonologists, perceive the detrimental effects of climate change and air pollution; they support efforts to mitigate its effects. In fact, there is strong evidence of premature cardiopulmonary deaths associated with air pollution exposure via inhalation through the respiratory system, which functions as a portal of entry. However, little guidance is available for pulmonologists in recognizing the effects of climate change and air pollution on the diverse range of pulmonary disorders.<br><br>REVIEW FINDINGS: To competently educate and mitigate risk for patients, pulmonologists must be armed with evidence-based findings of the impact of climate change and air pollution on specific pulmonary diseases. Our goal is to provide pulmonologists with the background and tools to improve patients' health and prevent adverse outcomes despite climate change-imposed threats.<br><br>SUMMARY: In this review, we detail current evidence of climate change and air pollution impact on a diverse range of pulmonary disorders. Knowledge enables a proactive and individualized approach towards prevention strategies for patients rather than merely treating ailments reactively.}, }
@article {pmid37054459, year = {2023}, author = {Woodall, MJ and Ma, J and Emett, K and Hamblin, APE and Knowles, K and Lee, TH and Mitchell, W and Ofoia, WI and Topeto, LR and Dockerty, JD and Hancox, RJ}, title = {Investigating attitudes and insights into the global warming impact of inhalers.}, journal = {The New Zealand medical journal}, volume = {136}, number = {1573}, pages = {94-105}, pmid = {37054459}, issn = {1175-8716}, mesh = {Humans ; *Global Warming ; New Zealand ; *Metered Dose Inhalers ; Dry Powder Inhalers ; Carbon Footprint ; Administration, Inhalation ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Inhalers are commonly used in the management of respiratory diseases. The propellants used in pressurised metered dose inhalers (pMDIs) are potent greenhouse gases and carry a substantial global warming potential. Dry powder inhalers (DPIs) are propellant-free alternatives that have fewer consequences on the environment, while being equally effective. In this study, we assessed patients' and clinicians' attitudes towards choosing inhalers that have a lesser environmental impact.<br><br>METHODS: Surveys of patients and practitioners were undertaken in primary and secondary care settings in Dunedin and Invercargill. Fifty-three patient and 16 practitioner responses were obtained.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-four percent of patients were using pMDIs, while 53% were using DPIs. Sixty-nine percent of patients believed that the environment is an important consideration when switching inhalers. Sixty-three percent of practitioners were aware of the global warming potential of inhalers. Despite this, 56% of practitioners predominantly prescribe or recommend pMDIs. The 44% of practitioners who mostly prescribe DPIs were more comfortable doing so based on environmental impact alone.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Most respondents believe global warming is an important issue and would consider changing their inhaler to a more environmentally friendly type. Many people were not aware that pressurised metered dose inhalers have a substantial carbon footprint. Greater awareness of their environmental impacts may encourage the use of inhalers with lower global warming potential.}, }
@article {pmid37053316, year = {2023}, author = {Yuan, X and Wang, Y and Ji, P and Wu, P and Sheffield, J and Otkin, JA}, title = {A global transition to flash droughts under climate change.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {380}, number = {6641}, pages = {187-191}, doi = {10.1126/science.abn6301}, pmid = {37053316}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Flash droughts have occurred frequently worldwide, with a rapid onset that challenges drought monitoring and forecasting capabilities. However, there is no consensus on whether flash droughts have become the new normal because slow droughts may also increase. In this study, we show that drought intensification rates have sped up over subseasonal time scales and that there has been a transition toward more flash droughts over 74% of the global regions identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Extreme Events during the past 64 years. The transition is associated with amplified anomalies of evapotranspiration and precipitation deficit caused by anthropogenic climate change. In the future, the transition is projected to expand to most land areas, with larger increases under higher-emission scenarios. These findings underscore the urgency for adapting to faster-onset droughts in a warmer future.}, }
@article {pmid37052622, year = {2023}, author = {Bernhardt, JM and Breakey, S and Cox, R and Olayinka, O and Quinn, L and Simmonds, K and Atkin, K and Sipe, M and Nicholas, PK}, title = {Development of a screening tool for assessment of climate change-related heat illness in the clinical setting.}, journal = {Journal of the American Association of Nurse Practitioners}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37052622}, issn = {2327-6924}, abstract = {Extreme heat contributes to heat-related illnesses resulting from heat intolerance, which is the inability to maintain a thermal balance to tolerate heat stress. In the United States, heat-related mortality for older persons has almost doubled in the past 20 years. Other populations at risk for heat-related illness (HRI) include children, pregnant people, those who work outside, young people participating in outdoor sports, and at-risk populations such as Black, indigenous, and populations of color. The classic heat tolerance test used for decades monitoring physiological responses to repetitive motions is impractical across large and potentially health challenged populations and does not identify environmental or social factors or specific vulnerable populations. To address this issue, we developed a heat-related illness screening tool (HIST) to identify individuals at risk for HRI morbidity and mortality based on their physical, environmental, and social vulnerabilities with an emphasis on populations of concern. The HIST has the potential to be used as routine clinical screening in the same way as other commonly used screening tools. Heat intolerance affects patient outcomes and quality of life; therefore, early screening with a simple, easy-to-administer screening tool such as the HIST can identify people at risk and refer them to services that address heat exposure and/or create safety nets to prevent heat-related illnesses.}, }
@article {pmid37050185, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, M and Hu, Z and Wang, Y and Zhao, W}, title = {Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Suitable Planting Areas for Pyrus Species under Climate Change in China.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {7}, pages = {}, pmid = {37050185}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Planting suitability determines the distribution and yield of crops in a given region which can be greatly affected by climate change. In recent years, many studies have shown that carbon dioxide fertilization effects increase the productivity of temperate deciduous fruit trees under a changing climate, but the potential risks to fruit tree planting caused by a reduction in suitable planting areas are rarely reported. In this study, Maxent was first used to investigate the spatial distribution of five Pyrus species in China, and the consistency between the actual production area and the modeled climatically suitable area under the current climatic conditions were determined. In addition, based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, three climate models were used to simulate the change in suitable area and the migration trend for different species under different emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). The results showed that the suitable area for pear was highly consistent with the actual main production area under current climate conditions. The potential planting areas of P. ussuriensis showed a downward trend under all emission paths from 2020 to 2100; other species showed a trend of increasing first and then decreasing or slowing down and this growth effect was the most obvious in 2020-2040. Except for P. pashia, other species showed a migration trend toward a high latitude, and the trend was more prominent under the high emission path. Our results emphasize the response difference between species to climate change, and the method of consistency analysis between suitable planting area and actual production regions cannot only evaluate the potential planting risk but also provide a reasonable idea for the accuracy test of the modeled results. This work has certain guiding and reference significance for the protection of pear germplasm resources and the prediction of yield.}, }
@article {pmid37048347, year = {2023}, author = {Nechita, C and Iordache, AM and Voica, C and Costinel, D and Botoran, OR and Popescu, DI and Șuvar, NS}, title = {Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {7}, pages = {}, pmid = {37048347}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {The climate warming trend challenges the chemical risk associated with wine production worldwide. The present study investigated the possible difference between chemical wine profile during the drought year 2012 compared to the post-drought year 2013. Toxic metals (Cd and Pb), microelements (Mn, Ni, Zn, Al, Ba, and Cu), macroelements (Na, Mg, K, Ca, and P), isotopic ratios ([87]Sr/[86]Sr and [206]Pb/[207]Pb), stable isotopes (δ[18]O, δ[13]C, (D/H)I, and (D/H)II), and climatic data were analyzed. The multivariate technique, correlation analysis, factor analysis, partial least squares-discriminant analysis, and hierarchical cluster analysis were used for data interpretation. The maximum temperature had a maximum difference when comparing data year apart. Indeed, extreme droughts were noted in only the spring and early summer of 2012 and in 2013, which increased the mean value of ground frost days. The microelements, macroelements, and Pb presented extreme effects in 2012, emphasizing more variability in terms of the type of wine. Extremely high Cd values were found in the wine samples analyzed, at up to 10.1 µg/L. The relationship between precipitation and δ[18]O from wine was complex, indicating grape formation under the systematic influence of the current year precipitation, and differences between years were noted. δ[13]C had disentangled values, with no differentiation between years, and when coupled with the deuterium-hydrogen ratio, it could sustain the hypothesis of possible adulteration. In the current analysis, the [87]Sr/[86]Sr showed higher values than in other Romanian studies. The temperature had a strong positive correlation with Pb, while the ground frost day frequency correlated with both Pb and Cd toxic elements in the wine. Other significant relationships were disclosed between the chemical properties of wine and climate data. The multivariate statistical analysis indicated that heat stress had significant importance in the chemical profile of the wine, and the ground frost exceeded the influence of water stress, especially in Transylvania.}, }
@article {pmid37045937, year = {2023}, author = {Yoshikawa, T and Koide, D and Yokomizo, H and Kim, JY and Kadoya, T}, title = {Assessing ecosystem vulnerability under severe uncertainty of global climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {5932}, pmid = {37045937}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Assessing the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of species, communities, and ecosystems is essential for successful conservation. Climate change, however, induces extreme uncertainty in various pathways of assessments, which hampers robust decision-making for conservation. Here, we developed a framework that allows us to quantify the level of acceptable uncertainty as a metric of ecosystem robustness, considering the uncertainty due to climate change. Under the framework, utilizing a key concept from info-gap decision theory, vulnerability is measured as the inverse of maximum acceptable uncertainty to fulfill the minimum required goal for conservation. We applied the framework to 42 natural forest ecosystems and assessed their acceptable uncertainties in terms of maintenance of species richness and forest functional type. Based on best-guess estimate of future temperature in various GCM models and RCP scenarios, and assuming that tree species survival is primarily determined by mean annual temperature, we performed simulations with increasing deviation from the best-guess temperature. Our simulations indicated that the acceptable uncertainty varied greatly among the forest plots, presumably reflecting the distribution of ecological traits and niches among species within the communities. Our framework provides acceptable uncertainty as an operational metric of ecosystem robustness under uncertainty, while incorporating both system properties and socioeconomic conditions. We argue that our framework can enhance social consensus building and decision-making in the face of the extreme uncertainty induced by global climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37043912, year = {2023}, author = {Mazaris, AD and Dimitriadis, C and Papazekou, M and Schofield, G and Doxa, A and Chatzimentor, A and Turkozan, O and Katsanevakis, S and Lioliou, A and Abalo-Morla, S and Aksissou, M and Arcangeli, A and Attard, V and El Hili, HA and Atzori, F and Belda, EJ and Ben Nakhla, L and Berbash, AA and Bjorndal, KA and Broderick, AC and Camiñas, JA and Candan, O and Cardona, L and Cetkovic, I and Dakik, N and de Lucia, GA and Dimitrakopoulos, PG and Diryaq, S and Favilli, C and Fortuna, CM and Fuller, WJ and Gallon, S and Hamza, A and Jribi, I and Ben Ismail, M and Kamarianakis, Y and Kaska, Y and Korro, K and Koutsoubas, D and Lauriano, G and Lazar, B and March, D and Marco, A and Minotou, C and Monsinjon, JR and Naguib, NM and Palialexis, A and Piroli, V and Sami, K and Sönmez, B and Sourbès, L and Sözbilen, D and Vandeperre, F and Vignes, P and Xanthakis, M and Köpsel, V and Peck, MA}, title = {Priorities for Mediterranean marine turtle conservation and management in the face of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {339}, number = {}, pages = {117805}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117805}, pmid = {37043912}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {As climate-related impacts threaten marine biodiversity globally, it is important to adjust conservation efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change. Translating scientific knowledge into practical management, however, is often complicated due to resource, economic and policy constraints, generating a knowledge-action gap. To develop potential solutions for marine turtle conservation, we explored the perceptions of key actors across 18 countries in the Mediterranean. These actors evaluated their perceived relative importance of 19 adaptation and mitigation measures that could safeguard marine turtles from climate change. Of importance, despite differences in expertise, experience and focal country, the perceptions of researchers and management practitioners largely converged with respect to prioritizing adaptation and mitigation measures. Climate change was considered to have the greatest impacts on offspring sex ratios and suitable nesting sites. The most viable adaptation/mitigation measures were considered to be reducing other pressures that act in parallel to climate change. Ecological effectiveness represented a key determinant for implementing proposed measures, followed by practical applicability, financial cost, and societal cost. This convergence in opinions across actors likely reflects long-standing initiatives in the Mediterranean region towards supporting knowledge exchange in marine turtle conservation. Our results provide important guidance on how to prioritize measures that incorporate climate change in decision-making processes related to the current and future management and protection of marine turtles at the ocean-basin scale, and could be used to guide decisions in other regions globally. Importantly, this study demonstrates a successful example of how interactive processes can be used to fill the knowledge-action gap between research and management.}, }
@article {pmid37043299, year = {2023}, author = {Fan, W and Zlatnik, MG}, title = {Climate Change and Pregnancy: Risks, Mitigation, Adaptation, and Resilience.}, journal = {Obstetrical &amp; gynecological survey}, volume = {78}, number = {4}, pages = {223-236}, doi = {10.1097/OGX.0000000000001116}, pmid = {37043299}, issn = {1533-9866}, mesh = {Animals ; Child ; Female ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn ; Pregnancy ; *Climate Change ; *Premature Birth ; Public Health ; Air Pollution ; Reproductive Health ; Environmental Exposure ; *Adaptation, Psychological ; *Resilience, Psychological ; *Pregnancy Complications/etiology ; }, abstract = {IMPORTANCE: Climate change is affecting the earth, resulting in more extreme temperatures and weather, rising sea levels, more frequent natural disasters, and displacement of populations of plants and animals, including people and insects. These changes affect food and housing security, vector-borne illnesses, and access to clean air and water, all of which influence human health.<br><br>EVIDENCE AND RESULTS: There are a number of adverse health outcomes linked to heat, air pollution from wildfires, stress from natural disasters, and other elements of climate change. Pregnant people are especially vulnerable to the health harms resulting from climate change, namely, preterm birth, small for gestational age, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, and other adverse reproductive health and birth outcomes. Strategies to minimize these harms include mitigation and adaptation.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Physicians are in a unique position to protect the health of pregnant persons and children by advocating for policy changes that address climate change and providing clinical recommendations for patients to protect themselves from the health impacts of climate hazards.}, }
@article {pmid37043020, year = {2023}, author = {Chandu, N and Eldho, TI and Mondal, A}, title = {A regional scale impact and uncertainty assessment of climate change in the Western Ghats in India.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {5}, pages = {555}, pmid = {37043020}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {Humans ; Uncertainty ; *Climate Change ; Reproducibility of Results ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; India ; *Sexually Transmitted Diseases ; }, abstract = {The general circulation models (GCMs) and emission scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) have proven to be significantly functional in evaluating the impacts of climate change (CC) on hydrology, although their performance and accuracy varies on a regional scale. The objective of the present study is to evaluate the performance of five CMIP5 GCMs (CanESM2, BNU-ESM, CNRM-CM5, MPI-ESM-LR and MPI-ESM-MR) on a regional scale in the West Flowing River Basins-2 (WFRB-2) in India to model the impact of CC and its scenario uncertainty using reliability ensemble average (REA) method. For quantifying the results, the upper, middle and lower regions of WFRB-2 are separately analysed. The MPIMR and MPILR GCM model shows highest reliability factor range (0.3-0.6) in predicting the annual mean and annual maximum rainfall for most of the grids in the region. The GCM-simulated runoff using VIC (variable infiltration capacity) model is evaluated using statistical parameters such as root mean square error (RMSE), percentage bias (Pbias) and standard deviation (Std). The annual mean (maximum) runoff obtained using REA ensemble shows least RMSE, Pbias and Std values, i.e. 21.08%, 9.10 mm and 8.9 mm (6%, 39.1 mm, 39.1 mm), respectively for the middle region, which demonstrates higher reliability of GCM outputs in the flood-prone regions of WFRB-2. Furthermore, the future projection of annual maximum rainfall/runoff shows an increase of 50 mm/15 mm in the near future (2011-2040) for lower and 20 mm/6 mm for middle regions, which may cause flooding activities in the lower and middle region of WFRB-2.}, }
@article {pmid37042448, year = {2023}, author = {Potter, T and Jonker, TP}, title = {Mental Health Impacts of Climate Change for Birthing People and the Provider's Role.}, journal = {Journal of midwifery &amp; women's health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jmwh.13492}, pmid = {37042448}, issn = {1542-2011}, }
@article {pmid37041630, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, X and Jiang, Y and Wu, W and He, X and Wang, Z and Guan, Y and Xu, N and Chen, Q and Shen, Y and Cao, J}, title = {Cryptosporidiosis threat under climate change in China: prediction and validation of habitat suitability and outbreak risk for human-derived Cryptosporidium based on ecological niche models.}, journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {35}, pmid = {37041630}, issn = {2049-9957}, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *Cryptosporidiosis ; *Cryptosporidium ; Ecosystem ; Disease Outbreaks ; China ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Cryptosporidiosis is a zoonotic intestinal infectious disease caused by Cryptosporidium spp., and its transmission is highly influenced by climate factors. In the present study, the potential spatial distribution of Cryptosporidium in China was predicted based on ecological niche models for cryptosporidiosis epidemic risk warning and prevention and control.<br><br>METHODS: The applicability of existing Cryptosporidium presence points in ENM analysis was investigated based on data from monitoring sites in 2011-2019. Cryptosporidium occurrence data for China and neighboring countries were extracted and used to construct the ENMs, namely Maxent, Bioclim, Domain, and Garp. Models were evaluated based on Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, Kappa, and True Skill Statistic coefficients. The best model was constructed using Cryptosporidium data and climate variables during 1986&#x2012;2010, and used to analyze the effects of climate factors on Cryptosporidium distribution. The climate variables for the period 2011&#x2012;2100 were projected to the simulation results to predict the ecological adaptability and potential distribution of Cryptosporidium in future in China.<br><br>RESULTS: The Maxent model (AUC&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.95, maximum Kappa&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.91, maximum TSS&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.00) fit better than the other three models and was thus considered the best ENM for predicting Cryptosporidium habitat suitability. The major suitable habitats for human-derived Cryptosporidium in China were located in some high-population density areas, especially in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the lower reaches of the Yellow River, and the Huai and the Pearl River Basins (cloglog value of habitat suitability&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.9). Under future climate change, non-suitable habitats for Cryptosporidium will shrink, while highly suitable habitats will expand significantly (&#x3c7;[2]&#x2009;=&#x2009;76.641, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01; &#x3c7;[2]&#x2009;=&#x2009;86.836, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.01), and the main changes will likely be concentrated in the northeastern, southwestern, and northwestern regions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The Maxent model is applicable in prediction of Cryptosporidium habitat suitability and can achieve excellent simulation results. These results suggest a current high risk of transmission and significant pressure for cryptosporidiosis prevention and control in China. Against a future climate change background, Cryptosporidium may gain more suitable habitats within China. Constructing a national surveillance network could facilitate further elucidation of the epidemiological trends and transmission patterns of cryptosporidiosis, and mitigate the associated epidemic and outbreak risks.}, }
@article {pmid37041289, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {A glacier's catastrophic collapse is linked to global warming.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {616}, number = {7957}, pages = {414}, pmid = {37041289}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid37040931, year = {2023}, author = {Hu, AQ and Xie, XD and Gong, KJ and Hou, YH and Hu, JL}, title = {[Impact of Climate Change on Summer Ozone in China].}, journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue}, volume = {44}, number = {4}, pages = {1801-1810}, doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202203085}, pmid = {37040931}, issn = {0250-3301}, abstract = {Meteorological conditions have important impacts on surface ozone (O3) formation. To evaluate the influence of future climate change on O3 concentrations in different regions of China, this study employed the climate data from the community earth system model provided by the CMIP5 under the RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios to generate the initial and boundary conditions for the WRF model. Then, the dynamic downscaling WRF results were fed into a CMAQ model as meteorological fields with fixed emission data. Two 10-year periods (2006-2015 and 2046-2055) were selected in this study to discuss the impacts of climate change on O3. The results showed that climate change increased boundary layer height, mean temperature, and heatwave days in China during summer. Relative humidity decreased and wind speed near the surface showed no obvious change in the future. O3 concentration showed an increasing trend in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Sichuan Basin, and South China. The extreme value of O3 maximum daily 8-hour moving average (MDA8) showed an increasing trend, following the order of RCP8.5 (0.7 μg·m[-3])>RCP6.0 (0.3 μg·m[-3])>RCP4.5 (0.2 μg·m[-3]). The number of days exceeding the standard for summer O3 had a similar spatial distribution with the heatwave days in China. The increase in heatwave days led to the increase in O3 extreme pollution events, and the possibility of a long-lasting O3 pollution event will increase in China in the future.}, }
@article {pmid37039030, year = {2023}, author = {Wu, H and Nilsson, O}, title = {Threatened forests: As the Northern forests suffer from the effects of climate change, genomics has great potential to help them adapt: As the Northern forests suffer from the effects of climate change, genomics has great potential to help them adapt.}, journal = {EMBO reports}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e57106}, doi = {10.15252/embr.202357106}, pmid = {37039030}, issn = {1469-3178}, abstract = {Climate change is having dramatic effects on forest health and growth - tree genomics provides tools for understanding and mitigating these effects.}, }
@article {pmid37038592, year = {2023}, author = {Merz, E and Saberski, E and Gilarranz, LJ and Isles, PDF and Sugihara, G and Berger, C and Pomati, F}, title = {Disruption of ecological networks in lakes by climate change and nutrient fluctuations.}, journal = {Nature climate change}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {389-396}, pmid = {37038592}, issn = {1758-678X}, abstract = {Climate change interacts with local processes to threaten biodiversity by disrupting the complex network of ecological interactions. While changes in network interactions drastically affect ecosystems, how ecological networks respond to climate change, in particular warming and nutrient supply fluctuations, is largely unknown. Here, using an equation-free modelling approach on monthly plankton community data in ten Swiss lakes, we show that the number and strength of plankton community interactions fluctuate and respond nonlinearly to water temperature and phosphorus. While lakes show system-specific responses, warming generally reduces network interactions, particularly under high phosphate levels. This network reorganization shifts trophic control of food webs, leading to consumers being controlled by resources. Small grazers and cyanobacteria emerge as sensitive indicators of changes in plankton networks. By exposing the outcomes of a complex interplay between environmental drivers, our results provide tools for studying and advancing our understanding of how climate change impacts entire ecological communities.}, }
@article {pmid37037767, year = {2023}, author = {Junejo, MH and Khan, S and Larik, EA and Akinkugbe, A and O'Toole, EA and Sethi, A}, title = {Flooding and Climate Change and Its Effect on Skin Disease.}, journal = {The Journal of investigative dermatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jid.2023.02.024}, pmid = {37037767}, issn = {1523-1747}, }
@article {pmid37036870, year = {2023}, author = {Puche, NJB and Kirschbaum, MUF and Viovy, N and Chabbi, A}, title = {Potential impacts of climate change on the productivity and soil carbon stocks of managed grasslands.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0283370}, pmid = {37036870}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Soil ; *Carbon ; Ecosystem ; Grassland ; Climate Change ; Carbon Dioxide ; }, abstract = {Rain-fed pastoral systems are tightly connected to meteorological conditions. It is, therefore, likely that climate change, including changing atmospheric CO2 concentration, temperature, precipitation and patterns of climate extremes, will greatly affect pastoral systems. However, exact impacts on the productivity and carbon dynamics of these systems are still poorly understood, particularly over longtime scales. The present study assesses the potential effects of future climatic conditions on productivity and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks of mowed and rotationally grazed grasslands in France. We used the CenW ecosystem model to simulate carbon, water, and nitrogen cycles in response to changes in environmental drivers and management practices. We first evaluated model responses to individual changes in each key meteorological variable to get better insights into the role and importance of each individual variable. Then, we used 3 sets of meteorological variables corresponding to 3 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) for long-term model runs from 1975 to 2100. Finally, we used the same three RCPs to analyze the responses of modelled grasslands to extreme climate events. We found that increasing temperature slightly increased grasslands productivities but strongly reduced SOC stocks. A reduction in precipitation led to reductions of biomass and milk production but increased SOC. Conversely, doubling CO2 concentration strongly increased biomass and milk production and marginally reduced SOC. These SOC trends were unexpected. They arose because both increasing precipitation and CO2 increased photosynthetic carbon gain, but they had an even greater effect on the proportion of biomass that could be grazed. The amount of carbon remaining on site and able to contribute to SOC formation was actually reduced under both higher precipitation and CO2. The simulations under the three RCPs indicated that grassland productivity was increased, but that required higher N fertilizer application rates and also led to substantial SOC losses. We thus conclude that, while milk productivity may continue at current rates under climate change, or even increase slightly, there could be some soil C losses over the 21st century. In addition, under the highest-emission scenario, the increasing importance of extreme climate conditions (heat waves and droughts) might render conditions at our site in some years as unsuitable for milk production. It highlights the importance of tailoring farming practices to achieve the dual goals of maintaining agricultural production while safeguarding soil C stocks.}, }
@article {pmid37036450, year = {2023}, author = {Al Wazni, AB and Chapman, MV and Ansong, D and Tawfik, L}, title = {Climate Change, Fragility, and Child Mortality; Understanding the Role of Water Access and Diarrheal Disease Amongst Children Under Five During the MDG Era.}, journal = {Journal of prevention (2022)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37036450}, issn = {2731-5541}, abstract = {The present study examined the influence of improvements to Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH) infrastructure on rates of under-five mortality specifically from diarrheal disease amongst children in fragile states. The World Bank's Millennium Development Goals and Sustainable Development Goals both include a specific target of reduction in preventable disease amongst children, as well as goal to improve WASH. Although gains have been made, children under the age of five remain particularly vulnerable to diarrheal mortality in states identified as fragile. Increasingly, climate change is placing undue pressure on states labeled fragile due to their inability to properly prepare for, or respond to, natural disasters that further compromise WASH development and water safety. The impact of climate change upon child health outcomes is neither direct nor linear and necessitates a linkage framework that can account for complex pathways between environmental pressures and public health outcomes. The World Health Organization's Drive Force-Pressure-State-Exposure-Effect-Action conceptual framework was used to draw the connections between seemingly disparate, and highly nuanced, environmental, and social measures. Using a multilevel hierarchical model, this analysis used a publicly available UNICEF data set that reported rates of mortality specifically from diarrheal disease amongst children age five and younger. All 171 formally recognized countries were included, which showed a decline in diarrheal disease over time when investments in WASH infrastructure are compared. As states experience increased pressure because of climate change, this area of intervention is key for immediate health and safety of children under-five, as well as assisting fragile states long-term as the move toward stability.}, }
@article {pmid37035783, year = {2023}, author = {The Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific, }, title = {Water, climate change, and health in the Western Pacific Region.}, journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific}, volume = {32}, number = {}, pages = {100753}, doi = {10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100753}, pmid = {37035783}, issn = {2666-6065}, }
@article {pmid37035024, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, L and Yuan, S and Wang, X and Yang, G and Xiangcheng, P and Yu, X and Wang, F and Huang, J and Peng, S}, title = {Productivity and global warming potential of direct seeding and transplanting in double-season rice of central China.}, journal = {Food and energy security}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {e419}, pmid = {37035024}, issn = {2048-3694}, abstract = {Labor and water scarcity requires crop establishment of double-season rice to be shifted from traditional transplanting to direct seeding. Owing to the limited thermal time, only ultrashort-duration cultivars of about 95 d can be used for direct-seeded, double-season rice (DDR) in central China. However, whether the shift in crop establishment of double-season rice can reduce greenhouse gas emissions without yield penalty remains unclear. Field experiments were conducted in Hubei province, central China with three treatments of crop establishment in the early and late seasons of 2017 and 2018. Treatments included DDR with ultrashort-duration cultivars (DDRU), transplanted double-season rice with ultrashort-duration cultivars (TDRU), or with widely grown cultivars which have short duration of about 110 d (TDRS). It was found that crop growth duration of DDRU was 6-20 days shorter than that of TDRU and TDRS, respectively. Ultrashort-duration cultivars under DDRU achieved 15.1 t ha[-1] of annual yield that was 9.4% higher than TDRU, and only 3.2% lower than TDRS. DDRU reduced the annual cumulative CH4 emission by 32.0-46.1%, but had no difference in N2O emission in comparison with TDRU and TDRS. The highest CO2 emission was TDRS followed by DDRU, and then TDRU. As a result, shifting from TDRU and TDRS to DDRU decreased global warming potential and yield-scaled greenhouse gas intensity by 28.9-53.2% and 20.7-63.8%, respectively. These findings suggest that DDR can be a promising alternative to labor- and water-intensive TDR in central China that offers important advantages in mitigating agricultural greenhouse gas emissions without sacrificing grain yield.}, }
@article {pmid37034244, year = {2023}, author = {Khalid, A and Babry, JA and Vearey, J and Zenner, D}, title = {Turning up the heat: A conceptual model for understanding the migration and health in the context of global climate change.}, journal = {Journal of migration and health}, volume = {7}, number = {}, pages = {100172}, pmid = {37034244}, issn = {2666-6235}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The triangular relationship between climate change-related events, patterns of human migration and their implications for health is an important yet understudied issue. To improve understanding of this complex relationship, a comprehensive, interdisciplinary conceptual model will be useful. This paper investigates relationships between these factors and considers their impacts for affected populations globally.<br><br>METHODS: A desk review of key literature was undertaken. An open-ended questionnaire consisting of 11 items was designed focusing on three themes:&#xa0;predicting population migration by understanding key variables, health implications, and suggestions on policy and research. After using purposive sampling we selected nine experts, reflecting diverse regional and professional backgrounds directly related to our research focus area.&#xa0;All responses were thematically analysed and key themes from the survey were synthesised to construct the conceptual model focusing on describing the relationship between global climate change, migration and health implications and a second model focusing on actionable suggestions for organisations working in the field, academia and policymakers.<br><br>RESULTS: Key themes which constitute our conceptual model included: a description of migrant populations perceived to be at risk; health characteristics associated with different migratory patterns; health implications for both migrants and host populations; the responsibilities of global and local governance actors; and social and structural determinants of health. Less prominent themes were aspects related to slow-onset migratory patterns, voluntary stay, and voluntary migration.&#xa0;Actionable suggestions include an interdisciplinary and innovative approach to study the phenomenon for academicians, preparedness and globalized training and awareness for field organisations and migrant inclusive and climate sensitive approach for policymakers.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Contrary to common narratives, participants framed the impacts of climate change-related events on migration patterns and their health implications as non-linear and indirect, comprising many interrelated individual, social, cultural, demographic, geographical, structural, and political determinants. An understanding of these interactions in various contexts is essential for risk reduction and preventative measures. The way forward broadly includes inclusive and equity-based health services, improved and faster administrative systems, less restrictive (im)migration policies, globally trained staff, efficient and accessible research, and improved emergency response capabilities. The focus should be to increase preventative and adaptation measures in the face of any environmental changes and respond efficiently to different phases of migration to aim for better "health for all and promote universal well-being" (WHO) (World&#xa0;Health Organization 1999).}, }
@article {pmid37034242, year = {2023}, author = {Issa, R and Sarsour, A and Cullip, T and Toma, S and Ruyssen, I and Scheerens, C}, title = {Gaps and opportunities in the climate change, migration and health nexus: Insights from a questionnaire based study of practitioners and researchers.}, journal = {Journal of migration and health}, volume = {7}, number = {}, pages = {100171}, pmid = {37034242}, issn = {2666-6235}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: : While climate change and migration are separately recognised as public health challenges, the combination of the two - climate change-induced migration which is predicted to increase through this century - requires further research to ensure population health needs are met. As such, this paper aims to identify initial gaps and opportunities in the nexus of climate change, migration and health research.<br><br>METHODS: : We conducted a questionnaire based study of academics and practitioners working in the fields of climate change, migration and health. Open-ended responses were thematically analysed.<br><br>RESULTS: : Responses from 72 practitioners collected in October 2021 were categorised into a thematic framework encompassing i) gaps and opportunities: across health care and outcomes, impact pathways between climate change and migration, most at risk groups (specific actors) and regions, and longitudinal perspectives on migrant journeys; alongside ii) methodological challenges; iii) ethical challenges, and iv) advancing research with better funding and collaboration. Broadly, findings suggested that research must clarify the interlinkages and drivers between climate change, migration, health (systems), and intersecting factors including the broader determinants of health. Study of the dynamics of migration needs to extend beyond the current focus of rural-urban migration and international migration into high income countries, to include internal displacement and immobile/ trapped populations. Research could better include considerations of vulnerable groups currently underrepresented, people with specific health needs, and focus more on most at-risk regions. Research methodology could be strengthened through better data and definitions, clear ethical guidelines, and increased funding and collaboration.<br><br>CONCLUSION: : This study describes gaps, challenges and needs within research on the nexus of climate change, migration and health, in acknowledgement of the complexity of studying across multiple intersecting factors. Working with complexity can be supported by using the framework and findings to support researchers grappling with these intersecting themes.}, }
@article {pmid37033200, year = {2023}, author = {Scoones, I}, title = {Livestock, methane, and climate change: The politics of global assessments.}, journal = {Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {e790}, pmid = {37033200}, issn = {1757-7780}, abstract = {The relationship between livestock production and climate change is the subject of hot debate, with arguments for major shifts in diets and a reduction in livestock production. This Perspective examines how global assessments of livestock-derived methane emissions are framed, identifying assumptions and data gaps that influence standard life-cycle analysis approaches. These include inadequate data due to a focus on industrial not extensive systems; errors arising due to inappropriate emission factors being applied; questions of how global warming potentials are derived for different greenhouse gases and debates about what baselines are appropriate. The article argues for a holistic systems approach that takes account of diverse livestock systems-both intensive and extensive-including both positive and negative impacts. In particular, the potential benefits of extensive livestock systems are highlighted, including supporting livelihoods, providing high-quality nutrition, enhancing biodiversity, protecting landscapes, and sequestering carbon. By failing to differentiate between livestock systems, global assessments may mislead. Inappropriate measurement, verification and reporting processes linked to global climate change policy may in turn result in interventions that can undermine the livelihoods of extensive livestock-keepers in marginal areas, including mobile pastoralists. In the politics of global assessments, certain interests promote framings of the livestock-climate challenge in favour of contained, intensive systems, and the conversion of extensive rangelands into conservation investments. Emerging from a narrow, aggregated scientific framing, global assessments therefore can have political consequences. A more disaggregated, nuanced approach is required if the future of food and climate change is to be effectively addressed. This article is categorized under:Integrated Assessment of Climate Change > Assessing Climate Change in the Context of Other IssuesClimate and Development > Social Justice and the Politics of Development.}, }
@article {pmid37031955, year = {2023}, author = {Speck, CL and DiPietro Mager, NA and Mager, JN}, title = {Pharmacists' Perception of Climate Change and Its Impact on Health.}, journal = {Journal of the American Pharmacists Association : JAPhA}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.japh.2023.04.004}, pmid = {37031955}, issn = {1544-3450}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study's primary objective was to assess pharmacists' knowledge and beliefs regarding climate change and health. Secondary objectives included assessing perceptions of its relevance to pharmacists and pharmacy practice as well as potential roles in mitigating climate change.<br><br>METHODS: An 18-question, anonymous survey was developed using questions adapted from previously-published surveys that evaluated the general public's views of international issues and health professionals' perceptions of climate change and health, with additions specific to the midwestern United States and Ohio. It was sent electronically to a random sample of 500 registered pharmacists living and working in Ohio. Data were analyzed using descriptive and non-parametric statistics.<br><br>RESULTS: Seventy pharmacists participated in the study. The majority of respondents (78.3%) believed climate change is happening. More recognized climate change to be a great or moderate threat to human health worldwide (72.7%) than to patients in their community (45.4%, p<0.001). A little more than half (54.5%) thought climate change was relevant to pharmacy practice. Perceived barriers that reduced willingness to communicate with the public about this topic included lack of time (73.4%) or knowledge (49.2%) and feeling that it would not make a difference (46.1%) or it is too controversial (35.4%). Respondents believed pharmacists could have the greatest impact through increasing sustainability in the healthcare system (48.5%).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Most respondents recognized climate change is happening, is a threat to human health worldwide, and is relevant to pharmacy. However, many did not recognize its potential impact on their own patients or their role in climate action, showing a need for more education on this topic. As these are the first data collected among pharmacists in the United States, additional studies should be performed in other parts of the country as opinions may vary based on personal experience with or exposure to impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37030516, year = {2023}, author = {Alahmad, B and Khraisha, H and Althalji, K and Borchert, W and Al-Mulla, F and Koutrakis, P}, title = {Connections Between Air Pollution, Climate Change &amp; Cardiovascular Health.}, journal = {The Canadian journal of cardiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.cjca.2023.03.025}, pmid = {37030516}, issn = {1916-7075}, abstract = {Globally, more people die from cardiovascular disease than any other cause. Climate change, through amplified environmental exposures, will promote and contribute to many non-communicable diseases including cardiovascular disease. Air pollution, too, is responsible for millions of deaths from cardiovascular disease each year. While they may appear independent, interchangeable relationships and bi-directional cause-effect arrows between climate change and air pollution can eventually lead to poor cardiovascular health. In this topical review we show that climate change and air pollution worsen each other leading to several ecosystem-mediated impacts. We highlight how increases in hot climates as a result of climate change have increased the risk of major air pollution events such as severe wildfires and dust storms. Additionally, we show how altered atmospheric chemistry and changing patterns of weather conditions can promote the formation and accumulation of air pollutants; a phenomenon known as the climate penalty. We demonstrate these amplified environmental exposures and their associations to adverse cardiovascular health outcomes. The community of health professionals, and cardiologists in particular, cannot afford to overlook the risks that climate change and air pollution bring to the public's health.}, }
@article {pmid37030273, year = {2023}, author = {Nag, R}, title = {A methodological framework for ranking communicable and non-communicable diseases due to climate change - A focus on Ireland.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {880}, number = {}, pages = {163296}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163296}, pmid = {37030273}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {There is currently a significant global focus from the public health community on addressing climate-related public health issues. Globally we are witnessing geological shifts, extreme weather events, and the associated incidents that may have a significant human health impact. These include unseasonable weather, heavy rainfall, global sea-level rise and flooding, droughts, tornados, hurricanes, and wildfires. Climate change can have a direct and indirect health impact. The global challenge of climate change requires global preparedness for potential human health effects due to climate change, including vigilance for diseases carried by vectors, foodborne and waterborne diseases, deteriorated air quality, heat stress, mental health, and potential disasters. Therefore, it is essential to identify and prioritise the consequences of climate change to become future-ready. This proposed methodological framework aimed to develop an innovative modelling method using the 'Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY)', to rank potential direct and indirect human health impacts (communicable and non-communicable diseases) of climate change. This approach aims to ensure food safety, including water, in the wake of climate change. The novelty of the research will come from developing models with spatial mapping (Geographic Information System or GIS), which will also consider the influence of climatic variables, geographical differences in exposure and vulnerability and regulatory control on feed/food quality and abundance, range, growth, and survival of selected microorganisms. In addition, the outcome will identify and assess emerging modelling techniques and computational-efficient tools to overcome current limitations in climate change research on human health and food safety and to understand uncertainty propagation using the Monte Carlo simulation method for future climate change scenarios. It is envisaged that this research work will contribute significantly to developing a lasting network and critical mass on a national scale. It will also provide a template to implement from a core centre of excellence in other jurisdictions.}, }
@article {pmid37030088, year = {2023}, author = {Sri, A and Bhugra, D and Persaud, A and Tribe, R and Gnanapragasam, S and Castaldelli-Maia, JM and Torales, J and Ventriglio, A}, title = {Global mental health and climate change: A geo-psychiatry perspectiv.}, journal = {Asian journal of psychiatry}, volume = {84}, number = {}, pages = {103562}, doi = {10.1016/j.ajp.2023.103562}, pmid = {37030088}, issn = {1876-2026}, abstract = {Climate changes affect planet ecosystems, living beings, humans, including their lives, rights, economy, housing, migration, and both physical and mental health. Geo-psychiatry is a new discipline within the field of psychiatry studying the interface between various geo-political factors including geographical, political, economic, commercial and cultural determinants which affect society and psychiatry: it provides a holistic overview on global issues such as climate changes, poverty, public health and accessibility to health care. It identifies geopolitical factors and their effects at the international and national levels, as well as considers the politics of climate changes and poverty within this context. This paper then introduces the Compassion, Assertive Action, Pragmatism, and Evidence Vulnerability Index (CAPE-VI) as a global foreign policy index: CAPE-VI calculates how foreign aid should be prioritised for countries that are at risk or already considered to be fragile. These countries are characterised by various forms of conflict, disadvantaged by extremes of climate change, poverty, human rights abuses, and suffering from internal warfare or terrorism.}, }
@article {pmid37029765, year = {2023}, author = {Leites, L and Garzón, MB}, title = {Forest trees adaptation to climate across biomes: Building on the legacy of ecological genetics to anticipate responses to climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16711}, pmid = {37029765}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Intraspecific variation plays a critical role in extant and future forests responses to climate change. Forest tree species with wide climatic niches rely on the intraspecific variation resulting from genetic adaptation and phenotypic plasticity to accommodate spatial and temporal climate variability. A centuries-old legacy of forest ecological genetics and provenance trials has provided a strong foundation upon which to continue building on this knowledge, which is critical to maintain climate-adapted forests. Our overall objective is to understand forest trees intraspecific responses to climate across species and biomes, while our specific objectives are to describe ecological genetics models used to build our foundational knowledge, summarize modeling approaches that have expanded the traditional toolset, and extensively review the literature from 1994 to 2021 to highlight the main contributions of this legacy and the new analyzes of provenance trials. We reviewed 103 studies comprising at least three common gardens, which covered 58 forest tree species, 28 of them with range wide studies. Although studies using provenance trials data cover mostly commercially important forest tree species from temperate and boreal biomes, this synthesis provides a global overview of forest tree species adaptation to climate. We found that evidence for genetic adaptation to local climate is commonly present in the species studied (79%), being more common in conifers (87.5%) than in broadleaf species (67%). In 57% of the species, clines in fitness-related traits were associated with temperature variables, in 14% species with precipitation and in 25% of the species by both. Evidence of adaptation lags was found in 50% of the species with range wide studies. We conclude that ecological genetics models and analysis of provenance trials data provide excellent insights on intraspecific genetic variation, whereas the role and limits of phenotypic plasticity, which will likely determine the fate of extant forests, is vastly understudied.}, }
@article {pmid37029763, year = {2023}, author = {Pradhan, K and Ettinger, AK and Case, MJ and Lambers, JHR}, title = {Applying climate change refugia to forest management and old-growth restoration.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16714}, pmid = {37029763}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Recent studies highlight the potential of climate change refugia (CCR) to support the persistence of biodiversity in regions that may otherwise become unsuitable with climate change. However, a key challenge in using CCR for climate resilient management lies in how CCR may intersect with existing forest management strategies, and subsequently influence how landscapes buffer species from negative impacts of warming climate. We address this challenge in temperate coastal forests of the Pacific Northwestern United States, where declines in the extent of late-successional forests have prompted efforts to restore old-growth forest structure. One common approach for doing so involves selectively thinning forest stands to enhance structural complexity. However, dense canopy is a key forest feature moderating understory microclimate and potentially buffering organisms from climate change impacts, raising the possibility that approaches for managing forests for old-growth structure may reduce the extent and number of CCR. We used remotely-sensed vegetation indices to identify CCR in an experimental forest with control and thinned (restoration) treatments, and explored the influence of biophysical variables on buffering capacity. We found that remotely sensed vegetation indices commonly used to identify CCR were associated with understory temperature and plant community composition, and thus captured aspects of landscape buffering that might instill climate resilience and be of interest to management. We then examined the interaction between current restoration strategies and CCR, and found that selective thinning for promoting old-growth structure had only very minor, if any, effects on climatic buffering. In all, our study demonstrates that forest management approaches aimed at restoring old-growth structure through targeted thinning do not greatly decrease buffering capacity, despite a known link between dense canopy and CCR. More broadly, this study illustrates the value of using remote sensing approaches to identify CCR, facilitating the integration of climate change adaptation with other forest management approaches.}, }
@article {pmid37028673, year = {2023}, author = {Viveros Santos, I and Renaud-Gentié, C and Roux, P and Levasseur, A and Bulle, C and Deschênes, L and Boulay, AM}, title = {Prospective life cycle assessment of viticulture under climate change scenarios, application on two case studies in France.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {880}, number = {}, pages = {163288}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163288}, pmid = {37028673}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Viticulture needs to satisfy consumers' demands for environmentally sound grape and wine production while envisaging adaptation options to diminish the impacts of projected climate change on future productivity. However, the impact of climate change and the adoption of adaptation levers on the environmental impacts of future viticulture have not been assessed. This study evaluates the environmental performance of grape production in two French vineyards, one located in the Loire Valley and another in Languedoc-Roussillon, under two climate change scenarios. First, the effect of climate-induced yield change on the environmental impacts of future viticulture was assessed based on grape yield and climate data sets. Second, besides the climate-induced yield change, this study accounted for the impacts of extreme weather events on grape yield and the implementation of adaptation levers based on the future probability and potential yield loss due to extreme events. The life cycle assessment (LCA) results associated with climate-induced yield change led to opposite conclusions for the two vineyards of the case study. While the carbon footprint of the vineyard from Languedoc-Roussillon is projected to increase by 29 % by the end of the century under the high emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), the corresponding footprint is projected to decrease in the vineyard from the Loire Valley by approximately 10 %. However, when including the effect of extreme events and adaptation options, the life cycle environmental impacts of grape production are projected to drastically increase for both vineyards. For instance, under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the carbon footprint for the vineyard of Languedoc-Roussillon is projected to increase fourfold compared to the current footprint, while it will rise threefold for the vineyard from the Loire Valley. The obtained LCA results emphasized the need to account for the impact of both climate change and extreme events on grape production under future climate change scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid37028647, year = {2023}, author = {de Carvalho, CF}, title = {Epigenetic effects of climate change on insects.}, journal = {Current opinion in insect science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101029}, doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2023.101029}, pmid = {37028647}, issn = {2214-5753}, abstract = {Climate change has been causing severe modifications to the environment that are predicted to aggravate in the future, which create critical challenges for insects to cope. Populations can respond to the changes depending on the standing genetic variation. Additionally, they could potentially rely on epigenetic mechanisms as a source of phenotypic variation. These mechanisms can influence gene regulation and can respond to the external environment, being implicated in phenotypic plasticity. Thus, epigenetic variation could be advantageous in changing, unpredictable environments. However, little is known about causal relationships between epigenetic marks and insects' phenotypes, and whether the effects are truly beneficial to the fitness. Empirical studies are now urgent to better understand whether epigenetic variation can help or hinder insect populations facing climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37027466, year = {2023}, author = {Balaguru, K and Xu, W and Chang, CC and Leung, LR and Judi, DR and Hagos, SM and Wehner, MF and Kossin, JP and Ting, M}, title = {Increased U.S. coastal hurricane risk under climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {14}, pages = {eadf0259}, pmid = {37027466}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Several pathways for how climate change may influence the U.S. coastal hurricane risk have been proposed, but the physical mechanisms and possible connections between various pathways remain unclear. Here, future projections of hurricane activity (1980-2100), downscaled from multiple climate models using a synthetic hurricane model, show an enhanced hurricane frequency for the Gulf and lower East coast regions. The increase in coastal hurricane frequency is driven primarily by changes in steering flow, which can be attributed to the development of an upper-level cyclonic circulation over the western Atlantic. The latter is part of the baroclinic stationary Rossby waves forced mainly by increased diabatic heating in the eastern tropical Pacific, a robust signal across the multimodel ensemble. Last, these heating changes also play a key role in decreasing wind shear near the U.S. coast, further aggravating coastal hurricane risk enhanced by the physically connected steering flow changes.}, }
@article {pmid37027462, year = {2023}, author = {Setty, S and Cramwinckel, MJ and van Nes, EH and van de Leemput, IA and Dijkstra, HA and Lourens, LJ and Scheffer, M and Sluijs, A}, title = {Loss of Earth system resilience during early Eocene transient global warming events.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {14}, pages = {eade5466}, pmid = {37027462}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Superimposed on long-term late Paleocene-early Eocene warming (~59 to 52 million years ago), Earth's climate experienced a series of abrupt perturbations, characterized by massive carbon input into the ocean-atmosphere system and global warming. Here, we examine the three most punctuated events of this period, the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum and Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 and 3, to probe whether they were initiated by climate-driven carbon cycle tipping points. Specifically, we analyze the dynamics of climate and carbon cycle indicators acquired from marine sediments to detect changes in Earth system resilience and to identify positive feedbacks. Our analyses suggest a loss of Earth system resilience toward all three events. Moreover, dynamic convergent cross mapping reveals intensifying coupling between the carbon cycle and climate during the long-term warming trend, supporting increasingly dominant climate forcing of carbon cycle dynamics during the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum when these recurrent global warming events became more frequent.}, }
@article {pmid37026559, year = {2023}, author = {Kléparski, L and Beaugrand, G and Edwards, M and Ostle, C}, title = {Phytoplankton life strategies, phenological shifts and climate change in the North Atlantic Ocean from 1850-2100.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16709}, pmid = {37026559}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Significant phenological shifts induced by climate change are projected within the phytoplankton community. However, projections from current Earth System Models (ESMs) understandably rely on simplified community responses that do not consider evolutionary strategies manifested as various phenotypes and trait groups. Here, we use a species-based modelling approach, combined with large-scale plankton observations, to investigate past, contemporary and future phenological shifts in diatoms (grouped by their morphological traits) and dinoflagellates in three key areas of the North Atlantic Ocean (North Sea, North-East Atlantic and Labrador Sea) from 1850 to 2100. Our study reveals that the three phytoplanktonic groups exhibit coherent and different shifts in phenology and abundance throughout the North Atlantic Ocean. The seasonal duration of large flattened (i.e., oblate) diatoms is predicted to shrink and their abundance to decline, whereas the phenology of slow-sinking elongated (i.e., prolate) diatoms and of dinoflagellates is expected to expand and their abundance to rise, which may alter carbon export in this important sink region. The increase in prolates and dinoflagellates, two groups currently not considered in ESMs, may alleviate the negative influence of global climate change on oblates, which are responsible of massive peaks of biomass and carbon export in spring. We suggest that including prolates and dinoflagellates in models may improve our understanding of the influence of global climate change on the biological carbon cycle in the oceans.}, }
@article {pmid37026097, year = {2023}, author = {Oluwayelu, DO and Moutailler, S and Odemuyiwa, SO}, title = {Editorial: Tick-borne viruses of domestic livestock: Epidemiology, evolutionary trends, biology and climate change impact.}, journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1147770}, pmid = {37026097}, issn = {2297-1769}, }
@article {pmid37025903, year = {2023}, author = {Hussein, A and Estifanos, S}, title = {Modeling impacts of climate change on the distribution of invasive Opuntia ficus-indica (L.) Mill. in Ethiopia: Implications on biodiversity conservation.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {4}, pages = {e14927}, pmid = {37025903}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The main danger to biological diversity is the introduction of exotic species. Opuntia ficus-indica (O. ficus-indica) is a dangerous invasive species that has seriously harmed Ethiopia's ecology and economy. To properly inform decision-making about the control of this invasive species, it is crucial to investigate the projected invasion dynamics of O. ficus-indica in the country under the current climate change scenarios. Thus, the objective of this research was to evaluate the current distribution and relative importance of environmental variables for O. ficus-indica distribution, map the habitat's future suitability under scenarios of climate change and assess how habitat change would affect the species' future expected suitability in Ethiopia. The SDM R program was used to perform species distribution modeling (SDM) using 311 georeferenced presence records along with climatic variables. Predictive models were developed as an agreement model from six modeling methodologies to investigate the climatic suitability of target species for the years 2050 and 2070 under two shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and 5-8.5) in order to estimate the risks of climate change to the species. Under the current climatic scenario, only 9.26% (104939.3 km[2]) and 4.05% (45850.6 km[2]) of the country were moderately and highly suitable for species dispersion and invasion respectively. The remaining 86.69% (980648 km[2]) was suitable for the distribution and invasion of the species. In 2050, under the SSP2-4.5 and 5-8.5, the highly suitable range of O. ficus-indica is anticipated to expand by 2.30% and 1.76%, whereas the moderately suitable area is predicted to decrease by 1.66% and 2.69%, respectively. Under the SSP2-4.5 and 5-8.5 scenarios, the highly suitable region for the species is expected to grow by 1.47% and 0.65%, respectively, in 2070 compared to the current climatic conditions. This invasive species had already had a considerable negative influence on rangelands in a significant portion of the country with the current cover. Its continuing growth would exacerbate the issue, cause significant economic and environmental harm, and endanger the community's way of living. If preventive and efficient management methods are not taken seriously, the species will have considerable negative environmental impacts, which would be one of the biggest difficulties for pastoralism and their livelihoods.}, }
@article {pmid37023813, year = {2023}, author = {Chen, C and Ota, N and Wang, B and Fu, G and Fletcher, A}, title = {Adaptation to climate change through strategic integration of long fallow into cropping system in a dryland Mediterranean-type environment.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {880}, number = {}, pages = {163230}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163230}, pmid = {37023813}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The crop-growing region of Western Australia characterized by a Mediterranean-type climate is projected to become warmer and drier. Appropriate selection of crop sequences will be of importance to cope with these climatic changes for this largest grain-producing region of Australia. Through linking a widely used crop model (APSIM), 26 General Circulation Models (GCMs) with one Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP585) and economic analysis, we explored how the climate change would affect dryland wheat cropping and whether/how long fallow (the practice of leaving a field out of production for an entire growing season) could be integrated into wheat cropping system in Western Australia. The potential adaptation of long fallow into wheat system was assessed with four fixed rotations (fallow-wheat, fallow-wheat-wheat, fallow-wheat-wheat-wheat, and fallow-wheat-wheat-wheat-wheat) and four flexible sowing rule-based rotations (the land was fallowed if sowing rule was not met), compared with continuous wheat. The simulation results at four representing locations show that climate change would have negative impacts on both yield and economic return of continuous wheat cropping in Western Australia. Wheat after fallow out-yielded and out-profited wheat after wheat under future climate. But integrating fallow into wheat cropping systems with the above fixed rotations would lead to yield and economic loss. By contrast, cropping systems in which fallowing took place when sowing condition could not be met at a certain time would achieve comparable yield and economic return to continuous wheat, with wheat yield being only 5 % less than continuous wheat and the gross margin being $12 ha[-1] more than continuous wheat averaged across locations. We highlight strategic integration of long fallow into cropping system in a dryland Mediterranean-type environment would have a great potential to cope with future climate change. These findings can be extended into other Mediterranean-type cropping regions in Australia and beyond.}, }
@article {pmid37023609, year = {2023}, author = {Carmona, P and Stef, N and Ben Jabeur, S and Ben Zaied, Y}, title = {Climate change and government policy: Fresh insights from complexity theory.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {338}, number = {}, pages = {117831}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117831}, pmid = {37023609}, issn = {1095-8630}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Economic Development ; France ; }, abstract = {Governments worldwide are increasingly concerned about ensuring a balance between economic and environmental well being. Global economies, particularly developing ones, emphasize the importance of achieving escofriendly growth to maintain the levels of the ecological footprint while achieving higher economic growth. The ecological footprint is a comprehensive indicator of environmental degradation. It is used to assess the state of the environment because it reflects the impact of all human activities on nature. This study contributes to the literature by offering a novel analytical approach for solving complex interactions of ecological footprint antecedents, advancing the theoretical reasoning behind how government policy combines to explain the ecological footprint from some G7 countries (France, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, and Germany) from 1996 to 2020. To establish a composite score of environmental footprint, we used complexity theory as well as fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) and necessary condition analysis (NCA). Our analysis revealed that low expenditures on environmental protection and waste management, low taxes on transport, and high energy use are sufficient conditions to be included in the causal configurations for a high ecological footprint. Additionally, the sufficient solution, which has the highest coverage score that produces a low ecological footprint relies on high expenditure on environmental protection and high taxes on transportation. In this framework, Japan, Italy, and France have more effective government policies in terms of reducing the ecological footprint.}, }
@article {pmid37021604, year = {2023}, author = {Qi, L and Zheng, Y and Hou, L and Liu, B and Zhou, J and An, Z and Wu, L and Chen, F and Lin, Z and Yin, G and Dong, H and Li, X and Liang, X and Liu, M}, title = {Potential response of dark carbon fixation to global warming in estuarine and coastal waters.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16702}, pmid = {37021604}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Dark carbon fixation (DCF), through which chemoautotrophs convert inorganic carbon to organic carbon, is recognized as a vital process of global carbon biogeochemical cycle. However, little is known about the response of DCF processes in estuarine and coastal waters to global warming. Using radiocarbon labelling method, the effects of temperature on the activity of chemoautotrophs were investigated in benthic water of the Yangtze estuarine and coastal areas. A dome-shaped thermal response pattern was observed for DCF rates (i.e., reduced rates at lower or higher temperatures), with the optimum temperature (Topt) varying from about 21.9 to 32.0°C. Offshore sites showed lower Topt values and were more vulnerable to global warming compared with nearshore sites. Based on temperature seasonality of the study area, it was estimated that warming would accelerate DCF rate in winter and spring but inhibit DCF activity in summer and fall. However, at an annual scale, warming showed an overall promoting effect on DCF rates. Metagenomic analysis revealed that the dominant chemoautotrophic carbon fixation pathways in the nearshore area were Calvin-Benson-Bassham (CBB) cycle, while the offshore sites were co-dominated by CBB and 3-hydroxypropionate/4-hydroxybutyrate cycles, which may explain the differential temperature response of DCF along the estuarine and coastal gradients. Our findings highlight the importance of incorporating DCF thermal response into biogeochemical models to accurately estimate the carbon sink potential of estuarine and coastal ecosystems in the context of global warming.}, }
@article {pmid37019977, year = {2023}, author = {Abduljaleel, Y and Salem, A and Ul Haq, F and Awad, A and Amiri, M}, title = {Improving detention ponds for effective stormwater management and water quality enhancement under future climate change: a simulation study using the PCSWMM model.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {5555}, pmid = {37019977}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Urban surfaces are often covered by impermeable materials such as concrete and asphalt which intensify urban runoff and pollutant concentration during storm events, and lead to the deterioration of the quality of surrounding water bodies. Detention ponds are used in urban stormwater management, providing two-fold benefits: flood risk reduction and pollution load minimization. This paper investigates the performance of nine proposed detention ponds (across the city of Renton, Washington, USA) under different climate change scenarios. First, a statistical model was developed to estimate the pollutant load for the current and future periods and to understand the effects of increased rainfall on stormwater runoff and pollutant loads. The Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model (PCSWMM) platform is employed to calibrate an urban drainage model for quantifying stormwater runoff and corresponding pollutant loads. The calibrated model was used to investigate the performance of the proposed nine (9) detention ponds under future climate scenarios of 100-year design storms, leading to identifying if they are likely to reduce stormwater discharge and pollutant loads. Results indicated significant increases in stormwater pollutants due to increases in rainfall from 2023 to 2050 compared to the historical period 2000-2014. We found that the performance of the proposed detention ponds in reducing stormwater pollutants varied depending on the size and location of the detention ponds. Simulations for the future indicated that the selected detention ponds are likely to reduce the concentrations (loads) of different water quality constituents such as ammonia (NH3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrate (NO3), total phosphate (TP), and suspended solids (SS) ranging from 18 to 86%, 35-70%, 36-65%, 26-91%, and 34-81%, respectively. The study concluded that detention ponds can be used as a reliable solution for reducing stormwater flows and pollutant loads under a warmer future climate and an effective adaptation option to combat climate change related challenges in urban stormwater management.}, }
@article {pmid37019944, year = {2023}, author = {Martinez-Villalobos, C and Neelin, JD}, title = {Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {5579}, pmid = {37019944}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with increasing moisture under global warming following the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship at about [Formula: see text]. However, this increase is not spatially homogeneous. Projections in individual models exhibit regions with substantially larger increases than expected from the CC scaling. Here, we leverage theory and observations of the form of the precipitation probability distribution to substantially improve intermodel agreement in the medium to high precipitation intensity regime, and to interpret projected changes in frequency in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. Besides particular regions where models consistently display super-CC behavior, we find substantial occurrence of super-CC behavior within a given latitude band when the multi-model average does not require that the models agree point-wise on location within that band. About 13% of the globe and almost 25% of the tropics (30% for tropical land) display increases exceeding 2CC. Over 40% of tropical land points exceed 1.5CC. Risk-ratio analysis shows that even small increases above CC scaling can have disproportionately large effects in the frequency of the most extreme events. Risk due to regional enhancement of precipitation scale increase by dynamical effects must thus be included in vulnerability assessment even if locations are imprecise.}, }
@article {pmid37019396, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, X and Qiu, H and Van Gestel, CAM and Gong, B and He, E}, title = {Impact of nanopesticide CuO-NPs and nanofertilizer CeO2-NPs on wheat Triticum aestivum under global warming scenarios.}, journal = {Chemosphere}, volume = {328}, number = {}, pages = {138576}, doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.138576}, pmid = {37019396}, issn = {1879-1298}, abstract = {Concurrent effect of nanomaterials (NMs) and warming on plant performance remains largely unexplored. In this study, the effects of nanopesticide CuO and nanofertilizer CeO2 on wheat (Triticum aestivum) under optimal (22 °C) and suboptimal (30 °C) temperatures were evaluated. CuO-NPs exerted a stronger negative effect on plant root systems than CeO2-NPs at tested exposure levels. The toxicity of both NMs could be attributed to altered nutrient uptake, induced membrane damage, and raised disturbance of antioxidative related biological pathways. Warming significantly inhibited root growth, which was mainly linked to the disturbance of energy metabolism relevant biological pathways. The toxicity of NMs was enhanced upon warming, with a stronger inhibition of root growth and Fe and Mn uptake. Increasing temperature increased the accumulation of Ce upon CeO2-NP exposure, while the accumulation of Cu was not affected. The relative contribution of NMs and warming to their combined effects was evaluated by comparing disturbed biological pathways under single and multiple stressors. CuO-NPs was the dominant factor inducing toxic effects, while both CeO2-NPs and warming contributed to the mixed effect. Our study revealed the importance of carefully considering global warming as a factor in risk assessment of agricultural applications of NMs.}, }
@article {pmid37018407, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, WB and Guo, WY and Serra-Diaz, JM and Schrodt, F and Eiserhardt, WL and Enquist, BJ and Maitner, BS and Merow, C and Violle, C and Anand, M and Belluau, M and Bruun, HH and Byun, C and Catford, JA and Cerabolini, BEL and Chacón-Madrigal, E and Ciccarelli, D and Cornelissen, JHC and Dang-Le, AT and de Frutos, A and Dias, AS and Giroldo, AB and Gutiérrez, AG and Hattingh, W and He, T and Hietz, P and Hough-Snee, N and Jansen, S and Kattge, J and Komac, B and Kraft, NJB and Kramer, K and Lavorel, S and Lusk, CH and Martin, AR and Ma, KP and Mencuccini, M and Michaletz, ST and Minden, V and Mori, AS and Niinemets, &#xdc; and Onoda, Y and Onstein, RE and Peñuelas, J and Pillar, VD and Pisek, J and Pound, MJ and Robroek, BJM and Schamp, B and Slot, M and Sun, M and Sosinski, &#xca;E and Soudzilovskaia, NA and Thiffault, N and van Bodegom, PM and van der Plas, F and Zheng, J and Svenning, JC and Ordonez, A}, title = {Global beta-diversity of angiosperm trees is shaped by Quaternary climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {14}, pages = {eadd8553}, pmid = {37018407}, issn = {2375-2548}, mesh = {Humans ; Phylogeny ; *Magnoliopsida ; Climate Change ; Biodiversity ; }, abstract = {As Earth's climate has varied strongly through geological time, studying the impacts of past climate change on biodiversity helps to understand the risks from future climate change. However, it remains unclear how paleoclimate shapes spatial variation in biodiversity. Here, we assessed the influence of Quaternary climate change on spatial dissimilarity in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional composition among neighboring 200-kilometer cells (beta-diversity) for angiosperm trees worldwide. We found that larger glacial-interglacial temperature change was strongly associated with lower spatial turnover (species replacements) and higher nestedness (richness changes) components of beta-diversity across all three biodiversity facets. Moreover, phylogenetic and functional turnover was lower and nestedness higher than random expectations based on taxonomic beta-diversity in regions that experienced large temperature change, reflecting phylogenetically and functionally selective processes in species replacement, extinction, and colonization during glacial-interglacial oscillations. Our results suggest that future human-driven climate change could cause local homogenization and reduction in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity of angiosperm trees worldwide.}, }
@article {pmid37018169, year = {2023}, author = {Heinz, N and Koessler, AK and Engel, S}, title = {Distance to climate change consequences reduces willingness to engage in low-cost mitigation actions-Results from an experimental online study from Germany.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0283190}, pmid = {37018169}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Germany ; *Policy ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; India ; }, abstract = {Adverse consequences of climate change often affect people and places far away from those that have the greatest capacity for mitigation. Several correlational and some experimental studies suggest that the willingness to take mitigation actions may diminish with increasing distance. However, the empirical findings are ambiguous. In order to investigate if and how socio-spatial distance to climate change effects plays a role for the willingness to engage in mitigation actions, we conducted an online experiment with a German population sample (n = 383). We find that the willingness to sign a petition for climate protection was significantly reduced when a person in India with a name of Indian origin was affected by flooding, as compared to a person in Germany with a name of German origin. Distance did not affect donating money to climate protection or approving of mitigation policies. Our results provide evidence for the existence of a negative effect of distance to climate change consequences on the willingness to engage in low-cost mitigation actions. Investigating explanations for such an effect, we find that it can be attributed to the spatial rather than the social dimension of distance. Moreover, we find some cautious evidence that people with strong racist attitudes react differently to the distance manipulations, suggesting a form of environmental racism that could also reduce mitigation action in the case of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid37017873, year = {2023}, author = {Behera, SS and Ojha, CSP and Prasad, KSH and Dash, SS}, title = {Yield, water, and carbon footprint of rainfed rice production under the lens of mid-century climate change: a case study in the eastern coastal agro-climatic zone, Odisha, India.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {5}, pages = {544}, pmid = {37017873}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Oryza ; Climate Change ; Water ; Carbon Footprint ; Fertilizers ; Environmental Monitoring ; India ; }, abstract = {Water and carbon footprint assessment can be a good indicator of sustainable agricultural production. The present research quantifies the potential impact of near-future (2026-2050) climate change on water footprint (WF) and carbon footprint (CF) of farm-level kharif rice production of three locally grown varieties (Khandagiri, Lalat, and Swarna) in Odisha, India, under the two RCP scenarios of 4.5 and 8.5. The crop yield, water resources utilization, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions were estimated using the calibrated and validated DSSAT crop simulation model. The precipitation and temperature estimates from three regional climate models (RCM), namely HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4, and YSU-RSM were downscaled using the quantile mapping method. The results revealed a considerably high increase in the total WF of the Khandagiri, Lalat, and Swarna rice varieties elevating up to 101.9%, 80.7%, and 71.8% respectively during the mid-century for RCP 4.5 scenario, and 67.3%, 66.6%, and 67.2% respectively for RCP 8.5 scenario relative to the baseline WF. Moreover, compared to the green WF, the blue WF was projected to increase significantly (~ 250-450%) in the future time scales. This could be attributed to increasing minimum temperature (~ 1.7 °C) and maximum temperature (~ 1.5 °C) and reduced precipitation during the rice-growing periods. Rice yield was projected to continually decline in the future period (2050) with respect to the baseline (1980-2015) by 18.8% and 20% under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios respectively. The maximum CF of Swarna, Lalat, and Khandagiri rice were estimated to be 3.2, 2.8, and 1.3 t CO2eq/t respectively under RCP 4.5 and 2.7, 2.4, and 1.3 t CO2eq/t respectively under RCP 8.5 scenario. Fertilizer application (40%) followed by irrigation-energy use (30%) and farmyard manure incorporation (26%) were the three major contributors to the CF of rice production. Subsequently, management of N-fertilizer dose was identified as the major mitigation hotspot, simultaneously reducing carbon footprint and grey water footprint in the crop production process.}, }
@article {pmid37017749, year = {2023}, author = {Zeren Cetin, I and Varol, T and Ozel, HB}, title = {A geographic information systems and remote sensing-based approach to assess urban micro-climate change and its impact on human health in Bartin, Turkey.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {5}, pages = {540}, pmid = {37017749}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {Humans ; *Geographic Information Systems ; *Remote Sensing Technology ; Turkey ; Climate Change ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Cities ; Urbanization ; Temperature ; Hot Temperature ; }, abstract = {Increasing land surface temperature (LST) is one of the major urban climatology problems arising in urban development. In this paper, the impact of vegetation and built-up areas on the LST and impact of LST on human health are assessed using the Landsat thermal data in Bartin, Turkey. The results show that there is a constant change in the share of vegetation and built-up areas due to rapid urbanization in Bartin. Strong positive correlation has been found between NDBI and LST while strong negative correlation has been found between NDVI and LST, suggesting their strong impacts on land surface temperatures. Similarly, a strong positive correlation has been observed between LST, sleep deprivation, and heat stress. This study provides precise information on effects of urbanization and man-made activities, which cause major changes in micro-climate and human health in the city. This study can assist decision-makers or planners to plan future developments sustainably.}, }
@article {pmid37015939, year = {2023}, author = {Song, J and Tong, G and Chao, J and Chung, J and Zhang, M and Lin, W and Zhang, T and Bentler, PM and Zhu, W}, title = {Data driven pathway analysis and forecast of global warming and sea level rise.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {5536}, pmid = {37015939}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Climate change is a critical issue of our time, and its causes, pathways, and forecasts remain a topic of broader discussion. In this paper, we present a novel data driven pathway analysis framework to identify the key processes behind mean global temperature and sea level rise, and to forecast the magnitude of their increase from the present to 2100. Based on historical data and dynamic statistical modeling alone, we have established the causal pathways that connect increasing greenhouse gas emissions to increasing global mean temperature and sea level, with its intermediate links encompassing humidity, sea ice coverage, and glacier mass, but not for sunspot numbers. Our results indicate that if no action is taken to curb anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, the global average temperature would rise to an estimated 3.28 °C (2.46-4.10 °C) above its pre-industrial level while the global sea level would be an estimated 573 mm (474-671 mm) above its 2021 mean by 2100. However, if countries adhere to the greenhouse gas emission regulations outlined in the 2021 United Nations Conference on Climate Change (COP26), the rise in global temperature would lessen to an average increase of 1.88 °C (1.43-2.33 °C) above its pre-industrial level, albeit still higher than the targeted 1.5 °C, while the sea level increase would reduce to 449 mm (389-509 mm) above its 2021 mean by 2100.}, }
@article {pmid37014870, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, Y and Zhu, R and Gao, L and Huang, D and Fan, Y and Liu, C and Chen, J}, title = {Predicting the current and future distributions of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) in China under climate change based on the MaxEnt model.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {4}, pages = {e0281254}, pmid = {37014870}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Pennisetum ; Climate Change ; Entropy ; China ; }, abstract = {Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.), one of the important exotic plants, gives great economic value to animal husbandry in China. In order to study the distribution of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) in China and its response to climate change, based on the distribution records of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.), our study used the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model and geographic information system (GIS) methods, combined with environmental factors such as climate and terrain, to predict the potential distribution areas suitable for Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) under current and future climate scenarios. The results showed that annual precipitation was the most important factor affecting the distribution of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.). In current climate scenario, the total area of suitable for Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) growth was about 576.5 km2, accounting for about 60.5% of the total land area of China. Among all the suitable areas, the area of low, middle and high fitness areas accounted for 5.69%, 20.55% and 33.81% of the total area respectively. In future climate scenarios (RCP4.5), the suitable area of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) would decrease with climate change, showing a clear trend of northward expansion in China. A concentrated and contiguous distribution region for Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) would appear in northeast China. The model was tested by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and the average area under the curve of ROC of the training set was 0.985, which was reliable. This work provided an important reference and theoretical basis for the efficient utilization and plant regionalization of Pennisetum alopecuroides (L.) in future.}, }
@article {pmid37014233, year = {2023}, author = {Touhami, I and Rzigui, T and Zribi, L and Ennajah, A and Dhahri, S and Aouinti, H and Elaieb, MT and Fkiri, S and Ghazghazi, H and Khorchani, A and Candelier, K and Khaldi, A and Khouja, ML}, title = {Climate change-induced ecosystem disturbance: a review on sclerophyllous and semi-deciduous forests in Tunisia.}, journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/plb.13524}, pmid = {37014233}, issn = {1438-8677}, abstract = {According to the IPCC sixth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, global climate change is now unequivocal. Tunisia, like many other countries, has been affected by climate changes, including rising temperature, intense heat waves, and altered precipitation regimes. Tunisia's mean annual temperatures rise by about +1.4 °C in the twentieth century, with the most rapid warming taking place since the1970s. Drought represents a primary contributing factor to tree decline and dieback. Long-term drought can result in reduced growth and health of trees, thereby, increasing their susceptibility to insect pests and pathogens. Reported increases in tree mortality point toward accelerating global forest vulnerability under hotter temperatures and longer, more intense droughts. In order to assess the effect of these climate changes on the current state of forest ecosystems in Tunisia and their evolution, an investigative study seems necessary. Here, we review the current state of knowledge on the effects of climate change on sclerophyllous and semi-deciduous forest ecosystems in Tunisia. Natural disturbance during the last years as well as the adaptability and resilience of some forest species to climate change were surveyed. Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) is a multi-scalar drought index based on climatic data has been used to analyze drought variability. SPEI time scale analysis showed a negative trend over the 1955-2021 period in Tunisian forest regions. In 2021, Tunisia lost 280 km[2] of tree cover ravaged by fires, which equivalent to a 26 % of the total loss area between 2008 and 2021. Changing climatic conditions have also affected phenological parameters with an advance of the start of the green season (SOS) by 9.4 days, a delay of the end of the green season (EOS) by 5 days, with the consequent of the extension duration of the green season (LOS) by an average of 14.2 days. All these alarming findings invite us to seek adaptation strategies for forest ecosystems. Adapting forests to climate change is therefore a challenge for scientists as well as policy makers and managers.}, }
@article {pmid37013877, year = {2023}, author = {Tochkin, J and Richmond, J and Hertelendy, A}, title = {Healthcare system leadership and climate change: five lessons for improving health systems resiliency.}, journal = {BMJ leader}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {52-55}, doi = {10.1136/leader-2021-000583}, pmid = {37013877}, issn = {2398-631X}, mesh = {*Leadership ; *Climate Change ; Delivery of Health Care ; }, }
@article {pmid37012995, year = {2023}, author = {Candiago, S and Winkler, KJ and Giombini, V and Giupponi, C and Egarter Vigl, L}, title = {An ecosystem service approach to the study of vineyard landscapes in the context of climate change: a review.}, journal = {Sustainability science}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {997-1013}, pmid = {37012995}, issn = {1862-4057}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Vineyard landscapes significantly contribute to the economy, identity, culture, and biodiversity of many regions worldwide. Climate change, however, is increasingly threatening the resilience of vineyard landscapes and of their ecological conditions, undermining the provision of multiple ecosystem services. Previous research has often focused on climate change impacts, ecosystem conditions and ecosystem services without systematically reviewing how they have been studied in the literature on viticulture. Here, we systematically review the literature on vineyard landscapes to identify how ecosystem conditions and services have been investigated, and whether an integrative approach to investigate the effects of climate change was adopted. Our results indicate that there are still very few studies that explicitly address multiple ecosystem conditions and services together. Only 28 and 18% of the reviewed studies considered more than two ecosystem conditions or services, respectively. Moreover, while more than 97% of the relationships between ecosystem conditions and services studied were addressing provisioning and regulating services, only 3% examined cultural services. Finally, this review found that there is a lack of integrative studies that address simultaneously the relationships between ecosystem condition, ecosystem services and climate change (only 15 out of 112 studies). To overcome these gaps and to better understand the functioning of vineyard socio-ecological systems under climate change, multidisciplinary, integrative, and comprehensive approaches should be adopted by future studies. A holistic understanding of vineyard landscapes will indeed be crucial to support researchers and decision makers in developing sustainable adaptation strategies that enhance the ecological condition of vineyards and ensure the provision of multiple ecosystem services under future climate scenarios.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-022-01223-x.}, }
@article {pmid37012264, year = {2023}, author = {Mahdian, M and Hosseinzadeh, M and Siadatmousavi, SM and Chalipa, Z and Delavar, M and Guo, M and Abolfathi, S and Noori, R}, title = {Modelling impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on inflows and sediment loads of wetlands: case study of the Anzali wetland.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {5399}, pmid = {37012264}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Understanding the effects of climate change and anthropogenic activities on the hydrogeomorpholgical parameters in wetlands ecosystems is vital for designing effective environmental protection and control protocols for these natural capitals. This study develops methodological approach to model the streamflow and sediment inputs to wetlands under the combined effects of climate and land use / land cover (LULC) changes using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The precipitation and temperature data from General Circulation Models (GCMs) for different Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (i.e., SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) are downscaled and bias-corrected with Euclidean distance method and quantile delta mapping (QDM) for the case of the Anzali wetland watershed (AWW) in Iran. The Land Change Modeler (LCM) is adopted to project the future LULC at the AWW. The results indicate that the precipitation and air temperature across the AWW will decrease and increase, respectively, under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Streamflow and sediment loads will reduce under the sole influence of SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. An increase in sediment load and inflow was observed under the combined effects of climate and LULC changes, this is mainly due to the projected increased deforestation and urbanization across the AWW. The findings suggest that the densely vegetated regions, mainly located in the zones with steep slope, significantly prevents large sediment load and high streamflow input to the AWW. Under the combined effects of the climate and LULC changes, by 2100, the projected total sediment input to the wetland will reach 22.66, 20.83, and 19.93 million tons under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. The results highlight that without any robust environmental interventions, the large sediment inputs will significantly degrade the Anzali wetland ecosystem and partly-fill the wetland basin, resulting in resigning the wetland from the Montreux record list and the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands of International Importance.}, }
@article {pmid37011955, year = {2023}, author = {Gordon, IO and Mehta, N and Isaacson, JH and Khatri, SB}, title = {How does climate change impact our patients?.}, journal = {Cleveland Clinic journal of medicine}, volume = {90}, number = {4}, pages = {221-226}, doi = {10.3949/ccjm.90a.22007}, pmid = {37011955}, issn = {1939-2869}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid37011195, year = {2023}, author = {Wagner, T and Schliep, EM and North, JS and Kundel, H and Custer, CA and Ruzich, JK and Hansen, GJA}, title = {Predicting climate change impacts on poikilotherms using physiologically guided species abundance models.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {15}, pages = {e2214199120}, pmid = {37011195}, issn = {1091-6490}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes/physiology ; Temperature ; Ecosystem ; Cold Temperature ; }, abstract = {Poikilothermic animals comprise most species on Earth and are especially sensitive to changes in environmental temperatures. Species conservation in a changing climate relies upon predictions of species responses to future conditions, yet predicting species responses to climate change when temperatures exceed the bounds of observed data is fraught with challenges. We present a physiologically guided abundance (PGA) model that combines observations of species abundance and environmental conditions with laboratory-derived data on the physiological response of poikilotherms to temperature to predict species geographical distributions and abundance in response to climate change. The model incorporates uncertainty in laboratory-derived thermal response curves and provides estimates of thermal habitat suitability and extinction probability based on site-specific conditions. We show that temperature-driven changes in distributions, local extinction, and abundance of cold, cool, and warm-adapted species vary substantially when physiological information is incorporated. Notably, cold-adapted species were predicted by the PGA model to be extirpated in 61% of locations that they currently inhabit, while extirpation was never predicted by a correlative niche model. Failure to account for species-specific physiological constraints could lead to unrealistic predictions under a warming climate, including underestimates of local extirpation for cold-adapted species near the edges of their climate niche space and overoptimistic predictions of warm-adapted species.}, }
@article {pmid37011173, year = {2023}, author = {Pearson, AR and White, KE and Nogueira, LM and Lewis, NA and Green, DJ and Schuldt, JP and Edmondson, D}, title = {Climate change and health equity: A research agenda for psychological science.}, journal = {The American psychologist}, volume = {78}, number = {2}, pages = {244-258}, doi = {10.1037/amp0001074}, pmid = {37011173}, issn = {1935-990X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Health Equity ; Climate Change ; Public Health ; }, abstract = {Climate change poses unique and substantial threats to public health and well-being, from heat stress, flooding, and the spread of infectious disease to food and water insecurity, conflict, displacement, and direct health hazards linked to fossil fuels. These threats are especially acute for frontline communities. Addressing climate change and its unequal impacts requires psychologists to consider temporal and spatial dimensions of health, compound risks, as well as structural sources of vulnerability implicated by few other public health challenges. In this review, we consider climate change as a unique context for the study of health inequities and the roles of psychologists and health care practitioners in addressing it. We conclude by discussing the research infrastructure needed to broaden current understanding of these inequities, including new cross-disciplinary, institutional, and community partnerships, and offer six practical recommendations for advancing the psychological study of climate health equity and its societal relevance. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).}, }
@article {pmid37010926, year = {2023}, author = {Fielding, JE and Brownson, RC and Green, LW}, title = {The Urgency of Addressing Climate Change.}, journal = {Annual review of public health}, volume = {44}, number = {}, pages = {v-vi}, doi = {10.1146/annurev-pu-44-013023-100001}, pmid = {37010926}, issn = {1545-2093}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; }, }
@article {pmid37010574, year = {2023}, author = {Ingty, T and Erb, A and Zhang, X and Schaaf, C and Bawa, KS}, title = {Climate change is leading to rapid shifts in seasonality in the himalaya.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37010574}, issn = {1432-1254}, abstract = {Climate change has significantly impacted vegetation phenology across the globe with vegetation experiencing an advance in the spring green-up phases and a delay in fall senescence. However, some studies from high latitudes and high elevations have instead shown delayed spring phenology, owing to a lack of chilling fulfillment and altered snow cover and photoperiods. Here we use the MODIS satellite-derived view-angle corrected surface reflectance data (MCD43A4) to document the four phenological phases in the high elevations of the Sikkim Himalaya and compared the phenological trends between below-treeline zones and above-treeline zones. This analysis of remotely sensed data for the study period (2001-2017) reveals considerable shifts in the phenology of the Sikkim Himalaya. Advances in the spring start of the season phase (SOS) were more pronounced than delays in the dates for maturity (MAT), senescence (EOS), and advanced dormancy (DOR). The SOS significantly advanced by 21.3 days while the MAT and EOS were delayed by 15.7 days and 6.5 days respectively over the 17-year study period. The DOR showed an advance of 8.2 days over the study period. The region below the treeline showed more pronounced shifts in phenology with respect to an advanced SOS and a delayed EOS and DOR that above treeline. The MAT, however, showed a greater delay in the zone above the treeline than below. Lastly, unlike other studies from high elevations, there is no indication that winter chilling requirements are driving the spring phenology in this region. We discuss four possible explanations for why vegetation phenology in the high elevations of the Eastern Himalaya may exhibit trends independent of chilling requirements and soil moisture due to mediation by snow cover.}, }
@article {pmid37010554, year = {2023}, author = {Zobeidi, T and Yazdanpanah, M and Warner, LA and Lamm, A and Löhr, K and Sieber, S}, title = {Personal and Professional Mitigation Behavioral Intentions of Agricultural Experts to Address Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37010554}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {Mitigation activities, whether at the personal level relating to lifestyle or on the professional level, especially in the agriculture sector, are widely encouraged by scientists and policymakers. This research empirically analyses the association between agricultural experts' perceptions about climate change and their intention to implement climate change mitigation. Based on survey data, individuals' reported intention to implement personal and professional mitigation behavior is explained using a conceptual model. The structural equation modeling results suggest that the new ecological paradigm (NEP), institutional trust, and risk salience indirectly influence climate change mitigation intentions. The findings indicate that risk perception, personal efficacy, responsibility, belief in climate change occurring, and low psychological distance trigger a significantly greater intention to support personal and professional mitigation behaviors. However, the research framework is much stronger at predicting the intention to mitigate climate change in professional affairs compared to personal activities. The findings suggest that hypothetical distance factors only have a moderating effect on the relationship between higher climate change environmental values, institutional trust, risk salience, and mitigation intention. This paper analytically explores the regulating role of risk perception, hypothetical distance, personal efficacy, and responsibility between institutional trust, risk salience, and the NEP as independent concepts and intention to personal and professional mitigation behaviors as dependent variables. The findings of the study have important implications for encouraging personal and professional mitigation behaviors.}, }
@article {pmid37008491, year = {2023}, author = {Tian, P and Liu, Y and Ou, J}, title = {Meta-analysis of the impact of future climate change on the area of woody plant habitats in China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1139739}, pmid = {37008491}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Climate change poses a very serious threat to woody plants, and it is important to study its impact on the distribution dynamics of woody plants in China. However, there are no comprehensive quantitative studies on which factors influence the changes in the area of woody plant habitats in China under climate change. In this meta-analysis, we investigated the future suitable habitat area changes of 114 woody plant species in 85 studies based on MaxEnt model predictions to summarize the future climate change impacts on woody plant habitat area changes in China. It was found that climate change will result in a 3.66% increase in the overall woody plant suitable areas and a 31.33% decrease in the highly suitable areas in China. The mean temperature of the coldest quarter is the most important climatic factor, and greenhouse gas concentrations were inversely related to the area of future woody plant suitable areas. Meanwhile, shrubs are more climate-responsive than trees, drought-tolerant plants (e.g., Dalbergia, Cupressus, and Xanthoceras) and plants that can adapt quickly (e.g., Camellia, Cassia, and Fokienia) and their appearance will increase in the future. Old World temperate, Trop. Asia and Trop. Amer. disjuncted, and the Sino-Himalaya Floristic region are more vulnerable. Quantitative analysis of the possible risks to future climate change in areas suitable for woody plants in China is important for global woody plant diversity conservation.}, }
@article {pmid37005189, year = {2023}, author = {Hansen, MM}, title = {Prepping for climate change by introgressive hybridization.}, journal = {Trends in genetics : TIG}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.tig.2023.03.007}, pmid = {37005189}, issn = {0168-9525}, abstract = {Species and populations may adapt to climate change by microevolutionary processes. However, standing genetic variation can be insufficient for this to occur. An interesting new study of a system of rainbowfish species shows that intraspecific hybridization enriches gene pools with adaptive variation that may allow persistence in a changing climate.}, }
@article {pmid37004534, year = {2023}, author = {Dittmer, KM and Rose, S and Snapp, SS and Kebede, Y and Brickman, S and Shelton, S and Egler, C and Stier, M and Wollenberg, E}, title = {Agroecology Can Promote Climate Change Adaptation Outcomes Without Compromising Yield In Smallholder Systems.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {37004534}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {A critical question is whether agroecology can promote climate change mitigation and adaptation outcomes without compromising food security. We assessed the outcomes of smallholder agricultural systems and practices in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) against 35 mitigation, adaptation, and yield indicators by reviewing 50 articles with 77 cases of agroecological treatments relative to a baseline of conventional practices. Crop yields were higher for 63% of cases reporting yields. Crop diversity, income diversity, net income, reduced income variability, nutrient regulation, and reduced pest infestation, indicators of adaptative capacity, were associated with 70% or more of cases. Limited information on climate change mitigation, such as greenhouse gas emissions and carbon sequestration impacts, was available. Overall, the evidence indicates that use of organic nutrient sources, diversifying systems with legumes and integrated pest management lead to climate change adaptation in multiple contexts. Landscape mosaics, biological control (e.g., enhancement of beneficial organisms) and field sanitation measures do not yet have sufficient evidence based on this review. Widespread adoption of agroecological practices and system transformations shows promise to contribute to climate change services and food security in LMICs. Gaps in adaptation and mitigation strategies and areas for policy and research interventions are finally discussed.}, }
@article {pmid37003691, year = {2023}, author = {Muukkonen, P}, title = {Geography education to help understand discrimination in climate change and health.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10382}, pages = {1075-1076}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00325-2}, pmid = {37003691}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Educational Status ; Geography ; }, }
@article {pmid37003689, year = {2023}, author = {Romanello, M and Cai, W and Costello, A and Hartinger, S and Murray, K and Gordon Stratchan, G}, title = {No climate change justice in lieu of global authorship equity - Authors' reply.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10382}, pages = {1074-1075}, pmid = {37003689}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Authorship ; *Publishing ; Social Justice ; Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid37003688, year = {2023}, author = {Riaz, MMA and Wangari, MC and Mugambi, JK}, title = {No climate change justice in lieu of global authorship equity.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10382}, pages = {1074}, pmid = {37003688}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Authorship ; Social Justice ; Climate Change ; *Health Equity ; }, }
@article {pmid36998696, year = {2023}, author = {Rajpal, VR and Singh, A and Kathpalia, R and Thakur, RK and Khan, MK and Pandey, A and Hamurcu, M and Raina, SN}, title = {The Prospects of gene introgression from crop wild relatives into cultivated lentil for climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1127239}, pmid = {36998696}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Crop wild relatives (CWRs), landraces and exotic germplasm are important sources of genetic variability, alien alleles, and useful crop traits that can help mitigate a plethora of abiotic and biotic stresses and crop yield reduction arising due to global climatic changes. In the pulse crop genus Lens, the cultivated varieties have a narrow genetic base due to recurrent selections, genetic bottleneck and linkage drag. The collection and characterization of wild Lens germplasm resources have offered new avenues for the genetic improvement and development of stress-tolerant, climate-resilient lentil varieties with sustainable yield gains to meet future food and nutritional requirements. Most of the lentil breeding traits such as high-yield, adaptation to abiotic stresses and resistance to diseases are quantitative and require the identification of quantitative trait loci (QTLs) for marker assisted selection and breeding. Advances in genetic diversity studies, genome mapping and advanced high-throughput sequencing technologies have helped identify many stress-responsive adaptive genes, quantitative trait loci (QTLs) and other useful crop traits in the CWRs. The recent integration of genomics technologies with plant breeding has resulted in the generation of dense genomic linkage maps, massive global genotyping, large transcriptomic datasets, single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), expressed sequence tags (ESTs) that have advanced lentil genomic research substantially and allowed for the identification of QTLs for marker-assisted selection (MAS) and breeding. Assembly of lentil and its wild species genomes (~4Gbp) opens up newer possibilities for understanding genomic architecture and evolution of this important legume crop. This review highlights the recent strides in the characterization of wild genetic resources for useful alleles, development of high-density genetic maps, high-resolution QTL mapping, genome-wide studies, MAS, genomic selections, new databases and genome assemblies in traditionally bred genus Lens for future crop improvement amidst the impending global climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36998681, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, K and Shi, L and Zheng, B and He, Y}, title = {Responses of wheat kernel weight to diverse allelic combinations under projected climate change conditions.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1138966}, pmid = {36998681}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: In wheat, kernel weight (KW) is a key determinant of grain yield (GY). However, it is often overlooked when improving wheat productivity under climate warming. Moreover, little is known about the complex effects of genetic and climatic factors on KW. Here, we explored the responses of wheat KW to diverse allelic combinations under projected climate warming conditions.<br><br>METHODS: To focus on KW, we selected a subset of 81 out of 209 wheat varieties with similar GY, biomass, and kernel number (KN) and focused on their thousand-kernel weight (TKW). We genotyped them at eight kompetitive allele-specific polymerase chain reaction markers closely associated with TKW. Subsequently, we calibrated and evaluated the process-based model known as Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM-Wheat) based on a unique dataset including phenotyping, genotyping, climate, soil physicochemistry, and on-farm management information. We then used the calibrated APSIM-Wheat model to estimate TKW under eight allelic combinations (81 wheat varieties), seven sowing dates, and the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) designated SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, driven by climate projections from five General Circulation Models (GCMs) BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, EC-Earth3-Veg, MIROC-ES2L, and UKESM1-0-LL.<br><br>RESULTS: The APSIM-Wheat model reliably simulated wheat TKW with a root mean square error (RMSE) of < 3.076&#xa0;g TK[-1] and R[2] of > 0.575 (P < 0.001). The analysis of variance based on the simulation output showed that allelic combination, climate scenario, and sowing date extremely significantly affected TKW (P < 0.001). The impact of the interaction allelic combination &#xd7; climate scenario on TKW was also significant (P < 0.05). Meanwhile, the variety parameters and their relative importance in the APSIM-Wheat model accorded with the expression of the allelic combinations. Under the projected climate scenarios, the favorable allelic combinations (TaCKX-D1b + Hap-7A-1 + Hap-T + Hap-6A-G + Hap-6B-1 + H1g + A1b for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) mitigated the negative effects of climate change on TKW.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The present study demonstrated that optimizing favorable allelic combinations can help achieve high wheat TKW. The findings of this study clarify the responses of wheat KW to diverse allelic combinations under projected climate change conditions. Additionally, the present study provides theoretical and practical reference for marker-assisted selection of high TKW in wheat breeding.}, }
@article {pmid36997783, year = {2023}, author = {Gao, Y and Khan, AA and Khan, SU and Ali, MAS and Huai, J}, title = {Investigating the rationale for low-carbon production techniques in agriculture for climate change mitigation and fostering sustainable development via achieving lowcarbon targets.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-19}, pmid = {36997783}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {In China, agricultural activities are a major source of greenhouse gas emissions, ranking second only to another significant source. This presents a significant obstacle to reducing emissions and jeopardizes both the availability of food and the sustainable growth of agriculture. It is primarily the farmers who utilize cultivated land and are thus accountable for the initiation of these emissions. Farmers' role is significant in adopting green and low-carbon (LC) agricultural production practices, and their actions are directly tied to the achievement of the dual goals of carbon reduction. Understanding their motivations for engaging in LC production and the factors that influence their willingness to do so is important for both theory and practice. In this study, data was collected from 260 questionnaires in 13 counties across five major cities in Shaanxi Province. The purpose was to identify factors that impact farmers' motivation and willingness to engage in LC agriculture using linear regression analysis. A structural equation model was constructed to better understand the underlying mechanisms that influence farmers' actions towards LC farming practices. The study's findings indicate that (1) farmers' behavior towards LC production practices is notably impacted by internal motivation based on joy and internal motivation based on responsibility (IMR); (2) IMR has the most pronounced effect on farmers' adoption of LC production practices; (3) the internal motivation based on joy, IMR, behavior attitude, subjective norm, and perceived behavior control are related to each other; and (4) the multi-group analysis of the data indicates that the impact of internal motivation based on joy and IMR on adopting sustainable farming practices may vary among different groups. It is essential to support farmers who have strong intrinsic motivation to engage in sustainable agriculture. Additionally, policymakers must promote positive attitudes towards sustainable farming to achieve the desired environmental (LC) objectives.}, }
@article {pmid36996987, year = {2023}, author = {Ashraf, N and Anas, A and Sukumaran, V and Gopinath, G and Idrees Babu, KK and Dinesh Kumar, PK}, title = {Recent advancements in coral health, microbiome interactions and climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {878}, number = {}, pages = {163085}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163085}, pmid = {36996987}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Corals are the visible indicators of the disasters induced by global climate change and anthropogenic activities and have become a highly vulnerable ecosystem on the verge of extinction. Multiple stressors could act individually or synergistically which results in small to large scale tissue degradation, reduced coral covers, and makes the corals vulnerable to various diseases. The coralline diseases are like the Chicken pox in humans because they spread hastily throughout the coral ecosystem and can devastate the coral cover formed over centuries in an abbreviated time. The extinction of the entire reef ecosystem will alter the ocean and earth's amalgam of biogeochemical cycles causing a threat to the entire planet. The current manuscript provides an overview of the recent advancement in coral health, microbiome interactions and climate change. Culture dependent and independent approaches in studying the microbiome of corals, the diseases caused by microorganisms, and the reservoirs of coral pathogens are also discussed. Finally, we discuss the possibilities of protecting the coral reefs from diseases through microbiome transplantation and the capabilities of remote sensing in monitoring their health status.}, }
@article {pmid36996978, year = {2023}, author = {Muzammil, M and Zahid, A and Farooq, U and Saddique, N and Breuer, L}, title = {Climate change adaptation strategies for sustainable water management in the Indus basin of Pakistan.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {878}, number = {}, pages = {163143}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163143}, pmid = {36996978}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Pakistan's agriculture faces water security challenges owing to insecure water supply and bad governance. The increasing food demand of the growing population and climate change vulnerability are future key threats to water sustainability. In this study, the current and future water demands as well as management strategies are evaluated for two climate change Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) for the Punjab and Sindh provinces in the Indus basin of Pakistan. The RCPs are assessed for the regional climate model REMO2015, which was found to be the best-fitting model for the current situation in a preceding model comparison using Taylor diagrams. The status quo water consumption (CWRarea) is estimated to 184 km[3] yr[-1], consisting of 76 % blue water (freshwater from surface water and groundwater), 16 % green water (precipitation), and 8 % grey water (required to leach out the salts from the root zone). The results of the future CWRarea indicates that RCP2.6 is more vulnerable than RCP8.5 in view of water consumption as the vegetation period of crops is reduced under RCP8.5. For both pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5), CWRarea increases gradually in the midterm (2031-2070) and becomes extreme at the end of the long term (2061-2090). The future CWRarea increases up to +73 % under the RCP2.6 and up to +68 % in the RCP8.5 compared to the status quo. However, the increase in CWRarea could be restrained up to -3 % compared to the status quo through the adaptation of alternative cropping patterns. The results further show that the future CWRarea under climate change could be even decreased by up to -19 % through the collective implementation of improved irrigation technologies and optimized cropping patterns.}, }
@article {pmid36996855, year = {2023}, author = {Kaminski, I}, title = {Does climate change threaten human right to health?.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {4}, pages = {e268-e269}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00058-X}, pmid = {36996855}, issn = {2542-5196}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Right to Health ; Human Rights ; }, }
@article {pmid36996263, year = {2023}, author = {Fajardo, A and Gazol, A and Moreno, PC and Mayr, C and Martínez Pastur, GJ and Peri, PL and Camarero, JJ}, title = {Climate change-related growth improvements in a wide-niche breadth tree species across contrasting environments.}, journal = {Annals of botany}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/aob/mcad053}, pmid = {36996263}, issn = {1095-8290}, abstract = {BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The vulnerability and responsiveness of forests to drought is immensely variable across biomes. Intraspecific tree responses to drought in wide-niche breadth species that grow across contrasting climatically environments may provide key information regarding forest resistance and species distribution shifts under climate change. Using an exceptionally wide-niche breath species, we tested the hypothesis that tree populations thriving in dry environments are more resistant to drought than those growing in moist locations.<br><br>METHODS: We determined temporal trends in tree radial growth of 12 tree populations of Nothofagus antarctica (Nothofagaceae) located across a sharp precipitation gradient (500-2,000&#xa0;mm of annual precipitation) in Chile and Argentina. Using dendrochronological methods, we fitted generalized additive mixed-effect models to predict the annual basal area increment (BAI) as a function of year and dryness (De Martonne aridity index). We also measured carbon and oxygen isotope signals (and estimated intrinsic water-use efficiency, iWUE) to provide potential physiological causes for tree growth responses to drought.<br><br>KEY RESULTS: We found unexpected growth improvements during 1980-1998 in moist sites, while growth responses in dry sites were mixed. All populations--independent of site moisture--showed an increase in their iWUE in recent decades, a tendency that seemed to be explained by an increase in the photosynthetic rate instead of drought-induced stomatal closure since &#x3b4; 18O did not change with time.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The absence of drought-induced negative effects on tree growth in a wide-niche breadth tree species is promising because it may relate to the causal mechanisms tree species possess to face ongoing drought events. We suggest that N. antarctica's drought resistance may be due to its low stature and relatively low growth rate.}, }
@article {pmid36996069, year = {2023}, author = {Kuang, H and Li, J and Zuo, H and Ye, X}, title = {Research on climate change based on carbonate porosity analysis in Jinping, China.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0281630}, pmid = {36996069}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Porosity ; China ; *Carbonates ; Image Processing, Computer-Assisted ; }, abstract = {In this paper, climate change in the Jinping area is investigated. The climate change trend in the Jinping area is studied by plotting the porosity value of the carbonate rocks as a curve. By comparing the curve established using the climate change data from published articles, it is found that the B value curve obtained using the saddle line is the closest to the curve established using the climate change data from published articles. This shows that the carbonate porosity in the Jinping area obtained using an image analysis technique can be used for climate change research.}, }
@article {pmid36993020, year = {2022}, author = {Raina, SK and Kumar, R}, title = {Sustainability, criticality, transition, fragility; pandemics, war, climate change and resource restriction - A recipe for the end.}, journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care}, volume = {11}, number = {11}, pages = {6630-6632}, doi = {10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_1057_22}, pmid = {36993020}, issn = {2249-4863}, abstract = {The criticality of the system or processes is in the values that the system or process represents. The acceleration to transition point, to fragility and ruin is dependent on our acceptance of an understanding of criticality. Pandemics, wars or climate change; as diverse as situations can be, point to this lack of a collective understanding of criticality of real-world situations.}, }
@article {pmid36991071, year = {2023}, author = {Jones, MW and Peters, GP and Gasser, T and Andrew, RM and Schwingshackl, C and Gütschow, J and Houghton, RA and Friedlingstein, P and Pongratz, J and Le Quéré, C}, title = {National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850.}, journal = {Scientific data}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {155}, pmid = {36991071}, issn = {2052-4463}, mesh = {Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; *Climate Change ; Methane ; Nitrous Oxide/analysis ; }, abstract = {Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) have made significant contributions to global warming since the pre-industrial period and are therefore targeted in international climate policy. There is substantial interest in tracking and apportioning national contributions to climate change and informing equitable commitments to decarbonisation. Here, we introduce a new dataset of national contributions to global warming caused by historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide during the years 1851-2021, which are consistent with the latest findings of the IPCC. We calculate the global mean surface temperature response to historical emissions of the three gases, including recent refinements which account for the short atmospheric lifetime of CH4. We report national contributions to global warming resulting from emissions of each gas, including a disaggregation to fossil and land use sectors. This dataset will be updated annually as national emissions datasets are updated.}, }
@article {pmid36990691, year = {2023}, author = {Mata-Guel, EO and Soh, MCK and Butler, CW and Morris, RJ and Razgour, O and Peh, KS}, title = {Impacts of anthropogenic climate change on tropical montane forests: an appraisal of the evidence.}, journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/brv.12950}, pmid = {36990691}, issn = {1469-185X}, abstract = {In spite of their small global area and restricted distributions, tropical montane forests (TMFs) are biodiversity hotspots and important ecosystem services providers, but are also highly vulnerable to climate change. To protect and preserve these ecosystems better, it is crucial to inform the design and implementation of conservation policies with the best available scientific evidence, and to identify knowledge gaps and future research needs. We conducted a systematic review and an appraisal of evidence quality to assess the impacts of climate change on TMFs. We identified several skews and shortcomings. Experimental study designs with controls and long-term (≥10 years) data sets provide the most reliable evidence, but were rare and gave an incomplete understanding of climate change impacts on TMFs. Most studies were based on predictive modelling approaches, short-term (<10 years) and cross-sectional study designs. Although these methods provide moderate to circumstantial evidence, they can advance our understanding on climate change effects. Current evidence suggests that increasing temperatures and rising cloud levels have caused distributional shifts (mainly upslope) of montane biota, leading to alterations in biodiversity and ecological functions. Neotropical TMFs were the best studied, thus the knowledge derived there can serve as a proxy for climate change responses in under-studied regions elsewhere. Most studies focused on vascular plants, birds, amphibians and insects, with other taxonomic groups poorly represented. Most ecological studies were conducted at species or community levels, with a marked paucity of genetic studies, limiting understanding of the adaptive capacity of TMF biota. We thus highlight the long-term need to widen the methodological, thematic and geographical scope of studies on TMFs under climate change to address these uncertainties. In the short term, however, in-depth research in well-studied regions and advances in computer modelling approaches offer the most reliable sources of information for expeditious conservation action for these threatened forests.}, }
@article {pmid36989996, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, J and Dong, H and Li, M and Wu, Y and Zhang, C and Chen, J and Yang, Z and Lin, G and Liu, L and Yang, J}, title = {Projecting the excess mortality due to heatwave and its characteristics under climate change, population and adaptation scenarios.}, journal = {International journal of hygiene and environmental health}, volume = {250}, number = {}, pages = {114157}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijheh.2023.114157}, pmid = {36989996}, issn = {1618-131X}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heatwaves have significant adverse effects on human health. The frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase dramatically, in the context of global warming. However, there are few comprehensive assessments of the health impact of heatwaves considering different definitions, and their characteristics under climate change scenarios.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: We aimed to compare future excess mortality related to heatwaves among different definitions under climate change, population, and adaptation scenarios in China and further explore the mortality burden associated with heatwave characteristics.<br><br>METHODS: Daily data during 2010-2019 were collected in Guangzhou, China. We adopted nine common heatwave definitions and applied quasi-Poisson models to estimate the effects of heatwaves and their characteristics' impact on mortality. We then projected the excess mortality associated with heatwaves and their characteristics concerning climate change, population, and adaptation scenarios.<br><br>RESULTS: The relative risks of the nine common heatwave definitions ranged from 1.05 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.10) to 1.24 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.35). Heatwave-related excess mortality will consistently increase in the future decades considering multiple heatwave definitions, with more rapidly increasing rates under the Shared Socioeconomic Path5-8.5 and non-adaptability scenarios. Regarding heatwave characteristics, the intensity is the main factor involved in the threat of heatwaves. The increasing trend of characteristic-related mortality burden is similar to that of heatwaves, and the mortality burden caused by the duration of the heatwaves was the largest among all characteristics.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a comprehensive picture of the impact of heatwaves and their characteristics on public health under various climate change scenarios, population changes, and adaptive assumptions. The results may provide important public health implications for policymakers in planning climate change adaptation and mitigation policies, and implementing specific plans.}, }
@article {pmid36988801, year = {2023}, author = {Qiao, H and Zhang, J}, title = {Enhancing global thinking can reduce the misconception of accumulation: A potential way to mitigate climate change.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36988801}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change and global warming have long been attention and concern all over the world. However, there is always a debate about when and to what degree to take action like reducing carbon dioxide emissions. Recently, researchers found that the public has misconceptions about climate dynamics, which might be a reason for people do not support prompt mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions. The core problem of misconceptions is the stock-flow (SF) problem, which refers to the difficulty of inferring the behavior of a stock variable given information regarding its inflows and outflows. We elaborated on the idea that global thinking is beneficial for comprehending SF problems and proposed that global thinking enhancing display based on highlighting the areas of difference could be a possible way to shift one's thinking process to the right one, which was proved by two studies. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.}, }
@article {pmid36987459, year = {2023}, author = {Khatib, AN}, title = {Climate Change and Travel: Harmonizing to Abate Impact.}, journal = {Current infectious disease reports}, volume = {25}, number = {4}, pages = {77-85}, pmid = {36987459}, issn = {1523-3847}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: With climate change being the single biggest health threat facing humanity, this review aims to identify the climate-sensitive health risks to the traveler and to recognize the role that travel plays in contributing to the detrimental effects of climate change. With this understanding, adaptations for transformational action can be made.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Travel and tourism, including transportation, food consumption, and accommodation, is responsible for a large percentage of the world's carbon emissions which is contributing to the climate change crisis at an alarming rate. Climate change is a health emergency that is resulting in a rise of significant health impacts to the traveler including increased heat illnesses; food-, water-, and vector-borne diseases; and increasing risk of exposure to emerging infectious diseases. Patterns of future travel and destination choices are likely to change due to climactic factors such as temperature and extreme weather events, forced migration, degradation, and disappearance of popular and natural tourist destinations.<br><br>SUMMARY: Global warming is and will continue to alter the landscape of travel medicine with expansion of transmission seasons and geographic ranges of disease, increased risk of infections and harmful marine toxins, and introduction of emerging infections to na&#xef;ve populations. This will have implications for pre-travel counseling in assessing risk and discussing the environmental influences on travel. Travelers and stakeholders should be engaged in a dialogue to understand their "climate footprint," to innovate sustainable solutions, and be empowered to make immediate, conscientious, and responsible choices to abate the impact of breaching critical temperature thresholds.}, }
@article {pmid36987063, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, HT and Wang, WT}, title = {Prediction of the Potential Distribution of the Endangered Species Meconopsis punicea Maxim under Future Climate Change Based on Four Species Distribution Models.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36987063}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Climate change increases the extinction risk of species, and studying the impact of climate change on endangered species is of great significance to biodiversity conservation. In this study, the endangered plant Meconopsis punicea Maxim (M. punicea) was selected as the research object. Four species distribution models (SDMs): the generalized linear model, the generalized boosted regression tree model, random forest and flexible discriminant analysis were applied to predict the potential distribution of M. punicea under current and future climates scenarios. Among them, two emission scenarios of sharing socio-economic pathways (SSPs; i.e., SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and two global circulation models (GCMs) were considered for future climate conditions. Our results showed that temperature seasonality, mean temperature of coldest quarter, precipitation seasonality and precipitation of warmest quarter were the most important factors shaping the potential distribution of M. punicea. The prediction of the four SDMs consistently indicated that the current potential distribution area of M. punicea is concentrated between 29.02° N-39.06° N and 91.40° E-105.89° E. Under future climate change, the potential distribution of M. punicea will expand from the southeast to the northwest, and the expansion area under SSP5-8.5 would be wider than that under SSP2-4.5. In addition, there were significant differences in the potential distribution of M. punicea predicted by different SDMs, with slight differences caused by GCMs and emission scenarios. Our study suggests using agreement results from different SDMs as the basis for developing conservation strategies to improve reliability.}, }
@article {pmid36987010, year = {2023}, author = {Pineda, M and Barón, M}, title = {Assessment of Black Rot in Oilseed Rape Grown under Climate Change Conditions Using Biochemical Methods and Computer Vision.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36987010}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Global warming is a challenge for plants and pathogens, involving profound changes in the physiology of both contenders to adapt to the new environmental conditions and to succeed in their interaction. Studies have been conducted on the behavior of oilseed rape plants and two races (1 and 4) of the bacterium Xanthomonas campestris pv. campestris (Xcc) and their interaction to anticipate our response in the possible future climate. Symptoms caused by both races of Xcc were very similar to each other under any climatic condition assayed, although the bacterial count from infected leaves differed for each race. Climate change caused an earlier onset of Xcc symptoms by at least 3 days, linked to oxidative stress and a change in pigment composition. Xcc infection aggravated the leaf senescence already induced by climate change. To identify Xcc-infected plants early under any climatic condition, four classifying algorithms were trained with parameters obtained from the images of green fluorescence, two vegetation indices and thermography recorded on Xcc-symptomless leaves. Classification accuracies were above 0.85 out of 1.0 in all cases, with k-nearest neighbor analysis and support vector machines performing best under the tested climatic conditions.}, }
@article {pmid36986993, year = {2023}, author = {Miranda-Apodaca, J and Artetxe, U and Aguado, I and Martin-Souto, L and Ramirez-Garcia, A and Lacuesta, M and Becerril, JM and Estonba, A and Ortiz-Barredo, A and Hernández, A and Zarraonaindia, I and Pérez-López, U}, title = {Stress Response to Climate Change and Postharvest Handling in Two Differently Pigmented Lettuce Genotypes: Impact on Alternaria alternata Invasion and Mycotoxin Production.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36986993}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Many species of Alternaria are important pathogens that cause plant diseases and postharvest rots. They lead to significant economic losses in agriculture and affect human and animal health due to their capacity to produce mycotoxins. Therefore, it is necessary to study the factors that can result in an increase in A. alternata. In this study, we discuss the mechanism by which phenol content protects from A. alternata, since the red oak leaf cultivar (containing higher phenols) showed lower invasion than the green one, Batavia, and no mycotoxin production. A climate change scenario enhanced fungal growth in the most susceptible cultivar, green lettuce, likely because elevated temperature and CO2 levels decrease plant N content, modifying the C/N ratio. Finally, while the abundance of the fungi was maintained at similar levels after keeping the lettuces for four days at 4 °C, this postharvest handling triggered TeA and TEN mycotoxin synthesis, but only in the green cultivar. Therefore, the results demonstrated that invasion and mycotoxin production are cultivar- and temperature-dependent. Further research should be directed to search for resistant cultivars and effective postharvest strategies to reduce the toxicological risk and economic losses related to this fungus, which are expected to increase in a climate change scenario.}, }
@article {pmid36986959, year = {2023}, author = {Khan, H and Mamrutha, HM and Mishra, CN and Krishnappa, G and Sendhil, R and Parkash, O and Joshi, AK and Chatrath, R and Tyagi, BS and Singh, G and Singh, GP}, title = {Harnessing High Yield Potential in Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) under Climate Change Scenario.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36986959}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Wheat is a major staple food crop for food security in India and South Asia. The current rate (0.8-1.2%) of genetic gain in wheat is significantly shorter than the 2.4% needed to meet future demand. The changing climate and increased yield loss due to factors such as terminal heat stress necessitate the need for climate-resilient practices to sustain wheat production. At ICAR-Indian Institute of Wheat and Barley Research in Karnal, Haryana, India, a new High Yield Potential Trial (HYPT) was conceptualized and subsequently conducted at six locations in the highly productive North Western Plain Zone (NWPZ). An attempt was made to harness higher wheat yields through the best pipeline genotypes suitable for early sowing and modified agronomic practices to explore the feasibility of a new approach that is profitable to farmers. The modified agronomic practices included like early sowing, application of 150% recommended dose of fertilizers, and two sprays of growth regulators (Chlormaquate chloride and Tebuconazole) to prevent lodging. The mean yield in the HYPT was 19.4% superior compared to the best trials conducted during the normal sowing time. A highly positive and significant correlation of grain yield with grain filling duration (0.51), biomass (0.73), harvest index (0.75), normalized difference vegetation Index (0.27), chlorophyll content index (0.32), and 1000-grain weight (0.62) was observed. An increased return of USD 201.95/ha was realized in the HYPT when compared to normal sowing conditions. This study proves that new integrated practices have the potential to provide the best profitable yields in wheat in the context of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36986946, year = {2023}, author = {Torres, E and García-Fernández, A and Iñigo, D and Lara-Romero, C and Morente-López, J and Prieto-Benítez, S and Rubio Teso, ML and Iriondo, JM}, title = {Facilitated Adaptation as A Conservation Tool in the Present Climate Change Context: A Methodological Guide.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36986946}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Climate change poses a novel threat to biodiversity that urgently requires the development of adequate conservation strategies. Living organisms respond to environmental change by migrating to locations where their ecological niche is preserved or by adapting to the new environment. While the first response has been used to develop, discuss and implement the strategy of assisted migration, facilitated adaptation is only beginning to be considered as a potential approach. Here, we present a review of the conceptual framework for facilitated adaptation, integrating advances and methodologies from different disciplines. Briefly, facilitated adaptation involves a population reinforcement that introduces beneficial alleles to enable the evolutionary adaptation of a focal population to pressing environmental conditions. To this purpose, we propose two methodological approaches. The first one (called pre-existing adaptation approach) is based on using pre-adapted genotypes existing in the focal population, in other populations, or even in closely related species. The second approach (called de novo adaptation approach) aims to generate new pre-adapted genotypes from the diversity present in the species through artificial selection. For each approach, we present a stage-by-stage procedure, with some techniques that can be used for its implementation. The associated risks and difficulties of each approach are also discussed.}, }
@article {pmid36982052, year = {2023}, author = {Abou Kamar, M and Aliane, N and Elbestawi, I and Agina, MF and Alsetoohy, O}, title = {Are Coastal Hotels Ready for Climate Change? The Case of Alexandria, Egypt.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36982052}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Egypt ; *Sea Level Rise ; Geographic Information Systems ; Middle East ; }, abstract = {Climate change casts a shadow on the tourism industry in Egypt in general, and on coastal hotels in particular, as the coastal areas of Egypt have been classified as the most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East. As such, mitigating the negative impacts and threats of climate change requires an assessment of the vulnerability of coastal hotels and the extent to which adaptation measures are applied. Accordingly, this study applied a hybrid methodology to achieve three main objectives. First, to evaluate Alexandria's vulnerability to future climate change (at the destination level) by analyzing the recent climatic trends and expected scenarios. Second, to assess the vulnerability of Alexandria's coastal hotels to climate change (sector level) using satellite images, aerial mapping, remote sensing, and geographic information systems (GIS). Third, to explore how coastal hotels are adapting to the risks of climate change using the four business-focused adaptation measures (i.e., technical, managerial, policies, and awareness-raising). The findings of the study revealed and confirmed that the hotel sector in Alexandria is threatened by sea level rise (SLR). Four hotels are at risk of inundation, and the extent of hotels at risk will increase with future scenarios of SLR. On the other hand, the results of examining the adaptation measures of 36 hotels indicated that the scope of the adaptation measures differed significantly between hotels due to factors such as hotel category, size, duration of operation, and EMS status, but overall, the scope of application was more comprehensive and varied than expected. Technical adaptation measures were the most common and applied by the majority of hotels in Alexandria. The results of this study should help figure out what adaptation measures coastal hotels should take and show policymakers where they should focus their adaptation efforts.}, }
@article {pmid36982003, year = {2023}, author = {Ratwatte, P and Wehling, H and Phalkey, R and Weston, D}, title = {Prioritising Climate Change Mitigation Behaviours and Exploring Public Health Co-Benefits: A Delphi Study.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36982003}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; *Public Health ; Climate Change ; Delphi Technique ; *COVID-19/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; Costs and Cost Analysis ; }, abstract = {Climate change requires urgent action; however, it can be challenging to identify individual-level behaviours that should be prioritised for maximum impact. The study aimed to prioritise climate change mitigation behaviours according to their impacts on climate change and public health, and to identify associated barriers and facilitators-exploring the impact of observed behaviour shifts associated with COVID-19 in the UK. A three-round Delphi study and expert workshop were conducted: An expert panel rated mitigation behaviours impacted by COVID-19 in relation to their importance regarding health impacts and climate change mitigation using a five-point Likert scale. Consensus on the importance of target behaviours was determined by interquartile ranges. In total, seven target behaviours were prioritised: installing double/triple glazing; installing cavity wall insulation; installing solid wall insulation; moving away from meat/emission heavy diets; reducing the number of cars per household; walking shorter journeys; and reducing day/weekend leisure car journeys. Barriers related to the costs associated with performing behaviours and a lack of complementary policy-regulated subsidies. The target behaviours are consistent with recommendations from previous research. To ensure public uptake, interventions should address behavioural facilitators and barriers, dovetail climate change mitigation with health co-benefits and account for the long-term impacts of COVID-19 on these behaviours.}, }
@article {pmid36981875, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Y and Qin, X and Jin, Z and Liu, Y}, title = {Future Projection of Extreme Precipitation Indices over the Qilian Mountains under Global Warming.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981875}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Global Warming ; *Climate ; China ; Climate Change ; Ice Cover ; }, abstract = {The Qilian Mountains are a climate-sensitive area in northwest China, and extreme precipitation events have an important impact on its ecological environment. Therefore, considering the global warming scenario, it is highly important to project the extreme precipitation indices over the Qilian Mountains in the future. This study is based on three CMIP6 models (CESM2, EC-Earth3, and KACE-1-0-G). A bias correction algorithm (QDM) was used to correct the precipitation outputs of the models. The eight extreme precipitation indices over the Qilian Mountains during the historical period and in the future were calculated using meteorological software (ClimPACT2), and the performance of the CMIP6 models to simulate the extreme precipitation indices of the Qilian Mountains in the historical period was evaluated. Results revealed that: (1) The corrected CMIP6 models could simulate the changes in extreme precipitation indices over the Qilian Mountains in the historical period relatively well, and the corrected CESM2 displayed better simulation as compared to the other two CMIP6 models. The CMIP6 models performed well while simulating R10mm (CC is higher than 0.71) and PRCPTOT (CC is higher than 0.84). (2) The changes in the eight extreme precipitation indices were greater with the enhancement of the SSP scenario. The growth rate of precipitation in the Qilian Mountains during the 21st century under SSP585 is significantly higher than the other two SSP scenarios. The increment of precipitation in the Qilian Mountains mainly comes from the increase in heavy precipitation. (3) The Qilian Mountains will become wetter in the 21st century, especially in the central and eastern regions. The largest increase in precipitation intensity will be observed in the western Qilian Mountains. Additionally, total precipitation will also increase in the middle and end of the 21st century under SSP585. Furthermore, the precipitation increment of the Qilian Mountains will increase with the altitude in the middle and end of the 21st century. This study aims to provide a reference for the changes in extreme precipitation events, glacier mass balance, and water resources in the Qilian Mountains during the 21st century.}, }
@article {pmid36981873, year = {2023}, author = {Tarinc, A and Ergun, GS and Aytekin, A and Keles, A and Ozbek, O and Keles, H and Yayla, O}, title = {Effect of Climate Change Belief and the New Environmental Paradigm (NEP) on Eco-Tourism Attitudes of Tourists: Moderator Role of Green Self-Identity.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981873}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Tourism ; Climate Change ; Attitude ; *Medical Tourism ; Turkey ; }, abstract = {This research has been conducted to determine the effect of tourists' beliefs of climate change on the NEP and ecotourism attitudes. In addition to this purpose, the moderator role of green self-identity in the effect of the NEP on ecological attitudes has also been examined. The research data were obtained from the tourists visiting the Alanya destination, which is one of the centers that attract the most tourists in Turkey. When the results of the research were examined, it could be determined that the belief in climate change is effective on all dimensions of the NEP, and similarly, all dimensions of the NEP have also affected the tourists' ecological attitude. Further, green self-identity has a moderator role in the effect of ecocentric and anthropocentric sub-dimensions on eco-tourism attitudes. As a consequence of the findings, a number of theoretical and practical implications have been developed for sector managers, destination management organizations, and academicians.}, }
@article {pmid36981774, year = {2023}, author = {Nakamura, S and Abanokova, K and Dang, HH and Takamatsu, S and Pei, C and Prospere, D}, title = {Is Climate Change Slowing the Urban Escalator Out of Poverty? Evidence from Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981774}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; Colombia ; Chile ; *Poverty ; Urban Population ; Indonesia ; *Climate Change ; Elevators and Escalators ; }, abstract = {While urbanization has great potential to facilitate poverty reduction, climate shocks represent a looming threat to such upward mobility. This paper empirically analyzes the effects of climatic risks on the function of urban agglomerations to support poor households' escape from poverty. Combining household surveys with climatic datasets, our analyses of Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia find that households in large metropolitan areas are more likely to escape from poverty, indicating better access to economic opportunities in those areas. However, climate shocks such as extreme rainfalls and high flood risks significantly reduce upward mobility, thus offsetting such benefits of urban agglomerations. The findings underscore the need to enhance resilience among the urban poor to allow them to fully utilize the benefits of urban agglomerations.}, }
@article {pmid36981685, year = {2023}, author = {Comi, M and Becot, F and Bendixsen, C}, title = {Automation, Climate Change, and the Future of Farm Work: Cross-Disciplinary Lessons for Studying Dynamic Changes in Agricultural Health and Safety.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981685}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Farms ; *Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; Workplace ; Automation ; }, abstract = {In this review, we first assess the state of agricultural health and safety research as it pertains to the dynamic challenges facing automating agriculture on a warming planet. Then, we turn to social science fields such as rural sociology, science and technology studies, and environmental studies to leverage relevant insights on the introduction of new technologies, environmental risks, and associated workplace hazards. Increased rates of automation in agriculture alongside new risks associated with climate change create the need for anticipatory governance and adaptive research to study novel mechanisms of worker health and safety. The use of the PRISMA framework led to the 137 articles for our review. We identify three themes in the literature on agricultural health and safety: (1) adoption outcomes, (2) discrete cases of health risks, and (3) an emphasis on care and wellbeing in literature on dairy automation Our review led to the identification of research gaps, noting that current research (a) tends to examine these forces separately, instead of together, (b) has not made robust examination of these forces as socially embedded, and (c) has hesitated to examine the broad, transferable themes for how these forces work across industries. In response to these gaps, we suggest that attention to outside disciplines may provide agricultural health and safety research with a toolset to examine needed inquiry into the multiplicity of experiences of rural stakeholders, the industry specific problems arising from automation and climate change, and the socially embedded aspects of agricultural work in the future.}, }
@article {pmid36981615, year = {2023}, author = {Shrikhande, SS and Merten, S and Cambaco, O and Lee, T and Lakshmanasamy, R and Röösli, M and Dalvie, MA and Utzinger, J and Cissé, G}, title = {"Climate Change and Health?": Knowledge and Perceptions among Key Stakeholders in Puducherry, India.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981615}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; India ; *Health Policy ; Public Health ; Acclimatization ; }, abstract = {Climate change has far-reaching impacts on human health, with low- and middle-income countries, including India, being particularly vulnerable. While there have been several advances in the policy space with the development of adaptation plans, little remains known about how stakeholders who are central to the strengthening and implementation of these plans perceive this topic. We conducted a qualitative study employing key interviews with 16 medical doctors, researchers, environmentalists and government officials working on the climate change agenda from Puducherry, India. The findings were analysed using the framework method, with data-driven thematic analysis. We elucidated that despite elaborating the direct and indirect impacts of climate change on health, there remains a perceived gap in education and knowledge about the topic among participants. Knowledge of the public health burden and vulnerabilities influenced the perceived health risks from climate change, with some level of scepticism on the impacts on non-communicable diseases, such as cardiovascular diseases. There was also a felt need for multi-level awareness and intervention programmes targeting all societal levels along with stakeholder recommendations to fill these gaps. The findings of this study should be taken into consideration for strengthening the region's climate change and health adaptation policy. In light of limited research on this topic, our study provides an improved understanding of how key stakeholders perceive the impacts of climate change on health in India.}, }
@article {pmid36981588, year = {2023}, author = {Hou, P and Deng, X and Wang, J and Xue, L and Zhang, Y and Xu, T and Xue, L and Yang, L}, title = {Fertilization and Global Warming Impact on Paddy CH4 Emissions.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981588}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Global Warming ; Agriculture/methods ; Nitrous Oxide/analysis ; Soil ; Fertilizers/analysis ; *Oryza ; Methane ; Fertilization ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess the influence of experimental warming and fertilization on rice yield and paddy methane emissions.<br><br>METHODS: A free-air temperature increase system was used for the experimental warming treatment (ET), while the control treatment used ambient temperature (AC). Each treatment contained two fertilization strategies, (i) normal fertilization with N, P and K fertilizers (CN) and (ii) without N fertilizer input (CK).<br><br>RESULTS: The yield was remarkably dictated by fertilization (p < 0.01), but not warming. Its value with CN treatment increased by 76.24% compared to CK. Also, the interactive effect of warming and fertilization on CH4 emissions was insignificant. The seasonal emissions from warming increased by 36.93% compared to AC, while the values under CN treatment increased by 79.92% compared to CK. Accordingly, the ET-CN treatment obtained the highest CH4 emissions (178.08 kg ha[-1]), notably higher than the other treatments. Also, the results showed that soil fertility is the main driver affecting CH4 emissions rather than soil microorganisms.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Fertilization aggravates the increasing effect of warming on paddy methane emissions. It is a daunting task to optimize fertilization to ensure yield and reduce methane emissions amid global warming.}, }
@article {pmid36981104, year = {2023}, author = {Adekanmbi, T and Wang, X and Basheer, S and Nawaz, RA and Pang, T and Hu, Y and Liu, S}, title = {Assessing Future Climate Change Impacts on Potato Yields - A Case Study for Prince Edward Island, Canada.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {}, pmid = {36981104}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Crop yields are adversely affected by climate change; therefore, it is crucial to develop climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of increasing climate variability on the agriculture system to ensure food security. As one of the largest potato-producing provinces in Canada, Prince Edward Island (PEI) has recently experienced significant instability in potato production. PEI's local farmers and stakeholders are extremely concerned about the prospects for the future of potato farming industries in the context of climate change. This study aims to use the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) potato model to simulate future potato yields under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios (including SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The study evaluates the combined effects of changing climatic conditions at local scales (i.e., warming temperature and changing precipitation patterns) and increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the atmosphere. The results indicate future significant declines in potato yield in PEI under the current farming practices. In particular, under the high-emission scenarios (e.g., SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), the potato yield in PEI would decline by 48% and 60% in the 2070s and by 63% and 80% by 2090s; even under the low-emission scenarios (i.e., SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6), the potato yield in PEI would still decline by 6-10%. This implies that it is important to develop effective climate adaptation measures (e.g., adjusting farming practices and introducing supplemental irrigation plans) to ensure the long-term sustainability of potato production in PEI.}, }
@article {pmid36979127, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, BX and Zhu, L and Ma, G and Najar-Rodriguez, A and Zhang, JP and Zhang, F and Avila, GA and Ma, CS}, title = {Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth Cadra figulilella (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36979127}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {Global trade facilitates the introduction of invasive species that can cause irreversible damage to agriculture and the environment, as well as stored food products. The raisin moth (Cadra figulilella) is an invasive pest that poses a significant threat to fruits and dried foods. Climate change may exacerbate this threat by expanding moth's distribution to new areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX and MaxEnt niche modeling tools to assess the potential global distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate change scenarios. Our models projected that the area of suitable distribution for the raisin moth could increase by up to 36.37% by the end of this century under high emission scenario. We also found that excessive precipitation decreased the probability of raisin moth establishment and that the optimum temperature range for the species during the wettest quarter of the year was 0-18 °C. These findings highlight the need for future research to utilize a combined modeling approach to predict the distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate conditions more accurately. Our results could be used for environmental risk assessments, as well as to inform international trade decisions and negotiations on phytosanitary measures with regards to this invasive species.}, }
@article {pmid36977742, year = {2023}, author = {Seidel, L and Broman, E and Nilsson, E and Ståhle, M and Ketzer, M and Pérez-Martínez, C and Turner, S and Hylander, S and Pinhassi, J and Forsman, A and Dopson, M}, title = {Climate change-related warming reduces thermal sensitivity and modifies metabolic activity of coastal benthic bacterial communities.}, journal = {The ISME journal}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36977742}, issn = {1751-7370}, abstract = {Besides long-term average temperature increases, climate change is projected to result in a higher frequency of marine heatwaves. Coastal zones are some of the most productive and vulnerable ecosystems, with many stretches already under anthropogenic pressure. Microorganisms in coastal areas are central to marine energy and nutrient cycling and therefore, it is important to understand how climate change will alter these ecosystems. Using a long-term heated bay (warmed for 50 years) in comparison with an unaffected adjacent control bay and an experimental short-term thermal (9 days at 6-35 °C) incubation experiment, this study provides new insights into how coastal benthic water and surface sediment bacterial communities respond to temperature change. Benthic bacterial communities in the two bays reacted differently to temperature increases with productivity in the heated bay having a broader thermal tolerance compared with that in the control bay. Furthermore, the transcriptional analysis showed that the heated bay benthic bacteria had higher transcript numbers related to energy metabolism and stress compared to the control bay, while short-term elevated temperatures in the control bay incubation experiment induced a transcript response resembling that observed in the heated bay field conditions. In contrast, a reciprocal response was not observed for the heated bay community RNA transcripts exposed to lower temperatures indicating a potential tipping point in community response may have been reached. In summary, long-term warming modulates the performance, productivity, and resilience of bacterial communities in response to warming.}, }
@article {pmid36976697, year = {2023}, author = {Salvador Costa, MJ and Melo, P and Azeiteiro, U and Carvalho, S and Ryan, R}, title = {Nursing Interventions to Reduce Health Risks from Climate Change Impact in Urban Areas: A Scoping Review Protocol.}, journal = {Nursing reports (Pavia, Italy)}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {496-505}, pmid = {36976697}, issn = {2039-4403}, abstract = {Considering that the public health sector has been considered as a key stakeholder in climate action, it seems important to understand what interventions are carried out globally by trusted professionals such as nurses engaged in health promotion and environmental health in optimizing the health of individuals, families, and communities toward the dissemination of lifestyle decarbonization and guidance on healthier climate-related choices. The objective of this review was to understand the extent and type of evidence related to the community-based interventions of nurses that are being led or have been implemented thus far with the aim of reducing the health risks from climate change impact in urban areas. The present protocol follows the JBI methodological framework. Databases to be searched include PubMed, MEDLINE complete, CINAHL, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, SciELO (Scientific Electronic Library Online), and BASE (Bielefeld Academic Search Engine). Hand searched references were also considered for inclusion. This review will include quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods studies from 2008 onwards. Systematic reviews, text, opinion papers, and the gray literature in English and Portuguese were also considered. Mapping the nurse led interventions or those that have been implemented thus far in urban areas may lead to further reviews that may help identify the best practices and gaps within the field. The results are presented in tabular format alongside a narrative summary.}, }
@article {pmid36975944, year = {2023}, author = {Yu, XT and Yang, FL and Da, W and Li, YC and Xi, HM and Cotton, AM and Zhang, HH and Duan, K and Xu, ZB and Gong, ZX and Wang, WL and Hu, SJ}, title = {Species Richness of Papilionidae Butterflies (Lepidoptera: Papilionoidea) in the Hengduan Mountains and Its Future Shifts under Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36975944}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {The family of Papilionidae (Lepidoptera: Papilionoidea) is a group of butterflies with high ecological and conservation value. The Hengduan Mountains (HMDs) in Southwest China is an important diversity centre for these butterflies. However, the spatial distribution pattern and the climate vulnerability of Papilionidae butterflies in the HDMs remain unknown to date. The lack of such knowledge has already become an obstacle in formulating effective butterfly conservation strategies. The present research compiled a 59-species dataset with 1938 occurrence points. The Maxent model was applied to analyse the spatial pattern of species richness in subfamilies Parnassiinae and Papilioninae, as well as to predict the response under the influence of climate change. The spatial pattern of both subfamilies in the HDMs has obvious elevation prevalence, with Parnassiinae concentrated in the subalpine to alpine areas (2500-5500 m) in western Sichuan, northwestern Yunnan and eastern Tibet, while Papilioninae is concentrated in the low- to medium-elevation areas (1500-3500 m) in the river valleys of western Yunnan and western Sichuan. Under the influence of climate change, both subfamilies would exhibit northward and upward range shifts. The majority of Parnassiinae species would experience drastic habitat contraction, resulting in lower species richness across the HDMs. In contrast, most Papilioninae species would experience habitat expansion, and the species richness would also increase significantly. The findings of this research should provide new insights and a clue for butterfly diversity and climatic vulnerability in southwestern China. Future conservation efforts should be focused on species with habitat contraction, narrow-ranged distribution and endemicity with both in situ and ex situ measures, especially in protected areas. Commercialised collecting targeting these species must also be regulated by future legislation.}, }
@article {pmid36975927, year = {2023}, author = {Cordeiro, GD and Dötterl, S}, title = {Floral Scents in Bee-Pollinated Buckwheat and Oilseed Rape under a Global Warming Scenario.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36975927}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Many wild plants and crops are pollinated by insects, which often use floral scents to locate their host plants. The production and emission of floral scents are temperature-dependent; however, little is known about how global warming affects scent emissions and the attraction of pollinators. We used a combination of chemical analytical and electrophysiological approaches to quantify the influence of a global warming scenario (+5 °C in this century) on the floral scent emissions of two important crop species, i.e., buckwheat (Fagopyrum esculentum) and oilseed rape (Brassica napus), and to test whether compounds that are potentially different between the treatments can be detected by their bee pollinators (Apis mellifera and Bombus terrestris). We found that only buckwheat was affected by increased temperatures. Independent of temperature, the scent of oilseed rape was dominated by p-anisaldehyde and linalool, with no differences in relative scent composition and the total amount of scent. Buckwheat emitted 2.4 ng of scent per flower and hour at optimal temperatures, dominated by 2- and 3-methylbutanoic acid (46%) and linalool (10%), and at warmer temperatures threefold less scent (0.7 ng/flower/hour), with increased contributions of 2- and 3-methylbutanoic acid (73%) to the total scent and linalool and other compounds being absent. The antennae of the pollinators responded to various buckwheat floral scent compounds, among them compounds that disappeared at increased temperatures or were affected in their (relative) amounts. Our results highlight that increased temperatures differentially affect floral scent emissions of crop plants and that, in buckwheat, the temperature-induced changes in floral scent emissions affect the olfactory perception of the flowers by bees. Future studies should test whether these differences in olfactory perception translate into different attractiveness of buckwheat flowers to bees.}, }
@article {pmid36975274, year = {2023}, author = {Gameiro, F and Ferreira, P and Faria, M}, title = {Association between Social and Emotional Competencies and Quality of Life in the Context of War, Pandemic and Climate Change.}, journal = {Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36975274}, issn = {2076-328X}, abstract = {The present context, with an ongoing pandemic situation, war and climate change, seems to play a critical role in both the peoples' perception of their quality of life, and the acquisition and development of social and emotional competencies. In this study, our goal was to assess the relationship between social and emotional competencies and peoples' quality of life in a Portuguese sample. Participants were 1139 individuals living in Portugal, aged between 16 and 85 years old, who were mostly (73%) female. An online protocol for data acquisition was used, which included sociodemographic characterization, the Portuguese version of the scale of Social and Emotional Competencies (SEC-Q) and the World Health Organization Quality of Life (WHOQOL-BRIEF). Correlation analysis and a canonical correlation were performed, with results showing a high association between the dimensions of social and emotional competencies and peoples' quality of life. Two significant canonical roots were extracted, and the results show that the first is characterized by internal factors, linking psychological health and self-management and motivation, and the second root evidences the external factors, linking social relations and environment with social awareness and pro-social behavior.}, }
@article {pmid36974440, year = {2023}, author = {Yadav, A and Pacheco, SE}, title = {Prebirth effects of climate change on children's respiratory health.}, journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001241}, pmid = {36974440}, issn = {1531-698X}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To date, there is no evidence that humanity will implement appropriate mitigation measures to avoid the catastrophic impact of climate change on the planet and human health. Vulnerable populations such as pregnant women and children will be the most affected. This review highlights epidemiologic data on climate change-related prenatal environmental exposures affecting the fetus and children's respiratory health.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Research on outcomes of prenatal exposure to climate change-related environmental changes and pediatric pulmonary health is limited. In addition to adverse pregnancy outcomes known to affect lung development, changes in lung function, increased prevalence of wheezing, atopy, and respiratory infections have been associated with prenatal exposure to increased temperatures, air pollution, and maternal stress. The mechanisms behind these changes are ill-defined, although oxidative stress, impaired placental functioning, and epigenetic modifications have been observed. However, the long-term impact of these changes remains unknown.<br><br>SUMMARY: The detrimental impact of the climate crisis on pediatric respiratory health begins before birth, highlighting the inherent vulnerability of pregnant women and children. Research and advocacy, along with mitigation and adaptation measures, must be implemented to protect pregnant women and children, the most affected but the least responsible for the climate crisis.}, }
@article {pmid36973258, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, X and Zhou, T and Zhang, W and Ren, L and Jiang, J and Hu, S and Zuo, M and Zhang, L and Man, W}, title = {Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1690}, pmid = {36973258}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {During summer 2021, Western North America (WNA) experienced an unprecedented heatwave with record-breaking high temperatures associated with a strong anomalous high-pressure system, i.e., a heat dome. Here, we use a flow analog method and find that the heat dome over the WNA can explain half of the magnitude of the anomalous temperature. The intensities of hot extremes associated with similar heat dome-like atmospheric circulations increase faster than background global warming in both historical change and future projection. Such relationship between hot extremes and mean temperature can be partly explained by soil moisture-atmosphere feedback. The probability of 2021-like heat extremes is projected to increase due to the background warming, the enhanced soil moisture-atmosphere feedback and the weak but still significantly increased probability of the heat dome-like circulation. The population exposure to such heat extremes will also increase. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C instead of 2 °C (3 °C) would lead to an avoided impact of 53% (89%) of the increase in population exposure to 2021-like heat extremes under the RCP8.5-SSP5 scenario.}, }
@article {pmid36973061, year = {2023}, author = {Haq, C and Iroku-Malize, T and Edgoose, J and Prunuske, J and Perkins, A and Altman, W and Elwood, S}, title = {Climate Change as a Threat to Health: Family Medicine Call to Action and Response.}, journal = {Annals of family medicine}, volume = {21}, number = {2}, pages = {195-197}, pmid = {36973061}, issn = {1544-1717}, mesh = {Humans ; *Family Practice ; *Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid36972905, year = {2023}, author = {Taylor, L}, title = {Dengue and chikungunya cases surge as climate change spreads arboviral diseases to new regions.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {380}, number = {}, pages = {717}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.p717}, pmid = {36972905}, issn = {1756-1833}, mesh = {Humans ; *Chikungunya Fever/epidemiology ; Climate Change ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; *Dengue Virus ; *Zika Virus Infection ; *Zika Virus ; }, }
@article {pmid36972886, year = {2023}, author = {Dorić, V and Ivković, M and Baranov, V and Pozojević, I and Mihaljević, Z}, title = {Extreme freshwater discharge events exacerbated by climate change influence the structure and functional response of the chironomid community in a biodiversity hotspot.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {879}, number = {}, pages = {163110}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163110}, pmid = {36972886}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global climate change is expected to exacerbate extreme discharge events in freshwater ecosystems as a consequence of changes in precipitation volume and snow cover duration. Chironomid midges were used as a model organism in this study because of their small size and short life cycles, which enable fast colonization of new habitats and great resilience. This resilience is often expressed in easy recolonization after an extreme event. Chironomid samples together with physico-chemical water measurements were collected for 14 years, between 2007 and 2020, in a karst tufa barrier that is part of the Plitvice Lakes National Park in Croatia. More than 13,000 individuals belonging to >90 taxa were collected. Mean annual water temperature increased by 0.1 °C during this period. Multiple change-point analysis revealed three main periods by discharge patterns: the first one from January 2007 to June 2010, the second from July 2010 to March 2013, characterised by extreme low discharge, and the third from April 2013 to December 2020, characterised by an increase in extreme peak discharge values. Based on multilevel pattern analysis, indicator species of the first and the third discharge period were detected. The ecological preferences of these species indicate an environmental change related to the changes in discharge. Along with species composition, functional composition has changed with the abundance of passive filtrators, shredders and predators increasing over time. Species richness and abundance did not change over the period of observation, thus emphasizing the importance of species-level identification in detecting the earliest community response to change that would otherwise be overlooked.}, }
@article {pmid36972882, year = {2023}, author = {Ben Lamine, E and Schickele, A and Guidetti, P and Allemand, D and Hilmi, N and Raybaud, V}, title = {Redistribution of fisheries catch potential in Mediterranean and North European waters under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {879}, number = {}, pages = {163055}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163055}, pmid = {36972882}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The Mediterranean Sea is a hotspot of global warming where key commercial species, such as demersal and pelagic fishes, and cephalopods, could experience abrupt distribution shifts in the near future. However, the extent to which these range shifts may impact fisheries catch potential remains poorly understood at the scale of Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs). Here, we evaluated the projected changes in Mediterranean fisheries catches potential, by target fishing gears, under different climate scenarios throughout the 21st century. We show that the future Mediterranean maximum catch potential may decrease considerably by the end of the century under high emission scenarios in South Eastern Mediterranean countries. These projected decreases range between -20 to -75 % for catch by pelagic trawl and seine, -50 to -75 % for fixed nets and traps and exceed -75 % for benthic trawl. In contrast, fixed nets and traps, and benthic trawl fisheries may experience an increase in their catch potential in the North and Celtic seas, while future catches by pelagic trawl and seine may decrease in the same areas. We show that a high emission scenario may considerably amplify the future redistribution of fisheries catch potential across European Seas, thus highlighting the need to limit global warming. Our projections at the manageable scale of EEZ and the quantification of climate-induced impacts on a large part of the Mediterranean and European fisheries is therefore a first, and considerable step toward the development of climate mitigation and adaptations strategies for the fisheries sector.}, }
@article {pmid36972633, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, A and Gómez-Espinoza, O and Núñez-Montero, K and Zárate, A and Andreote, FD and Pylro, VS and Bravo, L and Barrientos, L}, title = {Measuring the effect of climate change in Antarctic microbial communities: toward novel experimental approaches.}, journal = {Current opinion in biotechnology}, volume = {81}, number = {}, pages = {102918}, doi = {10.1016/j.copbio.2023.102918}, pmid = {36972633}, issn = {1879-0429}, abstract = {The Antarctic continent is undergoing a rapid warming, affecting microbial communities throughout its ecosystems. This continent is a natural laboratory for studying the effect of climate change, however, assessing the microbial communities' responses to environmental changes is challenging from a methodological point of view. We suggest novel experimental designs, including multivariable assessments that apply multiomics methods in combination with continuous environmental data recording and new warming simulation systems. Moreover, we propose that climate change studies in Antarctica should consider three main objectives, including descriptive studies, short-term temporary adaptation studies, and long-term adaptive evolution studies. This will help us to understand and manage the effects of climate change on the Earth.}, }
@article {pmid36972440, year = {2023}, author = {Ozgul, A and Fichtel, C and Paniw, M and Kappeler, PM}, title = {Destabilizing effect of climate change on the persistence of a short-lived primate.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {14}, pages = {e2214244120}, pmid = {36972440}, issn = {1091-6490}, mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Population Dynamics ; Animals, Wild ; Temperature ; Mammals ; Seasons ; *Cheirogaleidae/physiology ; }, abstract = {Seasonal tropical environments are among those regions that are the most affected by shifts in temperature and rainfall regimes under climate change, with potentially severe consequences for wildlife population persistence. This persistence is ultimately determined by complex demographic responses to multiple climatic drivers, yet these complexities have been little explored in tropical mammals. We use long-term, individual-based demographic data (1994 to 2020) from a short-lived primate in western Madagascar, the gray mouse lemur (Microcebus murinus), to investigate the demographic drivers of population persistence under observed shifts in seasonal temperature and rainfall. While rainfall during the wet season has been declining over the years, dry season temperatures have been increasing, with these trends projected to continue. These environmental changes resulted in lower survival and higher recruitment rates over time for gray mouse lemurs. Although the contrasting changes have prevented the study population from collapsing, the resulting increase in life-history speed has destabilized an otherwise stable population. Population projections under more recent rainfall and temperature levels predict an increase in population fluctuations and a corresponding increase in the extinction risk over the next five decades. Our analyses show that a relatively short-lived mammal with high reproductive output, representing a life history that is expected to closely track changes in its environment, can nonetheless be threatened by climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36970181, year = {2023}, author = {Liang, Z and Sun, L and Tian, Z and Fischer, G and Yan, H}, title = {Increase in grain production potential of China under climate change.}, journal = {PNAS nexus}, volume = {2}, number = {3}, pages = {pgad057}, pmid = {36970181}, issn = {2752-6542}, abstract = {The rapid growth of China's demand for grains is expected to continue in the coming decades, largely as a result of the increasing feed demand to produce protein-rich food. This leads to a great concern on future supply potentials of Chinese agriculture under climate change and the extent of China's dependence on world food markets. While the existing literature in both agronomy and climate economics indicates a dominance of the adverse impacts of climate change on rice, wheat, and maize yields, there is a lack of study to assess changes in multi-cropping opportunities induced by climate change. Multi-cropping benefits crop production by harvesting more than once per year from a given plot. To address this important gap, we established a procedure within the agro-ecological zones (AEZ) modeling framework to assess future spatial shifts of multi-cropping conditions. The assessment was based on an ensemble of five general circulation models under four representative concentration pathway scenarios in the phase five of coupled model inter-comparison project and accounted for the water scarcity constraints. The results show significant northward extensions of single-, double-, and triple-cropping zones in the future which would provide good opportunities for crop-rotation-based adaptation. The increasing multi-cropping opportunities would be able to boost the annual grain production potential by an average scale of 89(±49) Mt at the current irrigation efficiency and 143(±46) Mt at the modernized irrigation efficiency with improvement between the baseline (1981-2010) and the mid-21st century (2041-2070).}, }
@article {pmid36969305, year = {2023}, author = {Mathers, A and Fan, S and Austin, Z}, title = {Climate change at a crossroads: Embedding environmental sustainability into the core of pharmacy education.}, journal = {Canadian pharmacists journal : CPJ = Revue des pharmaciens du Canada : RPC}, volume = {156}, number = {2}, pages = {55-59}, pmid = {36969305}, issn = {1715-1635}, }
@article {pmid36969089, year = {2022}, author = {McDonnell, TC and Clark, CM and Reinds, GJ and Sullivan, TJ and Knees, B}, title = {Modeled Vegetation Community Trajectories: Effects from Climate Change, Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition, and Soil Acidification Recovery.}, journal = {Environmental advances}, volume = {9}, number = {}, pages = {1-13}, pmid = {36969089}, issn = {2666-7657}, support = {EPA999999/ImEPA/Intramural EPA/United States ; }, abstract = {Forest understory plant communities in the United States harbor most of the vegetation diversity of forests and are often sensitive to changes in climate and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N). As temperature increases from human-caused climate change and soils recover from long term atmospheric deposition of N and sulfur (S), it is unclear how these important ecosystem components will respond. We used the newly developed US-PROPS model - based on species response functions for over 1,500 species - to evaluate the potential impacts of atmospheric N deposition and climate change on species occurrence probability for a case study in the forested ecosystems of the Great Smoky Mountains National Park (GRSM), an iconic park in the southeastern United States. We evaluated six future scenarios from various combinations of two potential recoveries of soil pH (no change, +0.5 pH units) and three climate futures (no change, +1.5, +3.0 deg C). Species critical loads (CLs) of N deposition and projected responses for each scenario were determined. Critical loads were estimated to be low (< 2 kg N/ha/yr) to protect all species under current and expected future conditions across broad regions of GRSM and these CLs were exceeded at large spatial extents among scenarios. Northern hardwood, yellow pine, and chestnut oak forests were among the most N-sensitive vegetation map classes found within GRSM. Potential future air temperature conditions generally led to decreases in the maximum occurrence probability for species. Therefore, CLs were considered "unattainable" in these situations because the specified level of protection used for CL determination (i.e., maximum occurrence probability under ambient conditions) was not attainable. Although some species showed decreases in maximum occurrence probability with simulated increases in soil pH, most species were favored by increased pH. The importance of our study is rooted in the methodology described here for establishing regional CLs and for evaluating future conditions, which is transferable to other national parks in the U.S. and in Europe where the original PROPS model was developed.}, }
@article {pmid36968560, year = {2023}, author = {Marcus, H and Hanna, L and Tait, P and Stone, S and Wannous, C and , }, title = {Climate change and the public health imperative for supporting migration as adaptation.}, journal = {Journal of migration and health}, volume = {7}, number = {}, pages = {100174}, pmid = {36968560}, issn = {2666-6235}, abstract = {In an era of accelerating global climate change, human mobility has reached unprecedented levels. While it is acknowledged that many cases of human migration in the context of climate change are forced or involuntary, particularly where adaptation measures have failed to achieve sufficient resiliency of communities against impending slow- and sudden-onset disasters. There are also many cases where migration is, itself, a voluntary adaptive measure to secure otherwise unattainable physical safety and life-sustaining resources. It is in these cases that migration can be viewed as adaptation. Under the right policy conditions, it is possible for such adaptive migration to save countless lives. Moreover, it can achieve remarkable health and well-being gains for otherwise vulnerable communities residing on environmentally degrading lands and disproportionately suffering from the health impacts of climate change. While several activists have spoken loudly on the topic of climate migration, emphasizing the human rights imperative for supportive global policy action, the public health community has not been equally vocal nor unanimous in its stance. This paper, a product of the World Federation of Public Health Associations (WFPHA) Environmental Health Working Group, aims to rectify this gap, by analyzing adaptive climate migration through a public health lens. In doing so, it argues that creating an enabling environment for adaptive climate migration is not just a human rights imperative, but also a public health one. This argument is supported by evidence demonstrating how creating such an enabling environment can synergistically support the fulfillment of key public health services and functions, as outlined under the internationally endorsed Global Charter for the Public's Health of the WFPHA.}, }
@article {pmid36968365, year = {2023}, author = {Ling, Z and Shi, Z and Gu, S and Wang, T and Zhu, W and Feng, G}, title = {Corrigendum: Impact of climate change and rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) plantation expansion on reference evapotranspiration in Xishuangbanna, Southwest China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1157058}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2023.1157058}, pmid = {36968365}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2022.830519.].}, }
@article {pmid36968261, year = {2023}, author = {Le Mouël, C and Forslund, A and Marty, P and Manceron, S and Marajo-Petitzon, E and Caillaud, MA and Dumas, P and Schmitt, B}, title = {Can the Middle East-North Africa region mitigate the rise of its food import dependency under climate change?.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {2}, pages = {52}, pmid = {36968261}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: The dependence on imports of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for its food needs has increased steadily since the early 1960s, from 10% to about 40%. This import dependence could continue to rise in coming decades due to the projected MENA population growth and the expected negative impacts of climate change on the region's natural resources and agricultural performances. To what extent the food import dependency of the MENA region will continue to increase up to 2050 and how the region could mitigate its rising reliance on food imports is both a key question for the region itself and a crucial geopolitical issue for the world as a whole. In this paper, we use a biomass balance model to assess the level of the food import dependency of the MENA region in 2050 resulting from six scenarios. We show that under current trends and severe impacts of climate change the food import dependency of the MENA would continue to rise and reach 50% in 2050. Maghreb would be particularly affected becoming dependent on imports for almost 70% of its food needs. Adopting a Mediterranean diet, reaching faster productivity growth in agriculture or reducing waste and loss along the food chain would contribute to decelerate the rise of the MENA's food import dependency. However, only the combination of these three options could significantly offset the increased import dependency in the most affected sub-regions: Maghreb, the Middle and the Near East. In all scenarios, Turkey strengthens its position as a net exporter of agricultural products.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02045-y.}, }
@article {pmid36967950, year = {2023}, author = {Omodara, OD and Ige, OA and Oluwasola, O and Oyebanji, AT and Afape, OO}, title = {Factors influencing cassava farmers' choice of climate change adaption practices and its effect on cassava productivity in Nigeria.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {3}, pages = {e14563}, pmid = {36967950}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {This study examined the socio-economic factors influencing choice of climate change adaptation practices and the effects of these practices on cassava productivity in Nigeria. Using a multi-stage sampling technique, structured questionnaire was used to survey 100 cassava farmers. The result was analyzed with a multivariate probit and generalized linear regression models. The result showed male dominance (78%) in cassava farming and the mean age of the cassava farmers was 45.46 ± 9.36 years. About 66% of the farmers belonged to cooperative associations and 67% had access to credit facilities. The multivariate model revealed that age of farmers, gender, education qualification, primary occupation, total income, membership of cooperative associations, farming objectives, farming experience, access to extension visit, access to credit, type of land ownership, farm size and climatic conditions significantly influenced choice of climate change adaptation practices among cassava farmers. The generalized linear model identified farming system, multiple crop types/improved crop varieties used, crop diversification, organic manuring, multiple planting dates, use of alternate fallowing, education and credit access to significantly affect cassava productivity. The study concluded that, eco-friendly methods for adapting to climate change increase cassava productivity. Thus, cassava farmers should be trained on the use of best climate change adaptation practices that can boost cassava productivity. In order to practice climate smart farming, it is important to stress the usage of organic manure and alternate fallowing.}, }
@article {pmid36967690, year = {2023}, author = {Ray Biswas, R and Rahman, A}, title = {Adaptation to climate change: A study on regional climate change adaptation policy and practice framework.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117666}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117666}, pmid = {36967690}, issn = {1095-8630}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Policy Making ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Government ; Policy ; }, abstract = {Although planning and policy instruments are important for climate change adaptation, the implementation of these measures is critical for success. This paper studies different climate change adaptation strategies by analysing the measures adopted by stakeholders in charge of government policy development and implementation to minimise the impacts of climate change in the northern tropical region of Queensland, Australia. Local government organisations are responsible for taking a leading role in climate change adaptation. State and commonwealth government agencies are primarily responsible for developing climate transition policies and guidelines, as well as providing limited financial aid to help support the local government. Interviews were conducted with local government practitioners identified from different local government authorities in the study region. Although all the government bodies made some progress in developing better climate change adaptation policies, the interview participants identified that a lot more needs to be done, especially in implementation, including devising and the application of relevant action plans, economic assessments, stakeholder participations and engagement. From a local government practitioners' viewpoint, both the water sector and local economy will face the highest immediate impacts if climate change adaptation actions are not adequately implemented at local government level in the study region. There are currently no notable legal bindings to address climate change risks in the region. In addition, financial liability assessments due to climate risks and cost-share mechanisms among different levels of stakeholders and government authorities to face and prepare for climate change impacts hardly exist. Although the interview respondents recognise their high importance. As there are uncertainties in the achievements of climate change adaptation plans, from a local government practitioners' standpoint, the local authorities should take appropriate actions to integrate adaptation and mitigation works to face and prepare for climate risks rather than focusing only on adaptation. The respondents informed that some work has been done to identify flood prone areas and a few policy documents exist that accommodate sea level rise in planning practice, but these are done in fragments with no holistic implementation, monitoring or evaluation plans put in place.}, }
@article {pmid36966825, year = {2023}, author = {Xiong, Y and Mo, S and Wu, H and Qu, X and Liu, Y and Zhou, L}, title = {Influence of human activities and climate change on wetland landscape pattern-A review.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {879}, number = {}, pages = {163112}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163112}, pmid = {36966825}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Wetlands (rivers, lakes, swamps, etc.) are biodiversity hotspots, providing habitats for biota on the earth. In recent years, wetlands have been significantly affected by human activities and climate change, and wetland ecosystems have become one of the most threatened ecosystems in the world. There have been many studies on the impact of human activities and climate change on wetland landscapes, but there is still a lack of relevant reviews. This article summarizes the research on the impact of global human activities and climate change on wetland landscape patterns (vegetation distribution, etc.) from 1996 to 2021. Human activities such as dam construction, urbanization, and grazing will significantly affect the wetland landscape. Generally, dam construction and urbanization are generally believed to harm wetland vegetation, but appropriate human behaviors such as tillage benefit wetland plants' growth on reclaimed land. Prescribed fires in non-inundation periods are one of the ways to increase the vegetation coverage and diversity of wetlands. In addition, some ecological restoration projects have a positive impact on wetland vegetation (quantity, richness, etc.). Under climatic conditions, extreme floods and droughts are likely to change the wetland landscape pattern, and excessively high and low water levels will restrict plants. At the same time, the invasion of alien vegetation will inhibit the growth of native vegetation in the wetland. In an environment of global warming, rising temperatures may be a "double-edged sword" for alpine and higher latitude wetland plants. This review will help researchers better understand the impact of human activities and climate change on wetland landscape patterns and suggests avenues for future studies.}, }
@article {pmid36965267, year = {2023}, author = {Morais, H and Arenas, F and Cruzeiro, C and Galante-Oliveira, S and Cardoso, PG}, title = {Combined effects of climate change and environmentally relevant mixtures of endocrine disrupting compounds on the fitness and gonads' maturation dynamics of Nucella lapillus (Gastropoda).}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {190}, number = {}, pages = {114841}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.114841}, pmid = {36965267}, issn = {1879-3363}, mesh = {Animals ; Female ; Male ; *Gastropoda ; *Endocrine Disruptors/toxicity ; Climate Change ; Gonads/chemistry ; *Water Pollutants, Chemical/analysis ; }, abstract = {Coastal areas are affected by multiple stressors like climate change and endocrine disruptors (EDCs). In the laboratory, we investigated the combined effects of increased temperature and EDCs (drospirenone and mercury) on the fitness and gonads' maturation dynamics of the marine gastropod Nucella lapillus for 21 days. Survival was negatively affected by all the stressors alone, while, in combination, a synergistic negative effect was observed. Both chemicals, as single factors, did not cause any effect on the maturation stage of ovaries and testis. However, in the presence of a higher temperature, it was clear a delay in the maturation stage of the ovaries, but not in the testis, suggesting a higher negative impact of the stressors in females than in males. In summary, drospirenone caused a low negative impact in aquatic species, like gastropods, but in combination with other EDCs and/or increased temperature can be a matter of concern.}, }
@article {pmid36964771, year = {2023}, author = {Ratter-Rieck, JM and Roden, M and Herder, C}, title = {Diabetes and climate change: current evidence and implications for people with diabetes, clinicians and policy stakeholders.}, journal = {Diabetologia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-13}, pmid = {36964771}, issn = {1432-0428}, abstract = {Climate change will be a major challenge for the world's health systems in the coming decades. Elevated temperatures and increasing frequencies of heat waves, wildfires, heavy precipitation and other weather extremes can affect health in many ways, especially if chronic diseases are already present. Impaired responses to heat stress, including compromised vasodilation and sweating, diabetes-related comorbidities, insulin resistance and chronic low-grade inflammation make people with diabetes particularly vulnerable to environmental risk factors, such as extreme weather events and air pollution. Additionally, multiple pathogens show an increased rate of transmission under conditions of climate change and people with diabetes have an altered immune system, which increases the risk for a worse course of infectious diseases. In this review, we summarise recent studies on the impact of climate-change-associated risk for people with diabetes and discuss which individuals may be specifically prone to these risk conditions due to their clinical features. Knowledge of such high-risk groups will help to develop and implement tailored prevention and management strategies to mitigate the detrimental effect of climate change on the health of people with diabetes.}, }
@article {pmid36964611, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, H and Huang, X and Guo, X and Cheng, P and Wang, H and Liu, L and Zang, C and Zhang, C and Wang, X and Zhou, G and Gong, M}, title = {Climate change and Aedes albopictus risks in China: current impact and future projection.}, journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {26}, pmid = {36964611}, issn = {2049-9957}, mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Aedes ; Climate Change ; China/epidemiology ; Temperature ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Future distribution of dengue risk is usually predicted based on predicted climate changes using general circulation models (GCMs). However, it is difficult to validate the GCM results and assess the uncertainty of the predictions. The observed changes in climate may be very different from the GCM results. We aim to utilize trends in observed climate dynamics to predict future risks of Aedes albopictus in China.<br><br>METHODS: We collected Ae. albopictus surveillance data and observed climate records from 80 meteorological stations from 1970 to 2021. We analyzed the trends in climate change in China and made predictions on future climate for the years 2050 and 2080 based on trend analyses. We analyzed the relationship between climatic variables and the prevalence of Ae. albopictus in different months/seasons. We built a classification tree model (based on the average of 999 runs of classification and regression tree analyses) to predict the monthly/seasonal Ae. albopictus distribution based on the average climate from 1970 to 2000 and assessed the contributions of different climatic variables to the Ae. albopictus distribution. Using these models, we projected the future distributions of Ae. albopictus for 2050 and 2080.<br><br>RESULTS: The study included Ae. albopictus surveillance from 259 sites in China found that winter to early spring (November-February) temperatures were strongly correlated with Ae. albopictus prevalence (prediction accuracy ranges 93.0-98.8%)-the higher the temperature the higher the prevalence, while precipitation in summer (June-September) was important predictor for Ae. albopictus prevalence. The machine learning tree models predicted the current prevalence of Ae. albopictus with high levels of agreement (accuracy&#x2009;>&#x2009;90% and Kappa agreement&#x2009;>&#x2009;80% for all 12&#xa0;months). Overall, winter temperature contributed the most to Ae. albopictus distribution, followed by summer precipitation. An increase in temperature was observed from 1970 to 2021 in most places in China, and annual change rates varied substantially from -0.22&#xa0;&#xba;C/year to 0.58&#xa0;&#xba;C/year among sites, with the largest increase in temperature occurring from February to April (an annual increase of 1.4-4.7 &#xba;C in monthly mean, 0.6-4.0 &#xba;C in monthly minimum, and 1.3-4.3 &#xba;C in monthly maximum temperature) and the smallest in November and December. Temperature increases were lower in the tropics/subtropics (1.5-2.3 &#xba;C from February-April) compared to the high-latitude areas (2.6-4.6 &#xba;C from February-April). The projected temperatures in 2050 and 2080 by this study were approximately 1-1.5&#xa0;&#xb0;C higher than those projected by GCMs. The estimated current Ae. albopictus risk distribution had a northern boundary of north-central China and the southern edge of northeastern China, with a risk period of June-September. The projected future Ae. albopictus risks in 2050 and 2080 cover nearly all of China, with an expanded risk period of April-October. The current at-risk population was estimated to be 960 million and the future at-risk population was projected to be 1.2 billion.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of climate change in China is likely to surpass GCM predictions. Future dengue risks will expand to cover nearly all of China if current climate trends continue.}, }
@article {pmid36963680, year = {2023}, author = {Martínez-Megías, C and Mentzel, S and Fuentes-Edfuf, Y and Moe, SJ and Rico, A}, title = {Influence of climate change and pesticide use practices on the ecological risks of pesticides in a protected Mediterranean wetland: A Bayesian network approach.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {878}, number = {}, pages = {163018}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163018}, pmid = {36963680}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Pollution by agricultural pesticides is one of the most important pressures affecting Mediterranean coastal wetlands. Pesticide risks are expected to be influenced by climate change, which will result in an increase of temperatures and a decrease in annual precipitation. On the other hand, pesticide dosages are expected to change given the increase in pest resistance and the implementation of environmental policies like the European ´Farm-to-Fork` strategy, which aims for a 50 % reduction in pesticide usage by 2030. The influence of climate change and pesticide use practices on the ecological risks of pesticides needs to be evaluated making use of realistic environmental scenarios. This study investigates how different climate change and pesticide use practices affect the ecological risks of pesticides in the Albufera Natural Park (Valencia, Spain), a protected Mediterranean coastal wetland. We performed a probabilistic risk assessment for nine pesticides applied in rice production using three climatic scenarios (for the years 2008, 2050 and 2100), three pesticide dosage regimes (the recommended dose, and 50 % increase and 50 % decrease), and their combinations. The scenarios were used to simulate pesticide exposure concentrations in the water column of the rice paddies using the RICEWQ model. Pesticide effects were characterized using acute and chronic Species Sensitivity Distributions built with toxicity data for aquatic organisms. Risk quotients were calculated as probability distributions making use of Bayesian networks. Our results show that future climate projections will influence exposure concentrations for some of the studied pesticides, yielding higher dissipation and lower exposure in scenarios dominated by an increase of temperatures, and higher exposure peaks in scenarios where heavy precipitation events occur right after pesticide application. Our case study shows that pesticides such as azoxystrobin, difenoconazole and MCPA are posing unacceptable ecological risks for aquatic organisms, and that the implementation of the ´Farm-to-Fork` strategy is crucial to reduce them.}, }
@article {pmid36963636, year = {2023}, author = {Campos, EVR and Pereira, ADES and Aleksieienko, I and do Carmo, GC and Gohari, G and Santaella, C and Fraceto, LF and Oliveira, HC}, title = {Encapsulated plant growth regulators and associative microorganisms: Nature-based solutions to mitigate the effects of climate change on plants.}, journal = {Plant science : an international journal of experimental plant biology}, volume = {331}, number = {}, pages = {111688}, doi = {10.1016/j.plantsci.2023.111688}, pmid = {36963636}, issn = {1873-2259}, abstract = {Over the past decades, the atmospheric CO2 concentration and global average temperature have been increasing, and this trend is projected to soon become more severe. This scenario of climate change intensifies abiotic stress factors (such as drought, flooding, salinity, and ultraviolet radiation) that threaten forest and associated ecosystems as well as crop production. These factors can negatively affect plant growth and development with a consequent reduction in plant biomass accumulation and yield, in addition to increasing plant susceptibility to biotic stresses. Recently, biostimulants have become a hotspot as an effective and sustainable alternative to alleviate the negative effects of stresses on plants. However, the majority of biostimulants have poor stability under environmental conditions, which leads to premature degradation, shortening their biological activity. To solve these bottlenecks, micro- and nano-based formulations containing biostimulant molecules and/or microorganisms are gaining attention, as they demonstrate several advantages over their conventional formulations. In this review, we focus on the encapsulation of plant growth regulators and plant associative microorganisms as a strategy to boost their application for plant protection against abiotic stresses. We also address the potential limitations and challenges faced for the implementation of this technology, as well as possibilities regarding future research.}, }
@article {pmid36963356, year = {2023}, author = {Wardrope, A and Reuber, M}, title = {Seizure disorders and climate change: Everyone's problem.}, journal = {Seizure}, volume = {106}, number = {}, pages = {164-165}, doi = {10.1016/j.seizure.2023.03.013}, pmid = {36963356}, issn = {1532-2688}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Epilepsy/epidemiology ; }, }
@article {pmid36963098, year = {2023}, author = {Deivanayagam, TA and Osborne, RE}, title = {Breaking free from tunnel vision for climate change and health.}, journal = {PLOS global public health}, volume = {3}, number = {3}, pages = {e0001684}, pmid = {36963098}, issn = {2767-3375}, abstract = {Climate change is widely recognised as the greatest threat to public health this century, but 'climate change and health' often refers to a narrow and limited focus on emissions, and the impacts of the climate crisis, rather than a holistic assessment of economic structures and systems of oppression. This tunnel vision misses key aspects of the climate change and health intersection, such as the enforcers of planetary destruction such as the military, police, and trade, and can also lead down dangerous alleyways such as 'net' zero, overpopulation arguments and green extractivism. Tunnel vision also limits health to the absence of the disease at the individual level, rather than sickness or health within systems themselves. Conceptualising health as political, ecological, and collective is essential for tackling the root causes of health injustice. Alternative economic paradigms can offer possibilities for fairer ecological futures that prioritise health and wellbeing. Examples such as degrowth, doughnut economics and ecosocialism, and their relationship with health, are described. The importance of reparations in various forms, to repair previous and ongoing harm, are discussed. Breaking free from tunnel vision is not simply an intellectual endeavour, but a practice. Moving towards new paradigms requires movement building and cultivating radical imagination. The review highlights lessons which can be learnt from abolitionist movements and progressive political struggles across the world. This review provides ideas and examples of how to break free from tunnel vision for climate change and health by highlighting and analysing the work of multiple organisations who are working towards social and economic transformation. Key considerations for the health community are provided, including working in solidarity with others, prioritising community-led solutions, and using our voice, skills, and capacity to address the structural diagnosis-colonial capitalism.}, }
@article {pmid36962962, year = {2023}, author = {Agrawal, P and Post, LA and Glover, J and Hersey, D and Oberoi, P and Biroscak, B}, title = {The interrelationship between food security, climate change, and gender-based violence: A scoping review with system dynamics modeling.}, journal = {PLOS global public health}, volume = {3}, number = {2}, pages = {e0000300}, pmid = {36962962}, issn = {2767-3375}, abstract = {Gender-based violence (GBV) is a global public health and human rights problem that is exacerbated by social and environmental stressors for a multitude of interpersonal, cultural, and economic reasons. Through sudden disruptions in the microclimate of a region, climate shocks often have a negative impact on food security, which correlates with increases in GBV. Associations between the various combinations of GBV, climate change, and food insecurity have been documented in the growing international literature, but questions remain about these associations that require further clarification. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 provides insight through a real time demonstration into these interactions. This review of the global literature examines the interplay between GBV, climate change, and food insecurity-including recent literature regarding the COVID-19 pandemic. This review covers original research studies employing both quantitative and qualitative methodology, those that conducted secondary analyses of existing data sources and perspective pieces derived from observed evidence. An additional analytic layer of system dynamics modeling allowed for the integration of findings from the scoping review and discovery of additional insights into the interplay between disasters, food insecurity, and GBV. Findings from this review suggest that the development and adaptation of evidence-based, focused interventions and policies to reduce the effects of climate shocks and bolster food security may ultimately decrease GBV prevalence and impact.}, }
@article {pmid36962590, year = {2022}, author = {Kruger, SE and Lorah, PA and Okamoto, KW}, title = {Mapping climate change's impact on cholera infection risk in Bangladesh.}, journal = {PLOS global public health}, volume = {2}, number = {10}, pages = {e0000711}, pmid = {36962590}, issn = {2767-3375}, abstract = {Several studies have investigated how Vibrio cholerae infection risk changes with increased rainfall, temperature, and water pH levels for coastal Bangladesh, which experiences seasonal surges in cholera infections associated with heavy rainfall events. While coastal environmental conditions are understood to influence V. cholerae propagation within brackish waters and transmission to and within human populations, it remains unknown how changing climate regimes impact the risk for cholera infection throughout Bangladesh. To address this, we developed a random forest species distribution model to predict the occurrence probability of cholera incidence within Bangladesh for 2015 and 2050. We developed a random forest model trained on cholera incidence data and spatial environmental raster data to be predicted to environmental data for the year of training (2015) and 2050. From our model's predictions, we generated risk maps for cholera occurrence for 2015 and 2050. Our best-fitting model predicted cholera occurrence given elevation and distance to water. Generally, we find that regions within every district in Bangladesh experience an increase in infection risk from 2015 to 2050. We also find that although cells of high risk cluster along the coastline predominantly in 2015, by 2050 high-risk areas expand from the coast inland, conglomerating around surface waters across Bangladesh, reaching all but the northwestern-most district. Mapping the geographic distribution of cholera infections given projected environmental conditions provides a valuable tool for guiding proactive public health policy tailored to areas most at risk of future disease outbreaks.}, }
@article {pmid36960688, year = {2023}, author = {Bellizzi, S and Popescu, C and Panu Napodano, CM and Fiamma, M and Cegolon, L}, title = {Global health, climate change and migration: The need for recognition of "climate refugees".}, journal = {Journal of global health}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {03011}, pmid = {36960688}, issn = {2047-2986}, mesh = {Humans ; *Refugees ; Climate Change ; Global Health ; Emigration and Immigration ; *Transients and Migrants ; }, }
@article {pmid36958943, year = {2023}, author = {Meng, F and Hong, S and Wang, J and Chen, A and Zhang, Y and Zhang, Y and Janssens, IA and Mao, J and Myneni, RB and Peñuelas, J and Piao, S}, title = {Climate change increases carbon allocation to leaves in early leaf green-up.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {26}, number = {5}, pages = {816-826}, doi = {10.1111/ele.14205}, pmid = {36958943}, issn = {1461-0248}, mesh = {*Carbon ; *Climate Change ; Photosynthesis ; Plant Leaves ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Global greening, characterized by an increase in leaf area index (LAI), implies an increase in foliar carbon (C). Whether this increase in foliar C under climate change is due to higher photosynthesis or to higher allocation of C to leaves remains unknown. Here, we explored the trends in foliar C accumulation and allocation during leaf green-up from 2000 to 2017 using satellite-derived LAI and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) across the Northern Hemisphere. The accumulation of foliar C accelerated in the early green-up period due to both increased photosynthesis and higher foliar C allocation driven by climate change. In the late stage of green-up, however, we detected decreasing trends in foliar C accumulation and foliar C allocation. Such stage-dependent trends in the accumulation and allocation of foliar C are not represented in current terrestrial biosphere models. Our results highlight that a better representation of C allocation should be incorporated into models.}, }
@article {pmid36958563, year = {2023}, author = {Shehzad, K}, title = {Extreme flood in Pakistan: Is Pakistan paying the cost of climate change? A short communication.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {880}, number = {}, pages = {162973}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162973}, pmid = {36958563}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global warming is one of the foremost causes of changes in climate patterns around the world. Pakistan is among the top ten countries affected by global warming. Today, Pakistan is facing severe consequences of global warming in the form of an extreme flood. It affected 33 million people, destroyed 1.5 million homes, and caused $2.3 billion in crop damage. It has also damaged more than 2000 km of roads, cutting off connectivity to provinces and major cities. Thus, inflation in Pakistan has reached its highest level, i.e. 26 % - 27 %, and a severe food crisis is not far away. Recently, Pakistan noted a record temperature of 40 °C in several territories, notably 51 °C in Jacobabad. The study reported that high temperatures, melting glaciers, heavy monsoon rains, government inattention, and poor governance are the key reasons of this severe flood. Moreover, in 2080, the average temperature in Pakistan is predicted to increase by 4.38 degrees Celsius. The study suggested that Supply of cheap seeds and fertilizers to farmers, maintenance of water supply infrastructure, availability of food and medicines through domestic and foreign assistance, and reduction of electricity rates and taxes in flood-affected areas can be the solution to stop this crisis. Similarly, building dams, investing in technology and training, and educating the general public about environmental change should be included in the long-term goals to avoid future disasters.}, }
@article {pmid36951319, year = {2023}, author = {Kirton, CA}, title = {Climate Change Is a Threat to Public Health.}, journal = {The American journal of nursing}, volume = {123}, number = {4}, pages = {7}, doi = {10.1097/01.NAJ.0000925404.60123.b7}, pmid = {36951319}, issn = {1538-7488}, mesh = {Humans ; *Public Health ; *Climate Change ; }, abstract = {Nurses must be part of the solution.}, }
@article {pmid36949910, year = {2023}, author = {Palmucci, DN and Ferraris, A}, title = {Climate change inaction: Cognitive bias influencing managers' decision making on environmental sustainability choices. The role of empathy and morality with the need of an integrated and comprehensive perspective.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1130059}, pmid = {36949910}, issn = {1664-1078}, }
@article {pmid36948067, year = {2023}, author = {Sousa, M and Rodrigues, S and Pretti, C and Meucci, V and Battaglia, F and Freitas, R and Antunes, SC}, title = {A forecast effects of climate change and anthropogenic compounds in Gambusia holbrooki: ecotoxicological effects of salinity and metformin.}, journal = {Aquatic toxicology (Amsterdam, Netherlands)}, volume = {258}, number = {}, pages = {106494}, doi = {10.1016/j.aquatox.2023.106494}, pmid = {36948067}, issn = {1879-1514}, mesh = {Humans ; Animals ; Climate Change ; Salinity ; *Metformin ; Ecosystem ; *Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity ; Antioxidants/metabolism ; Superoxide Dismutase/metabolism ; *Cyprinodontiformes/metabolism ; }, abstract = {Due to global warming and extreme weather events, estuarine and coastal ecosystems are facing sudden fluctuations in salinity. These ecosystems are also threatened by organic and inorganic compounds that increase water pollution. Metformin is an antidiabetic drug commonly used by patients with type-2 diabetes, and an increase in environmental concentration has been recorded. To better understand the impacts of these two stressors on aquatic organisms, this study assessed: 1) the acute (96 h) ecotoxicological effects (antioxidant and biotransformation capacity, oxidative damage, energetic reserves, and protein content, neurotoxicity) induced by a range of metformin concentrations in Gambusia holbrooki under different salinities (17, 24, 31 expressed as Practical Salinity Units - PSU); and 2) the same endpoints after chronic exposure (28 d) under a range of metformin concentrations at a salinity of 17. The results obtained from the acute exposure showed interactions between salinity and metformin in G. holbrooki superoxide dismutase (SOD) activity, body protein, and glycogen (GLY) contents. The results revealed that an increase in salinity can modulate the response of G. holbrooki to metformin. Chronically exposed organisms showed that metformin led to a significant decrease in SOD activity at most of the tested concentrations (0.5, 1.0, and 10 µg/L). In addition, glutathione S-transferases increased and glutathione peroxidase activity decreased significantly at concentrations of metformin of 5 and 10 at the µg/L, respectively. Therefore, overall, metformin can lead to potential oxidative stress in G. holbrooki the highest metformin concentrations tested and the GLY content in G. holbrooki increased after exposure to metformin concentrations of 0.5, 1.0 and 5.0 μg/L. Published studies have already shown that metformin alone can lead to oxidative damage in aquatic species, endangering the biodiversity of aquatic ecosystems. Therefore, additional ecotoxicological studies should be performed to characterize if other metformin concentrations combined with salinity, or other climate change-related factors, might impact non-target species. Standard toxicity bioassays may not be predictive of actual pollutants (e.g. metformin) toxicity under variable environmental conditions, and the investigation of a wider range of exposure conditions could improve the accuracy of chemical risk assessments.}, }
@article {pmid36947409, year = {2023}, author = {Osuolale, O}, title = {Precursor to Dengue: Projecting Effects of Climate Change on Mosquito Density in Southeast Asia.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {131}, number = {3}, pages = {34002}, pmid = {36947409}, issn = {1552-9924}, mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Culicidae ; Climate Change ; Asia, Southeastern/epidemiology ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; *Aedes ; }, }
@article {pmid36946867, year = {2023}, author = {Ouyang, X and Kristensen, E and Zimmer, M and Thornber, C and Yang, Z and Lee, SY}, title = {Response of macrophyte litter decomposition in global blue carbon ecosystems to climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16693}, pmid = {36946867}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Blue carbon ecosystems (BCEs) are important nature-based solutions for climate change-mitigation. However, current debates question the reliability and contribution of BCEs under future climatic-scenarios. The answer to this question depends on ecosystem processes driving carbon-sequestration and -storage, such as primary production and decomposition, and their future rates. We performed a global meta-analysis on litter decomposition rate constants (k) in BCEs and predicted changes in carbon release from 309 studies. The relationships between k and climatic factors were examined by extracting remote-sensing data on air temperature, sea-surface temperature and precipitation aligning to the decomposition time of each experiment. We constructed global numerical models of litter decomposition to forecast k and carbon release under different scenarios. The current k averages at 27±3×10[-2] day[-1] for macroalgae were higher than for seagrasses (1.7±0.2×10[-2] day[-1]), mangroves (1.6±0.1×10[-2] day[-1]) and tidal marshes (5.9±0.5×10[-3] day[-1]). Macrophyte k increased with both air temperature and precipitation in intertidal BCEs and with sea surface temperature for subtidal seagrasses. Above a temperature threshold for vascular plant litter at ~25°C and ~20°C for macroalgae, k drastically increased with increasing temperature. However, the direct effect of high temperatures on k are obscured by other factors in field experiments compared with laboratory experiments. We defined "fundamental" and "realized" temperature response to explain this effect. Based on relationships for realized temperature response, we predict that proportions of decomposed litter will increase by 0.9-5% and 4.7-28.8% by 2100 under low- (2[0] C) and high-warming conditions (4[0] C) compared to 2020, respectively. Net litter carbon sinks in BCEs will increase due to higher increase in litter C production than in decomposition by 2100 compared to 2020 under RCP 8.5. We highlight that BCEs will play an increasingly important role in future climate change-mitigation. Our findings can be leveraged for blue carbon accounting under future climate change scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid36944422, year = {2023}, author = {Wise, J}, title = {Climate change: Window to act is closing rapidly, warn scientists.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {380}, number = {}, pages = {674}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.p674}, pmid = {36944422}, issn = {1756-1833}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; }, }
@article {pmid36943899, year = {2023}, author = {McDermott-Levy, R and Pennea, E and Moore, C}, title = {Protecting Children's Health: Asthma and Climate Change.}, journal = {MCN. The American journal of maternal child nursing}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36943899}, issn = {1539-0683}, abstract = {Children are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Their lungs are developing, making children with asthma especially susceptible to temperature extremes, variations in precipitation, poor air quality, and changes in pollen and flora. Structural and social determinants of health, such as racism and poverty, that disproportionately affect children of color are linked to higher rates of asthma and negative effects of climate change. These factors lead to increased absences from school and social activities, loss of work for caregivers, and increased health care costs, thus negatively affecting children, their families, and the greater community. Nurses must support caregivers and children to link climate change to asthma care, be involved in health education; climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies and policies; and develop the evidence to address climate change and asthma strategies. We address the impacts of climate change on children with asthma and nursing adaptation responses.}, }
@article {pmid36943888, year = {2023}, author = {Bergquist, M and Thiel, M and Goldberg, MH and van der Linden, S}, title = {Field interventions for climate change mitigation behaviors: A second-order meta-analysis.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {13}, pages = {e2214851120}, pmid = {36943888}, issn = {1091-6490}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Behavior ; }, abstract = {Behavioral change is essential to mitigate climate change. To advance current knowledge, we synthesize research on interventions aiming to promote climate change mitigation behaviors in field settings. In a preregistered second-order meta-analysis, we assess the overall effect of 10 meta-analyses, incorporating a total of 430 primary studies. In addition, we assess subgroup analyses for six types of interventions, five behaviors, and three publication bias adjustments. Results showed that climate change mitigation interventions were generally effective (dunadjusted = 0.31, 95% CI [0.30, 0.32]). A follow-up analysis using only unique primary studies, adjusted for publication bias, provides a more conservative overall estimate (d = 0.18, 95% CI [0.13, 0.24]). This translates into a mean treatment effect of 7 percentage points. Furthermore, in a subsample of adequately powered large-scale interventions (n > 9,000, k = 32), the effect was adjusted downward to approximately 2 percentage points. This discrepancy might be because large-scale interventions often target nonvoluntary participants by less direct techniques (e.g., "home energy reports") while small-scale interventions often target voluntary participants by more direct techniques (e.g., face-to-face interactions). Subgroup analyses showed that interventions based on social comparisons or financial incentives were the most effective, while education or feedback was the least effective. These results provide a comprehensive state-of-the-art summary of climate change mitigation interventions, guiding both future research and practice.}, }
@article {pmid36943744, year = {2023}, author = {Cornwall, CE and Comeau, S and Donner, SD and Perry, C and Dunne, J and van Hooidonk, R and Ryan, S and Logan, CA}, title = {Coral adaptive capacity insufficient to halt global transition of coral reefs into net erosion under climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16647}, pmid = {36943744}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Projecting the effects of climate change on net reef calcium carbonate production is critical to understanding the future impacts on ecosystem function, but prior estimates have not included corals' natural adaptive capacity to such change. Here we estimate how the ability of symbionts to evolve tolerance to heat stress, or for coral hosts to shuffle to favourable symbionts, and their combination, may influence responses to the combined impacts of ocean warming and acidification under three representative concentration pathway (RCP) emissions scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). We show that symbiont evolution and shuffling, both individually and when combined, favours persistent positive net reef calcium carbonate production. However, our projections of future net calcium carbonate production (NCCP) under climate change vary both spatially and by RCP. For example, 19%-35% of modelled coral reefs are still projected to have net positive NCCP by 2050 if symbionts can evolve increased thermal tolerance, depending on the RCP. Without symbiont adaptive capacity, the number of coral reefs with positive NCCP drops to 9%-13% by 2050. Accounting for both symbiont evolution and shuffling, we project median positive NCPP of coral reefs will still occur under low greenhouse emissions (RCP2.6) in the Indian Ocean, and even under moderate emissions (RCP4.5) in the Pacific Ocean. However, adaptive capacity will be insufficient to halt the transition of coral reefs globally into erosion by 2050 under severe emissions scenarios (RCP8.5).}, }
@article {pmid36942365, year = {2023}, author = {Ortego, J and Espelta, JM and Armenteras, D and Díez, MC and Muñoz, A and Bonal, R}, title = {Demographic and spatially explicit landscape genomic analyses in a tropical oak reveal the impacts of late Quaternary climate change on Andean montane forests.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/mec.16930}, pmid = {36942365}, issn = {1365-294X}, abstract = {The tropical Andes are one of the most important biodiversity hotspots on Earth, yet our understanding of how their biotas have responded to Quaternary climatic oscillations is extraordinarily limited and the alternative models proposed to explain their demographic dynamics have been seldom formally evaluated. Here, we test the hypothesis that the interplay between the spatial configuration of geographical barriers to dispersal and elevational displacements driven by Quaternary cooling-warming cycles has shaped the demographic trajectories of montane oak forests (Quercus humboldtii) from the Colombian Andes. Specifically, we integrate genomic data and environmental niche modelling at fine temporal resolution to test competing spatially explicit demographic and coalescent models, including scenarios considering (i) isotropic gene flow through the landscape, (ii) the hypothetical impact of contemporary barriers to dispersal (i.e., inter-Andean valleys), and (iii) distributional shifts of montane oak forests from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present. Although our data revealed a marked genetic fragmentation of montane oak forests, statistical support for isolation-with-migration models indicates that geographically separated populations from the different Andean Cordilleras regularly exchange gene flow. Accordingly, spatiotemporally explicit demographic analyses supported a model of flickering connectivity, with scenarios considering isotropic gene flow or currently unsuitable habitats as persistent barriers to dispersal providing a comparatively worse fit to empirical genomic data. Overall, these results emphasize the role of landscape heterogeneity on shaping spatial patterns of genomic variation in montane oak forests, rejecting the hypothesis of genetic continuity and supporting a significant impact of Quaternary climatic oscillations on their demographic trajectories.}, }
@article {pmid36942327, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, C and Chen, RJ and Kan, HD}, title = {[Progress and future perspective of epidemiological research of air pollution and climate change in the context of achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals].}, journal = {Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi}, volume = {44}, number = {3}, pages = {353-359}, doi = {10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20220824-00732}, pmid = {36942327}, issn = {0254-6450}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Goals ; *Air Pollution/analysis ; Environmental Health ; Public Health ; China/epidemiology ; Carbon ; }, abstract = {Climate change is the great health challenge for human beings in the 21[st] century. Air pollution is also an important public health problem worldwide. China announced the climate commitment to achieve carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. Achieving these goals would not only have far-reaching effects on air pollution control and climate change, but also improve the population health in China. Air pollution and climate change epidemiology are important aspects of environmental epidemiology. In this paper, we discuss the current status and future development of epidemiological research of air pollution and climate change in the context of achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals to provide ideas and suggestions for environmental and health studies in the future.}, }
@article {pmid36942221, year = {2023}, author = {Lai, W and Shi, C and Wen, G and Lü, Z and Ye, L and Huang, Q and Zhang, G}, title = {Potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of the relict plant Shaniodendron subaequale.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {3}, pages = {e14402}, pmid = {36942221}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Shaniodendron subeaqualis is a tertiary relict plant unique to China. This species has high greening, ecological, and scientific research value, and has been listed as a national I-level key protected plant. Clarifying the main climatic factors restricting the geographical distribution of S. subeaqualis and predicting the potential geographical distribution pattern of this species can provide a scientific basis for the protection of the germplasm resources of this rare species. Based on 104 S. subeaqualis natural distribution records and 9 climate factors, the MaxEnt software was used to predict the potential suitable areas of S. subeaqualis in different periods (LGM, MH, Current, SSP245-2050s, SSP245-2090s, SSP585-2050s, SSP585-2090s). The results showed that the contemporary AUC predicted by MaxEnt is 0.996, with high simulation accuracy; Precipitation in the driest season (Bio17), the average temperature in the coldest season (Bio11) are main factors affecting the distribution of S. subeaqualis. At present, the suitable area of S. subeaqualis is mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Anhui, and Zhejiang province, with a total area of 11.575 × 10[4] km[2], of which the high suitable area is 1.424 × 10[4] km[2] and the medium suitable area is 3.826 × 10[4] km[2]. In the LGM, the area of S. subeaqualis was roughly similar to that of the contemporary period, but there was a southward migration phenomenon in some areas, such as the suitable area in the south of Zhejiang. In order to avoid the influence of ice age, S. subeaqualis moved to nearby refuge places, such as Dabie Mountain area of Anhui province, the west of Tianmu Mountain area of Zhejiang province and mountain area of Jiangsu province. In the MH, the suitable area for S. subeaqualis was reduced and moved northward to a small extent. In the future period, the suitable range of S. subeaqualis will not change greatly, but the overall degree of fragmentation will intensify. If effective measures are not taken, it is bound to bring severe challenges to the survival of S. subeaqualis. In order to protect S. subeaqualis germplasm resources more effectively, it is suggested to dynamically monitor the existing S. subeaqualis population and take various measures actively to reduce the negative effects of climate change on S. subeaqualis.}, }
@article {pmid36941776, year = {2023}, author = {Sisodiya, SM}, title = {Climate change and the brain.}, journal = {Brain : a journal of neurology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/brain/awad076}, pmid = {36941776}, issn = {1460-2156}, }
@article {pmid36941291, year = {2023}, author = {Lalmalsawma, P and Balasubramani, K and James, MM and Pautu, L and Prasad, KA and Sarma, DK and Balabaskaran Nina, P}, title = {Malaria hotspots and climate change trends in the hyper-endemic malaria settings of Mizoram along the India-Bangladesh borders.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {4538}, pmid = {36941291}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {Humans ; Bangladesh/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Malaria ; India/epidemiology ; Public Health ; }, abstract = {India has made tremendous progress in reducing malaria mortality and morbidity in the last decade. Mizoram State in North-East India is one of the few malaria-endemic regions where malaria transmission has continued to remain high. As Mizoram shares international borders with Bangladesh and Myanmar, malaria control in this region is critical for malaria elimination efforts in all the three countries. For identifying hotspots for targeted intervention, malaria data from 385 public health sub-centers across Mizoram were analyzed in the Geographic Information System. Almost all the sub-centers reporting high Annual Parasite Index (> 10) are located in Mizoram's districts that border Bangladesh. Getis-Ord Gi* statistic shows most of the sub-centers located along the Bangladesh border in the Lawngtlai and Lunglei districts to be the malaria hotspots. The hotspots also extended into the Mamit and Siaha districts, especially along the borders of Lawngtlai and Lunglei. Analysis of terrain, climatic, and land use/land cover datasets obtained from the Global Modelling and Assimilation Office and satellite images show Mizoram's western part (Lawngtlai, Lunglei, and Mamit districts) to experience similar topographic and climatic conditions as the bordering Rangamati district in the Chittagong division of Bangladesh. Climatic trends in this region from 1981 to 2021, estimated by the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimates, show an increasing trend in minimum temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, and the associated shift of climatic pattern (temperate to tropical monsoon) could facilitate malaria transmission. The quasi-Poisson regression model estimates a strong association (p < 0.001) between total malaria cases, temperature range, and elevation. The Kruskal-Wallis H test shows a statistically significant association between malaria cases and forest classes (p < 0.001). A regional coordination and strategic plan are required to eliminate malaria from this hyper-endemic malaria region of North-East India.}, }
@article {pmid36939516, year = {2023}, author = {Haugen, T and Prichardo, P and Hellums, R and Lindemann, L}, title = {Climate Change and Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery.}, journal = {Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/ohn.189}, pmid = {36939516}, issn = {1097-6817}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has illustrated that global events can have a profound impact on our health systems. While the pandemic is unprecedented, it does underscore the need to prepare for future global health concerns. Climate change is a looming threat with significant consequences for otolaryngologists and our patients. In this commentary, we discuss the need to assess our preparedness for climate change as well as the importance of reflecting on our responsibility to minimize our footprint.}, }
@article {pmid36938579, year = {2023}, author = {Sun, Y and Bao, Q and Taghizadeh-Hesary, F}, title = {Green finance, renewable energy development, and climate change: evidence from regions of China.}, journal = {Humanities &amp; social sciences communications}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {107}, pmid = {36938579}, issn = {2662-9992}, abstract = {In this study, using data from 2010 to 2021, and by utilizing the stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence, and technology (STIRPAT) theory, and system generalized method of moments, the effect of green financing and deployment of renewable energy on carbon dioxide emissions in China and its provinces were analyzed. The results show that green financing reduces environmental pollution at the country level. Moreover, with a 1% increase in renewable energy consumption, carbon dioxide emission can be expected to decrease by 0.103%. It also demonstrates that green financing has a statistically significant coefficient only in provinces located in the eastern and western regions. Chinese policymakers should incentive policies for provinces in the eastern region of China in order to have a cleaner environment. The central region should be under supportive and pressure policies to move faster along the path to sustainable development.}, }
@article {pmid36936644, year = {2023}, author = {Beckmann-Wübbelt, A and Türk, L and Almeida, I and Fricke, A and Sotirov, M and Saha, S}, title = {Climate change adaptation measures conflicted with the recreational demands on city forests during COVID-19 pandemic.}, journal = {npj urban sustainability}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {17}, pmid = {36936644}, issn = {2661-8001}, abstract = {Recurrent droughts in southwest Germany threaten the city and community-owned forests (CCF). At the same time, the COVID-19 pandemic has increased the demand for recreation in CCF of southwest Germany. We interviewed stakeholders from different interest groups to critically analyze their opinion on how the high recreation demand on CCF due to the pandemic can be ensured along with implementing climate change adaptation measures in CCF in Karlsruhe, Germany. We found that stakeholders particularly highlighted the importance of the recreational function of the CCF during the pandemic. However, the behavior of visitors was criticized by the stakeholders. We showed that demand for the recreational use of CCF conflicted with climate change adaptation measures such as sanitary and forest restoration actions, creating a dilemma among stakeholders. Therefore, enhancing citizens' knowledge of forests' recreation functions and the need for climate change adaptation through communication and education should be prioritized.}, }
@article {pmid36936481, year = {2023}, author = {Conrad, K}, title = {The Era of Climate Change Medicine-Challenges to Health Care Systems.}, journal = {The Ochsner journal}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {7-8}, pmid = {36936481}, issn = {1524-5012}, }
@article {pmid36934927, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, W and Jiang, J and Lin, HY and Chen, TY and Zhang, S and Wang, T}, title = {Assessment of the impact of climate change on endangered conifer tree species by considering climate and soil dual suitability and interspecific competition.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {877}, number = {}, pages = {162722}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162722}, pmid = {36934927}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change results in the habitat loss of many conifer tree species and jeopardizes species biodiversity and forest ecological functions. Delineating suitable habitats for tree species via climate niche model (CNM) is widely used to predict the impact of climate change and develop conservation and management strategies. However, the robustness of CNM is broadly debated as it usually does not consider soil and competition factors. Here we developed a new approach to combine soil variables with CNM and evaluate interspecific competition potential in the niche overlapping areas. We used an endangered conifer species - Chamaecyparis formosensis (red cypress) - as a case study to predict the impact of climate change. We developed a novel approach to integrate the climate niche model and soil niche model predictions and considered interspecific competition to predict the impacts of climate change on tree species. Our results show that the suitable habitat for red cypress would decrease significantly in the future with an additional threat from the competition of an oak tree species. Our approach and results may represent significant implications in making conservation strategies and evaluating the impacts of climate change, and providing the direction of the refinement of the ecological niche model.}, }
@article {pmid36934916, year = {2023}, author = {Vo, TPT and Ngo, HH and Guo, W and Turney, C and Liu, Y and Nguyen, DD and Bui, XT and Varjani, S}, title = {Influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on climate change summit negotiations from the climate governance perspective.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {878}, number = {}, pages = {162936}, pmid = {36934916}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruptions to the world since 2020, with over 647 million confirmed cases and 6.7 million reported deaths as of January 2023. Despite its far-reaching impact, the effects of COVID-19 on the progress of global climate change negotiations have yet to be thoroughly evaluated. This discussion paper conducts an examination of COVID-19's impact on climate change actions at global, national, and local levels through a comprehensive review of existing literature. This analysis reveals that the pandemic has resulted in delays in implementing climate policies and altered priorities from climate action to the pandemic response. Despite these setbacks, the pandemic has also presented opportunities for accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy. The interplay between these outcomes and the different levels of governance will play a crucial role in determining the success or failure of future climate change negotiations.}, }
@article {pmid36934871, year = {2023}, author = {Garcia-Bustos, V and Cabañero-Navalon, MD and Ruiz-Gaitán, A and Salavert, M and Tormo-Mas, M&#xc1; and Pemán, J}, title = {Climate change, animals, and Candida auris: insights into the ecological niche of a new species from a One Health approach.}, journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2023.03.016}, pmid = {36934871}, issn = {1469-0691}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: One of the most puzzling traits of Candida auris is the recent simultaneous and independent emergence of five genetically distinct clades on three continents. Global warming has been proposed as a contributing factor for this emergence owing to high thermotolerance of C. auris compared with phylogenetically close Candida species. This hypothesis postulates that climate change induced an environmental ancestor to become pathogenic through thermal adaptation and was then globally disseminated by an intermediate host.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The aim of this review is to compile the current knowledge on the emergence and ecological environmental niches of C.&#xa0;auris and highlight the potential role of animals in transmission.<br><br>SOURCES: A literature search was conducted using PubMed, MEDLINE, Google Scholar, and Web of Science from May 2022 to January 2023.<br><br>CONTENT: We discuss the up-to-date data on the ecological niches of this fungus and its mechanisms of emergence, transmission cycle in nature, and worldwide dissemination. We highlight the possibility of an originally intermediate host possibly related to marine or freshwater ecosystems on the basis of recent molecular and microbiological evidence from a One Health perspective. The consequences of harmful human impact on the environment in the rise of new fungal pathogenic species, such as C.&#xa0;auris, are also analysed and compared with other animal precedents.<br><br>IMPLICATIONS: The present knowledge can prompt the generation of new evidence on the ecological reservoirs of C.&#xa0;auris and its original mechanisms of environmental or interspecies transmission. Further research on the highlighted gaps will help understand the importance of the relationships between human, animal, and ecosystem health as factors involved in the rise and spread of emerging fungal pathogenic species.}, }
@article {pmid36933729, year = {2023}, author = {Gumuła-Kawęcka, A and Jaworska-Szulc, B and Szymkiewicz, A and Gorczewska-Langner, W and Angulo-Jaramillo, R and Šimůnek, J}, title = {Impact of climate change on groundwater recharge in shallow young glacial aquifers in northern Poland.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {877}, number = {}, pages = {162904}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162904}, pmid = {36933729}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {We investigated the influence of climate change in the period 1951-2020 on shallow aquifers in the Brda and Wda outwash plains (Pomeranian Region, Northern Poland). There was a significant temperature rise (0.3 °C/10 years), which accelerated after 1980 (0.66 °C/10 years). Precipitation became increasingly irregular - extremely rainy years occurred right after or before extremely dry years, and intensive rainfall events became more frequent after 2000. The groundwater level decreased over the last 20 years, even though the average annual precipitation was higher than in the previous 50 years. We carried out numerical simulations of water flow in representative soil profiles for the years 1970-2020 using the HYDRUS-1D model, developed and calibrated during our earlier work at an experimental site in the Brda outwash plain (Gumuła-Kawęcka et al., 2022). We used a relationship between the water head and flux at the bottom of the soil profiles (the third-type boundary condition) to reproduce groundwater table fluctuations caused by recharge variability in time. The calculated daily recharge showed a decreasing linear trend for the last 20 years (0.05-0.06 mm d[-1]/10 years), and dropping trends in water table level and soil water content in the entire profile of vadose zone. Field tracer experiments were performed to estimate impact of extremely rain events on water flux in vadose zone. The results suggest that tracer travel times are strongly determined by water content in the unsaturated zone which is determined by precipitation amount in span of weeks, rather than extremely high precipitation events.}, }
@article {pmid36932861, year = {2023}, author = {Baustian, MM and Liu, B and Moss, LC and Dausman, A and Pahl, JW}, title = {Climate change mitigation potential of Louisiana's coastal area: Current estimates and future projections.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e2847}, doi = {10.1002/eap.2847}, pmid = {36932861}, issn = {1051-0761}, abstract = {Coastal habitats can play an important role in climate change mitigation. As Louisiana implements its climate action plan and the restoration and risk-reduction projects outlined in its 2017 Louisiana Coastal Master Plan, it is critical to consider potential greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes in coastal habitats. This study estimated the potential climate mitigation role of existing, converted, and restored coastal habitats for years 2005, 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2050, which align with the Governor of Louisiana's GHG reduction targets. An analytical framework was developed that considered (1) available scientific data on net ecosystem carbon balance fluxes per habitat and (2) habitat areas projected from modeling efforts used for the 2017 Louisiana Coastal Master Plan to estimate the net GHG flux of coastal area. The coastal area was estimated as net GHG sinks of -38.4 ± 10.6 and -43.2 ± 12.0 Tg CO2 equivalents (CO2 e) in 2005 and 2020, respectively. The coastal area was projected to remain a net GHG sink in 2025 and 2030, both with and without the implementation of Coastal Master Plan projects (means ranged from -25.3 to -34.2 Tg CO2 e). By 2050, with model-projected wetland loss and conversion of coastal habitats to open water due to coastal erosion and relative sea level rise, Louisiana's coastal area was projected to become a net source of GHG emissions both with and without the Coastal Master Plan projects. However, in the year 2050, the Louisiana Coastal Master Plan project implementation was projected to avoid the release of +8.8 ± 1.3 Tg CO2 e compared with an alternative with no action. Reduction in current and future stressors to coastal habitats, including impacts from sea level rise, as well as the implementation of restoration projects could help to ensure coastal areas remain a natural climate solution.}, }
@article {pmid36932168, year = {2023}, author = {Colelli, FP and Wing, IS and Cian, E}, title = {Air-conditioning adoption and electricity demand highlight climate change mitigation-adaptation tradeoffs.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {4413}, pmid = {36932168}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {756194/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; }, abstract = {We elucidate mid-century climate change impacts on electricity demand accounting for endogenous adoption of residential air-conditioning (AC) in affluent, cooler countries in Europe, and in poorer, hotter states in India. By 2050, in a high-warming scenario (SSP585) AC prevalence grows twofold in Europe and fourfold in India, reaching around 40% in both regions. We document a mitigation-adaptation tradeoff: AC expansion reduces daily heat exposures by 150 million and 3.8 billion person degree-days (PDDs), but increases annual electricity demand by 34 TWh and 168 TWh in Europe and India, respectively (corresponding to 2% and 15% of today's consumption). The increase in adoption and use of AC would result in an additional 130 MMTCO2, of which 120 MMTCO2 in India alone, if the additional electricity generated were produced with today's power mix. The tradeoff varies geographically and across income groups: a one PDD reduction in heat exposure in Europe versus India necessitates five times more electricity (0.53 kWh vs 0.1 kWh) and two times more emissions (0.16 kgCO[Formula: see text] vs 0.09 kgCO[Formula: see text]), on average. The decomposition of demand drivers offers important insights on how such tradeoff can be moderated through policies promoting technology-based and behavioral-based adaptation strategies.}, }
@article {pmid36932162, year = {2023}, author = {Camacho, AM and Perotto-Baldivieso, HL and Tanner, EP and Montemayor, AL and Gless, WA and Exum, J and Yamashita, TJ and Foley, AM and DeYoung, RW and Nelson, SD}, title = {The broad scale impact of climate change on planning aerial wildlife surveys with drone-based thermal cameras.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {4455}, pmid = {36932162}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {Humans ; Animals ; *Animals, Wild ; *Deer ; Unmanned Aerial Devices ; Climate Change ; }, abstract = {Helicopters used for aerial wildlife surveys are expensive, dangerous and time consuming. Drones and thermal infrared cameras can detect wildlife, though the ability to detect individuals is dependent on weather conditions. While we have a good understanding of local weather conditions, we do not have a broad-scale assessment of ambient temperature to plan drone wildlife surveys. Climate change will affect our ability to conduct thermal surveys in the future. Our objective was to determine optimal annual and daily time periods to conduct surveys. We present a case study in Texas, (United States of America [USA]) where we acquired and compared average monthly temperature data from 1990 to 2019, hourly temperature data from 2010 to 2019 and projected monthly temperature data from 2021 to 2040 to identify areas where surveys would detect a commonly studied ungulate (white-tailed deer [Odocoileus virginianus]) during sunny or cloudy conditions. Mean temperatures increased when comparing the 1990-2019 to 2010-2019 periods. Mean temperatures above the maximum ambient temperature in which white-tailed deer can be detected increased in 72, 10, 10, and 24 of the 254 Texas counties in June, July, August, and September, respectively. Future climate projections indicate that temperatures above the maximum ambient temperature in which white-tailed deer can be detected will increase in 32, 12, 15, and 47 counties in June, July, August, and September, respectively when comparing 2010-2019 with 2021-2040. This analysis can assist planning, and scheduling thermal drone wildlife surveys across the year and combined with daily data can be efficient to plan drone flights.}, }
@article {pmid36931737, year = {2023}, author = {Rodway, GW}, title = {Climate Change in and Around the High Ranges of Asia: Consequences for Human Health.}, journal = {Wilderness &amp; environmental medicine}, volume = {34}, number = {1}, pages = {1-2}, doi = {10.1016/j.wem.2023.02.003}, pmid = {36931737}, issn = {1545-1534}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Asia ; }, }
@article {pmid36930310, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Q}, title = {Green financing role on climate change-supportive architectural design development: directions for green architectural designs.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-14}, pmid = {36930310}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The purpose of the study is to study the role of green financing in developing climate change supportive architectural design development to shift the modern world towards the idea of green architectural designs. Thus, the research estimated the nexus among green financing, green architectural development, and climate change mitigation by using the unit root analysis technique, co-integration analysis technique, bound-test estimates, auto-regressive distributive lag-error correction modeling (ARDL-ECM) technique to predict different short-run and long-run relationships, and robustness analysis technique. Following the previous study, modeling green financing index and green architectural design index are used to measure the variables. The findings of the study confirmed that green financing has significant role in supporting the climate change induction in architectural design development both in short run and long run. Moreover, green financing supports in promoting green architectural designs. By this, the viability of green financing in climate change that induces architecturally designed building is confirmed. Correspondingly, empirical results have shown that green financing contributes in climate change with 0.66, green infrastructure development with 0.72, and economic development with 0.31. While in long-run, green financing role in changing inside of climate of the architectural design is 0.74, supports in green infrastructure development with 0.67, and holds the 0.29 percent potential of contributing in economic development. These findings are robust with the 0.74 value of F-statistics, 1.89 value of t-statistics, and 110 value of Narayan standard estimate. In last, the study suggested way forward for stakeholders to promote green architectural designs to achieve SDG 8, SDG 11, and SDG 13.}, }
@article {pmid36930030, year = {2022}, author = {Turner, G and de'Donato, F and Kovats, S and Hoeben, A and Nordeng, Z}, title = {Implementation of adaptation to climate change in public health in Europe: qualitative thematic analysis.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {400 Suppl 1}, number = {}, pages = {S81}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02291-7}, pmid = {36930030}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Public Health ; Climate Change ; Pandemics/prevention &amp; control ; *COVID-19/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; Europe/epidemiology ; Cyprus ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Increasingly, climate change policies are emerging across Europe. Policies addressing adaptation (adjusting the effects of climate change on public health) are being implemented after the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to identify issues in climate adaptation implementation for public health and understand the health implications from responses after COVID-19.<br><br>METHODS: Key informant interviews were undertaken with decision makers in international, national, and local governments across 20 European countries (Norway, England, Cyprus, Spain, Ireland, Finland, Lithuania, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, Latvia, Italy, Estonia, Austria, Croatia, France, Germany, Hungary, Denmark, and Scotland). A WHO stakeholder analytical framework was followed for developing the interview themes. Participants were recruited if based in European governments, working in public or environmental health, and involved in climate adaptation policy. Participants were recruited through known networks and geographical coverage was obtained (eight per European region). An interview schedule with key themes (barriers, public health agenda, levers, networks, evidence needs, and COVID-19 recovery) was used. Interviews were conducted online, recorded, transcribed, and analysed through Nvivo.<br><br>FINDINGS: 32 interviews were completed between June and October, 2021; four international stakeholders, five national-level decision makers, 23 city-level decision makers or network representatives. Most reported inadequate resources for health adaptation implementation (funding, training, and personnel) and the marginal role of health in climate adaptation policy. A key reported challenge was limited departmental cross-collaboration across governance levels, because city-level stakeholders were less aware of the public health role in climate change policy. COVID-19 recovery strategies were not perceived as opportunistic for future adaptation. However, several respondents identified benefits for health system resilience, for example improved emergency planning and disaster management.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Across Europe, there is varied progress in the implementation of climate change and health adaptation. Providing appropriate resource, inter-departmental collaboration, knowledge mobilisation, and multi-level governance support will facilitate climate and health policy implementation. Overcoming these barriers and learning from COVID-19 through strengthened emergency planning and responses to climate events can strengthen UK public health system resilience and beyond.<br><br>FUNDING: This project has received part-funding from the Enhancing Belmont Research Action to support EU policy making on climate change and health project, which is part of the EU's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement number 101003966). The research was part-funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental Change and Health at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine in partnership with Public Health England, the Met Office, and University College London (grant number PHSEZT6210). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health and Social Care or PHE.}, }
@article {pmid36924950, year = {2023}, author = {Bethke, K and Kropidłowska, K and Stepnowski, P and Caban, M}, title = {Review of warming and acidification effects to the ecotoxicity of pharmaceuticals on aquatic organisms in the era of climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {877}, number = {}, pages = {162829}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162829}, pmid = {36924950}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {An increase in the temperature and the acidification of the aquatic environment are among the many consequences of global warming. Climate change can also negatively affect aquatic organisms indirectly, by altering the toxicity of pollutants. Models of climate change impacts on the distribution, fate and ecotoxicity of persistent pollutants are now available. For pharmaceuticals, however, as new environmental pollutants, there are no predictions on this issue. Therefore, this paper organizes the existing knowledge on the effects of temperature, pH and both stressors combined on the toxicity of pharmaceuticals on aquatic organisms. Besides lethal toxicity, the molecular, physiological and behavioral biomarkers of sub-lethal stress were also assessed. Both acute and chronic toxicity, as well as bioaccumulation, were found to be affected. The direction and magnitude of these changes depend on the specific pharmaceutical, as well as the organism and conditions involved. Unfortunately, the response of organisms was enhanced by combined stressors. We compare the findings with those known for persistent organic pollutants, for which the pH has a relatively low effect on toxicity. The acid-base constant of molecules, as assumed, have an effect on the toxicity change with pH modulation. Studies with bivalves have been were overrepresented, while too little attention was paid to producers. Furthermore, the limited number of pharmaceuticals have been tested, and metabolites skipped altogether. Generally, the effects of warming and acidification were rather indicated than explored, and much more attention needs to be given to the ecotoxicology of pharmaceuticals in climate change conditions.}, }
@article {pmid36923961, year = {2023}, author = {García-Portela, L and Maraun, D}, title = {Overstating the effects of anthropogenic climate change? A critical assessment of attribution methods in climate science.}, journal = {European journal for philosophy of science}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {17}, pmid = {36923961}, issn = {1879-4912}, abstract = {Climate scientists have proposed two methods to link extreme weather events and anthropogenic climate forcing: the probabilistic and the storyline approach. Proponents of the first approach have raised the criticism that the storyline approach could be overstating the role of anthropogenic climate change. This issue has important implications because, in certain contexts, decision-makers might seek to avoid information that overstates the effects of anthropogenic climate change. In this paper, we explore two research questions. First, whether and to what extent the storyline approach overstates the effects of anthropogenic climate change. Second, whether the objections offered against the storyline approach constitute good reasons to prefer the probabilistic approach. Concerning the first question, we show that the storyline approach does not necessarily overstate the effects of climate change, and particularly not for the reasons offered by proponents of the probabilistic approach. Concerning the second question, we show, independently, that the probabilistic approach faces the same or very similar objections to those raised against the storyline approach due to the lack of robustness of climate models and the way events are commonly defined when applying the probabilistic approach. These results suggest that these objections might not constitute good reasons to prefer the probabilistic approach over the storyline approach.}, }
@article {pmid36923025, year = {2023}, author = {Huang, P and Zheng, XT and Li, X and Hu, K and Zhou, ZQ}, title = {More complex interactions: Continuing progress in understanding the dynamics of regional climate change under a warming climate.}, journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))}, volume = {4}, number = {2}, pages = {100398}, pmid = {36923025}, issn = {2666-6758}, }
@article {pmid36922095, year = {2023}, author = {Schneider, A and Atar, D and Agewall, S}, title = {RESPONSE: Climate Change and Health: Challenges, Opportunities, and the Need for Action.}, journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology}, volume = {81}, number = {11}, pages = {1130-1132}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2022.10.041}, pmid = {36922095}, issn = {1558-3597}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; }, }
@article {pmid36922094, year = {2023}, author = {Khraishah, H and Ganatra, S and Al-Kindi, SG}, title = {Climate Change, Environmental Pollution, and the Role of Cardiologists of the Future.}, journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology}, volume = {81}, number = {11}, pages = {1127-1132}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2022.10.040}, pmid = {36922094}, issn = {1558-3597}, support = {P50 MD017351/MD/NIMHD NIH HHS/United States ; }, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *Cardiologists ; Environmental Pollution ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; *Air Pollutants/analysis ; }, }
@article {pmid36921561, year = {2023}, author = {Jurgilevich, A and Käyhkö, J and Räsänen, A and Pörsti, S and Lagström, H and Käyhkö, J and Juhola, S}, title = {Factors influencing vulnerability to climate change-related health impacts in cities - A conceptual framework.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {173}, number = {}, pages = {107837}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2023.107837}, pmid = {36921561}, issn = {1873-6750}, mesh = {Humans ; Cities ; *Climate Change ; *Acclimatization ; }, abstract = {Climate change will have adverse impacts on human health, which are amplified in cities. For these impacts, there are direct, indirect, and deferred pathways. The first category is well-studied, while indirect and deferred impacts are not well-understood. Moreover, the factors moderating the impacts have received little attention, although understanding these factors is critical for adaptation. We developed a conceptual framework that shows the pathways of climate impacts on human health, focusing specifically on the factors of urban environment moderating the emergence and severity of these health impacts. Based on the framework and literature review, we illustrate the mechanisms of direct, indirect, and deferred health impact occurrence and the factors that exacerbate or alleviate the severity of these impacts, thus presenting valuable insights for anticipatory adaptation. We conclude that an integrated systemic approach to preventing health risks from climate change can provide co-benefits for adaptation and address multiple health risks. Such an approach should be mainstreamed horizontally to all sectors of urban planning and should account for the spatiotemporal aspects of policy and planning decisions and city complexity.}, }
@article {pmid36919472, year = {2023}, author = {Sales, LP and Pires, MM}, title = {Identifying climate change refugia for South American biodiversity.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14087}, pmid = {36919472}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {Refugia-based conservation strategies offer long-term effectiveness and minimize uncertainty on strategies for climate change adaptation. Here, we use distribution modelling to identify climate change refugia for 617 terrestrial mammals and quantify the role of protected areas in safeguarding these zones across South America. Moist tropical forests located in high-elevation areas with complex topography concentrated the highest local diversity of species refugia, although regionally important refugia centers were also found elsewhere. Andean Amazon forests were revealed as "Anthropocene museums", hosting climate change refugia for more than half the continental species' pool and up to 87 species locally (17×17 km[2] grid cell). The highland zones of the Southern Atlantic Forest also included megadiverse refugia, safeguarding up to 76 species per cell. Almost half of the species that may find refugia in the Atlantic Forest will do so in a single region - the Serra do Mar and Serra do Espinhaço. Most of the refugia highlighted here, however, are not covered by protected areas, which may shelter less than 6% of the total area of climate change refugia, leaving 129 to 237 species with no refugia inside the territorial limits of protected areas of any kind. Those results reveal a dismal scenario on the level of refugia protection in some of the most biodiverse regions of the world. Nonetheless, because refugia areas tend to be located in high-elevation, topographically complex and remote areas, with lower economic pressure, formally protecting them may require a comparatively modest investment. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, }
@article {pmid36918954, year = {2023}, author = {Ferguson, T and Curtis, R and Fraysse, F and Olds, T and Dumuid, D and Brown, W and Esterman, A and Maher, C}, title = {Weather associations with physical activity, sedentary behaviour and sleep patterns of Australian adults: a longitudinal study with implications for climate change.}, journal = {The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {30}, pmid = {36918954}, issn = {1479-5868}, mesh = {Humans ; Female ; Adult ; Male ; Longitudinal Studies ; *Sedentary Behavior ; Prospective Studies ; *Climate Change ; Australia ; Exercise ; Weather ; Sleep ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Weather is a potentially important influence on how time is allocated to sleep, sedentary behaviour and physical activity across the 24-h day. Extremes of weather (very hot, cold, windy or wet) can create undesirable, unsafe outdoor environments for exercise or active transport, impact the comfort of sleeping environments, and increase time indoors. This 13-month prospective cohort study explored associations between weather and 24-h movement behaviour patterns.<br><br>METHODS: Three hundred sixty-eight&#xa0;adults (mean age 40.2&#xa0;years, SD 5.9, 56.8% female) from Adelaide, Australia, wore Fitbit Charge 3 activity trackers 24&#xa0;h a day for 13&#xa0;months with minute-by-minute data on sleep, sedentary behaviour, light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) collected remotely. Daily weather data included temperature, rainfall, wind, cloud and sunshine. Multi-level mixed-effects linear regression analyses (one model per outcome) were used.<br><br>RESULTS: Ninety thousand eight hundred one&#xa0;days of data were analysed. Sleep was negatively associated with minimum temperature (-12&#xa0;min/day change across minimum temperature range of 31.2&#xa0;&#xb0;C, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.001). Sedentary behaviour was positively associated with minimum temperature (+&#x2009;12&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;31.2&#xa0;oC, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006) and wind speed (+&#x2009;10&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;36.7&#xa0;km/h,&#xa0;p<&#x2009;0.001), and negatively associated with sunshine (-17&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;13.9&#xa0;h, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). LPA was positively associated with minimum temperature (+&#x2009;11&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;31.2&#xa0;&#xb0;C, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.002), cloud cover (+&#x2009;4&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;8 eighths, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.008) and sunshine (+&#x2009;17&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;13.9&#xa0;h, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), and negatively associated with wind speed (-8&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;36.7&#xa0;km/h, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). MVPA was positively associated with sunshine (+&#x2009;3&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;13.9&#xa0;h, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and negatively associated with minimum temperature (-13&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;31.2&#xa0;oC, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), rainfall (-3&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;33.2&#xa0;mm, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006) and wind speed (-4&#xa0;min/day, range&#x2009;=&#x2009;36.7&#xa0;km/h, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). For maximum temperature, a significant (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05) curvilinear association was observed with sleep (half-U) and physical activity (inverted-U), where the decrease in sleep duration appeared to slow around 23&#xa0;&#xb0;C, LPA peaked at 31&#xa0;oC and MVPA at 27&#xa0;&#xb0;C.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Generally, adults tended to be less active and more sedentary during extremes of weather and sleep less as temperatures rise. These findings have the potential to inform the timing and content of positive movement behaviour messaging and interventions.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was prospectively registered on the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (Trial ID: ACTRN12619001430123).}, }
@article {pmid36918722, year = {2023}, author = {DeAngelo, J and Saenz, BT and Arzeno-Soltero, IB and Frieder, CA and Long, MC and Hamman, J and Davis, KA and Davis, SJ}, title = {Author Correction: Economic and biophysical limits to seaweed farming for climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature plants}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/s41477-023-01393-1}, pmid = {36918722}, issn = {2055-0278}, }
@article {pmid36918577, year = {2023}, author = {Del Ponte, A and Masiliūnas, A and Lim, N}, title = {Information about historical emissions drives the division of climate change mitigation costs.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1408}, pmid = {36918577}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Despite worsening climate change, the international community still disagrees on how to divide the costs of mitigation between developing countries and developed countries, which emitted the bulk of historical carbon emissions. We study this issue using an economic experiment. Specifically, we test how information about historical emissions influences how much participants pay for climate change mitigation. In a four-player game, participants are assigned to lead two fictional countries as members of either the first or the second generation. The first generation produces wealth at the expense of greater carbon emissions. The second generation inherits their predecessor's wealth and negotiates how to split the climate change mitigation costs. Here we show that when the second generation knows that the previous generation created the current wealth and mitigation costs, participants whose predecessor generated more carbon emissions offered to pay more, whereas the successors of low-carbon emitters offered to pay less.}, }
@article {pmid36918292, year = {2023}, author = {Dunne, H and Jones, A and Okorie, M}, title = {Combatting climate change using education and training in pharmacology and therapeutics.}, journal = {British journal of clinical pharmacology}, volume = {89}, number = {5}, pages = {1518-1520}, doi = {10.1111/bcp.15705}, pmid = {36918292}, issn = {1365-2125}, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; Curriculum ; *Education, Medical ; Delivery of Health Care ; *Pharmacology, Clinical/education ; }, abstract = {The climate crisis has implications for the physical and mental health of people worldwide, while, paradoxically, healthcare itself contributes significant greenhouse gas emissions. Healthcare professionals need to be prepared to both mitigate the impacts of climate change and also manage the health effects of the climate crisis. Widespread adoption of sustainable healthcare models is required, with sustainability-driven improvements in clinical pharmacology intrinsically linked to this. Recognizing that education and training are essential steps to equip medical professionals with the knowledge to face the unprecedented challenges that the climate crisis presents, here, with reference to pharmacology and therapeutics, we discuss how the theme of Education for Sustainable Healthcare (ESH) can be integrated into undergraduate and postgraduate teaching programmes and how barriers to successful implementation can be tackled. We support the use of the Principles of Sustainable Clinical Practice as a framework to guide educational interventions and draw upon examples of our own practice at Brighton and Sussex Medical School where ESH has become a core component of medical education in our undergraduate curriculum.}, }
@article {pmid36917602, year = {2023}, author = {Weber, D and McGrail, RK and Carlisle, AE and Harwood, JD and McCulley, RL}, title = {Climate change alters slug abundance but not herbivory in a temperate grassland.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0283128}, pmid = {36917602}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; Grassland ; Climate Change ; *Gastropoda ; Plants ; }, abstract = {Climate change will significantly impact the world's ecosystems, in part by altering species interactions and ecological processes, such as herbivory and plant community dynamics, which may impact forage quality and ecosystem production. Yet relatively few field experimental manipulations assessing all of these parameters have been performed to date. To help fill this knowledge gap, we evaluated the effects of increased temperature (+3°C day and night, year-round) and precipitation (+30% of mean annual rainfall) on slug herbivory and abundance and plant community dynamics biweekly in a pasture located in central Kentucky, U.S.A. Warming increased slug abundance once during the winter, likely due to improving conditions for foraging, whereas warming reduced slug abundance at times in late spring, mid-summer, and early fall (from 62-95% reduction depending on month). We found that warming and increased precipitation did not significantly modify slug herbivory at our site, despite altering slug abundance and affecting plant community composition and forage quality. Climate change will alter seasonal patterns of slug abundance through both direct effects on slug biology and indirect effects mediated by changes in the plant community, suggesting that pasture management practices may have to adapt.}, }
@article {pmid36917187, year = {2023}, author = {D'Amato, G and D'Amato, M}, title = {Climate change, air pollution, pollen allergy and extreme atmospheric events.}, journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001237}, pmid = {36917187}, issn = {1531-698X}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Respiratory allergy correlates strictly with air pollution and climate change. Due to climate change, the atmospheric content of trigger factors such as pollens and moulds increase and induce rhinitis and asthma in sensitized patients with IgE-mediated allergic reactions.Pollen allergy is frequently used to evaluate the relationship between air pollution and allergic respiratory diseases. Pollen allergens trigger the release of immunomodulatory and pro-inflammatory mediators and accelerate the onset of sensitization to respiratory allergens in predisposed children and adults. Lightning storms during pollen seasons can exacerbate respiratory allergy and asthma not only in adults but also in children with pollinosis. In this study, we have focalized the trigger (chemical and biologic) factors of outdoor air pollution.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Environmental pollution and climate change have harmful effects on human health, particularly on respiratory system, with frequent impact on social systems.Climate change is characterized by physic meteorological events inducing increase of production and emission of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere. Allergenic plants produce more pollen as a response to high atmospheric levels of CO2. Climate change also affects extreme atmospheric events such as heat waves, droughts, thunderstorms, floods, cyclones and hurricanes. These climate events, in particular thunderstorms during pollen seasons, can increase the intensity of asthma attacks in pollinosis patients.<br><br>SUMMARY: Climate change has important effects on the start and pathogenetic aspects of hypersensitivity of pollen allergy. Climate change causes an increase in the production of pollen and a change in the aspects increasing their allergenic properties. Through the effects of climate change, plant growth can be altered so that the new pollen produced are modified affecting more the human health. The need for public education and adoption of governmental measures to prevent environmental pollution and climate change are urgent. Efforts to reduce greenhouse gases, chemical and biologic contributors to air pollution are of critical importance. Extreme weather phenomena such as thunderstorms can trigger exacerbations of asthma attacks and need to be prevented with a correct information and therapy.}, }
@article {pmid36916733, year = {2023}, author = {Brennan, MM and Herlihy, A and Kelly, S and Lawlor, C and Heavey, L}, title = {Treat Climate Change like the Public Health Emergency it is.}, journal = {Irish medical journal}, volume = {116}, number = {No.1}, pages = {4}, pmid = {36916733}, issn = {0332-3102}, mesh = {Humans ; *Public Health ; *Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid36915081, year = {2023}, author = {Petrescu-Mag, RM and Petrescu, DC and Ivan, A and Tenter, A}, title = {An intergenerational reading of climate change-health concern nexus: a qualitative study of the Millennials' and Gen Z participants' perceptions.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {484}, pmid = {36915081}, issn = {1471-2458}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Reading ; Motivation ; Attitude ; Intergenerational Relations ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The study of climate change through a generational lens is meaningful when one considers the distinct attitudes, behaviors, values, and motivations of each generation. Individuals born between 1980 and 1999, referred to as the Millennial Generation (Millennials) and individuals born up to five years before or after 2000, referred to as Generation Z (Gen Z), may differ widely in their views, values, attitudes, and behaviors. This may lead to conflicts between these two cohorts. As Gen Z enters the labor market, their first-level supervisors will be, in many cases, the Millennials, who may view the topic of climate change-health concern nexus very differently than their Gen Z subordinates. Considering the perspectives of each generation may offer insights on how to engage them to act in an environmentally responsible way to counteract climate change effects.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The study reveals similarities and differences in how Millennials and Gen Z perceive the climate change-health concern nexus, which illuminates the understanding of the potential generational conflicts and the critical points where intervention is needed.<br><br>METHOD: Interview data from 41 participants were analyzed via thematic analysis using the Quirkos software program. Reporting is in accordance with the COREQ guidelines.<br><br>RESULTS: The interview questions elicited responses related to five dimensions: (i) Views of individual and community health; (ii) Knowledge around climate change; (iii) Perceived health impact; (iv) Attitudes towards climate change; (v) Behaviors related to climate change. The findings revealed a set of commonalities and differences in understanding the climate change-health concern nexus between the participants representative of each of the generations examined. One main result is that while most interviewees perceived changes in summer and winter temperatures, they failed to articulate how climate change affected their health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Thematic analysis revealed that the commonalities of views outweigh the differences between the two generations. A relevant remark is that participants can be described rather as "observers" than "players" since they do not tend to see themselves (through their behavior and their contribution) as active participants in the goal to fight climate change. Consequently, both generations undergo what Stephen Gardiner [1] called "intergenerational buck-passing."}, }
@article {pmid36914770, year = {2023}, author = {Bagambilana, FR and Rugumamu, WM}, title = {Determinants of Farmers' Adaptation Intent And Adoption of Adaptation Strategies To Climate Change And Variability In Mwanga District, Tanzania.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36914770}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {Pegged on Protection Motivation Theory, a modified socio-cognitive model of private adaptation to climate change and variability was deployed in order to provide a better understanding of the determinants of small-scale farmers' adaptation intent and adoption of adaptation strategies in semi-arid lowlands of Mwanga District. In this regard, adaptation was conceptualized as a two-step process encompassing farmers' perceptions that climate was changing and farmers' response to changes. Basing on a pragmatic philosophy, a cross-sectional sequential explanatory mixed methods research design was deployed. During the first step-process, categorical data were collected through administration of a closed-ended survey questionnaire to 328 household heads. Binary and proportional odds logistic regressions were run through IBM SPSS (Version 20) in order to analyze categorical data for testing nine (9) null hypotheses. Statistically significant results were established when p values were < 0.05 at 95% confidence intervals. During the second step-process, qualitative data were generated through focus group discussions with 30 participants, in-depth interviews with 16 key informants, and participant observations and subjected to iterative thematic content analysis. The findings revealed that income, village's geographical location, farming system, membership to farmer-based group, competitive price for produce, credit, age, education, and extension service positively influenced farmers' adoption of adaptation strategies while workforce and perceived risk of rain on crop yields negatively influenced farmers' adoption of adaptation strategies. Thus, it was concluded that farmers' adaptation intent and adoption of adaptation strategies in the study area were largely explained by objective adaptive capacity rather than cognitive factors.}, }
@article {pmid36914628, year = {2023}, author = {Mi, C and Ma, L and Yang, M and Li, X and Meiri, S and Roll, U and Oskyrko, O and Pincheira-Donoso, D and Harvey, LP and Jablonski, D and Safaei-Mahroo, B and Ghaffari, H and Smid, J and Jarvie, S and Kimani, RM and Masroor, R and Kazemi, SM and Nneji, LM and Fokoua, AMT and Tasse Taboue, GC and Bauer, A and Nogueira, C and Meirte, D and Chapple, DG and Das, I and Grismer, L and Avila, LJ and Ribeiro Júnior, MA and Tallowin, OJS and Torres-Carvajal, O and Wagner, P and Ron, SR and Wang, Y and Itescu, Y and Nagy, ZT and Wilcove, DS and Liu, X and Du, W}, title = {Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1389}, pmid = {36914628}, issn = {2041-1723}, mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Reptiles ; Amphibians ; Biodiversity ; }, abstract = {Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species' distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.}, }
@article {pmid36913583, year = {2023}, author = {Jouberton, A and Miles, ES and Shaw, TE and McCarthy, M and Fugger, S and Pellicciotti, F}, title = {Reply to Yang et al.: Global warming and black carbon simultaneously lead to glacier mass decline over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {12}, pages = {e2301467120}, pmid = {36913583}, issn = {1091-6490}, }
@article {pmid36913312, year = {2023}, author = {Gaston, SA and Singh, R and Jackson, CL}, title = {The Need to Study the Role of Sleep in Climate Change Adaptation, Mitigation, and Resiliency Strategies across the Life Course.}, journal = {Sleep}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/sleep/zsad070}, pmid = {36913312}, issn = {1550-9109}, }
@article {pmid36912708, year = {2023}, author = {Choi, SH and Beer, J and Charrow, A}, title = {Climate change and the displaced person: how vectors and climate are changing the landscape of infectious diseases among displaced and migrant populations.}, journal = {International journal of dermatology}, volume = {62}, number = {5}, pages = {681-684}, doi = {10.1111/ijd.16636}, pmid = {36912708}, issn = {1365-4632}, mesh = {Humans ; *Refugees ; Climate Change ; *Transients and Migrants ; *Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; Skin ; *Zika Virus Infection ; *Zika Virus ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: As the climate crisis grows, so does the global burden of displacement. Displacement, whether a direct or indirect consequence of natural disaster, can lead to dire health sequelae. Skin health is no exception to this, with dermatologic disease being a leading concern reported by those who care for displaced persons. Health professionals who provide dermatologic care for displaced persons benefit from understanding how climate change impacts the global profile of infectious agents.<br><br>METHODS: This review was performed using PubMed and Google Scholar. Search terms included climate change, displaced person, internally displaced person, and refugee, as well as searches of infectious disease dermatology and the specific diseases of interest. Case reports, case series, reviews, and original research articles were included in this review. Non-English studies were not included.<br><br>RESULTS: In this manuscript several key infectious agents were identified, and we discuss the skin manifestations and impact of climate change on cutaneous leishmaniasis, dengue, chikungunya, zika, malaria, pediculosis, cutaneous larva migrans, cholera, and varicella zoster.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change plays a significant role in the challenges faced by displaced persons, including their skin health. Among the many consequences of climate change is its altering of the ecological profile of infectious agents and vectors that impact displaced persons. Being familiar with this impact can improve dermatologic care for this vulnerable population.}, }
@article {pmid36912581, year = {2023}, author = {Lubin, RE and Edmondson, D and Otto, MW}, title = {Climate change views examined through a behavioral medicine frame: are there potential target mechanisms for change beyond political ideology?.}, journal = {Psychology, health &amp; medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-12}, doi = {10.1080/13548506.2023.2185644}, pmid = {36912581}, issn = {1465-3966}, abstract = {The threat of climate change is associated with both profound health consequences and failures by many individuals to take preventive actions. Behavioral science research on health behavior engagement may serve as a lens through which to better understand attitudes associated with the threat of climate change. This study was designed to examine individual differences in attitudinal responses to climate change, understanding the degree to which these responses can be predicted by both political beliefs and more readily modified psychological factors commonly associated with health behavior engagement: locus of control, anxiety sensitivity, delay discounting, and intolerance of uncertainty. Participants (N = 234) were US adults (62% male; 57% Non-Hispanic White; 44% Democrat) who completed an online survey. Stepwise multiple linear regressions examined which variables provided non-redundant prediction in models of climate change beliefs and concerns. In addition to providing support for the role of political affiliation and related ideology in climate change views (9-23% variance), this study underscores the importance of a behavioral health frame in understanding climate change concerns and beliefs. Known risk factors for negative health behaviors - prominently, locus of control, anxiety sensitivity, and delay discounting - contributed strongly to the understanding of these views, accounting for 4-28% of variance. Our findings encourage greater attention to health behavior-related constructs for understanding attitudes relevant to climate change action.}, }
@article {pmid36911296, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and El Adawy, M and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Malaudzi, FM and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Mohammad, SY and Sidibe, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World.}, journal = {Advanced genetics (Hoboken, N.J.)}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {2200028}, pmid = {36911296}, issn = {2641-6573}, }
@article {pmid36911170, year = {2023}, author = {Posocco, L and McNeill, JR}, title = {Climate change: Comparing "green" and "polluting" nation-states.}, journal = {Frontiers in sociology}, volume = {8}, number = {}, pages = {1133333}, pmid = {36911170}, issn = {2297-7775}, abstract = {Some nation-states, i.e., Norway, Sweden, and Denmark, repeatedly score the highest in environmental indicators such as the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) and the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI). Their cities win environmental awards; they have well-developed recycling systems; they perform well with biodegradable waste; and their citizens show awareness of environmental problems, protesting publicly and even sueing their governing bodies if they don't do the same. For these and other reasons, recent scholarship defined these countries as "exemplary" green nation-states. The question is, which factors pushed them toward the green transition faster than others? And overall, what stops top polluting countries such as China, the United States and Russia from walking the same path? This article attempts to answer these questions by looking at climate change through a theoretical framework based on theories of nationalism and case studies of green nation-states. It compares three of said top polluting countries, China, the United States, and Russia, with "exemplary" green nation-states, and argues that the pace of greener nation-states rests on (1) a tradition of ecologism and environmentalism rooted in the long run, (2) the lock in of "green nationalism," a form of nationalism grounded on sustainability, (3) free and effective environmental movements, (4) inclusivity and welfare, and (5) a sense of national pride in environmental achievements. The available evidence seems to suggest that top polluting nation-states lack one or more of these factors.}, }
@article {pmid36910944, year = {2023}, author = {Naguib, HM and Zaki, EG and Abdelsattar, DE and Dhmees, AS and Azab, MA and Elsaeed, SM and Kandil, UF}, title = {Environmentally Friendly Polymer Concrete: Polymer Treatment, Processing, and Investigating Carbon Footprint with Climate Change.}, journal = {ACS omega}, volume = {8}, number = {9}, pages = {8804-8814}, pmid = {36910944}, issn = {2470-1343}, abstract = {Climate change is being currently faced globally; controlling the plastic waste and gas emission is aimed to reduce their hazardous effects. In this work, polyethylene terephthalate (PET) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) polymer wastes are used as fillers to calcium silicate. Chemical treatment was performed to get the best efficiency of the binder material with the treated PET (TPET) and treated PVC (TPVC). The used silicate, new nonhydraulic dicalcium silicate, was synthesized by sintering. A new environmentally friendly polymer concrete, based on different concentrations of PET-/TPET-/PVC-/TPVC-dicalcium silicate composites, was prepared and cured by carbonation. FTIR analysis confirms that the treatment gave functional groups on the polymer surface; also, the hydrophilicity was increased after treatment. SEM photos show that the treated polymers have a rougher surface, which led to improved attachment with cement. The structures of the prepared and cured cement materials are proved by XRD, FTIR analysis, and SEM, through the change of calcium silicate to carbonate. Carbon footprint is used to analyze the environmental implications of the prepared composites. After the treatment reaction, the TPET-cement and TPVC-cement composites showed improved compression and flexural properties and more stability against water absorption. The novelty arises from recycling this plastic waste in the proposed low-energy dicalcium silicate cement, for the first time, to give improved environmentally friendly composites after converting CO2 gas to carbonates, with the reduced carbon footprint.}, }
@article {pmid36910396, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, JK and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {African health sciences}, volume = {22}, number = {3}, pages = {vi-viii}, pmid = {36910396}, issn = {1729-0503}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Africa ; }, }
@article {pmid36908811, year = {2023}, author = {Pereira Campos, C and Bitar, SDB and Freitas, C}, title = {Uncertainties regarding the natural mortality of fish can increase due global climate change.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e14989}, pmid = {36908811}, issn = {2167-8359}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Causality ; *Fishes ; Uncertainty ; Fisheries ; }, abstract = {The increase in temperature resulting from global climate change can directly affect the survival of fish and therefore population parameters such as natural mortality (M). The estimation of this parameter and the understanding of the uncertainties in its estimates are enormous challenges for studies that evaluate fish stocks. In addition, the effects of increases in temperature may be associated with life strategies. Therefore, the fuzzy set theory was used to evaluate the effects of temperature increase on the natural mortality of fish, considering different life strategies. The model showed that the increase in temperature increased the uncertainties in M estimates for all species, regardless of the life strategy. However, opportunistic species present greater uncertainties in estimates of M compared to equilibrium species. The patterns found in uncertainties of M associated with species groupings by life strategies can be used in holistic approaches for the assessment and management of recently exploited fisheries resources or for those with limited biological data.}, }
@article {pmid36908379, year = {2022}, author = {D'Amore, C and Grimaldi, P and Ascione, T and Conti, V and Sellitto, C and Franci, G and Kafil, SH and Pagliano, P}, title = {West Nile Virus diffusion in temperate regions and climate change. A systematic review.}, journal = {Le infezioni in medicina}, volume = {31}, number = {1}, pages = {20-30}, pmid = {36908379}, issn = {2532-8689}, abstract = {West Nile virus (WNV) is a member of the Japanese encephalitis serocomplex, which was first described in 1937 as neurotropic virus in Uganda in 1937. Subsequently, WNV was identified in the rest of the old-world and from 1999 in North America. Birds are the primary hosts, and WNV is maintained in a bird-mosquito-bird cycle, with pigs as amplifying hosts and humans and horses as incidental hosts. WNV transmission is warranted by mosquitoes, usually of the Culex spp., with a tendency to spill over when mosquitoes' populations build up. Other types of transmissions have been described in endemic areas, as trough transplanted organs and transfused blood, placenta, maternal milk, and in some occupational settings. WNV infections in North America and Europe are generally reported during the summer and autumn. Extreme climate phenomena and soil degradation are important events which contribute to expansion of mosquito population and consequently to the increasing number of infections. Draught plays a pivotal role as it makes foul water standing in city drains and catch basins richer of organic material. The relationship between global warming and WNV in climate areas is depicted by investigations on 16,298 WNV cases observed in the United States during the period 2001-2005 that showed that a 5°C increase in mean maximum weekly temperature was associated with a 32-50% higher incidence of WNV infection. In Europe, during the 2022 season, an increase of WNV cases was observed in Mediterranean countries where 1,041 cases were reported based on ECDC data. This outbreak can be associated to the climate characteristics reported during this period and to the introduction of a new WNV-1 lineage. In conclusion, current climate change is causing an increase of mosquito circulation that supports the widest spread of some vector-borne virus including WNV diffusion in previously non-permissible areas. This warrant public health measures to control vectors circulation to reduce WNV and to screen blood and organ donations.}, }
@article {pmid36907391, year = {2023}, author = {Mesquita, AF and Jesus, F and Gonçalves, FJM and Gonçalves, AMM}, title = {Ecotoxicological and biochemical effects of a binary mixture of pesticides on the marine diatom Thalassiosira weissflogii in a scenario of global warming.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {876}, number = {}, pages = {162737}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162737}, pmid = {36907391}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Under the current scenario of global warming, it is ecologically relevant to understand how increased temperature influences the combined toxicity of pesticides to aquatic species. Hence, this work aims to: a) determine the temperature effect (15 °C, 20 °C and 25 °C) on the toxicity of two pesticides (oxyfluorfen and Copper (Cu)), on the growth of Thalassiosira weissflogii; b) assess whether temperature affects the type of toxicity interaction between these chemicals; and c) assess the temperature effect on biochemical responses (fatty acids (FA) and sugar profiles) of the pesticides on T. weissflogii. Temperature increased the tolerance of the diatoms to the pesticides with EC50 values between 3.176 and 9.929 μg L[-1] for oxyfluorfen and 42.50-230.75 μg L[-1] for Cu, respectively, at 15 °C and 25 °C. The mixtures toxicity was better described by the IA model, but temperature altered the type of deviation from dose ratio (15 °C and 20 °C) to antagonism (25 °C). Temperature, as well as the pesticide concentrations, affected the FA and sugar profiles. Increased temperature increased saturated FA and decreased unsaturated FA; it also affected the sugar profiles with a pronounced minimum at 20 °C. Results highlight effects on the nutritional value of these diatoms, with potential repercussion on food webs.}, }
@article {pmid36907078, year = {2023}, author = {Freitas, D and Borges, D and Arenas, F and Pinto, IS and Vale, CG}, title = {Forecasting distributional shifts of Patella spp. in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean, under climate change.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {186}, number = {}, pages = {105945}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105945}, pmid = {36907078}, issn = {1879-0291}, mesh = {*Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; Patella ; Atlantic Ocean ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Mapping species' geographical distribution is fundamental for understanding current patterns and forecasting future changes. Living on rocky shores along the intertidal zone, limpets are vulnerable to climate change, as their range limits are controlled by seawater temperature. Many works have been studying limpets' potential responses to climate change at local and regional scales. Focusing on four Patella species living on the rocky shores of the Portuguese continental coast, this study aims to predict climate change impacts on their global distribution, while exploring the role of the Portuguese intertidal as potential climate refugia. Ecological niche models combine occurrences and environmental data to identify the drivers of these species' distributions, define their current range, and project to future climate scenarios. The distribution of these limpets was mostly defined by low bathymetry (intertidal) and the seawater temperature. Independent of the climate scenario, all species will gain suitable conditions at the northern distribution edge while losing in the south, yet only the extent of occurrence of P. rustica is expected to contract. Apart from the southern coast, maintenance of suitable conditions for these limpets' occurrence was predicted for the western coast of Portugal. The predicted northward range shift follows the observed pattern observed for many intertidal species. Given the ecosystem role of this species, attention should be given to their southern range limits. Under the current upwelling effect, the Portuguese western coast might constitute thermal refugia for limpets in the future.}, }
@article {pmid36906142, year = {2023}, author = {Johnson, DM and Haynes, KJ}, title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest insect populations under climate change.}, journal = {Current opinion in insect science}, volume = {56}, number = {}, pages = {101020}, doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2023.101020}, pmid = {36906142}, issn = {2214-5753}, abstract = {Effects of climate on forest insect populations are complex, often involving drivers that are opposing, nonlinear, and nonadditive. Overall, climate change is driving an increase in outbreaks and range shifts. Links between climate and forest insect dynamics are becoming clearer; however, the underlying mechanisms remain less clear. Climate alters forest insect population dynamics directly through life history, physiology, and voltinism, and indirectly through effects on host trees and natural enemies. Climatic effects on bark beetles, wood-boring insects, and sap-suckers are often indirect, through effects on host-tree susceptibility, whereas climatic effects on defoliators are comparatively more direct. We recommend process-based approaches to global distribution mapping and population models to identify the underlying mechanisms and enable effective management of forest insects.}, }
@article {pmid36906057, year = {2023}, author = {Barbosa, H and Soares, AMVM and Pereira, E and Freitas, R}, title = {Are the consequences of lithium in marine clams enhanced by climate change?.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {326}, number = {}, pages = {121416}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121416}, pmid = {36906057}, issn = {1873-6424}, mesh = {Animals ; Ecosystem ; Lithium/pharmacology ; Climate Change ; *Bivalvia ; Water ; Salinity ; *Water Pollutants, Chemical/analysis ; }, abstract = {Coastal areas, such as estuaries and coastal lagoons, are among the most endangered aquatic ecosystems due to the intense anthropogenic activities occurring in their vicinity. These areas are highly threatened by climate change-related factors as well as pollution, especially due to their limited water exchange. Ocean warming and extreme weather events, such as marine heatwaves and rainy periods, are some of the consequences of climate change, inducing alterations in the abiotic parameters of seawater, namely temperature and salinity, which may affect the organisms as well as the behaviour of some pollutants present in water. Lithium (Li) is an element widely used in several industries, especially in the production of batteries for electronic gadgets and electric vehicles. The demand for its exploitation has been growing drastically and is predicted a large increase in the coming years. Inefficient recycling, treatment and disposal results in the release of Li into the aquatic systems, the consequences of which are poorly understood, especially in the context of climate change. Considering that a limited number of studies exist about the impacts of Li on marine species, the present study aimed to assess the effects of temperature rise and salinity changes on the impacts of Li in clams (Venerupis corrugata) collected from the Ria de Aveiro (coastal lagoon, Portugal). Clams were exposed for 14 days to 0 μg/L of Li and 200 μg/L of Li, both conditions under different climate scenarios: 3 different salinities (20, 30 and 40) at 17 °C (control temperature); and 2 different temperatures (17 and 21 °C) at salinity 30 (control salinity). Bioconcentration capacity and biochemical alterations regarding metabolism and oxidative stress were investigated. Salinity variations had a higher impact on biochemical responses than temperature increase, even when combined with Li. The combination of Li with low salinity (20) was the most stressful treatment, provoking increased metabolism and activation of detoxification defences, suggesting possible imbalances in coastal ecosystems in response to Li pollution under extreme weather events. These findings may ultimately contribute to implement environmentally protective actions to mitigate Li contamination and preserve marine life.}, }
@article {pmid36905992, year = {2023}, author = {Avotra, AARN and Nawaz, A}, title = {Asymmetric impact of transportation on carbon emissions influencing SDGs of climate change.}, journal = {Chemosphere}, volume = {324}, number = {}, pages = {138301}, doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.138301}, pmid = {36905992}, issn = {1879-1298}, mesh = {*Sustainable Development ; *Climate Change ; Carbon ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Environmental Pollution/analysis ; Renewable Energy ; Economic Development ; }, abstract = {Transportation facilities have expanded globally because of rapid industrialization and economic growth. Transportation involves substantial use of energy therefore strongly linked with environmental pollution. This study intends to explore linkages among transport from air mode, combustible renewable energy and waste, GDP, energy use, oil prices, trade expansion, and carbon releases from airline transport. The data covered in the study ranged from 1971 to 2021. For the empirical analysis, the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) methodology has been applied in order to explore the asymmetric impact of the variables of interest. Prior to this, the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test is applied whose results demonstrate that variables included in the model contain mixed order of integration. The NARDL estimates show that the "positive shock to air transport and positive and negative shock to energy usage results in the increase of CO2 emissions per capita in the long run. While, a "positive (negative) shock" to renewable energy use and trade expansion reduces (increases) transport-related carbon discharge. The Error Correction Term (ECT) carries a negative sign implying a stability adjustment in the long run. These asymmetric components in our study can be employed in cost-benefit analysis and encompass the environmental repercussions (asymmetric) of government and management actions. The study suggests that the government of Pakistan should promote financing for renewable energy consumption and clean trade expansion to achieve the sustainable development goals (SDGs) objective 13.}, }
@article {pmid36900886, year = {2023}, author = {Stankov, U and Filimonau, V and Vujičić, MD and Basarin, B and Carmer, AB and Lazić, L and Hansen, BK and Ćirić Lalić, D and Mujkić, D}, title = {Ready for Action! Destination Climate Change Communication: An Archetypal Branding Approach.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {5}, pages = {}, pmid = {36900886}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Communication ; *Courage ; }, abstract = {At the destination level, destination branding may coexist with climate change communication. These two communication streams often overlap because they are both designed for large audiences. This poses a risk to the effectiveness of climate change communication and its ability to prompt a desired climate action. The viewpoint paper advocates the use of archetypal branding approach to ground and center climate change communication at a destination level while concurrently maintaining the uniqueness of destination branding. Three archetypes of destinations are distinguished: villains, victims, and heroes. Destinations should refrain from actions that would make them appear to be climate change villains. A balanced approach is further warranted when portraying destinations as victims. Lastly, destinations should aim at assuming the heroic archetypes by excelling in climate change mitigation. The basic mechanisms of the archetypal approach to destination branding are discussed alongside a framework that suggests areas for further practical investigation of climate change communication at a destination level.}, }
@article {pmid36899717, year = {2023}, author = {Lu, G and Zhang, X and Li, X and Zhang, S}, title = {Immunity and Growth Plasticity of Asian Short-Toed Lark Nestlings in Response to Changes in Food Conditions: Can It Buffer the Challenge of Climate Change-Induced Trophic Mismatch?.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {5}, pages = {}, pmid = {36899717}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Passerine nestlings frequently suffer from sub-optimal food conditions due to climate change-induced trophic mismatch between the nestlings and their optimal food resources. The ability of nestlings to buffer this challenge is less well understood. We hypothesized that poor food conditions might induce a higher immune response and lower growth rate of nestlings, and such physiological plasticity is conducive to nestling survival. To test this, we examined how food (grasshopper nymphs) abundance affects the expression of interferon-γ (IFN-γ), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1 β (IL-1β) genes, plasma IGF-1 levels, body mass, and fledging rates in wild Asian short-toed lark (Alaudala cheleensis) nestlings. Linear mixed models revealed that nymph biomass significantly influenced the expression of IFN-γ, TNF-α, and IL-1β genes, and the level of plasma IGF-1. The expressions of IFN-γ, TNF-α, and IL-1β genes were negatively correlated with nymph biomass and plasma IGF-1 level. Plasma IGF-1 level, nestling body mass growth rate, was positively correlated with nymph biomass. Despite a positive correlation between the nestling fledge rate and nymph biomass, more than 60% of nestlings fledged when nymph biomass was at the lowest level. These results suggest that immunity and growth plasticity of nestlings may be an adaptation for birds to buffer the negative effects of trophic mismatch.}, }
@article {pmid36899712, year = {2023}, author = {Fu, A and Gao, E and Tang, X and Liu, Z and Hu, F and Zhan, Z and Wang, J and Luan, X}, title = {MaxEnt Modeling for Predicting the Potential Wintering Distribution of Eurasian Spoonbill (Platalea leucorodia leucorodia) under Climate Change in China.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {5}, pages = {}, pmid = {36899712}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Global climate change has become a trend and is one of the main factors affecting biodiversity patterns and species distributions. Many wild animals adapt to the changing living environment caused by climate change by changing their habitats. Birds are highly sensitive to climate change. Understanding the suitable wintering habitat of the Eurasian Spoonbill (Platalea leucorodia leucorodia) and its response to future climatic change is essential for its protection. In China, it was listed as national grade II key protected wild animal in the adjusted State List of key protected wild animals in 2021, in Near Threatened status. Few studies on the distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill have been carried out in China. In this study, we simulated the suitable habitat under the current period and modeled the distribution dynamics of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill in response to climate change under different periods by using the MaxEnt model. Our results showed that the current suitable wintering habitats for the Eurasian Spoonbill are mainly concentrated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Distance from the water, precipitation of the driest quarter, altitude, and mean temperature of the driest quarter contributed the most to the distribution model for the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill, with a cumulative contribution of 85%. Future modeling showed that the suitable distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill extends to the north as a whole, and the suitable area shows an increasing trend. Our simulation results are helpful in understanding the distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill under different periods in China and support species conservation.}, }
@article {pmid36898237, year = {2023}, author = {Kashyap, R and Kuttippurath, J and Kumar, P}, title = {Browning of vegetation in efficient carbon sink regions of India during the past two decades is driven by climate change and anthropogenic intrusions.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117655}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117655}, pmid = {36898237}, issn = {1095-8630}, mesh = {*Carbon Sequestration ; *Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Soil ; India ; Carbon/metabolism ; }, abstract = {Accurate estimation of carbon cycle is a challenging task owing to the complexity and heterogeneity of ecosystems. Carbon Use Efficiency (CUE) is a metric to define the ability of vegetation to sequester carbon from the atmosphere. It is key to understand the carbon sink and source pathways of ecosystems. Here, we quantify CUE using remote sensing measurements to examine its variability, drivers and underlying mechanisms in India for the period 2000-2019, by applying the principal component analyses (PCA), multiple linear regression (MLR) and causal discovery. Our analysis shows that the forests in the hilly regions (HR) and northeast (NE), and croplands in the western areas of South India (SI) exhibit high (>0.6) CUE. The northwest (NW), Indo-Gangetic plain (IGP) and some areas in Central India (CI) show low (<0.3) CUE. In general, the water availability as soil moisture (SM) and precipitation (P) promote higher CUE, but higher temperature (T) and air organic carbon content (AOCC) reduce CUE. It is found that SM has the strongest relative influence (33%) on CUE, followed by P. Also, SM has a direct causal link with all drivers and CUE; reiterating its importance in driving vegetation carbon dynamics (VCD) for the cropland dominated India. The long-term analysis reveals that the low CUE regions in NW (moisture induced greening) and IGP (irrigation induced agricultural boom) have an increasing trend in productivity (greening). However, the high CUE regions in NE (deforestation and extreme events) and SI (warming induced moisture stress) exhibit a decreasing trend in productivity (browning), which is a great concern. Our study, therefore, provides new insights on the rate of carbon allocation and the need of proper planning for maintaining balance in the terrestrial carbon cycle. This is particularly important in the context of drafting policy decisions for the mitigation of climate change, food security and sustainability.}, }
@article {pmid36898187, year = {2023}, author = {Magda, LN and Chan, K and Bin-Hasan, S and Gringras, P}, title = {Endorsement of the International Pediatric Association's declaration on the impact of climate change on children by the International Pediatric Sleep Association and World Sleep Society.}, journal = {Sleep medicine}, volume = {104}, number = {}, pages = {56-57}, doi = {10.1016/j.sleep.2023.01.029}, pmid = {36898187}, issn = {1878-5506}, mesh = {Humans ; Child ; *Climate Change ; *Societies ; }, }
@article {pmid36897946, year = {2023}, author = {Zhou, S and Yu, B and Zhang, Y}, title = {Global concurrent climate extremes exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {10}, pages = {eabo1638}, pmid = {36897946}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Increases in concurrent climate extremes in different parts of the world threaten the ecosystem and our society. However, spatial patterns of these extremes and their past and future changes remain unclear. Here, we develop a statistical framework to test for spatial dependence and show widespread dependence of temperature and precipitation extremes in observations and model simulations, with more frequent than expected concurrence of extremes around the world. Historical anthropogenic forcing has strengthened the concurrence of temperature extremes over 56% of 946 global paired regions, particularly in the tropics, but has not yet significantly affected concurrent precipitation extremes during 1901-2020. The future high-emissions pathway of SSP585 will substantially amplify the concurrence strength, intensity, and spatial extent for both temperature and precipitation extremes, especially over tropical and boreal regions, while the mitigation pathway of SSP126 can ameliorate the increase in concurrent climate extremes for these high-risk regions. Our findings will inform adaptation strategies to alleviate the impact of future climate extremes.}, }
@article {pmid36897640, year = {2023}, author = {Uddin, MM and Abdul Aziz, A and Lovelock, CE}, title = {Importance of mangrove plantations for climate change mitigation in Bangladesh.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16674}, pmid = {36897640}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Mangroves have been identified as blue carbon ecosystems that are natural carbon sinks. In Bangladesh, the establishment of mangrove plantations for coastal protection has occurred since the 1960s, but the plantations may also be a sustainable pathway to enhance carbon sequestration, which can help Bangladesh meet its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets, contributing to climate change mitigation. As a part of its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement 2016, Bangladesh is committed to limiting the GHG emissions through the expansion of mangrove plantations, but the level of carbon removal that could be achieved through the establishment of plantations has not yet been estimated. The mean ecosystem carbon stock of 5-42 years aged (average age: 25.5 years) mangrove plantations was 190.1 (±30.3) Mg C ha[-1] , with ecosystem carbon stocks varying regionally. The biomass carbon stock was 60.3 (±5.6) Mg C ha[-1] and the soil carbon stock was 129.8 (±24.8) Mg C ha[-1] in the top 1 m of which 43.9 Mg C ha[-1] was added to the soil after plantation establishment. Plantations at age 5 to 42 years achieved 52% of the mean ecosystem carbon stock calculated for the reference site (Sundarbans natural mangroves). Since 1966, the 28,000 ha of established plantations to the east of the Sundarbans have accumulated approximately 76,607 Mg C year[-1] sequestration in biomass and 37,542 Mg C year[-1] sequestration in soils, totaling 114,149 Mg C year[-1] . Continuation of the current plantation success rate would sequester an additional 664,850 Mg C by 2030, which is 4.4% of Bangladesh's 2030 GHG reduction target from all sectors described in its NDC, however, plantations for climate change mitigation would be most effective 20 years after establishment. Higher levels of investment in mangrove plantations and higher plantation establishment success could contribute up to 2,098,093 Mg C to blue carbon sequestration and climate change mitigation in Bangladesh by 2030.}, }
@article {pmid36897509, year = {2023}, author = {Akyol, A and Örücü, &#xd6;K and Arslan, ES and Sarıkaya, AG}, title = {Predicting of the current and future geographical distribution of Laurus nobilis L. under the effects of climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {4}, pages = {459}, pmid = {36897509}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; *Laurus ; Environmental Monitoring ; Biodiversity ; }, abstract = {Today, climate change affects all living things on earth. It also leads to serious losses in terms of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human welfare. In this context, Laurus nobilis L. is a very important species for Turkey, and the Mediterranean countries. This research aimed to simulate the current distribution of the suitable habitat for L. nobilis in Turkey and to predict its possible range shifts in future climate scenarios. To predict the geographical distribution of L. nobilis, the study used the maximum-entropy algorithm-based MaxEnt 3.4.1 with seven bioclimatic variables created using the Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4) and the prediction models RCP4.5-8.5 for the years 2050-2070. The results indicated that the most important bioclimatic variables that shape the distribution of L. nobilis are BIO11-mean temperature of coldest quarter, and BIO7-annual temperature range. Two climate change scenarios predicted that the geographical distribution of L. nobilis would increase slightly and then decrease in the future. However, the spatial change analysis showed that the general geographical distribution area of L. nobilis did not change significantly, but the "moderate," "high," and "very high" suitable habitats changed towards "low" suitable habitats. These changes were particularly effective in Turkey's Mediterranean region, which shows that climate change is instrumental in determining the future of the Mediterranean ecosystem. Therefore, suitability mapping and change analysis of potential future bioclimatic habitats can help in planning for land use, conservation, and ecological restoration of L. nobilis.}, }
@article {pmid36897456, year = {2023}, author = {Huang, S and Zhang, W and Hong, Z and Yuan, Y and Tan, Z and Wang, Y and Chen, Z and Zheng, J and Zhang, Z and Zhang, L and Chen, M}, title = {Geographic distribution and impacts of climate change on the suitable habitats of Glycyrrhiza species in China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36897456}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change has a major impact on the growth and distribution of plants. Glycyrrhiza is widely used in the treatment of many diseases in China. However, with the overexploitation and the growing demand for medicinal uses in of Glycyrrhiza plants. The investigation of the geographical distribution of Glycyrrhiza plants and the analysis of future climate change are of great significance for the conservation of Glycyrrhiza. In this study, combined with administrative maps of Chinese provinces, the present and future of geographical distribution and richness of six Glycyrrhiza plants in China were studied by using DIVA-GIS and MaxEnt software. A total of 981 herbarium records of these six species of Glycyrrhiza were collected to research. Results show that the change of climate in the future will lead to an increase in habitat suitability for some Glycyrrhiza species as follows: Glycyrrhiza inflata by 61.6%, Glycyrrhiza squamulosa by 47.5%, Glycyrrhiza pallidiflora by 34.0%, Glycyrrhiza yunnanensis by 49.0%, Glycyrrhiza glabra by 51.7%, and Glycyrrhiza aspera by 65.9%. Glycyrrhiza plants have considerable medicinal and economic value, so it is necessary to adopt targeted development and rational management strategies for it.}, }
@article {pmid36897442, year = {2023}, author = {Fu, L and Xu, Y and Zhao, D and Wu, B and Xu, Z}, title = {Analysis of coniferous tree growth gradients in relation to regional pollution and climate change in the Miyun Reservoir Basin, China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36897442}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Forests play a crucial role in regulating regional climate and mitigating local air pollution, but little is known about their responding to such changes. This study aimed to examine the potential responses of Pinus tabuliformis, the major coniferous tree species in the Miyun Reservoir Basin (MRB), along an air pollution gradient in Beijing. Tree rings were collected along a transect, and ring width (basal area increment, BAI) and chemical characteristics were determined and related to long-term climatic and environmental records. The results showed that Pinus tabuliformis showed an overall increase in intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) at all sites, but the relationships between iWUE and BAI differed among the sites. The contribution of atmospheric CO2 concentration (ca) to tree growth was significant at the remote sites (> 90%). The study found that air pollution at these sites might have caused further stomatal closure, as evidenced by the higher δ[13]C levels (0.5 to 1‰ higher) during heavy pollution periods. The analysis of tree ring δ[15]N also revealed the potential of using δ[15]N to fingerprint major nitrogen (N) deposition, as shown in the increasing tree ring δ[15]N, and major nitrogen losses due to denitrification and leaching, as shown in the higher δ[15]N in tree rings during heavy rainfall events. Overall, the gradient analysis indicated the contributions of increasing ca, increasing water deficit and elevated air pollution to tree growth and forest development. The different BAI trajectories suggested that Pinus tabuliformis has the ability to adapt to the harsh environment in the MRB.}, }
@article {pmid36897273, year = {2023}, author = {Mathias, JM and Smith, KR and Lantz, KE and Allen, KT and Wright, MJ and Sabet, A and Anderson-Teixeira, KJ and Thomas, RB}, title = {Differences in leaf gas exchange strategies explain Quercus rubra and Liriodendron tulipifera intrinsic water use efficiency responses to air pollution and climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16673}, pmid = {36897273}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Trees continuously regulate leaf physiology to acquire CO2 while simultaneously avoiding excessive water loss. The balance between these two processes, or water use efficiency (WUE), is fundamentally important to understanding changes in carbon uptake and transpiration from the leaf to the globe under environmental change. While increasing atmospheric CO2 (iCO2) is known to increase tree intrinsic water use efficiency (iWUE), less clear are the additional impacts of climate and acidic air pollution and how they vary by tree species. Here, we couple annually resolved long-term records of tree-ring carbon isotope signatures with leaf physiological measurements of Quercus rubra (Quru) and Liriodendron tulipifera (Litu) at four study locations spanning nearly 100 km in the eastern United States to reconstruct historical iWUE, net photosynthesis (Anet), and stomatal conductance to water (gs) since 1940. We first show 16%-25% increases in tree iWUE since the mid-20th century, primarily driven by iCO2 , but also document the individual and interactive effects of nitrogen (NOx) and sulfur (SO2) air pollution overwhelming climate. We find evidence for Quru leaf gas exchange being less tightly regulated than Litu through an analysis of isotope-derived leaf internal CO2 (Ci), particularly in wetter, recent years. Modeled estimates of seasonally integrated Anet and gs revealed a 43%-50% stimulation of Anet was responsible for increasing iWUE in both tree species throughout 79%-86% of the chronologies with reductions in gs attributable to the remaining 14%-21%, building upon a growing body of literature documenting stimulated Anet overwhelming reductions in gs as a primary mechanism of increasing iWUE of trees. Finally, our results underscore the importance of considering air pollution, which remains a major environmental issue in many areas of the world, alongside climate in the interpretation of leaf physiology derived from tree rings.}, }
@article {pmid36895654, year = {2023}, author = {Duan, H and Ming, X and Zhang, XB and Sterner, T and Wang, S}, title = {China's adaptive response to climate change through air-conditioning.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {26}, number = {3}, pages = {106178}, pmid = {36895654}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Studies have shown that the soaring demand for air conditioners in recent years is closely related to the worsening global warming; however, little evidence has been provided for China. This study uses weekly data of 343 Chinese cities to investigate how air conditioner sales respond to climate variability. We detected a U-shaped relationship between air-conditioning and temperature. An additional day with average temperature above 30°C increases weekly sales by 16.2%. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the adoption of air-conditioning is different for south and north China. By combining our estimates with shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios, we project China's mid-century air conditioner sales and the resulting electricity demand. Under the fossil-fueled development scenario, air conditioner sales in the Pearl River Delta would rise by 71% (65.7%-87.6%) in summer. On average, the per capita electricity demand for air-conditioning will surge by 28% (23.2%-35.4%) in China by mid-century.}, }
@article {pmid36895343, year = {2023}, author = {Wubneh, MA and Worku, TA and Chekol, BZ}, title = {Climate change impact on water resources availability in the kiltie watershed, Lake Tana sub-basin, Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {3}, pages = {e13941}, pmid = {36895343}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Climate change's influence on water resource availability in watersheds must be evaluated to ensure food and water security. Using an ensemble of two global climate models (MIROC and MPI) and one regional climate model (RCA4), the impact of climate change on the availability of water in the Kiltie watershed was evaluated under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios for the year 2040s and 2070s. The flow was simulated using the HBV hydrological model, which needs fewer data and is typically employed in data-scarce settings. The model calibration and validation result, show RVE (relative volume error) of -1.27% and 6.93%, and NSE of 0.63 and 0.64 respectively. Seasonal Water Supply in the Future Under the RCP4.5 Scenario for the 2040s increased between 1.1 mm and 33.2 mm showing maximum incremental in August and a decrease in a range from 0.23 mm to 6.89 mm with a maximum decrease in September. While in the 2070s, water availability increases between 7.2 mm and 56.9 mm, with the largest increases occurring in October and the smallest reductions occurring in July by 9 mm. Future water availability increases under the RCP8.5 scenario during the 2040s period between 4.1 mm and 38.8 mm, with the highest increase occurring in August, and falls between 9.8 mm and 31.2 mm, with the maximum declines occurring in the spring seasons. Water availability in the 2070s, according to the RCP8.5 scenario, increases between 2.7 mm and 42.4 mm with the highest increments in August, and it decreases between 1.8 mm and 80.3 mm with maximum decreases in June. According to this study, climate change would make it easier to access water during the rainy season, necessitating the construction of water storage facilities so that surplus water can be used for dry farming. A watershed-level integrated water resource management strategy should be created quickly as future water supply will decline during the dry seasons.}, }
@article {pmid36894073, year = {2023}, author = {Worischka, S and Schöll, F and Winkelmann, C and Petzoldt, T}, title = {Twenty-eight years of ecosystem recovery and destabilisation: Impacts of biological invasions and climate change on a temperate river.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162678}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162678}, pmid = {36894073}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Most river ecosystems are exposed to multiple anthropogenic stressors affecting the composition and functionality of benthic communities. Identifying main causes and detecting potentially alarming trends in time depends on the availability of long-term monitoring data sets. Our study aimed to improve the knowledge about community effects of multiple stressors that is needed for effective, sustainable management and conservation. We conducted a causal analysis to detect the dominant stressors and hypothesised that multiple stressors, such as climate change and multiple biological invasions, reduce biodiversity and thus endanger ecosystem stability. Using a data set from 1992 to 2019 for the benthic macroinvertebrate community of a 65-km stretch of the upper Elbe river in Germany, we evaluated the effects of alien species, temperature, discharge, phosphorus, pH and abiotic conditional variables on the taxonomic and functional composition of the benthic community and analysed the temporal behaviour of biodiversity metrics. We observed fundamental taxonomic and functional changes in the community, with a shift from collectors/gatherers to filter feeders and feeding opportunists preferring warm temperatures. A partial dbRDA revealed significant effects of temperature and alien species abundance and richness. The occurrence of distinct phases in the development of community metrics suggests a temporally varying impact of different stressors. Taxonomic and functional richness responded more sensitively than the diversity metrics whereas the functional redundancy metric remained unchanged. Especially the last 10-year phase, however, showed a decline in richness metrics and an unsaturated, linear relationship between taxonomic and functional richness, which rather indicates reduced functional redundancy. We conclude that the varying anthropogenic stressors over three decades, mainly biological invasions and climate change, affected the community severely enough to increase its vulnerability to future stressors. Our study highlights the importance of long-term monitoring data and emphasises a careful use of biodiversity metrics, preferably considering also community composition.}, }
@article {pmid36893542, year = {2023}, author = {Nourani, V and Ghareh Tapeh, AH and Khodkar, K and Huang, JJ}, title = {Assessing long-term climate change impact on spatiotemporal changes of groundwater level using autoregressive-based and ensemble machine learning models.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117653}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117653}, pmid = {36893542}, issn = {1095-8630}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Groundwater ; Computer Simulation ; Neural Networks, Computer ; Iran ; }, abstract = {To evaluate the long-term climate change impacts on groundwater fluctuations of the Ardabil plain, Iran, a groundwater level (GWL) modeling was proposed in this study. Accordingly, the outputs of Global Climate Models (GCMs) under the sixth report of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and future scenario of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5), were used as climate change forcing to the Machine learning (ML) models. The GCM data were first downscaled and projected for the future via Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Based on the results, compared to 2014 (the last year of the base period), the mean annual temperature may increase by 0.8 °C per decade until 2100. On the other hand, the mean precipitation may decrease by about 8% compared to the base period. Then, the centroid wells of clusters were modeled by Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN), examining different input combination sets to simulate both autoregressive and non-autoregressive models. Since each of the ML models can extract different kinds of information from a dataset, after finding the dominant input set via FFNN, GWL time series were modeled via various ML methods. The modeling results indicated that the ensemble of shallow ML models could lead to a 6% more accurate outcome than the individual shallow ML models, and 4% than the deep learning models. Also, the simulation results for future GWLs illustrated that temperature can impact groundwater oscillations directly, whereas precipitation may not have uniform impacts on the GWLs. The uncertainty evolving in the modeling process was quantified and observed to be in acceptable range. Modeling results showed that the main reason for the declining GWL in the Ardabil plain could be primarily linked to the excessive exploitation of the water table, while climate change impact could be also notable.}, }
@article {pmid36893538, year = {2023}, author = {Brilli, L and Martin, R and Argenti, G and Bassignana, M and Bindi, M and Bonet, R and Choler, P and Cremonese, E and Della Vedova, M and Dibari, C and Filippa, G and Galvagno, M and Leolini, L and Moriondo, M and Piccot, A and Stendardi, L and Targetti, S and Bellocchi, G}, title = {Uncertainties in the adaptation of alpine pastures to climate change based on remote sensing products and modelling.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117575}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117575}, pmid = {36893538}, issn = {1095-8630}, mesh = {*Grassland ; *Remote Sensing Technology ; Climate Change ; Biomass ; Acclimatization ; }, abstract = {Over the last century, the management of pastoral systems has undergone major changes to meet the livelihood needs of alpine communities. Faced with the changes induced by recent global warming, the ecological status of many pastoral systems has seriously deteriorated in the western alpine region. We assessed changes in pasture dynamics by integrating information from remote-sensing products and two process-based models, i.e. the grassland-specific, biogeochemical growth model PaSim and the generic crop-growth model DayCent. Meteorological observations and satellite-derived Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) trajectories of three pasture macro-types (high, medium and low productivity classes) in two study areas - Parc National des Écrins (PNE) in France and Parco Nazionale Gran Paradiso (PNGP) in Italy - were used as a basis for the model calibration work. The performance of the models was satisfactory in reproducing pasture production dynamics (R[2] = 0.52 to 0.83). Projected changes in alpine pastures due to climate-change impacts and adaptation strategies indicate that: i) the length of the growing season is expected to increase between 15 and 40 days, resulting in changes in the timing and amount of biomass production, ii) summer water stress could limit pasture productivity; iii) earlier onset of grazing could enhance pasture productivity; iv) higher livestock densities could increase the rate of biomass regrowth, but major uncertainties in modelling processes need to be considered; and v) the carbon sequestration potential of pastures could decrease under limited water availability and warming.}, }
@article {pmid36893164, year = {2023}, author = {Villa, V and Bermeo, N and Zazzo, A and Lefèvre, C and Béarez, P and Correa, D and Dufour, E and Manin, A and Dausse, L and Gutiérrez, B and Vásquez, S and Christol, A and Bahain, JJ and Goepfert, N}, title = {Settlement dynamics, subsistence economies and climate change during the late Holocene at Nunura Bay (Sechura Desert, Peru): A multiproxy approach.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0281545}, pmid = {36893164}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Humans ; Peru ; *Climate Change ; *Bays ; Pacific Ocean ; Ecuador ; }, abstract = {Long considered on the margins, far from the major cultural traditions, the Sechura Desert is situated at the crossroads between the cultures of southern Ecuador and those of the northern Peruvian coast and preserves a large number of varied archaeological sites. Despite this evidence, little is known about the societies that inhabited this region during the Holocene. Exposed to natural hazards, including El Niño events, and to major climatic changes, they were able to adapt and exploit the scarce resources that this extreme environment offered them. Because of this rich history, we have been conducting archaeological research in this region since 2012 in order to clarify the dynamics of human occupation and their links with climate oscillations and environmental changes. This paper present the results of a multidisciplinary study of Huaca Grande, a mound located on Nunura Bay, 300 m from the Pacific Ocean. The nature of the human occupations at Huaca Grande was varied, and several adjustments occurred over time. The subsistence economy was based mainly on local marine resources and a continual use of terrestrial vegetal resources. However, a major change occurred in the more recent occupations, with the apparition of non-local resources (maize and cotton) indicating that Huaca Grande was connected to trade networks. The results show two main phases of occupation separated by a long abandonment (mid-5th century CE to mid-7th century CE and mid-13th century to mid-15th century CE). The occupation of the site appears to have been influenced by changes in the local climate and by extreme El Niño events. Our results highlight the great adaptability of these human groups over the span of a millennium and their capacity to react to the climatic changes and hazards that characterise this region.}, }
@article {pmid36890141, year = {2023}, author = {Liang, H and You, F}, title = {Reshoring silicon photovoltaics manufacturing contributes to decarbonization and climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1274}, pmid = {36890141}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {The globalized supply chain for crystalline silicon (c-Si) photovoltaic (PV) panels is increasingly fragile, as the now-mundane freight crisis and other geopolitical risks threaten to postpone major PV projects. Here, we study and report the results of climate change implications of reshoring solar panel manufacturing as a robust and resilient strategy to reduce reliance on foreign PV panel supplies. We project that if the U.S. could fully bring c-Si PV panel manufacturing back home by 2035, the estimated greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption would be 30% and 13% lower, respectively, than having relied on global imports in 2020, as solar power emerges as a major renewable energy source. If the reshored manufacturing target is achieved by 2050, the climate change and energy impacts would be further reduced by 33% and 17%, compared to the 2020 level. The reshored manufacturing demonstrates significant progress in domestic competitiveness and toward decarbonization goals, and the positive reductions in climate change impacts align with the climate target.}, }
@article {pmid36889865, year = {2023}, author = {Henritze, E and Goldman, S and Simon, S and Brown, AD}, title = {Moral injury as an inclusive mental health framework for addressing climate change distress and promoting justice-oriented care.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {3}, pages = {e238-e241}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00335-7}, pmid = {36889865}, issn = {2542-5196}, mesh = {Humans ; *Mental Health ; Morals ; *Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic ; Climate Change ; Social Justice ; }, abstract = {The unequal exposure to clinical conditions and other psychological responses associated with climate change and ecological degradation is due to resource access, geographical location, and other systemic factors. Ecological distress is further determined by values, beliefs, identity presentations, and group affiliations. Current models, such as climate anxiety, have made helpful distinctions between impairment and cognitive-emotional processes but obscure underlying ethical dilemmas and fundamental inequalities, restricting our understanding of accountability and the distress emerging from intergroup dynamics. In this Viewpoint, we argue that the concept of moral injury is essential because it foregrounds social position and ethics. It identifies spectrums of both agency and responsibility (guilt, shame, and anger) and powerlessness (depression, grief, and betrayal). The moral injury framework thus goes beyond an acontextual definition of wellbeing to identify how differential access to political power influences the diversity of psychological responses and conditions related to climate change and ecological degradation. A moral injury lens supports clinicians and policy makers to transform despair and stasis into care and action by delineating both the psychological and structural elements that determine the possibilities (and limits) of individual and community agency.}, }
@article {pmid36889409, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, G and Tian, S and Wang, Y and Liang, R and Li, K}, title = {Quantitative assessment methodology framework of the impact of global climate change on the aquatic habitat of warm-water fish species in rivers.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {875}, number = {}, pages = {162686}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162686}, pmid = {36889409}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global climate change (GCC), with global warming as the main characteristic, has become a global issue widely concerned by people. GCC impacts the hydrological regime at the watershed scale and affects the hydrodynamic force and the habitat conditions of freshwater ecosystems at the river scale. The impact of GCC on water resources and the water cycle is a research hotspot. However, there are few studies on water environment ecology related to hydrology and the influence of changes in discharge and water temperature on warm-water fish habitats. This study proposes a quantitative assessment methodology framework for predicting and analyzing the impact of GCC on the warm-water fish habitat. This system integrates GCC, downscaling, hydrological, hydrodynamic, water temperature and habitat models and was applied to the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River (MLHR), where there are four major Chinese carps resource reduction problems. The results showed that the calibration and validation of the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) and the hydrological, hydrodynamic, and water temperature models were carried out using the observed meteorological factors, discharge, water level, flow velocity and water temperature data. The change rule of the simulated value was in good agreement with the observed value, and the models and methods used in the quantitative assessment methodology framework were applicable and accurate. The rise of water temperature caused by GCC will ease the problem of low-temperature water in the MLHR, and the weighted usable area (WUA) for spawning of the four major Chinese carps will appear in advance. Meanwhile, the increase in future annual discharge will play a positive role in WUA. In general, the rise in confluence discharge and water temperature caused by GCC will increase WUA, which is beneficial to the spawning ground of four major Chinese carps.}, }
@article {pmid36889403, year = {2023}, author = {Sharma, S and Sharma, V and Chatterjee, S}, title = {Contribution of plastic and microplastic to global climate change and their conjoining impacts on the environment - A review.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {875}, number = {}, pages = {162627}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162627}, pmid = {36889403}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Plastics are fossil fuel-derived products. The emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) during different processes involved in the lifecycle of plastic-related products are a significant threat to the environment as it contributes to global temperature rise. By 2050, a high volume of plastic production will be responsible for up to 13 % of our planet's total carbon budget. The global emissions of GHG and their persistence in the environment have depleted Earth's residual carbon resources and have generated an alarming feedback loop. Each year at least 8 million tonnes of discarded plastics are entering our oceans, creating concerns regarding plastic toxicity on marine biota as they end up in the food chain and ultimately affect human health. The unsuccessful management of plastic waste and its presence on the riverbanks, coastlines, and landscapes leads to the emission of a higher percentage of GHG in the atmosphere. The persistence of microplastics is also a significant threat to the fragile and extreme ecosystem containing diverse life forms with low genetic variation, making them vulnerable to climatic change. In this review, we have categorically discussed the contribution of plastic and plastic waste to global climate change covering the current plastic production and future trends, the types of plastics and plastic materials used globally, plastic lifecycle and GHG emission, and how microplastics become a major threat to ocean carbon sequestration and marine health. The conjoining impact of plastic pollution and climate change on the environment and human health has also been discussed in detail. In the end, we have also discussed some strategies to reduce the climate impact of plastics.}, }
@article {pmid36889019, year = {2023}, author = {Lamy, K and Tran, A and Portafaix, T and Leroux, MD and Baldet, T}, title = {Impact of regional climate change on the mosquito vector Aedes albopictus in a tropical island environment: La Réunion.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {875}, number = {}, pages = {162484}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162484}, pmid = {36889019}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The recent expansion of Aedes albopictus across continents in both tropical and temperate regions and the exponential growth of dengue cases over the past 50 years represent a significant risk to human health. Although climate change is not the only factor responsible for the increase and spread of dengue cases worldwide, it might increase the risk of disease transmission at global and regional scale. Here we show that regional and local variations in climate can induce differential impacts on the abundance of Ae. albopictus. We use the instructive example of Réunion Island with its varied climatic and environmental conditions and benefiting from the availability of meteorological, climatic, entomological and epidemiological data. Temperature and precipitation data based on regional climate model simulations (3 km × 3 km) are used as inputs to a mosquito population model for three different climate emission scenarios. Our objective is to study the impact of climate change on the life cycle dynamics of Ae. albopictus in the 2070-2100 time horizon. Our results show the joint influence of temperature and precipitation on Ae. albopictus abundance as a function of elevation and geographical subregion. At low-elevations areas, decreasing precipitation is expected to have a negative impact on environmental carrying capacity and, consequently, on Ae. albopictus abundance. At mid- and high-elevations, decreasing precipitation is expected to be counterbalanced by a significant warming, leading to faster development rates at all life stages, and consequently increasing the abundance of this important dengue vector in 2070-2100.}, }
@article {pmid36884328, year = {2023}, author = {Morello-Frosch, R and Obasogie, OK}, title = {The Climate Gap and the Color Line - Racial Health Inequities and Climate Change.}, journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, volume = {388}, number = {10}, pages = {943-949}, doi = {10.1056/NEJMsb2213250}, pmid = {36884328}, issn = {1533-4406}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Ethnic and Racial Minorities ; *Health Inequities ; Racial Groups ; *Social Determinants of Health ; White People ; }, }
@article {pmid36883779, year = {2023}, author = {Ferreira, IJM and Campanharo, WA and Fonseca, MG and Escada, MIS and Nascimento, MT and Villela, DM and Brancalion, P and Magnago, LFS and Anderson, LO and Nagy, L and Aragão, LEOC}, title = {Potential aboveground biomass increase in Brazilian Atlantic Forest fragments with climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16670}, pmid = {36883779}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Fragmented tropical forest landscapes preserve much of the remaining biodiversity and carbon stocks. Climate change is expected to intensify droughts and increase fire hazard and fire intensities, thereby causing habitat deterioration, and losses of biodiversity and carbon stock losses. Understanding the trajectories that these landscapes may follow under increased climate pressure is imperative for establishing strategies for conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Here, we used a quantitative predictive modelling approach to project the spatial distribution of the aboveground biomass density (AGB) by the end of the 21st century across the Brazilian Atlantic Forest (AF) domain. To develop the models, we used the maximum entropy method with projected climate data to 2100, based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 from the fifth Assessment Report. Our AGB models had a satisfactory performance (area under the curve > 0.75 and p value < .05). The models projected a significant increase of 8.5% in the total carbon stock. Overall, the projections indicated that 76.9% of the AF domain would have suitable climatic conditions for increasing biomass by 2100 considering the RCP 4.5 scenario, in the absence of deforestation. Of the existing forest fragments, 34.7% are projected to increase their AGB, while 2.6% are projected to have their AGB reduced by 2100. The regions likely to lose most AGB-up to 40% compared to the baseline-are found between latitudes 13° and 20° south. Overall, although climate change effects on AGB vary latitudinally for the 2071-2100 period under the RCP 4.5 scenario, our model indicates that AGB stocks can potentially increase across a large fraction of the AF. The patterns found here are recommended to be taken into consideration during the planning of restoration efforts, as part of climate change mitigation strategies in the AF and elsewhere in Brazil.}, }
@article {pmid36880894, year = {2023}, author = {Belgrano, A and Lindmark, M}, title = {Biodiversity transformations in the global ocean: A climate change and conservation management perspective.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16665}, pmid = {36880894}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Understanding the biological diversity of different communities and evaluating the risks to biological sustainability in a time of rapid environmental change is a key challenge for providing an adapting management approach for biodiversity transformations in the ocean linked to human well-being. (Photo credit: Andrea Belgrano).}, }
@article {pmid36876093, year = {2023}, author = {Kim, HH and Laufkötter, C and Lovato, T and Doney, SC and Ducklow, HW}, title = {Projected 21st-century changes in marine heterotrophic bacteria under climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1049579}, pmid = {36876093}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {Marine heterotrophic Bacteria (or referred to as bacteria) play an important role in the ocean carbon cycle by utilizing, respiring, and remineralizing organic matter exported from the surface to deep ocean. Here, we investigate the responses of bacteria to climate change using a three-dimensional coupled ocean biogeochemical model with explicit bacterial dynamics as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. First, we assess the credibility of the century-scale projections (2015-2099) of bacterial carbon stock and rates in the upper 100 m layer using skill scores and compilations of the measurements for the contemporary period (1988-2011). Second, we demonstrate that across different climate scenarios, the simulated bacterial biomass trends (2076-2099) are sensitive to the regional trends in temperature and organic carbon stocks. Bacterial carbon biomass declines by 5-10% globally, while it increases by 3-5% in the Southern Ocean where semi-labile dissolved organic carbon (DOC) stocks are relatively low and particle-attached bacteria dominate. While a full analysis of drivers underpinning the simulated changes in all bacterial stock and rates is not possible due to data constraints, we investigate the mechanisms of the changes in DOC uptake rates of free-living bacteria using the first-order Taylor decomposition. The results demonstrate that the increase in semi-labile DOC stocks drives the increase in DOC uptake rates in the Southern Ocean, while the increase in temperature drives the increase in DOC uptake rates in the northern high and low latitudes. Our study provides a systematic analysis of bacteria at global scale and a critical step toward a better understanding of how bacteria affect the functioning of the biological carbon pump and partitioning of organic carbon pools between surface and deep layers.}, }
@article {pmid36875405, year = {2023}, author = {Korfanty, G and Heifetz, E and Xu, J}, title = {Assessing thermal adaptation of a global sample of Aspergillus fumigatus: Implications for climate change effects.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {1059238}, pmid = {36875405}, issn = {2296-2565}, mesh = {Humans ; *Aspergillus fumigatus ; *Climate Change ; Canada ; China ; Costa Rica ; }, abstract = {Aspergillus fumigatus is a common environmental mold and a major cause of opportunistic infections in humans. It's distributed among many ecological niches across the globe. A major virulence factor of A. fumigatus is its ability to grow at high temperature. However, at present, little is known about variations among strains in their growth at different temperatures and how their geographic origins may impact such variations. In this study, we analyzed 89 strains from 12 countries (Cameroon, Canada, China, Costa Rica, France, India, Iceland, Ireland, New Zealand, Peru, Saudi Arabia, and USA) representing diverse geographic locations and temperature environments. Each strain was grown at four temperatures and genotyped at nine microsatellite loci. Our analyses revealed a range of growth profiles, with significant variations among strains within individual geographic populations in their growths across the temperatures. No statistically significant association was observed between strain genotypes and their thermal growth profiles. Similarly geographic separation contributed little to differences in thermal adaptations among strains and populations. The combined analyses among genotypes and growth rates at different temperatures in the global sample suggest that most natural populations of A. fumigatus are capable of rapid adaptation to temperature changes. We discuss the implications of our results to the evolution and epidemiology of A. fumigatus under increasing climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36874965, year = {2023}, author = {Gonçalves, GSR and Cerqueira, PV and Silva, DP and Gomes, LB and Leão, CF and de Andrade, AFA and Santos, MPD}, title = {Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e14882}, pmid = {36874965}, issn = {2167-8359}, mesh = {Animals ; Brazil ; *Climate Change ; *Birds ; Ecosystem ; Fever ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global shifts in climatic patterns have been recorded over the last decades. Such modifications mainly correspond to increased temperatures and rainfall regime changes, which are becoming more variable and extreme.<br><br>METHODS: We aimed to evaluate the impact of future changes in climatic patterns on the distribution of 19 endemic or threatened bird taxa of the Caatinga. We assessed whether current protected areas (PAs) are adequate and whether they will maintain their effectiveness in the future. Also, we identified climatically stable areas that might work as refugia for an array of species.<br><br>RESULTS: We observed that 84% and 87% of the bird species of Caatinga analyzed in this study will face high area losses in their predicted range distribution areas in future scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively). We also observed that the current PAs in Caatinga are ineffective in protecting these species in both present and future scenarios, even when considering all protection area categories. However, several suitable areas can still be allocated for conservation, where there are vegetation remnants and a high amount of species. Therefore, our study paves a path for conservation actions to mitigate current and future extinctions due to climate change by choosing more suitable protection areas.}, }
@article {pmid36873423, year = {2023}, author = {Limaye, VS and Magal, A and Joshi, J and Maji, S and Dutta, P and Rajput, P and Pingle, S and Madan, P and Mukerjee, P and Bano, S and Beig, G and Mavalankar, D and Jaiswal, A and Knowlton, K}, title = {Air quality and health co-benefits of climate change mitigation and adaptation actions by 2030: an interdisciplinary modeling study in Ahmedabad, India.}, journal = {Environmental research, health : ERH}, volume = {1}, number = {2}, pages = {021003}, pmid = {36873423}, issn = {2752-5309}, abstract = {Climate change-driven temperature increases worsen air quality in places where coal combustion powers electricity for air conditioning. Climate solutions that substitute clean and renewable energy in place of polluting coal and promote adaptation to warming through reflective cool roofs can reduce cooling energy demand in buildings, lower power sector carbon emissions, and improve air quality and health. We investigate the air quality and health co-benefits of climate solutions in Ahmedabad, India-a city where air pollution levels exceed national health-based standards-through an interdisciplinary modeling approach. Using a 2018 baseline, we quantify changes in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution and all-cause mortality in 2030 from increasing renewable energy use (mitigation) and expanding Ahmedabad's cool roofs heat resilience program (adaptation). We apply local demographic and health data and compare a 2030 mitigation and adaptation (M&amp;A) scenario to a 2030 business-as-usual (BAU) scenario (without climate change response actions), each relative to 2018 pollution levels. We estimate that the 2030 BAU scenario results in an increase of PM2.5 air pollution of 4.13 µg m[-3] from 2018 compared to a 0.11 µg m[-3] decline from 2018 under the 2030 M&amp;A scenario. Reduced PM2.5 air pollution under 2030 M&amp;A results in 1216-1414 fewer premature all-cause deaths annually compared to 2030 BAU. Achievement of National Clean Air Programme, National Ambient Air Quality Standards, or World Health Organization annual PM2.5 Air Quality Guideline targets in 2030 results in up to 6510, 9047, or 17 369 fewer annual deaths, respectively, relative to 2030 BAU. This comprehensive modeling method is adaptable to estimate local air quality and health co-benefits in other settings by integrating climate, energy, cooling, land cover, air pollution, and health data. Our findings demonstrate that city-level climate change response policies can achieve substantial air quality and health co-benefits. Such work can inform public discourse on the near-term health benefits of mitigation and adaptation.}, }
@article {pmid36872918, year = {2022}, author = {Kandikuppa, S and Gray, C}, title = {Climate Change and Household Debt in Rural India.}, journal = {Climatic change}, volume = {173}, number = {3-4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36872918}, issn = {0165-0009}, support = {P2C HD050924/HD/NICHD NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {Climate change and indebtedness have been repeatedly highlighted as major causes of distress for rural households in India. However, despite the close connection between climate conditions and rural livelihoods, there has been little attempt to systematically examine the association between the two. To address this gap, we combine national-level longitudinal data from IHDS, MERRA-2, and the Indian Ministry of Agriculture to study the impact of climate anomalies on household indebtedness across rural India. Using a longitudinal approach that accounts for potential confounders at household, village, and district levels, we find pervasive effects of season-specific, five-year climate anomalies on multiple dimensions of household debt, particularly in arid and semi-arid areas. Most notably, temperature anomalies in the winter cropping season in arid and semi-arid areas are associated with increasing household indebtedness. We further find that climate change interacts with existing socioeconomic differences-caste and landholding in particular-to deepen both the size and the depth of indebtedness for rural households.}, }
@article {pmid36872915, year = {2023}, author = {Cubelo, F}, title = {Internationally educated nurses' role in climate change: sustainability and mitigation practices.}, journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/phn.13185}, pmid = {36872915}, issn = {1525-1446}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: There are three related factors affecting climate change and its relationship to the migration of IENs: 1) corporate social responsibility; 2) the code of ethics for nurses; and 3) nursing education. As the highest producer of carbon dioxide emissions, the Global North especially the Nordic Region must also consider its climate change responsibilities when recruiting nurses from the Global South.<br><br>AIM: The aim of this article is to discuss the factors affecting climate change and its relationship to the migration of IENs, as well as possible solutions to mitigate its impact.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate change is impacted indirectly by the movement of internationally educated nurses (IENs). The Nordic countries need to consider checking climate change measures in the sustainability plans for recruitment companies when approving permits allowing the recruitment of nurses.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Policymakers and decision-makers need to consider climate change and GHG emissions factors when collaborating with recruitment agencies to recruit IENs from the Global South. International nurse recruitment policies must be ethical, economically sustainable, and planet-centered.}, }
@article {pmid36872563, year = {2023}, author = {Baecher, JA and Johnson, SA and Roznik, EA and Scheffers, BR}, title = {Experimental evaluation of how biological invasions and climate change interact to alter the vertical assembly of an amphibian community.}, journal = {The Journal of animal ecology}, volume = {92}, number = {4}, pages = {875-888}, doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.13899}, pmid = {36872563}, issn = {1365-2656}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Introduced Species ; Anura ; }, abstract = {While biotic-abiotic interactions are increasingly documented in nature, a process-based understanding of how such interactions influence community assembly is lacking in the ecological literature. Perhaps the most emblematic and pervasive example of such interactions is the synergistic threat to biodiversity posed by climate change and invasive species. Invasive species often out-compete or prey on native species. Despite this long-standing and widespread issue, little is known about how abiotic conditions, such as climate change, will influence the frequency and severity of negative biotic interactions that threaten the persistence of native fauna. Treefrogs are a globally diverse group of amphibians that climb to complete life-cycle processes, such as foraging and reproduction, as well as to evade predators and competitors, resulting in frog communities that are vertically partitioned. Furthermore, treefrogs adjust their vertical position to maintain optimal body temperature and hydration in response to environmental change. Here, utilizing this model group, we designed a novel experiment to determine how extrinsic abiotic and biotic factors (changes to water availability and an introduced predator, respectively) interact with intrinsic biological traits, such as individual physiology and behaviour, to influence treefrogs' vertical niche. Our study found that treefrogs adjusted their vertical niche through displacement behaviours in accordance with abiotic resources. However, biotic interactions resulted in native treefrogs distancing themselves from abiotic resources to avoid the non-native species. Importantly, under altered abiotic conditions, both native species avoided the non-native species 33 %- 70 % more than they avoided their native counterpart. Additionally, exposure to the non-native species resulted in native species altering their tree climbing behaviours by 56 % - 78 % and becoming more vertically dynamic to avoid the non-native antagonist. Our experiment determined that vertical niche selection and community interactions were most accurately represented by a biotic-abiotic interaction model, rather than a model that considers these factors to operate in an isolated (singular) or even additive manner. Our study provides evidence that native species may be resilient to interacting disturbances via physiological adaptations to local climate and plasticity in space-use behaviours that mediate the impact of the introduced predator.}, }
@article {pmid36871708, year = {2023}, author = {Sapkota, Y and Bargu, S and White, JR}, title = {Temporally-displaced Mississippi River spring flood pulse shows muted aquatic ecosystem response in estuarine waters: A climate change warning for coastal foodwebs.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {874}, number = {}, pages = {162623}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162623}, pmid = {36871708}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Mississippi River water levels typically rise in the early spring after snow melt in the extensive watershed. However, in 2016, warm air temperatures coupled with high precipitation led to a historically early river flood pulse, resulting in the opening of a flood release valve (Bonnet Carré Spillway) in early January to protect the city of New Orleans, Louisiana. The goal of this research was to determine the ecosystem response of this wintertime nutrient flood pulse on the receiving estuarine system and compare it to historical opening responses, which are generally several months later. Nutrients, TSS, and Chl a were measured along a 30 km transect in the Lake Pontchartrain estuary, before, during, and after the river diversion event. In the past, NOx concentrations were quickly reduced to below detection in the estuary in <4 weeks post-event accompanied by a moderate phytoplankton bloom. However, due to seasonal limitations (cold water temperatures and light limitation) during the 2016 event, NOx remained elevated for >2 months post-closure and Chl a values were low, indicating limited assimilation of nutrients into phytoplankton biomass. Consequently, much of the bioavailable nitrogen was denitrified by sediments and dispersed to the coastal ocean over time, limiting the transfer of nutrients into the food web by means of a spring phytoplankton bloom. An increasing warming trend in temperate and polar river watersheds is leading to earlier spring flood pulses, altering the timing of coastal nutrient transport, decoupled from conditions supporting primary production, which could significantly affect coastal food webs.}, }
@article {pmid36871610, year = {2023}, author = {Heffernan, ME and Menker, C and Bendelow, A and Smith, TL and Davis, MM}, title = {Parental Concerns about Climate Change in a Major US City.}, journal = {Academic pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.acap.2023.02.015}, pmid = {36871610}, issn = {1876-2867}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To examine climate change concerns among parents in Chicago - a large and diverse urban setting that experiences climate change-related weather events and rising water levels, which have the potential to affect more than 1 million children living in the city.<br><br>METHODS: We collected data through the Voices of Child Health in Chicago Parent Panel Survey from May-July 2021. Parents indicated their personal level of worry about climate change, concern about the impact of climate change on themselves and their family, and how well they understood the issue of climate change. Parents also provided demographic information.<br><br>RESULTS: Parents reported high levels of concern about climate change in general and specifically about the impact on their family. Logistic regression indicated that parents who were Latine/Hispanic (vs. White) and those who felt they understood climate change well (vs. less well) had higher odds of reporting high levels of concern. Parents with some college (vs. high school education or below) had lower odds of high concern.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Parents indicated high levels of concern about climate change and its potential impact on their family. These results can help inform pediatricians' discussions with families about child health in the context of a changing climate.}, }
@article {pmid36871205, year = {2023}, author = {Heenan, M and Rychetnik, L and Howse, E and Beggs, PJ and Weeramanthri, TS and Armstrong, F and Zhang, Y}, title = {Australia's political engagement on health and climate change: the MJA-Lancet Countdown indicator and implications for the future.}, journal = {The Medical journal of Australia}, volume = {218}, number = {5}, pages = {196-202}, doi = {10.5694/mja2.51857}, pmid = {36871205}, issn = {1326-5377}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Policy ; Global Health ; Australia ; Politics ; }, }
@article {pmid36870720, year = {2023}, author = {Mondal, N}, title = {The resurgence of dengue epidemic and climate change in India.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10378}, pages = {727-728}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00226-X}, pmid = {36870720}, issn = {1474-547X}, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *Epidemics ; India ; *Dengue ; }, }
@article {pmid36869730, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, X and Comes, HP and Qiu, Y}, title = {Did Late Quaternary climate change trigger shifts in mating system in temperate plant species of the Sino-Japanese Floristic Region? A commentary on 'Genetic and demographic signatures accompanying the evolution of the selfing syndrome in Daphne kiusiana, an evergreen shrub'.}, journal = {Annals of botany}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/aob/mcad026}, pmid = {36869730}, issn = {1095-8290}, }
@article {pmid36869138, year = {2023}, author = {Mohammadi, S and Rydgren, K and Bakkestuen, V and Gillespie, MAK}, title = {Impacts of recent climate change on crop yield can depend on local conditions in climatically diverse regions of Norway.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3633}, pmid = {36869138}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {Climate Change ; Norway ; Crops, Agricultural ; *Hordeum ; *Solanum tuberosum ; }, abstract = {Globally, climate change greatly impacts the production of major crops, and there have been many attempts to model future yields under warming scenarios in recent years. However, projections of future yields may not be generalisable to all crop growing regions, particularly those with diverse topography and bioclimates. In this study, we demonstrate this by evaluating the links between changes in temperature and precipitation and changes in wheat, barley, and potato yields at the county-level during 1980-2019 in Norway, a Nordic country with a range of climates across a relatively small spatial scale. The results show that the impacts of climate variables on yield vary widely by county, and that for some crops, the strength and direction of the link depends on underlying local bioclimate. In addition, our analysis demonstrates the need for some counties to focus on weather changes during specific crucial months corresponding with certain crop growth stages. Furthermore, due to the local climatic conditions and varying projected climate changes, different production opportunities are likely to occur in each county.}, }
@article {pmid36868279, year = {2023}, author = {Uniyal, B and Kosatica, E and Koellner, T}, title = {Spatial and temporal variability of climate change impacts on ecosystem services in small agricultural catchments using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT).}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {875}, number = {}, pages = {162520}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162520}, pmid = {36868279}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change and anthropogenic activities alter the ecosystem which affects the ecosystem services (ES) associated with it. Therefore, the objective in this study is to quantify the impact of climate change on different regulation and provisioning ecosystem services. For this, we propose a modelling framework to simulate the impact of climate change on streamflow, nitrate loads, erosion, and crop yield in terms of ES indices for two agricultural catchments (Schwesnitz and Schwabach) located in Bavaria, Germany. The agro-hydrologic model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is used to simulate the considered ES in past (1990-2019), near future (2030-2059) and far future (2070-2099) climatic conditions. Three different bias-corrected (Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) climate projections from five different climate models retrieved from the Bavarian State Office for Environment (∼5 km) are used in this research to simulate the impact of climate change on ES. The developed SWAT models were calibrated for the major crops (1995 to 2018) present in the respective watersheds as well as for daily streamflow (1995 to 2008), which gave promising results with good PBIAS and Kling-Gupta Efficiency. The impact of climate change on erosion regulation, food and feed provisioning, and water quantity and water quality regulation were quantified in terms of indices. When using the ensemble of the five climate models, no significant impact on ES was seen due to climate change. Furthermore, the impact of climate change on different ES services from the two catchment is different. The findings of this study will be valuable for devising suitable management practices for sustainable water management at the catchment level to cope with climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36867183, year = {2023}, author = {Chambers, JE}, title = {From Mourning and Melancholia to Neurobiology in an Era of Global Warming, Pandemic Disease, and Social Chasms: Grief as a Requisite for Change.}, journal = {Psychodynamic psychiatry}, volume = {51}, number = {1}, pages = {45-62}, doi = {10.1521/pdps.2023.51.1.45}, pmid = {36867183}, issn = {2162-2604}, mesh = {Humans ; Global Warming ; Neurobiology ; Pandemics ; *COVID-19 ; Grief ; *Depressive Disorder ; }, abstract = {We find ourselves in a unique time in history with the confluence of a pandemic, global warming, and social chasms felt throughout the world. In this article, it is suggested that the grieving process is necessary for progress. The article addresses grief from a psychodynamic lens and progresses through the neurobiological changes that occur in the grieving process. The article discusses grief as both a result of and a necessary response to COVID-19, global warming, and social unrest. It is argued that grief is a vital process in order to fully change as a society and move forward. The role of psychiatry, and specifically psychodynamic psychiatry, is integral in paving the way to this new understanding and a new future.}, }
@article {pmid36865473, year = {2023}, author = {Gno-Solim Ela, N and Olago, D and Akinyi, AD and Tonnang, HEZ}, title = {Assessment of the effects of climate change on the occurrence of tomato invasive insect pests in Uganda.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {2}, pages = {e13702}, pmid = {36865473}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The shift in the geographical spread of invasive pests in Africa has rarely been linked directly to climate change. However, it is predicted that environmental changes play a significant role in spreading and expanding pests. The occurrence of new tomato invasive insect pests has been increasing in Uganda during the past century. Assessing the impact of temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and windspeed on the occurrence of invasive tomato insect pests, gives a better understanding of managing and limiting the bio-invasion process sustainably. We used the Mann Kendall trend Test to establish trends in climate variables from 1981 to 2020 and to document the trend in the occurrence of new invasive pests. The relationship between climate variables and pests occurrence is analyzed using Pearson's correlation and the Generalized Linear Model (GLM-quasi-Poisson) in R-software. The results showed that temperature and windspeed have significantly increased in both Kampala and Namutumba by 0.049 °C, 0.005 m [s-1]and by 0.037 °C, 0.003 m [s-1] per year respectively while in Mbale there was no change in wind speed pattern and a non-significant decrease in temperature. There was an overall rainfall increase in Kampala (p = 0.029) by 0.241 mm, Mbale (p = 0.0011) by 9.804 mm, and Namutumba (p = 0.394) by 0.025 mm. On the other hand, humidity has decreased both in Kampala (p = 0.001) by 13.3% and in Namutumba (p = 0.035) by 13.2% while there was a no significant change in Mbale. The results of GLM showed that each variable, taken individually, had a direct effect on the pests' occurrence in all three districts. However, with all these climate variables taken together, the effect on the pests' occurrence varied with each of the three districts; Kampala, Mbale, and Namutumba. This study demonstrated that pest occurrence is different from one agroecology to another. Our findings suggest that climate change is a driver that favors bio-invasion of tomato invasive insect pests occurrence in Uganda. It calls for awareness to policymakers and stakeholders to consider climate-smart pest management practices and policies to deal with bio-invasion.}, }
@article {pmid36860184, year = {2023}, author = {Xin, Y and Yang, Z and Du, Y and Cui, R and Xi, Y and Liu, X}, title = {Vulnerability of protected areas to future climate change, land use modification, and biological invasions in China.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e2831}, doi = {10.1002/eap.2831}, pmid = {36860184}, issn = {1051-0761}, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change, land use modifications, and alien species invasions are major threats to global biodiversity. Protected areas (PAs) are regarded as the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation, however, few studies have quantified the vulnerability of PAs to these global change factors together. Here, we overlay the risks of climate change, land use change, and alien vertebrate establishment within boundaries of a total of 1020 PAs with different administrative levels in China to quantify their vulnerabilities. Our results show that 56.6% of PAs will face at least one stress factor, and 21 PAs are threatened under the highest risk with three stressors simultaneously. PAs designed for forest conservation in Southwest and South China are most sensitive to the three global change factors. In addition, wildlife and wetland PAs are predicted to mainly experience climate change and high land use anthropogenetic modifications, and many wildlife PAs can also provide suitable habitats for alien vertebrate establishment. Our study highlights the urgent need for proactive conservation and management planning of Chinese PAs by considering different global change factors together.}, }
@article {pmid36858223, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, H and Zhong, T and Chen, Y and Zhang, J}, title = {How to simulate future scenarios of urban stormwater management? A novel framework coupling climate change, urbanization, and green stormwater infrastructure development.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {874}, number = {}, pages = {162399}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162399}, pmid = {36858223}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change, urbanization, and green stormwater infrastructure (GSI) planning policies lead to uncertainties in future urban sustainability. Coupling multiple influencing factors such as climate change, urbanization, and GSI development, this study proposes a novel framework for simulating future scenarios of urban stormwater. Subsequently, the changes in annual surface runoff and runoff pollutants in Shanghai's new and old urban areas were compared and analyzed based on 35 typical future and seven baseline scenarios. The following results were obtained: 1) The runoff control rate of the new urban area was significantly higher than that of the old urban area before GSI construction. After GSI construction, both areas could control stormwater runoff and pollutants, while the decline in efficiency in GSI facilities enormously impacted the old area. 2) Surface runoff in the new urban area was mainly affected by urbanization, while climate change was a major factor in the old urban area; runoff pollutants in new and old urban areas were mainly affected by urbanization, and the change in pollutants in new areas was more pronounced. 3) GSI facilities were unlikely to guarantee the quantity and quality of water resources, especially in scenarios where the efficiency of GSI facilities decreases. In old urban areas, the more extreme climate change and urbanization were, the more significant the effect of improving stormwater management facilities. Our findings showed that future studies on stormwater management should specifically consider the different characteristics of new and old urban regions, pay attention to the maintenance and management of GSI facilities, and build adaptive strategies to cope with climate change, urbanization, and GSI facility destruction.}, }
@article {pmid36857389, year = {2023}, author = {Ramadani, L and Khanal, S and Boeckmann, M}, title = {Climate change and health in school-based education: A scoping review protocol.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0282431}, pmid = {36857389}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Educational Status ; *Schools ; Health Education ; Curriculum ; Review Literature as Topic ; }, abstract = {Taking into account the adverse impacts of climate change on human health, the importance of increasing knowledge and gaining essential skills is necessary to mitigate and adapt to its impacts and protect human health. Researchers and experts are urging for more research in the climate-health nexus, as well as calling for efforts that establish climate and health educational goals. They encourage the development of agreed upon, articulated science-based curricula and resources addressing climate-health issues. This review aims to map out the current state of integration of climate change education in school-based education across the world and identify the human health topics included. Furthermore, it aims to explore the extents to which levels of prevention and health co-benefits of climate mitigation and adaptation are covered within the framework of school-based climate change education. Five electronic databases will be searched for peer reviewed articles in English, from year 2000-to May 2022. The findings from the study will be useful to school curricula developers looking to expand climate change education. This review will also highlight potential research gaps in education on climate change-related health in schools. The scoping review was preregistered with the Open Science Framework [registration DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/8U5GK].}, }
@article {pmid36856927, year = {2023}, author = {Biswas, SS}, title = {Potential Use of Chat GPT in Global Warming.}, journal = {Annals of biomedical engineering}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36856927}, issn = {1573-9686}, abstract = {Climate change is a major global challenge that requires the integration of many different scientific disciplines, including atmospheric science, oceanography, and ecology. The complexity and scale of the problem require sophisticated tools and techniques to understand, model, and project future climate conditions. Artificial intelligence and natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, have the potential to play a critical role in advancing our understanding of climate change and improving the accuracy of climate projections. ChatGPT can be used in a variety of ways to aid climate research, including in model parameterization, data analysis and interpretation, scenario generation, and model evaluation. This technology provides researchers and policy-makers with a powerful tool for generating and analyzing different climate scenarios based on a wide range of data inputs, and for improving the accuracy of climate projections. The author acknowledges asking chatGPT questions regarding its uses for Climate Change Research. Some of the uses that it states are possible now and some are potentials for the future. The author has analyzed and edited the replies of chat GPT.}, }
@article {pmid36854780, year = {2023}, author = {Souza, PGC and Aidoo, OF and Farnezi, PKB and Heve, WK and Júnior, PAS and Picanço, MC and Ninsin, KD and Ablormeti, FK and Shah, MA and Siddiqui, SA and Silva, RS}, title = {Author Correction: Tamarixia radiate global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3397}, doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-30319-2}, pmid = {36854780}, issn = {2045-2322}, }
@article {pmid36853937, year = {2023}, author = {Bretter, C and Schulz, F}, title = {Why focusing on "climate change denial" is counterproductive.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {10}, pages = {e2217716120}, pmid = {36853937}, issn = {1091-6490}, }
@article {pmid36853851, year = {2023}, author = {Liebig, MA and Bergh, EL and Archer, DW}, title = {Variation in methodology obscures clarity of cropland global warming potential estimates.}, journal = {Journal of environmental quality}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/jeq2.20467}, pmid = {36853851}, issn = {1537-2537}, abstract = {Global warming potential (GWP) estimates from agroecosystems are valuable for understanding management effects on climate regulation services. However, GWP estimates are complex, including attributes with high spatiotemporal variability. Published GWP estimates from cropland were compiled and methodological attributes known to influence GWP were extracted. Results revealed considerable variation in approaches to estimate GWP. Among carbon balance methods, respiration methods were used most frequently (33%), followed by soil carbon stock change over time (30%). Twenty-six percent of studies did not account for carbon change in GWP estimates. Duration of gas flux measurements ranged from 0.5 to 60 months, with weekly and sub-weekly sampling most common (34% and 33%, respectively). Carbon dioxide equivalent conversion factors generally aligned with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recommendations through 2014 but diverged thereafter. This review suggests the need for increased transparency in how GWP estimates are derived and communicated. Presentation of key metadata alongside GWP estimates is recommended.}, }
@article {pmid36853687, year = {2023}, author = {Lu, K and Ban, J and Wang, Q and Li, T}, title = {Protocol for estimating exposure to compound heat wave and ozone pollution under future climate change.}, journal = {STAR protocols}, volume = {4}, number = {1}, pages = {102090}, pmid = {36853687}, issn = {2666-1667}, abstract = {Here we describe the procedure for estimating exposure to the compound heatwave and ozone pollution under future climate scenarios. We first apply the daily-level temperature and ozone concentration across the world and perform bias correction by comparing the distribution of the modeled temperature and ozone concentration to the distribution of historical observation. Then we identify the heatwaves, ozone pollution events, and compound events. Finally, we combine the future exposure and population to identify the high-risk regions and populations. For complete details on the use and execution of this protocol, please refer to Ban et al. (2022).[1].}, }
@article {pmid36852379, year = {2023}, author = {Kariuki, T and Omumbo, J and Ciugu, K and Marincola, E}, title = {The interconnected global emergencies of climate change, food security and health: a call to action by the Science for Africa Foundation.}, journal = {Open research Africa}, volume = {6}, number = {}, pages = {1}, pmid = {36852379}, issn = {2752-6925}, abstract = {The evidence is clear that climate change is the greatest challenge facing mankind today. Africa is disproportionately burdened by multiple direct and cascading impacts of the climate crisis. Global investments for climate change adaptation, however, have not prioritized Africa adequately and there is a significant knowledge gap in understanding the context and science of climate change and sustainable solutions for the continent's adaptation. Solutions for adaptation and resilience are made complex by an urgent need for accelerated economic growth, rapid population expansion and urbanization, habitat and biodiversity loss and dwindling financing. There are also challenges in matching policies, wavering commitments and actions with good science that focuses on sustainable lives, livelihoods and ecosystem preservation. The solutions must come from where the impacts are felt. The Science for Africa Foundation supports African researchers and institutions to lead in the science that addresses African priority development areas and has set climate change as a strategic priority. This call to action, by the SFA Foundation, outlines key areas that its strategy addresses through programs that support African scientific excellence, leadership and the best of Africa's research to understand the science of climate change and its impacts; collate and assess evidence for policy; grow high level technical capacity on the continent; and create innovative priority actions for Africa.}, }
@article {pmid36852169, year = {2023}, author = {Azeem, S and Cheema, HA and Shahid, A and Al-Mamun, F and Rackimuthu, S and Ur Rehman, ME and Essar, MY and Lee, KY}, title = {Devastating floods in South Asia: The inequitable repercussions of climate change and an urgent appeal for action.}, journal = {Public health in practice (Oxford, England)}, volume = {5}, number = {}, pages = {100365}, pmid = {36852169}, issn = {2666-5352}, }
@article {pmid36848574, year = {2023}, author = {Derville, S and Torres, LG and Newsome, SD and Somes, CJ and Valenzuela, LO and Vander Zanden, HB and Baker, CS and Bérubé, M and Busquets-Vass, G and Carlyon, K and Childerhouse, SJ and Constantine, R and Dunshea, G and Flores, PAC and Goldsworthy, SD and Graham, B and Groch, K and Gröcke, DR and Harcourt, R and Hindell, MA and Hulva, P and Jackson, JA and Kennedy, AS and Lundquist, D and Mackay, AI and Neveceralova, P and Oliveira, L and Ott, PH and Palsbøll, PJ and Patenaude, NJ and Rowntree, V and Sironi, M and Vermeuelen, E and Watson, M and Zerbini, AN and Carroll, EL}, title = {Long-term stability in the circumpolar foraging range of a Southern Ocean predator between the eras of whaling and rapid climate change.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {10}, pages = {e2214035120}, pmid = {36848574}, issn = {1091-6490}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Antarctic Regions ; Anthropogenic Effects ; Indian Ocean ; }, abstract = {Assessing environmental changes in Southern Ocean ecosystems is difficult due to its remoteness and data sparsity. Monitoring marine predators that respond rapidly to environmental variation may enable us to track anthropogenic effects on ecosystems. Yet, many long-term datasets of marine predators are incomplete because they are spatially constrained and/or track ecosystems already modified by industrial fishing and whaling in the latter half of the 20th century. Here, we assess the contemporary offshore distribution of a wide-ranging marine predator, the southern right whale (SRW, Eubalaena australis), that forages on copepods and krill from ~30°S to the Antarctic ice edge (>60°S). We analyzed carbon and nitrogen isotope values of 1,002 skin samples from six genetically distinct SRW populations using a customized assignment approach that accounts for temporal and spatial variation in the Southern Ocean phytoplankton isoscape. Over the past three decades, SRWs increased their use of mid-latitude foraging grounds in the south Atlantic and southwest (SW) Indian oceans in the late austral summer and autumn and slightly increased their use of high-latitude (>60°S) foraging grounds in the SW Pacific, coincident with observed changes in prey distribution and abundance on a circumpolar scale. Comparing foraging assignments with whaling records since the 18th century showed remarkable stability in use of mid-latitude foraging areas. We attribute this consistency across four centuries to the physical stability of ocean fronts and resulting productivity in mid-latitude ecosystems of the Southern Ocean compared with polar regions that may be more influenced by recent climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36847944, year = {2023}, author = {Urhan, B and Hoştut, S and Güdekli, &#x130;A and Aydoğan, H}, title = {Climate change and marketing: a bibliometric analysis of research from 1992 to 2022.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-23}, pmid = {36847944}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change with adverse impacts on the environment, economy, and society requires marketing to change current attitudes and behaviors towards sustainable production and consumption, and thus climate change is interrelated to marketing. However, no body of literature has comprehensively investigated the connections and relationships between climate change and marketing. This study examined such connections and relationships from a bibliometric approach using Web of Science and Scopus databases from 1992 to 2022. The search strategy utilized topic and title/abstract/keyword search. The search query retrieved 1723 documents. VOSviewer and Biblioshiny were utilized to analyze data on authors, keywords, institutions, countries, sources, citations, and co-citations. The findings showed an upward trend in the annual number of publications with the top three most productive countries being the USA, the UK, and Australia and the most productive institutions in the USA, New Zealand, and the UK. The top three author keywords were climate change, sustainability, and marketing. The Sustainability journal ranked first in terms of productivity while Energy Policy in terms of citations. International collaborations were mostly between developed countries also known as Global North Countries, and collaborations between these countries and developing and developed countries should be encouraged. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of documents increased, and research themes altered. Research on energy, innovation, insect farming, and carbon management is a top priority. The results proved that most studies were conducted outside the field of marketing.}, }
@article {pmid36847615, year = {2023}, author = {Qin, SY and Zuo, ZY and Guo, C and Du, XY and Liu, SY and Yu, XQ and Xiang, XG and Rong, J and Liu, B and Liu, ZF and Ma, PF and Li, DZ}, title = {Phylogenomic insights into the origin and evolutionary history of evergreen broadleaved forests in East Asia under Cenozoic climate change.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/mec.16904}, pmid = {36847615}, issn = {1365-294X}, abstract = {The evergreen versus deciduous leaf habit is an important functional trait for adaptation of forest trees and has been hypothesized to be related to the evolutionary processes of the component species under paleoclimatic change, and potentially reflected in the dynamic history of evergreen broadleaved forests (EBLFs) in East Asia. However, knowledge about the shift of evergreen versus deciduous leaf with the impact of paleoclimatic change using genomic data remains rare. Here, we focus on the Litsea complex (Lauraceae), a key lineage with dominant species of EBLFs, to gain insights into how evergreen versus deciduous trait shifted, providing insights into the origin and historical dynamics of EBLFs in East Asia under Cenozoic climate change. We reconstructed a robust phylogeny of the Litsea complex using genome-wide single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) with eight clades resolved. Fossil-calibrated analyses, diversification rate shifts, ancestral habit, ecological niche modelling and climate niche reconstruction were employed to estimate its origin and diversification pattern. Taking into account studies on other plant lineages dominating EBLFs of East Asia, it was revealed that the prototype of EBLFs in East Asia probably emerged in the Early Eocene (55-50 million years ago [Ma]), facilitated by the greenhouse warming. As a response to the cooling and drying climate in the Middle to Late Eocene (48-38 Ma), deciduous habits were evolved in the dominant lineages of the EBLFs in East Asia. Up to the Early Miocene (23 Ma), the prevailing of East Asian monsoon increased the extreme seasonal precipitation and accelerated the emergence of evergreen habits of the dominant lineages, and ultimately shaped the vegetation resembling that of today.}, }
@article {pmid36847605, year = {2023}, author = {Lee, AS and Aguilera, J and Efobi, JA and Jung, YS and Seastedt, H and Shah, MM and Yang, E and Konvinse, K and Utz, PJ and Sampath, V and Nadeau, KC}, title = {Climate change and public health: The effects of global warming on the risk of allergies and autoimmune diseases: The effects of global warming on the risk of allergies and autoimmune diseases.}, journal = {EMBO reports}, volume = {24}, number = {4}, pages = {e56821}, pmid = {36847605}, issn = {1469-3178}, support = {R38 HL143615/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States ; }, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; Global Warming ; Public Health ; *Hypersensitivity/epidemiology/etiology ; *Autoimmune Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; }, abstract = {Global climate change and extreme weather events are associated with epigenetic modifications in immune cells, leading to the possible increased risk and prevalence of allergies and autoimmune diseases.}, }
@article {pmid36846558, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {Oxford open immunology}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {iqac008}, pmid = {36846558}, issn = {2633-6960}, }
@article {pmid36844976, year = {2023}, author = {Fahad, S and Nguyen-Anh, T and To-The, N and Nguyen-Thi-Lan, H and Nassani, AA and Haffar, M}, title = {A study evaluating the extrinsic and intrinsic determinants of farmers' adoption of climate change adaptation strategies: A novel approach for improving farmers' health.}, journal = {One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)}, volume = {16}, number = {}, pages = {100501}, pmid = {36844976}, issn = {2352-7714}, abstract = {Small-scale farmers living in mountainous areas are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Although governments have implemented various support programs and policies to support a range of farmers to tackle climatic changes, there are still several difficulties in the implementation of these adaptation strategies. Using the survey data of 758 small-scale farmers this paper employs Multivariate Probit (MVP) and Poisson regression models to measure the effects of intrinsic and extrinsic factors affecting farmers adaptation decision in rural Vietnam. The results reveal that the extrinsic factors such as annual rainfall variations and farm size motivate farmers' adoption of their adaptations. The findings also reveal that the political connection has a significantly positive impact on the respondents' selection, while government interference such as extension training programs has a negative association with the farmers adaptation choice. Public extension programs should be simultaneously redesigned to support farmers in mitigating the impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36844079, year = {2023}, author = {Adão, F and Campos, JC and Santos, JA and Malheiro, AC and Fraga, H}, title = {Relocation of bioclimatic suitability of Portuguese grapevine varieties under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {974020}, pmid = {36844079}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change has been driving warming trends and changes in precipitation patterns and regimes throughout Europe. Future projections indicate a continuation of these trends in the next decades. This situation is challenging the sustainability of viniculture and, thus, significant efforts towards adaptation should be then carried out by local winegrowers.<br><br>METHOD: Ecological Niche Models were built, using the ensemble modelling approach, to estimate the bioclimatic suitability of four main wine-producing European countries, namely France, Italy, Portugal, and Spain, in the recent past (1989-2005), for the cultivation of twelve Portuguese grape varieties. The models were then used to project the bioclimatic suitability to two future periods (2021- 2050 and 2051-2080) to better understand the potential shifts related to climate change (modeled after Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios). The models were obtained with the modeling platform BIOMOD2, using four bioclimatic indices, namely the "Huglin Index", the "Cool Night index", the "Growing Season Precipitation index", and the "Temperature Range during Ripening index" as predictor variables, as well as the current locations of the chosen grape varieties in Portugal.<br><br>RESULTS: All models performed with high statistical accuracy (AUC > 0.9) and were able to discriminate several suitable bioclimatic areas for the different grape varieties, in and around where they are currently located but also in other parts of the study area. The distribution of the bioclimatic suitability changed, however, when looking at future projections. For both climatic scenarios, projected bioclimatic suitability suffered a considerable shift to the north of Spain and France. In some cases, bioclimatic suitability also moved towards areas of higher elevation. Portugal and Italy barely retained any of the initially projected varietal areas. These shifts were mainly due to the overall rise in thermal accumulation and lower accumulated precipitation in the southern regions projected for the future.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Ensemble models of Ecological Niche Models were shown to be valid tools for winegrowers who want to adapt to a changing climate. The long-term sustainability of viniculture in southern Europe will most likely have to go through a process of mitigation of the effects of increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation.}, }
@article {pmid36843496, year = {2023}, author = {Jiang, ZW and Ma, L and Mi, CR and Tao, SA and Guo, F and Du, WG}, title = {Distinct responses and range shifts of lizard populations across an elevational gradient under climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {29}, number = {10}, pages = {2669-2680}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16656}, pmid = {36843496}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Lizards/physiology ; Acclimatization ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Ongoing climate change has profoundly affected global biodiversity, but its impacts on populations across elevations remain understudied. Using mechanistic niche models incorporating species traits, we predicted ecophysiological responses (activity times, oxygen consumption and evaporative water loss) for lizard populations at high-elevation (<3600 m asl) and extra-high-elevation (≥3600 m asl) under recent (1970-2000) and future (2081-2100) climates. Compared with their high-elevation counterparts, lizards from extra-high-elevation are predicted to experience a greater increase in activity time and oxygen consumption. By integrating these ecophysiological responses into hybrid species distribution models (HSDMs), we were able to make the following predictions under two warming scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP5-8.5). By 2081-2100, we predict that lizards at both high- and extra-high-elevation will shift upslope; lizards at extra-high-elevation will gain more and lose less habitat than will their high-elevation congeners. We therefore advocate the conservation of high-elevation species in the context of climate change, especially for those populations living close to their lower elevational range limits. In addition, by comparing the results from HSDMs and traditional species distribution models, we highlight the importance of considering intraspecific variation and local adaptation in physiological traits along elevational gradients when forecasting species' future distributions under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36841782, year = {2023}, author = {Greibe Andersen, J and Kallestrup, P and Karekezi, C and Yonga, G and Kraef, C}, title = {Climate change and health risks in Mukuru informal settlement in Nairobi, Kenya - knowledge, attitudes and practices among residents.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {393}, pmid = {36841782}, issn = {1471-2458}, mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Kenya ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Residents of informal settlements in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) are vulnerable to the health impacts of climate change. Little is known about the knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) of inhabitants of informal settlements in SSA regarding climate change and its health impacts. The aim of this study was to investigate how inhabitants of an informal settlement in SSA experience climate change and its health impacts and assess related knowledge, attitudes and practices. The study was conducted in Mukuru informal settlement in Nairobi City County, Kenya.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in September 2021 using a structured, semi-closed KAP questionnaire. Inclusion criteria were&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;18&#x2009;years of age and living in one of the three main sections in Mukuru: Kwa Njenga, Kwa Reuben or Viwandani. By spinning a pen at the geographic centre of each section, a random direction was selected. Then, in every second household one individual was interviewed, creating a representative mix of ages and genders of the local community. To assess participant characteristics associated with climate change knowledge multivariable logistic regression was used. Thematic content analysis was performed for qualitative responses.<br><br>RESULTS: Out of 402 study participants, 76.4% (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;307) had heard of climate change before the interview, 90.8% (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;365) reported that climate change was affecting their community, and 92.6% (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;372) were concerned with the health-related impact of climate change. Having lived in Mukuru for more than 10&#x2009;years and living in a dwelling close to the riverside were factors significantly associated with having heard of climate change before (aOR 3.1, 95%CI 1.7 - 5.8 and aOR 2.6, 95%CI 1.1 - 6.1, respectively) and experiencing a climate change related impact on the community (aOR 10.7, 95%CI 4.0 - 28.4 and aOR 7.7; 95%CI 1.7 - 34.0, respectively). Chronic respiratory conditions, vector-borne diseases, including infectious diarrhoea, malnutrition and cardiovascular diseases were identified by respondents as climate related health risks.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Most respondents were knowledgeable about climate change and were experiencing its (health-related) impact on their community. This study provides insights which may prove useful for policy makers, intervention planners and researchers to work on locally adapted mitigation and adaption strategies.}, }
@article {pmid36841730, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Y and Hou, Z and Zhang, L and Song, C and Piao, S and Lin, J and Peng, S and Fang, K and Yang, J and Qu, Y and Wang, Y and Li, J and Li, R and Yao, X}, title = {Rapid expansion of wetlands on the Central Tibetan Plateau by global warming and El Niño.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {68}, number = {5}, pages = {485-488}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.02.021}, pmid = {36841730}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid36841729, year = {2023}, author = {Jia, B and Wang, L and Xie, Z}, title = {Increasing lake water storage on the Inner Tibetan Plateau under climate change.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {68}, number = {5}, pages = {489-493}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.02.018}, pmid = {36841729}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid36840227, year = {2023}, author = {Marteau, A and Fourmaux, M and Mevy, JP}, title = {The Role of Gorse (Ulex parviflorus Pourr. Scrubs) in a Mediterranean Shrubland Undergoing Climate Change: Approach by Hyperspectral Measurements.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36840227}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {The goal of this study was to observe the neighbor effect of Gorse, a plant of the Fabaceae family, on three typical species of Mediterranean shrubland: kermes oak, white Cistus and rosemary. For this purpose, a hyperspectral analysis and the application of vegetation indices (VIs) were carried out. We provide the spectral signature of Gorse, which differs mainly from that of its companion species in the band between 700 and 1350 nm. This supposed Gorse effect was tested in natural conditions and in conditions of forced drought to simulate the effects of the climate change predicted for the Mediterranean Basin. Field spectrometry demonstrated the existence of such interactions between the four species. In control stands, the presence of Gorse significantly modifies the spectral responses of kermes, white Cistus and rosemary, mainly in the near-infrared region (700-1350 nm). Both tri- and tetra-specific plant assemblages also exhibited spectral changes, suggesting an indirect effect of Gorse. Under drought conditions, one-way ANOVA followed by Fisher's LSD test led us to identify the features involved in plants' coexistence with Gorse. The Cistus albidus reflectance spectrum was clearly increased in the presence of Gorse in rain-exclusion conditions. The application of several VIs allowed us to extract new information on the variation of spectral signatures. Unexpectedly, nitrogen supply by Gorse was not shown, except for Cistus, as shown by the VI NDVI (N) analysis. However, this study proved that Gorse can modify the behavior of its companion species in controls, but also in drought conditions, by increasing their photosynthesis activity (NIRvP) and water content (ratio R975/R900). Gorse therefore appears as a key species in the ecosystem of the Mediterranean shrubland, but its high vulnerability to drought leaves a vacant ecological niche in plant communities. While the spectral reflectance increases linearly with the specific richness in the lack of any disturbance, by contrast, climate aridification imposes a double reciprocal profile. This clearly means that multispecific plant communities cope better with climate change. Nevertheless, knowledge of the underlying mechanisms requires further structural, chemical, and biochemical investigation.}, }
@article {pmid36840215, year = {2023}, author = {Pulvento, C and Bazile, D}, title = {Worldwide Evaluations of Quinoa-Biodiversity and Food Security under Climate Change Pressures: Advances and Perspectives.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36840215}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd [...].}, }
@article {pmid36840065, year = {2023}, author = {Shen, L and Deng, H and Zhang, G and Ma, A and Mo, X}, title = {Effect of Climate Change on the Potentially Suitable Distribution Pattern of Castanopsis hystrix Miq. in China.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36840065}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Climate warming poses a great threat to ecosystems worldwide, which significantly affects the geographical distribution and suitable growth area of species. Taking Castanopsis hystrix Miq. as the research object, the potentially suitable cultivation regions under present and future climatic emission scenarios in China were predicted based on the MaxEnt model with 360 effective individual distributions and eight environmental variables. The min temperature of coldest month (bio6), precipitation of driest month (bio14), and precipitation of warmest quarter (bio18) are three leading factors affecting the geographical distribution area of C. hystrix Miq. The suitable cultivation regions of C. hystrix Miq. range from 18°-34° N, 89°-122° E in central and southern China and cover an area of 261.95 × 10[4] km[2]. The spatial pattern of C. hystrix Miq. will migrate to the southern region of low latitudes with a decreasing suitable area when in ssp1-2.6, and to the southwestern region of low latitudes or expand to the northeast region at high latitudes in ssp5-8.5, with an increasing suitable area; no significant change on the spatial pattern in ssp2-2.4. For ssp1-2.6 or ssp2-4.5 climate scenarios, the southern region of high latitudes will be appropriate for introducing and cultivating C. hystrix Miq., and the cultivation area will increase. For ssp5-8.5, its cultivation will increase and expand to the northeast of high-latitude areas slightly.}, }
@article {pmid36835704, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, M and Duan, Q and Shen, X and Zhang, S}, title = {Climate Change Influences the Population Density and Suitable Area of Hippotiscus dorsalis (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) in China.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {2}, pages = {}, pmid = {36835704}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Hippotiscus dorsalis is the main pest of Phyllostachys edulis in South China. The relationship between climate change and outbreak of H. dorsalis, and the current and future distribution of H. dorsalis are unknown. This study aimed to confirm the effect of climate on population density and the attacked bamboo rate of H. dorsalis, using field survey data from 2005 to 2013 in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, and to reveal the potential distribution of H. dorsalis under current and future climate conditions using the MaxEnt model. The damage investigation and distribution forecast revealed the following: (1) The mean monthly temperature and maximum temperatures were main factors affecting the population density and the attacked bamboo rate in April in the Anji county of Zhejiang Province; they are all significantly and positively correlated. (2) High suitable area will significantly expand in Anhui and Jiangxi Provinces under the future climate circumstances, and the total suitable area will present a decrease because of the precipitation restriction. The significant expansion of high suitable area in the Anhui and Jiangxi Provinces under future climate circumstances means that the affected provinces will face even greater challenges. These findings provide a theoretical basis for the early forecasting and monitoring of pest outbreaks.}, }
@article {pmid36834330, year = {2023}, author = {Nezlek, JB and Cypryańska, M}, title = {Prosociality and Personality: Perceived Efficacy of Behaviors Mediates Relationships between Personality and Self-Reported Climate Change Mitigation Behavior.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36834330}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; Self Report ; *Climate Change ; *Personality ; Personality Disorders ; Neuroticism ; }, abstract = {The included studies examined the relationship between climate change mitigation behavior (CCB) and personality. In Study 1, 1089 US collegians completed a measure of the Big Five and indicated how often they engaged in five CCBs. Engaging in each CCB was regressed on the Big Five. These analyses found openness was positively related to all five CCBs, neuroticism was positively related to four of five CCBs, and extraversion was positively related to three CCBs. In Study 2, 1688 US collegians completed the same measures as in Study 1 with two additional CCBs. They also indicated how efficacious they thought each CCB was. Each CCB was regressed on the Big Five. These results largely replicated those of Study 1 and also found that conscientiousness was positively related to five of seven CCBs. Mediational analyses found that all relationships between personality factors and CCB were mediated by the perceived efficacy of the CCB. The present results suggest that efforts to increase climate change mitigation behavior need to take into account the perceived efficacy of such behaviors.}, }
@article {pmid36834118, year = {2023}, author = {Khine, MM and Langkulsen, U}, title = {The Implications of Climate Change on Health among Vulnerable Populations in South Africa: A Systematic Review.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36834118}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; South Africa ; *Climate Change ; *Vulnerable Populations ; Poverty ; Public Health ; }, abstract = {Climate change poses numerous threats to human life, including physical and mental health, the environment, housing, food security, and economic growth. People who already experience multidimensional poverty with the disparity in social, political, economic, historical, and environmental contexts are more vulnerable to these impacts. The study aims to identify the role of climate change in increasing multidimensional inequalities among vulnerable populations and analyze the strengths and limitations of South Africa's National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. A systematic review was applied, and literature from Google, Google Scholar, and PubMed, as well as relevant gray literature from 2014-2022 were reviewed. Out of 854 identified sources, 24 were included in the review. Climate change has exacerbated multidimensional inequalities among vulnerable populations in South Africa. Though the National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy has paid attention to health issues and the needs of vulnerable groups, the adaptation measures appear to focus less on mental and occupational health. Climate change may play a significant role in increasing multidimensional inequalities and exacerbating health consequences among vulnerable populations. For an inclusive and sustainable reduction in inequalities and vulnerabilities to the impact of climate change, community-based health and social services should be enhanced among vulnerable populations.}, }
@article {pmid36834034, year = {2023}, author = {Lin, Z and Yang, Z and Ye, X}, title = {Immersive Experience and Climate Change Monitoring in Digital Landscapes: Evidence from Somatosensory Sense and Comfort.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36834034}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *Extreme Heat ; Sunlight ; San Francisco ; *Extreme Weather ; Trees ; }, abstract = {In this study, the virtual engine software (Unity 2019, Unity Software Inc., San Francisco, California, the U.S.) was used to generate a digital landscape model, forming a virtual immersive environment. Through field investigation and emotional preference experiments, the ancient tree ecological area and the sunlight-exposed area were respectively monitored, and the somatosensory comfort evaluation model was established. The subjects showed the highest degree of interest in the ancient tree ecological area after landscape roaming experience, and the mean variance in SC fluctuation was 13.23% in experiments. The subjects were in a low arousal state and had a significant degree of interest in the digital landscape roaming scene, and there was a significant correlation between positive emotion, somatosensory comfort and the Rating of Perceived Exertion index; moreover, the somatosensory comfort of the ancient tree ecological area was higher than that of the sunlight-exposed area. Meanwhile, it was found that somatosensory comfort level can effectively distinguish the comfort level between the ancient tree ecological area and the sunlight-exposed area, which provides an important basis for monitoring extreme heat. This study concludes that, in terms of the goal of harmonious coexistence between human and nature, the evaluation model of somatosensory comfort can contribute to reducing people's adverse views on extreme weather conditions.}, }
@article {pmid36833902, year = {2023}, author = {Booth, A and Jager, A and Faulkner, SD and Winchester, CC and Shaw, SE}, title = {Pharmaceutical Company Targets and Strategies to Address Climate Change: Content Analysis of Public Reports from 20 Pharmaceutical Companies.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36833902}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Greenhouse Gases ; Drug Industry ; Pharmaceutical Preparations ; Greenhouse Effect ; }, abstract = {The pharmaceutical industry produces a large proportion of health system greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, contributing to climate change. This urgently needs to be addressed. We aimed to examine pharmaceutical company climate change targets, GHG emissions, and strategies to reduce them. We performed content analysis of the 20 largest pharmaceutical companies' publicly available 2020/2021 reports, focusing on extracting information on their reported climate change targets, GHG emissions (and whether companies had demonstrated any reduction in emissions over their reporting period), and strategies being implemented to reduce company emissions and meet their targets. Nineteen companies have committed to reducing GHG emissions, ten to carbon neutrality and eight to net zero emissions between 2025 and 2050. Companies showed largely favorable reductions in scope 1 (in-house) and scope 2 (purchased energy), with variable results in scope 3 (supply chain) emissions. Strategies to reduce emissions included optimizing manufacturing and distribution, and responsible sourcing of energy, water, and raw materials. Pharmaceutical companies are setting climate change targets and reporting reduced emissions via a range of strategies. This varies, with scope to track actions and accountability to targets, improve consistency of reporting, especially of scope 3 emissions, and collaborate on novel solutions. There is need for further mixed methods research on progress with achieving reported climate change targets, as well as implementation of strategies to reduce emissions within the pharmaceutical industry.}, }
@article {pmid36833780, year = {2023}, author = {Innocenti, M and Santarelli, G and Lombardi, GS and Ciabini, L and Zjalic, D and Di Russo, M and Cadeddu, C}, title = {How Can Climate Change Anxiety Induce Both Pro-Environmental Behaviours and Eco-Paralysis? The Mediating Role of General Self-Efficacy.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36833780}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Self Efficacy ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Anxiety ; Adaptation, Psychological ; }, abstract = {While it has been shown that climate change anxiety (emotional distress response to climate change) can enhance pro-environmental behaviours (PEBs) in some subjects, in others it can induce eco-paralysis, thus leading individuals to avoid any form of engagement in actions against climate change. This study aims to clarify which factors influence the relationship between climate change anxiety and the disposition to PEBs, focusing on the role of self-efficacy as a mediating factor. A cross-sectional study was conducted on 394 healthy subjects living in Italy who completed the Pro-Environmental Behaviours Scale (PEBS), the General Self-Efficacy scale (GSE), and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS). As a result, the mediation model showed a positive direct effect of the cognitive impairment subscale of CCAS on PEBS and an indirect negative effect of the cognitive impairment subscale of CCAS on PEBS mediated by GSE. These findings show that climate change anxiety has simultaneously two different effects on individuals: it directly encourages PEBs, and indirectly may have detrimental effects on PEBs such as eco-paralysis. Consequently, therapeutic approaches to treat climate change anxiety should not be aimed at rationalising irrational thoughts but rather at helping patients develop coping strategies such as PEBs which, in turn, foster self-efficacy.}, }
@article {pmid36832796, year = {2023}, author = {Galanakis, CM}, title = {The "Vertigo" of the Food Sector within the Triangle of Climate Change, the Post-Pandemic World, and the Russian-Ukrainian War.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36832796}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Over the last few years, the world has been facing dramatic changes due to a condensed period of multiple crises, including climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russian-Ukrainian war. Although different, these consecutive crises share common characteristics (e.g., systemic shocks and non-stationary nature) and impacts (e.g., disruption of markets and supply chains), questioning food safety, security, and sustainability. The current article analyses the effects of the noted crises in the food sector before proposing target mitigation measures to address the different challenges. The goal is to transform the food systems to increase their resilience and sustainability. This goal can only be achieved if all relevant actors within the supply chain (e.g., governments, companies, distributors, farmers, etc.) play their role by designing and implementing target interventions and policies. In addition, the transformation of the food sector should be proactive concerning food safety, circular (valorizing several bioresources under the principles of climate neutral economy and blue bioeconomy), digital (based on Industry 4.0 applications), and inclusive (ensuring that all citizens are actively engaged). Food production modernization (e.g., by implementing emerging technologies) and developing shorter and more domestic supply chains are also critical to achieving food resilience and security.}, }
@article {pmid36829503, year = {2023}, author = {Liao, J and Wu, Z and Wang, H and Xiao, S and Mo, P and Cui, X}, title = {Projected Effects of Climate Change on Species Range of Pantala flavescens, a Wandering Glider Dragonfly.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {2}, pages = {}, pmid = {36829503}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {Dragonflies are sensitive to climate change due to their special habitat in aquatic and terrestrial environments, especially Pantala flavescens, which have extraordinary migratory abilities in response to climate change on spatio-temporal scales. At present, there are major gaps in the documentation of insects and the effects of climatic changes on the habitat and species it supports. In this study, we model the global distribution of a wandering glider dragonfly, P. flavescens, and detected the important environmental factors shaping its range, as well as habitat shifts under historical and future warming scenarios. The results showed a global map of species ranges of P. flavescens currently, including southern North America, most of South America, south-central Africa, most of Europe, South, East and Southeast Asia, and northern Oceania, in total, ca. 6581.667 × 10[4] km[2]. BIO5 (the max temperature of warmest month) and BIO13 (the precipitation of wettest month) greatly explained its species ranges. The historic refugia were identified around the Great Lakes in the north-central United States. Future warming will increase the total area of suitable habitat and shift the type of suitable habitat compared to the current distribution. The habitat suitability of P. flavescens decreased with elevation, global warming forced it to expand to higher elevations, and the habitat suitability of P. flavescens around the equator increased with global warming. Overall, our study provides a global dynamic pattern of suitable habitats for P. flavescens from the perspective of climate change, and provides a useful reference for biodiversity research and biological conservation.}, }
@article {pmid36828391, year = {2023}, author = {Wieczynski, DJ and Yoshimura, KM and Denison, ER and Geisen, S and DeBruyn, JM and Shaw, AJ and Weston, DJ and Pelletier, DA and Wilhelm, SW and Gibert, JP}, title = {Viral infections likely mediate microbial controls on ecosystem responses to global warming.}, journal = {FEMS microbiology ecology}, volume = {99}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/femsec/fiad016}, pmid = {36828391}, issn = {1574-6941}, mesh = {Humans ; Ecosystem ; Global Warming ; Climate Change ; *Viruses ; Carbon ; *Virus Diseases ; }, abstract = {Climate change is affecting how energy and matter flow through ecosystems, thereby altering global carbon and nutrient cycles. Microorganisms play a fundamental role in carbon and nutrient cycling and are thus an integral link between ecosystems and climate. Here, we highlight a major black box hindering our ability to anticipate ecosystem climate responses: viral infections within complex microbial food webs. We show how understanding and predicting ecosystem responses to warming could be challenging-if not impossible-without accounting for the direct and indirect effects of viral infections on different microbes (bacteria, archaea, fungi, protists) that together perform diverse ecosystem functions. Importantly, understanding how rising temperatures associated with climate change influence viruses and virus-host dynamics is crucial to this task, yet is severely understudied. In this perspective, we (i) synthesize existing knowledge about virus-microbe-temperature interactions and (ii) identify important gaps to guide future investigations regarding how climate change might alter microbial food web effects on ecosystem functioning. To provide real-world context, we consider how these processes may operate in peatlands-globally significant carbon sinks that are threatened by climate change. We stress that understanding how warming affects biogeochemical cycles in any ecosystem hinges on disentangling complex interactions and temperature responses within microbial food webs.}, }
@article {pmid36825785, year = {2023}, author = {Slater, M and Bartlett, S}, title = {Climate change: What healthcare professionals can do.}, journal = {The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh}, volume = {53}, number = {1}, pages = {7-8}, doi = {10.1177/14782715231158878}, pmid = {36825785}, issn = {2042-8189}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Personnel ; Delivery of Health Care ; }, }
@article {pmid36825635, year = {2023}, author = {Rollins, AM and Wheeler, M and Frazier, T}, title = {A Marshall Plan for the 21st century: Addressing climate change in the Asia-Pacific through diplomacy, development, and defense.}, journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)}, volume = {20}, number = {8}, pages = {103-122}, doi = {10.5055/jem.0684}, pmid = {36825635}, issn = {1543-5865}, mesh = {United States ; Humans ; *Diplomacy ; Climate Change ; Asia ; Organizations ; }, abstract = {The inevitable climate challenges facing the Asia-Pacific territory require a massive whole-of--government approach comparable to the Marshall Plan of 1948. While many political leaders have called for such a plan, no policy currently exists for this region or purpose. With nearly eight trillion dollars in trade revenue passing through crucially strategic straits daily, seven of the 10 largest militaries in the world (five of which are nuclear capable) operating throughout this territory, and a forecast for nearly exponential population growth, the geopolitical provenance of the United States (US), ties inextricably to this portion of the globe. A document analysis assessing existing diplomatic, developmental, and defensive policies concludes that a modern-day Marshall Plan for the 21st century Asia-Pacific is achievable by realigning lines of effort within current frameworks. As long as the US continues to deny climate change, other nation-state actors within the area will rise to fill the void. The US must commit to the funding, development, and proliferation of clean and sustainable energy solutions, which evolve past current fossil-fuel reliant technologies and, most importantly, be open-source in description and shared with other large polluters throughout the world. Finally, the nations of the Asian-Pacific realm should contemplate a theater-specific treaty organization. As climate change threatens to destabilize the region, a unified force intent on providing stabilization efforts, preventing internal conflict and escalation, and enforcing international law deserves consideration and deliberation.}, }
@article {pmid36825371, year = {2023}, author = {Zhan, Y and Yao, Z and Groffman, PM and Xie, J and Wang, Y and Li, G and Zheng, X and Butterbach-Bahl, K}, title = {Urbanization can accelerate climate change by increasing soil N2 O emission while reducing CH4 uptake.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16652}, pmid = {36825371}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Urban land-use change has the potential to affect local to global biogeochemical carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles and associated greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes. We conducted a meta-analysis to (1) assess the effects of urbanization-induced land-use conversion on soil nitrous oxide (N2 O) and methane (CH4) fluxes, (2) quantify direct N2 O emission factors (EFd) of fertilized urban soils used, for example, as lawns or forests, and (3) identify the key drivers leading to flux changes associated with urbanization. On average, urbanization increases soil N2 O emissions by 153%, to 3.0 kg N ha[-1] year[-1] , while rates of soil CH4 uptake are reduced by 50%, to 2.0 kg C ha[-1] year[-1] . The global mean annual N2 O EFd of fertilized lawns and urban forests is 1.4%, suggesting that urban soils can be regional hotspots of N2 O emissions. On a global basis, conversion of land to urban greenspaces has increased soil N2 O emission by 0.46 Tg N2 O-N year[-1] and decreased soil CH4 uptake by 0.58 Tg CH4 -C year[-1] . Urbanization driven changes in soil N2 O emission and CH4 uptake are associated with changes in soil properties (bulk density, pH, total N content, and C/N ratio), increased temperature, and management practices, especially fertilizer use. Overall, our meta-analysis shows that urbanization increases soil N2 O emissions and reduces the role of soils as a sink for atmospheric CH4 . These effects can be mitigated by avoiding soil compaction, reducing fertilization of lawns, and by restoring native ecosystems in urban landscapes.}, }
@article {pmid36825187, year = {2023}, author = {Ali, F and Khan, N and Khan, AM and Ali, K and Abbas, F}, title = {Species distribution modelling of Monotheca buxifolia (Falc.) A. DC.: Present distribution and impacts of potential climate change.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {2}, pages = {e13417}, pmid = {36825187}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Species distribution modelling (SDM) is an important tool to examine the possible change in the population range and/or niche-shift under current environment and predicted climate change. Monotheca buxifolia is an economically and ecologically important tree species inhabiting Pakistan and Afghanistan in dense patches, and species range is contracting rapidly. This study hypothesize that predicted climate change might remarkably influence the existing distribution pattern of M. buxifolia in the study area. A total of 75 occurrence locations were identified comprising M. buxifolia as a dominant tree species. The Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm was utilized to perform the SDM under current (the 1970s-2000s) and two future climate change scenarios (shared socioeconomic pathways: SSPs 245 and 585) of two time periods (the 2050s and 2070s). The optimal model settings were assessed, and simulation precision was assessed by examining the partial area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (pAUC-ROC). The results showed that out of 39 considered bio-climatic, topographic, edaphic, and remote sensing variables which were utilized in the preliminary model, 6 variables including precipitation of warmest quarter, topographic diversity, global human modification of terrestrial land, normalized difference vegetation index, isothermality, and elevation (in order) were the most influential drivers, and utilized in all reduced SDMs. A high predictive performance (pAUC-ROC; >0.9) of all the considered SDMs was recorded. A total of about 67,684 km[2] of geographical area was predicted as suitable habitat (p > 0.8) for M. buxifolia, and Pakistan is the leading country (with about 54,975 km[2] of suitable land area) under the current climate scenario. Overall, the existing distribution of the tree species in the study area might face considerable loss (i.e. rate of change %; -27 to -107) in future, and simultaneously a northward (high elevation) niche shift is predicted for all the considered future climate change scenarios. Hence, development and implementation of a coordinated conservation program is required on priority basis to save the tree species in its native geographic range.}, }
@article {pmid36824019, year = {2023}, author = {Eya, LI and Adam, IM and Ruvaisha, A and Adam, IM}, title = {Readiness of the Maldivian Health System to Climate Change.}, journal = {Asia-Pacific journal of public health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10105395231158683}, doi = {10.1177/10105395231158683}, pmid = {36824019}, issn = {1941-2479}, }
@article {pmid36822432, year = {2023}, author = {Zheng, S and Li, J and Ye, C and Xian, X and Feng, M and Yu, X}, title = {Microbiological risks increased by ammonia-oxidizing bacteria under global warming: The neglected issue in chloraminated drinking water distribution system.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {874}, number = {}, pages = {162353}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162353}, pmid = {36822432}, issn = {1879-1026}, mesh = {*Water Supply ; Chloramines/chemistry ; *Drinking Water ; Ammonia/metabolism ; Global Warming ; Bacteria/metabolism ; Nitrification ; Oxidation-Reduction ; Archaea/metabolism ; }, abstract = {A rising outbreak of waterborne diseases caused by global warming requires higher microbial stability in the drinking water distribution system (DWDS). Chloramine disinfection is gaining popularity in this context due to its good persistent stability and fewer disinfection byproducts. However, the microbiological risks may be significantly magnified by ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (AOB) in distribution systems during global warming, which is rarely noticed. Hence, this work mainly focuses on AOB to explore its impact on water quality biosafety in the context of global warming. Research indicates that global warming-induced high temperatures can directly or indirectly promote the growth of AOB, thus leading to nitrification. Further, its metabolites or cellular residues can be used as substrates for the growth of heterotrophic bacteria (e.g., waterborne pathogens). Thus, biofilm may be more persistent in the pipelines due to the presence of AOB. Breakpoint chlorination is usually applied to control such situations. However, switching between this strategy and chloramine disinfection would result in even more severe nitrification and other adverse effects. Based on the elevated microbiological risks in DWDS, the following aspects should be paid attention to in future research: (1) to understand the response of nitrifying bacteria to high temperatures and the possible association between AOB and pathogenic growth, (2) to reveal the mechanisms of AOB-mediated biofilm formation under high-temperature stress, and (3) to develop new technologies to prevent and control the occurrence of nitrification in drinking water distribution system.}, }
@article {pmid36822002, year = {2023}, author = {Cole, R and Hajat, S and Murage, P and Heaviside, C and Macintyre, H and Davies, M and Wilkinson, P}, title = {The contribution of demographic changes to future heat-related health burdens under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {173}, number = {}, pages = {107836}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2023.107836}, pmid = {36822002}, issn = {1873-6750}, support = {216035/Z/19/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; }, mesh = {*Hot Temperature ; *Climate Change ; Life Expectancy ; Uncertainty ; Population Growth ; Mortality ; }, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change will have a detrimental impact on global health, including the direct impact of higher ambient temperatures. Existing projections of heat-related health outcomes in a changing climate often consider increasing ambient temperatures alone. Population growth and structure has been identified as a key source of uncertainty in future projections. Age acts as a modifier of heat risk, with heat-risk generally increasing in older age-groups. In many countries the population is ageing as lower birth rates and increasing life expectancy alter the population structure. Preparing for an older population, in particular in the context of a warmer climate should therefore be a priority in public health research and policy. We assess the level of inclusion of population growth and demographic changes in research projecting exposure to heat and heat-related health outcomes. To assess the level of inclusion of population changes in the literature, keyword searches of two databases were implemented, followed by reference and citation scans to identify any missed papers. Relevant papers, those including a projection of the heat health burden under climate change, were then checked for inclusion of population scenarios. Where sensitivity to population change was studied the impact of this on projections was extracted. Our analysis suggests that projecting the heat health burden is a growing area of research, however, some areas remain understudied including Africa and the Middle East and morbidity is rarely explored with most studies focusing on mortality. Of the studies pairing projections of population and climate, specifically SSPs and RCPs, many used pairing considered to be unfeasible. We find that not including any projected changes in population or demographics leads to underestimation of health burdens of on average 64 %. Inclusion of population changes increased the heat health burden across all but two studies.}, }
@article {pmid36821586, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, F and Calle, N and Bonilla, S and Sarmiento, F and Herrnegger, M}, title = {Impacts of soil erosion and climate change on the built heritage of the Pambamarca Fortress Complex in northern Ecuador.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0281869}, pmid = {36821586}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Soil Erosion ; *Climate Change ; Ecuador ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Soil ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; }, abstract = {The Pambamarca fortress complex in northern Ecuador is a cultural and built heritage with 18 prehispanic fortresses known as Pucaras. They are mostly located on the ridge of the Pambamarca volcano, which is severely affected by erosion. In this research, we implemented a multiscale methodology to identify sheet, rill and gully erosion in the context of climate change for the prehistoric sites. In a first phase, we coupled the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and four CMIP6 climate models to evaluate and prioritize which Pucaras are prone to sheet and rill erosion, after comparing historical and future climate scenarios. Then, we conducted field visits to collect geophotos and soil samples for validation purposes, as well as drone flight campaigns to derive high resolution digital elevation models and identify gully erosion with the stream power index. Our erosion maps achieved an overall accuracy of 0.75 when compared with geophotos and correlated positively with soil samples sand fraction. The Pucaras evaluated with the historical climate scenario obtained erosion rates ranging between 0 and 20 ton*ha-1*yr-1. These rates also varied from -15.7% to 39.1% for four future climate change models that reported extreme conditions. In addition, after identifying and overflying six Pucaras that showed the highest erosion rates in the future climate models, we mapped their gully-prone areas that represented between 0.9% and 3.2% of their analyzed areas. The proposed methodology allowed us to observe how the design of the Pucaras and their concentric terraces have managed to reduce gully erosion, but also to notice the pressures they suffer due to their susceptibility to erosion, anthropic pressures and climate change. To address this, we suggest management strategies to guide the protection of this cultural and built heritage landscapes.}, }
@article {pmid36821486, year = {2023}, author = {Naughton, M and Payne, RA}, title = {The fight against climate change in primary care: a prescription for change.}, journal = {Family practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/fampra/cmac119}, pmid = {36821486}, issn = {1460-2229}, }
@article {pmid36820855, year = {2023}, author = {Heinz, A and Meyer-Lindenberg, A and , }, title = {[Climate change and mental health. Position paper of a task force of the DGPPN].}, journal = {Der Nervenarzt}, volume = {94}, number = {3}, pages = {225-233}, pmid = {36820855}, issn = {1433-0407}, mesh = {Humans ; *Mental Health ; Climate Change ; Anxiety Disorders ; Anxiety ; *Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic ; }, abstract = {Climate change and the resulting higher frequency of extreme weather events have a direct negative impact on mental health. Natural disasters are particularly associated with an increase in the prevalence of depression, anxiety and posttraumatic stress disorder. Indirect consequences of climate change, such as food shortages, economic crises, violent conflicts and forced migration, additionally represent severe psychological risk and stress factors. Climate anxiety and solastalgia, the distress induced by environmental change, are new psychological syndromes in the face of the existential threat posed by the climate crisis. Accordingly, a sustainable psychiatry must prepare for increasing and changing demands. The principles of psychiatric treatment need to focus more on prevention to reduce the overall burden on the healthcare system. Waste of resources and CO2 emissions in psychiatric treatment processes as well as infrastructure must be perceived and prevented. Psychiatric education, training and continuing education concepts should be expanded to include the topic of climate change in order to comprehensively inform and sensitize professionals, those affected and the public and to encourage climate-friendly and health-promoting behavior. More in-depth research is needed on the impact of climate change on mental health. The DGPPN becomes a sponsor and aims for climate neutrality by 2030 by committing to climate-friendly and energy-saving measures in the area of finance, in relation to the DGPPN congress as well as the DGPPN office.}, }
@article {pmid36820201, year = {2023}, author = {da Silva Tavares, P and Acosta, R and Nobre, P and Resende, NC and Chou, SC and de Arruda Lyra, A}, title = {Water balance components and climate extremes over Brazil under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C of global warming scenarios.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {40}, pmid = {36820201}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: This work aimed to evaluate changes in water balance components (precipitation, evapotranspiration, and water availability) and precipitation extremes projected under global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, in Brazil. An ensemble of eight twenty-first-century projections with the Eta Regional Climate Model and their driving Global Climate Models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5, and BESM) were used. Projections of two Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, considered intermediate and high concentration, respectively, were used. The results indicate that the RCP8.5 scenario under 2 °C GWL is likely to have a higher impact on the water balance components, amplifying trends in drier conditions and increasing the number of consecutive dry days in some regions of Brazil, particularly in the North and Northeast regions. On the other hand, the projections indicate the opposite sign for the South region, with trends toward wetter conditions and significant increases in extreme rainfall. The 0.5 °C difference between the GWLs contributes to intensifying reductions (increases) from 4 to 7% in water availability, mainly in the North-Northeast (South) regions. The projected changes could have serious consequences, such as increases in the number of drought events in hydrographic regions of the Northeast region of Brazil and increases in flood events in the South of the country. The results here presented can contribute to the formulation of adaptive planning strategies aimed at ensuring Brazil's water security towards climate change.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02042-1.}, }
@article {pmid36818897, year = {2022}, author = {Mahmood, J and Rajaram, NN and Guinto, RR}, title = {Addressing Food Insecurity and Climate Change in Malaysia: Current Evidence and Ways Forward.}, journal = {The Malaysian journal of medical sciences : MJMS}, volume = {29}, number = {6}, pages = {1-5}, pmid = {36818897}, issn = {1394-195X}, }
@article {pmid36818883, year = {2023}, author = {He, P and Li, Y and Huo, T and Meng, F and Peng, C and Bai, M}, title = {Priority planting area planning for cash crops under heavy metal pollution and climate change: A case study of Ligusticum chuanxiong Hort.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1080881}, pmid = {36818883}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Soil pollution by heavy metals and climate change pose substantial threats to the habitat suitability of cash crops. Discussing the suitability of cash crops in this context is necessary for the conservation and management of species. We developed a comprehensive evaluation system that is universally applicable to all plants stressed by heavy metal pollution.<br><br>METHODS: The MaxEnt model was used to simulate the spatial distribution of Ligusticum chuanxiong Hort within the study area (Sichuan, Shaanxi, and Chongqing) based on current and future climate conditions (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios). We established the current Cd pollution status in the study area using kriging interpolation and kernel density. Additionally, the three scenarios were used in prediction models to simulate future Cd pollution conditions based on current Cd pollution data. The current and future priority planting areas for L. chuanxiong were determined by overlay analysis, and two levels of results were obtained.<br><br>RESULTS: The results revealed that the current first- and secondary-priority planting areas for L. chuanxiong were 2.06 &#xd7;10[3] km[2] and 1.64 &#xd7;10[4] km[2], respectively. Of these areas, the seven primary and twelve secondary counties for current L. chuanxiong cultivation should be given higher priority; these areas include Meishan, Qionglai, Pujiang, and other regions. Furthermore, all the priority zones based on the current and future scenarios were mainly concentrated on the Chengdu Plain, southeastern Sichuan and northern Chongqing. Future planning results indicated that Renshou, Pingwu, Meishan, Qionglai, Pengshan, and other regions are very important for L. chuanxiong planting, and a pessimistic scenario will negatively impact this potential planting. The spatial dynamics of priority areas in 2050 and 2070 clearly fluctuated under different prediction scenarios and were mainly distributed in northern Sichuan and western Chongqing.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Given these results, taking reasonable measures to replan and manage these areas is necessary. This study provides. not only a useful reference for the protection and cultivation of L. chuanxiong, but also a framework for analyzing other cash crops.}, }
@article {pmid36818660, year = {2023}, author = {Matiiuk, Y and Krikštolaitis, R and Liobikienė, G}, title = {The Covid-19 pandemic in context of climate change perception and resource-saving behavior in the European Union countries.}, journal = {Journal of cleaner production}, volume = {395}, number = {}, pages = {136433}, pmid = {36818660}, issn = {0959-6526}, abstract = {The resource-saving behavior in the recent period is escalating particularly due to the energy and prices crises in all of the European Union (EU). The COVID-19 pandemic not only caused changes in health concerns but also in environmental awareness and behavior. Thus, this paper aims to reveal whether the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the resource-saving behavior, and how this pandemic changed the climate change perception and personal responsibility in the EU countries. Referring to two surveys conducted in all EU countries in 2019 and 2021, the results revealed that the level of climate change perception during this period significantly decreased in all EU. Meanwhile, the level of responsibility placed on the government to solve the climate change problem increased the most. A level of the personal responsibility increased negligibly. Considering resource-saving behaviors, only the lesser usage of disposable items from 2019 to 2021 increased statistically significantly. The results of an analysis of the main determinants of resource-saving behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic period revealed that personal responsibility and the climate change solution's benefit for health positively and significantly determined all the analyzed actions. The climate change perception and climate change solution's benefit for the economy statistically significantly influenced waste reduction, the purchase of efficient appliances, and the usage of pro-environmental transportation mode instead of personal cars. Health benefits instead of the economic benefits statistically significantly contributed to the resource-saving behaviors, except for actions that require more monetary investments. The satisfaction with the COVID-19 pandemic management had an insignificant negative impact on all resource-saving actions. Thus, the tools assigned to manage this pandemic did not motivate people to save natural resources.}, }
@article {pmid36818294, year = {2023}, author = {Goldstein, E and Erinjery, JJ and Martin, G and Kasturiratne, A and Ediriweera, DS and Somaweera, R and de Silva, HJ and Diggle, P and Lalloo, DG and Murray, KA and Iwamura, T}, title = {Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {26}, number = {2}, pages = {105946}, pmid = {36818294}, issn = {2589-0042}, support = {MR/P024513/1/MRC_/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom ; }, abstract = {Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers' behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers' adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite using individual-based simulations, focusing on strategies meant to counteract major crop yield decline because of changing rainfall in Sri Lanka. For rubber cropping, adaptation led to a 33% increase in snakebite incidence per farmer work hour because of work during risky months, but a 17% decrease in total annual snakebites because of decreased labor in plantations overall. Rice farming adaptation decreased snakebites by 16%, because of shifting labor towards safer months, whereas tea adaptation led to a general increase. These results indicate that adaptation could have both a positive and negative effect, potentially intensified by ENSO. Our research highlights the need for assessing adaptation strategies for potential health maladaptations.}, }
@article {pmid36818118, year = {2023}, author = {Alvi, S and Salman, V and Bibi, FUN and Sarwar, N}, title = {Intergenerational and intragenerational preferences in a developing country to avoid climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1098382}, pmid = {36818118}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Intergenerational and intragenerational approaches to climate change take into account the actions taken by the current generation to maintain or improve the climate, which is advantageous to both the present and future generations. Climate-friendly initiatives primarily benefit future generations, with current generations receiving lesser benefits. Self-interest can hinder the management of shared resources, as seen in the "tragedy of the commons" concept, where individuals benefit from defecting, but society bears the consequences of it. This study used three different time horizons to determine the inter- and intra-generational preferences of groups of human subjects for preventing hazardous climate change. We looked at how groups of participants responded in scenarios that varied in motivation, income, social pressure, and learning opportunities. For this purpose, we conducted two group experiments framed around climate change where participants could choose to cooperate for a noble cause: tree plantations. Its rewards are delayed by several years and probably a few decades (intergenerational discounting), where future generations will be the big beneficiaries. There were two more options: the first one delayed the reward by 1 week, and the second was delayed by seven weeks (intragenerational discounting). We found that intergenerational discounting was high when the groups had free will and motivation. Further, it is revealed that having more money does not play a significant positive role in long-term climate sustainability in a developing country; however, it does, but not as much as motivation and free will do.}, }
@article {pmid36814931, year = {2023}, author = {Niedrist, GH}, title = {Substantial warming of Central European mountain rivers under climate change.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {43}, pmid = {36814931}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Water bodies around the world are currently warming with unprecedented rates since observations started, but warming occurs highly variable among ecoregions. So far, mountain rivers were expected to experience attenuated warming due to cold water input from snow or ice. However, air temperatures in mountain areas are increasing faster than the global average, and therefore warming effects are expected for cold riverine ecosystems. In decomposing multi-decadal water temperature data of two Central European mountain rivers with different discharge and water source regime, this work identified so far unreported (a) long-term warming trends (with river-size dependent rates between +0.24 and +0.44 °C decade[-1]); but also (b) seasonal shifts with both rivers warming not only during summer, but also in winter months (i.e., up to +0.52 °C decade[-1] in November); (c) significantly increasing minimum and maximum temperatures (e.g., temperatures in a larger river no longer reach freezing point since 1996 and maximum temperatures increased at rates between +0.4 and +0.7 °C decade[-1]); and (d) an expanding of warm-water periods during recent decades in these ecosystems. Our results show a substantial warming effect of mountain rivers with significant month-specific warming rates not only during summer but also in winter, suggesting that mountain river phenology continues to change with ongoing atmospheric warming. Furthermore, this work demonstrates that apart from a general warming, also seasonal shifts, changes in extreme temperatures, and expanding warm periods will play a role for ecological components of mountain rivers and should be considered in climate change assessments and mitigation management.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02037-y.}, }
@article {pmid36814429, year = {2023}, author = {Kleebayoon, A and Wiwanitkit, V}, title = {COVID-19, Monkeypox, Climate change and Surgery: Correspondence.}, journal = {Perioperative care and operating room management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {100310}, pmid = {36814429}, issn = {2405-6030}, }
@article {pmid36811356, year = {2023}, author = {Carey, N and Chester, ET and Robson, BJ}, title = {Loss of functionally important and regionally endemic species from streams forced into intermittency by global warming.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16650}, pmid = {36811356}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Climate change is altering hydrological cycles globally, and in Mediterranean (med-) climate regions it is causing the drying of river flow regimes, including the loss of perennial flows. Water regime exerts a strong influence over stream assemblages, which have developed over geological timeframes with the extant flow regime. Consequently, sudden drying in formerly perennial streams is expected to have large, negative impacts on stream fauna. We compared contemporary (2016/17) macroinvertebrate assemblages of formerly perennial streams that became intermittently flowing (since the early 2000s) to assemblages recorded in the same streams by a study conducted pre-drying (1981/82) in the med-climate region of southwestern Australia (the Wungong Brook catchment, SWA), using a multiple before-after, control-impact design. Assemblage composition in the stream reaches that remained perennial changed very little between the studies. In contrast, recent intermittency had a profound effect on species composition in streams impacted by drying, including the extirpation of nearly all Gondwanan relictual insect species. New species arriving at intermittent streams tended to be widespread, resilient species including desert-adapted taxa. Intermittent streams also had distinct species assemblages, due in part to differences in their hydroperiods, allowing the establishment of distinct winter and summer assemblages in streams with longer-lived pools. The remaining perennial stream is the only refuge for ancient Gondwanan relict species and the only place in the Wungong Brook catchment where many of these species still persist. The fauna of SWA upland streams is becoming homogenised with that of the wider Western Australian landscape, as drought-tolerant, widespread species replace local endemics. Flow regime drying caused large, in situ alterations to stream assemblage composition and demonstrates the threat posed to relictual stream faunas in regions where climates are drying.}, }
@article {pmid36810764, year = {2023}, author = {Tjiputra, JF and Negrel, J and Olsen, A}, title = {Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3006}, pmid = {36810764}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Robust detection of anthropogenic climate change is crucial to: (i) improve our understanding of Earth system responses to external forcing, (ii) reduce uncertainty in future climate projections, and (iii) develop efficient mitigation and adaptation plans. Here, we use Earth system model projections to establish the detection timescales of anthropogenic signals in the global ocean through analyzing temperature, salinity, oxygen, and pH evolution from surface to 2000 m depths. For most variables, anthropogenic changes emerge earlier in the interior ocean than at the surface, due to the lower background variability at depth. Acidification is detectable earliest, followed by warming and oxygen changes in the subsurface tropical Atlantic. Temperature and salinity changes in the subsurface tropical and subtropical North Atlantic are shown to be early indicators for a slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Even under mitigated scenarios, inner ocean anthropogenic signals are projected to emerge within the next few decades. This is because they originate from existing surface changes that are now propagating into the interior. In addition to the tropical Atlantic, our study calls for establishment of long-term interior monitoring systems in the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic in order to elucidate how spatially heterogeneous anthropogenic signals propagate into the interior and impact marine ecosystems and biogeochemistry.}, }
@article {pmid36808228, year = {2023}, author = {Ozkan, J}, title = {Too hot to handle? Mitigating the effects of climate change on cardiovascular health.}, journal = {European heart journal}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehad051}, pmid = {36808228}, issn = {1522-9645}, }
@article {pmid36807829, year = {2023}, author = {Lutz, V and Chidiak, M and Frouin, R and Negri, R and Dogliotti, AI and Santamaria-Del-Angel, E and Berghoff, CF and Rojas, J and Filipello, C and Astor, Y and Segura, V and Gonzalez-Silvera, A and Escudero, L and Ledesma, J and Ueyoshi, K and Silva, RI and Ruiz, MG and Cozzolino, E and Allega, L and Tan, J and Kampel, M}, title = {Regulation of CO2 by the sea in areas around Latin America in a context of climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {3}, pages = {417}, pmid = {36807829}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Ecosystem ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Latin America ; Climate Change ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Methane/analysis ; }, abstract = {Anthropogenic activities are increasing the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2); around a third of the CO2 emitted by these activities has been taken up by the ocean. Nevertheless, this marine ecosystem service of regulation remains largely invisible to society, and not enough is known about regional differences and trends in sea-air CO2 fluxes (FCO2), especially in the Southern Hemisphere. The objectives of this work were as follows: first to put values of FCO2 integrated over the exclusive economic zones (EEZ) of five Latin-American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Venezuela) into perspective regarding total country-level greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions. Second, to assess the variability of two main biological factors affecting FCO2 at marine ecological time series (METS) in these areas. FCO2 over the EEZs were estimated using the NEMO model, and GHG emissions were taken from reports to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. For each METS, the variability in phytoplankton biomass (indexed by chlorophyll-a concentration, Chla) and abundance of different cell sizes (phy-size) were analyzed at two time periods (2000-2015 and 2007-2015). Estimates of FCO2 at the analyzed EEZs showed high variability among each other and non-negligible values in the context of greenhouse gas emissions. The trends observed at the METS indicated, in some cases, an increase in Chla (e.g., EPEA-Argentina) and a decrease in others (e.g., IMARPE-Peru). Evidence of increasing populations of small size-phytoplankton was observed (e.g., EPEA-Argentina, Ensenada-Mexico), which would affect the carbon export to the deep ocean. These results highlight the relevance of ocean health and its ecosystem service of regulation when discussing carbon net emissions and budgets.}, }
@article {pmid36805358, year = {2023}, author = {Beggs, PJ and Clot, B and Sofiev, M and Johnston, FH}, title = {Climate change, airborne allergens, and three translational mitigation approaches.}, journal = {EBioMedicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {104478}, doi = {10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104478}, pmid = {36805358}, issn = {2352-3964}, abstract = {One of the important adverse impacts of climate change on human health is increases in allergic respiratory diseases such as allergic rhinitis and asthma. This impact is via the effects of increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and air temperature on sources of airborne allergens such as pollen and fungal spores. This review describes these effects and then explores three translational mitigation approaches that may lead to improved health outcomes, with recent examples and developments highlighted. Impacts have already been observed on the seasonality, production and atmospheric concentration, allergenicity, and geographic distribution of airborne allergens, and these are projected to continue into the future. A technological revolution is underway that has the potential to advance patient management by better avoiding associated increased exposures, including automated real-time airborne allergen monitoring, airborne allergen forecasting and modelling, and smartphone apps for mitigating the health impacts of airborne allergens.}, }
@article {pmid36805062, year = {2023}, author = {Sun, F and Chang, R and Tariq, A and Sardans, J and Penuelas, J and Jiang, H and Zhou, X and Li, N}, title = {Livestock grazing-exclusion under global warming scenario decreases phosphorus mineralization by changing soil food web structure in a Tibetan alpine meadow.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {873}, number = {}, pages = {162313}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162313}, pmid = {36805062}, issn = {1879-1026}, mesh = {Animals ; *Global Warming ; Tibet ; *Grassland ; Phosphorus ; Livestock ; Food Chain ; Soil/chemistry ; Phosphoric Monoester Hydrolases ; }, abstract = {The exclusion of grazing has been used extensively in alpine meadows on the Tibetan Plateau. Studies, however, have shown reported recent trends of decreasing concentrations of soil nutrients because of grazing exclusion and climate change. The effects of excluding grazing on the soil biogeochemical process of phosphorus cycling in alpine meadows are unclear, especially under climatic warming. We conducted a 5-year grazing-exclusion and warming-manipulation experiment to examine the effects of excluding grazing on fractions of soil phosphorus, microbial and nematode communities and enzymatic activities in treatments of low grazing intensity, grazing exclusion, and combined grazing exclusion and warming. Our results indicated that excluding grazing significantly decreased bacterivore and omnivore-predator densities, phoD gene abundance and alkaline phosphomonoesterase activity (in the 0-5 cm layer by -34, -41, -38 and -42 %) at altitudes of 3850 m, 4000 m, 4150 m and 4250 m, respectively. Structural equation modeling indicated that bacterivores positively affected phoD gene abundance, alkaline phosphomonoesterase activity and inorganic‑phosphorus fractions. Combined grazing exclusion and warming significantly decreased bacterivore and omnivore-predator densities but significantly increased fungivore density (in the 0-5 cm layer by 238, 172, 119 and 65 %) at altitudes of 3850, 4000, 4150 and 4250 m, respectively. Structural equation modeling also indicated that the combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment increased the soil fungi and fungivores, but the higher abundances of fungi and fungivores did not significantly affect acid phosphomonoesterase activity or inorganic‑phosphorus fractions. Alternatively, the combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment significantly increased the concentrations of amorphous and free aluminum, which were positively correlated with the maximum adsorption of phosphorus. The combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment thus significantly decreased the availability of resin phosphorus (-63, -51, -81 and -67 %) in the 0-5 cm layer at altitudes of 3850, 4000, 4150 and 4250 m, respectively. Our results suggested that light grazing (0.5 yak ha[-1] year[-1]) could increase phosphorus mineralization and the activity of soil enzymes in alpine meadows under global warming. An adequate load of livestock pressure at each altitude can be an effective management technique, mainly under warming, to maintain an adequate, sustainable and equilibrated phosphorus cycle in the plant-soil system.}, }
@article {pmid36804960, year = {2023}, author = {Nainggolan, D and Abay, AT and Christensen, JH and Termansen, M}, title = {The impact of climate change on crop mix shift in the Nordic region.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2962}, pmid = {36804960}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Growing evidence of anthropogenic climate change suggests marked changes in agricultural ecosystems and crop suitability across the globe. Northern Europe is primarily predicted to see beneficial impacts through crop shifts towards the North of the region. However, studies that quantify the magnitude of climate induced past shifts and the likely future shifts in the agricultural land use patterns are lacking. We use a rich municipality level longitudinal data set from the Nordic region from 1979 to 2012 to study farmers' adaptation to climate change in terms of crop mix shift. We model four land use classes, namely, cereal, grass, oil seed, and 'others', a category summing the remaining agricultural land uses. On top of climatic variables, we include biophysical and economic variables as controls in the regression. We utilize a multinomial fractional logit regression to estimate changes in the land use mix. The projection results indicate that both the near future (2041-2070) and the far future (2071-2100) projected climate are likely to increase the area share of cereal and at the same time decrease the share of grass in the Nordic region relative to the baseline climate (1981-2010). However, these results vary across the region. The results generally suggest a moderate climate induced impact on the spatial crop distributions. Our projection results show a moderate shift in agricultural crop distributions depending on the climate scenario and the time-horizon. Depending on the climate change scenario, grass and cereal are expected to shift by up to 92.8 and 178.7 km, respectively, towards opposite directions; grass towards the South-West and cereal towards the North-East. Overall, the projected areal expansion of cereal towards the North-East is expected to lead to increased environmental pressure.}, }
@article {pmid36804885, year = {2023}, author = {Tian, C and Yue, X and Zhu, J and Liao, H and Yang, Y and Chen, L and Zhou, X and Lei, Y and Zhou, H and Cao, Y}, title = {Projections of fire emissions and the consequent impacts on air quality under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {323}, number = {}, pages = {121311}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121311}, pmid = {36804885}, issn = {1873-6424}, mesh = {Humans ; Global Warming ; Biodiversity ; Temperature ; *Air Pollution ; *Air Pollutants/analysis ; Particulate Matter/analysis ; }, abstract = {Fire is a major source of atmospheric aerosols and trace gases. Projection of future fire activities is challenging due to the joint impacts of climate, vegetation, and human activities. Here, we project global changes of fire-induced particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) under 1.5 °C/2 °C warming using a climate-chemistry-vegetation coupled model in combination with site-level and satellite-based observations. Compared to the present day, fire emissions of varied air pollutants increase by 10.0%-15.4% at the 1.5 °C warming period and 15.1%-22.5% at the 2 °C warming period, with the most significant enhancements in Amazon, southern Africa, and boreal Eurasia. The warmer climate promotes fuel dryness and the higher leaf area index increases fuel availability, leading to escalated fire flammability globally. However, moderate declines in fire emissions are predicted over the Sahel region, because the higher population density increases fire suppressions and consequently inhibits fire activities over central Africa. Following the changes in fire emissions, the population-weighted exposure to fire PM2.5 increases by 5.1% under 1.5 °C warming and 13.0% under 2 °C warming. Meanwhile, the exposure to fire O3 enhances by 10.2% and 16.0% in response to global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, respectively. As a result, limiting global temperature increase to 1.5 °C can greatly reduce the risks of exposure to fire-induced air pollution compared to 2 °C.}, }
@article {pmid36802450, year = {2023}, author = {Yang, H and Macario-González, L and Cohuo, S and Whitmore, TJ and Salgado, J and Peréz, L and Schwalb, A and Rose, NL and Holmes, J and Riedinger-Whitmore, MA and Hoelzmann, P and O'Dea, A}, title = {Mercury Pollution History in Tropical and Subtropical American Lakes: Multiple Impacts and the Possible Relationship with Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology}, volume = {57}, number = {9}, pages = {3680-3690}, pmid = {36802450}, issn = {1520-5851}, mesh = {Humans ; Lakes ; *Mercury/analysis ; Climate Change ; Environmental Monitoring ; Environmental Pollution ; Geologic Sediments ; *Water Pollutants, Chemical/analysis ; }, abstract = {Sediment cores obtained from 11 tropical and subtropical American lakes revealed that local human activities significantly increased mercury (Hg) inputs and pollution levels. Remote lakes also have been contaminated by anthropogenic Hg through atmospheric depositions. Long-term sediment-core profiles revealed an approximately 3-fold increase in Hg fluxes to sediments from c. 1850 to 2000. Generalized additive models indicate that c. 3-fold increases in Hg fluxes also occurred since 2000 in the remote sites, while Hg emissions from anthropogenic sources have remained relatively stable. The tropical and subtropical Americas are vulnerable to extreme weather events. Air temperatures in this region have shown a marked increase since the 1990s, and extreme weather events arising from climate change have increased. When comparing Hg fluxes to recent (1950-2016) climatic changes, results show marked increases in Hg fluxes to sediments during dry periods. The Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) time series indicate a tendency toward more extreme drier conditions across the study region since the mid-1990s, suggesting that instabilities in catchment surfaces caused by climate change are responsible for the elevated Hg flux rates. Drier conditions since c. 2000 appear to be promoting Hg fluxes from catchments to lakes, a process that will likely be exacerbated under future climate-change scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid36801933, year = {2023}, author = {Motamedi, A and Gohari, A and Haghighi, AT}, title = {Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2888}, pmid = {36801933}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959-2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (- 0.16/ - 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (- 0.5/ - 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades.}, }
@article {pmid36801608, year = {2023}, author = {Wright, ML and Drake, D and Link, DG and Berg, JA}, title = {Climate change and the adverse impact on the health and well-being of women and girls from the Women's Health Expert Panel of the American Academy of Nursing.}, journal = {Nursing outlook}, volume = {71}, number = {2}, pages = {101919}, doi = {10.1016/j.outlook.2023.101919}, pmid = {36801608}, issn = {1528-3968}, abstract = {Climate change has measurable adverse impact on the general and reproductive health of women and girls. Multinational government organizations, private foundations, and consumer groups identify anthropogenic disruptions in social and ecological environments as the primary threats to human health this century. Drought, micronutrient shortage, famine, mass migration, conflict over resources, and effects on mental health resulting from displacement and war are challenging effects to manage. The most severe effects will be felt by those with the least resources to prepare for and adapt to changes. Climate change is a phenomenon of interest to women's health professionals because women and girls are more vulnerable to the effects due to a combination of physiologic, biologic, cultural, and socioeconomic risk factors. Nurses, with our scientific foundation, human-centered approach, and position of trust in societies can be leaders in efforts at mitigation, adaptation, and building resilience in response to changes in our planetary health.}, }
@article {pmid36801235, year = {2023}, author = {Jia, R and Li, P and Chen, C and Liu, L and Li, ZH}, title = {Shellfish-algal systems as important components of fisheries carbon sinks: Their contribution and response to climate change.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {224}, number = {}, pages = {115511}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.115511}, pmid = {36801235}, issn = {1096-0953}, mesh = {*Carbon Sequestration ; *Seawater ; Climate Change ; Fisheries ; Hydrogen-Ion Concentration ; Shellfish ; Carbon ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {In the context of global climate change, ocean acidification and warming are becoming increasingly serious. Adding carbon sinks in the ocean is an important part of efforts to mitigate climate change. Many researchers have proposed the concept of a fisheries carbon sink. Shellfish-algal systems are among the most important components of fisheries carbon sinks, but there has been limited research on the impact of climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems. This review assesses the impact of global climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems and provides a rough estimate of the global shellfish-algal carbon sink capacity. This review evaluates the impact of global climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems. We review relevant studies that have examined the effects of climate change on such systems from multiple levels, perspectives, and species. There is an urgent need for more realistic and comprehensive studies given expectations about the future climate. Such studies should provide a better understanding of the mechanisms by which the carbon cycle function of marine biological carbon pumps may be affected in realistic future environmental conditions and the patterns of interaction between climate change and ocean carbon sinks.}, }
@article {pmid36800404, year = {2023}, author = {Poindexter, K}, title = {Global Code Red: Nursing Education's Call to Climate Change.}, journal = {Nursing education perspectives}, volume = {44}, number = {2}, pages = {73-74}, pmid = {36800404}, issn = {1536-5026}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Nursing ; }, }
@article {pmid36799390, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, J and Li, G and Yan, LJ and Liu, Q and Nie, ZG}, title = {Variation characteristics of climatic potential yield and resources utilization efficiency of maize under the background of climate change in agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu, China.}, journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology}, volume = {34}, number = {1}, pages = {160-168}, doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202301.023}, pmid = {36799390}, issn = {1001-9332}, mesh = {*Agriculture ; China ; *Climate Change ; Temperature ; *Zea mays ; Rain ; Sunlight ; }, abstract = {To evaluate the effects of changes in radiation, accumulative temperature, precipitation and climate resources on climate resource utilization efficiency in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu Province, we analyzed the variations of climate potential yield loss rate, light, heat, precipitation and comprehensive utilization efficiency of climate resources in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu Province by the step-by-step correction and indexation method, with the 1971-2020 weather data from 45 meteorological sites and the maize phenology data. The results showed that solar radiation showed fluctuating downward trend at a rate of -22.03 MJ·m[-2]·(10 a)[-1], the accumulative ≥11 ℃ temperature showed significant upward trend at a rate of 60.89 ℃·(10 a)[-1], the precipitation showed slow upward trend at a rate of 2.05 mm·(10 a)[-1] during the study period. The climate potential yield loss rate due to temperature and precipitation limitations was relatively high in Gannan and the northern part of Longzhong, while it was relatively low in the most areas of Longdong. Except for the central part of the study area and part of Longdong, the climate potential yield loss rate due to temperature and precipitation limitations in other regions of the study area showed decreased trend at the rate of -2.0%·(10 a)[-1] and -0.6%·(10 a)[-1]. The low-value areas of light and heat utilization efficiency distributed in the northern and southern parts of Longzhong and part of Gannan, the low-value area of precipitation utilization efficiency distributed in Gannan, and the low value of comprehensive utilization efficiency distributed in Lanzhou and Baiyin which were 0.41 and 0.47, respectively. Longdong was the most suitable for maize planting, where the climate resources utilization efficiency of maize was highest, followed by Gannan and Longzhong. The average tendency rate of light, heat, precipitation and climate resources comprehensive utilization efficiency in the study area showed increased trend, which were 0.1%·(10 a)[-1], 0.07 kg·hm[-2]·℃[-1]·d[-1]·(10 a)[-1], 1.17 kg·hm[-2]·mm[-1]·(10 a)[-1] and 0.05 ·(10 a)[-1], respectively, showing a good potential to increase maize yield.}, }
@article {pmid36798836, year = {2023}, author = {Martínez-Valderrama, J and Ibáñez, J}, title = {Implementing climate change projections in System Dynamics models.}, journal = {MethodsX}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {102044}, pmid = {36798836}, issn = {2215-0161}, abstract = {Desertification is the degradation of drylands, which occupy an increasing proportion of the Earth's surface due to global warming. It is currently the most extensive biome on Earth, occupying 45% and one out of every three inhabitants of the planet live in them. One of the most effective ways to face desertification, as Land Degradation Neutrality points out, is prevention. For this purpose, simulation models are very useful tools. Specifically, System Dynamics models are particularly effective, since they allow bringing together the biophysical and socioeconomic variables involved in the formation of the problem. These integrative models, coupled with other tools such as sensitivity analyses, are used to generate desertification early warning indicators. The objective of this programming routine is to implement climate change scenarios in these simulation models. The script presented here was used to evaluate the sensitivity of dehesa rangelands productivity to the increase in the frequency and intensity of droughts due to climate change.•Integrated simulation models are useful tools to understand complex socioecosystems.•Land-use changes foster the alteration of key hydro-bio-geochemical processes.•By means of automated import processes and data analysis programming, it is possible to implement desertification early warning systems.}, }
@article {pmid36798595, year = {2023}, author = {Fonseca, C and Wood, LE and Andriamahefazafy, M and Casal, G and Chaigneau, T and Cornet, CC and Degia, AK and Failler, P and Ferraro, G and Furlan, E and Hawkins, J and de Juan, S and Krause, T and McCarthy, T and Pérez, G and Roberts, C and Trégarot, E and O'Leary, BC}, title = {Survey data of public awareness on climate change and the value of marine and coastal ecosystems.}, journal = {Data in brief}, volume = {47}, number = {}, pages = {108924}, pmid = {36798595}, issn = {2352-3409}, abstract = {The long-term provision of ocean ecosystem services depends on healthy ecosystems and effective sustainable management. Understanding public opinion about marine and coastal ecosystems is important to guide decision-making and inform specific actions. However, available data on public perceptions on the interlinked effects of climate change, human impacts and the value and management of marine and coastal ecosystems are rare. This dataset presents raw data from an online, self-administered, public awareness survey conducted between November 2021 and February 2022 which yielded 709 responses from 42 countries. The survey was released in four languages (English, French, Spanish and Italian) and consisted of four main parts: (1) perceptions about climate change; (2) perceptions about the value of, and threats to, coasts, oceans and their wildlife, (3) perceptions about climate change response; and (4) socio-demographic information. Participation in the survey was voluntary and all respondents provided informed consent after reading a participant information form at the beginning of the survey. Responses were anonymous unless respondents chose to provide contact information. All identifying information has been removed from the dataset. The dataset can be used to conduct quantitative analyses, especially in the area of public perceptions of the interlinkages between climate change, human impacts and options for sustainable management in the context of marine and coastal ecosystems. The dataset is provided with this article, including a copy of the survey and participant information forms in all four languages, data and the corresponding codebook.}, }
@article {pmid36797719, year = {2023}, author = {Pan, Z and Yu, L and Shao, M and Ma, Y and Cheng, Y and Wu, Y and Xu, S and Zhang, C and Zhu, J and Pan, F and Sun, G}, title = {The influence of meteorological factors and total malignant tumor health risk in Wuhu city in the context of climate change.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {346}, pmid = {36797719}, issn = {1471-2458}, mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Risk ; Temperature ; *Cold Temperature ; Meteorological Concepts ; China/epidemiology ; }, abstract = {With the increasing severity of the malignant tumors situation worldwide, the impacts of climate on them are receiving increasing attention. In this study, for the first time, all-malignant tumors were used as the dependent variable and absolute humidity (AH) was innovatively introduced into the independent variable to investigate the relationship between all-malignant tumors and meteorological factors. A total of 42,188 cases of malignant tumor deaths and meteorological factors in Wuhu City were collected over a 7-year (2014-2020) period. The analysis method combines distributed lagged nonlinear modeling (DLNM) as well as generalized additive modeling (GAM), with prior pre-analysis using structural equation modeling (SEM). The results showed that AH, temperature mean (T mean) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) all increased the malignant tumors mortality risk. Exposure to low and exceedingly low AH increases the malignant tumors mortality risk with maximum RR values of 1.008 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.015, lag 3) and 1.016 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.032, lag 1), respectively. In addition, low and exceedingly low T mean exposures also increased the risk of malignant tumors mortality, the maximum RR was 1.020 (95% CI: 1.006, 1.034) for low T mean and 1.035 (95% CI: 1.014, 1.058) for exceedingly low T mean. As for DTR, all four levels (exceedingly low, low, high, exceedingly high, from low to high) of exposure increased the risk of death from malignant tumors, from exceedingly low to exceedingly high maximum RR values of 1.018 (95% CI: 1.004, 1.032), 1.011 (95% CI: 1.005, 1.017), 1.006 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.012) and 1.019 (95% CI: 1.007, 1.031), respectively. The results of the stratified analysis suggested that female appear to be more sensitive to humidity, while male require additional attention to reduce exposure to high level of DTR.}, }
@article {pmid36796967, year = {2023}, author = {Dhimal, M and Bhandari, D}, title = {Climate change and imperatives to ascertain causes of infectious diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries.}, journal = {The Lancet. Global health}, volume = {11}, number = {3}, pages = {e308-e309}, doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00012-8}, pmid = {36796967}, issn = {2214-109X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Developing Countries ; Diarrhea/epidemiology/etiology ; Causality ; }, }
@article {pmid36796921, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, MA and Antunes, MA and Grandela, A and Carromeu-Santos, A and Quina, AS and Santos, M and Matos, M and Simões, P}, title = {Past history shapes evolution of reproductive success in a global warming scenario.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {112}, number = {}, pages = {103478}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2023.103478}, pmid = {36796921}, issn = {0306-4565}, mesh = {Animals ; *Global Warming ; *Biological Evolution ; Reproduction ; Drosophila/genetics ; Acclimatization ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Adaptive evolution is critical for animal populations to thrive in the fast-changing natural environments. Ectotherms are particularly vulnerable to global warming and, although their limited coping ability has been suggested, few real-time evolution experiments have directly accessed their evolutionary potential. Here, we report a long-term experimental evolution study addressing the evolution of Drosophila thermal reaction norms, after ∼30 generations under different dynamic thermal regimes: fluctuating (daily variation between 15 and 21 °C) or warming (daily fluctuation with increases in both thermal mean and variance across generations). We analyzed the evolutionary dynamics of Drosophila subobscura populations as a function of the thermally variable environments in which they evolved and their distinct background. Our results showed clear differences between the historically differentiated populations: high latitude D. subobscura populations responded to selection, improving their reproductive success at higher temperatures whereas their low latitude counterparts did not. This suggests population variation in the amount of genetic variation available for thermal adaptation, an aspect that needs to be considered to allow for better predictions of future climate change responses. Our results highlight the complex nature of thermal responses in face of environmental heterogeneity and emphasize the importance of considering inter-population variation in thermal evolution studies.}, }
@article {pmid36796891, year = {2023}, author = {Cetin, M and Sevik, H and Koc, I and Zeren Cetin, I}, title = {The change in biocomfort zones in the area of Muğla province in near future due to the global climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {112}, number = {}, pages = {103434}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2022.103434}, pmid = {36796891}, issn = {0306-4565}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Temperature ; *Cold Temperature ; Seasons ; }, abstract = {It is inevitable that the global climate change, which has important effects on the climate throughout the world, would have significant effects on the biocomfort zones. Hence, how global climate change will change the biocomfort zones should be determined and the data to be obtained should be used in urban planning projects. In the current study, SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 scenarios were taken as a basis, and the potential effects of global climate change on the biocomfort zones in Muğla province, Türkiye were investigated. Within the scope of the present study, the current status of biocomfort zones in Muğla and their possible conditions in years 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100 were compared using DI and ETv methods. At the end of the study, it was estimated that, according DI method, 14.13% of Muğla province are in cold zone, 31.96% in cool zone, and 53.71% in comfortable zone. According to the SSPs 585 scenario, together with the increase in temperature, the cold and cool zones will totally disappear in year 2100, comfortable zones will decrease to 31.22%, and approx. 68.78% of the province will be in hot zone. According to the calculations made using ETv method, Muğla province currently consists of moderately cold zones by 2%, quite cold zones by 13.16%, slightly cold zones by 57.06%, and mild zones by 27.79%. Based on the SSPs 585 scenario for the year 2100, it is projected that Muğla will consist of slightly cool zones by 1.41%, mild zones by 14.42%, and comfortable zones by 68.06%, besides warm zones by 16.11% which are not present at this moment. This finding suggests that especially the cooling costs will increase and the air-conditioning systems to be used will negatively affect the global climate change through the energy consumption and the gases used.}, }
@article {pmid36796398, year = {2023}, author = {The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, }, title = {Climate change crisis goes critical.}, journal = {The Lancet. Respiratory medicine}, volume = {11}, number = {3}, pages = {213}, doi = {10.1016/S2213-2600(23)00056-5}, pmid = {36796398}, issn = {2213-2619}, }
@article {pmid36794773, year = {2023}, author = {Seiler, LY and Stalker, GJ}, title = {Canadian climate change attitudes and energy policy.}, journal = {Canadian review of sociology = Revue canadienne de sociologie}, volume = {60}, number = {1}, pages = {4-28}, doi = {10.1111/cars.12424}, pmid = {36794773}, issn = {1755-618X}, mesh = {Female ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Canada ; *Public Policy ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Attitude ; }, abstract = {This paper uses original Canadian survey data to compare support for and opposition to five energy-related climate policies. Results show that Canadians were very concerned about climate change and supportive of the policies. Variation in support and opposition was investigated using logistic regression. We tested models that associate climate policy support with a combination of one's ecological worldview, climate change attitudes, personal capabilities, contextual influences, and ascription of responsibility to take action on climate change, applying elements of Stern's (2000) theory of environmentally-significant behaviour and Patchen's (2010) model of climate change behaviour. We found that the more abstract policies attracted a different set of predictors than the more concrete policies. Females and parents showed increased support for the more abstract policies. Having an ecological worldview was a significant predictor of support for all policies but was obscured by other factors in a combined model. Cet article utilise des données d'enquête canadiennes originales pour comparer le soutien et l'opposition à cinq politiques climatiques liées à l'énergie. Les résultats montrent que les Canadiens étaient très préoccupés par le changement climatique et appuyaient les politiques. La variation du soutien et de l'opposition a été étudiée à l'aide de la régression logistique. Nous avons testé des modèles qui associent le soutien à la politique climatique à une combinaison de vision du monde écologique, d'attitudes face au changement climatique, de capacités personnelles, d'influences contextuelles et d'attribution de la responsabilité d'agir sur le changement climatique, en appliquant des éléments de la théorie de Stern (2000) sur le comportement significatif pour l'environnement et le modèle de comportement face au changement climatique de Patchen (2010). Nous avons constaté que les politiques plus abstraites attiraient un ensemble différent de prédicteurs que les politiques plus concrètes. Les femmes et les parents ont montré un soutien accru pour les politiques plus abstraites. Avoir une vision du monde écologique était un prédicteur significatif du soutien à toutes les politiques, mais était obscurci par d'autres facteurs dans un modèle combiné.}, }
@article {pmid36794619, year = {2022}, author = {Zielinski, C and , }, title = {COP27 climate change conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {BMJ leader}, volume = {6}, number = {4}, pages = {251-252}, doi = {10.1136/leader-2022-000696}, pmid = {36794619}, issn = {2398-631X}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Africa/epidemiology ; }, }
@article {pmid36794470, year = {2023}, author = {Powlson, DS and Galdos, MV}, title = {Challenging claimed benefits of soil carbon sequestration for mitigating climate change and increasing crop yields: Heresy or sober realism?.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {29}, number = {9}, pages = {2381-2383}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16640}, pmid = {36794470}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {*Soil ; *Climate Change ; Carbon Sequestration ; Agriculture ; Carbon ; }, }
@article {pmid36793894, year = {2023}, author = {Arikan, A and Cakir, N}, title = {Climate change and future infectious diseases: A growing threat.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {52}, number = {}, pages = {101088}, pmid = {36793894}, issn = {2052-2975}, }
@article {pmid36792531, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, BX and Hof, AR and Matson, KD and van Langevelde, F and Ma, CS}, title = {Climate change, host plant availability, and irrigation shape future region-specific distributions of the Sitobion grain aphid complex.}, journal = {Pest management science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/ps.7409}, pmid = {36792531}, issn = {1526-4998}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding where species occur using species distribution models has become fundamental to ecology. Although much attention has been paid to invasive species, questions about climate change related range shifts of widespread insect pests remain unanswered. Here, we incorporated bioclimatic factors and host plant availability into CLIMEX models to predict distributions under future climate scenarios of major cereal pests of the Sitobion grain aphid complex (Sitobion avenae, S. miscanthi, and S. akebiae). Additionally, we incorporated the application of irrigation in our models to explore the relevance of a frequently used management practice that may interact with effects of climate change of the pest distributions.<br><br>RESULTS: Our models predicted that the area potentially at high risk of outbreaks of the Sitobion grain aphid complex would increase from 41.3% to 53.3% of the global land mass. This expansion was underlined by regional shifts in both directions: expansion of risk areas in North America, Europe, most of Asia, and Oceania, and contraction of risk areas in South America, Africa, and Australia. In addition, we found that host plant availability limited the potential distribution of pests, while the application of irrigation expanded it.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study provides insights into potential risk areas of insect pests and how climate, host plant availability, and irrigation affect the occurrence of the Sitobion grain aphid complex. Our results thereby support agricultural policy makers, farmers, and other stakeholders in their development and application of management practices aimed at maximizing crop yields and minimizing economic losses. &#xa9; 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.}, }
@article {pmid36792419, year = {2023}, author = {Cockrell, HC and Hansen, EE and Gow, K and Fecteau, A and Greenberg, SLM}, title = {The intersection of pediatric surgery, climate change, and equity.}, journal = {Journal of pediatric surgery}, volume = {58}, number = {5}, pages = {943-948}, doi = {10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2023.01.017}, pmid = {36792419}, issn = {1531-5037}, mesh = {Child ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Specialties, Surgical ; }, abstract = {Climate change is occurring at an unprecedented rate. Recent years have seen heatwaves, wildfires, floods, droughts, and re-emerging infectious diseases fueled by global warming. Global warming has also increased the frequency and severity of surgical disease, particularly for children, who bear an estimated 88% of the global burden of disease attributable to climate change. Health care delivery itself weighs heavily on the environment, accounting for nearly 5% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Within the health care sector, surgery and anesthesia are particularly carbon intensive. The surgical community must prioritize the intersection of climate change and pediatric surgery in order to address pediatric surgical disease on a global scale, while reducing the climate impact of surgical care delivery. This review defines the current state of climate change and its effects on pediatric surgical disease, discusses climate justice, and outlines actions to reduce the climate impact of surgical services. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level V.}, }
@article {pmid36791106, year = {2023}, author = {Brodie, JF and Watson, JEM}, title = {Human responses to climate change will likely determine the fate of biodiversity.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {8}, pages = {e2205512120}, pmid = {36791106}, issn = {1091-6490}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; }, }
@article {pmid36791074, year = {2023}, author = {Gregersen, T and Doran, R and Böhm, G and Pfister, HR}, title = {Expected climate change consequences and their role in explaining individual risk judgments.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0281258}, pmid = {36791074}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Male ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Judgment ; Environmental Pollution ; Europe ; France ; }, abstract = {This study examines what individuals expect will be the most important impacts of climate change on their respective countries, and how these expectations relate to individual risk judgments. Open-ended responses from representative samples in four European countries (each n > 1000), were sorted into six categories: expectations of climate change leading to changes in attitudes and goals, human activities, emissions and pollution, environmental changes, impacts on humans, or few or no impacts. The results showed that the most frequently mentioned climate change impacts were related to environmental changes. Although most results were consistent across the UK, Norway, Germany, and France, some differences were identified. For example, respondents in the UK and Norway more frequently mentioned changes in human actions and activities among the most important climate change impacts. We also found differences between demographic groups; men, those in the oldest age groups, and those placing themselves further right on the political spectrum were more likely to expect few or no consequences of climate change on their country. Additional analyses examined relationships between the six impact categories and two different measures of individual risk judgments. Those expecting climate change to lead to changes in attitudes and goals, environmental changes, or impacts on humans reported higher levels of worry about climate change and expected more negative effects on their country. Climate change worry, but not the evaluation of how positive or negative effects will be on one's country, was further related to the number of consequences mentioned in response to the open-ended question and the specificity conveyed.}, }
@article {pmid36790303, year = {2023}, author = {Sokolova, IM}, title = {Ectotherm mitochondrial economy and responses to global warming.}, journal = {Acta physiologica (Oxford, England)}, volume = {237}, number = {4}, pages = {e13950}, doi = {10.1111/apha.13950}, pmid = {36790303}, issn = {1748-1716}, mesh = {Reactive Oxygen Species/metabolism ; *Global Warming ; *Mitochondria/metabolism ; Energy Metabolism/physiology ; Adenosine Triphosphate/metabolism ; }, abstract = {Temperature is a key abiotic factor affecting ecology, biogeography, and evolution of species. Alterations of energy metabolism play an important role in adaptations and plastic responses to temperature shifts on different time scales. Mitochondrial metabolism affects cellular bioenergetics and redox balance making these organelles an important determinant of organismal performances such as growth, locomotion, or development. Here I analyze the impacts of environmental temperature on the mitochondrial functions (including oxidative phosphorylation, proton leak, production of reactive oxygen species(ROS), and ATP synthesis) of ectotherms and discuss the mechanisms underlying negative shifts in the mitochondrial energy economy caused by supraoptimal temperatures. Owing to the differences in the thermal sensitivity of different mitochondrial processes, elevated temperatures (beyond the species- and population-specific optimal range) cause reallocation of the electron flux and the protonmotive force (Δp) in a way that decreases ATP synthesis efficiency, elevates the relative cost of the mitochondrial maintenance, causes excessive production of ROS and raises energy cost for antioxidant defense. These shifts in the mitochondrial energy economy might have negative consequences for the organismal fitness traits such as the thermal tolerance or growth. Correlation between the thermal sensitivity indices of the mitochondria and the whole organism indicate that these traits experience similar selective pressures but further investigations are needed to establish whether there is a cause-effect relationship between the mitochondrial failure and loss of organismal performance during temperature change.}, }
@article {pmid36789726, year = {2023}, author = {Hodapp, D and Roca, IT and Fiorentino, D and Garilao, C and Kaschner, K and Kesner-Reyes, K and Schneider, B and Segschneider, J and Kocsis, &#xc1;T and Kiessling, W and Brey, T and Froese, R}, title = {Climate change disrupts core habitats of marine species.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16612}, pmid = {36789726}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Driven by climate change, marine biodiversity is undergoing a phase of rapid change that has proven to be even faster than changes observed in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding how these changes in species composition will affect future marine life is crucial for conservation management, especially due to increasing demands for marine natural resources. Here, we analyse predictions of a multiparameter habitat suitability model covering the global projected ranges of >33,500 marine species from climate model projections under three CO2 emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) up to the year 2100. Our results show that the core habitat area will decline for many species, resulting in a net loss of 50% of the core habitat area for almost half of all marine species in 2100 under the high-emission scenario RCP8.5. As an additional consequence of the continuing distributional reorganization of marine life, gaps around the equator will appear for 8% (RCP2.6), 24% (RCP4.5), and 88% (RCP8.5) of marine species with cross-equatorial ranges. For many more species, continuous distributional ranges will be disrupted, thus reducing effective population size. In addition, high invasion rates in higher latitudes and polar regions will lead to substantial changes in the ecosystem and food web structure, particularly regarding the introduction of new predators. Overall, our study highlights that the degree of spatial and structural reorganization of marine life with ensued consequences for ecosystem functionality and conservation efforts will critically depend on the realized greenhouse gas emission pathway.}, }
@article {pmid36788932, year = {2023}, author = {Fila, D and Fünfgeld, H and Dahlmann, H}, title = {Climate change adaptation with limited resources: adaptive capacity and action in small- and medium-sized municipalities.}, journal = {Environment, development and sustainability}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-21}, pmid = {36788932}, issn = {1573-2975}, abstract = {Administrations in small- and medium-sized municipalities (SMM) are confronted with the impacts of climate change while having inadequate resources to adapt. In order to establish the current state of research on climate change adaptation in SMM, a systematic literature review was conducted. Using reported SMM adaptation in the peer-reviewed literature as our data base, we documented 115 adaptation initiatives between 2015 and 2021 matching our criteria, with substantial geographical and thematic differences. The qualitative analysis of highly relevant articles has shown that the specific understanding about the challenges and barriers of climate change adaptation in SMM remains limited. We highlight recent key trends and challenges and conclude by offering a refined research agenda for addressing identified knowledge gaps as well as key barriers in relation to SMM adaptation.}, }
@article {pmid36787720, year = {2022}, author = {Temple, DH}, title = {Transforming the climate? Towards an emerging bioarchaeological synthesis of global climate change.}, journal = {American journal of biological anthropology}, volume = {177}, number = {4}, pages = {794-796}, doi = {10.1002/ajpa.24463}, pmid = {36787720}, issn = {2692-7691}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid36787064, year = {2023}, author = {Usman, M and Ali, A and Bashir, MK and Baig, SA and Mushtaq, K and Abbas, A and Akram, R and Iqbal, MS}, title = {Modelling wellbeing of farmers by using nexus of climate change risk perception, adaptation strategies, and their drivers on irrigation water in Pakistan.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {30}, number = {17}, pages = {49930-49947}, pmid = {36787064}, issn = {1614-7499}, mesh = {Humans ; *Farmers ; *Climate Change ; Pakistan ; Farms ; Agriculture ; Perception ; }, abstract = {This study aimed to determine the farmers' perceived impact of climate change on irrigation water and the adaptation measure adopted to mitigate its adverse effects. A binary logistic regression model was used to identified factors affecting the selection of adaptation measures. Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM) was employed to compute the benefits of adaptation strategies. The study was conducted in two major cropping systems, i.e., the Cotton Wheat Cropping System (CWCS) and Rice Wheat Cropping System (RWCS) of Punjab, Pakistan, using primary data of 1080 farmers collected through a multistage sampling technique. Due to climate change there was deterioration in surface water and groundwater quality in CWCS than in RWCS. The farmer uses different adaptation strategies like water harvesting, crop diversification, increasing use of irrigation, laser land leveling to save water, making ridges, building a water harvesting scheme, changing irrigation time, high-efficiency irrigation system and water-saving technologies. Adaptation strategies used by farmer were affected by different socioeconomic, demographic and agronomic factors. Results of the binary logistic regression showed that age, farming experience, education, household size, farm size, tenancy status of owner, access to farm credit, information on weather forecasting, soil quality, tube well ownership, remittances, off-farm income, agricultural extension services provided for irrigation water, and information on climatic and natural hazards played a significant role in the selection of adaptation strategies for irrigation water. Results of PLS-SEM showed that adaptation strategies mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on irrigation water. Farmers' awareness regarding the impact of climatic variability on irrigation water should be enhanced. Availability of credit to farmers should be improved on easy terms to facilitate the adoption of interventions for better irrigation water management. It is high time for policymakers to design effective, affordable, and workable policies to mitigate climate change vulnerabilities against irrigation water to improve the wellbeing of the farmers.}, }
@article {pmid36781961, year = {2023}, author = {Mitchell Crow, J}, title = {Searching the ocean for secrets to help fight climate change.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {614}, number = {7948}, pages = {586}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-00404-7}, pmid = {36781961}, issn = {1476-4687}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; *Oceans and Seas ; Global Warming/prevention &amp; control ; Geologic Sediments ; }, }
@article {pmid36781882, year = {2023}, author = {Irwandi, H and Rosid, MS and Mart, T}, title = {Effects of Climate change on temperature and precipitation in the Lake Toba region, Indonesia, based on ERA5-land data with quantile mapping bias correction.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2542}, pmid = {36781882}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Climate change is a serious problem that can cause global variations in temperature and rainfall patterns. This global variation can affect the water availability of lakes. In this study, trends in temperature and rainfall in the Lake Toba area for 40 years (1981-2020) were analyzed using ERA5-Land data corrected with observation station data utilizing the quantile mapping bias correction method. Corrected ERA5-Land data were used in this study to show spatial patterns and trends. The Mann-Kendall and Sen slope tests were carried out to see the magnitude of the trend. A comparison of temperature and rainfall against their baseline period (1951-1980) was also investigated. The results of this study show that climate change has affected the trend of increasing temperature and rainfall in the Lake Toba area, with an increase in temperature of 0.006 °C per year and an average rainfall of 0.71 mm per year. In general, significant changes in the increase of temperature and rainfall occurred in the last decade, with an increase in temperature of 0.24 °C and rainfall of 22%. The study of the impact of climate change expected to be useful for policymakers in managing water resources in the Lake Toba area.}, }
@article {pmid36778933, year = {2022}, author = {Ellwanger, JH and Chies, JAB}, title = {Candida auris emergence as a consequence of climate change: Impacts on Americas and the need to contain greenhouse gas emissions.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {100250}, pmid = {36778933}, issn = {2667-193X}, }
@article {pmid36778704, year = {2023}, author = {Broccanello, C and Bellin, D and DalCorso, G and Furini, A and Taranto, F}, title = {Genetic approaches to exploit landraces for improvement of Triticum turgidum ssp. durum in the age of climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1101271}, pmid = {36778704}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Addressing the challenges of climate change and durum wheat production is becoming an important driver for food and nutrition security in the Mediterranean area, where are located the major producing countries (Italy, Spain, France, Greece, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Turkey, and Syria). One of the emergent strategies, to cope with durum wheat adaptation, is the exploration and exploitation of the existing genetic variability in landrace populations. In this context, this review aims to highlight the important role of durum wheat landraces as a useful genetic resource to improve the sustainability of Mediterranean agroecosystems, with a focus on adaptation to environmental stresses. We described the most recent molecular techniques and statistical approaches suitable for the identification of beneficial genes/alleles related to the most important traits in landraces and the development of molecular markers for marker-assisted selection. Finally, we outline the state of the art about landraces genetic diversity and signature of selection, already identified from these accessions, for adaptability to the environment.}, }
@article {pmid36778687, year = {2023}, author = {Marigliano, LE and Yu, R and Torres, N and Medina-Plaza, C and Oberholster, A and Kurtural, SK}, title = {Overhead photoselective shade films mitigate effects of climate change by arresting flavonoid and aroma composition degradation in wine.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1085939}, pmid = {36778687}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Overhead photoselective shade films installed in vineyards improve berry composition in hot grape-growing regions. The aim of the study was to evaluate the flavonoid and aroma profiles and composition of wines from Cabernet Sauvignon grapes (Vitis vinifera L.) treated with partial solar radiation exclusion.<br><br>METHODS: Experimental design consisted in a randomized experiment with four shade films (D1, D3, D4, D5) with differing solar radiation spectra transmittance and compared to an uncovered control (C0) performed over two seasons (2021 and 2022) in Oakville (CA, USA). Berries were collected by hand at harvest and individual vinifications for each treatment and season were conducted in triplicates. Then, wine chemical composition, flavonoid and aromatic profiles were analyzed.<br><br>RESULTS: The wines from D4 treatment had greater color intensity and total phenolic index due to co-pigmentation with anthocyanins. Shade film wines D5 and D1 from the 2020 vintage demonstrated increased total anthocyanins in the hotter of the two experimental years. In 2021, reduced cluster temperatures optimized total anthocyanins in D4 wines. Reduced cluster temperatures modulated anthocyanin acylation, methylation and hydroxylation in shade film wines. Volatile aroma composition was analyzed using gas chromatography mass spectroscopy (GCMS) and D4 wines exhibited a more fruity and pleasant aroma profile than C0 wines.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Results provided evidence that partial solar radiation exclusion in the vineyard using overhead shade films directly improved flavonoid and aroma profiles of resultant wines under hot vintage conditions, providing a tool for combatting air temperatures and warmer growing conditions associated with climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36778685, year = {2023}, author = {Shen, M and Cai, C and Song, L and Qiu, J and Ma, C and Wang, D and Gu, X and Yang, X and Wei, W and Tao, Y and Zhang, J and Liu, G and Zhu, C}, title = {Elevated CO2 and temperature under future climate change increase severity of rice sheath blight.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1115614}, pmid = {36778685}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Sheath blight (ShB), caused by Rhizoctonia solani, is one of the major threats to rice (Oryza sativa L.) production. However, it is not clear how the risk of rice ShB will respond to elevated CO2 and temperature under future climate change. Here, we conducted, field experiments of inoculated R. solani under combinations of two CO2 levels (ambient and enriched up to 590 μmol mol[-1]) and two temperature levels (ambient and increased by 2.0°C) in temperature by free-air CO2 enrichment (T-FACE) system for two cultivars (a susceptible cultivar, Lemont and a resistant cultivar, YSBR1). Results indicate that for the inoculation of plants with R. solani, the vertical length of ShB lesions for cv. Lemont was significantly longer than that for cv. YSBR1 under four CO2 and temperature treatments. The vertical length of ShB lesions was significantly increased by elevated temperature, but not by elevated CO2, for both cultivars. The vertical length of ShB lesions under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature was increased by 21-38% for cv. Lemont and by -1-6% for cv. YSBR1. A significant increase in MDA level was related to a significant increase in the vertical length of ShB lesions under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature. Elevated CO2 could not compensate for the negative effect of elevated temperature on yield of both cultivars under future climate change. Rice yield and biomass were further decreased by 2.0-2.5% and 2.9-4.2% by an increase in the severity of ShB under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature. Thus, reasonable agronomic management practices are required to improve both resistance to ShB disease and grain yield for rice under future climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36778535, year = {2023}, author = {Watts, T and Brugger, SO}, title = {The intersection between climate change, COVID-19, and future pandemics - Perspectives among American transportation network drivers.}, journal = {Journal of transport &amp; health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101582}, pmid = {36778535}, issn = {2214-1405}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Drivers of Transportation Network Companies (TNC) are an essential workforce that is affected by extreme weather events and high exposure risk to airborne infectious diseases due to their proximity with customers. The purpose of this study was to understand TNC drivers' professional experience during the COVID-19 pandemic and their opinions about climate change and the development of future pandemics.<br><br>METHODS: Open- and closed-ended responses were collected during TNC rides and analyzed with content analysis and descriptive statistics.<br><br>RESULTS: We found more participants believed in the COVID-19 pandemic compared to participants who believed in climate change. Overall, participants were less concerned about COVID-19 than climate change. However, several participants felt that the pandemic had a positive impact on the climate system, specifically by reducing air pollution from traffic. Few participants felt that climate change could lead to the development of future pandemics.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The TNC essential workforce could be integral for identifying transportation and public health sectors solutions for addressing the occupational health needs of an essential workforce, and response to climate change and pandemics.}, }
@article {pmid36778073, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Adawy, ME and Sidib, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {100386}, pmid = {36778073}, issn = {2667-193X}, }
@article {pmid36777765, year = {2022}, author = {Campbell, E and Uppalapati, SS and Kotcher, J and Maibach, E}, title = {Communication research to improve engagement with climate change and human health: A review.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1086858}, pmid = {36777765}, issn = {2296-2565}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Interdisciplinary Communication ; *Air Pollution ; Communication ; Fossil Fuels ; }, abstract = {Because of the world's dependence on fossil fuels, climate change and air pollution are profoundly harming both human and planetary health. Fortunately, climate solutions are also health solutions, and they present both local and global opportunities to foster cleaner, healthier, and safer communities. In this review, we briefly discuss the human health harms of climate change, climate and health solutions, and provide a thorough synthesis of social science research on climate and health communication. Through our review, we found that social science research provides an evidence-based foundation for messaging strategies that can build public and political will for climate and health solutions. Specifically, messages that convey the health harms of climate change and highlight the health benefits of climate solutions may be especially effective in building this public and political will. We also found that health professionals are trusted sources of information about climate change, and many have shown interest in engaging with the public and policymakers about the health relevance of climate change and clean energy. Together, the alignment between message strategies and the interest of highly trusted messengers strongly suggests the potential of health students and health professionals to create the conditions necessary to address climate change as a public health imperative. Therefore, our review serves as a resource for those interested in communicating about climate change and health and suggests that social scientists can continue to support practitioners with research and advice on the most effective communication strategies.}, }
@article {pmid36777712, year = {2023}, author = {Muralidhar, M and Srikanth, AS and Pinmangkorn, S and Santosh, M and Milos, J}, title = {Role of Superconducting Materials in the Endeavor to Stop Climate Change and Reach Sustainable Development.}, journal = {Journal of superconductivity and novel magnetism}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-10}, pmid = {36777712}, issn = {1557-1939}, abstract = {Progress in the mass production of newly developed bulk (Gd0.33Y0.13Er0.53)Ba2Cu3Oy "(Gd,Y,Er)123" and MgB2 systems is presented. Two batches of (Gd,Y,Er)123 pellets of 20 mm diameter and 7 mm thick were prepared in air by an infiltration growth "IG" process. Trapped field distribution profiles of fully grown bulk samples clearly showed that all samples were single-grain and the trapped field values were more than 0.5 T at 77 K, 1.3 mm above top surface. The best bulk exhibited the trapped field value of 0.63 T at 77 K. Ultra-sonication technique was employed for refining precursors of both (Gd,Y,Er)211 and boron. TEM studies revealed that boron powder subjected to ultrasonication was refined up to nanoscale. The micron-sized particles were reduced to nanoscale, which led to improvement of critical current by up to 36% in bulk MgB2 at 20 K and self-field. This progress in fabrication of high-performance LREBa2Cu3Oy and MgB2 superconducting bulks further promotes commercialization of superconductors' production as a mode of sustainable technology.}, }
@article {pmid36777420, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mavis Mulaudzi, F and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Sahar Yassien, M and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {Crohn's &amp; colitis 360}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {otac037}, pmid = {36777420}, issn = {2631-827X}, }
@article {pmid36777085, year = {2022}, author = {Latkin, C and Dayton, L and Scherkoske, M and Countess, K and Thrul, J}, title = {What predicts climate change activism?: An examination of how depressive symptoms, climate change distress, and social norms are associated with climate change activism.}, journal = {The journal of climate change and health}, volume = {8}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36777085}, issn = {2667-2782}, support = {R01 DA050470/DA/NIDA NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The current and future harms caused by climate change are highly distressing. Different theoretical models suggest diverse impacts of distress on behavior. We examined how psychological distress, climate change distress, and social norms may foster or impede climate change activism.<br><br>METHODS: As part of an ongoing online longitudinal study in the US beginning in March 2020, respondents were assessed on their depressive symptoms (CES-D 10), climate change distress, climate change mitigation social norms, and six outcomes of the climate change activism behaviors of writing letters, e-mailing, or phoning government officials; voting for candidates who support measures to reduce climate change; signing petitions; volunteering with organizations; donating money to organizations; and attending protests.<br><br>RESULTS: Of the 775 respondents, 53% were female, 72% white, 12% Black, 7% Hispanic, and 6% Asian. Climate change social norms predicted all six climate change actions in the bivariate and multivariable cross-sectional logistic regression models. A similar finding was observed with the brief climate change distress scale (BCCDS), except it was not associated with volunteering in the multivariable model. Depressive symptoms were associated with greater odds of contacting government officials and signing petitions in the bivariate models but did not retain significance in the multivariable models. Longitudinal models indicated a weak association between depressive symptoms and climate change activism.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change distress and social norms are positively associated with climate change activism. Although climate change distress may not usually impede climate change activism, organizations addressing climate change should consider providing social support to members and assisting those with high levels of psychological and climate change distress. Social norms around climate change activism should be fostered.}, }
@article {pmid36774776, year = {2023}, author = {Aledo-Serrano, A and Battaglia, G and Blenkinsop, S and Delanty, N and Elbendary, HM and Eyal, S and Guekht, A and Gulcebi, MI and Henshall, DC and Hildebrand, MS and Macrohon, B and Madaan, P and Mifsud, J and Mills, JD and Neill, KH and Romagnolo, A and Vezzani, A and Sisodiya, SM}, title = {Taking action on climate change: Testimonials and position statement from the International League Against Epilepsy Climate Change Commission.}, journal = {Seizure}, volume = {106}, number = {}, pages = {68-75}, doi = {10.1016/j.seizure.2023.02.003}, pmid = {36774776}, issn = {1532-2688}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Epilepsy/therapy ; Seizures ; }, abstract = {The release of the 2021 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report makes clear that human activities have resulted in significant alterations in global climate. There is no doubt that climate change is upon us; chronic global warming has been punctuated by more frequent extreme weather events. Humanity will have to mitigate climate change and adapt to these changing conditions or face dire consequences. One under-appreciated aspect of this global crisis is its impact on healthcare, particularly people with epilepsy and temperature-sensitive seizures. As members of the inaugural International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) Climate Change Commission, we recount the personal motivations that have led each team member to decide to take action, in the hope that our journeys as ordinary clinicians and scientists will help persuade others that they too can act to foster change within their spheres of influence.}, }
@article {pmid36774753, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, M and Liu, M and Zhang, D and Qi, J and Fu, W and Zhang, Y and Rao, Q and Bakhshipour, AE and Tan, SK}, title = {Assessing and optimizing the hydrological performance of Grey-Green infrastructure systems in response to climate change and non-stationary time series.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {232}, number = {}, pages = {119720}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.119720}, pmid = {36774753}, issn = {1879-2448}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Time Factors ; *Rain ; Cities ; China ; }, abstract = {Climate change has led to the increased intensity and frequency of extreme meteorological events, threatening the drainage capacity in urban catchments and densely built-up cities. To alleviate urban flooding disasters, strategies coupled with green and grey infrastructure have been proposed to support urban stormwater management. However, most strategies rely largely on diachronic rainfall data and ignore long-term climate change impacts. This study described a novel framework to assess and to identify the optimal solution in response to uncertainties following climate change. The assessment framework consists of three components: (1) assess and process climate data to generate long-term time series of meteorological parameters under different climate conditions; (2) optimise the design of Grey-Green infrastructure systems to establish the optimal design solutions; and (3) perform a multi-criteria assessment of economic and hydrological performance to support decision-making. A case study in Guangzhou, China was carried out to demonstrate the usability and application processes of the framework. The results of the case study illustrated that the optimised Grey-Green infrastructure could save life cycle costs and reduce total outflow (56-66%), peak flow (22-85%), and TSS (more than 60%) compared to the fully centralised grey infrastructure system, indicating its high superior in economic competitiveness and hydrological performance under climate uncertainties. In terms of spatial configuration, the contribution of green infrastructure appeared not as critical as the adoption of decentralisation of the drainage networks. Furthermore, under extreme drought scenarios, the decentralised infrastructure system exhibited an exceptionally high degree of removal performance for non-point source pollutants.}, }
@article {pmid36773915, year = {2023}, author = {Dong, H and Erdenegerel, A and Hou, X and Ding, W and Bai, H and Han, C}, title = {Herders' adaptation strategies and animal husbandry development under climate change: A panel data analysis.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {872}, number = {}, pages = {162144}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162144}, pmid = {36773915}, issn = {1879-1026}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Animal Husbandry ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Droughts ; Acclimatization ; Livestock ; }, abstract = {The frequent occurrence of extreme climate events has become an indisputable fact. However, the role of adaptation to extreme climate change in the development of livestock husbandry is still insufficiently understood. This study empirically analyzed the impact of herders' adaptation strategies to extreme drought on livestock husbandry development and aimed to explore the optimal grassland management path under continuous climate change. A panel dataset of surveyed herders from the Xilingol League, a traditional pastoral area in China, was used. The results indicated that the average frequency of extreme drought in the Xilingol League from 1980 to 2020 was 4.94 months/year, and the occurrence of extreme drought showed a slightly upward trend. The average technical efficiency of livestock husbandry was 0.721, which can still be improved. Hay purchases can effectively promote livestock technical efficiency (p<0.01) and is the main adaptation strategy of herders to extreme drought. Further analysis showed that non-farming and pastoral employment has a positive regulatory effect in the impact of purchased hay on livestock technical efficiency. The results of this study deepen the understanding of effective adaptation to extreme weather events in pastoral areas due to climate change and provide useful information to policymakers engaged in grassland management.}, }
@article {pmid36773906, year = {2023}, author = {Santurtún, A and Shaman, J}, title = {Work accidents, climate change and COVID-19.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {871}, number = {}, pages = {162129}, pmid = {36773906}, issn = {1879-1026}, mesh = {Humans ; *COVID-19/epidemiology ; Climate Change ; Pandemics ; *Occupational Health ; Accidents ; }, abstract = {The effects brought by climate change and the pandemic upon worker health and wellbeing are varied and necessitate the identification and implementation of improved strategic interventions. This review aims, firstly, to assess how climate change affects occupational accidents, focusing on the impacts of extreme air temperatures and natural disasters; and, secondly, to analyze the role of the pandemic in this context. Our results show that the manifestations of climate change affect workers physically while on the job, psychologically, and by modifying the work environment and conditions; all these factors can cause stress, in turn increasing the risk of suffering a work accident. There is no consensus on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on work accidents; however, an increase in adverse mental effects on workers in contact with the public (specifically in healthcare) has been described. It has also been shown that this strain affects the risk of suffering an accident. During the pandemic, many people began to work remotely, and what initially appeared to be a provisional situation has been made permanent or semi-permanent in some positions and companies. However, we found no studies evaluating the working conditions of those who telework. In relation to the combined impact of climate change and the pandemic on occupational health, only publications focusing on the synergistic effect of heat due to the obligation to wear COVID-19-specific PPE, either outdoors or in poorly acclimatized indoor environments, were found. It is essential that preventive services establish new measures, train workers, and determine new priorities for adapting working conditions to these altered circumstances.}, }
@article {pmid36771640, year = {2023}, author = {Pantović, JP and Božović, DP and Sabovljević, MS}, title = {Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe).}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36771640}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.}, }
@article {pmid36771581, year = {2023}, author = {Rumler, R and Bender, D and Schoenlechner, R}, title = {Mitigating the Effect of Climate Change within the Cereal Sector: Improving Rheological and Baking Properties of Strong Gluten Wheat Doughs by Blending with Specialty Grains.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36771581}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Due to the effect of climate change, wheat flour qualities with extremely high dough extensibility or dough strength are becoming more common, which impairs the production of selected wheat products such as pastries. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of sorghum, millet, amaranth, or buckwheat addition to such a strong gluten common wheat flour (Triticum aestivum) on its rheological and baking properties. Raw materials were analyzed chemically (ash, protein, fat, starch, total dietary fiber) and physically (water absorption index, water solubility index, and pasting properties). Selected rheological analyses (Farinograph® and Extensograph[®]) were carried out on wheat blends, including up to 30% alternative grains. The baking properties of the blends were evaluated on standard bread and sweet milk bread recipes. Results showed that low amounts (5%) of sorghum and millet improved the dough stability of the high-gluten wheat flour. For optimum dough extensibility, additions of 30% sorghum, 15% millet, or 20% amaranth were needed. The use of gluten-free grains increased bread volume and decreased crumb firmness of the sweet milk breads when added at lower levels (5-15%, depending on the grain). In conclusion, cereal blending is a supportive tool to mitigate the effects of ongoing climate change and can enhance biodiversity and nutrition.}, }
@article {pmid36768054, year = {2023}, author = {Kocur-Bera, K and Czyża, S}, title = {Socio-Economic Vulnerability to Climate Change in Rural Areas in the Context of Green Energy Development-A Study of the Great Masurian Lakes Mesoregion.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36768054}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Lakes/analysis ; Renewable Energy ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; }, abstract = {Green energy production has become a common and recognized method of electricity generation. Giving up reliance on non-renewable energy sources is an important trend in the economies of many countries. The paper presents an analysis of the impact of indicators like increased green energy production on the level of vulnerability to climate change. The model of the Climate Change Vulnerability Index (VCC) recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (considering three aspects: exposure, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity of the studied spatial unit/society) was applied. Sensitivity analysis, spatial heterogeneity, and temporal dynamics of indicators characterizing changes in electricity consumption, renewable energy production, greenhouse gas emissions, and variability of financial losses due to extreme weather events and their number were implemented. Several findings arose. First, the vulnerability to climate change (the level of the VCC index), does not decrease after the implementation of a single action, like the development of green energy production. The level of index of vulnerability to climate change (VCC1) from the reference year (2017) relative to VCC2 (2021) has changed slightly, despite the development of RES. The variation does not exceed a 1% reduction in the value of the VCC1 index. Second, the decrease in the level of the vulnerability requires global, coordinated action. The value of the VCC3 index, reflecting, including changes in green energy production (X15), electricity consumption/inhabitant (X38), and green-house gas emissions (X14), exhibited more favorably the impact of these indicators on vulnerability to climate change, compared to the VCC1 reference value. In eleven poviats, the VCC3 index decreased between 1 and 4%. In seven of these poviats, green energy production increased, resulting in an average 10% decrease in the X15 indicator, the X14 indicator representing green-house gas emissions decreased by an average of 7%, while the X38 indicator describing electricity consumption/per capita decreased by an average of 16%. Third, harmonized and inclusive action by the population holds the potential to be the clue to reducing vulnerability to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36768006, year = {2023}, author = {Ishiwatari, M and Sasaki, D}, title = {Special Issue "Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation: An Interdisciplinary Approach".}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36768006}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Disasters ; Acclimatization ; Sustainable Development ; Risk Reduction Behavior ; United Nations ; }, abstract = {The UN member states adopted three international agreements for the post-2015 agenda: the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development [...].}, }
@article {pmid36767843, year = {2023}, author = {Chau, JY and Dharmayani, PNA and Little, H}, title = {Navigating Neighbourhood Opposition and Climate Change: Feasibility and Acceptability of a Play Street Pilot in Sydney, Australia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767843}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Adult ; Child ; Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Feasibility Studies ; *COVID-19 ; Communicable Disease Control ; Australia ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Play Streets are community-led initiatives that provide opportunities for outdoor play and recreation when parks or other facilities may not be easily accessible. This pragmatic evaluation aims to determine the feasibility and acceptability of a pilot Play Street in Inner West Sydney.<br><br>METHODS: We used a post-only mixed methods design. Brief intercept surveys with pilot Play Street visitors assessed their reasons for attending the event and perceptions thereof. Semi-structured interviews explored stakeholders' experiences related to planning and implementing Play Streets.<br><br>RESULTS: Approximately 60 adults and children attended the pilot Play Street. The majority of survey respondents (n = 32) were female, aged 35-54, lived in the Play Street's postcode, and visited in groups consisting of adults and children. Overall respondents rated the pilot positively in enjoyment (100%), safety (97%), and organisation (81%), although there were significant differences between certain demographic subgroups in the perception of organisation and the children's enjoyment of the pilot Play Street. Stakeholder interviews (n = 2) highlighted the importance of community consultation and reaching compromises, noting concerns about safety and insurance costs, and emphasised the role of Council as a facilitator to help residents take ownership of Play Streets. Delays due to community concerns, poor air quality arising from bushfires, heavy rain on the event day, and COVID-19 lockdowns hindered pilot Play Street implementation and evaluation.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This pilot demonstrated that Play Streets are a feasible and acceptable way to use streets as outdoor recreation spaces in Sydney's Inner West. The evaluation highlights two elements for future sustainability: managing neighbourhood opposition and adapting to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36767836, year = {2023}, author = {He, J and Xie, X and Luo, F and Zhong, Y and Wang, T}, title = {The Effectiveness of Local Governments' Policies in Response to Climate Change: An Evaluation of Structure Planning in Arden, Melbourne.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767836}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Cities ; *Local Government ; *Climate Change ; Sustainable Growth ; Policy ; }, abstract = {It is widely acknowledged that climate change has caused serious environmental issues, including drought, bushfires, floods, and heatwaves, and urban sustainability is currently seriously threatened as a result. Arden is one of the key urban regeneration areas set to experience dramatic residential changes under Melbourne's development blueprint within the next 20 years. The Arden Structure Plan (2022) outlines specific implementation steps but does not go into detail about the strategies and tactics used to address climate change and urban sustainability. Therefore, there are still problems with the plan, including a lack of information and time-bound development targets, ambiguous public engagement, little focus on urban crime, and insufficient climate change adaptation measures. The plan also considers affordable housing, a mixed-use development pattern that will significantly decrease environmental harm, and active transportation options, primarily walking and bicycling. Considering climate change, this plan will make Arden a suitable location for population growth. This paper aims to evaluate the Arden Structure Plan and make recommendations on how to improve the plan's urban sustainability and climate change considerations. Furthermore, it provides guidance on whether Arden is a suitable location for Melbourne's population growth in light of the climate change impacts anticipated to occur by 2100.}, }
@article {pmid36767546, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, J and Qi, Y and Yang, R and Ma, X and Zhang, J and Qi, W and Guo, Q and Wang, H}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on the Net Primary Productivity of Vegetation in the Qinghai Lake Basin.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767546}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; Lakes ; Tibet ; China ; }, abstract = {The Qinghai Lake Basin acts as a natural barrier, preventing the western desert from spreading eastward. This is an important link in preserving the ecological stability of the northeastern region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Therefore, quantitative research into the net primary productivity (NPP) of vegetation and its driving force in the Qinghai Lake Basin is required. The effects of land use/cover change (LUCC) and climate change on NPP in the Qinghai Lake Basin were studied using R-contribution ratio and partial correlation analysis methods using MOD17A3H products, Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) data, and meteorological data. (1) The LULC of the Qinghai Lake Basin showed a trend that "the area of grassland, cultivated land, and unused land continued to decrease, while the area of other LULC types increased" from 2000 to 2020, according to the study's findings. Grassland, water bodies, construction land, and unused land dominated the mutual transformation of LULC types. (2) The NPP of the basin showed a growing trend, with a growth rate of 3.93 gC·m[-2]·a[-1] before 2010 and 0.88 gC·m[-2]·a[-1] after 2010. Significant regional heterogeneity was found in NPP, with gradients decreasing from southeast to northwest. (3) The impact of LUCC on overall NPP changes had gradually increased. Climate change has been the primary driver of NPP changes in the Qinghai Lake Basin over the last 20 years.}, }
@article {pmid36767299, year = {2023}, author = {Shendell, DG and Black, LF and Way, Y and Aggarwal, J and Campbell, MLF and Nguyen, KT}, title = {Knowledge, Attitudes, and Awareness of New Jersey Public High School Students about Concepts of Climate Change, including Environmental Justice.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767299}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; New Jersey ; *Climate Change ; Environmental Justice ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Pandemics ; *COVID-19/epidemiology ; Schools ; Students ; }, abstract = {Increasing acknowledgement of climate change (CC) has encouraged various responses, such as education standard mandates. In 2021, New Jersey (NJ) became the first U.S. state to require K-12 CC education across subjects, effective fall 2022. This necessitated introductory science courses on CC to support high school (HS) curricula. Thus, NJ Safe Schools Program (NJSS) created a new course titled, "Introduction to HS Students to CC, Sustainability, and Environmental Justice (EJ)." Given that the COVID-19 pandemic continues (2020-2023 school years) and vaccination coverage varies, this course was developed and approved in an asynchronous online format. Its five modules cover environmental science, CC, natural disasters and extreme weather events, sustainability, including energy conservation and efficiency definitions, and EJ. A 20-question survey included at the end, modified/adapted from a larger nationwide U.S. Student Conservation Association (SCA) survey 2019-2020, examined the perspectives of HS students concerning CC. Selected volunteer NJ HS enlisted students (n = 82/128 finished) to pilot this course February-April 2022. Results such as average scores ≥90% suggested success regarding initial knowledge and awareness gained; for individual modules, two knowledge checks >80% and three knowledge checks >90%. The SCA survey results, overall and by region in NJ, highlighted how most students felt about CC and extreme weather events, plus issues such as EJ. This NJSS introductory course opened in July 2022 for NJ public county secondary school districts and comprehensive HS with approved career-technical education programs, and potentially elsewhere.}, }
@article {pmid36767114, year = {2023}, author = {Smith, JC and Whiley, H and Ross, KE}, title = {Climate Change and Health: Local Government Capacity for Health Protection in Australia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767114}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Humans ; Australia ; *Climate Change ; Local Government ; *Disasters ; Public Health ; }, abstract = {Climate change is the greatest global health threat of the 21st century, with numerous direct and indirect human health consequences. Local governments play a critical role in communities' response to climate change, both through strategies to reduce emissions and adaption plans to respond to changing climate and extreme weather events. Australian local government environmental health officers (EHOs) have the relevant skills and expertise to inform and develop adaptation plans for health protection in the context of climate change. This study used an online survey followed by phone interviews of local government management to determine the extent to which EHOs are involved in adaptation planning in health protection climate change plans. Questions were also asked to determine whether local councils are aware of EHOs' capability to contribute and to gauge the willingness of management to provide EHOs with the workload capacity to do so. The findings demonstrated that although climate adaptation and mitigation planning is occurring in local government, it is not including or considering the public health impacts on the community. Primarily, it was found that this oversight was due to a lack of awareness of the health impacts of climate change outside of a disaster or emergency scenario. Currently, EHOs are an untapped source of knowledge and skills that can contribute to climate change adaption planning. To support this, a framework of local environmental health practice was developed to assist the reconceptualization of the scope of practice required for the planning and response to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36767043, year = {2023}, author = {Magnano San Lio, R and Favara, G and Maugeri, A and Barchitta, M and Agodi, A}, title = {How Antimicrobial Resistance Is Linked to Climate Change: An Overview of Two Intertwined Global Challenges.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767043}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use/pharmacology ; Drug Resistance, Bacterial ; Climate Change ; Pandemics ; Plastics ; *COVID-19/epidemiology ; *Anti-Infective Agents ; }, abstract = {Globally, antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and climate change (CC) are two of the top health emergencies, and can be considered as two interlinked public health priorities. The complex commonalities between AMR and CC should be deeply investigated in a One Health perspective. Here, we provided an overview of the current knowledge about the relationship between AMR and CC. Overall, the studies included pointed out the need for applying a systemic approach to planetary health. Firstly, CC increasingly brings humans and animals into contact, leading to outbreaks of zoonotic and vector-borne diseases with pandemic potential. Although it is well-established that antimicrobial use in human, animal and environmental sectors is one of the main drivers of AMR, the COVID-19 pandemic is exacerbating the current scenario, by influencing the use of antibiotics, personal protective equipment, and biocides. This also results in higher concentrations of contaminants (e.g., microplastics) in natural water bodies, which cannot be completely removed from wastewater treatment plants, and which could sustain the AMR spread. Our overview underlined the lack of studies on the direct relationship between AMR and CC, and encouraged further research to investigate the multiple aspects involved, and its effect on human health.}, }
@article {pmid36767030, year = {2023}, author = {Veenema, RJ and Hoepner, LA and Geer, LA}, title = {Climate Change-Related Environmental Exposures and Perinatal and Maternal Health Outcomes in the U.S.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36767030}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Infant, Newborn ; Pregnancy ; Humans ; Female ; United States/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Floods ; Outcome Assessment, Health Care ; }, abstract = {PURPOSE: Climate change poses one of the greatest risks to human health as air pollution increases, surface temperatures rise, and extreme weather events become more frequent. Environmental exposures related to climate change have a disproportionate effect on pregnant women through influencing food and water security, civil conflicts, extreme weather events, and the spread of disease. Our research team sought to identify the current peer-reviewed research on the effects of climate change-related environmental exposures on perinatal and maternal health in the United States.<br><br>DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic literature review of publications identified through a comprehensive search of the PubMed and Web of Science databases was conducted using a modified Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach. The initial search across both databases identified a combined total of 768 publications. We removed 126 duplicates and 1 quadruplet, and the remaining 639 publications were subjected to our pre-set inclusion and exclusion criteria. We excluded studies outside of the United States. A total of 39 studies met our inclusion criteria and were retained for thematic analysis.<br><br>FINDINGS: A total of 19 studies investigated the effect of either hot or cold temperature exposure on perinatal and maternal health outcomes. The effect of air pollution on perinatal outcomes was examined in five studies. A total of 19 studies evaluated the association between natural disasters (hurricanes, flash floods, and tropical cyclones) and perinatal and maternal health outcomes. High and low temperature extremes were found to negatively influence neonate and maternal health. Significant associations were found between air pollutant exposure and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Adverse pregnancy outcomes were linked to hurricanes, tropical cyclones, and flash floods.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review suggests that climate change-related environmental exposures, including extreme temperatures, air pollution, and natural disasters, are significantly associated with adverse perinatal and maternal health outcomes across the United States.}, }
@article {pmid36766342, year = {2023}, author = {van Hassel, F and Bovenkerk, B}, title = {How Should We Help Wild Animals Cope with Climate Change? The Case of the Iberian Lynx.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36766342}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Climate change and related shifts in weather conditions result in massive biodiversity declines and severe animal suffering. This article explores the measures that can be taken to decrease animal suffering and prevent species from going extinct. Taking the Iberian lynx as a case study, we assess the extent to which it is beneficial for animal welfare and species conservation to do nothing or reduce other threats, provide food or shelter, relocate the species via assisted migration, or bring the population into captivity. We argue that, given the Iberian lynx's non-invasive characteristics, assisted migration may be the best way to protect the species while ensuring animal welfare and protecting wildness and other ecosystem values.}, }
@article {pmid36766076, year = {2023}, author = {Pleadin, J and Kos, J and Radić, B and Vulić, A and Kudumija, N and Radović, R and Janić Hajnal, E and Mandić, A and Anić, M}, title = {Aflatoxins in Maize from Serbia and Croatia: Implications of Climate Change.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36766076}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Aflatoxins (AFs) represent the most important mycotoxin group, whose presence in food and feed poses significant global health and economic issues. The occurrence of AFs in maize is a burning problem worldwide, mainly attributed to droughts. In recent years, Serbia and Croatia faced climate changes followed by a warming trend. Therefore, the main aim of this study was to estimate the influence of weather on AFs occurrence in maize from Serbia and Croatia in the 2018-2021 period. The results indicate that hot and dry weather witnessed in the year 2021 resulted in the highest prevalence of AFs in maize samples in both Serbia (84%) and Croatia (40%). In maize harvested in 2018-2020, AFs occurred in less than, or around, 10% of Serbian and 20% of Croatian samples. In order to conduct a comprehensive study on the implications of climate change for the occurrence of AFs in maize grown in these two countries, the results of available studies performed in the last thirteen years were searched for and discussed.}, }
@article {pmid36766065, year = {2023}, author = {Tang, L and Wu, A and Li, S and Tuerdimaimaiti, M and Zhang, G}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Grain: A Literature Review on What Is Happening, and How Should We Proceed?.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36766065}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {More than half of the people on Earth get their calories, proteins, and minerals from rice grains. Staple increases in the quantity and quality of rice grains are key to ending hunger and malnutrition. Rice production, however, is vulnerable to climate change, and the climate on Earth is becoming more fluctuating with the atmospheric change induced by human activities. As a result, the impacts of climate change on rice grain (ICCRG) have sparked widespread concern. In order to reveal the development and the trend in the study on the ICCRG, a bibliometric analysis was conducted. The results showed that both the model simulations and the field experiment-based observations, as reflected by APSIM (the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator) and free-air carbon dioxide (CO2) enrichment, are of concern to researchers worldwide, especially in China, India, the United States, and Japan. Different types of warming include short-term, nighttime, soil and water, and canopy, and their interactions with other climate factors, such as CO2, or agronomic factors, such as nitrogen level, are also of concern to researchers. Spatiotemporal variations in changing weather and regional adaptations from developed and developing countries are challenging the evaluation of ICCRG from an economic perspective. In order to improve the efficacy of breeding adaptable cultivars and developing agronomic management, interdisciplinary studies integrating molecular biology, plant physiology, agronomy, food chemistry, ecology, and socioeconomics are needed.}, }
@article {pmid36765064, year = {2023}, author = {Kim, H and Lim, H and Kim, J and Roh, S}, title = {Propriety assessment model for life cycle operational global warming potential of apartment buildings in Korea using energy efficiency and energy effective area data.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2420}, pmid = {36765064}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {In response to global warming, researchers worldwide are actively investigating various techniques and institutional frameworks to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. Despite numerous life cycle assessment (LCA) studies indicating that global warming effects due to lifetime energy consumption are the greatest in the building operation stage, the absence of a standard global warming potential (GWP) report based on building energy usage makes it difficult to examine realistic GWP reduction directions. In South Korea, energy data for numerous buildings were collected through the Building Energy Efficiency Certification (BEEC) for several years, with data from apartment buildings receiving the most attention. GWP emissions were evaluated using the data through Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design LCA. Here, we developed a model for apartment buildings to assess mutual propriety for GWP emissions (E) and energy effective area ratio (RE) during building operation to support the reduction of GWP emissions caused by lifetime operational energy consumption resulting from planning and design. We collected apartment BEEC data and used them to calculate the energy effective area ratio and GWP emissions of each building, which were then classified by energy use and source. Linear regression analysis was performed between RE and E for each classification, and the derived regression equation was developed as a GWP assessment model for apartments. The applicability of the proposed model was examined through a case study, which confirmed that the model can be used to determine design directions for reducing GWP emissions for every energy in apartments.}, }
@article {pmid36765059, year = {2023}, author = {Song, S and Ding, Y and Li, W and Meng, Y and Zhou, J and Gou, R and Zhang, C and Ye, S and Saintilan, N and Krauss, KW and Crooks, S and Lv, S and Lin, G}, title = {Mangrove reforestation provides greater blue carbon benefit than afforestation for mitigating global climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {756}, pmid = {36765059}, issn = {2041-1723}, mesh = {*Wetlands ; *Climate Change ; Carbon ; Ecosystem ; Forests ; }, abstract = {Significant efforts have been invested to restore mangrove forests worldwide through reforestation and afforestation. However, blue carbon benefit has not been compared between these two silvicultural pathways at the global scale. Here, we integrated results from direct field measurements of over 370 restoration sites around the world to show that mangrove reforestation (reestablishing mangroves where they previously colonized) had a greater carbon storage potential per hectare than afforestation (establishing mangroves where not previously mangrove). Greater carbon accumulation was mainly attributed to favorable intertidal positioning, higher nitrogen availability, and lower salinity at most reforestation sites. Reforestation of all physically feasible areas in the deforested mangrove regions of the world could promote the uptake of 671.5-688.8 Tg CO2-eq globally over a 40-year period, 60% more than afforesting the same global area on tidal flats (more marginal sites). Along with avoiding conflicts of habitat conversion, mangrove reforestation should be given priority when designing nature-based solutions for mitigating global climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36765048, year = {2023}, author = {Pérez-Invernón, FJ and Gordillo-Vázquez, FJ and Huntrieser, H and Jöckel, P}, title = {Variation of lightning-ignited wildfire patterns under climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {739}, pmid = {36765048}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Lightning is the main precursor of natural wildfires and Long-Continuing-Current (LCC) lightning flashes are proposed to be the main igniters of lightning-ignited wildfires (LIW). Previous studies predict a change of the global occurrence rate and spatial pattern of total lightning. Nevertheless, the sensitivity of lightning-ignited wildfire occurrence to climate change is uncertain. Here, we investigate space-based measurements of LCC lightning associated with lightning ignitions and present LCC lightning projections under the Representative Concentration Pathway RCP6.0 for the 2090s by applying a recent LCC lightning parameterization based on the updraft strength in thunderstorms. We find a 41% global increase of the LCC lightning flash rate. Increases are largest in South America, the western coast of North America, Central America, Australia, Southern and Eastern Asia, and Europe, while only regional variations are found in northern polar forests, where fire risk can affect permafrost soil carbon release. These results show that lightning schemes including LCC lightning are needed to project the occurrence of lightning-ignited wildfires under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid36764535, year = {2023}, author = {Rafalska, A and Walkiewicz, A and Osborne, B and Klumpp, K and Bieganowski, A}, title = {Variation in methane uptake by grassland soils in the context of climate change - A review of effects and mechanisms.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {871}, number = {}, pages = {162127}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162127}, pmid = {36764535}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Grassland soils are climate-dependent ecosystems that have a significant greenhouse gas mitigating function through their ability to store large amounts of carbon (C). However, what is often not recognized is that they can also exhibit a high methane (CH4) uptake capacity that could be influenced by future increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration and variations in temperature and water availability. While there is a wealth of information on C sequestration in grasslands there is less consensus on how climate change impacts on CH4 uptake or the underlying mechanisms involved. To address this, we assessed existing knowledge on the impact of climate change components on CH4 uptake by grassland soils. Increases in precipitation associated with soils with a high background soil moisture content generally resulted in a reduction in CH4 uptake or even net emissions, while the effect was opposite in soils with a relatively low background moisture content. Initially wet grasslands subject to the combined effects of warming and water deficits may absorb more CH4, mainly due to increased gas diffusivity. However, in the longer-term heat and drought stress may reduce the activity of methanotrophs when the mean soil moisture content is below the optimum for their survival. Enhanced plant productivity and growth under elevated CO2, increased soil moisture and changed nutrient concentrations, can differentially affect methanotrophic activity, which is often reduced by increasing N deposition. Our estimations showed that CH4 uptake in grassland soils can change from -57.7 % to +6.1 % by increased precipitation, from -37.3 % to +85.3 % by elevated temperatures, from +0.87 % to +92.4 % by decreased precipitation, and from -66.7 % to +27.3 % by elevated CO2. In conclusion, the analysis suggests that grasslands under the influence of warming and drought may absorb even more CH4, mainly because of reduced soil water contents and increased gas diffusivity.}, }
@article {pmid36762921, year = {2023}, author = {Saunders, NR and Habgood, MD}, title = {Misunderstanding of the contribution of climate change to inspired CO2 and acid-base balance in pregnant women: It is not a hazard to their offspring.}, journal = {The Journal of physiology}, volume = {601}, number = {5}, pages = {1037}, doi = {10.1113/JP284217}, pmid = {36762921}, issn = {1469-7793}, mesh = {Pregnancy ; Humans ; Female ; *Acid-Base Equilibrium ; *Carbon Dioxide ; Pregnant Women ; Climate Change ; }, }
@article {pmid36762647, year = {2023}, author = {Cianconi, P and Hanife, B and Hirsch, D and Janiri, L}, title = {Is climate change affecting mental health of urban populations?.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry}, volume = {36}, number = {3}, pages = {213-218}, pmid = {36762647}, issn = {1473-6578}, mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; Urban Population ; *Climate Change ; Cities ; *Mental Health ; Hot Temperature ; }, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In this article, we outline an up-to-date overview of the climate change impact on mental health of urban population, conducted by searching the PubMed database for relevant studies published in the past 12-18 months, in English.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change is part of a larger systemic ecological problem in which human demands are exceeding the regenerative capacity of the biosphere. We are witnessing a 'climate chaos', a phase of instability and transformation, which is leading humans into a psychological condition of 'systemic insecurity' and a shared feeling of uncertainty. Currently, one of the places where our species is particularly exposed to climate change are cities, due to build-up in urban infrastructure, rapid and chaotic urbanization, high densities and recent rapid growth, social inequality, and 'heat island effect'.The impact of climate change on cities exposes vulnerable groups to the worse mental health consequences. These groups include the homelessness, slum dwellers for whom the 'neighbourhood effects' are being discussed, climate refugees and migrants, young people, and finally those who assist these people.<br><br>SUMMARY: In order to realize broader mental health prevention in cities exposed to climate change phenomena, public health approaches are needed. Institutions must avoid reinforcing inequalities among the more vulnerable groups or create new inequalities.}, }
@article {pmid36762175, year = {2022}, author = {Ling, Z and Shi, Z and Gu, S and Wang, T and Zhu, W and Feng, G}, title = {Corrigendum: Impact of climate change and rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) plantation expansion on reference evapotranspiration in Xishuangbanna, Southwest China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1092168}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.1092168}, pmid = {36762175}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2022.830519.].}, }
@article {pmid36762096, year = {2022}, author = {Loi, M and Logrieco, AF and Pusztahelyi, T and Leiter, &#xc9; and Hornok, L and Pócsi, I}, title = {Advanced mycotoxin control and decontamination techniques in view of an increased aflatoxin risk in Europe due to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1085891}, pmid = {36762096}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {Aflatoxins are toxic secondary metabolites produced by Aspergillus spp. found in staple food and feed commodities worldwide. Aflatoxins are carcinogenic, teratogenic, and mutagenic, and pose a serious threat to the health of both humans and animals. The global economy and trade are significantly affected as well. Various models and datasets related to aflatoxins in maize have been developed and used but have not yet been linked. The prevention of crop loss due to aflatoxin contamination is complex and challenging. Hence, the set-up of advanced decontamination is crucial to cope with the challenge of climate change, growing population, unstable political scenarios, and food security problems also in European countries. After harvest, decontamination methods can be applied during transport, storage, or processing, but their application for aflatoxin reduction is still limited. Therefore, this review aims to investigate the effects of environmental factors on aflatoxin production because of climate change and to critically discuss the present-day and novel decontamination techniques to unravel gaps and limitations to propose them as a tool to tackle an increased aflatoxin risk in Europe.}, }
@article {pmid36761564, year = {2022}, author = {Pazmiño-Palomino, A and Reyes-Puig, C and Del Hierro, AG}, title = {How could climate change influence the distribution of the black soldier fly, Hermetiaillucens (Linnaeus) (Diptera, Stratiomyidae)?.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e90146}, pmid = {36761564}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {The black soldier fly, Hermetiaillucens (Linnaeus, 1758), is a saprophagous species used to decompose organic matter. This study proposes a distribution model of H.illucens to illustrate its current and future distribution. The methodology includes data collection from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), complemented with iNaturalist, manual expert curation of occurrence records, six species distribution models algorithms and one ensemble model. The average temperature of the driest annual quarter and the precipitation of the coldest annual quarter were the key variables influencing the potential distribution of H.illucens. The distribution range is estimated to decrease progressively and their suitable habitats could change dramatically in the future due to global warming. On the other hand, current optimal habitats would become uninhabitable for the species, mainly at low latitudes. Under this scenario, the species is projected to move to higher latitudes and elevations in the future. The results of this study provide data on the distribution of H.illucens, facilitating its location, management and sustainable use in current and future scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid36761538, year = {2022}, author = {Lhoumeau, S and Cardoso, P and Boieiro, M and Ros-Prieto, A and Costa, R and Lamelas-Lopez, L and Leite, A and Amorim do Rosário, I and Gabriel, R and Malumbres-Olarte, J and Rigal, F and Santos, AMC and Tsafack, N and Ferreira, MT and Borges, PAV}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forests of Azores: V - New records of terrestrial arthropods after ten years of SLAM sampling.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e97952}, pmid = {36761538}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: A long-term study monitoring arthropods (Arthropoda) is being conducted since 2012 in the forests of Azorean Islands. Named "SLAM - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores", this project aims to understand the impact of biodiversity erosion drivers in the distribution, abundance and diversity of Azorean arthropods. The current dataset represents arthropods that have been recorded using a total of 42 passive SLAM traps (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) deployed in native, mixed and exotic forest fragments in seven Azorean Islands (Flores, Faial, Pico, Graciosa, Terceira, São Miguel and Santa Maria). This manuscript is the fifth data-paper contribution, based on data from this long-term monitoring project.<br><br>NEW INFORMATION: We targeted taxa for species identification belonging to Arachnida (excluding Acari), Chilopoda, Diplopoda, Hexapoda (excluding Collembola, Lepidoptera, Diptera and Hymenoptera (but including only Formicidae)). Specimens were sampled over seven Azorean Islands during the 2012-2021 period. Spiders (Araneae) data from Pico and Terceira Islands are not included since they have been already published elsewhere (Costa and Borges 2021, Lhoumeau et al. 2022). We collected a total of 176007 specimens, of which 168565 (95.7%) were identified to the species or subspecies level. For Araneae and some Hemiptera species, juveniles are also included in this paper, since the low diversity in the Azores allows a relatively precise species-level identification of this life-stage. We recorded a total of 316 named species and subspecies, belonging to 25 orders, 106 families and 260 genera. The ten most abundant species were mostly endemic or native non-endemic (one Opiliones, one Archaeognatha and seven Hemiptera) and only one exotic species, the Julida Ommatoiulusmoreleti (Lucas, 1860). These ten species represent 107330 individuals (60%) of all sampled specimens and can be considered as the dominant species in the Azorean native forests for the target studied taxa. The Hemiptera were the most abundant taxa, with 90127 (50.4%) specimens. The Coleoptera were the most diverse with 30 (28.6%) families.We registered 72 new records for many of the islands (two for Flores, eight for Faial, 24 for Graciosa, 23 for Pico, eight for Terceira, three for S&#xe3;o Miguel and four for Santa Maria). These records represent 58 species. None of them is new to the Azores Archipelago. Most of the new records are introduced species, all still with low abundance on the studied islands. This publication contributes to increasing the baseline information for future long-term comparisons of the arthropods of the studied sites and the knowledge of the arthropod fauna of the native forests of the Azores, in terms of species abundance, distribution and diversity throughout seasons and years.}, }
@article {pmid36761513, year = {2022}, author = {Lhoumeau, S and Cardoso, P and Costa, R and Boieiro, M and Malumbres-Olarte, J and Amorim, IR and Rigal, F and Santos, AMC and Gabriel, R and Borges, PAV}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores: IV - The spiders of Terceira and Pico Islands (2019-2021) and general diversity patterns after ten years of sampling.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e96442}, pmid = {36761513}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Long-term studies are key to understand the drivers of biodiversity erosion, such as land-use change and habitat degradation, climate change, invasive species or pollution. The long-term project SLAM (Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores) started in 2012 and focuses on arthropod monitoring, using SLAM (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) traps, aiming to understand the impact of the drivers of biodiversity erosion on Azorean native forests (Azores, Portugal). This is the fourth contribution including SLAM project data and the second focused on the spider fauna (Arachnida, Araneae) of native forests on two islands (Pico and Terceira). In this contribution, we describe data collected between 2019 and 2021 and we analyse them together with a previously published database that covered the 2012-2019 period, in order to describe changes in species abundance patterns over the last ten years.<br><br>NEW INFORMATION: We present abundance data of Azorean spider species for the 2019-2021 period in two Azorean Islands (Terceira and Pico). We also present analyses of species distribution and abundance of the whole sampling period. In the period of 2019-2021, we collected a total of 5110 spider specimens, of which 2449 (48%) were adults. Most juveniles, with the exception of some exotic Erigoninae, were also included in the data presented in this paper, since the low diversity of spiders in the Azores allows a relatively precise species-level identification of this life-stage. We recorded a total of 45 species, belonging to 39 genera and 16 families. The ten most abundant species were composed mostly of endemic or native non-endemic species and only two exotic species (Tenuiphantestenuis (Blackwall, 1852) and Dysderacrocata C. L. Koch, 1838). They included 4308 individuals (84%) of all sampled specimens and were the dominant species in Azorean native forests. The family Linyphiidae was the richest and most abundant taxon, with 15 (33%) species and 2630 (51%) specimens. We report Cheiracanthiummildei L. Koch, 1864, a non-native species, from Pico Island for the first time. We found no new species records on Terceira Island. This publication contributes to increasing the baseline information for future long-term comparisons of the spiders on the studied sites and the knowledge of the arachnofauna of the native forests of Terceira and Pico, in terms of species abundance, distribution and diversity across seasons for a 10 years period.}, }
@article {pmid36761500, year = {2022}, author = {Borges, PAV and Lamelas-López, L and Tsafack, N and Boieiro, M and Ros-Prieto, A and Gabriel, R and Nunes, R and Ferreira, MT}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores: III - Testing the impact of edge effects in a native forest of Terceira Island.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e85971}, pmid = {36761500}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The data we present are part of the long-term project "SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores" that started in 2012, aiming to understand the impact of biodiversity erosion drivers on Azorean native forests (Azores, Macaronesia, Portugal). The data for the current study consist in an inventory of arthropods collected in three locations of a native forest fragment at Terra-Brava protected area (Terceira, Azores, Portugal) aiming to test the impact of edge effects on Azorean arthropod communities. The three locations were: (i) the edge of the forest, closer to the pastures; (ii) an intermediate area (100 m from edge); and (iii) the deepest part of the native forest fragment (more than 300 m from edge). The study was carried out between June 2014 and December 2015. A total of nine passive flight interception SLAM (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) traps were deployed (three in each of the studied locations), during 18 consecutive months. This study provides the raw data to investigate temporal and edge effect variation for the Azorean arthropod communities.<br><br>NEW INFORMATION: The collected arthropods belong to a wide diversity of taxonomic groups of Arachnida, Diplopoda, Chilopoda and Insecta classes. We collected a total of 13,516 specimens from which it was possible to identify to species level almost all specimens (13,504). These identified specimens belong to 15 orders, 58 families (plus three with only genus or family level identification) and 97 species of arthropods. A total of 35 species are considered introduced, 34 native non-endemic and 28 endemic. Additionally, a total of 10 taxa (12 specimens) were recorded at genus, family or order level. This dataset will allow researchers to test the impact of edge effect on arthropod biodiversity and to investigate seasonal changes in Azorean arthropod native forest communities.}, }
@article {pmid36759239, year = {2023}, author = {Gallagher, A and Smyth, B and Jha, V}, title = {Climate Change, Heat-Related Acute Kidney Disease, and the Need for Action.}, journal = {American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1053/j.ajkd.2022.11.002}, pmid = {36759239}, issn = {1523-6838}, }
@article {pmid36758747, year = {2023}, author = {Caldeira, D and Dores, H and Franco, F and Bravo Baptista, S and Cabral, S and Cachulo, MDC and Peixeiro, A and Rodrigues, R and Santos, M and Timóteo, AT and Campos, L and Vasconcelos, J and Nogueira, PJ and Gonçalves, L}, title = {Global warming and heat wave risks for cardiovascular diseases: A position paper from the Portuguese Society of Cardiology.}, journal = {Revista portuguesa de cardiologia : orgao oficial da Sociedade Portuguesa de Cardiologia = Portuguese journal of cardiology : an official journal of the Portuguese Society of Cardiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.repc.2023.02.002}, pmid = {36758747}, issn = {2174-2030}, abstract = {Global warming is a result of the increased emission of greenhouse gases. The consequences of this climate change threaten society, biodiversity, food and resource availability. The consequences include an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease and cardiovascular mortality. In this position paper, we summarize the data from the main studies that assess the risks of a temperature increase or heat waves in CV events (CV mortality, myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, and CV hospitalizations), as well as the data concerning air pollution as an enhancer of temperature-related CV risks. The data currently support global warming/heat waves (extreme temperatures) as cardiovascular threats. Achieving neutrality in emissions to prevent global warming is essential and it is likely to have an effect in the global health, including the cardiovascular health. Simultaneously, urgent steps are required to adapt the society and individuals to this new climatic context that is potentially harmful for cardiovascular health. Multidisciplinary teams should plan and intervene healthcare related to temperature changes and heat waves and advocate for a change in environmental health policy.}, }
@article {pmid36756845, year = {2023}, author = {Garcia-Costoya, G and Williams, CE and Faske, TM and Moorman, JD and Logan, ML}, title = {Evolutionary constraints mediate extinction risk under climate change.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {26}, number = {4}, pages = {529-539}, doi = {10.1111/ele.14173}, pmid = {36756845}, issn = {1461-0248}, m