@article {pmid40450538,
year = {2025},
author = {Wu, H and Yu, L and Shen, X and Watson, JEM and Wan, H and Cao, Y and Hua, T and Liu, T and Zhao, J and Liu, J and Gao, J and Ma, K},
title = {Bridging conservation gaps under climate change at multiple scales to protect 30% of Earth's surface by 2030.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e70054},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.70054},
pmid = {40450538},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {2022YFE0209400//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2024YFF1307600//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 42401314//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023M741885//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; 20223080017//Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program/ ; //the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility (EarthLab)/ ; },
abstract = {The 30×30 commitment outlined in the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF) offers a critical opportunity for enhancing global biodiversity conservation. However, KM-GBF's efforts to address climate change impacts remain limited. We developed 1-km-resolution hotspot maps for climate change vulnerability with the exposure-sensitivity-adaptation framework, species distribution for 4 terrestrial vertebrate taxa, and carbon stock capacity including organic and biomass carbon, for 2030. Then, we developed a systematic conservation planning approach that, beyond the 3 conservation features mentioned, also considered human activities, connectivity, and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The plan included the identification of conservation priorities and gaps for China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations region (China-ASEAN) at regional, national, and biogeographical scales. We found that 6.59% of the land in China-ASEAN overlapped all 3 hotspots, primarily in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Cambodia. Across all 3 spatial scales, newly identified conservation priorities were concentrated in low-elevation areas, particularly between 10° S and 10° N at the regional scale. Currently, protected areas cover 15.49% of China-ASEAN's land, representing 7.00% of climate change vulnerability hotspots, 12.45% of species distribution potential hotspots, and 14.56% of carbon stock capacity hotspots for 2030. If the 30×30 commitment is realized at a regional scale, these percentages are expected to increase to 22.93%, 33.15%, and 34.75%, respectively. Areas of conservation priority identified with our framework were significantly affected by the scale of protection coordination, yet they remained stable across Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, indicating their effectiveness in diverse future scenarios. The biogeographical scale had the smallest average conservation gap for all 12 countries (13.14%). Financial challenges are highest for Indonesia at the regional scale and for Malaysia at the national and biogeographical scales. Precise conservation based on appropriate scales is essential to achieving the 30×30 commitment and maximizing its conservation effectiveness under climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40449471,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, S and Huang, H and Peng, D and Zhu, Y and Dong, D and Huang, H and Chu, J},
title = {Potential distribution projections of mangrove forests and invasive plants under climate change: case insights from mangrove management in Guangdong Province, China.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {218},
number = {},
pages = {118131},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.118131},
pmid = {40449471},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Mangrove ecosystems are vital for maintaining biodiversity, purifying water, sequestering carbon, and mitigating climate change in coastal regions. The geographical distribution of mangrove forests has been severely affected by global warming; therefore, it must be predicted under future climate scenarios to provide a scientific basis for conservation and restoration. In this study, we employed the MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of suitable mangrove areas in Guangdong Province under current conditions and two future climate scenarios (2030s and 2090s): SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. The potential distributions of introduced mangrove plants (Laguncularia racemosa and Sonneratia apetala) were assessed to evaluate their suitability for mangrove restoration. Furthermore, we investigated the invasive potential of Spartina alterniflora, a biologically invasive species in mangrove ecosystems, under different climate scenarios. Finally, a conservation gap analysis was conducted to identify priority areas for mangrove protection. We observed the following: i) main environmental factors affecting the distribution pattern of mangroves in Guangdong Province were temperature and water quality; ii) hotspots of mangrove distribution are mainly concentrated in the Beibu Gulf coastline, Leizhou Gulf coastline, Zhenhai Bay-Dongping Harbor-Beijin Bay coastline, Zhuhai Harbor-Guangzhou Bay-Humen-Mawan Bay, Shuangyue Bay, and Rongjiang River estuary; iii) optimal zone of mangroves was the largest under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and the potential suitable zone and geometric center of mangroves gradually shifted to higher latitudes; iv) the protection and restoration of mangroves should be prioritized in the future in the zones of Anpu Harbor, Leizhou Bay, Zhenhai Bay, and Huangmaohai and coastline of Pearl River Estuary.},
}

@article {pmid40449424,
year = {2025},
author = {Mengistu, TD and Chang, SW and Chung, IM},
title = {Modeling and prediction of climate change impacts on water resources vulnerability: A multi-model approach.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {388},
number = {},
pages = {126025},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.126025},
pmid = {40449424},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {In a rapidly changing world, uncontrolled climate change worsens water scarcity disrupting hydrological cycles and hindering sustainable development. Addressing water resources vulnerability requires holistic approaches to better understand complex systems, mitigate risks from changing weather patterns, and develop adaptive water management strategies. In this study, we modeled climate change impacts on water resource vulnerability using machine learning (ML) and SWAT model based on CMIP6 Global Climate Model (GCMs) under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP). Six ML models were evaluated to reliably predict hydroclimatic events; Extremely Randomised Trees (ERT) and Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) performed best for simulating ensemble climate interactions. The statistical indicators confirmed model reliability reducing input uncertainties with bias-corrected datasets. The ensemble SWAT model simulation showed a good agreement between simulated and observed values (R[2] = 93 %, NSE = 91 %, and PBIAS = -1.08 %) for calibration and (R[2] = 94 %, NSE = 93 %, and PBIAS = -2.32 %) for validation periods. Furthermore, we developed a novel Hydrologic Vulnerability Index (HVI) framework based on water balance components to quantify watershed vulnerability dynamics across baseline and future scenarios. The HVI ranged from low to extreme, with maximum lower values (54.03 %) observed at baseline, indicating resilience to hydrological stress, and higher values indicating severe vulnerability (43.45 %) at SSP245, indicating extreme drought conditions. The HVI framework integrates climate projections with actionable insights, offering a comprehensive approach to sustainable water management, adaptive infrastructure, and targeted interventions. Hence, innovative policies are critical to address extreme HVIs ensuring resilience against water scarcity and ecosystem degradation. This study underscores the importance of coupling data-driven hydrological analysis with climate responsiveness for effective watershed and environmental sustainability. These results demonstrate the importance of integrating various perspectives and strategies to address both short- and long-term climatic problems, by employing adaptive management practices to ensure sufficient water and ecosystem resilience.},
}

@article {pmid40449351,
year = {2025},
author = {Quintero-Campos, P and Salvador-Clavell, R and Martín, B and Fouz, B and Amaro, C and Tortajada-Genaro, LA and Maquieira, Á},
title = {Environmental monitoring of a climate change indicator (Vibrio vulnificus) in coastal wetland water samples based on field-deployable detection.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {986},
number = {},
pages = {179791},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179791},
pmid = {40449351},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global warming is driving rapid changes across all ecological scales, including shifts in the distribution patterns and virulence potential of some pathogenic bacteria. A relevant pathogen affected by climate change is Vibrio vulnificus, a species considered a valuable biomarker because rising temperatures and changes in salinity strongly influence its prevalence and distribution. Comprehensive surveillance at local scales is required to provide precise environmental understanding. However, current monitoring methods are often inaccessible or cost-prohibitive, highlighting the need for fast, field-deployable alternatives. This study hypothesized that combining lateral flow assay with isothermal DNA amplification can enable rapid, on-site detection with minimal instrumentation. To validate the approach, V. vulnificus was monitored in a Mediterranean coastal wetland, a sensitive ecosystem where changes impact biodiversity and may lead to waterborne diseases. The campaign was based on water sampling, an enrichment step, and a DNA-based assay integrated into a microfluidic chip. Species-specific vvhA gene was amplified through recombinase polymerase amplification (RPA), detected on a lateral flow strip, and quantified by a smartphone. The monitoring campaign identified locations within the wetland exhibiting a significant increase in bacterial concentrations, up to 300 times, depending on the sampling site. The bacterium was detected in brackish water areas and inflow/outflow points, showing excellent performance. These promising results suggest that the new procedure can help detect microenvironments that favor or inhibit bacterial growth. The surveillance strategy could be effectively applied on a global scale to assess risks, examine variations associated with climate change, and implement measures against Vibrio infections.},
}

@article {pmid40446039,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Z and Yang, C and Sahy, D and Zhan, RB and Wu, RC and Li, Y and Deng, Y and Huang, B and Condon, DJ and Rong, J and Li, XH},
title = {Tempo of the Late Ordovician mass extinction controlled by the rate of climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {22},
pages = {eadv6788},
pmid = {40446039},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {The Late Ordovician mass extinction (LOME) included two phases (I and II) of high species turnover that have been hypothetically linked to the Hirnantian glaciation and subsequent rapid warming, respectively. However, the timing and tempo of the LOME remain uncertain, which hinders our understanding of the feedback between the LOME and paleoclimatic change. Here, we present high-precision radioisotopic dates for the Ordovician-Silurian transition in South China that reveal the LOME began at 442.76 + 0.35/-0.22 million years ago, with the two phases lasting for 0.34 + 0.46/-0.34 and 0.06 + 0.31/-0.06 million years, respectively. The rapid switch from icehouse to greenhouse conditions, along with the higher mean rate of temperature change during LOME II, resulted in a much higher mean extinction rate during LOME II than I (71.6% versus 8.4% species loss per 100 thousand years, respectively), implying that the rate of climate change was a primary control on the tempo of the LOME.},
}

@article {pmid40445075,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "Ocean Iron Fertilization May Amplify Climate Change Pressures on Marine Animal Biomass for Limited Climate Benefit".},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {6},
pages = {e70273},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70273},
pmid = {40445075},
issn = {1365-2486},
}

@article {pmid40444110,
year = {2024},
author = {Agache, I and Akdis, C and Akdis, M and Al-Hemoud, A and Annesi-Maesano, I and Balmes, J and Cecchi, L and Damialis, A and Haahtela, T and Haber, AL and Hart, JE and Jutel, M and Mitamura, Y and Mmbaga, BT and Oh, JW and Ostadtaghizadeh, A and Pawankar, R and Prunicki, M and Renz, H and Rice, MB and Filho, NAR and Sampath, V and Skevaki, C and Thien, F and Traidl-Hoffmann, C and Wong, GWK and Nadeau, KC},
title = {Immune-mediated disease caused by climate change-associated environmental hazards: mitigation and adaptation.},
journal = {Frontiers in science},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40444110},
issn = {2813-6330},
support = {U19 AI104209/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; U01 AI147462/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; P30 ES000002/ES/NIEHS NIH HHS/United States ; P01 HL152953/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States ; R01 ES032253/ES/NIEHS NIH HHS/United States ; P01 AI153559/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; U19 AI167903/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Global warming and climate change have increased the pollen burden and the frequency and intensity of wildfires, sand and dust storms, thunderstorms, and heatwaves - with concomitant increases in air pollution, heat stress, and flooding. These environmental stressors alter the human exposome and trigger complex immune responses. In parallel, pollutants, allergens, and other environmental factors increase the risks of skin and mucosal barrier disruption and microbial dysbiosis, while a loss of biodiversity and reduced exposure to microbial diversity impairs tolerogenic immune development. The resulting immune dysregulation is contributing to an increase in immune-mediated diseases such as asthma and other allergic diseases, autoimmune diseases, and cancer. It is now abundantly clear that multi-sectoral, multidisciplinary, and transborder efforts based on Planetary Health and One Health approaches (which consider the dependence of human health on the environment and natural ecosystems) are urgently needed to adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate change. Key actions include reducing emissions and improving air quality (through reduced fossil fuel use), providing safe housing (e.g., improving weatherization), improving diets (i.e., quality and diversity) and agricultural practices, and increasing environmental biodiversity and green spaces. There is also a pressing need for collaborative, multidisciplinary research to better understand the pathophysiology of immune diseases in the context of climate change. New data science techniques, biomarkers, and economic models should be used to measure the impact of climate change on immune health and disease, to inform mitigation and adaptation efforts, and to evaluate their effectiveness. Justice, equity, diversity, and inclusion (JEDI) considerations should be integral to these efforts to address disparities in the impact of climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40443437,
year = {2025},
author = {Fan, L and Mi, C and Li, J and Zhang, Y and Zhang, H and Zhang, G and Wang, H},
title = {Projecting global shifts in the invasive potential of Bidens pilosa L. under climate change using species distribution models.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1580278},
pmid = {40443437},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Invasive species pose significant threats to ecosystems by reducing biodiversity, introducing new diseases, and competing with native species for resources. Bidens pilosa L., a globally invasive weed originating in tropical America, severely impacts agricultural productivity by infesting 31 economically vital crops across over 40 countries. This study examined the global distribution of Bidens pilosa L., under current and future climate scenarios. Using species distribution models and occurrence data, we identified key factors influencing its spread, including temperature, precipitation, and human influence. Our findings suggest a likely decline of suitable habitats in tropical regions and an expansion into temperate regions, with climate suitability decreasing under higher temperatures. Additionally, historical reconstructions emphasize that the rapid spread of the species was facilitated by maritime trade routes. Management strategies are proposed that emphasize the need for enhanced control measures in high-risk areas and conservation efforts in its native range in tropical America. Overall, this research contributes to understanding the dynamics of B. pilosa distribution and informs proactive management strategies to mitigate its ecological and economic impacts.},
}

@article {pmid40442223,
year = {2025},
author = {Baranowska, M and Łukowski, A and Korzeniewicz, R and Kowalkowski, W and Dylewski, Ł},
title = {Predicting parasitic plants Loranthus Europaeus range shifts in response to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {18932},
pmid = {40442223},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Quercus/parasitology ; *Loranthaceae/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Europe ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly influences the distribution of parasitic species, posing threats to ecosystems and economies. This study examines the potential range expansion of Loranthus europaeus, a parasitic plant impacting European forestry. We assessed the impact of predicted climate change for 2041-2060 and 2061-2080 using MaxEnt modeling based on current occurrence data of L. europaeus, and the main host plant genus oak Quercus, as well as bioclimatic variables. Our model demonstrated high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.92). The most important variables for Europe range were range of Quercus genus. Key environmental factors included isothermality (bio3) and mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio8). Under SSP126 and SSP245 scenarios, our results predict significant range expansions into northern and eastern Europe, with increases of 43.5% and 53.9% by 2041-2060. Conversely, southern Europe may see contractions of 16.4-20.6%. Projections for 2061-2080 indicate further expansions up to 65.8% in northern Europe, alongside contractions up to 29.8% in southern regions, including Turkey and Greece.These shifts highlight the influence of climate change on L. europaeus distribution and underscore the need for adaptive management strategies to mitigate potential ecological and economic impacts.},
}

*Climate Change
Quercus/parasitology
*Loranthaceae/physiology
Ecosystem
Europe

@article {pmid40440854,
year = {2025},
author = {Karlsson, MB and Kamp, A and Thomsen, TP},
title = {Uncertainty in climate change impacts in Danish straw and digestate pyrolysis systems.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {985},
number = {},
pages = {179768},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179768},
pmid = {40440854},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {With increasing political ambitions for biomass pyrolysis as a climate change mitigation tool in the Danish agricultural sector, a deeper understanding of the range of expected climate impacts related to deployment of the technology is necessary. Straw and manure-based digestate are currently the main feedstocks in focus for large scale Danish biomass pyrolysis. Existing climate impacts assessments of straw and digestate biomass pyrolysis are limited and no extensive assessment of uncertainty in these systems has been performed. In this study, a climate change impact assessment of straw and digestate pyrolysis in a Danish context is performed with focus on uncertainty ranges in results. Results show that systems with biomass pyrolysis potentially provide climate benefits comparted to reference management of straw and digestate in the ranges -1118 (-972 to -1264) and - 42 (-10 to -76) kg CO2e with GWP100 per ton wet feedstock, respectively. The approach applied to assess uncertainty in this study allows for detailed understanding of the driving mechanisms of climate impacts in the modelled systems. While the relative uncertainty in straw pyrolysis net impact is low, relative digestate pyrolysis net impact uncertainty is substantial. The digestate dewatering process and storage methane emissions are the main sources of uncertainty and are the primary areas with potential for optimization. The results indicate a substantial improvement potential for full system optimization. Efficient harvesting of dry matter and carbon for pyrolysis in dewatering is critical while ensuring that benefits are not offset by increased storage emissions from the resulting liquid fraction.},
}

@article {pmid40439503,
year = {2025},
author = {Elson, H and Lever, G},
title = {The role of resident doctor sustainability leads in tackling climate change: an editorial.},
journal = {Postgraduate medical journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/postmj/qgaf078},
pmid = {40439503},
issn = {1469-0756},
}

@article {pmid40439315,
year = {2025},
author = {Cagnola, JI and Rotili, DH and Otegui, ME and Casal, JJ},
title = {50 years of breeding to improve yield: how maize stands up to climate change.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {380},
number = {1927},
pages = {20240250},
pmid = {40439315},
issn = {1471-2970},
support = {//Fondo para la Investigación Científica y Tecnológica/ ; //Secretaría de Ciencia y Técnica, Universidad de Buenos Aires/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Zea mays/genetics/growth & development/physiology ; *Plant Breeding ; *Crops, Agricultural/genetics/growth & development ; Europe ; North America ; South America ; China ; },
abstract = {Despite significant advancements in agricultural practices, the challenge of increasing crop yields has intensified owing to the escalating impacts of global climate change. This article examines the implications for climate change adaptation of the genetic improvements that have enhanced the ability of maize crops to capture sunlight energy (interception efficiency), convert captured energy into biomass (radiation-use efficiency) and allocate dry matter to grain production (harvest index), driving substantial increases in maize grain yields over the past five decades. We focus on the following four major maize-producing regions: North America, South America, continental Europe and Northeast China. Our analysis reveals that historical advancements have resulted in traits that confer general stability against stress, providing a solid foundation for adapting to the anticipated climatic scenario. While improvements in plant architecture, grain partitioning and tolerance to biological stress offer a broader range of adoptable options, new breeding efforts will be essential. These efforts will require adjustments of the crop cycles to elude stress and the development of cultivars with enhanced tolerance to multiple, simultaneous stresses.This article is part of the theme issue 'Crops under stress: can we mitigate the impacts of climate change on agriculture and launch the 'Resilience Revolution'?'.},
}

*Climate Change
*Zea mays/genetics/growth & development/physiology
*Plant Breeding
*Crops, Agricultural/genetics/growth & development
Europe
North America
South America
China

@article {pmid40439309,
year = {2025},
author = {Nakashima, K and Yamaguchi-Shinozaki, K and Shinozaki, K},
title = {Transcriptional gene network involved in drought stress response: application for crop breeding in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {380},
number = {1927},
pages = {20240236},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2024.0236},
pmid = {40439309},
issn = {1471-2970},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Droughts ; *Crops, Agricultural/genetics/physiology ; *Stress, Physiological/genetics ; *Gene Regulatory Networks ; *Plant Breeding ; *Arabidopsis/genetics/physiology ; Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; },
abstract = {The rapid increase in greenhouse gases has accelerated global warming, causing significant issues related to climate change, biodiversity and agriculture and adversely affecting crop production and food supply. The molecular and physiological mechanisms by which plants respond to abiotic stresses such as drought, cold and heat are well understood, according to advances in transcriptome analyses. These studies underscore the critical role of transcriptional regulation in managing drought stress and developing tolerance in Arabidopsis and other plants. Key genes, including those encoding transcription factors, protein kinases and other regulatory proteins, play essential roles in the cellular and molecular responses to drought. At the onset of drought stress, dehydration-induced signals relay to the nucleus, triggering the transcription of stress-related genes to cope with water deficit. Both abscisic acid (ABA)-dependent and ABA-independent regulatory mechanisms have been explored in these responses. Furthermore, many drought-inducible genes have been shown to increase stress tolerance via transgenic methods. The use of insights from Arabidopsis is vital for advancing crop breeding through the use of genetic modification technologies and genome editing. Recent advances in genomic technologies have provided critical data for crop genotyping, serving as essential platforms.This article is part of the theme issue 'Crops under stress: can we mitigate the impacts of climate change on agriculture and launch the 'Resilience Revolution'?'.},
}

*Climate Change
*Droughts
*Crops, Agricultural/genetics/physiology
*Stress, Physiological/genetics
*Gene Regulatory Networks
*Plant Breeding
*Arabidopsis/genetics/physiology
Gene Expression Regulation, Plant

@article {pmid40439296,
year = {2025},
author = {Mittler, R and Karlova, R and Bassham, DC and Lawson, T},
title = {Crops under stress: can we mitigate the impacts of climate change on agriculture and launch the 'Resilience Revolution'?.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {380},
number = {1927},
pages = {20240228},
pmid = {40439296},
issn = {1471-2970},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Crops, Agricultural/physiology/growth & development ; *Stress, Physiological ; *Agriculture ; },
abstract = {Climate change is altering our environment, subjecting multiple agroecosystems worldwide to an increased frequency and intensity of abiotic stress conditions such as heat, drought, flooding, salinity, cold and/or their potential combinations. These stresses impact plant growth, yield and survival, causing losses of billions of dollars to agricultural productivity, and in extreme cases they lead to famine, migration and even wars. As the rate of change in our environment has dramatically accelerated in recent years, more research is urgently needed to discover and develop new ways and tools to increase the resilience of crops to different stress conditions. In this theme issue, new studies addressing the molecular, metabolic, and physiological responses of crops and other plants to abiotic stress challenges are discussed, as well as the potential to exploit these mechanisms in biotechnological applications aimed at preserving and/or increasing crop yield under our changing climate conditions.This article is part of the theme issue 'Crops under stress: can we mitigate the impacts of climate change on agriculture and launch the 'Resilience Revolution'?'},
}

*Climate Change
*Crops, Agricultural/physiology/growth & development
*Stress, Physiological
*Agriculture

@article {pmid40437426,
year = {2025},
author = {Huang, W and Yin, L and Li, H and Yang, W and Huang, S and Wang, L and Wang, K and Hao, Y and Wu, Q and Liu, H},
title = {Impact of temperature variations on burden of lower respiratory infections under climate change (1990-2021).},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {1972},
pmid = {40437426},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {72361137562//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72304079//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology/mortality ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Aged ; Male ; Adolescent ; Female ; Infant ; Global Burden of Disease/trends ; Young Adult ; *Temperature ; Global Health/statistics & numerical data ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Health Status Disparities ; Infant, Newborn ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the global burden and trends of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) attributable to non-optimal temperatures between 1990 and 2021, focusing on age, period, and cohort effects as well as health inequalities to inform targeted public health policies.

METHODS: Using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, we obtained the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life-years rate (ASDR) for LRIs related to non-optimal temperatures. We calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) to assess LRIs burden trends and applied age-period-cohort modeling to quantify age, period, and cohort effects. Health inequalities were evaluated using the slope index of inequality and the concentration index.

RESULTS: In 2021, the highest ASDR for LRIs due to high temperatures occurred in children under 5 (347.66/100,000), whereas the highest ASMR for LRIs due to low temperatures occurred in adults aged ≥ 65 (338.49/100,000). Globally, the LRIs burden from non-optimal temperatures declined (EAPC: ASMR -2.48; ASDR -3.33). However, among the five climate zones, the LRIs burden in the boreal zone due to high temperatures increased (EAPC: ASMR 24.14; ASDR 45.14), whereas all other climate zones showed decreasing trends. In lower Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions, the high-temperature-related LRIs burden was more pronounced. Relative inequities driven by non-optimal temperatures worsened in low-SDI regions.

CONCLUSION: From 1990 to 2021, the global burden of LRIs attributable to non-optimal temperatures declined overall; however, high-temperature-related LRIs increased in boreal zones. These health inequalities underscore the urgent need for targeted climate adaptation policies, such as providing international assistance, improving infrastructure, offering healthcare resources, and promoting vaccine coverage, particularly for vulnerable populations in low-SDI regions and boreal zones.},
}

Humans
*Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology/mortality
*Climate Change
Adult
Middle Aged
Child
Child, Preschool
Aged
Male
Adolescent
Female
Infant
Global Burden of Disease/trends
Young Adult
*Temperature
Global Health/statistics & numerical data
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
Health Status Disparities
Infant, Newborn

@article {pmid40437248,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {The perfect storm for dust storms, thanks to global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40437248},
issn = {1476-4687},
}

@article {pmid40437204,
year = {2025},
author = {Cohen, JM and Jetz, W},
title = {Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate exposure to climate change in North American birds.},
journal = {Nature ecology & evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40437204},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {80NSSC17K0282//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC17K0282//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; DEB-1441737//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {As climate change accelerates, many species must move poleward or upslope to conserve their environmental niches and limit their exposure. While such geographic redistributions have been extensively reported, an assessment of species' success in limiting their exposure to novel conditions is missing. Here we report on a method to account for biases in tens of millions of species observations and evaluate how 406 bird species native to the United States and Canada have mitigated their environmental niche loss using geographical redistribution. We find that most redistributions have only been partially effective at mitigating exposure to climate change. Over 20 years, species, on average, have redistributed their summertime ranges by ~0.64° north, averting their expected exposure to warming by ~1.28 °C, which is roughly half the warming they would have experienced if they had remained stationary. Meanwhile, species have only mitigated ~0.47 °C (11% of expected warming) in winter, and nearly all have experienced warming of >2 °C. Species moving the farthest north and possessing traits associated with dispersal have succeeded most in limiting their niche loss. Species' historical niches are becoming increasingly mismatched with contemporary climates, even in a highly mobile taxon, raising concerns about the ability of other wildlife to persist in a warmer world.},
}

@article {pmid40435726,
year = {2025},
author = {Fuerst, A and Shukla, S and Boz, Z},
title = {Field-to-farm redesign for tomato production to economically mitigate climate change and improve water sustainability.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {985},
number = {},
pages = {179620},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179620},
pmid = {40435726},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {We present a combination of field-scale sustainable intensification and end-of-farm circular practices to economically mitigate climate change and improve water sustainability of fresh tomato farms. The field-scale practices redesign the conventional geometry of plasticulture to a compact bed (2-10 cm taller, 10-35 cm narrower) to increase input use efficiency. Life cycle assessment showed that compact bed geometry reduced GHG emissions by 6.7 %-11.4 %, and reduced input costs by 5.7 %-12.0 % per kg tomato. The reduced width from compact beds creates extra space between beds allowing more tomato per area, intensifying the system. The intensified field design reduced the GHG emissions by 2.5 % for all bed geometries, with no impact on costs, while increasing land productivity by 15 %. To increase the nutrient circularity of the system, biomass from the end-of-farm detention ponds can be harvested, composted, and applied to the fields as an organic amendment, termed harvesting-composting. Harvesting-composting decreased GHG emissions by 4-21 %, depending on the vegetation. When compact beds, intensified field design, and harvesting-composting are combined, this intensified-circular system reduces GHG emissions by up to 32 % enabling the fresh tomato industry to meet 72 % of the 2030 US GHG reduction target and 75 % of the 2030 target set by the Paris Climate Accord. The intensified system reduces irrigation volume though increased use efficiency while reducing runoff/drainage volume by decreasing the plastic-covered impervious area. When circularity is added, it increases the treatment of nitrogen and phosphorus before leaving the farm. To enable the adoption of the intensified-circular system, payments for environmental services for improving water quality, sequestering carbon, and producing more sustainable products were evaluated, and all but the carbon-based payment was significant enough to be economically feasible. The intensified-circular system has the potential to reduce 47,530 Mt. of CO2eq and increase farm revenue up to $186 million per year for the US tomato industry.},
}

@article {pmid40435226,
year = {2025},
author = {Khabour, MO and Tarabsheh, OO and Al-Zu'bi, BM and Khabour, OF and Saadeh, R},
title = {Knowledge and attitudes of medical students towards the health impact of climate change: A study from Jordan.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {e0324943},
pmid = {40435226},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Students, Medical/psychology ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Jordan ; Male ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {Studies have reported a strong relationship between climate change and human health. Medical students' knowledge and attitudes toward the impact of climate change on health are crucial to fostering their environmental stewardship. Therefore, the aim of this study was to examine the awareness and attitudes of medical students in Jordan toward climate change and human health. The study was cross-sectional in design, anonymous, self-reported, and used a closed-ended questionnaire. The study included 837 students from various medical specialties, including medicine, dentistry, applied medical sciences, pharmacy, and nursing. Statistical analysis involved cross-tabulations and regression analysis. About 46.3% of students reported good awareness of the health impacts of climate change, while 44.8% reported somewhat awareness. This awareness was found to be associated with female gender (P = 0.003) and university level (P < 0.001). In addition, students showed a positive attitude toward the importance of climate change to human health (attitude score = 19.7 out of 24), including the integration of climate change into university curricula. The internet (88.9%) and social media (86.5) were the major sources of information reported by students about climate change. Climate change related illnesses reported by students included air quality/respiratory illnesses, extreme weather-related illnesses, infectious disease outbreaks, physical inactivity, and mental health. In conclusion, medical students in Jordan have an acceptable level of knowledge and positive attitudes toward climate change. This could be improved through interventions that integrate climate change into university curricula.},
}

Humans
*Students, Medical/psychology
Female
*Climate Change
Jordan
Male
*Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice
Cross-Sectional Studies
Adult
Young Adult
Surveys and Questionnaires

@article {pmid40435039,
year = {2025},
author = {Silva, END and Barreto, JOM and Martins, MAP and Araújo, WN and Galvão, TF},
title = {Climate change: a priority agenda for health services.},
journal = {Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil},
volume = {34},
number = {},
pages = {e20252001},
pmid = {40435039},
issn = {2237-9622},
}

@article {pmid40434996,
year = {2025},
author = {Paudel, BR and Subedi, CK and Ghimire, SK and Pyakurel, D and Rajbhandari, M and Chaudhary, RP},
title = {Impacts of climate change on the distribution pattern of Himalayan Rhubarb (Rheum australe D. Don) in Nepal Himalaya.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {e0323755},
pmid = {40434996},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nepal ; *Rheum/growth & development/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Plants, Medicinal/growth & development ; },
abstract = {While there has been substantial consensus that climate change poses a severe threat to the Himalayan biota; we still lack comprehensive data on the potential impact of climate change on the important Himalayan medicinal plants connected with the livelihood of local people and the national economy. In this study, using MaxEnt, we modelled the distribution pattern of Rheum australe, a medicinal plant prioritized by the Government of Nepal for the nation's economic prosperity, for the current as well as all four future projections (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) to all the data available periods (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100). In addition, we performed spatial overlay analysis to identify the optimum zones that could be developed as potential planting/conservation sites for R. australe in any of the projected future climate scenarios. Our results revealed that the suitability area of R. australe is expected to contract in all the scenarios and periods with a significant loss expected to occur in SSP585 for 2081-2100. On the individual district level, northwestern districts are expected to have a huge loss of suitable habitats in the future, while four districts: Jumla, Kalikot, Dolpa, and Jajarkot of the Karnali Province are expected to gain suitable habitats remarkably. Therefore, we suggest that the forests and rangelands of the four districts at an elevation range of 3300 m - 4,400 m could be developed as potential planting areas for commercial cultivation/for establishing genetic resource conservation centres. This finding thus has wider policy implications for both government and conservation organizations.},
}

*Climate Change
Nepal
*Rheum/growth & development/physiology
Ecosystem
Conservation of Natural Resources
Plants, Medicinal/growth & development

@article {pmid40434952,
year = {2025},
author = {McCorriston, J and Ball, L and Harrower, MJ and Hamilton, IM and Ivory, SJ and Senn, MJ and Steimer-Herbet, T and Buffington, AF and Al-Kathiri, AA and Al-Mahri, AM},
title = {South Arabia's prehistoric monument landscape shows social resilience to climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {e0323544},
pmid = {40434952},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Archaeology ; *Climate Change/history ; Humans ; History, Ancient ; Oman ; },
abstract = {In arid regions across northern Africa, Asia and Arabia, ancient pastoralists constructed small-scale stone monuments of varying form, construction, placement, age, and function. Classification studies of each type have inhibited a broader model of their collective and enduring role within desert socio-ecosystems. Our multivariate analysis of 371 archaeological monuments in the arid Dhofar region of Oman identifies environmental and cultural factors that influenced variable placement and construction across a 7000-year history. Our results show that earlier monuments were built by larger, concurrent groups during the Holocene Humid Period (10,000-6000 cal BP). With increasing aridification, smaller groups constructed monuments and eventually switched to building them in repetitive visits. Our model emphasizes the core role of monuments as a flexible technology in social resilience among desert pastoralists.},
}

Archaeology
*Climate Change/history
Humans
History, Ancient
Oman

@article {pmid40434416,
year = {2025},
author = {Smith, R and Booker, D},
title = {Shifts in Environmental Targets for Managing Fine Sediment in Rivers Are Anticipated Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40434416},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Targets for attribute states indicating freshwater ecosystem health are often set to help manage local activities without accounting for climate driven impacts, despite climate being a known driver of the attribute. A key challenge is anticipating how environmental attributes and corresponding target attribute states will respond to climate change alongside impacts of local anthropogenic activities. We present a method to predict climate-driven shifts in target attribute states for suspended and deposited fine sediment, as specified in existing environmental policy for Aotearoa-New Zealand. The policy uses a river environment classification derived from climate, topography, and geology inputs to determine spatially-distributed target attribute states. We calculated and mapped class membership of the classification and resulting target attribute states for future climate scenarios from regional projections. Apparent spatial patterns in shifts to warmer and drier climate classes are anticipated for a considerable proportion of river segments under the highest future emissions scenario towards the end of century. Climate-driven shifts in class membership led to shifted target attribute states corresponding to either increased or decreased sediment targets depending on location, and the emergence of conditions that have no specified environmental targets because they fall outside of existing classes. Findings highlight the potential impact of climate change upon both target attribute states and actual fine sediment states which should be considered when devising environmental classifications and setting target attribute states. Our method offers a practical approach to anticipate climate-driven impacts on any environmentally-driven spatial classification used to derive management units and target attribute states.},
}

@article {pmid40434281,
year = {2025},
author = {Doshi, SM and Dalby, A and Jaggi, P},
title = {Survey of Pediatric Infectious Diseases Providers on Healthcare Sustainability and Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jpids/piaf038},
pmid = {40434281},
issn = {2048-7207},
}

@article {pmid40433795,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, D and Zhang, C and Ogaya, R and Acil, N and Pugh, TAM and Domene, X and Zhang, X and Fang, Y and Yang, X and Essl, F and Dullinger, S and Peñuelas, J},
title = {World-wide impacts of climate change and nitrogen deposition on vegetation structure, composition, and functioning of shrublands.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.70235},
pmid = {40433795},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {AGAUR2023CLIMA00118//Catalan government grant/ ; 340744//Research Council of Finland/ ; M2714-B29//FWF Austria Science Fund/ ; I5825//FWF Austria Science Fund/ ; 758873//the European Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Environmental changes and their effects are among the most pressing topics of today's ecological research. Shrublands, although widespread across the globe, remain understudied in this respect. We conducted a global meta-analysis of 81 shrubland sites subjected to experimental warming, shifts in precipitation (e.g. increased precipitation and drought), and nitrogen addition to quantify seven types of vegetation responses, including density and cover, species diversity, shrub proportion, and ecosystem functions. Our results indicated that the magnitude of responses varied depending on the vegetation metrics and treatment conditions. Specifically, aboveground biomass (AGB) was most sensitive to warming, increased precipitation, and nitrogen addition, while density was most responsive to drought treatment. Short-term treatments (1-5 yr) generally elicited stronger responses than long-term ones (> 5 yr), particularly under drought. High sensitivity to changes in climate and nitrogen addition was observed at extremely arid sites (aridity index < 0.2), and water availability strongly mediated sensitivity variation. Surprisingly, many vegetation metrics revealed no association between sensitivity variability and site water availability. Our research offers a global perspective on shrubland vegetation responses to environmental changes, highlighting the importance of water availability in sustaining shrubland biodiversity and functioning under future conditions.},
}

@article {pmid40433438,
year = {2025},
author = {Shrivastava, SR and Bobhate, PS and Kukde, M},
title = {Oral Health and Climate Change: Working Toward Adaptive Strategies to the Changing Environment.},
journal = {Journal of International Society of Preventive & Community Dentistry},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {192-195},
pmid = {40433438},
issn = {2231-0762},
abstract = {Climate change has been acknowledged as one of the current's century most significant global public health challenges. Climate change has resulted in a multifaceted impact on oral health, including the exacerbation of periodontal diseases, enamel erosion, and the increased risk of oral cancers. At the policy level, oral healthcare initiatives should be incorporated into climate adaptation strategies. Key recommendations include promoting climate-resilient dental practices (like mobile clinics and tele-dentistry), integrating sustainable oral healthcare practices, and advocating for water conservation. To summarize, these findings offer a blueprint to mitigate oral health disparities and augment the resilience of dental care systems, emphasizing the linkages between environmental policies and oral health outcomes.},
}

@article {pmid40432781,
year = {2025},
author = {Qiu, M and Chen, D and Kelp, M and Li, J and Huang, G and Yazdi, MD},
title = {The rising threats of wildland-urban interface fires in the era of climate change: The Los Angeles 2025 fires.},
journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))},
volume = {6},
number = {5},
pages = {100835},
pmid = {40432781},
issn = {2666-6758},
}

@article {pmid40432167,
year = {2025},
author = {Gulcebi, MI and Gavas, S and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Medications, epilepsy and climate change: Added layers of complexity.},
journal = {British journal of clinical pharmacology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/bcp.70108},
pmid = {40432167},
issn = {1365-2125},
abstract = {Climate change-the global crisis with pervasive health impacts-has adverse consequences for people with epilepsy (PWE) who have low quality of life due to poor seizure control, socioeconomic disadvantages and comorbidities. This review focuses on the potential effects of climate change on the pharmacological characteristics of antiseizure medications (ASMs), antipsychotics and antidepressants. We note that findings particularly obtained from physicochemical stability studies have been demonstrated experimentally for some specific environmental conditions whereas studies for clinical outcome effects are very limited. Carbamazepine, valproate, phenytoin or lorazepam appear to be ASMs at risk of being affected by high temperature and/or humidity. Even the stability of blood samples needs to be considered during transportation to therapeutic drug monitoring units, particularly for the PWE living in low-income countries that are facing the most challenges of climate change effects attributed to low infrastructure and healthcare system capacity. We need more urgent research investigating drug responses of PWE regarding especially the effects of adverse weather events such as heatwaves on physicochemical stability or pharmacokinetics of drugs in a complex interaction with the vulnerabilities of individuals, accompanying neuropsychiatric disorders and geographical challenges. Then we will be able to develop pharmacological treatment strategies to improve the quality of life of PWE during adverse weather events.},
}

@article {pmid40431011,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, L and Jia, Z and He, L and Han, D and Yang, Q and Li, J and Zhou, P},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Spatial Distribution and Habitat Suitability of Nitraria tangutorum.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {40431011},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2023YFF1304200//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2005DKA21003//National Forestry and Grassland Germplasm Resources Bank/ ; },
abstract = {Nitraria tangutorum (Zygophyllaceae) is an ecologically and economically valuable shrub, locally dominant in the arid and semi-arid deserts of northwest China owing to its exceptional drought resistance and salt tolerance. In this study, environmental variable importance was evaluated within the MaxEnt model using percent-contribution metrics, based on 154 distribution records of N. tangutorum and 14 bioclimatic and soil-related environmental variables. We identified the five key variables of N. tangutorum distribution as follows: Precipitation of the Wettest Quarter (Bio16), Topsoil Sodicity (T_esp), Topsoil Electroconductibility (T_ece), Topsoil Car-bonate or lime content (T_CACO3), and Precipitation of the Driest Month (Bio14). The constructed MaxEnt model was then used to project the potential distribution areas of N. tangutorum under the four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) for both current climate conditions and future climate conditions (2050s and 2090s). The results indicate that, under present-day conditions, high-suitability areas occur primarily in Xinjiang, Gansu, Qinghai, Inner Mongolia, and Ningxia; in future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat for N. tangutorum is anticipated to shrink by the 2050s but is expected to gradually recover by the 2090s. As time progresses, the suitable habitat areas will generally expand towards higher latitude regions. These findings demonstrate N. tangutorum's strong adaptive potential to climate change and provide a scientific basis for its targeted introduction, cultivation, and long-term management in desert restoration and ecological rehabilitation projects.},
}

@article {pmid40429229,
year = {2025},
author = {Kichamu, N and Astuti, PK and Kusza, S},
title = {The Role of Insect-Based Feed in Mitigating Climate Change: Sustainable Solutions for Ruminant Farming.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40429229},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {There has been an unprecedented demand for livestock production due to factors such as the ever-increasing population, limited resources (land, water, feed, etc.), and changing human lifestyles. Moreover, due to the interconnected nature of the world's biodiversity crisis, pollution, and climate change, environmental sustainability is going to play a pivotal role in addressing these pressing issues. Because of their high nutritional value and environmental benefits compared to conventional livestock feeds, insects as animal feed have demonstrated great potential for long-term sustainability. The current state of the IBF application on ruminants is presented in this review, together with its challenges, future direction, and strength-weakness-opportunity-threat analysis. The results from many studies on ruminants have demonstrated that insect nutrients-primarily amino acids, protein, and fat-are highly digestible, safe, and beneficial to ruminant health and productivity. Additionally, they do not harm the ruminant fermentation and microbiota, even having the benefit of possibly lowering ruminant farms' well-known methane emissions. Nevertheless, concerns continue to arise because this method is still relatively new and there is a lot of unexplored knowledge; as a result, regulation is not yet well established globally, which is a barrier to its implementation.},
}

@article {pmid40429226,
year = {2025},
author = {Majeed, S and Akram, W and Sufyan, M and Abbasi, A and Riaz, S and Faisal, S and Binyameen, M and Bashir, MI and Hassan, S and Zafar, S and Kucher, O and Piven, EA and Kucher, OD},
title = {Climate Change: A Major Factor in the Spread of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) and Its Associated Dengue Virus.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40429226},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {Climate change is thought to be responsible for the spread of various vector-borne diseases. The current study was conducted to evaluate the impact of different temperature and relative humidity regimes on the developmental stages of the yellow fever mosquito, Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae). The study also evaluated the impact of larval density on the survival of Ae. aegypti. In addition, the association between vector larval abundance, dengue incidence, and climatic factors were elucidated during 2016-2019 in three populated districts of Punjab, Pakistan, i.e., Lahore, Rawalpindi, and Multan. The results of the study revealed that at 10 °C and 35 °C, egg hatching and adult emergence were significantly reduced, regardless of the relative humidity. In contrast, at 20 °C and 30 °C, the rates of egg and adult survival increased with higher relative humidity. In addition, a density-dependent response was observed regarding larval survival of Ae. aegypti. Moreover, larval incidence was positively correlated with the number of dengue patients, Tmax, RH, and precipitation at Lahore (0.55, 0.23, 0.29, and 0.13), Rawalpindi (0.90, 0.30, 0.21, and 0.14), and Multan (0.05, 0.27, and 0.13) respectively, except in Multan, where a negative correlation (-0.09) with precipitation was observed. The inflow of patients had a positive correlation with the occurrence of a larval population, relative humidity, and precipitation at Lahore, Rawalpindi, and Multan districts, with the scale values of 0.55, 0.25, and 0.16; 0.90, 0.22, and 0.03; and 0.05, 0.06, and 0.03, respectively. In addition, a forecast model, ARIMA, predicted that there was a higher rate of larval occurrence in Rawalpindi, followed by Lahore. This study concluded that the role of precipitation > 200 mm prior to a 1-2-month lag, a 20-30 °C temperature range, and an RH exceeding 60% lead to the occurrence of larvae and dengue case spikes. This study will help to reinforce dengue surveillance and control strategies in Pakistan and to establish early management strategies based on changing climatic factors.},
}

@article {pmid40429200,
year = {2025},
author = {Vergara, AJ and Valqui-Reina, SV and Cieza-Tarrillo, D and Ocaña-Zúñiga, CL and Hernández, R and Chapa-Gonza, SR and Aquiñivin-Silva, EA and Fernández-Jeri, AB and Santos, ARD},
title = {Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Aedes aegypti in Peru Based on Topoclimatic Analysis and Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40429200},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2513702//National University Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza/ ; },
abstract = {Dengue, a febrile disease that has caused epidemics and deaths in South America, especially Peru, is vectored by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. Despite the seriousness of dengue fever, and the expanding range of Ae. aegypti, future distributions of the vector and disease in the context of climate change have not yet been clearly determined. Expanding on previous findings, our study employed bioclimatic and topographic variables to model both the present and future distribution of the Ae. aegypti mosquito using the Maximum Entropy algorithm (MaxEnt). The results indicate that 10.23% (132,053.96 km[2]) and 23.65% (305,253.82 km[2]) of Peru's surface area possess regions with high and moderate distribution probabilities, respectively, predominantly located in the departments of San Martín, Piura, Loreto, Lambayeque, Cajamarca, Amazonas, and Cusco. Moreover, based on projected future climate scenarios, it is anticipated that areas with a high probability of Ae. aegypti distribution will undergo expansion; specifically, the extent of these areas is estimated to increase by 4.47% and 2.99% by the years 2070 and 2100, respectively, under SSP2-4.5 in the HadGEM-GC31-LL model. Given the increasing dengue epidemic in Peru in recent years, our study seeks to identify tools for effectively addressing this pressing public health concern. Consequently, this research serves as a foundational framework for assessing areas with the highest likelihood of Ae. aegypti distribution in response to projected climate change in the second half of the 21st century.},
}

@article {pmid40429197,
year = {2025},
author = {Yong, D and Xu, D and Deng, X and He, Z and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Potential Distribution of Anoplophora horsfieldii Hope in China Based on MaxEnt and Its Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40429197},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {20A007, 20E051, 21E040 and 22kA011//This work was funded by the Fundamental Research Funds of China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Anoplophora horsfieldii Hope, a potential pest of the Cerambycidae family, is widely distributed throughout China, where it can cause damage to various living tree species. It has emerged as a critical invasive organism threatening China's agricultural and forestry production as well as ecological security. This study comprehensively analyzed the key environmental factors influencing the geographical distribution of A. horsfieldii and its spatiotemporal dynamics by integrating multi-source environmental data and employing ecological niche modeling. Model validation demonstrated high reliability and accuracy of our predictions, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value of 0.933, Kappa coefficient of 0.704, and true skill statistic (TSS) reaching 0.960. Our analysis identified four dominant environmental factors governing the distribution of A. horsfieldii: mean diurnal range (Bio2), temperature annual range (Bio7), precipitation of driest quarter (Bio17), and precipitation of coldest quarter (Bio19). Under current climatic conditions, the total potential suitable distribution area for A. horsfieldii was estimated at 212.394 × 10[4] km[2], primarily located in central, southern, eastern, southwestern, and northwestern China. Future projections under three climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) suggest significant reductions in highly and moderately suitable habitats, while low-suitability areas may expand into central, eastern, and southwestern regions, with Chongqing, Henan, and Anhui potentially becoming new suitable habitats. Concurrently, the centroid coordinates of suitable habitats exhibited a directional shift toward Guangdong Province, with the overall distribution pattern demonstrating a spatial transition characterized by movement from inland to coastal areas and from higher to lower latitudes. This study provides scientific theoretical support for forestry authorities in controlling the spread of A. horsfieldii, while establishing a solid foundation for future ecological conservation and biosecurity strategies. The findings offer both theoretical insights and practical guidance for pest management and ecosystem protection.},
}

@article {pmid40427925,
year = {2025},
author = {Asare, KK and Mohammed, MW and Aboagye, YO and Arndts, K and Ritter, M},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Schistosomiasis Transmission and Distribution-Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph22050812},
pmid = {40427925},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Schistosomiasis/transmission/epidemiology ; Animals ; Humans ; *Snails/parasitology ; Schistosoma/physiology ; },
abstract = {Schistosomiasis, a neglected tropical disease caused by parasitic worms of the genus Schistosoma and transmitted through freshwater snails, affects over 200 million people worldwide. Climate change, through rising temperatures, altered rainfall patterns, and extreme weather events, is influencing the distribution and transmission dynamics of schistosomiasis. This scoping review examines the impact of climate change on schistosomiasis transmission and its implications for disease control. This review aims to synthesize current knowledge on the influence of climate variables (temperature, rainfall, water bodies) on snail populations, transmission dynamics, and the shifting geographic range of schistosomiasis. It also explores the potential effects of climate adaptation policies on disease control. The review follows the Arksey and O'Malley framework and PRISMA-ScR guidelines, including studies published from 2000 to 2024. Eligible studies were selected based on empirical data on climate change, schistosomiasis transmission, and snail dynamics. A two-stage study selection process was followed: title/abstract screening and full-text review. Data were extracted on environmental factors, snail population dynamics, transmission patterns, and climate adaptation strategies. Climate change is expected to increase schistosomiasis transmission in endemic regions like Sub-Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia, and South America, while some areas, such as parts of West Africa, may see reduced risk. Emerging hotspots were identified in regions not currently endemic. Climate adaptation policies, such as improved water management and early warning systems, were found effective in reducing transmission. Integrating climate adaptation strategies into schistosomiasis control programs is critical to mitigating the disease's spread, particularly in emerging hotspots and shifting endemic areas.},
}

*Climate Change
*Schistosomiasis/transmission/epidemiology
Animals
Humans
*Snails/parasitology
Schistosoma/physiology

@article {pmid40427865,
year = {2025},
author = {Zayed, DK and Momani, S and Horabi, M and Alquran, A and Al-Nawaiseh, FK and Tarif, AB and Nimri, OF and Alyahya, MS and Madi, T and Shatat, A and Alahmad, M and Jomhawi, T and Hijjawi, B and Belbiesi, A and Al-Tammemi, AB},
title = {Exploring Policies, Strategies, and Legislations Related to the One Health Approach to Zoonoses, Antimicrobial Stewardship, and Climate Change in Jordan: A Multimethod Study with SWOT Analysis.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph22050749},
pmid = {40427865},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {Jordan ; *Climate Change ; *Zoonoses/prevention & control ; *One Health/legislation & jurisprudence ; Animals ; *Antimicrobial Stewardship/legislation & jurisprudence ; Humans ; *Health Policy/legislation & jurisprudence ; Public Health/legislation & jurisprudence ; },
abstract = {Background: Mapping policies, strategies, and legislations related to disease prevention in Jordan is pivotal for strengthening the country's public health infrastructure. The aims of our study were to identify, review, and map the existing national policies, strategies, and legislations related to the One Health approach to zoonoses, antimicrobial stewardship (AMS), and climate change in Jordan. Additionally, we identified the key strengths and major gaps and uncovered opportunities for enhancement. The current paper reports a part of a nationwide project which was jointly executed in 2023 by the Jordan Center for Disease Control and the Health Care Accreditation Council. Methods: A multimethod approach was employed, including a comprehensive desk review of any existing policies, strategies, and legislations, along with key informant interviews involving key stakeholders. The combination of the desk review and key informant interviews allowed for a more nuanced understanding of the gaps, strengths, and challenges in Jordan's approach to One Health, AMS, and climate change adaptation. By triangulating the findings from both methods, the study was able to cross-validate its results and ensure greater reliability and accuracy in its conclusions. Results: Our analyses revealed that Jordan has made notable progress in integrating the One Health approach within its regulatory framework, particularly in managing zoonotic diseases, AMS, and climate change. Nevertheless, there is a need for more explicit and effective intersectoral coordination. While the country's AMS initiatives are supported by a national action plan, they are limited by inadequate public awareness, veterinary regulations, and monitoring systems. Moreover, Jordan's climate change strategies, aligned with broader sustainability goals and integrated into national frameworks like the environmental protection law, are constrained by a lack of emergency preparedness and multisectoral collaboration. The SWOT analysis highlighted strengths, including robust legal structures and international collaborations, while identifying gaps in enforcement and the need for updated guidelines. Opportunities exist to enhance the reporting mechanisms, public awareness, and international partnerships. Conclusions: Jordan's integration of the One Health approach to zoonotic diseases, AMS, and climate change adaptation into its disease prevention policies is commendable and aligns with global health priorities. To further enhance these initiatives, Jordan could benefit from updating its public health law and the relevant guidelines and policies, strengthening and structuring public awareness campaigns, and developing detailed climate change adaptation strategies.},
}

Jordan
*Climate Change
*Zoonoses/prevention & control
*One Health/legislation & jurisprudence
Animals
*Antimicrobial Stewardship/legislation & jurisprudence
Humans
*Health Policy/legislation & jurisprudence
Public Health/legislation & jurisprudence

@article {pmid40427770,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Y and Zhang, S and Xiao, H and Li, H and Liao, D and Xue, Y and Huang, X and Su, Q and Xiao, Y},
title = {Changes in the Distribution Range of the Genus Cardiocrinum in China Under Climate Change and Human Activities.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14050581},
pmid = {40427770},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {42467035//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023SSY02111//key Laboratory of Jiangxi Province for Biological Invasion and Biosecurity/ ; },
abstract = {Cardiocrinum are perennial herbaceous plants of the Liliaceae family with high ornamental, nutritional, and medicinal value. However, critical knowledge gaps remain regarding the following: (1) the fine-scale habitat preferences of Cardiocrinum; (2) the key ecological drivers influencing their growth and distribution. The MaxEnt software 3.4.1 was used to simulate the current and future suitable habitats of Cardiocrinum, evaluate the impacts of environmental changes on its distribution, and determine the distribution changes under climate change scenarios. The AUC value of the model used in the current study was >0.98, which indicates that the model had good accuracy. The results show that as a typical understory herb, precipitation in the warmest quarter (bio18) and temperature seasonality (bio04) are the main factors affecting the distribution of Cardiocrinum. In addition, Cardiocrinum giganteum and Cardiocrinum giganteum var. yunnanense are also affected by slope and human activity. Under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 climate scenarios, the suitable habitat areas of Cardiocrinum cathayanum and C. giganteum showed an increasing trend. The suitable habitat area of C. giganteum var. yunnanense increased under the SSP126 climate scenario; however, it substantially declined in SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. The distribution area of Cardiocrinum shifted to higher latitudes. The centroid of C. cathayanum shifted more than 5 degrees of latitude during SSP585 2081s, while the centroid of C. giganteum and C. giganteum var. yunnanense did not shift more than 2 degrees of latitude. In addition, the centroid longitudes of C. giganteum and C. giganteum var. yunnanense shifted westward under the three climate scenarios. There is ecological niche differentiation among C. cathayanum and others, whilst C. giganteum and C. giganteum var. yunnanense have overlapping ecological niches. In the future, we will strengthen the protection of wild Cardiocrinum resources in accordance with environmental factors and suitable habitats for Cardiocrinum.},
}

@article {pmid40427753,
year = {2025},
author = {Liao, D and Zhou, B and Xiao, H and Zhang, Y and Zhang, S and Su, Q and Yan, X},
title = {MaxEnt Modeling of the Impacts of Human Activities and Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of Plantago in China.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14050564},
pmid = {40427753},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {32460263, 31760122, 32360264//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 20212BAB205018//the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi, China/ ; 2023SSY02111//Key Laboratory of Jiangxi Province for Biological Invasion and Biosecurity/ ; },
abstract = {Human activities exert both beneficial and detrimental impacts on the ecosystem. In recent years, greenhouse gas emissions have significantly increased due to global climate change, causing profound alterations in ecosystem distribution and productivity. The synergistic interplay between climatic shifts and anthropogenic activities is intensifying ecological transformations and disturbances, and accelerating biodiversity depletion. The Plantago genus (Plantaginaceae family) includes 14 herbaceous species among China's flora. This study was conducted to elucidate the spatial distribution of Plantago species patterns across China and evaluate their differential responses to impending climate change and human interventions. In this study, we projected the potential distributions of Plantago species under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) across current and future temporal intervals (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) using the MaxEnt model integrated with ArcGIS V10.8 spatial analysis. A spatial trend analyses was also conducted to assess habitat suitability dynamics by incorporating anthropogenic influence parameters. The model validation yielded AUC values exceeding 0.9, demonstrating excellent model performance and predictive reliability. Precipitation variability and anthropogenic pressure emerged as the most predominant determinants shaping Plantago distributions. Centroid migration analyses further indicated the progressive northward displacement of optimal habitats under the projected climate scenarios. These findings significantly advance our understanding of Plantago species' adaptive responses to environmental changes. This study also offers an invaluable scientific foundation for sustainable resource management and ecological conservation strategies.},
}

@article {pmid40427693,
year = {2025},
author = {Qi, Y and Zhang, Y and Xue, J and Zhang, Z and Cao, J and Yang, N and Wan, F and Xian, X and Liu, W},
title = {Future Climate Change Increases the Risk of Suitable Habitats for the Invasive Macrophyte Elodea nuttallii.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14050504},
pmid = {40427693},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2023YFC2605200, 2021YFC2600400//National Key R&D Program of China/ ; caascx-2022-2025-IAS//Technology Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Elodea nuttallii is an ornamental macrophyte native to North America that has been introduced to Europe and Asia, and having been established, has had detrimental effects on local aquatic ecosystems. In this study, we developed an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the global potential habitat suitability for E. nuttallii under the influence of climate change. The model incorporated 20 relevant impact factors and occurrence record data for E. nuttallii. The results reveal that under current and future climate scenarios, potentially suitable habitats for E. nuttallii can be found on six assessed continents, mainly in Western Europe, western and eastern North America, southeastern Asia, southeastern Oceania, and scattered coastal areas in South America and Africa. Moreover, temperature and precipitation were identified as factors having significant effects on the distribution of E. nuttallii. In the future, the area of habitats potentially suitable for E. nuttallii is predicted to expand, particularly towards higher latitudes.},
}

@article {pmid40427683,
year = {2025},
author = {Wei, Q and Zhou, B and Wang, W},
title = {Qinghai Province (Tibetan Plateau): Quantifying the Influence of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Net Primary Productivity and Livestock Carrying Capacity Growth Potential.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14050494},
pmid = {40427683},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2023YFF1304305//Wenying Wang/ ; W2412148//Wenying Wang/ ; D23029//Wenying Wang/ ; },
abstract = {Quantitative exploration of shifts in regional vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) and their driving factors holds immense importance in unraveling the mechanisms steering vegetation alterations, comprehending the impact of climate variations and human interventions on NPP, and guiding ecological management. Despite this significance, there is a scarcity of research reports on Qinghai Province. The aim is to dissect the influences of climate change and human activities on Qinghai's vegetation NPP and to estimate the growth potential of livestock carrying capacity. This study addresses the gap by juxtaposing the characteristics of climate-induced potential NPP changes, computed using the Zhou Guangsheng model, with actual NPP changes, calculated via the CASA model. Our findings underscore climate factors as the predominant drivers of Qinghai's vegetation NPP, accounting for 64.6% of the total area. Regions influenced by human activities contribute 34.3%, while unchanged areas constitute 2%. Climate emerges as the primary catalyst for increased vegetation NPP in Qinghai, encompassing 87% of the total area, with 73% attributed to climate factors across all counties. Conversely, human activities predominantly lead to decreased NPP, affecting 11% of the total area. Notably, 99% of the reduced NPP is attributable to human activities, concentrated in Golmud, Mangya, and Dulan counties in the northwest. Examining the growth potential of livestock carrying capacity from 1982 to 2018 reveals a consistent upward trajectory in Qinghai Province. The average annual growth potential per unit area escalates from 0.38 SHU/ha in 1982 to 0.56 SHU/ha in 2018. By 2018, regions exhibiting positive growth potential encompass 95% of the province, with areas exceeding 1 SHU/ha constituting 9%, primarily situated in the eastern part of Qinghai Province.},
}

@article {pmid40425168,
year = {2025},
author = {de Buhr, Y and Hübner, IM and Breitbart, EW},
title = {[UV protection in climate change: health policy relevance and necessary framework conditions].},
journal = {Gesundheitswesen (Bundesverband der Arzte des Offentlichen Gesundheitsdienstes (Germany))},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1055/a-2623-3832},
pmid = {40425168},
issn = {1439-4421},
}

@article {pmid40424289,
year = {2025},
author = {Sáenz-Jiménez, F and Parrado-Vargas, MA and González-Maya, JF and Carvajal-Cogollo, JE},
title = {Functional safeguards for conservation: Identifying climate change refugia for frugivorous and nectarivorous birds in a degraded area of Colombia.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {e0321817},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0321817},
pmid = {40424289},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; Colombia ; *Birds/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; *Refugium ; *Feeding Behavior ; Fruit ; },
abstract = {Habitat loss and climate change are major drivers of biodiversity loss, but their synergistic effects and functional perspectives have to be better understood. We employed species distribution models under future contrasting socioeconomic scenarios to assess the impacts of climate change and human footprint on avian frugivore and nectarivore functional groups in the Magdalena Valley, a highly transformed and biodiverse region in Colombia. We constructed the functional groups based on a dissimilarity matrix with 16 anatomical and ecological traits. Two types of future climatic refugia (type 1: areas that will maintain the current climatic conditions and type 2: regions outside the current distribution area that will have the current climatic conditions) were identified to guide conservation efforts for these groups and associated ecosystem services. Of the 27 functional groups identified, 19 are projected to undergo range reductions of 1-75%, with an average upward shift of their climatic niches along the altitudinal gradient of 690 m. Large frugivores from intermediate elevations, such as toucans and cracids, as well as nectarivores with extreme adaptations and specializations, are expected to experience the most severe range reductions. Distributional and altitudinal shifts will lead to spatial reorganization of communities and a reduction or complete loss of functional group richness, particularly in lowland areas. This could impact ecosystem services relevant for degraded area restoration, such as seed dispersal, fruit availability, and pollination of specialized plant species with economic importance. The low representation of future climatic refugia within protected areas highlights the need to incorporate climate change trends into future conservation strategies for these landscapes.},
}

Animals
Colombia
*Birds/physiology
*Climate Change
*Conservation of Natural Resources/methods
Ecosystem
Biodiversity
*Refugium
*Feeding Behavior
Fruit

@article {pmid40423353,
year = {2025},
author = {Mas-Coma, S and Cuervo, PF and Chetri, PB and Tripathi, T and Gabrielli, AF and Bargues, MD},
title = {Emerging Human Fascioliasis in India: Review of Case Reports, Climate Change Impact, and Geo-Historical Correlation Defining Areas and Seasons of High Infection Risk.},
journal = {Tropical medicine and infectious disease},
volume = {10},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40423353},
issn = {2414-6366},
support = {CB21/13/00056//CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, ISCIII, Ministry of Science and Innovation, and European Union - NextGenerationEU, Madrid, Spain/ ; 2021/004//the PROMETEO Program, Programa of Ayudas para Grupos de Investigación de Excelencia, Generalitat Valenciana, Valencia, Spain/ ; 101062347//the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme (Horizon Europe), EC, Brussels/ ; },
abstract = {The trematodes Fasciola hepatica and F. gigantica are transmitted by lymnaeid snails and cause fascioliasis in livestock and humans. Human infection is emerging in southern and southeastern Asia. In India, the number of case reports has increased since 1993. This multidisciplinary study analyzes the epidemiological scenario of human infection. The study reviews the total of 55 fascioliasis patients, their characteristics, and geographical distribution. Causes underlying this emergence are assessed by analyzing (i) the climate change suffered by India based on 40-year-data from meteorological stations, and (ii) the geographical fascioliasis hotspots according to archeological-historical records about thousands of years of pack animal movements. The review suggests frequent misdiagnosis of the wide lowland-distributed F. gigantica with F. hepatica and emphasizes the need to obtain anamnesic information about the locality of residence and the infection source. Prevalence appears to be higher in females and in the 30-40-year age group. The time elapsed between symptom onset and diagnosis varied from 10 days to 5 years (mean 9.2 months). Infection was diagnosed by egg finding (in 12 cases), adult finding (28), serology (3), and clinics and image techniques (12). Climate diagrams and the Wb-bs forecast index show higher temperatures favoring the warm condition-preferring main snail vector Radix luteola and a precipitation increase due to fewer rainy days but more days of extreme rainfall, leading to increasing surface water availability and favoring fascioliasis transmission. Climate trends indicate a risk of future increasing fascioliasis emergence, including a seasonal infection risk from June-July to October-November. Geographical zones of high human infection risk defined by archeological-historical analyses concern: (i) the Indo-Gangetic Plains and corridors used by the old Grand Trunk Road and Daksinapatha Road, (ii) northern mountainous areas by connections with the Silk Road and Tea-Horse Road, and (iii) the hinterlands of western and eastern seaport cities involved in the past Maritime Silk Road. Routes and nodes are illustrated, all transhumant-nomadic-pastoralist groups are detailed, and livestock prevalences per state are given. A baseline defining areas and seasons of high infection risk is established for the first time in India. This is henceforth expected to be helpful for physicians, prevention measures, control initiatives, and recommendations for health administration officers.},
}

@article {pmid40423319,
year = {2025},
author = {Weber, C and Olesen, AJ and Hatfield, RG and Krock, B and Lundholm, N},
title = {Extensive Variation in Thermal Responses and Toxin Content Among 40 Strains of the Cold-Water Diatom Pseudo-nitzschia seriata-In a Global Warming Context.},
journal = {Toxins},
volume = {17},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40423319},
issn = {2072-6651},
support = {9040-00248B//Danish Research Council/ ; project: RD011//UK Seafood Innovation Fund/ ; Through the research program "Changing Earth - Sustaining our Future"//Helmholtz Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {*Diatoms/growth & development/genetics/metabolism/physiology ; *Global Warming ; Cold Temperature ; *Kainic Acid/analogs & derivatives/metabolism/analysis ; Phytoplankton/genetics/growth & development ; *Marine Toxins/metabolism ; Genetic Variation ; },
abstract = {Phytoplankton are single-celled microorganisms with short generation times that may comprise high diversity in genetic and phenotypic traits, allowing them to acclimate to changes rapidly. High intraspecific genetic variation is well known in phytoplankton, but less is known about variation in physiological traits. To investigate variability and plasticity in genetic, morphological, and physiological traits of the toxigenic diatom genus Pseudo-nitzschia in a global warming scenario, we exposed 40 strains of the cold-water P. seriata to different temperatures (2 °C, 6 °C and 10 °C). The maximum growth rate and cellular toxin content showed extensive intraspecific variation, whereas morphological and genetic variation was minor. Thermal reaction norms showed a general increase in growth rate with increasing temperature; however, three distinct types of thermal responses were found among the 40 strains. All 40 strains contained toxins (domoic acid) in both exponential and stationary growth phase, and toxin content increased significantly with temperature. Most strains (>87%) contained measurable levels of domoic acid at all three temperatures. In conclusion, P. seriata shows extensive intraspecific variation in measured physiological traits like growth and toxin content, a variation exceeding the response of each strain to increases in temperature. Intraspecific variation in harmful species thus needs attention for the future understanding of food web dynamics, as well as the management and forecasting of harmful blooms.},
}

*Diatoms/growth & development/genetics/metabolism/physiology
*Global Warming
Cold Temperature
*Kainic Acid/analogs & derivatives/metabolism/analysis
Phytoplankton/genetics/growth & development
*Marine Toxins/metabolism
Genetic Variation

@article {pmid40422997,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, X and Yang, Y and Yan, D},
title = {Research on Digital Orthophoto Production Technology for Indoor Murals in the Context of Climate Change and Environmental Protection.},
journal = {Journal of imaging},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40422997},
issn = {2313-433X},
support = {2021RCKY0004//Research on 3D Street View Model Construction Based on Vehicle-Mounted Multi-View and Multi-Sensor Data Fusion/ ; },
abstract = {In response to the urgent need for the sustainable conservation of cultural heritage against the backdrop of climate change and environmental degradation, this study proposes a low-cost, non-destructive digital recording method for murals based on close-range photogrammetry. By integrating non-metric digital cameras, total stations, and spatial coordinate transformation models, high-precision digital orthophoto generation for indoor murals was achieved. Experimental results show that the resolution error of this method is 0.02 mm, with root mean square errors (RMSE) of 3.51 mm and 2.77 mm in the X and Y directions, respectively, meeting the precision requirements for cultural heritage conservation. Compared to traditional laser scanning technology, the energy consumption of the equipment in this study is significantly reduced, and the use of chemical reagents is avoided, thereby minimizing the carbon footprint and environmental impact during the recording process. This provides a green technological solution to address climate change. Additionally, the low-cost nature of non-metric cameras offers a feasible option for cultural heritage conservation institutions with limited resources, promoting equity and accessibility in heritage protection amid global climate challenges. This technology provides sustainable data support for long-term monitoring, virtual restoration, and public digital display of murals while also offering rich data resources for virtual cultural tourism, public education, and scientific research. It demonstrates broad application potential in the context of climate change and environmental protection, contributing to the green transformation and sustainable development of cultural tourism.},
}

@article {pmid40422294,
year = {2025},
author = {Adamopoulos, I and Valamontes, A and Tsirkas, P and Dounias, G},
title = {Predicting Workplace Hazard, Stress and Burnout Among Public Health Inspectors: An AI-Driven Analysis in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {European journal of investigation in health, psychology and education},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40422294},
issn = {2254-9625},
abstract = {The increasing severity of climate-related workplace hazards challenges occupational health and safety, particularly for Public Health and Safety Inspectors. Exposure to extreme temperatures, air pollution, and high-risk environments heightens immediate physical threats and long-term burnout. This study employs Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven predictive analytics and secondary data analysis to assess hazards and forecast burnout risks. Machine learning models, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost 3.0), Random Forest, Autoencoders, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTMs), achieved 85-90% accuracy in hazard prediction, reducing workplace incidents by 35% over six months. Burnout risk analysis identified key predictors: physical hazard exposure (β = 0.76, p < 0.01), extended work hours (>10 h/day, +40% risk), and inadequate training (β = 0.68, p < 0.05). Adaptive workload scheduling and fatigue monitoring reduced burnout prevalence by 28%. Real-time environmental data improved hazard detection, while Natural Language Processing (NLP)-based text mining identified stress-related indicators in worker reports. The results demonstrate AI's effectiveness in workplace safety, predicting, classifying, and mitigating risks. Reinforcement learning-based adaptive monitoring optimizes workforce well-being. Expanding predictive-driven occupational health frameworks to broader industries could enhance safety protocols, ensuring proactive risk mitigation. Future applications include integrating biometric wearables and real-time physiological monitoring to improve predictive accuracy and strengthen occupational resilience.},
}

@article {pmid40421585,
year = {2025},
author = {Newbold, T and Kerr, J and Soroye, P and Williams, JJ},
title = {Bumble Bee Probability of Occurrence Responds to Interactions Between Local and Landscape Land Use, Climatic Niche Properties and Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {28},
number = {5},
pages = {e70145},
doi = {10.1111/ele.70145},
pmid = {40421585},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {NE/V006533/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; IE161031//Royal Society/ ; UF150526//Royal Society/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Bees/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Biodiversity ; North America ; Europe ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Insect biodiversity is changing rapidly, driven by a suite of pressures, notably land use, land-use intensification and increasingly climate change. We lack large-scale evidence on how land use and climate change interact to drive insect biodiversity changes. We assess bumble bee responses to interactive effects of land use and climate pressures across North America and Europe. The probability of occurrence increases in landscapes with a higher proportion of natural habitat and a shorter history of human disturbance. Responses to climate warming relative to historical conditions are weakly negative in natural habitats but positive in human land uses, while human land use reduces the probability of occurrence most in the centre of species' temperature niches. We estimate that the combined pressures have reduced bumble bee probability of occurrence by 44% across sampled natural habitats and 55% across human land uses, highlighting the pervasive influence that human pressures have had on biodiversity across habitats.},
}

Animals
Bees/physiology
*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
*Biodiversity
North America
Europe
Temperature

@article {pmid40421550,
year = {2025},
author = {Archer, E and Arneth, A and Leadley, P and Mori, A and Obura, D and Smith, P},
title = {Achieving the Global Biodiversity Framework Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {5},
pages = {e70249},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70249},
pmid = {40421550},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {We have committed to ambitious targets under the Global Biodiversity Framework, but projected climate change makes the achievement of many of these targets extremely difficult and will effectively require a significant rethinking in how to achieve multiple targets. In this Opinion, we have chosen to focus on selected targets, considering how their achievement is likely to be compromised by climate change but also what the possibility of real response options might be. We focus on restoration (Target 2), spatial planning and integration (Targets 1, 2, 3 and 10), sustainable use and sustainable benefits to people (Targets 5, 9 and 10) and, finally, equity and social justice (Targets 13, 20-23 and Goal C). Now more than ever, the window for effective action on climate change and biodiversity is closing, requiring rapid and, most importantly, collective action.},
}

*Climate Change
*Biodiversity
*Conservation of Natural Resources/methods

@article {pmid40420780,
year = {2025},
author = {Varvastian, S},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health: A Human Rights Perspective.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine & ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine & Ethics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-6},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2025.10114},
pmid = {40420780},
issn = {1748-720X},
abstract = {Climate change-related environmental harms have been observed to negatively affect mental health. While policymakers and courts around the world widely recognise the impacts of climate change on physical heath as potentially endangering human rights, the implications of climate change for mental health have received significantly less attention. This paper analyzed five cases that challenged national response to climate change and the resulting impacts on mental health before four different international human rights protection bodies. Four out of these five cases were dismissed either because the petitioners did not seek prior action before the national authorities, or because their claims were deemed unsubstantiated. Despite these outcomes, the protection bodies' treatment of these petitions as well as various other ongoing developments show that the human rights approach to climate change and mental health is gradually emerging at the international and domestic levels, but it is still in its early days and there are various challenges to it.},
}

@article {pmid40419625,
year = {2025},
author = {Kariminejad, N and Amindin, A and Sepehr, A and Pourghasemi, HR},
title = {Projecting the effect of climate change on multiple Geomorphological hazard using machine learning data driven approaches.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {18333},
pmid = {40419625},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {1403727//Office of Science and Technology Interactions, Research and Technology Department at Shiraz University/ ; },
abstract = {Land subsidence (LS) and collapsed pipes (CP) pose environmental and socio-economic threats in arid and semi-arid regions. This study assesses the effect of climate change to address these problems in Khorasan-Razavi province, Iran. Thus, we mapped soil landforms susceptible to LS and CP based on climatic, geolocic, topoghraphic, hydrologic and edaphic variables using an ensemble forecasting approach. Additionally, we predicted the future susceptibility of CP and LS based on two future emission scenario pathways (SSP 5-8.5 and SSP 1-2.6), in 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090. The assessment showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) indicated that the ensemble model accurately predicted the distribution of CP and LS (AUC > 0.8). Slope and clay content proved to be the most important factors affecting CP, whereas distance from faults and precipitation seasonality played more roles in LS susceptibility. The classification results indicated varying susceptibility levels to CP and LS in Khorasan-Razavi province, with approximately 31.58% categorized as low and 15.24% as very high LS susceptibility, while 42.71% were in the low CP susceptibility class. Overall, 57.16% of the area is safe from both hazards; however, 6.16% is vulnerable to both hazards, with more than 35% at risk for at least one hazard. Future prediction models suggest that up to approximately 4% of the area will consist susceptible to both hazards under both scenario emissions and less than 1% of the study area will reduce susceptibility for both studied hazards in future. The majority of regions that remain susceptible are in the southern province. These results guide for soil management to protect soil and water from the effects of humans and climate alternation in poor areas worldwide.},
}

@article {pmid40418357,
year = {2025},
author = {Lavoie, M and Blanchette, P and Jenouvrier, S and Larivière, S and Tremblay, JP},
title = {Wildlife Management and Climate Change: How to Adapt Harvest Rates of Wild Turkey According to Extreme Weather Events.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40418357},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change is forcing many species to shift their distribution north. Managing these expanding species is a challenge because the factors that influence population dynamics vary with weather. The challenge is even greater for game specie, as other human factors must be considered. The wild turkey naturally expanded its distribution northward into southern Quebec, without humans transplanting turkeys from other regions. However, the northern expansion is currently limited by extreme weather events. We used matrix modelling to explore the respective and interactive effects of weather and harvest levels on demographic parameters of three populations at different expansion stages but all at the northern edge of the species distribution. Our results suggest that populations at the expansion front (fast-paced life history) can sustain higher hunting rates than well-established populations (slow-paced life history), but that the proportion of adult males declines more rapidly in response to a given level of harvest. Furthermore, populations at the expansion front under harsh to extreme conditions could not tolerate any level of harvest. Finally, fall hunting had the greatest influence on population dynamics mainly because harvesting of all females is permitted, while spring hunting is restricted to bearded birds only (<1% of turkeys harvested in spring are bearded hen). Optimal hunting regimes for populations at the limit of their distribution vary with weather and expansion stages. A conservative solution would be to allow fall hunting only in well-established populations, but adaptive management where fall harvest at the expansion front would be implemented during more mild winters. Our model approach is relatable to the very many populations currently expanding poleward in response to climate change by considering different adaptive management policies in established and expanding populations.},
}

@article {pmid40417832,
year = {2025},
author = {Tremblay, É and Harrisson, S},
title = {Integrating Ecofeminism Into Canadian Nursing to Tackle Climate Change and Health Issues.},
journal = {Nursing inquiry},
volume = {32},
number = {3},
pages = {e70035},
pmid = {40417832},
issn = {1440-1800},
support = {//The authors received no specific funding for this work./ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Canada ; *Nursing ; },
abstract = {This paper presents an overview of the health impacts associated with anthropogenic climate change and examines the interconnection between human health and the environment. It highlights the nursing profession's stance on environmental issues, drawing attention to the disengagement of nurses from advocacy initiatives related to climate change and how this relates to the nursing metaparadigm. Moreover, this paper supports a multidirectional approach to address climate change solutions, with a particular emphasis on both adaptation and mitigation strategies. Ecofeminism is proposed as a critical framework to address the shortcomings of the metaparadigm and the approaches to climate change solutions. It examines the potential for integrating ecofeminism into nursing research and practice by reconceptualizing the concept of the environment, adopting an ethic of the environment, and critiquing oppressive social structures. The benefits of ecofeminism for nursing include enhancing nurses' responsiveness to the health consequences of climate change, facilitated by using a critical voice that promotes inclusion and collective action.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
Canada
*Nursing

@article {pmid40417318,
year = {2025},
author = {Simmonds, P and Maye, D and Ingram, J},
title = {Ruminant livestock and climate change: critical discourse moments in mainstream and farming sector news media.},
journal = {Agriculture and human values},
volume = {42},
number = {2},
pages = {945-964},
pmid = {40417318},
issn = {0889-048X},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: There is ongoing contestation around greenhouse gas emissions from ruminant livestock and how society should respond. Media discourses play a key role in agenda setting for the general public and policymakers, and may contribute to polarisation. This paper examines how UK news media portrayed ruminant livestock's impact on climate change between 2016 and 2021. The analysis addresses a gap in the literature by comparing discourses in national and farming sector newspapers using a qualitative approach. Four national and two farming sector news outlets were searched for articles published between 2016 and 2021. A corpus of 996 relevant articles was assembled, from which 154 were selected for in-depth examination using Critical Discourse Analysis. Four 'Critical Discourse Moments' (CDMs), each signifying a discursive shift in the debate, were identified over the 6-year studied period: 1) Low salience, diverging discourses, 2) We must eat far less meat, 3) Fighting the anti-meat agenda, and 4) Policy (in)action at COP26. There was a large increase in the number of published articles from January 2019 onward, partly associated with publication of the EAT/Lancet Commission report. CDM 2 (We must eat far less meat) occurred mainly in the national media, while CDM 3 (Fighting the anti-meat agenda) occurred mainly in the farming media. Our findings reveal both opinion polarisation and intergroup polarisation between national and farming sector media, and low engagement with food system power imbalances. Addressing polarisation will be important to enhance capacity for collective decision-making regarding methane emissions from ruminant livestock.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10460-024-10651-7.},
}

@article {pmid40416650,
year = {2025},
author = {Kröner, L and van Grinsven, HJ and Erisman, JW and Graversgaard, M and Immerzeel, T and Olesen, JE and Rodríguez, A and Soriano, B and Sanz-Cobena, A and van der Lippe, T},
title = {Climate change skepticism of European farmers and implications for effective policy actions.},
journal = {Communications earth & environment},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {396},
pmid = {40416650},
issn = {2662-4435},
abstract = {European farmers struggle with mitigating global emissions of greenhouse gases effectively and to cope with climate change. European regulators and national governments encounter obstacles in implementing environmental policies, feeding frustration amongst farmers. We hypothesize that these issues relate to climate change skepticism within the farming community and dissensus with non-farmers and between countries. To test this hypothesis, we analyzed climate attribution and impact skepticism amongst farmers and the rest of the working population using the Eurobarometer and the European Social Survey, and national data about gross domestic product (GDP), innovativeness, share of agricultural land, and climate damage risk for agriculture. Impact skepticism of farmers increases with decreasing risk of climate damage and increasing GDP, causing a South-North gradient in Europe. The majority of farmers in the EU countries were more skeptical than non-farmers. Understanding and reducing this skepticism provides a key to more effective mitigation and adaptation.},
}

@article {pmid40415256,
year = {2025},
author = {Long, Z and Sang, Y and Feng, J and Zhang, X and Shi, T and Zhang, L and Mao, K and Rieseberg, LH and Liu, J and Wang, J},
title = {Evolutionary Genomics Unravels the Responses and Adaptation to Climate Change in a Key Alpine Forest Tree Species.},
journal = {Molecular biology and evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/molbev/msaf116},
pmid = {40415256},
issn = {1537-1719},
abstract = {Despite widespread biodiversity loss, our understanding of how species and populations will respond to accelerated climate change remains limited. In this study, we integrate population genomics, experimental evolution, and environmental modeling to elucidate the evolutionary responses to climate change in Populus lasiocarpa, a key alpine forest tree species primarily distributed in the mountainous regions of a global biodiversity hotspot. Over historical timescales, our findings demonstrate that demographic dynamics, divergent selection, and long-term balancing selection have shaped and maintained genetic variation within and between populations. In examining genomic signatures of contemporary climate adaptation, we found that haplotype blocks, potentially caused by inversion polymorphisms that suppress recombination, are linked to enriched combinations of locally adaptive environmental variations. We further assessed the relative contributions of environmentally induced plastic responses, constitutive expression divergence between genetic clusters, and their interactions in driving gene expression variation and divergence. Notably, we observed a strong correlation between sequence divergence and constitutive differential expression among genetic clusters. Finally, by incorporating genetic adaptation, migration, and genetic load into our predictions of population-level climate change risks, we identified western populations-primarily distributed in the Hengduan Mountains, a region known for its environmental heterogeneity and significant biodiversity-as the most vulnerable to climate change. These populations should be prioritized for conservation and management. Overall, our study advances the understanding of the relative roles of long-term natural selection, local environmental adaptation, and immediate plastic expression changes in shaping the responses of natural populations of keystone species to climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40414137,
year = {2025},
author = {Sokhansefat, S and Kanani-Sadat, Y and Nasseri, M},
title = {Modeling vegetation dynamics in complex topography under impacts of climate change: Integration of spatial clustering and optimized XGBoost.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {125902},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125902},
pmid = {40414137},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Understanding vegetation dynamics under impacts of climate change is essential for assessing ecosystem services, particularly in vulnerable areas. This study presents an efficient and accurate method for projecting the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to evaluate environmental status influenced by climate change, focusing on the Karkheh watershed, an ecologically sensitive area with complicated topography in Iran. We optimized a XGBoost model with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to estimate monthly spatiotemporal dynamics of NDVI, effectively handling extensive pixel-level time series data and capturing nonlinear relationships. After downscaling climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM), historical and future precipitation and temperature maps were generated through optimal Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). The model incorporated 23 input variables, including phenological rhythm categories, meteorological factors (with various time lags), and seasonal cycles, to project NDVI from 2030 to 2050 under various Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. Results demonstrate that the optimized XGBoost model effectively evaluates vegetation growth, with the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.93 and NDVI is projected to increase across all future scenarios, particularly under higher emissions pathways. SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis reveals that phenological rhythms, moderate temperatures from the preceding month, moderately high current temperatures, and high precipitation from four months earlier play key roles in NDVI projection for this watershed.},
}

@article {pmid40414057,
year = {2025},
author = {Nikoo, MR and Zamani, MG and Vanda, S and Farmani, R and Šimůnek, J and Al Sinani, A},
title = {Future projections of thermal and chemical stratifications in reservoir under the impact of climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {984},
number = {},
pages = {179722},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179722},
pmid = {40414057},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Vertical stratification is a fundamental characteristic of water bodies that significantly affects vertical convection and mixing dynamics. With the impact of climate change, thermal and chemical stratification in lakes and reservoirs has been exacerbated, leading to more pronounced environmental and ecological challenges. While previous studies have identified the impact of climate change on reservoir stratification, they have primarily focused on temperature variations in future periods. This study goes beyond temperature and the direct outputs of General Circulation Models (GCMs) by also considering inflow volume and temperature, providing a more comprehensive assessment of climate change effects on both thermal and chemical stratification. To do so, this study developed a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model, i.e., CE-QUAL-W2, to investigate the thermal and chemical responses of the Wadi Dayqah Reservoir, located in Oman, to projected climate change. The results indicated that under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, the annual mean inflow temperature remained largely unchanged, whereas the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios induced significant increases. Additionally, climate change led to a prolonged persistence of summer thermal and chemical stratification, with the most substantial delay occurring under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Moreover, the SSP5-8.5 scenario exhibited a significantly higher frequency of critical chemical index occurrences than SSP2-4.5 and SSP1-2.6, highlighting the strong interdependence between thermal and chemical stratification in reservoir systems. Under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5, thermal stratification (SI) is expected to rise by 12 %, 26 %, and 43 % by the end of the century. The chemical stratification index (CI) is anticipated to climb by 9 %, 21 %, and 38 % in the same scenarios, indicating higher warming routes intensifying stratification. These findings emphasize the urgent need for emission reduction strategies to mitigate climate-induced warming, maintain thermal stability, and protect reservoir ecosystems from extreme stratification under future climate scenarios.},
}

@article {pmid40411712,
year = {2025},
author = {Haq, SM and Waheed, M and Walas, Ł and Alipour, S and Ahmad, R and Bussmann, RW and Al-Sadoon, MK},
title = {Conserving the critically endangered Hangul (Cervus hanglu hanglu)-future distribution and efficiency of protected areas under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {6},
pages = {672},
pmid = {40411712},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Endangered Species ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; *Deer ; Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Environmental Monitoring ; India ; },
abstract = {Climate change is impacting species distribution at a global scale, posing a significant threat to biodiversity. Special attention needs to be given to threatened species like the Kashmir Red Deer (Cervus hanglu hanglu). Despite being a symbol of global conservation, holistic management is necessary for decision-making and species recovery. A comprehensive study mapping of the potential habitat changes for Hangul in the Dachigam landscape is crucial to enhance conservation efforts. We examined the impacts of expected global warming on the distribution of Hangul by employing a maximum entropy approach to assess species range shift. Hangul was anticipated to be sensitive to upcoming worldwide warming, and it was expected that this would increase its risk of local extinction. In the model, the severity of repercussions from climate change grew as the time horizon increased and decreased the species' suitable habitat. By 2080, predictions indicated a gradual reduction in range or, in some scenarios, the complete loss of habitat, regardless of the potential for Hangul to disperse indefinitely. We estimated that the overall very highly suitable habitat in the protected region is currently 2220 ha, while its vast distribution area in the unprotected zone is 30,445 ha, emphasizing the necessity of establishing corridor connectivity between fragmented populations and promoting conservation efforts. Among various climate conditions, the core-to-edge ratio is at its highest level in the current conditions. Our study reveals two critical findings: Firstly, endangered species unique to a particular region are highly susceptible to the impacts of global warming. Secondly, when evaluating the outcomes of global warming, the highly suitable habitat is expected to shift under predicted climatic changes, with an average altitudinal migration of 700 m. Consequently, conservation strategies must consider the expected regional shifts and are designed with a clear understanding of the accuracy of projecting climate change effects.},
}

Animals
*Climate Change
*Endangered Species
*Conservation of Natural Resources/methods
*Deer
Ecosystem
Biodiversity
Environmental Monitoring
India

@article {pmid40411156,
year = {2025},
author = {Jiang, G and Xie, X and Zeng, Y and Huang, S and Zeng, Y and Huang, G},
title = {Factors affecting the responses of rice quality to global warming in the field conditions: a meta-analysis.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.14392},
pmid = {40411156},
issn = {1097-0010},
support = {2023YFD2301300//National Key R&D Program of China/ ; 2024M761228//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global warming has been suggested to have negative impacts on most quality traits of rice; however, factors and how they affect the responses of rice quality to warming still need systematic examination under field conditions.

RESULTS: In this study, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the overall impacts of field warming on grain quality and identify the key factors affecting these impacts, collecting data from 45 published studies with 1316 paired observations. Our results found that warming significantly increased chalkiness degree, chalky rice rate, protein content and breakdown value, but decreased head rice rate and amylose content. Growth stage when warming was imposed had significant impacts on the grain quality responses to warming, with larger responses generally observed at reproductive stage than vegetative stage; besides, warming responses of grain quality also significantly differed among warming patterns and subspecies. Importantly, our results suggest that deterioration of appearance quality under warming tends to decrease with increasing soil fertility. However, with the increasing N and P applications and panicle N percentage, negative responses of milling and appearance qualities to warming become more severe. Additionally, our results suggest that negative responses of appearance quality to warming could be mitigated by increasing K application.

CONCLUSION: Our present findings should further our understandings of the warming effects on rice quality under field conditions and be helpful in mitigating the negative effects of warming on grain quality by variety selection, amelioration of soil fertility and optimal inorganic fertilizer inputs. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}

@article {pmid40410241,
year = {2025},
author = {Sarkar, K and Nieto, JJ and Khajanchi, S and Mali, PC},
title = {Modeling the influence of global warming on carbon, phytoplankton, and zooplankton dynamics.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {17911},
pmid = {40410241},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {SR/FST/MS-I/2022/122//Fund for Improvement of S & T Infrastructure (FIST)/ ; SR/FST/MS-I/2019/41//Fund for Improvement of S & T Infrastructure (FIST)/ ; PID2020-113275GB-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigación/ ; MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033//ERDF A way of making Europe/ ; ED431C 2023/12//Xunta de Galicia/ ; },
mesh = {*Phytoplankton/metabolism/physiology ; *Global Warming ; *Zooplankton/physiology/metabolism ; Animals ; *Carbon/metabolism ; *Models, Theoretical ; Carbon Dioxide/metabolism ; *Models, Biological ; Ecosystem ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Over the last 250 years, anthropogenic activity has increased atmospheric carbon dioxide by nearly 40%. This increase is mainly caused by human fossil fuel combustion and deforestation, which are the main causes of global warming. Phytoplankton of the world's oceans synthesizes half of the carbon dioxide of the total Earth's photosynthetic activity. Thus, phytoplankton plays a crucial role in controlling Earth's climate. To study this scenario, we propose and analyze a mathematical model for the carbon-phytoplankton-zooplankton interaction dynamics. Positivity, boundedness, existence, and stability of biologically possible equilibrium points are studied. The system exhibits Hopf bifurcation with respect to the carbon capture coefficient and the criteria of Hopf bifurcation is established around the coexisting equilibrium. Complex spatiotemporal dynamics and patchy pattern formation are observed in the spatially explicit model. The proposed carbon-phytoplankton-zooplankton system incorporates the effect of global warming, and our simulation shows shifts in plankton seasonal dynamics.},
}

*Phytoplankton/metabolism/physiology
*Global Warming
*Zooplankton/physiology/metabolism
Animals
*Carbon/metabolism
*Models, Theoretical
Carbon Dioxide/metabolism
*Models, Biological
Ecosystem
Seasons

@article {pmid40410225,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, Y and Peng, J and Mao, Y and Liu, Z and Zhao, G and Zhang, F},
title = {Prediction of the potentially suitable areas of Elymus dahuricus Turcz in China under climate change based on maxent.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {17959},
pmid = {40410225},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {41801027//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 202203021211252//Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province/ ; 202203021211250//Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province/ ; 20230027//Fund Program for the Scientific Activities of Selected Returned Overseas Professionals in Shanxi Province/ ; 20230025//Fund Program for the Scientific Activities of Selected Returned Overseas Professionals in Shanxi Province/ ; 31700434//National Natural Science Foundation/ ; 2023-110//Research Project Supported by Shanxi Scholarship Council of China/ ; 2021L274//Science and Technology Innovation Project of Colleges and Universities in Shanxi Province/ ; },
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Elymus/growth & development/physiology ; },
abstract = {Elymus dahuricus Turcz (E.dahuricus) is an excellent forage grass with very high economic value and high adaptability.Predicting the potential habitat distribution of E.dahuricus in China can provide solid and scientific theoretical support for the effective utilization of E.dahuricus germplasm resources.In this study, 180 occurrence sites of E.dahuricus and 38 environmental variables were selected, and the optimized Maxent model and ArcGIS V10.8 software were used to simulate and predict the potential distribution areas of E.dahuricus in China for the present (1970-2020),2050s (2041-2060) and 2090s (2081-2100). The results showed that (1) the simulated AUC value of MaxEnt model is 0.850,with high simulation accuracy; (2)Temperature seasonality(bio4),min temperature of coldest month(bio6),precipitation of driest quarter(bio17),precipitation seasonality(bio15),cation exchange capacity of topsoil(t_cec_soil) and altitude(elev) were the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of E.dahuricus; (3)Presently, the suitable habitats were mainly distributed in Xinjiang, Xizang, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Hebei, Beijing, Liaoning, Chongqing and other provinces.According to our results that the total suitable habitat area will increase under future climate scenarios and the general trend of mass center toward higher latitude.Our results provide wild resource information and theoretical reference for the protection and rational utilization of E.dahuricus.},
}

China
*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
*Elymus/growth & development/physiology

@article {pmid40410004,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, F and Du, F and Li, Q and Zhang, L and Yu, X and Liu, C},
title = {Corrigendum to "Understanding the ternary interaction of crop plants, fungal pathogens, and rhizobacteria in response to global warming" [Microbial. Res. 296 (2025) 128113].},
journal = {Microbiological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {128233},
doi = {10.1016/j.micres.2025.128233},
pmid = {40410004},
issn = {1618-0623},
}

@article {pmid40409758,
year = {2025},
author = {Markwell, A and De Luca, P and Prime, H},
title = {A call for mixed-methods research on climate change, family systems and child mental health.},
journal = {BMJ paediatrics open},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {40409758},
issn = {2399-9772},
}

@article {pmid40409395,
year = {2025},
author = {Wutz, V and Diekmann, M},
title = {Spatial and temporal patterns of lichen occurrence indicate shifts in atmospheric pollution and climate change - A case study from Bremen, North-Western Germany.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {378},
number = {},
pages = {126465},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126465},
pmid = {40409395},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Lichens are used as bioindicators of air pollution and climate change. Despite a few studies from central Germany and the neighbouring Netherlands, the north German lichen flora remains poorly known. In this study we aimed to examine the occurrence of lichens in relation to various environmental drivers and to assess the temporal changes in the lichen flora in response to altered air pollution and climate change. We examined the abundance of epiphytic lichen species in relation to tree characteristics in the city of Bremen in north-western Germany. Trees distributed across 30 grid squares throughout the city were sampled according to the VDI-guideline (3957-13, 2023). The lichen flora was also compared to species lists for Bremen from 1985 and 1995. Tree circumference had significant effects on the abundances of the majority of single species and on total species richness. Most lichens preferred the southern and western sides of the trees and trees of the genera Quercus and Fraxinus (compared to Tilia and Betula). The cumulative number of lichen species had increased since 1985 more than 4 times, while the species composition had changed towards a community of more nitrophytic and fewer acidophytic species, reflecting the current changes in air pollution. Climate change indicator species had increased from zero (1985) to seven (2024), and the mean Ellenberg values indicated a shift towards a lichen flora of more Atlantic species. Our study emphasizes the importance of lichens as bioindicators to track changes in air pollution and climate.},
}

@article {pmid40406503,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, M and Xu, X and Zhang, T and Liu, Z and Wang, X and Shi, X and Peng, W and Wang, X and Chen, Z and Zhao, R and Wang, W and Zhang, Y and Jin, Z and Zhou, Y and Ma, Z},
title = {The dynamics of wild Vitis species in response to climate change facilitate the breeding of grapevine and its rootstocks with climate resilience.},
journal = {Horticulture research},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {uhaf104},
pmid = {40406503},
issn = {2662-6810},
abstract = {Climate change presents significant challenges to agricultural suitability and food security, largely due to the limited adaptability of domesticated crops. However, crop wild relatives maintain greater diversity and are well adapted to various environments. This study evaluates the potential distributional responses of grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.) and its wild relatives (Vitis spp.) to future climate change using the maximum entropy model. We reveal that the annual mean temperature is the primary factor determining the potential distribution of cultivated grapes. By 2080, under the SSP585 scenario, suitable areas for wine and table grapes are predicted to decline by 1.5 million and 1.3 million km [2], respectively. The results suggest that grape cultivation, especially for table grapes, is highly vulnerable to future climate change. In contrast, approximately 70% of wild grapes are projected to demonstrate robust adaptability to future conditions. For example, wild grapes from North America, such as Vitis rotundifolia and Vitis labrusca, and from East Asia, such as Vitis heyneana and Vitis davidii, are projected to demonstrate significant adaptability in response to future climate change. These wild grapes are valuable genetic resources for improving the resilience of cultivated grapes through rootstock development and breeding programs to face the climate change. Our results predict the potential future distribution areas of wild grapes and highlight the critical role of their genetic resources in grape breeding for promoting adaptation to climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40405974,
year = {2025},
author = {Bertucci, JI and Blanco, AM and Estêvão, MD},
title = {Editorial: Endocrine disruption in marine species: unraveling pollution and climate change effects.},
journal = {Frontiers in endocrinology},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1616931},
doi = {10.3389/fendo.2025.1616931},
pmid = {40405974},
issn = {1664-2392},
}

@article {pmid40403659,
year = {2025},
author = {Krochta, M and Anlauf-Dunn, K and Bugni, D and Chang, H},
title = {Effects of climate change on stream temperature and salmonid habitats in a Cascades river basin.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {125843},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125843},
pmid = {40403659},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Rising stream temperatures pose significant challenges to aquatic ecosystems, particularly for coldwater-adapted organisms like salmonids. This study examines the effects of climate change on stream temperatures and salmonid habitats in the Clackamas River Basin, Oregon, USA. Using spatial stream network models and CMIP6 climate projections under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, we project mid- (2045-2074) and late-century (2075-2100) stream temperature changes. These projections are then integrated with thermal tolerances and intrinsic habitat metrics to assess future habitat suitability for key species, including steelhead, coho, Chinook, and bull trout. Stream temperature trends from 1991 to 2023 reveal basin-wide warming, with high-elevation tributaries demonstrating more resilience to climate impacts while lower-elevation subwatersheds face greater vulnerability. Future projections indicate a basinwide maximum 7-day average of daily maximum stream temperature increases of 1.42 °C-2.04 °C for the midcentury, and 1.84 °C-3.24 °C by the end of the 21st century. These increases reduce the most thermally suitable habitats for steelhead, coho, Chinook, and bull trout by an average of 27 %-36 % during the mid-century time period, and 35 %-51 % by the end-of-century time period. By linking climate-driven temperature projections with habitat metrics, we identify priority subwatersheds based on projected thermal suitability where conservation efforts can maximize impact.},
}

@article {pmid40403438,
year = {2025},
author = {Caraballo-Betancort, AM and Marcilla-Toribio, I and Notario-Pacheco, B and Cekrezi, S and Perez-Moreno, A and Martinez-Andres, M},
title = {Health professionals' perceptions of climate change: A systematic review of qualitative studies.},
journal = {Public health},
volume = {245},
number = {},
pages = {105773},
doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2025.105773},
pmid = {40403438},
issn = {1476-5616},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To understand health professionals' perceptions of climate change and its impact on health and their perceived role.

STUDY DESIGN: This was a systematic review of qualitative studies.

METHODS: A systematic review of qualitative evidence from three databases (MEDLINE, CINHAL and PsycInfo) was conducted according to the Cochrane method in June 2024. The PRISMA 2020 guidelines were followed for the synthesis report.

RESULTS: A total of 215 results were obtained, of which 10 studies were included on the basis of the inclusion criteria. The selected studies included predominantly nurses, physicians and public health professionals, with a smaller representation of other allied health professionals from Europe, North America and Africa. These studies were published between 2015 and 2024. Three themes were identified: "general knowledge of climate change", "role of health professionals in addressing climate change" and "barriers to action on climate change". Health professionals are aware of the health risks posed by climate change, but some barriers prevent or hinder their action. The main barriers are poor, overly generalised information and training, and a demotivating environment.

CONCLUSION: Health professionals are aware of the existence and dangers of climate change but are less aware of their role in the face of climate change. Contextualised training and an enabling environment are needed. It is essential to study the perceptions of each group of health professionals at the national or subnational level.},
}

@article {pmid40403301,
year = {2025},
author = {Geiger, SJ and Köhler, JK and Delabrida, ZNC and Garduño-Realivazquez, KA and Haugestad, CAP and Imada, H and Iyer, A and Maharja, C and Mann, DC and Marczak, M and Melville, O and Nijssen, SRR and Powdthavee, N and Praptiwi, RA and Ranade, G and Rosa, CD and Vitale, V and Winkowska, M and Zhang, L and White, MP},
title = {What We Think Others Think and Do About Climate Change: A Multicountry Test of Pluralistic Ignorance and Public-Consensus Messaging.},
journal = {Psychological science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9567976251335585},
doi = {10.1177/09567976251335585},
pmid = {40403301},
issn = {1467-9280},
abstract = {Most people believe in human-caused climate change, yet this public consensus can be collectively underestimated (pluralistic ignorance). Across two studies using primary data (n = 3,653 adult participants; 11 countries) and secondary data (ns = 60,230 and 22,496 adult participants; 55 countries), we tested (a) the generalizability of pluralistic ignorance about climate-change beliefs, (b) the effects of a public-consensus intervention on climate action, and (c) the possibility that cultural tightness-looseness might serve as a country-level predictor of pluralistic ignorance. In Study 1, people across 11 countries underestimated the prevalence of proclimate views by at least 7.5% in Indonesia (90% credible interval, or CrI = [5.0, 10.1]), and up to 20.8% in Brazil (90% CrI = [18.2, 23.4]. Providing information about the actual public consensus on climate change was largely ineffective, except for a slight increase in willingness to express one's proclimate opinion, δ = 0.05 (90% CrI = [-0.02, 0.11]). In Study 2, pluralistic ignorance about willingness to contribute financially to fight climate change was slightly more pronounced in looser than tighter cultures, highlighting the particular need for pluralistic-ignorance research in these countries.},
}

@article {pmid40403059,
year = {2025},
author = {Feehan, CJ and Filbee-Dexter, K},
title = {The silent signals of climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {388},
number = {6749},
pages = {816-817},
doi = {10.1126/science.adx8707},
pmid = {40403059},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Kelp ; *Coral Reefs ; },
abstract = {Climate-driven changes to the chemical landscape of reefs affect the recovery of kelp forests.},
}

*Climate Change
*Kelp
*Coral Reefs

@article {pmid40402609,
year = {2025},
author = {Armstrong, HE and Parker, PC and Ortner, CNM},
title = {Emotions and climate change: The role of emotion regulation in climate action.},
journal = {Emotion (Washington, D.C.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1037/emo0001546},
pmid = {40402609},
issn = {1931-1516},
support = {//Thompson Rivers University/ ; },
abstract = {Although there is strong evidence for the role of emotion in climate change-mitigating behaviors (Brosch, 2021), little is known about the role of emotion regulation in climate action (Panno et al., 2015). Our studies (a correlational study and an experiment, conducted in 2022) investigated the role of emotion regulation in emotional responses to climate change and the likelihood of taking climate change-mitigating actions. In Study 1, 151 participants from the United States and Canada read about the detrimental effects of climate change before recording their emotional responses, emotion regulation strategies used in response to climate change information, and climate actions (proenvironmental behaviors and civic engagement in environmental actions). Some emotion regulation strategies predicted climate action, including when controlling for demographic variables. In Study 2, 245 participants from the United States watched a video on the negative consequences of climate change, rated their emotions, and were randomly assigned to distraction, worrying, or positive reappraisal in response to the video. Next, they were given the option to sign an environmental petition and donate money to an environmental organization before rating their intentions to engage in climate actions. Distraction reduced negative emotion, and positive reappraisal increased hope. The effects of emotion regulation on engagement in climate action were mixed. Exploratory mediation analyses indicated that worrying and reappraisal increased intentions to engage in climate action via negative emotion. Further experimental research on the effects of emotion regulation on climate action will be important for informing communications about climate change to protect mental health while motivating action. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).},
}

@article {pmid40400099,
year = {2025},
author = {Kube, T and Huhn, J and Menzel, C},
title = {Optimistic bias in updating beliefs about climate change longitudinally predicts low pro-environmental behaviour.},
journal = {The British journal of social psychology},
volume = {64},
number = {3},
pages = {e12905},
pmid = {40400099},
issn = {2044-8309},
mesh = {Humans ; Female ; Male ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Longitudinal Studies ; Young Adult ; *Optimism/psychology ; Adolescent ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; *Attitude ; },
abstract = {We investigated the preregistered hypothesis that an optimistic bias in updating beliefs about climate change (i.e., integrating good news more than bad news) cross-sectionally (NStudy 1 = 109) and longitudinally (NStudy 2 = 407) predicts self-reported pro-environmental behaviour (PEB). To test this, we employed an experimental task in which participants were presented with multiple climate change scenarios and asked to update their beliefs after receiving scientific evidence. Additionally, we investigated whether biased belief updating and PEB could be altered by brief experimental interventions providing information on different aspects of climate change. Results show that optimistically biased belief updating did not predict PEB cross-sectionally, but did predict PEB 4 weeks later, while controlling for baseline levels of PEB. The experimental interventions did not significantly alter belief updating or increase PEB, although there were significant gender differences. The results suggest that an optimistic bias in belief updating longitudinally predicts low engagement in PEB, possibly because selectively integrating good news over bad news reduces the perceived urgency to take action. Yet the effect may be small and detectable only in sufficiently large samples. The results also indicate that it is challenging to modify this bias. Implications for research on attitude change, social cognition and PEB are discussed.},
}

Humans
Female
Male
*Climate Change
Adult
Longitudinal Studies
Young Adult
*Optimism/psychology
Adolescent
Cross-Sectional Studies
Middle Aged
*Attitude

@article {pmid40399408,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, X and Sun, Q and Li, T and Wang, S and Shen, J and Sun, Y and Li, M},
title = {Predicting current and future potential distribution of Changnienia amoena in China under global climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {17640},
pmid = {40399408},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Orchidaceae/physiology/growth & development ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Changnienia amoena is a terrestrial orchid endemic to China and holds significant ornamental and medicinal value. Understanding the current and future potential geographic distribution patterns of C. amoena under climate change is crucial for its effective conservation and sustainable development. This study uses 48 distribution records and 19 environmental variables to simulate and predict the potential distribution and spatial pattern changes of C. amoena under different future gas emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) for both the 2050s and 2090s. The dominant environmental variables influencing its distribution were also identified. The MaxEnt model yielded an AUC of 0.990 and CBI of 0.959, indicating extremely high predictive accuracy. The key environmental variables influencing the distribution of C. amoena include the minimum temperature of coldest month (Bio06), annual precipitation (Bio12), isothermality (Bio03), land use classification, slope, topsoil USDA texture classification, elevation, and topsoil calcium carbonate. Among these, temperature and precipitation have relatively significant impacts on the distribution of C. amoena. Under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, the suitable habitat for C. amoena shows a slight contraction, while under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the suitable habitat shifts and expands significantly towards the northwest, higher latitude and altitude areas. This research has important scientific significance and practical guidance value for the in-situ conservation, ex-situ cultivation, and sustainable utilization of C. amoena.},
}

*Climate Change
China
*Orchidaceae/physiology/growth & development
Ecosystem
Temperature

@article {pmid40399233,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, CY and Cha, EJ},
title = {Evaluating the impact of climate change on hurricane wind risk: A machine learning approach.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.70042},
pmid = {40399233},
issn = {1539-6924},
abstract = {In the residential sector, hurricane winds are a major contributor to storm-related losses, with substantial annual costs to the US economy. With the potential increase in hurricane intensity in changing climate conditions, hurricane impacts are expected to worsen. Current hurricane risk management practices are based on the hurricane risk assessment without considering climate impact, which would result in a higher level of risk for the built environment than expected. It is crucial to investigate the impact of climate change on hurricane risk to develop effective hurricane risk management strategies. However, investigation of future hurricane risk can be very time-consuming because of the high resolution of the models for climate-dependent hazard simulation and regional loss assessment. This study aims to investigate the climate change impact on hurricane wind risk on residential buildings across the southeastern US coastal states. To address the challenge of computational inefficiency, we develop surrogate models using machine learning techniques for evaluating wind and rain-ingress losses of simulated climate-dependent hurricane scenarios. We collect historical hurricane data and use selected climate variables to predict changing hurricane attributes under climate change. We build the surrogate loss model using data generated by the existing fragility-based loss model. The loss estimation of synthetic events using the surrogate model shows an accuracy with a 0.78 R-squared value compared to Hazard U.S. - Multi Hazard (HAZUS-MH) estimation. The results demonstrate the feasibility of utilizing surrogate models to predict risk changes and underline the increasing hurricane wind risk due to climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40398280,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhu, X and Dong, H and Huang, Y and Ren, W},
title = {Assessing ozone pollution and climate change impacts on winter wheat: flux modeling vs. dose-response modeling.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {125767},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125767},
pmid = {40398280},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Surface ozone is a phytotoxic pollutant that damages photosynthetic systems, reduces gas exchange, retards vegetation growth, and decreases yield. In this study, we developed a new ozone flux module within an agroecosystem model framework to enhance our ability to understand, measure, and predict the impact of surface ozone on agricultural productivity. The new module was calibrated and evaluated against historical observational data from multiple sites. It was then applied to predict winter wheat yield and gross primary productivity (GPP) in response to future ozone changes under different climate scenarios. The new ozone flux model was more sensitive to ozone concentration changes than the ozone dose-response model, demonstrating greater GPP and yield losses at the same ozone pollution level. We also investigated several key environmental factors (temperature, precipitation, carbon dioxide) and their synergistic effects with and without ozone to explore the complexity of ozone pollution impacts under climate change. The simulation results indicate a worsening food crisis, driven by interannual trends in crop losses from ozone pollution under high- and moderate-emission scenarios. A more accurate understanding and qualification of ozone's effects on crop growth and yield is essential for safeguarding food security.},
}

@article {pmid40398173,
year = {2025},
author = {Bitarafan, Z and Mageroy, MH and de Andrade Moral, R and Salehan, N and Nielsen, KS and Andreasen, C},
title = {The effect of climate change on glyphosate control of Avena fatua, Brassica napus, and Echinochloa crus-galli.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {983},
number = {},
pages = {179682},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179682},
pmid = {40398173},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures have significantly increased, accompanied by substantial changes in precipitation patterns. These changes are anticipated to intensify in the future. In Nordic regions, increasing temperatures can improve growing conditions for some crops by extending the growing season and expanding cultivation northward. Climate changes may also favour some weed species, potentially reducing crop yield and affecting herbicide efficacy. To assess glyphosate efficacy under future climate conditions, we conducted two dose-response experiments on barnyard grass (Echinochloa crus-galli- C4 plant), oilseed rape (Brassica napus- C3 plant) and wild oat (Avena fatua- C3 plant). Plants were grown under ambient conditions (400 ppm CO2 at 18/12 °C (day/night)) and predicted future conditions (800 ppm CO2 at 20.5/14.5 °C (day/night)). Glyphosate was applied at 3-4 - leaf-stage in doses of 0, 8.75, 17.5, 35, 70, 140, 420, 1260, and 2520 g active ingredient (a.i.) ha[-1], with the highest dose only included in the second experiment. Chlorophyll fluorescence was measured 48 h after spraying. Two days after spraying, oilseed rape exhibited stress symptoms under both growing conditions, while barnyard grass showed symptoms only under future conditions and doses exceeding 6 g a.i. ha[-1]. Plants were harvested 72 h after spraying for transcriptome analysis and two weeks after spraying to determine dry weight, C%, N% and C/N ratio. The ED50 and ED90 values did not significantly differ between the two environments for each grass species. However, oilseed rape required significantly higher glyphosate doses to reduce dry weight by 50 and 90 % at ambient growing conditions, likely due to the faster translocation of glyphosate. This suggests that glyphosate doses can be reduced in a warmer climate with an elevated CO2 level. No apparent differences in the C%, N%, or C/N ratio were observed between environments for any species. Transcriptome analysis indicated that all species respond differently to glyphosate and climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40397250,
year = {2025},
author = {Black, K and McCullagh, A and Redmond, J and Blujdea, VNB and Pilli, R},
title = {Evaluation of climate change mitigation strategies for Irish forests using the CBM-CFS3 model.},
journal = {Carbon balance and management},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {10},
pmid = {40397250},
issn = {1750-0680},
support = {101056875//HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council/ ; 101056875//HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Irish Forestry greenhouse gas (GHG) profile is undergoing a transition from a net sink to net emission because of persisting emissions from organic soils, an increase in harvest and shifts in the age class structure of plantation forests. The forestry GHG trend diverges from the required National and European Union (EU) policy pathway for land use land use change and forestry (LULUCF) and agriculture aimed at halving emissions by 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. A recalibrated version of the Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Service (CBM-CFS3) was used to assess the impact of identified national forest policy measures on the forest GHG profile over the short to long term.

RESULTS: An analysis of projected scenarios revealed that, under current silvicultural practices and afforestation policies (with existing measures-WEMs), Irish forests will continue to be a long-term emission beyond 2070 unless harvest rates and management practices are adjusted to negate the adverse impact of emissions from organic soils and fluctuations in historic afforestation rates. The implementation of additional measures (WAM) suggests that the forest sink can be sustained if harvest rates exceed 75% of the net annual increment (NAI), additional afforestation targets are met and if plantation rotation age is increased. Although additional afforestation and a reduction in deforestation is required to meet long-term carbon-neutral goals, the implementation of these policies has a minimal short-term impact on the 2030 targets set out under the National Climate Change Plan (CAP 24) and the revised EU LULUCF regulation (841/2023).

CONCLUSION: The results show that the extension of rotation age and associated reductions in harvest levels will have the greatest short-term impact on climate change mitigation, which can be delivered at a negative marginal abatement cost. However, even if WAM forest measures are implemented, Ireland is unlikely to meet the National and EU LULUCF targets by 2030 because of a decreasing forest sink.},
}

@article {pmid40396747,
year = {2025},
author = {Brasil, LS and Silvério, DV and Silva, JOA and Santos, WS and de Melo, LV and Juen, L and França, FM and Vieira, TB},
title = {Potential geographic displacement of Chagas disease vectors under climate change.},
journal = {Medical and veterinary entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/mve.12810},
pmid = {40396747},
issn = {1365-2915},
support = {311468/2022-5//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico do Brasil (CNPq)/ ; 304710/2019-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico do Brasil (CNPq)/ ; 305929/2022-4//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico do Brasil (CNPq)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is projected to profoundly alter global biodiversity with significant implications for vector-borne disease dynamics. In tropical regions, rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns influence the distribution and behaviour of insect disease vectors, thereby affecting disease transmission cycles. Chagas disease, caused by the Trypanosoma cruzi and transmitted by triatomine bugs, is a major public health concern in Latin America. Brazil is particularly vulnerable to climate-driven vector redistribution due to its vast land area, diverse ecosystems and rapid land-use changes. Using ecological niche modelling and 11,640 unique occurrence records, we assessed the potential geographic displacement of 55 triatomine species under two climate scenarios: a moderate warming scenario (SSP2-4.5) and a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5) for 2050 and 2080. While projections for 2050 suggest stability in vector distributions, our models indicate a substantial shift by 2080, with increasing suitability for vector populations in the Brazilian Amazon, particularly in the deforestation arc. This expansion could exacerbate Chagas disease risk in previously unaffected regions, where socioeconomically vulnerable populations face poor housing conditions that facilitate vector-human contact. Our findings underscore the urgent need for proactive vector surveillance, public health interventions and climate-adaptive disease prevention strategies to mitigate potential epidemiological risks associated with climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40396145,
year = {2025},
author = {Cunha, J and Martins, J and Núñez, JC and Vallejo, G and Rosário, P},
title = {Adolescents' agency toward climate change: development and validation of scales for individual, proxy, and collective modes.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1532409},
pmid = {40396145},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {In a rapidly evolving world, human agency serves as a driving force to shape a more sustainable future. The climate crisis is an example of how individuals must be proactive and take action to mitigate this environmental problem through three modes of agency advocated by Bandura: individual, proxy, and collective. This is even more relevant for adolescents, who will most suffer climate change consequences. However, instruments assessing adolescents' agency modes toward climate change are still lacking. To address this gap, we present the development and validation of three theoretically based scales for assessing each mode of adolescents' agency toward climate change (AGENTC2). The AGENTC2-Scales were developed based on a literature search, expert review, and consultation with a panel of adolescents. The AGENTC2-Scales were then empirically tested with 1,114 adolescents, and their psychometric properties were assessed, providing evidence of validity (i.e., content, structural, and convergent), measurement invariance (sex and school grade), internal consistency, and test-retest reliability. Data showed that the AGENTC2-Scales can be used to measure each mode of agency toward climate change and their properties validly and reliably. Further research is needed to extend the validation of the scales in other countries.},
}

@article {pmid40395284,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, Y and Dai, G and Li, H and Chai, Y and Bao, R and Wang, M and Luo, C and Qin, Y},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of Keteleeria evelyniana Mast. in southwest China: a Maxent modeling approach.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1561031},
pmid = {40395284},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Keteleeria evelyniana Mast., which is widespread in southwestern China, is valuable for studying under different future climate scenarios to assess potential distribution shifts in response to climate warming. Understanding these changes can provide theoretical support for species conservation, rational utilization, ecological restoration, and management of K. evelyniana habitats. The Maxent model was optimized using the package of ENMeval to adjust the Regularization Multiplier (RM) and Feature Class Combinations (FC) parameters. Utilizing 221 effective distribution points and 33 environmental variables, the potential distribution of K. evelyniana in current and future climate scenarios was predicted, with the key environmental variables analyzed. The model with FC = LQ and RM = 0.5, demonstrated low complexity, minimal overfitting, and high accuracy, achieving an AUC value of 0.946 with a standard deviation of 0.011. Under the current climate conditions, 68% of the suitable areas for K. evelyniana were focused on Yunnan Province, with additional areas in western and southwestern Guizhou, southwestern Sichuan, and the southeastern Xizang Autonomous Region. In various future climate scenarios, the suitable areas for K. evelyniana gradually decreased, with a maximum reduction of 33%. Simultaneously, the centroids of these areas are expected to migrate northward by up to 33 km. Temperature was the dominant factor affecting its distribution (77.8%), whereas the effects of soil variables and altitude were significant. This study clarified the current distribution of K. evelyniana, projected the potential shifts under different future climate scenarios, and identified the main environmental factors affecting the distribution. These findings offer valuable theoretical support for the conservation, ecological restoration, and sustainable use of K. evelyniana.},
}

@article {pmid40392855,
year = {2025},
author = {Moutouama, JK and Compagnoni, A and Miller, TEX},
title = {Forecasting range shifts of dioecious plants under climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {21},
pages = {e2422162122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2422162122},
pmid = {40392855},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2208857//NSF | BIO | Division of Environmental Biology (DEB)/ ; 2225027//NSF | BIO | Division of Environmental Biology (DEB)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Forecasting ; *Models, Biological ; Ecosystem ; Female ; Sex Ratio ; Male ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Global climate change has triggered an urgent need for predicting the reorganization of Earth's biodiversity. For dioecious species (those with separate sexes), it is unclear how commonly unique climate sensitivities of females and males could influence projections for species-level responses to climate change. We developed demographic models of range limitation, parameterized from geographically distributed common garden experiments, with females and males of a dioecious grass species (Poa arachnifera) throughout and beyond its range in the south-central U.S. We contrasted predictions of a standard female-dominant model with those of a two-sex model that accounts for feedbacks between sex ratio and vital rates. Both model versions predict that future climate change will induce a poleward shift of niche suitability beyond current northern limits. However, the magnitude of the poleward shift was underestimated by the female-dominant model because females have broader temperature tolerance than males but become mate-limited under female-biased sex ratios, which are forecasted to become more common under future climate. Our results illustrate how explicitly accounting for both sexes can enhance population viability forecasts and conservation planning for dioecious species in response to climate change.},
}

*Climate Change
Forecasting
*Models, Biological
Ecosystem
Female
Sex Ratio
Male
Biodiversity

@article {pmid40391693,
year = {2025},
author = {Verdú, G and Vallvé, M and San-José, P and Molina, A and Merino, A},
title = {Diagnostic Value of Botryoid Nuclei as a Biomarker of Severe Hyperthermia and Systemic Inflammation in Heatstroke and Neuroleptic Malignant Syndrome: A Challenge of Climate Change.},
journal = {International journal of laboratory hematology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/ijlh.14500},
pmid = {40391693},
issn = {1751-553X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: With the increasing frequency of heat waves due to climate change, heat-related illnesses are becoming more common. Heatstroke is a life-threatening condition characterized by hyperthermia and multiple organ failure. A rare morphological feature, botryoid nuclei, has been identified in the peripheral blood of patients with hyperthermia, but its significance is not well understood. This study investigates the diagnostic value of botryoid neutrophils as a potential marker of severe hyperthermia and systemic inflammation in heatstroke and neuroleptic malignant syndrome.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of six patients with hyperthermia who were admitted to the Hospital Clínic of Barcelona and the Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau during the summers of 2023 and 2024. Peripheral blood smears were analyzed using CellaVision DM9600, MC-80, and DI60 analyzers. Blood cell counts were obtained using Advia 2120i and Sysmex XN analyzers. Biochemical parameters were measured using Atellica Solutions and Alinity analyzers.

RESULTS: Among the six cases, five were diagnosed with heatstroke and one with neuroleptic malignant syndrome. All patients exhibited botryoid nuclei in leucocytes (8% to 29%), more frequently observed in neutrophils. Hematologic findings included leucocytosis, neutrophilia with left shift, and thrombocytopenia. Biochemical analysis revealed significant organ dysfunction, including elevated liver enzymes, renal failure, and increased inflammatory markers, such as procalcitonin and lactic acid.

CONCLUSION: Botryoid-nuclei leucocytes may serve as a diagnostic marker for hyperthermia-related conditions, including heatstroke and neuroleptic malignant syndrome. This finding underscores the relevance of early recognition and intervention in patients presenting with hyperthermia and systemic inflammation.},
}

@article {pmid40390426,
year = {2025},
author = {Huang, WT and Dai, QY and Xu, Y and Feng, YX and Zou, B and Lu, YG},
title = {[Impact of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Dynamics in Typical Lake Basins of China].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {46},
number = {5},
pages = {2987-2996},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202405006},
pmid = {40390426},
issn = {0250-3301},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; Lakes ; *Ecosystem ; *Human Activities ; Humans ; *Environmental Monitoring ; *Plant Development ; *Anthropogenic Effects ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Monitoring vegetation dynamics and isolating as well as quantifying the impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation cover changes are crucial for providing theoretical support for maintaining regional ecological balance and scientifically planning ecological restoration. This study focuses on the Dongting, Poyang, and Taihu Lake basins. Using multi-temporal normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） data, meteorological data, and land use data and employing methods, such as trend analysis, first-order difference multiple regression analysis, and residual analysis, this research investigates the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of vegetation NDVI changes in these basins from 2000 to 2022, distinguishing between natural growth areas and anthropogenic impact areas. The results indicate that from 2000 to 2022, vegetation in the Dongting, Poyang, and Taihu Lake basins, including both anthropogenic impact areas and natural growth areas, exhibited a greening trend. Overall, compared to precipitation and solar radiation, the NDVI of vegetation in the three major lake basins was more sensitive to temperature. Vegetation growth in these basins exhibited a consistently positive sensitivity to temperature, whereas it predominantly showed a negative sensitivity to precipitation. Climate change has promoted an increase in vegetation NDVI across the three lake basins. In anthropogenic impact areas, human activities predominantly drove the changes in vegetation NDVI, with the effects being bidirectional. Specifically, in the Dongting and Poyang Lake basins, human activities mainly had a positive impact on vegetation NDVI, whereas in the Taihu Lake Basin, the impact was predominantly negative.},
}

*Climate Change
China
Lakes
*Ecosystem
*Human Activities
Humans
*Environmental Monitoring
*Plant Development
*Anthropogenic Effects
Conservation of Natural Resources

@article {pmid40389304,
year = {2025},
author = {Tao, TJ and Estes, KD and Holman, EA and Vahedifard, F and Silver, RC},
title = {Understanding climate change anxiety and anticipatory climate disaster stress: A survey of residents in a high-risk California county during wildfire season.},
journal = {BMJ mental health},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjment-2024-301331},
pmid = {40389304},
issn = {2755-9734},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Wildfires ; Female ; California/epidemiology ; Male ; Adult ; *Anxiety/epidemiology/psychology ; Middle Aged ; *Stress, Psychological/epidemiology/psychology ; Young Adult ; *Disasters ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Aged ; Adolescent ; *Anticipation, Psychological ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: With the increasing prevalence of climate-related disasters, psychological responses, including climate change anxiety and anticipatory climate disaster stress, have received heightened attention.

OBJECTIVE: We investigate the correlates of climate change anxiety and anticipatory climate disaster stress, as well as the nature of these psychological responses.

METHODS: At the start of the annual fire season (June to August 2023), we recruited a county-representative sample of n=813 residents of Lake County, in Northern California, to complete an anonymous online survey. Multiple regression analyses identified correlates of climate change anxiety and anticipatory climate disaster stress and explored how anxiety and stress were associated with disaster preparedness.

FINDINGS: Climate change anxiety, assessed via its cognitive-emotional impairment (odds ratio (OR)loss/injury=1.68; ORmedia=2.37) and functional impairment (ORloss/injury=1.68; ORmedia=2.63) subfactors, and anticipatory climate disaster stress (bloss/injury=0.15, bmedia=0.26) were associated with previous wildfire-induced loss/injury and media exposure to wildfire-related content. Anticipatory climate disaster stress was also associated with the frequency of being in an evacuation zone (b=0.05). Both the cognitive-emotional impairment subfactor of climate change anxiety (incidence rate ratio (IRR)=1.23) and anticipatory climate disaster stress (IRR=1.14) were associated with preparing an emergency kit and power outage supplies; anticipatory climate disaster stress was associated with evacuation intentions should an actual fire occur (b=0.12).

CONCLUSIONS: Prior experiences with climate disasters could explain people's psychological responses to climate change. These responses could be temporally appropriate and functionally adaptive, given the immediacy of a potential fire.

CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Climate change anxiety and anticipatory climate disaster stress should not be oversimplified as typical clinical symptoms because their presence might motivate adaptive self-protective behaviours in the face of an upcoming disaster.},
}

Humans
*Climate Change
*Wildfires
Female
California/epidemiology
Male
Adult
*Anxiety/epidemiology/psychology
Middle Aged
*Stress, Psychological/epidemiology/psychology
Young Adult
*Disasters
Surveys and Questionnaires
Aged
Adolescent
*Anticipation, Psychological

@article {pmid40389117,
year = {2025},
author = {Rudroff, T},
title = {Climate crossroads: How global warming drives coronavirus emergence, the long COVID crisis of tomorrow, and AI's role in navigating our future.},
journal = {Infectious diseases now},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {105091},
doi = {10.1016/j.idnow.2025.105091},
pmid = {40389117},
issn = {2666-9919},
abstract = {This narrative review examines the critical nexus between climate change, coronavirus emergence, and Long COVID-a triad that may shape public health outcomes for generations. Climate change disrupts ecological balances that have historically limited viral spillover events, creating novel interfaces between wildlife reservoirs and human populations. The coronavirus family presents particular concern due to its diversity, adaptability, and demonstrated capacity for cross-species transmission. With over 200 coronaviruses identified in bat populations alone, this vast reservoir of genetic diversity, combined with the family's propensity for recombination, creates substantial pandemic potential that climate disruption may further amplify. Long COVID has revealed another dimension of the coronavirus threat: the potential for significant chronic disease burden following acute infection. This complex multisystem condition affects a substantial portion of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals, with mechanisms including viral persistence, autoimmunity, microclot formation, and mitochondrial dysfunction. Future projections suggest that climate change could increase global viral spillover risk by 30-45% by 2070, particularly in Southeast Asia, Central Africa, and parts of South America. Artificial intelligence offers promising tools for addressing these interconnected challenges through enhanced surveillance, accelerated therapeutic development, and optimized healthcare delivery. Understanding the climate-coronavirus-chronic illness nexus has become essential to the development of resilient health systems and effective planetary health policies face to an uncertain future.},
}

@article {pmid40389056,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, X and Tian, J and Wu, J and Wu, G and Ren, Y and He, C and Bao, W and Yu, T},
title = {Exploring the Spatio-temporal Distribution Characteristics and the Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Global Grassland Based on kNDVI.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {121884},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121884},
pmid = {40389056},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Grasslands provide essential resources and maintain ecological balance, yet about 40% of the world's grasslands have degraded due to climate change and human activities. To investigate the impact of these factors on global grassland coverage from 2001 to 2023, the Kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) was calculated using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Spatio-temporal variations in global grassland kNDVI were analyzed with the Mann-Kendall mutation (M-K-M) test, Theil-Sen slope analysis, and the Mann-Kendall test. Partial correlation and residual analysis identified the factors influencing kNDVI changes. Results showed significant spatial heterogeneity in global grassland kNDVI, with higher values in the Southern Hemisphere and lower values in the Northern Hemisphere. Over time, global grassland kNDVI increased at a rate of 0.00043/a, with no significant mutation spots identified. However, significant mutations were detected in most Köppen climate zones except Am. Spatially, 34.57% of regions showed kNDVI degradation, while 65.43% improved. Driving factor analysis indicated that kNDVI was negatively correlated with mean annual temperature but positively correlated with total annual precipitation. Human activities positively impacted kNDVI in 73.25% of cases. The smallest area of degradation (5.80%) was due to human activity, while the least improvement (6.17%) resulted from climate change. In summary, we concluded that there has been a rising trend in the global grassland kNDVI. Changes in the vegetation coverage of grasslands around the world were caused by human activities and the effects of climate change. This study offered useful theoretical frameworks and data references for managing grasslands and restoring degraded areas.},
}

@article {pmid40388200,
year = {2025},
author = {Hosseini, N and Mostafavi, H and Ghorbanpour, M},
title = {Forecasting the Future Distribution of zataria multiflora in Iran Affecting by Climate Change: A MaxEnt Approach.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/inteam/vjaf043},
pmid = {40388200},
issn = {1551-3793},
abstract = {Climate change, driven by both natural and human influences, presents serious threats to biodiversity and the distribution of species over the coming decades. To examine the effects of climate change on species distribution and habitat suitability, researchers have widely employed Species Distribution Models (SDMs). This study specifically investigated Zataria multiflora, a valuable medicinal plant found in Iranian rangelands. The aim was to identify the critical factors influencing the distribution of Z. multiflora and assess how climate change may affect its range. The researchers utilized the Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt), incorporating eight environmental variables: maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual temperature range, precipitation of the driest quarter, precipitation of the coldest quarter, depth to bedrock, slope, and solar radiation. The results indicated that solar radiation, slope, precipitation during the warmest quarter (bio17), and maximum temperature of the warmest month (bio5) were the most significant factors affecting the species' distribution. Projections suggest a potential decrease in the species' range by 43.98%, 51.60%, 54.20%, and 68.10% under RCPs 4.5-2050, 8.5-2050, 4.5-2070, and 8.5-2070, respectively. These insights can assist decision-makers in developing effective conservation strategies to protect and sustainably manage Z. multiflora in light of global climate change. Given the expected habitat loss, in-situ conservation efforts should be prioritized for the protection of Z. multiflora.},
}

@article {pmid40384421,
year = {2025},
author = {Bahrami, G and Ghavidel, N and Mahmoodi, Z and McDermott, R and Seddighi, H},
title = {The health effects of climate change: identifying strategies, policies, and knowledge gaps: an umbrella review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental health research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-18},
doi = {10.1080/09603123.2025.2498624},
pmid = {40384421},
issn = {1369-1619},
abstract = {Climate change has emerged as a significant global challenge with profound implications for human health. This umbrella review synthesizes findings from systematic reviews and meta-analyses to examine the health impacts of climate change and identify strategies to mitigate these effects. This is an umbrella study conducted in major health and biomedical databases, including PubMed, ISI Web of Knowledge, Scopus, and Google Scholar, for articles published between 2011 and 2021. The search strategy followed the protocol published in BMJ Journal in 2020. The selected articles underwent a rigorous screening process based on predefined inclusion criteria. A total of 37 systematic review articles were included in the study. The thematic analysis identified a range of strategies and policies aimed at mitigating the health effects of climate change, including adaptation measures, public health interventions, and interdisciplinary collaborations. The analysis also revealed significant knowledge gaps in certain areas, highlighting the need for further research. The identified strategies and policies offer valuable insights for policymakers, healthcare professionals, and researchers. By integrating these findings into evidence-based policies and practices, we can enhance our ability to mitigate the adverse health impacts of climate change and promote resilience in the face of this global challenge.},
}

@article {pmid40383884,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, B and Li, LG and Chen, ZJ},
title = {Spatio-temporal variation of climate productivity of vegetation and its responses to climate change in three provinces of Northeast China.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {12},
pages = {3339-3348},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202412.035},
pmid = {40383884},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Temperature ; Rain ; Plant Transpiration/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate productivity is a key indicator reflecting carbon exchange of plant communities. Clarifying changes in climate productivity is of great significance for assessing the carbon sink function of ecosystems. We used the Miami and Thornthwaite-Memorial models to simulate temperature-, precipitation- and evapotranspiration-producti-vity in the three northeastern provinces based on temperature and precipitation data from 1971 to 2020. We used trend analysis, wavelet analysis, M-K test and regression analysis to explicitly analyze the spatial and temporal variations of climate productivity, and model the changing characteristics of evapotranspiration productivity under future climate change scenarios. We further explored the accuracy of the test for climate productivity in conjunction with data from Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica tree-ring data at 11 sampling sites in the three northeastern provinces. Results showed that the annual averages of temperature productivity (YT), precipitation productivity (YP) and evapotranspiration productivity (YE) in the three northeastern provinces during 1971-2020 were 777.84, 946.08, and 930.4 g·m[-2]·a[-1], respectively. All the three types of climate productivity generally showed increasing trends. The increasing trend of temperature productivity was the most significant, increasing at a rate of 1.91 g·m[-2]·a[-1], existence of 6, 10, 22 years major periodic, and had abrupt change in 1988. There were significant differences in the spatial distribution of climate productivity. Temperature productivity decreased from south to north, with overall increasing trend in climate tendency rates. Precipitation productivity and evapotranspiration productivity decreased from southeast to northwest, which was higher in the east than in the west. Their climate tendency rates showed a decreasing trend in most areas, with an increasing trend occurred in western Heilongjiang and northwestern Jilin. The water-heat ratios of climate productivity in the three northeastern provinces were generally banded with significant spatial variations, with the ratios ranging from 0.58 to 2.42. From north to south, it could be divided into areas that were more affected by precipitation (YP/YT>1.2), water-heat balance (YP/YT≈1), and more affected by temperature (YP/YT<0.8), respectively. The three climate productivities were generally consistent with change in the mean annual tree-ring width index of P. sylvestris var. mongolica at the 11 sampling sites, which was positively correlated, indicating that the modelled climate productivity was reliable. The correlation coefficients between temperature productivity and the width of the annual tree-ring of P. sylvestris var. mongolica decreased significantly with increasing latitude. Our results could improve the understanding of carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation associated with climate productivity in the three northeastern provinces, which would provide a scientific basis for the adaptation of vegetation to climate change and the prediction of future vegetation dynamics.},
}

*Climate Change
China
*Ecosystem
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Temperature
Rain
Plant Transpiration/physiology

@article {pmid40382958,
year = {2025},
author = {Zabihi, O and Ahmadi, A and Haghighi, AT},
title = {A framework for assessing uncertainties in drought projections under climate change: Insights from CMIP6 models.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {982},
number = {},
pages = {179679},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179679},
pmid = {40382958},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The impact of climate change on hydrology and drought is commonly assessed using General Circulation Models (GCMs), which introduce considerable uncertainty. This study presents a structured framework to evaluate these uncertainties, focusing on key hydrological parameters and drought characteristics. A multi-criteria statistical approach was used to assess the performance of three selected CMIP6 GCMs- ACCESS-CM2, CanESM5, and ACCESS-ESM1-5- under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. Drought conditions were analyzed using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), the latter capturing temperature-driven evapotranspiration. The uncertainty framework integrates a Bayesian probabilistic method for estimating the distribution of drought classifications and a polynomial-based decomposition approach to evaluate the temporal evolution of uncertainty. Applied to six major Iranian watersheds, CanESM5 under SSP585 projected the most extreme outcomes, including a 1.71-fold increase in annual precipitation in the Eastern border watershed and a 0.87-fold decrease in the Persian Gulf watershed. The highest temperature increase, 2.97 °C, was observed in the Caspian Sea watershed. Results indicate a higher probability of normal drought conditions across all watersheds, followed by moderately dry and moderately wet events. Temperature projections showed greater sensitivity to emission scenarios than precipitation, and uncertainties, particularly from GCMs and emission pathways, increased over time. The combined use of Bayesian inference and variance decomposition provides a robust framework for quantifying both the magnitude and sources of uncertainty in drought projections.},
}

@article {pmid40381636,
year = {2025},
author = {Ebi, KL and Hess, JJ and Stuart-Smith, RF and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM and Woodward, A and Haines, A},
title = {Considerations for improving the relevance, use, and robustness of projections of the health risks of climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {5},
pages = {e442-e447},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00089-0},
pmid = {40381636},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Forecasting ; Greenhouse Gases ; Risk Assessment ; },
abstract = {The increased interest and investment in climate change and health research and policy should be a turning point for providing policy-relevant projections of how changing weather patterns and climate trends could alter the magnitude and distribution of climate-sensitive health outcomes. Decision makers recognise that future health burdens result from interactions between exposure, sensitivity, and the capacity to adapt. Fit-for-purpose projections to inform climate risk management should be based on a range of scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and socioeconomic development. The relevance, use, and robustness of projections would be improved by addressing the considerations outlined here.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
Forecasting
Greenhouse Gases
Risk Assessment

@article {pmid40381635,
year = {2025},
author = {Tonne, C and Sieber, S and Filippidou, F and Tsiropoulos, I and Petropoulou, V and Kiesewetter, G and Klimont, Z and Höglund-Isaksson, L and Witzke, P and Springmann, M and Pozzer, A and Lelieveld, J and Hamilton, I and Hsu, SC and Nieuwenhuijsen, M and Velázquez-Cortés, D and van den Bosch, M and Sazdovski, I and Santamaria, M and de'Donato, F and Dasandi, N},
title = {Promoting health through climate change mitigation in Europe.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {5},
pages = {e431-e441},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00085-3},
pmid = {40381635},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Europe ; *Health Promotion ; European Union ; },
abstract = {Several EU climate change mitigation policies have the potential to deliver health co-benefits. However, existing frameworks guiding research in this area lack important details that are needed to understand how evidence of health co-benefits can be used to support the ambition and acceptability of EU climate policy. In this Personal View, we propose an integrated framework for advancing the state-of-the-science on health co-benefits of climate change mitigation and realising the societal effect of evidence documenting co-benefits. We apply this framework to the EU context. Our framework spans multiple economic sectors-including land use, land-use change, and forestry and health systems-and provides details on the different types of mitigation actions, levers of change, and societal actors with the agency to implement specific mitigation actions. This framework aims to inform future research on the magnitude of health co-benefits of climate change mitigation, and provide strategies to communicate health co-benefits to support increases in mitigation ambition and societal acceptance of mitigation actions.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
Europe
*Health Promotion
European Union

@article {pmid40381627,
year = {2025},
author = {Salas, RN},
title = {Climate change is redefining health-care delivery and preparedness.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {5},
pages = {e350-e351},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00111-1},
pmid = {40381627},
issn = {2542-5196},
}

@article {pmid40380845,
year = {2025},
author = {Shan, YR and Tian, JH and Fan, XW and Liu, L},
title = {Spatial distribution of soil organic carbon components in mainland of China and their response to climate change.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {36},
number = {3},
pages = {847-858},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202503.019},
pmid = {40380845},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Carbon/analysis ; *Ecosystem ; *Organic Chemicals/analysis ; },
abstract = {Preserving and increasing soil organic carbon pool is an effective natural way to mitigate climate change. However, the sensitivity of soil organic carbon to climate change in different ecosystems in mainland of China is still unclear. To investigate the response of soil organic carbon to climate change, it is important to classify it into particulate (POC) and mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) components. In this study, we assessed the spatial distributions of POC and MAOC in mainland of China and simulated their responses to future climate change using machine learning methods. The results showed that: 1) the stocks of soil organic carbon, POC, and MAOC in the top 20 cm soils of mainland China were 45.3, 20.7, and 24.6 Pg, respectively. 2) Soil organic carbon components were positively correlated with altitude and negatively correlated with air temperature. 3) Under the SSP585 scenario, the stocks of POC and MAOC in China would decrease by 4.80 and 2.13 Pg, from 2020 to 2100, respectively. The contents of soil organic carbon components were higher in Northeast China and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, but lower in the Inner Mongolia Plateau, Sichuan Basin, North China, and Northwest China Plain. The sensitivity of POC to climate change was higher than MAOC. Climate warming would cause the greatest loss of soil organic carbon in the meadow ecosystem.},
}

China
*Climate Change
*Soil/chemistry
*Carbon/analysis
*Ecosystem
*Organic Chemicals/analysis

@article {pmid40379981,
year = {2025},
author = {Blount, ZD},
title = {Adaptability to climate change is difficult to predict.},
journal = {Nature ecology & evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40379981},
issn = {2397-334X},
}

@article {pmid40379681,
year = {2025},
author = {Dadaei, MM and Hajikarimi, P and Nejad, FM},
title = {Sustainable prospective proposals for utilizing modifiers in bitumen industry to address global warming.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {17042},
pmid = {40379681},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The rapid rise in greenhouse emissions has intensified climate change, highlighting the urgent need to assess its impact on critical infrastructure. Asphalt pavements, are particularly vulnerable to the stresses caused by climate change including rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns. The paper examines the impact of global warming on asphalt pavements using the Prophet model under three scenarios, focusing especially on variations in the performance grade of bitumen obtained from 34 synoptic stations of Iran. This study outlines types and precise of additives needed to meet evolving bitumen requirements through 2060. To promote sustainability in Iran's bitumen industry, this study includes a detailed economic and environmental analysis of additive production, transportation, and blending with existing bitumen sources. Findings suggest in 2060, Iran's bitumen demands can be met by producing PG 82 -16 and PG 76 -28 grades. The results showed that using styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) instead of crumb rubber (CR) led to a 46% increase in carbon dioxide emissions and a 1700% increase in costs. In contrast, replacing polyphosphoric acid (PPA) with crumb rubber reduced costs by 56%, while causing a 13% increase in carbon dioxide emissions. This study provides an innovative hybrid framework for temperature prediction under different scenarios using a machine learning model, forecasting bitumen performance grading, and evaluating the environmental impacts of various additives to enhance the performance of existing bitumens.},
}

@article {pmid40378470,
year = {2025},
author = {Bergion, V and Sokolova, E and Samuelsson, A and Östberg, E and Bondelind, M},
title = {Modelling the combined impacts of climate change and socio-economic development on waterborne pathogen transport.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {283},
number = {},
pages = {123802},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123802},
pmid = {40378470},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Protection of our water resources is essential to provide future generations with safe drinking water, recreational opportunities, and reliable ecosystem services. Climate and land use changes exert pressure on the quality of our water resources. Additionally, societal development may generate both positive and negative impacts on future water quality. Thus, decisions made today will impact the water quality of tomorrow. In this paper, we address the issue of future microbial water quality by combining Representative Concentration Pathways and Shared Socio-economic Pathways with projections of societal development, either downscaled to a local level or assessed by local organisations. We use Lake Vomb in Sweden (providing approximately 330 000 persons with drinking water) to illustrate our novel approach of assessing the impact of climate change and societal development on future microbial water quality. The approach includes norovirus, Escherichia coli (as an indicator organism), and Cryptosporidium. Further, we combine hydrological and hydrodynamic fate and transport modelling to simulate future water quality in the tributaries and at the drinking water intake. Future simulations are compared to a baseline scenario representing the current situation. Results show that climate change will reduce future water quality. However, we can also see that societal development significantly impacts microbial water quality, potentially counteracting the increases in microbial concentrations induced by climate change. Therefore, drinking water supply management must adapt to both future climate and societal development.},
}

@article {pmid40376691,
year = {2025},
author = {Shi, X and Wang, L and Dai, Z and Xu, D and Ban, J and Pan, L and Tang, X},
title = {Policy Interpretation of the China National Climate Change Health Adaptation Action Plan (2024-2030).},
journal = {China CDC weekly},
volume = {7},
number = {12},
pages = {385-388},
pmid = {40376691},
issn = {2096-7071},
abstract = {To better protect public health under climate change, in September 2024, the National Disease Control and Prevention Administration of the People's Republic of China, in collaboration with 12 other relevant departments, jointly released the China National Climate Change Health Adaptation Action Plan (2024-2030) (hereinafter referred to as the Action Plan), and innovatively proposed ten strategic prior actions. This study provides a systematic interpretation on the Action Plan, introducing its background, methodology and evidence used in production process, main concepts and content, the road map of implementation, as well as several possible challenges and solutions, which helps to give an overall understanding of the Action Plan.},
}

@article {pmid40376687,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, X and Tong, S and Wang, Y and Ma, L and Shi, X},
title = {Climate Change, Cryosphere Retreat, and Human Health.},
journal = {China CDC weekly},
volume = {7},
number = {12},
pages = {379-384},
pmid = {40376687},
issn = {2096-7071},
abstract = {The cryosphere, encompassing glaciers, ice sheets, permafrost, and snow, plays a critical role in regulating climate and sustaining human wellbeing. However, climate change is driving widespread cryosphere degradation, intensifying geophysical and climate-related hazards that pose escalating risks to the public health and safety. The resulting decline in both the quantity and quality of cryosphere services also has severe consequences, particularly for populations in polar regions, high-altitude mountains, and their downstream areas. Furthermore, teleconnected climate systems can even extend cryosphere change impacts beyond these regions. It has been seen that increasing cryosphere-related hazards, such as glacial lake outburst floods and extreme winter events, heighten public health risks. Disrupted meltwater supply and ecosystem shifts inflict water and food insecurity in arid and semiarid regions, exacerbating malnutrition and disease burdens. Additionally, thawing permafrost may release ancient pathogens and toxic substances, increasing the risks of infectious disease outbreaks and severe environmental contamination. Addressing these cascading risks requires urgent interdisciplinary research, public awareness, and investment in adaptive strategies to strengthen societal resilience amid a rapidly changing cryosphere and safeguard public well-being.},
}

@article {pmid40376265,
year = {2025},
author = {Lu, Y and Dong, H and Fan, S and Yuan, L and Wang, Y and Zhao, Z and Lai, Y and Zhu, S and Huang, J and Yue, C and Ma, Y and Zhang, N},
title = {Local Adaptation and Climate Change Vulnerability of the Relict Tree Species Taiwania cryptomerioides Provide Insights Into Its Conservation and Restoration.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {18},
number = {5},
pages = {e70113},
pmid = {40376265},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {Rapid climate change is affecting biodiversity and threatening locally adapted species. Relict species are often confined to relatively narrow, discontinuous geographic ranges and provide excellent opportunities to study local adaptation and extinction. Understanding the adaptive genetic variation and genetic vulnerability of relict species under climate change is essential for their conservation and management efforts. Here, we applied a landscape genomics approach to investigate the population genetic structure and predict adaptive capacity to climatic change for Taiwania cryptomerioides Hayata, a vulnerable Tertiary relict tree species in China. We used restriction site-associated DNA sequencing on 122 individuals across 10 sampling sites. We found three genetic groups across the Chinese range of T. cryptomerioides: the southwest, central-eastern, and Taiwanese groups. We detected significant signals of isolation by environment and isolation by distance, with environment playing a more important role than geography in shaping spatial genetic variation in T. cryptomerioides. Moreover, some outliers were related to defense and stress responses, which could reflect the genomic basis of adaptation. Gradient forest (GF) analysis revealed that precipitation-related variables were important in driving adaptive variation in T. cryptomerioides. Ecological niche modeling and GF analysis revealed that the central-eastern populations were more vulnerable to future climate change than other populations, with range contractions and high genetic offsets, suggesting these populations may be at higher risk of decline or local extinction. These findings deepen our understanding of local adaptation and vulnerability to climate change in relict tree species and will guide conservation and restoration programs for T. cryptomerioides in the future.},
}

@article {pmid40375521,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhao, YQ and Zhao, PY and Xu, ZH and Li, ZG},
title = {Contribution of climate change and human activity to vegetation recovery in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2022.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {36},
number = {1},
pages = {219-226},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202501.026},
pmid = {40375521},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Human Activities ; Humans ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Cities ; },
abstract = {Shanxi Province has fully implemented ecological protection and restoration initiatives since 2002. Assessing the spatiotemporal variations in vegetation across Shanxi is crucial for timely adjustments to ecological construction measures and ensuring their effectiveness. Based on normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), temperature, and precipitation data from 2002 to 2022, we employed the pixel dichotomy method, trend analysis, and multiple regression residual analysis to simulate the spatiotemporal variations of vegetation cover in all the 11 muni-cipal regions of Shanxi Province. By comparing potential NDVI with actual NDVI, we assessed the relative contributions of climate change and human activity to vegetation restoration. The results showed that vegetation coverage in different cities of Shanxi Province was mainly medium-high and high cover from 2002 to 2022, with Jincheng sho-wing the highest coverage and Shuozhou showing the lowest. Climate change and human activity together promoted rapid NDVI growth during the growing season in Shanxi Province, with a growth rate of 5.4×10[-3]·a[-1]. The areas with significant NDVI increase accounted for 72.1% of the total area. Within the municipalities, Lyuliang demonstrated the fastest NDVI growth rate (7.3×10[-3]·a[-1]). Human activity played a significant role in promoting vegetation restoration in Shanxi Province, while climate change had moderate contribution, with relative contribution rates of 76.3% and 23.7%, respectively. In Changzhi, Jincheng, and Yuncheng, the relative contribution rates of human activity exceeded 90%. Climate change notably facilitated vegetation restoration in Lyuliang. NDVI decreased signi-ficantly at the junction of Taiyuan, Lyuliang, and Jinzhong and in several city centers, slightly suppressed by climate change and moderately suppressed by human activity. The NDVI in Shanxi Province was significantly positive, and overall vegetation cover had reached a relatively high level. But, vegetation cover remained low in northern Shanxi. The relative contribution of human activity was highest in the southern region, while climate change had higher contribution in the central-western region.},
}

*Climate Change
China
*Human Activities
Humans
*Conservation of Natural Resources
*Ecosystem
Environmental Monitoring
Cities